SYDE 331 MANAGERIAL AND ENGINEERING ECONOMICS Spring 2002 Final Exam Review Questions Warning: Some of these questions consider the impact of inflation to a greater extent than you are responsible for!! 1. A company is about to build a new warehouse costing $400,000. It is expected to be in service for 25 years. It is not clear, however, whether the Canadian tax laws classify the building as class 3 (CCA rate = 5%) or as class 6 (CCA rate = 10%), since both classes include Abuildings@. Both classes use the declining balance method. The company=s accountant is going to the tax office to argue that the building should fall under one class or the other. Which class (3 or 6) do you think the accountant will argue for the company? Justify your answer. 2. A company that manufactures control panels has been contracting out the drilling of the back planes. The cost of this practice was $12 000 in 1987, and if continued, the future cost is expected to rise at the rate of inflation. The purchase of a drill press is under consideration for the end of 1987. The cash flow details in real dollars (of 1987 purchasing power) for the two candidates are as follows: Machine First Cost Lifetime, in years Salvage Value Annual Operating Cost Press A $7,000 3 $900 $11,000 in first year of operation, increasing by $2,000 per year Press B $8,000 4 $1000 $9,000 per year The company=s finance department has provided the following: CCA declining balance rate = 20% Income tax rate = 40% Real, after-tax MARR = 10% Inflation forecast = 6% per year for 15 years Assume that all tax deductions will be applied against revenues; assume identical replacements. Do an after-tax, present worth analysis, and make a recommendation. 3. Three mutually exclusive investment proposals have estimated costs and revenues (in thousands of real dollars) as shown below. Proposal First Cost Annual Receipts Annual Costs Calculated IRR I 200 90 70 8.8% II 300 120 80 12.7% III 390 140 90 12.1% All three proposals have lifetimes of 25 years, and the real, before-tax MARR is 9%. a. b. Make a recommendation, based on the internal rate of return method. Make a recommendation, based on the payback period method. 4. The following table shows the cash flow estimates for two mutually exclusive alternatives, A and B. Each alternative has a life of 5 years. Alternatives A B First Cost $12,000 $17,000 Annual Net Receipts $3,000 $4,000 Salvage Value $2,000 $3,000 Use the internal rate of return method to choose the better alternative. The minimum attractive rate of return is 5%. 5. A new pickup truck costs $10,000. Its salvage value is expected to be $7,500 at the end of the first year; in later years, the salvage value is expected to be 75% of the previous year=s salvage value. Annual operation and maintenance costs are expected to be $5,000 in the first year, and to increase at the rate of 15% per year in later years. All of the above cash flow estimates are in real dollars. The MARR is 15%. Calculate the economic life of the truck, under the assumption of cyclic replacements, and ignoring tax effects. (Hint: you need not consider any time longer than five years.) 6. The managers of Tristar Investments Company are trying to decide whether to build a 3-storey, 6storey, 9-storey or 12-storey office building on a lot that the company owns in Kitchener. From estimates of the construction and operating costs, rental receipts, taxes and resale values in 20 years (the length of the study period), the following payback periods and real, after-tax internal rates of return have been calculated: Size Payback Period Real After-tax IRR 3-storey 9.4 years 10.30% 6-storey 8.7 years 11.10% 9-storey 10.2 years 11.90% 12-storey 11.4 years 10.80% Tristar=s real, after-tax MARR is 9% per year. One manager suggests that Tristar should choose the 6-storey design because it has the shortest payback period, while another manager advocates the 9-storey design because if has the highest IRR. Comment on the two managers= suggestions and their decision rules. State what you think is a correct use of IRR calculations and payback periods, and give brief justifications. 