NIGERIAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY 33 POPE JOHN PAUL II STREET, MAITAMA DISTRICT, P.M.B. 615, GARKI, ABUJA, NIGERIA Agrometeorological Bulletin No.13, Dekad 1, May (1 – 10) 2012 SUMMARY Significant rains and thunderstorms were recorded with most stations receiving rainfall amounts lower than the long term mean during the 1st dekad of May 2012. Pronounced negative rainfall anomalies were noted along the western flank of the country. Few areas were neutral particularly the northeast while elsewhere had positive rainfall anomalies. Greater parts of the Niger Delta and stations at Umuahia, Jos and environs received over 100mm of rainfall with good distributions except Port-Harcourt with 2raindays , southeast and parts of Jos, rainfall amounts around 100mm were recorded. Ogoja recorded the highest rainfall of 143.7mm in 4 raindays. The situation resulted to the northern areas to having soil moisture deficits while the south had surplus moisture with parts of southwest left with deficits. The extreme northern parts of the country had warmer than normal temperatures with maximum temperatures of between 38 and 42 degree Centigrade while areas in and around Jos experienced colder than normal temperatures. Farming activities continued to include harvesting of maize, cassava, vegetables, etc in the south; planting of staple food crops in the central and some parts of the southern north and land preparation in the extreme north. 1.0 RAINFALL TREND amounts around 100mm were recorded. Ogoja recorded 1.1 Rainfall Anomaly the highest rainfall of 143.7mm, Umuahia was 124.4mm, Jos 119.8mm, Port-Harcourt 107.2mm and Warri 103.6mm. The rainfall distribution, especially in the south and some parts of the north and middle belt were good for crop growth and development. Farmers in the middle belt and some parts of the north should therefore continue with land preparations and planting. Normal defined by tolerance 14 KAT SOK GUS 12 MAI POT ZAR KAD YEL 10 LAT. (N) NGU KAN BAU BID MIN ABU OSG IBA Ado AKU ABE OND IJE IKE OSD BEN 6 JOS YOL LAF IBI MAK ILO SHK ISE 8 GOM LOK OGJ OBU IKO OWE UMU UYO CAL PHC EKT ENU ASA AWK WAR 2 SURPLUS 4 6 -140 DEFICIT NORMAL 8 -100 -60 -20 20 60 140 LEGEND 2 100 of ± 20% departure 4 10 12 14 LONG. (E) FIG. 1: 1st DEKAD OF MAY 2012 RAINFALL ANOMALIES (%) OVER THE COUNTRY. ANOMALIES ARE COMPUTED WITH RESPECT TO THE 1971 - 2000 BASE PERIOD DECADAL MEANS. 1.2 Rainfall Amounts 14 WITH ACTUAL Figs 3A and B show the comparison of the actual rainfall amount with normal rainfall values during the dekad in most stations across the north and south respectively. It can be seen from both figures that both the north and south had most stations with rainfall amounts lower than the long term averages. 140 120 100 RAINFALL VALUES(mm) Negative rainfall anomalies (red areas) were recorded in parts of the Niger Delta, southeast, southwest, Sokoto, Kaduna, Bauchi, Gombe, Minna and Ilorin as shown in fig.1 above. However larger part of Norrtheast was neutral while other parts of the country had positive rainfall anomalies (green areas). 