NIGERIAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY 33 POPE JOHN PAUL II STREET, MAITAMA DISTRICT, P.M.B. 615, GARKI, ABUJA, NIGERIA Agrometeorological Bulletin No.28, Dekad 1, October (1 –10) 2012 SUMMARY 1.0 RAINFALL TREND Most part of the north was becoming drier in 1st dekad of October as the rain seized while the central and south part of the country continued to received moderate to heavy rain across the country. The highest amounts of rainfall were received in Uyo and Calabar with 247.1mm 182.3mm respectively. while lowest amounts were received in Kano, Nguru and katsina with 0mm each. Harvest of millet and maize were the main activities in the northern part of the country and planting of new maize in the southern part. most parts of the north had rainfall amounts below 40mm. The southern part received rainfall 60mm and above. 1.1 Rainfall Anomaly 14N KAT SOK GUS 12N ZAR KAD YEL BAU BID MIN ABU OSG IBA Ado AKU ABE OND IJE IKE OSD BEN LAF IBI MAK LOK OGJ OBU IKO OWE UMU UYO CAL PHC EKT ENU ASA AWK -140 -100 -60 0 140 4N 20 Normal defined by tolerance of ±20% departure. WAR 60 6N YOL ILO SHK ISE 8N GOM JOS 100 LAT. (N) MAI POT 10N 1.3 COMPARISON OF NORMAL RAINFALL FOR THE DEKAD NGU KAN LEGEND SURPLUS 2N 2E 4E 6E NORMAL 8E 10E WITH ACTUAL The comparison of the actual rainfall amount with normal rainfall values during the dekad in most stations across the north and south respectively is shown in Figs 3A and B. Fig 3A reveals that most stations in the north had their rainfall higher than the long term average. while the southern part had their actual rainfall lower than normal in most cases. DEFICIT 12E 14E 160 LONG. (E) FIG.1: 1ST DEKAD OF OCTOBER, 2012 RAINFALL ANOMALIES(%) OVER THE COUNTRY. ANOMALIES ARE COMPUTED WITH RESPECT TO THE 1971-2000 BASE PERIOD DECADAL MEANS. 120 RAINFALL VALUES(mm) Fig 1 shows the rainfall anomaly over the country and indicates that deficit rainfall anomalies were recorded in most parts of the country and except some part of northwest around Sokoto area and some part of central states and South-south which had normal to surplus anomalies. 140 100 80 60 40 ACTUAL 20 NORMAL 0 1.2 Rainfall Amounts FIG. 3A: COMPARISON OF NORMAL WITH OBSERVED RAINFALLOF DEKAD 1, OCTOBER 2012: FOR NORTHERN AND CENTRAL STATES OF NIGERIA 14N KAT GUS BID MIN ABU LAF IBI MAK LOK OGJ OBU IKO OWE UMU UYO CAL PHC EKT 0 80 4N 200 ENU ASA AWK 100 WAR YOL 20 6N 250 GOM 40 SHK ILO ISE OSG IBA Ado AKU ABE OND IJE IKE OSD BEN 8N BAU JOS 60 10N 300 MAI POT ZAR KAD YEL LAT. NGU KAN LEGEND RAINFALL (MM) SOK 12N 150 100 ACTUAL 50 RAINFALL AMOUNT (mm) 2N 2E 4E 6E 8E 10E 12E NORMAL 14E LONG. (E) 0 FIG.2: ACTUAL RAINFALL AMOUNT FOR DEKAD 1, OCTOBER 2012 Fig 2 shows the distribution of the actual amount of rainfall measured across the country. This showed that FIG. 3B: COMPARISON OF NORMAL WITH OBSERVED RAINFALL OF DEKAD 1, OF OCTOBER 2012 : SOUTHERN STATES OF NIGERIA 1.4 Number of Rain Days 14N KAT SOK 14N KAT 6N OWE UMU UYO CAL PHC EKT 4N NUMBER OF RAIN DAYS 4E 6E 8E ENU ASA AWK 10E OGJ OBU IKO Normal defined by tolerance of ±1.0 Deg.Celsius departure. OWE UMU UYO CAL PHC EKT 0 LEGEND 2N 2E LOK WAR 2 8 4N OSG IBA Ado AKU ABE OND IJE IKE OSD BEN -2.5 ENU