NIGERIAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY 33 POPE JOHN PAUL II STREET, MAITAMA DISTRICT, P.M.B. 615, GARKI, ABUJA, NIGERIA Agrometeorological Bulletin No.15, Dekad 3, May (21 – 31) 2012 SUMMARY During the period under review, surplus rainfall anomalies were recorded across the country except for Gombe, Lafia, Ibi, Ado-Ekiti, Ikeja, Asaba, Umuahia and Port-Harcourt which had deficits. The country recorded light to moderate rains with occasional heavy thunderstorms. Decadal rainfall totals of 100mm and above were recorded in parts of the south and with few stations in the north central like Bauchi, Jos, Kaduna, Zaria and Minna. Stations at Maiduguri, Gombe and Ado-Ekiti had deficit soil moisture conditions while virtually other parts of the country had surplus soil moisture indices. Warmer than normal temperatures continued to be experienced over the north especially the north-east areas like Kano, Nguru, Potiskum and Maiduguri while Jos and Eket remained colder. Temperatures below 32 Deg C were recorded in all parts of the south and most north central while elsewhere was above 32 Deg C. However, no part of the country recorded temperatures above 38 Deg C as the soaring temperatures were lowered by the rains. The rainfall in parts of the extreme north was signals of onset of growing season, hence farmers in these areas are advised to prepare for planting. 1.0 RAINFALL TREND 1.1 Rainfall Anomaly The rainfall amount received across the country is shown in fig 2 and reveals that some parts of the south and parts of Bauchi, Jos, Kaduna, Minna and Zaria recorded over 100mm of rains. Most parts of the north reported over 30mm of rainfall. Farmers in the extreme north are advised to commence land preparations and get ready for planting as the onset is about to commence. KAT SOK GUS 12 MAI POT ZAR KAD YEL BID MIN ABU LOK OGJ OBU IKO OWE UMU UYO CAL PHC EKT ENU ASA AWK 2 2 4 6 -140 -100 -60 LEGEND SURPLUS -20 Normal defined by tolerance of ± 20% departure 20 220 180 WAR 4 YOL 60 6 GOM LAF IBI MAK 140 SHK ILO ISE OSG IBA Ado AKU ABE OND IJE IKE OSD BEN 8 BAU JOS 100 10 LAT. (N) NGU KAN NORMAL DEFICIT 8 10 12 14 LONG. (E) FIG. 1: 3rd DECADE OF MAY 2012 RAINFALL ANOMALIES (%) OVER THE COUNTRY. ANOMALIES ARE COMPUTED WITH RESPECT TO THE 1971 - 2000 BASE PERIOD DECADAL MEANS. Fig 1 above shows the rainfall anomaly during the dekad and indicates that most parts of the south and the extreme north had surpluses (green areas) while Gombe, Lafia, Ibi, Ado-Ekiti, Ikeja, Asaba, Umuahia and Port-Harcourt had deficit rainfall anomalies. Elsewhere was normal. 1.2 Rainfall Amounts 1.3 COMPARISON OF NORMAL RAINFALL FOR THE DEKAD WITH 200 180 160 140 120 100 80 60 40 ACTUAL 20 NORMAL KAN BAU BID MIN ABU SHK ILO ISE OSG IBA Ado AKU ABE OND IJE IKE OSD BEN LOK RAINFALL (MM) 0 10 30 NGURU POTISKUM KANO ZARIA YELWA KADUNA GUSAU KATSINA YOLA SOKOTO GOMBE MAIDUG LAFIA BAUCHI MINNA ABUJA JOS BIDA 60 40 ACTUAL 20 8 10 12 NORMAL 14 LONG. (E) FIG. 2: ACTUAL RAINFALL AMOUNT FOR DEKAD 3, MAY 2012 sh od i A Ike be ja ok u Ib ta ad a S n ha k Ije Ise i bu yin -O de A ku r O e O nd sh o o A gb do o U Eki si ti -E k B iti en A in sa b A a w E ka nu O gu w er W ri a O rri go ja P E ke or t th C arc al U ab m ar ua hi a U yo Ik o O m bu du 6 0 O 4 80 RAINFALL AMOUNT (mm) 2 2 100 OWE UMU UYO CAL PHC EKT 50 LEGEND 140 OGJ OBU IKO 70 170 WAR 4 160 120 ENU ASA AWK 130 6 180 YOL LAF IBI MAK 150 8 GOM JOS 100 10 FIG. 3A: COMPARISON OF NORMAL WITH OBSERVED RAINFALLOF DEKAD 3, MAY 2012: FOR NORTHERN AND CENTRAL STATES OF NIGERIA MAI POT ZAR KAD YEL LAT. (N) NGU GUS LOKOJA KAT SOK IBI 14 ILORIN MAKURDI 0 12 ACTUAL The comparison of the actual rainfall amount with normal rainfall values in some selected stations across the south and north is shown in Figs 3A & B respectively. Both figures reveal that most stations had above normal rainfall. RAINFALL VALUES(mm) 14 FIG. 3B: COMPARISON OF NORMAL WITH OBSERVED RAINFALL OF DEKAD 3, OF MAY 2012 : SOUTHERN STATES OF NIGERIA 1.4 Number of Rain Days 14 KAT SOK GUS 12 WAR LEGEND 2 4 -2 NORMAL COLDER WARMER 6 8 10 12 14 FIG. 6: 3rd DEKAD OF MAY 2012 MEAN MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE ANOMALIES (Deg. C) OVER THE COUNTRY. ANOMALIES ARE COMPUTED WITH RESPECT TO THE 1971 - 2000 BASE PERIOD DECADAL MEANS. 