Dr Azer Önel Engineering Economy Review Problems-III 2010 Applications of Money-Time Relationships (Note: There may be typographical errors. Check results for all problems!) 1) (Prob. 4-2 Sullivan, 12th ed.) You are faced with making a decision on a large capital investment proposal. The capital investment amount is $640,000. Estimated annual revenue at the end of each year in the eight year study period is $180,000. The estimated annual year-end expenses are $42,000 starting in year one. These expenses begin decreasing by $4,000 per year at the end of year four and continue decreasing through the end of year eight. Assuming a $20,000 market value at the end of year eight and a MARR = 12% per year, answer the following questions. a) What is the PW of this proposal? b) What is the IRR of this proposal? c) What is your conclusion about the acceptability of this proposal? d) What is the simple payback period for this proposal? e) Solve using FW, AW and discounted payback period. Solution: a) PW(12%) = -$640,000+$180,000(P/A,12%,8)-$42,000(P/A,12%,8) +$4,000(P/G,12i%,6)(P/F,12%,2) +20,000(P/F,12i%,8) PW (12%) = -$640,000+$180,000(4.9676)-$42,000(4.9676) +$4,000(8.930) (0.7972) +20,000(0.4039) = $82,082.78 > 0. b) PW(IRR)= -$640,000+$180,000(P/A,i%,8)-$42,000(P/A,i%,8) +$4,000(P/G,i%,6)(P/F,i%,2) +20,000(P/F,i%,8) = 0 Linear interpolation will be needed to solve for i%. We need two trial interest rates, one resulting in a positive PW and another producing a negative PW. The IRR will then be bracketed between these two interest rates. Since PW is not linear, the two interest rates should be 10% or less apart to minimize error of linear interpolation. For this problem, the two trial interest rates chosen were 15% and 18%. i% 15% i% 18% PW $9,790.06 0.00 -$51,623.16 18% 15% i% 15% $9,790.06 ($51,623.16) $9,790.06 0 Thus IRR = 15.48% > 12%. c) Based on PW and IRR, the proposal is acceptable. d) Simple payback period method: Calculates the number of years required for cash inflows to just equal cash outflows; ignores time value of money (i% = 0/year) and all cash flows that occur after payback period n' (n' ≥ n). End of Year 0 1 2 3 4 5 Net Cash Flows -$640,000 $138,000 $138,000 $138,000 $142,000 $146,000 Cumulative PW at i% = 0/year -$640,000 -$502,000 -$364,000 -$226,000 -$84,000 $62,000 n' = 5 years because the cumulative balance turns (+) at year 5 Simple Payback Period n' = 5 years 2) (Prob. 4-16 Sullivan, 12th ed.) A company is considering constructing a plant to manufacture a proposed new product. The land costs $300,000, the building costs $600,000, the equipment costs $250,000, and $100,000 additional working capital† is required. It is expected that the product will result in sales of $750,000 per year for ten years, at which time the land can be sold for $400,000, the building for $350,000, and the equipment for $50,000. All of the working capital would be recovered at the end of year 10. The annual labor, materials, property taxes, maintenance, supplies and so on are estimated to total $475,000. If the company requires a MARR of 15% per year on projects of comparable risk, determine if it should invest in the new product line. Use the PW method. Solution: Initial investment/capital investment/ first cost at time zero/at present: -$300,000 - $600,000 – $250,000 – $100,000 = -$1,250,000 Annual revenue/receipts/income/inflows: $750,000 Annual expenses/disbursements/costs/payments/outflows: -$475,000 Market/salvage value: $400,000 + $350,000 + $50,000 + $100,000† = $900,000 PW (15%) = -$1,250,000 + ($750,000-$475,000) (P/A, 15%,10) + $900,000 (P/F, 15%,10) = $3,526.5 > 0 → they should invest in the new product line. † Working capital refers to the funds required for current assets that are needed for the startup and support of operational activities. Some or all of the working capital is usually recovered at the end of a project’s life. 3) Your company is considering the introduction of a new product line. The initial investment required for this project is $500,000 and annual maintenance costs are anticipated to be $35,000. Annual operating costs will be directly in proportion to the level of production at $7.50 per unit, and each unit of product can be sold for $50.00. If the MARR is 10% and the project has a life of 5 years, what is the minimum annual production level for which this project is economically viable? Solution: Let X be the minimum annual production level. AW = -500,000 (A/P,10%,5) – 35,000 – 7.50 X + 50.00 X = 0 500,000 (A/P,10%,5) + 35,000 = (50.00 – 7.50) X 166,898.74 = 42.50 X X = 3,927.03 units 4) (Prob. 4-24 Sullivan, 12th ed.) Suppose that you borrow $1,000 from the Easy Credit Company with the agreement to repay it over a 5-year period. Their stated interest rate is 9% per year. They show you the following items in determining the monthly payment: Principal $1,000 Total interest (9%*5 years*$1,000) $450 They ask you to pay 20% of the interest immediately, so you leave with $1,000–$90=$910 in your pocket. Your monthly payment is calculated as follows: $1000 $450 $2417 month 60 a) Draw a cash-flow diagram of this transaction. b) Determine the effective annual interest rate. Solution: a) Your Point of View: $910 End of Month 0 1 2 3 4 5 58 59 60 A = $24.17 / month b) $910 = $24.17 (P/A, i%/month, 60), so (P/A, i%, 60) = 37.65 From the tables; (P/A,1%,60) = 44.9550 and (P/A,2%,60) = 34.7609. Therefore, 1% < i% < 2% Linear interpolation yields: i% = 1.7% per month i% /year = (1.017)12 - 1 = 0.224 or 22.4%/year 5) (Prob. 4-22 Sullivan, 12th ed.) A manufacturing firm which has excess capacity will make a bid to produce a new product as a subcontractor at its factory. This requires an additional investment of $75,000 in new equipment. The contract would be for 5 years at an annual production quantity of 20,000 units. Direct labor cost is estimated at $1.00 per unit and new materials at $1.05 per unit. The incremental overhead will not exceed 60% of its direct labor cost. The maintenance expenses on the new equipment would be $2,000 per year, and annual taxes and insurance would average 5% of the investment cost. The new equipment could be sold for $3,000 at the end of 5 years. The project will require $15,000 in working capital at the start of the project and it would be fully recovered at the end of year 5. The firm’s MARR is 20% on this contract. The firm wants to sell the product at a price so that it can make a profit of 20% of the selling price. What should be the selling price? Annual cost of maintenance, taxes and insurance per unit: $2000+$75,000*5% = $5,750/year $5,750/20,000 units = $0.2875/unit Variable cost/unit: DL+DM+OH = $1+$1.05+$1*60% = $2.65/unit Total unit cost (excluding capital recovery): $0.2875+$2.65 = $2.94/unit Capital recovery cost & working capital: WC occurs at t=0 & t=5. CRC+WC= (75,000+15,000)(A/P,20%,5)-(3,000+15,000)(A/F,20%,5) = $27,676.8 CRC+WC/unit = $27,676.8/20,000 units = $1.38/unit Total unit cost = $1.38+$2.94 = $4.32 Unit price for the bid should be greater than $4.32 Selling price= $4.32*1.2= $5.18/unit 6) (Prob. 4-43 Sullivan, 12th ed.) Consider the following cash flow: EOY Cash flow $ 0 -100 1 -50 2 0 3 20 4 120 5 220 6 320 a) If the MARR is 15%/year, is this project profitable? b) Calculate the simple payback period. c) Calculate the discounted payback period. a) PW= -$100-$50(P/F,15%,1)+[$20(P/A,15%,4)+$100(P/G,15%,4)](P/F,15%,2) = -$100 - $50(0.8696) + [$20(2.8550) + $100 (3.786)](0.7561) = $185.95 > 0 Yes, this project is financially profitable. b) EOY 0 1 2 3 4 5 Cash Flow - $100 - 50 0 20 120 220 Cumulative PW - $100 - 150 - 150 - 130 - 10 210 Balance becomes positive at the end of year 5. Thus, payback period n' = 5 years. c) Since simple payback = 5 years, discounted payback 5 years Note: Discounted payback period considers time value of money. PW0-5(15%) =-$100-$50(P/F,15%,1)+[$20(P/A,15%,3)+$100(P/G,15%,3)](P/F,15%,2) PW0-5(15%) = -$100 - $50(0.8696) + [$20(2.2832) + $100(2.071)](0.7561) = $47.63 > 0, thus discounted payback period n' = 5 years