ASA AWK WAR YOL LAF IBI MAK ILO -2 OGJ OBU IKO 6 6N LOK 4 SHK ISE OSG IBA Ado AKU ABE OND IJE IKE OSD BEN 8N SHK ISE 8N -1.5 YOL 1 JOS LAF IBI MAK GOM JOS 2 BID MIN ABU ILO BAU BID MIN ABU GOM 1.5 10N BAU -1 MAI POT 10N MAI POT ZAR KAD YEL ZAR KAD YEL NGU KAN NGU KAN 2.5 GUS LAT. (N) SOK 12N LAT. (N) GUS 12N LEGEND 12E 14E WARMER LONG. (E) 2N 2E FIG.4: ACTUAL NUMBER OF RAIN DAYS FOR DEKAD 1, OCTOBER 2012 Fig 4 shows the distribution of number of rain days across the country. Most part of north had number of rain days below 4 days, while the north central and most part of the south had between 6 to 8 number of rain days. 2.0 SOIL MOISTURE CONDITION 4E 6E NORMAL 8E 10E COLDER 12E 14E LONG. (E) FIG.6: IST DEKAD OF OCTOBER, 2012 MEAN MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE ANOMALIES (Deg.C) OVER THE COUNTRY. ANOMALIES ARE COMPUTED WITH RESPECT TO THE 1971-2000 BASE PERIOD DECADAL MEANS. 3.2 Maximum Temperature Values The actual mean maximum temperature distribution is shown in Fig 7 below and reveals that most part of the country had recorded temperatures below 32 Deg C, While most part of the north had temperatures above 32 Deg C, that favoured crops harvesting in the area.. 14N KAT GUS ZAR KAD BAU BID MIN ABU LOK DEFICIT 14E LONG. (E) FIG.5: 1ST DEKAD OF OCTOBER, 2012 SOIL MOISTURE INDICES(%) OVER THE COUNTRY. 4N 26 12E 28 10E OGJ OBU IKO OWE UMU UYO CAL PHC EKT ENU ASA AWK WAR NEUTRAL YOL LAF IBI MAK ILO OSG IBA Ado AKU ABE OND IJE IKE OSD BEN GOM 30 8E SHK ISE BAU 32 6E MAI JOS 36 -140 -100 -60 -20 0 20 6N SURPLUS 4E 8N BID MIN ABU 34 10N LEGEND 2N 2E ZAR KAD YEL OGJ OBU IKO By definition the area between OWE ±20% is under Neutral/Normal UMU UYO CAL soil moisture conditions. PHC EKT 60 140 4N NGU KAN POT YOL ENU ASA AWK WAR GUS JOS LAF IBI MAK LOK KAT SOK 12N GOM 38 SHK ILO ISE OSG IBA Ado AKU ABE OND IJE IKE OSD BEN 100 LAT. (N) 10N 6N 14N MAI POT YEL 8N NGU KAN LAT. (N) SOK 12N LEGEND MEAN MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE (Deg.C) 2N 2E 4E 6E 8E 10E 12E 14E LONG. (E) The dekadal distribution of soil moisture indices is shown in Fig 5 below. Most part of the north was under the deficit soil moisture conditions while the central and southern part of the country was under neutral and surplus soil moisture indices. 3.0 MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE TREND 3.1 Maximum Temperature Anomaly The trend of maximum temperature anomaly is shown in Fig 6 below and indicates that most parts of the country were normal. However, warmer than normal temperatures have persisted in most part of the north, while areas in and around Jos, Eket and shaki were colder. FIG.7: MEAN MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE FOR DEKAD 1, OCTOBER 2012 4.0 WEATHER/AGRICULTURAL OUTLOOK FOR DEKAD 1 (1 TO 10), OF OCTOBER 2012 4.1 Weather Outlook ITD position is expected to be between latitude 12 deg. N & 13.5 deg. N the extreme northern part of the country is expected to have cloudy to sunny weather conditions while the central part is expected to experience cloudy weather conditions with localized thunderstorms activities during the period. The Inland and coastal part of the country are expected to experience