NIGERIAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY 33 POPE JOHN PAUL II STREET, MAITAMA DISTRICT, P.M.B. 615, GARKI, ABUJA, NIGERIA Agrometeorological Bulletin No.26, Dekad 2, September (11 – 20) 2012 SUMMARY 1.0 RAINFALL TREND The 2nd dekad of September showed the intensification of rains in parts of the southwest after the little dry season and the beginning of the end of rains in parts of the extreme north. However high intensity rains in parts of the country resulted to flash floods and erosion which submerged roads, houses and farmlands. Surplus soil moisture conditions were observed in most parts of the country except in few areas around Kano, Katsina, Nguru, and Gusau where deficits were recorded. Most parts of the country had normal temperatures while warmer than normal temperatures have persisted along the extreme north (Sokoto, Gusau, Katsina, Kano and Nguru). However, areas in and around Jos and Eket were colder than normal. Harvest of millet and maize were the main activities in the northern parts of the country 1.1 Rainfall Anomaly 14N KAT SOK GUS 12N MAI POT ZAR KAD YEL BAU BID MIN ABU SHK ILO ISE OSG IBA Ado AKU ABE OND IJE IKE OSD BEN OGJ OBU IKO OWE UMU UYO CAL PHC EKT ENU ASA AWK -140 -100 -60 -20 Normal defined by tolerance of ±20% departure. . 20 180 220 WAR 4N YOL LOK 100 6N JOS 140 8N GOM LAF IBI MAK 60 10N LAT (N) NGU KAN LEGEND SURPLUS 2N 2E 4E 6E NORMAL 8E 10E DEFICIT 12E Fig 2 shows the distribution of the actual amounts of rainfall measured across the country. This shows that parts of the country had substantial rainfall except some parts of the southwest and the extreme north which had amounts below 40mm. However high intensity falls with amounts exceeding 100mm were recorded in parts of the south and north resulting to flash floods which submerged roads, buildings and farmlands with disruption to both vehicular and human traffic. 14E LONG. (E) FIG1. 2ND DEKAD OF SEPTEMBER 2012 RAINFALL ANOMALIES(%) OVER THE COUNTRY. ANOMALIES ARE COMPUTED WITH RESPECT TO THE 1971-2000 BASE PERIOD DECADAL MEANS. Fig 1 above shows the rainfall anomaly over the country and indicates that deficit rainfall anomalies were recorded in the southwest and parts of the extreme north, (red areas). However most parts of the country have normal to surplus anomalies. 1.3 COMPARISON OF NORMAL RAINFALL FOR THE DEKAD FIG. 3A: COMPARISON OF NORMAL WITH OBSERVED RAINFALL OF DEKAD 2, SEPT 2012: NORTHERN STATES 250 14N 200 KAT GUS ZAR KAD BID MIN ABU LOK ENU ASA AWK LEGEND 2N 2E 4E YOL OGJ OBU IKO OWE UMU UYO CAL PHC EKT 0 10 RAINFALL AMOUNT (mm) 6E 8E 150 100 50 0 20 4N GOM JOS 40 WAR BAU 60 6N SHK ISE OSG IBA Ado AKU ABE OND IJE IKE OSD BEN 80 8N MAI LAF IBI MAK ILO 100 LAT. (N) KAN POT YEL 10E ACTUAL NORMAL NGU RAINFALL VALUES(mm) SOK 10N ACTUAL The comparison of the actual rainfall amount with normal rainfall values during the dekad in most stations across the north and south respectively is shown in Figs 3A and B. Fig 3B reveals that stations such as Makurdi, Jos, Minna, Bauchi, Gombe,Yola, Sokoto and Kaduna had their rains higher than the long term average while in the south, most atations had their actual rainfall lower than normal. 1.2 Rainfall Amounts 12N WITH 12E 14E LONG. (E) FIG.2: ACTUAL RAINFALL AMOUNT FOR DEKAD 2, SEPTEMBER 2012. FIG. 3B: COMPARISON OF NORMAL WITH OBSERVED RAINFALL OF DEKAD 2, OF SEPTEMBER 2012 : SOUTHERN STATES 350 300 5 above and reveals that most part of the country had normal to surplus soil moisture conditions except the extreme north(Gusau, Katsina, Kano and Nguru) which had deficit. 