NIGERIAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY 33 POPE JOHN PAUL II STREET, MAITAMA DISTRICT, P.M.B. 615, GARKI, ABUJA, NIGERIA Agrometeorological Bulletin No.25, Dekad 1, September (1 – 10) 2012 SUMMARY 1.0 RAINFALL TREND The 1st dekad of September witnessed moderate to heavy rains across the country with Calabar, Uyo, Ogoja and Calabar-Marine recording 224.4mm, 234.9mm, 247.2mm and 293.4mm of rainfall respectectively. Most parts of the south and some parts of the north central had rainfall amounts exceeding 100mm. Surplus soil moisture conditions were observed in most parts of the country exception for few areas in the southwest, Yola and Sokoto which had deficits. Most parts of the country had normal temperatures while warmer than normal temperatures have persisted along the extreme north (Sokoto, Katsina, Nguru, Kano, Maiduguri and Abeokuta). Areas in and around Jos and Shaki were colder than normal. Temperatures below 32 Deg C were recorded in all parts of the country. Harvest of maize, cassava, fruity vegetables and new yams remained the dominant field activity during the dekad. 1.1 Rainfall Anomaly 14 KAT SOK KAN MAI POT ZAR KAD YEL BAU BID MIN ABU OSG IBA Ado AKU ABE OND IJE IKE OSD BEN YOL LOK OGJ OBU IKO OWE UMU UYO CAL PHC EKT ENU ASA AWK LEGEND 2 4 -140 -100 -60 20 140 180 4 -20 Normal defined by tolerance of ± 20% departure WAR 2 JOS 100 6 GOM LAF IBI MAK ILO SHK ISE 8 60 10 LAT. (N) NGU GUS 12 SURPLUS NORMAL DEFICIT 6 10 8 12 14 LONG. (E) FIG. 1: 1st DEKAD OF SEPTEMBER 2012 RAINFALL ANOMALIES (%) OVER THE COUNTRY. ANOMALIES ARE COMPUTED WITH RESPECT TO THE 1971 - 2000 BASE PERIOD DECADAL MEANS. Fig 1 shows the rainfall anomaly over the country and indicates that deficit rainfall anomalies were recorded in parts of the southwest, sokoto and Yola (red areas). However most parts of the country have normal to surplus anomalies. 1.2 Rainfall Amounts Fig 2 shows the distribution of the actual amount of rainfall measured across the country. This shows that parts of the southwest and areas in and around Sokoto had rainfall amounts of below 35mm. The Niger Delta area, parts of the north central and northwest had rainfall amounts exceeding 100mm with concomitant flooding and erosion. The light green areas covering most parts of country had rainfall amounts of between 50mm to 100mm. 1.3 COMPARISON OF NORMAL RAINFALL FOR THE DEKAD WITH ACTUAL The comparison of the actual rainfall amount with normal rainfall values during the dekad in most stations across the north and south respectively is shown in Figs 3A and B. Fig 3B reveals that most stations in the south had their rainfall lower than the long term average while the northern stations such as Makurdi, Minna, Abuja,Bauchi, Yelwa, Kano, Kaduna, Zaria and Nguru had higher than normal rainfall. 14 KAT 180 MAI POT FIG. 2: ACTUAL RAINFALL AMOUNT FOR DEKAD 1, SEPTEMBER 2012 POTISKUM ZARIA NGURU KANO KADUNA YOLA LAFIA MINNA YELWA 14 GUSAU 12 NORMAL KATSINA 10 0 SOKOTO 8 LONG. (E) ACTUAL GOMBE 6 20 MAIDUG 4 40 BAUCHI 2 60 ABUJA ACTUAL RAINFALL AMOUNT (mm) 2 80 LOKOJA LEGEND 100 JOS 0 10 30 50 OWE UMU UYO CAL PHC EKT 100 250 4 OGJ OBU IKO 120 BIDA ENU ASA AWK WAR YOL IBI LOK 200 6 JOS LAF IBI MAK ILO SHK ISE OSG IBA Ado AKU ABE OND IJE IKE OSD BEN 140 GOM ILORIN BID MIN ABU BAU 150 10 8 160 ZAR KAD YEL LAT. (N) 200 NGU KAN MAKURDI GUS RAINFALL VALUES(mm) SOK 12 FIG. 3A: COMPARISON OF NORMAL WITH OBSERVED RAINFALLOF DEKAD 1, SEPT. 2012: FOR NORTHERN AND CENTRAL STATES OF NIGERIA The decadal distribution of soil moisture indices is shown in Fig 5 below. The entire country was under the influence of surplus soil moisture conditions with few stations (parts of southwest and Sokoto) indicating deficit moisture. It made harvesting of root crops easier. 