0 2 LONG. (E) 8 10 2 -2.5 Normal defined by the tolerance of ± 1.0 Deg. Celsius departure -1.5 4 OWE UMU UYO PHC CAL EKT 4 OGJ OBU IKO OWE UMU UYO CAL PHC EKT ENU ASA AWK WAR OGJ OBU IKO ENU ASA AWK YOL LAF IBI MAK LOK LAF IBI MAK LOK 4 6 6 YOL 6 SHK ILO ISE OSG IBA Ado AKU ABE OND IJE IKE OSD BEN 8 GOM JOS GOM JOS -1 BAU BID MIN ABU SHK ILO ISE OSG IBA Ado AKU ABE OND IJE IKE OSD BEN 8 2.5 YEL BAU BID MIN ABU 1 POT ZAR KAD LAT. (N) 10 MAI 1.5 NGU KAN 2 KAT GUS 10 LAT. (N) ZAR KAD YEL SOK MAI POT 14 12 NGU KAN LEGEND NUMBER OF RAIN DAYS 2 12 14 FIG. 4: ACTUAL NUMBER OF RAIN DAYS FOR DEKAD 3, MAY 2012 The number of rain days across the country is shown in Fig 4 and reveals that most stations had more than 3 rain days and the distribution favoured optimal crop growth and development. In the Niger delta area, most stations had above 7 rain days while Benin had 10 rain days. The dekad witnessed good rainfall distribution. 3.2 Maximum Temperature Values Fig 7 below depicts the mean maximum temperature distribution. It shows that the extreme northern parts of the country had temperatures above 35 C (Sokoto, Kano, Potiskum and Maiduguri). Areas in and around Jos, south and most of the north central had temperature below 32 deg. C (blue area) which favoured field crops. o 14 KAT SOK GUS 12 POT ZAR KAD YEL 10 KAT GUS BID MIN ABU 2 4 6 8 BAU MAI GOM JOS YOL LAF IBI MAK LOK OGJ OBU IKO OWE UMU UYO CAL PHC EKT ENU ASA AWK 38 LEGEND -60 OWE UMU UYO CAL PHC EKT LEGEND SURPLUS 2 2 By definition, the area between ± 20% is under Neutral / Normal soil moisture condition -20 220 4 ENU ASA AWK 4 OGJ OBU IKO 20 WAR WAR YOL LOK 60 6 6 GOM LAF IBI MAK 100 OSG IBA Ado AKU ABE OND IJE IKE OSD BEN 140 8 8 JOS ILO 180 SHK ISE BAU BID MIN ABU SHK ILO ISE OSG IBA Ado AKU ABE OND IJE IKE OSD BEN MAI POT 10 LAT. (N) KAN ZAR KAD YEL -140 12 NGU -100 SOK LAT. (N) 14 NGU KAN 36 2.0 SOIL MOISTURE CONDITION 26 10 28 8 LONG. (E) 30 6 32 4 34 2 MEAN MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE (Deg. C) 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 LONG. (E) FIG. 7: MEAN MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE FOR DEKAD 3, MAY 2012 NEUTRAL DEFICIT 10 12 14 LONG. (E) FIG. 5: 3rd DEKAD OF MAY 2012 SOIL MOISTURE INDICES (%) OVER THE COUNTRY. The decadal distribution of soil moisture is shown in fig. 5. It can be seen that Maiduguri, Gombe and Ado-Ekiti had deficit soil moisture indices while virtually other parts of the country had surplus soil moisture indices. Other areas were normal. 3.0 MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE TREND 3.1 Maximum Temperature Anomaly The mean maximum temperature anomaly is shown in fig 6. It reveals that the extreme northern parts of the country had warmer (red) than normal temperatures while areas in and around Jos and Shaki experienced colder (blue) than normal temperatures. Elsewhere comprising most parts of the country was normal. 