250 3.0 MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE TREND 3.1 Maximum Temperature Anomaly The trend of mean maximum temperature anomaly is shown in Fig 6 below and indicates that most parts of the country were normal. However, warmer than normal temperatures were recorded in and around Sokoto, Gusau, Katsina, Kano, Nguru, Potiskum and Maiduguri while while areas in and around Jos and Eket were colder. NORMAL 150 100 50 0 1.4 Number of Rain Days 14N KAT SOK GUS SHK ILO ISE OSG IBA Ado AKU ABE OND IJE IKE OSD BEN 6N YOL LEGEND WARMER FIG.6: 2ND DEKAD OF SEPTEMBER, 2012 MEAN MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE ANOMALIES (Deg.C) OVER THE COUNTRY. ANOMALIES ARE COMPUTED WITH RESPECT TO THE 1971-2000 BASE PERIOD DECADAL MEANS.. 6E 4E 6E 8E 10E 12E 14E 0 2 LONG. (E) NUMBER OF RAIN DAYS 4E COLDER NORMAL 2N 2E LEGEND 2N 2E Normal defined by the tolerance of ±1.0 Deg. Celsius departure. OWE UMU UYO CAL PHC EKT 4 4N 2 4N OGJ OBU IKO ENU ASA AWK WAR OGJ OBU IKO OWE UMU UYO CAL PHC EKT ENU ASA AWK WAR LAF IBI MAK LOK 6 6N JOS LOK 8 8N GOM -2 BAU BID MIN ABU YOL LAF IBI MAK -1.5 ZAR KAD YEL 10N SHK ILO ISE OSG IBA Ado AKU ABE OND IJE IKE OSD BEN 8N -1 MAI POT GOM JOS 1.5 KAN BAU BID MIN ABU NGU LAT. (N) 12N LAT. (N) 10N KAT GUS MAI POT ZAR KAD YEL 14N SOK NGU KAN -2.5 12N 1 RAINFALL (MM) ACTUAL 200 8E 10E 12E 14E LONG. (E) FIG.4: ACTUAL NUMBER OF RAIN DAYS FOR DEKAD 2, SEPTEMBER 2012. Fig 4 shows the distribution of number of rain days across the country and shows that areas in and around Kano and Nguru had less than 2 days of rain, while the Niger Delta, the southeast and parts of the north had over 6 days of rain. 3.2 Maximum Temperature Values The actual mean maximum temperature distribution is shown in Fig 7 below and reveals that most part of the country had recorded temperatures below 32 Deg C, while the extreme north had temperatures above 32 Deg C. The rising temperatures in this area were due to receding rains in the north. 14N LEGEND 4E OGJ OBU IKO By definition, the area between OWE ±20% is under Neutral/Normal UMU UYO CAL PHC soil moisture condition. EKT 8E 10E -140 -100 -60 -20 NEUTRAL DEFICIT 12E 14E 4N GOM YOL LAF IBI MAK LOK OGJ OBU IKO OWE UMU UYO CAL PHC EKT ENU ASA AWK 26 WAR ENU ASA AWK SURPLUS 6E 6N SHK ILO ISE OSG IBA Ado AKU ABE OND IJE IKE OSD BEN BAU JOS 28 YOL 20 4N 8N JOS LOK 140 WAR GOM LAF IBI MAK 60 SHK ISE OSG IBA Ado AKU ABE OND IJE IKE OSD BEN BID MIN ABU 30 BID MIN ABU ILO 100 LAT. (N) 10N BAU LAT. (N) ZAR KAD YEL 2N 2E 10N MAI POT MAI POT ZAR KAD NGU KAN NGU KAN 34 GUS 12N 6N GUS YEL KAT SOK 8N KAT SOK 12N 14N 32 2.0 SOIL MOISTURE CONDITION LEGEND 2N 2E MEAN MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE (Deg.C) 4E 6E 8E 10E 12E 14E LONG. (E) FIG.7: MEAN MAXIMUM TEMPERATUREFOR DEKAD 2, SEPTEMBER 2012 LONG. (E) FIG.5: 2ND DEKAD OF SEPTEMBER, 2012 SOIL MOISTURE INDICES(%) OVER THE COUNTRY. The dekadal distribution of soil moisture is shown in Fig 4.0 WEATHER/AGRICULTURAL OUTLOOK FOR DEKAD 3 (21 TO 30), OF SEPTEMBER 2012 4.1 Weather Outlook ITD position is expected to oscillate between latitude 16.5 deg. N & 17.5 deg. N thereby placing the northern parts NIGERIAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY (NIMET) AGROMETEOROLOGICAL BULLETIN NO. 26, DEKAD 2 SEPTEMBER (11-21) 2012 Page 2 of the country under the influence of cloudy weather conditions while the central part is expected to experience cloudy weather conditions with localized thunderstorms activities during the period. The Inland and coastal part of the country are expected to experience cloudy weather conditions with rains and occasional thunderstorm activities during the dekad. The expected mean maximum temperature in the extreme north is between 33 and 350C and mean minimum temperature expected to be from 25-270C while the central states are expected to have a maximum temperatures between 32 to 330c and minimum temperatures between 21 to 250C. In the inland and coastal states of the country mean maximum and minimum temperatures are expected to range between 29 and 320C and 20 and 220C respectively. 4.2 Agricultural Activity/Outlook Harvest of millet and maize continued in the extreme northern part of the country wile planting of new maize continued in the southern part of the country. TABLE OF AGROMETEOROLOGICAL DATA FOR THE DEKAD RAINFAL L RAINDA Y ABEOKUTA 47.3 2 ABUJA 62.1 4 PE T 42. 8 40. 1 AKURE 93.2 7 40 STATION TMA X TMI N 31.2 23.3 28.8 21 29.1 21.8 DD 192. 5 169 174. 6 RA D MINNA 17.8 NGURU 17.5 ONDO 17.2 ASABA AWKA 90 9 224 7 138.8 7 53.5 3 CALABAR 163.5 8 EKET 222.8 5 ENUGU 179.5 8 GOMBE 97.2 4 GUSAU 33.6 3 BAUCHI BENIN BIDA IBADAN 49.3 3 IJEBU 104.9 8 IKEJA 80.6 6 ILORIN 70.5 5 ISEYIN 85.3 5 JOS 98.9 7 139.2 5 KADUNA KANO 41. 3 38. 9 37. 6 38. 3 34. 9 27. 5 43. 1 41. 4 45. 3 39. 9 38. 3 36. 3 39. 9 40. 2 34. 3 41. 3 45. 4 49. 7 0 0 KATSINA 22.7 4 LAFIA 92.7 5 52 4 41 41. 4 139.3 3 45. 2 LOKOJA MAIDUGUR I MAKURDI 190. 7 165. 2 30.7 23.4 28.2 20.8 29.4 23.2 30.4 23.7 28.7 23.2 27.2 23.8 30.2 21.9 29.1 21.0 31.3 22.1 29.4 22.2 29.1 22.5 29.4 23.6 29.1 21.7 28.8 21.3 23.7 16.7 28.9 20.5 31.4 22.2 32.5 21.6 30.5 23.0 30.9 23.5 175 180. 3 170. 7 186. 7 177. 7 177. 8 184. 8 174. 2 170. 9 122. 3 167. 1 188. 3 190. 8 187. 5 192. 3 30.0 20.6 173. 3 183 190. 2 179. 8 17.3 115.2 6 4.1 1 38.2 6 OSHODI 17.3 4 OSOGBO 135.8 4 OWERRI 224.9 6 17 PHC 205.4 8 16 SHAKI 33.5 5 16.1 SOKOTO 55.5 4 14.9 UMUAHIA 98.1 7 11.9 UYO 108.5 7 18.4 WARRI 115.3 7 18 YELWA 19.1 YOLA 17 ZARIA 50.6 5 118.5 7 54.5 7 113.7 6 IBI 50.8 4 ADO-EKITI 17.3 7 USI-EKITI 59.6 4 CALARMA 74.6 8 16.4 OBUDU 15.3 17.2 17.4 16.3 43. 4 49. 3 37. 3 38. 3 37. 1 37. 9 37. 7 38. 7 46. 3 39. 7 34. 7 38. 1 41. 4 43. 3 37. 3 40. 1 39. 4 36. 7 35. 4 175. 3 204. 6 179. 3 190. 6 172. 4 181. 1 184. 1 146. 3 29.9 21.2 33.6 23.3 29.1 22.8 30.2 23.9 28.5 22.0 29.4 22.8 29.5 23.3 27.9 20.7 32.4 23.0 29.6 22.5 28.6 23.1 30.4 24.2 30.8 23.3 31.5 23.2 29.1 20.6 29.1 21.7 30.0 23.1 27.9 21.6 197 180. 2 178. 5 193. 3 190. 5 193. 4 168. 8 174. 2 185. 8 167. 4 29.2 23.7 184. 5 18.7 20.1 15.9 16 16 16.1 15.9 17 19.2 16.9 14.8 15.9 17.3 18 18.2 17.3 16.6 18 19.1 20.7 17.3 17.3 19.5 Dear All, Comments and suggestions on how to improve this publication are welcome. Agrometeorologists, Agriculturists, Extension Workers, Research Officers, Users and the General Public should kindly send feedback to: The Director-General/CEO, Nigerian Meteorological Agency (NIMET), 33 Pope John Paul II Street, Maitama District, PMB 615 Garki, Abuja. E-mail: nimetagrometbulletin@yahoo.com; NIMET WEB SITE: www.nimetng.org NIGERIAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY (NIMET) AGROMETEOROLOGICAL BULLETIN NO. 26, DEKAD 2 SEPTEMBER (11-21) 2012 Page 3 16 15