300 250 RAINFALL (MM) 200 150 100 ACTUAL 50 NORMAL Obudu Uyo Ikom Umuahia Eket Calabar Portharc Warri Ogoja Awka Enugu Owerri Benin Asaba Usi-Ekiti Ado-Ekiti Ondo Akure Oshogbo Shaki Iseyin Ijebu-Ode Ikeja Ibadan Abeokuta Oshodi 0 3.0 MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE TREND 3.1 Maximum Temperature Anomaly The trend of maximum temperature anomaly is shown in Fig 6 below and indicates that most parts of the country were normal. However, warmer than normal temperatures have persisted in areas such as Sokoto, Katsina, Nguru, Kano, Maiduguri, and Abeokuta while areas in and around Jos and Shaki were colder. FIG. 3B: COMPARISON OF NORMAL WITH OBSERVED RAINFALL OF DEKAD 1, OF SEPT. 2012 : SOUTHERN STATES OF NIGERIA 14 KAT GUS 12 LOK LEGEND 0 2 4 10 4 LEGEND 4 OWE UMU UYO CAL PHC EKT 2 ACTUAL NUMBER OF RAIN DAYS 2 4 OWE UMU UYO CAL PHC EKT 4 6 8 10 12 Normal defined by the tolerance of ± 1.0 Deg. Celsius departure WARMER NORMAL 6 8 2 2 OGJ OBU IKO ENU ASA AWK WAR OGJ OBU IKO ENU ASA AWK WAR 6 LOK -3 LAF IBI MAK 6 OSG IBA Ado AKU ABE OND IJE IKE OSD BEN 6 YOL ILO SHK ISE 8 8 GOM JOS 8 LAT. (N) BAU BID MIN ABU YOL LAF IBI MAK 2 ZAR KAD YEL 10 SHK ILO ISE OSG IBA Ado AKU ABE OND IJE IKE OSD BEN -2 MAI POT GOM JOS 1 KAN LAT. (N) GUS 12 BAU BID MIN ABU NGU -1 10 KAT SOK MAI POT ZAR KAD YEL 14 NGU KAN -4 SOK 1.4 Number of Rain Days COLDER 10 12 14 LONG. (E) 14 FIG. 6: 1st DEKAD OF SEPTEMBER 2012 MEAN MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE ANOMALIES (Deg. C) OVER THE COUNTRY. ANOMALIES ARE COMPUTED WITH RESPECT TO THE 1971 - 2000 BASE PERIOD DECADAL MEANS. LONG.(E) FIG. 4: ACTUAL NUMBER OF RAIN DAYS FOR DEKAD 1, SEPTEMBER 2012 Fig 4 shows the distribution of number of rain days across the country. The highest number of rain days of over 6 days was recorded around the southeast, Niger Delta and extending towards the central half of the country (Deep green areas). Most parts of the southwest and the extreme north had 3-6 days of rain while parts of Ikeja, Oshodi and Usi-Ekiti areas had less than 3 days of rain. 3.2 Maximum Temperature Values The actual mean maximum temperature distribution is shown in Fig 7 below and reveals that all stations across the country recorded temperatures below 32 Deg C. The dekad had temperatures that favoured crop development and growth and as well as livestock performance. 14 KAT SOK GUS 12 ZAR KAD 10 MAI POT ZAR KAD YEL BAU BID MIN ABU SHK ISE OSG IBA Ado AKU ABE OND IJE IKE OSD BEN 6 GOM YOL 6 WAR 4 By definition, the area between OWE ± 20% is under Neutral / Normal UMU UYO CAL soil moisture condition PHC 2 4 SURPLUS 6 8 -140 -100 -60 -20 20 60 100 140 180 LEGEND LOK YOL OGJ OBU IKO OWE UMU UYO CAL PHC EKT ENU ASA AWK LEGEND OGJ OBU IKO ENU ASA AWK EKT 2 OSG IBA Ado AKU ABE OND IJE IKE OSD BEN JOS LAF IBI MAK ILO LAF IBI MAK LOK WAR 4 8 JOS ILO 8 BID MIN ABU SHK ISE 30 10 LAT. (N) NGU KAN GOM 26 GUS LAT. (N) SOK BAU 28 YEL 12 MAI POT 14 KAT NGU KAN 24 2.0 SOIL MOISTURE CONDITION MEAN MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE (Deg. C) 2 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 LONG. (E) FIG. 7: MEAN MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE FOR DEKAD 1, SEPTEMBER 2012 NEUTRAL DEFICIT 10 12 14 LONG. (E) FIG. 5: 1st DEKAD OF SEPTEMBER 2012 SOIL MOISTURE INDICES (%) OVER THE COUNTRY. 