NIGERIAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY 33 POPE JOHN PAUL II STREET, MAITAMA DISTRICT, P.M.B. 615, GARKI, ABUJA, NIGERIA Agrometeorological Bulletin No.17, Dekad 2, June (11 – 20) 2012 SUMMARY During the period under review, surplus/positive rainfall anomalies were recorded in most areas of the country except for Gusau, Yelwa, Kaduna, Minna, Ilorin, Lokoja, Makurdi, Ijebu-Ode, Enugu, Asaba, Owerri and Umuahia that had deficit . The country recorded light to moderate rains while most areas such as Abuja, Abeokuta, Benin, Calabar, Ogoja and Uyo had high intensity falls which resulted in flooding and erosion. Most parts of the south and some parts of the north central had surplus soil moisture conditions while the extreme northwest, Nguru and Potiskum had deficit . Warmer than normal temperatures continued to be experienced along the extreme north (Sokoto, Katsina, Kano, Nguru, Yelwa, Potiskum, Maiduguri and Yola) while Jos and Eket remained colder. Temperatures below 32 Deg C were recorded in most parts of the south and north central while the extreme north remained predominantly above 32 Deg C. However no part of the country recorded temperatures above 37Deg C as the temperatures have continued to be lowered by the increasing rain in the north. 1.0 RAINFALL TREND 1.1 Rainfall Anomaly The rainfall received across the country is shown in fig 2 and reveals that all parts of the country received over 20mm of rains except areas in and around Nguru, Gusau, Yelwa, and Potiskum. In Uyo and some parts of the south, heavy rain and thunderstorm caused flooding of roads and farmlands while some buildings were destroyed by the heavy downpour. 14 KAT SOK GUS MAI POT ZAR KAD BAU BID MIN ABU LOK 6 8 10 12 14 LONG. (E) FIG. 1: 2nd DEKAD OF JUNE 2012 RAINFALL ANOMALIES (%) OVER THE COUNTRY. ANOMALIES ARE COMPUTED WITH RESPECT TO THE 1971 - 2000 BASE PERIOD DECADAL MEANS. 1.3 COMPARISON OF NORMAL RAINFALL FOR THE DEKAD Fig 1 above shows the rainfall anomaly during the dekad and indicates that surplus rainfall anomalies were recorded in most areas of the country except for Gusau, Yelwa, Kaduna, Minna, Ilorin, Lokoja, Makurdi, IjebuOde, Enugu, Asaba, Owerri and Umuahia that had deficit. Other areas remained normal. 1.2 Rainfall Amounts KAT GUS MAI POT ZAR KAD BID MIN ABU 2 4 6 80 60 40 POTISKUM ZARIA NGURU KANO KADUNA YELWA GUSAU YOLA SOKOTO GOMBE MAIDUG LAFIA BAUCHI MINNA ABUJA JOS NORMAL BIDA ACTUAL 0 LOKOJA 0 40 80 100 160 20 KATSINA LEGEND 2 OWE UMU UYO CAL PHC EKT 360 400 4 OGJ OBU IKO ENU ASA AWK WAR GOM LAF IBI MAK LOK 300 6 100 YOL 200 ILO SHK ISE OSG IBA Ado AKU ABE OND IJE IKE OSD BEN 8 BAU JOS 260 10 120 IBI YEL LAT. (N) NGU KAN 140 ILORIN SOK 12 ACTUAL 160 RAINFALL VALUES(mm) 14 WITH The comparison of the actual rainfall amount with normal rainfall values in some selected stations across the south and north is shown in Figs 3A & B below. Both figures show that most stations in both the north and south indicate that above normal rainfall prevailed during the dekad. MAKURDI 4 -60 NORMAL DEFICIT SURPLUS 2 2 -20 100 LEGEND Normal defined by tolerance of ± 20% departure OWE UMU UYO CAL PHC EKT 220 WAR 4 OGJ OBU IKO ENU ASA AWK 140 6 YOL LAF IBI MAK ILO OSG IBA Ado AKU ABE OND IJE IKE OSD BEN 180 SHK ISE 8 GOM JOS 20 10 60 YEL LAT. (N) NGU KAN -100 12 RAINFALL AMOUNT (mm) 8 10 12 14 LONG. (E) FIG. 2: ACTUAL RAINFALL AMOUNT FOR DEKAD 2, JUNE 2012 FIG. 3A: COMPARISON OF NORMAL WITH OBSERVED RAINFALLOF DEKAD 2, JUNE 2012: FOR NORTHERN AND CENTRAL STATES OF NIGERIA 3.0 MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE TREND 3.1 Maximum Temperature Anomaly Fig 6 shows the trend of maximum temperature anomaly over the country and indicates that warmer than normal temperatures have continued to be experienced along the extreme north (Sokoto, Katsina, Kano, Bauchi, Nguru, Yelwa, Potiskum, Maiduguri and Yola) while areas in and around Jos and Eket were colder than normal. Elsewhere were normal with no significant change when compared with the normal temperatures. 