cloudy weather condition with thundery activities during the dekad. NIGERIAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY (NIMET) AGROMETEOROLOGICAL BULLETIN NO. 28, DEKAD 1 OCTOBER (1-10) 2012 Page 2 The expected mean maximum temperature in the extreme north is between 34-360C and mean minimum temperature expected to be 24-260C while the central states are expected to have a maximum temperature between 32-340c and minimum temperature between 22250C. In the inland and coastal states of the country mean maximum and minimum temperature is expected to range between 29-320C and20-220C respectively. 4.2 Agricultural Activity/Outlook As rainy season comes to an end in the northern part of the country harvesting of crops is expected to continue up to the end of the month. TABLE OF AGROMETEOROLOGICAL DATA FOR THE DEKAD STATION RAINFALL RAINDAY PET TMAX TMIN ABEOK 145.9 7 45.5 31.6 22.8 ABUJA 84.1 7 44.5 30.1 21.1 AKURE 18.1 5 42.9 30.1 21.8 AWKA 52.3 7 42.7 30.7 BAUCHI 13.4 2 46.4 BENIN 72.7 7 BIDA 47.8 5 CALABAR 182.3 EKET DD RAD NGURU 0 0 58.3 37.2 23.8 224.8 23 192 19 OGOJA 159.6 8 44.2 30.8 22.3 185.7 18.7 175.9 19.2 ONDO 59.9 5 42.3 30.4 22.7 185.5 17.9 179.3 18.3 OSHODI 66.6 4 42.6 30.9 23.0 189.5 17.8 OSOGBO 10.9 3 41.6 29.9 22.2 180.4 17.7 22.8 187.3 18 OWERRI 60.4 6 40.7 30.1 22.8 184.2 17.2 31.5 22.0 187.1 19.5 PHC 128.7 4 41.9 30.4 22.7 185.5 17.7 38.1 29.9 23.1 184.8 16.1 POT 0 0 53.2 34.4 22.6 205 21.7 43.7 31.6 23.4 195.1 18.2 SHAKI 22.8 4 40.5 28.6 21.0 168.1 17.7 7 38.1 29.8 23.5 186.7 16 SOKOTO 43.6 3 51.7 34.5 23.5 210 20.9 UMUAHIA ASABA 101.7 5 30.5 28.3 24.2 182.3 13 ENUGU 97.6 9 42.6 29.6 21.2 174 18.3 UYO GOMBE 24.8 2 45 31.3 22.5 188.8 18.9 GUSAU 13.2 2 49.6 33.4 23.0 202 IBADAN 75.1 6 43.6 30.4 22.0 IJEBU 32.3 4 42 30.0 22.1 IKEJA 76.3 4 41.1 30.5 IKOM 68.8 7 44.6 ILORIN 57.9 4 42 ISEYIN 27.7 8 5.2 JOS KADUNA KANO KATSINA 94.1 8 42.3 29.9 21.9 178.8 18.1 247.1 6 38.9 29.9 23.3 185.9 16.4 WARRI 94.1 8 42.2 30.7 23.0 188.7 17.7 20.4 YELWA 37.9 4 46.4 32.7 23.6 201.5 19.1 181.6 18.6 YOLA 180.6 17.9 ZARIA 23.2 188.9 17.2 OBUDU 31.0 22.5 187.5 18.7 29.8 21.9 178.6 18 IBI ADOEKITI 43.1 29.4 21.5 176.6 18.5 USI-EKITI 2 44.8 27.5 17.1 142.7 20.5 CALARMA 24.2 2 47.7 31.0 20.7 178.8 20.4 0 0 55 35.7 23.6 216.6 22 0 0 54.5 35.1 22.8 209.1 22.1 LAFIA 65.2 6 44.1 31.0 22.6 187.8 18.5 LOKOJA 77.1 5 38.5 29.7 23.1 184.1 16.3 MAIDU MAKURDI MINNA 3.4 1 53.6 35.6 24.2 218.5 21.4 91.2 7 45.4 29.6 20.0 168 19.8 101.4 6 42.4 30.6 22.7 186.3 17.9 0 0 49.7 32.1 21.2 186.3 21 79.5 9 42.6 29.9 21.8 178.5 15.2 144.8 7 43.1 30.2 22.0 180.8 18.3 42.4 5 42.6 29.9 21.9 179 18.2 78.3 7 39.3 30.6 24.1 193.8 16.3 Dear All, Comments and suggestions on how to improve this publication are welcome. Agrometeorologists, Agriculturists, Extension Workers, Research Officers, Users and the General Public should kindly send feedback to: The Director-General/CEO, Nigerian Meteorological Agency (NIMET), 33 Pope John Paul II Street, Maitama District, PMB 615 Garki, Abuja. E-mail: nimetagrometbulletin@yahoo.com; NIMET WEB SITE: www.nimetng.org NIGERIAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY (NIMET) AGROMETEOROLOGICAL BULLETIN NO. 28, DEKAD 1 OCTOBER (1-10) 2012 Page 3