4.0 WEATHER/AGRICULTURAL OUTLOOK FOR DEKAD 2 (11 TO 20), OF SEPTEMBER 2012 4.1 Weather Outlook NIGERIAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY (NIMET) AGROMETEOROLOGICAL BULLETIN NO. 25, DEKAD 1 SEPTEMBER (1-10) 2012 Page 2 ITD position is expected to oscillate between latitude 18 deg. N & 19 deg. N thereby placing both the extreme northern and central part of the country under the influence of cloudy weather conditions with localized thunderstorms activities during the period. The Inland and coastal part of the country are expected to experience cloudy weather condition with localized rain during the dekad. The expected mean maximum temperature in the North and Central is between 27-310C and mean minimum temperature expected to be 20-240C while in inland and coastal states of the country mean maximum and minimum temperature is expected to range between 27290C and22-240C respectively. 4.2 Agricultural Activity/Outlook Harvest of new yams, maize, fruits, leafy vegetables and (cassava of the previous year’s cropping) continued in the southern parts of the country. The north will continue to experience increased farming activities due to rainfall intensification. TABLE OF AGROMETEOROLOGICAL DATA FOR THE DEKAD STATION RAINFALL RAINDAY PET TMAX TMIN RAD NGURU 110.3 3 46.1 31.7 21.5 186.2 19.3 ABEOK 9.9 2 42.3 30.8 23.0 189 17.7 OGOJA 247.2 8 40.8 30.0 22.4 181.7 17.4 ABUJA 142.4 8 37.1 27.7 20.9 163.1 16.3 ONDO 70.1 6 34.1 28.1 22.6 173.5 14.7 AKURE 47.9 7 34.8 27.5 21.6 165.5 15.2 OSHODI 2.5 1 37.9 30.2 23.9 190.7 15.8 ASABA 48.7 7 35.2 28.4 22.5 174.3 15.1 OSOGBO 8.1 4 36.2 28.1 21.9 170.2 15.7 AWKA 39.8 7 35.5 29.0 23.2 180.5 15.1 OWERRI 164 8 37.1 28.6 22.1 173.3 16 146.8 8 39.1 28.7 21.2 169.2 17 PHC 108.8 8 37.6 29.4 23.0 182.2 16 BENIN 62.6 8 35.2 28.7 22.8 177.5 15 POT BIDA 59.8 8 39.1 29.9 22.9 183.8 16.6 SHAKI 89.5 5 35.8 27.0 20.6 158 15.9 224.4 8 32.4 28.0 23.0 174.8 13.9 SOKOTO 33.6 4 44.6 31.9 22.9 184.1 18.6 UMUAHIA 153.1 9 36.9 28.6 22.2 174.2 15.9 ENUGU 141.7 9 39.4 29.1 21.7 174 17 UYO 234.9 7 31.8 27.7 22.9 173.1 13.7 GOMBE 63.8 7 38.7 28.3 21.0 166.6 16.9 WARRI 145.4 8 36.4 29.5 23.6 185.4 15.4 GUSAU 50.9 5 41.9 30.1 21.9 180 17.9 YELWA 98.7 7 37.7 30.0 23.2 186.1 15.9 IBADAN 45.1 6 37.1 28.6 22.1 173.5 16 YOLA 50.7 5 39.6 30.4 23.3 188.3 16.6 IJEBU 18.5 3 38 29.5 22.9 181.5 16.2 ZARIA 131.2 7 39.2 27.9 20.0 159.4 17.4 IKEJA 9.2 1 35.2 29.4 23.7 185.5 14.9 OBUDU IKOM 104 8 37.5 28.6 21.9 172.5 16.2 5 38.5 29.5 22.6 180.8 16.4 68.2 4 38.9 29.0 21.8 173.9 16.8 IBI ADOEKITI 79.5 ILORIN 17.3 7 36.3 27.9 21.6 167.4 15.9 38.5 27.7 20.3 160.1 17 USI-EKITI 47.8 5 CALARMA 293.4 9 28.4 26.9 23.1 170.4 12.3 BAUCHI CALABAR DD EKET ISEYIN JOS 68.6 9 34.4 23.8 16.9 123.6 16.3 KADUNA 175.5 9 39.1 27.9 20.0 159.7 17.3 KANO 123.5 6 44.9 30.7 21.2 179.8 19.2 60.7 2 45.8 31.4 21.6 184.6 19.4 74 7 38.5 30.0 23.2 185.9 16.2 98.6 7 44.3 29.7 20.4 170.2 19.2 141.5 8 43.2 28.6 19.3 159.8 19.1 KATSINA LAFIA LOKOJA MAIDU MAKURDI MINNA Dear All, Comments and suggestions on how to improve this publication are welcome. Agrometeorologists, Agriculturists, Extension Workers, Research Officers, Users and the General Public should kindly send feedback to: The Director-General/CEO, Nigerian Meteorological Agency (NIMET), 33 Pope John Paul II Street, Maitama District, PMB 615 Garki, Abuja. E-mail: nimetagrometbulletin@yahoo.com; NIMET WEB SITE: www.nimetng.org NIGERIAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY (NIMET) AGROMETEOROLOGICAL BULLETIN NO. 25, DEKAD 1 SEPTEMBER (1-10) 2012 Page 3