500 450 400 350 250 200 150 100 ACTUAL 50 NORMAL 14 KAT SOK BID MIN ABU YOL OGJ OBU IKO OWE UMU UYO CAL PHC EKT 12 14 FIG. 4: ACTUAL NUMBER OF RAIN DAYS FOR DEKAD 2, JUNE 2012 The number of rain days across the country is shown in Fig 4 and reveals that most stations in the north had 2 or more days of rainfall while the south had 4 and above. Generally rainfall distribution was favourable for optimal crop development. KAT SOK GUS 12 LAT. (N) KAT GUS ZAR KAD BID MIN ABU LEGEND 2 4 8 -60 -20 20 60 100 OWE UMU UYO CAL PHC EKT LOK -2.5 -2 YOL OGJ OBU IKO OWE UMU UYO CAL PHC EKT ENU ASA AWK 36 LEGEND By definition, the area between ± 20% is under Neutral / Normal soil moisture condition MEAN MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE (Deg. C) 2 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 LONG. (E) FIG. 7: MEAN MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE FOR DEKAD 2, JUNE 2012 NEUTRAL DEFICIT SURPLUS 6 4 OGJ OBU IKO 140 220 4 2 YOL ENU ASA AWK WAR WAR JOS LOK 180 6 OSG IBA Ado AKU ABE OND IJE IKE OSD BEN GOM JOS LAF IBI MAK ILO GOM LAF IBI MAK ILO OSG IBA Ado AKU ABE OND IJE IKE OSD BEN SHK ISE 8 6 BAU BAU BID MIN ABU MAI POT YEL LAT. (N) KAN -140 12 NGU -100 SOK MAI POT 10 14 NGU KAN ZAR KAD YEL 2.0 SOIL MOISTURE CONDITION 8 -1.5 14 26 10 3.2 Maximum Temperature Values The actual mean maximum temperature distribution is shown in Fig 7 below and reveals that most parts of the south and the north central recorded temperatures below 32 Deg C while the north was predominantly above 32 Deg C. With increasing rains across the north, temperatures have continued to drop as no station had temperatures above 37 Deg C. 28 8 LONG. (E) SHK ISE 14 30 6 10 12 32 4 10 34 0 NUMBER OF RAIN DAYS 2 2 8 ENU ASA AWK 8 LEGEND NORMAL COLDER WARMER 6 FIG. 6: 2nd DEKAD OF JUNE 2012 MEAN MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE ANOMALIES (Deg. C) OVER THE COUNTRY. ANOMALIES ARE COMPUTED WITH RESPECT TO THE 1971 - 2000 BASE PERIOD DECADAL MEANS. LAF IBI MAK LOK WAR 4 4 LONG. (E) 2 6 LEGEND 2 JOS 6 SHK ILO ISE OSG IBA Ado AKU ABE OND IJE IKE OSD BEN 8 Normal defined by the tolerance of ± 1.0 Deg. Celsius departure 2 GOM 4 10 BAU 4 MAI POT ZAR KAD YEL OGJ OBU IKO OWE UMU UYO CAL PHC EKT ENU ASA AWK 2.5 KAN YOL LOK -1 OSG IBA Ado AKU ABE OND IJE IKE OSD BEN NGU GUS JOS 2 LAT. (N) 8 GOM LAF IBI MAK ILO WAR KAT SOK BAU BID MIN ABU SHK ISE 6 12 MAI POT 10 14 NGU KAN ZAR KAD YEL 1.4 Number of Rain Days LAT. (N) GUS 12 FIG. 3B: COMPARISON OF NORMAL WITH OBSERVED RAINFALL OF DEKAD 2, OF JUNE 2012 : SOUTHERN STATES OF NIGERIA 1 Uyo Ikom Obudu Umuahia Eket Calabar Portharc Warri Ogoja Awka Enugu Owerri Benin Asaba Usi-Ekiti Ondo Ado-Ekiti Akure Oshogbo Shaki Iseyin Ijebu-Ode Ikeja Ibadan Abeokuta Oshodi 0 1.5 RAINFALL (MM) 300 10 12 14 LONG. (E) FIG. 5: 1st DEKAD OF JUNE 2012 SOIL MOISTURE INDICES (%) OVER THE COUNTRY. The decadal distribution of soil moisture across the country is shown in Fig 5 and indicates that most parts of the south and some parts of the north central had surplus soil moisture conditions while the extreme northwest, Nguru and Potiskum had deficit. Other areas remained normal. Generally there was increased soil moisture for optimum crop development. 