7. The Waterloo Widget Company must choose between two models of a new drill press, A and B. They perform the same service. The real, before-tax cash flow estimates for the presses are in the table below: Model A B First Cost $19,000 $12,000 Annual Cost $16,000 $19,000 Lifetime 4 years 4 years Salvage Value $3,000 $2,000 The CCA rate for drill presses is 35%, and the tax rate is 40%. The tax rules are the post-1981 rules. Inflation is expected to be 5% per year for the foreseeable future. The company=s real, after-tax minimum attractive rate of return is 9% per year. Perform a present worth analysis and recommend which press to buy. 8. The following table summarizes information for 3 projects: Project 1 2 3 a. b. First Cost $100 000 $200 000 $250 000 IRR on overall investment 19% 18% 16% IRR on increments of investment compared with project: 1 2 17% 12% 13% If the projects are independent, which projects should be undertaken if the MARR is 16%? If the projects are mutually exclusive, which project should be undertaken if the MARR is 15%. Indicate what logic you have used. 9. You are in the process of arranging a marketing contract for a new software package that will allow easy access to the world wide web. It still needs more development, so your contract will pay you $5,000 today to finish the prototype. You will then get royalties of $10,000 at the end of the second and third years. At the end of the 1st and 4th year you will be required to do $20,000 and $10,000 in upgrades, respectively. What is the appropriate rate of return on this project, assuming a MARR of 20%? Should you accept the contract? 10. The UCC for a firms' automobiles at the end of 1997 was $10,000. There was one truck in service at this time. At the beginning of 1998, they purchased two trucks for a total of $50,000. At the beginning of 2000, they purchased another truck for $20,000. At the beginning of 2001, the truck owned in 1997 was salvaged for $3,000. The CCA rate for automobiles is 30%. What was the firm's UCC at the end of 2001? Show your work. Solutions to Final Exam Review Questions Question 1. PW (tax savings) = P(1-CCTFNew) A larger d makes a larger PW of tax shields, and this increases the PW of the investment. Therefore, he will argue for class 6 since it has a higher CCA rate. Question 2. Choose a 12-year study period. (n = 12) i = (Real i) =10%. d = 20%, t = 40%, f = 6% PW(contracting out, in real dollars) = B12,000(P/A, i, n)(1 B t) = B49,058.58 Actual ia = (1+i)(1+ f) B 1 = 16.6% CCTFnew = 1- td(1 + 0.5 ia)/[( ia + d)(1 + ia)] = 0.79698 CCTFold = 1- td/( ia + d) = 0.78142 PW(A) ={-7000 CCTFnew + 900(P/F, i, 3) CCTFold B [11000 + 2000 (A/G, i, 3)](P/A, , i, 3)(1-t)} * {1+ (P/F, i, 3) + (P/F, i, 6) + (P/F, i, 9)} = -66,465.78 PW(B) = {-8000 CCTFnew + 1000 (P/F, i, 4) CCTFold B 9000 (P/A, , i, 4)(1-t)} * {1+ (P/F, i, 4) + (P/F, i, 8) } = -49,351.69 So, contracting out is the best option (the lowest PW of cost). Question 3. (a) Reject I; II is acceptable; is III B II worthwhile? PW(IIIBII) = B(390 B 300) + [(140 B 120) B (90 B 80)](P/A, i, 25) = B90 + 10(P/A, i, 25) = 0 PW(i = 10%) = 0.77 IRR(III B II) MARR=9%; choose III. (b) Payback period of I = 10 years; II = 7.5 years; III = 7.8 years. Choose II. (b) There is a bend in the total cost curve at 12,000 widgets/mo. The breakdown is at 23,200 per month. Question 4. (a) Alternative A: PWA = B12000 + 3000 (P/A, iA, 5) + 2000 (P/F, iA, 5) = 0 PWA = 274.30 at iA = 11%, and PWA = B51.04 at iA = 12%. IRRA = 11.84% 11.8% Alternative B: PWB = B17000 + 4000 (P/A, iB, 5) + 3000 (P/F, iB, 5) = 0 PWB = 25.91 at iB = 10%, and PWB = - 436.45 at iB = 11%. Using the linear interpolation, IRRB = 10.055% 10.1% (b) Since alternative AA@ has lowest initial investment and IRRA = 11.8% > MARR (=5%), AA@ becomes Defender. Since projects are mutually exclusive, B becomes the sole challenger. 