4.0 WEATHER/AGRICULTURAL OUTLOOK FOR DEKAD 1 (1 TO 10), OF JUNE 2012 4.1 Weather Outlook The ITD position is still expected to move far above the country which makes the extreme North to experience cloudy weather conditions. The Central part of the country is expected to have cloudy weather with localised thunderstorm activities. The Inland and coastal parts of the country are expected to be cloudy with rains / thundery activities during the period. The expected mean maximum temperature for the extreme Northern part of the country ranges between 33 and 35 deg C while the mean minimum temperature will range from 25 to 27 deg C. The expected mean maximum temperature for Central part of the country ranges between 30 and 31 deg C while NIGERIAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY (NIMET) AGROMETEOROLOGICAL BULLETIN NO. 15, DEKAD 3, MAY (21-31) 2012 Page 2 the mean minimum temperature will range from 23 to 25 deg C. For Inland and coastal areas of the country, maximum temperature will range from 29 to 32 deg C., while mean minimum temperature will be between 22 and 25 deg C during the period. 4.2 Agricultural Activity/Outlook Planting of staple food crops continued in parts of the north central while in the extreme north, clearing of farmlands in preparation of planting is in progress. In parts of the south and north central, harvest of maize is in progress while vegetables planted on irrigated farms in the north is also in progress Farmers in the extreme north are advised to prepare their farms in readiness for planting of new crops as the onset of rains for rainfed farming is expected to commence soon. TABLE OF AGROMETEOROLOGICAL DATA FOR THE DEKAD RAINFALL RAINDAY PET TMAX TMIN DD 123.5 6 48.1 31.0 20.5 195.8 18.7 ABEOK 79.7 5 43.2 32.2 24.6 224.3 16 NGURU - - - - - - - ABUJA 86.8 8 43.2 30.3 21.9 199.4 16.7 OGOJA 107.6 7 48.7 32.4 22.5 214 18.4 AKURE 17.7 2 45.7 31.2 22.1 205.4 17.5 ONDO 84.8 6 42.5 31.0 23.3 210.9 16.1 ASABA 31.5 4 47.5 32.4 23.1 217.3 17.8 OSHODI 33.6 5 40.9 31.4 24.4 218.8 15.3 AWKA 111.1 6 46.7 31.7 22.5 210.3 17.8 OSOGBO 74.7 5 40.9 30.0 22.6 201.5 15.7 121 2 51.7 34.9 24.3 238 18.8 OWERRI 158.7 7 44.4 30.6 22.0 201.7 17.1 146.3 10 42.7 31.2 23.5 213.2 16.2 PHC 81.8 6 46 31.7 22.9 212.3 17.4 97.3 6 40.6 30.8 23.7 211.5 15.4 POT 72 3 57 37.3 24.7 253.2 20.2 136.7 8 42.8 31.0 23.3 210.8 16.2 SHAKI 43.1 5 42.4 29.5 21.3 191.1 16.6 - - - - - - - SOKOTO 54.4 5 51.6 36.5 26.3 257.7 18.2 ENUGU 129.8 7 48.9 31.6 21.2 202.7 18.8 UMUAHIA 38.3 6 44.5 31.0 22.6 206.7 17 GOMBE 3.2 2 48.8 33.9 24.2 231.4 17.9 UYO 36.5 7 41.1 30.6 23.4 208.9 15.7 GUSAU - - - - - - - WARRI 105.4 7 43.4 31.6 23.7 216.3 16.3 IBADAN 116.8 6 40.5 30.4 23.2 206.8 15.5 YELWA 87.7 6 45 32.2 23.6 201.1 16.8 IJEBU 45.1 4 42.6 31.0 23.1 209.1 16.2 YOLA 40.7 4 48.7 34.7 25.5 243.3 17.6 IKEJA 84.3 6 39.2 30.9 24.2 214.6 14.7 ZARIA 164.9 7 47.9 30.9 20.4 194.7 18.7 IKOM 96.2 9 46.1 31.6 22.6 210.3 17.5 OBUDU 102.9 8 44.9 30.8 22.1 202.8 17.3 ILORIN 88.7 6 41.6 30.3 22.4 201.6 16 4 51.3 32.5 21.2 207.6 19.6 112.3 7 42.1 30.1 22.2 199.6 16.3 IBI ADOEKITI 27.2 ISEYIN 37.8 5 42.1 30.0 21.9 197.5 16.3 JOS 100.2 5 41.9 26.9 17.7 157.4 17.4 USI-EKITI 57.7 3 - - - - KADUNA 173 7 47 31.0 20.9 197.3 18.3 CALARMA 69.6 8 23.7 207.4 14.5 KANO 57.4 2 57.6 37.3 24.5 252.1 20.5 KATSINA 45.8 4 49.4 35.0 25.3 243.5 17.8 LAFIA 39.7 2 46.6 33.1 24.3 227.2 17.2 LOKOJA 94.4 3 44 32.3 24.3 223.2 16.4 MAIDU 31.5 3 54.7 37.7 26.4 264.4 19.1 MAKURDI 73.9 5 48.5 31.5 21.2 201.8 18.7 STATION BAUCHI BENIN BIDA CALABAR EKET RAD MINNA 38 30.0 Dear All, Comments and suggestions on how to improve this publication are welcome. Agrometeorologists, Agriculturists, Extension Workers, Research Officers, Users and the General Public should kindly send feedback to: The Director-General/CEO, Nigerian Meteorological Agency (NIMET), 33 Pope John Paul II Street, Maitama District, PMB 615 Garki, Abuja. E-mail: nimetagrometbulletin@yahoo.com; NIMET WEB SITE: www.nimetng.org NIGERIAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY (NIMET) AGROMETEOROLOGICAL BULLETIN NO. 15, DEKAD 3, MAY (21-31) 2012 Page 3