4.0 WEATHER/AGRICULTURAL OUTLOOK FOR DEKAD 3 (21 TO 30), OF JUNE 2012 4.1 Weather Outlook The ITD position is still expected to be above the country where the tip is touching the fringe of Chad, placing the extreme North under the influence of cloudy weather conditions and occasional thunderstorms activities (i.e. the Eastern part of the extreme north). The Central states are expected to experience cloudy weather as well as thunderstorm activities. NIGERIAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY (NIMET) AGROMETEOROLOGICAL BULLETIN NO. 17, DEKAD 2, JUNE (11-20) 2012 Page 2 The Inland and coastal parts of the country are expected to be cloudy with localised rain / thundery activities during the period. The expected mean maximum temperature for the extreme Northern part of the country ranges between 30 36 deg C while the mean minimum temperature ranges between 21 - 27 deg C. The expected mean maximum temperature for Central part of the country ranges between 29-33 deg C while the mean minimum temperature ranges between 20 - 25 deg C. For Inland and coastal areas of the country, maximum temperature ranges between 27-32 deg C., while mean minimum temperature ranges between 20 -24 deg C during the period. 4.2 Agricultural Activity/Outlook Planting of staple food crops continued in parts of the north central while in the extreme north, clearing of farmlands in preparation of planting is in progress. In parts of the south and north central, harvest of maize is in progress while vegetables planted on irrigated farms in the north is in progress Farmers in the extreme north are advised to prepare their farms in readiness for planting of new crops as the cropping season is expected to commence. TABLE OF AGROMETEOROLOGICAL DATA FOR THE DEKAD STATION RAINFALL RAINDAY PET TMAX TMIN DD RAD MINNA 20.3 3 43.7 31.6 20.9 182.4 18.5 ABEOK 115.7 5 35.2 30.8 24 193.9 14.6 NGURU 22.4 1 47 36.1 25.2 226.7 18.5 ABUJA 109.3 6 38.9 30.3 21.8 180.4 16.6 OGOJA 290.8 7 38.8 30.5 22.2 183.7 16.4 AKURE 90.2 7 36.5 29.4 21.9 176.6 15.6 ONDO 70.9 6 37.9 30.7 22.9 187.9 15.9 ASABA 21.5 6 36.7 29.8 22.3 180.9 15.6 OSHODI 128.1 7 35.4 30.8 24.2 194.9 14.7 AWKA 35.8 9 36.8 30.3 22.8 185.6 15.5 OSOGBO 78.1 4 37.4 29.9 22.1 179.8 16 BAUCHI 52.3 3 40.9 32.1 23.0 195.5 16.9 OWERRI 39.3 4 33.4 29.2 22.7 179.5 14.3 BENIN 184.4 6 33.9 29.8 23.5 186.5 14.3 PHC 104 6 33.5 29.4 23.0 181.8 14.2 BIDA 100.2 6 38.6 31.4 23.3 193.9 16.1 POT 26.4 2 45.6 34.7 23.9 212.7 18.4 CALABAR 202.2 7 35.1 30.2 23.5 188.7 14.7 SHAKI 89.2 5 38.1 29.3 20.9 171.3 16.5 EKET 194.2 9 28.5 28.1 23.6 178.5 12.2 SOKOTO 42.9 2 43 34.6 25.1 218.6 17.2 ENUGU 67.2 7 38.6 30.4 22.1 182.4 16.4 UMUAHIA 31.6 3 35.1 29.8 22.9 183.7 14.8 GOMBE 80.8 4 37.6 31.5 22.4 184.1 15.9 UYO 437.2 8 31.6 29.0 23.3 181.5 13.4 GUSAU 17.5 3 46.4 33.7 23.9 207.7 18.9 WARRI 184.6 9 35.9 30.5 23.4 189.2 15 IBADAN 49.4 5 38 29.8 22.8 183.1 16.1 YELWA 12.2 3 41.9 33.8 24.8 212.7 16.9 IJEBU 43.3 5 38.6 30.2 23.1 186.4 16.3 YOLA 105 4 42.5 33.2 23.6 203.8 17.3 IKEJA 82.5 5 33.7 29.4 23.9 186.5 14.2 ZARIA IKOM 153.1 8 37.2 29.7 23.0 183.6 15.7 OBUDU 164.7 8 33 28.7 22.2 174.5 14.2 ILORIN 34.4 4 41.3 30.8 22.6 187.1 17.4 5 35.1 30.2 23.4 187.8 14.7 68 4 40.3 30.0 22.1 180.6 17.2 IBI ADOEKITI 125.6 ISEYIN 94.4 7 36.1 29.2 21.8 175 15.6 114.2 5 40.8 26.3 16.5 133.9 19 USI-EKITI 88.6 4 38.2 5 41.1 30.5 20.6 175.5 17.7 CALARMA 117.6 8 31.7 29.3 23.7 185 13.4 150.7 4 44.6 33.7 23.0 203.6 18.3 KATSINA 16.4 2 46.5 35.1 24.0 215.4 18.6 LAFIA 60.8 4 39.8 32.1 23.7 199.3 16.4 LOKOJA 27.5 3 38.2 31.7 24.0 198 15.8 35.4 3 38.1 30.0 21.6 178 16.3 JOS KADUNA KANO MAIDU MAKURDI Dear All, Comments and suggestions on how to improve this publication are welcome. Agrometeorologists, Agriculturists, Extension Workers, Research Officers, Users and the General Public should kindly send feedback to: The Director-General/CEO, Nigerian Meteorological Agency (NIMET), 33 Pope John Paul II Street, Maitama District, PMB 615 Garki, Abuja. E-mail: nimetagrometbulletin@yahoo.com; NIMET WEB SITE: www.nimetng.org NIGERIAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY (NIMET) AGROMETEOROLOGICAL BULLETIN NO. 17, DEKAD 2, JUNE (11-20) 2012 Page 3