0 = PWBBA = B(17000 B 12000) + (4000 B 3000)(P/A, i, 5) + (3000 B 2000)(P/F, i, 5) = B5000 + 1000(P/A, i, 5) + 1000(P/F, i, 5) PWB-A = 113 at i = 5%, and PWB-A = - 40.38 at i = 6%. i should be between 5% and 6%. Select project B, since incremental investment has i > MARR=5%. Question 5. EACk = {P[1 B (1-d)k(P/F, i, k)] +Ao(P/A, g, i, k)}(A/P,i,k) = {10000*(1-[0.75/1.15] k) + 5000(P/A, (1+i)/(1+g)-1,k)/(1+g)}(A/P,15%,k) ={10000*(1-0.65217 k) + 4347.83k}(A/P, 15%, k) Year EACk 1 $9,000.00 2 $8,883.72 3 $8,877.61 4 $8,960.57 5 $9,116.32 The economic life of the truck is 3 years. Question 6. Two drawbacks of payback period: (a) ignores time-value of money (b) doesn=t account for cash flow after payback period In the case of large projects such as this building, the final resale value can be very significant in the comparison but is not reflected in the payback approach (i.e., point (b) above). Since the payback method is a quick and dirty approach to calculate when initial cost is recovered, it is highly inaccurate when the result is a long time period as in this problem, because: (i) discounting can be very significant (ii) uncertainty makes long payback period unacceptable Summary: A simple decision based on payback for such a large project, especially with the results so close, is an unacceptable procedure. Based on IRR, all alternatives are feasible since > MARR (=9%). However, closing the project with the largest IRR could be erroneous (for mutually exclusive projects) since it does not justify that IRR > MARR for each incremental investment. An incremental IRR analysis should be performed, assuming that unspent capital can be invested elsewhere for at least 9% (real rate of return). Question 7. d = 35%, t = 40%, f = 5%, real interest rate ir = 9%. Actual interest rate: ia = (1 + ir)(1 + f) B 1 = (1.09)(1.05) B 1 = 14.45% CCTFnew = 1- td(1 + 0.5 ia)/[( ia + d)(1 + ia)] = 0.73476 CCTFold = 1- td/( ia + d) = 0.71689 (P/F, ir, 4) = 0.70843, and (P/A, ir, 4) = 3.2397 PW = P* CCTFnew + A (1-t) (P/A, ir, N) B S (P/F, ir, N) CCTFold Therefore, PWA = -19,000(0.73476) -16,000(1- 0.4)(3.2397) + 3,000(0.70843)(0.71689) = - 43,537.96 PWB = -12,000(0.73476) -19,000(1- 0.4)(3.2397) + 2,000(0.70843)(0.71689) = - 44,733.97 Conclusion: Based on this analysis, machine A is marginally cheaper. Question 8. (a) With a MARR of 16%, do projects 1, 2 and 3 as their IRRs meet or exceed 16%. (b) MARR = 15% Step 0: cannot screen any projects Step 1: the current best is alternative 1 (the least first cost) Step 2: Challenge 1 with 2: incremental IRR is 17%; challenge succeeds; 2 is current best Step 3: Challenge 2 with 3: incremental IRR is 13%; challenge fails. Conclusion: pick 2 Question 9. Since there are a number of sign changes, IRR method would give the multiple solutions. So we need to use ERR method. To calculate the ERR, set FW(receipts @ MARR) = FW(disbursements @ ERR): 5(F/P, 20%, 4)+10(F/P, 20%, 2) + 10(F/P, 20%, 1) = 20(F/P, i, 3) + 10 (F/P, i, 3) = (1+ i)3 = {5(2.0736) +10(1.44) + 10(1.2) -10} / 20 = 1.3384 i = 10.20% Since the ERR is less than MARR, the offer should be rejected. Question 10. 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 Adjustments Base UCC CCA 50,000 0 20,000 B3,000 10,000+ 50,000/2 49,500 34,650 + 20,000/2 41,255 - 3,000 10,500 14,850 13,395 11,476.5 The UCC at the end of 2001 was $26,778.50. Remaining 10,000 49,500 34,650 41,255 26,778.5