1.3 COMPARISON OF NORMAL RAINFALL FOR THE DEKAD 80 60 40 ACTUAL 20 KAT SOK NORMAL NGU 2 4 6 0 10 ZARIA NGURU POTISKUM KANO KADUNA YELWA GUSAU KATSINA YOLA SOKOTO GOMBE MAIDUG LAFIA BAUCHI MINNA ABUJA BIDA IBI 100 RAINFALL AMOUNT (mm) 8 10 12 14 LONG. (E) FIG. 2: ACTUAL RAINFALL AMOUNT FOR DEKAD 1, MAY 2012 Fig 2 shows the actual amounts of rainfall measured. Over the Niger Delta, southeast and parts of Jos, rainfall RAINFALL (MM) 2 120 30 LEGEND 140 OWE UMU UYO CAL PHC EKT 50 4 160 OGJ OBU IKO ENU ASA AWK 140 WAR LOK 70 6 FIG. 3A: COMPARISON OF NORMAL WITH OBSERVED RAINFALLOF DEKAD 1, MAY 2012: FOR NORTHERN AND CENTRAL STATES OF NIGERIA GOM YOL 100 SHK ISE OSG IBA Ado AKU ABE OND IJE IKE OSD BEN 8 BAU JOS LAF IBI MAK ILO 120 LAT. (N) BID MIN ABU LOKOJA ZAR KAD YEL 10 JOS MAI POT ILORIN KAN MAKURDI 0 GUS 12 80 60 40 ACTUAL 20 NORMAL 0 FIG. 3B: COMPARISON OF NORMAL WITH OBSERVED RAINFALL OF DEKAD 1, OF MAY 2012 : SOUTHERN STATES OF NIGERIA 1.4 Number of Rain Days 14 KAT SOK GUS 12 NGU KAN MAI POT BAU BID MIN ABU OSG IBA Ado AKU ABE OND IJE IKE OSD BEN GOM JOS 6 YOL OGJ OBU IKO OWE UMU UYO CAL PHC EKT ENU ASA AWK Normal defined by the tolerance of ± 1.0 Deg. Celsius departure WAR 6 LEGEND LEGEND OGJ OBU IKO OWE UMU UYO CAL PHC EKT ENU ASA AWK 4 2 4 8 6 8 10 12 14 LONG. (E) FIG. 6: 1st DEKAD OF MAY 2012 MEAN MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE ANOMALIES (Deg. C) OVER THE COUNTRY. ANOMALIES ARE COMPUTED WITH RESPECT TO THE 1971 - 2000 BASE PERIOD DECADAL MEANS NUMBER OF RAIN DAYS 6 4 NORMAL COLDER WARMER 2 2 2 2.5 4 0 WAR LOK 4 6 LAF IBI MAK 2 SHK ILO ISE OSG IBA Ado AKU ABE OND IJE IKE OSD BEN 8 YOL LOK -2 10 8 JOS LAF IBI MAK ILO -1.5 ZAR KAD YEL BID MIN ABU SHK ISE GOM -1 MAI POT 1.5 NGU KAN LAT. (N) GUS BAU 2 KAT SOK 12 10 1 14 LAT. (N) ZAR KAD YEL 10 12 14 LONG. (E) FIG. 4: ACTUAL NUMBER OF RAIN DAYS FOR DEKAD 1, MAY 2012 Fig 4 above shows the distribution of number of rain days across the country. Here it can be seen that the Niger Delta, the southeast and parts of Jos had 5 and above days of rainfall. The central half of the country had 3-5 days of rainfall while the extreme part recorded zero to less than 3 raindays. 3.2 Maximum Temperature Values Fig 7 below depicts the mean maximum temperature distribution. It shows that the extreme northern parts of the country had temperatures above 40oC (Sokoto, Katsina, Nguru, Kano, Potiskum and Maiduguri). Areas in and around Jos, Shaki, Iseyin, AdoEkiti and Eket had temperature below 32 deg. C (blue area). This high temperature impacted negatively to both human and livestock well being. 2.0 SOIL MOISTURE CONDITION 14 KAT SOK 2 4 6 -140 -100 NEUTRAL DEFICIT 8 10 12 LOK YOL OGJ OBU IKO OWE UMU UYO CAL PHC EKT 28 ENU ASA AWK 30 LEGEND GOM JOS 32 LAT. (N) 4 By definition, the area between ± 20% is under Neutral / Normal soil moisture condition -60 LEGEND SURPLUS 2 WAR -20 180 4 6 OGJ OBU IKO OWE UMU UYO CAL PHC EKT ENU ASA AWK 20 WAR LOK MAI LAF IBI MAK ILO OSG IBA Ado AKU ABE OND IJE IKE OSD BEN YOL 100 6 SHK ISE 8 JOS LAF IBI MAK 140 8 GOM BAU BID MIN ABU 34 BID MIN ABU SHK ILO ISE OSG IBA Ado AKU ABE OND IJE IKE OSD BEN BAU 60 10 10 MAI POT 36 KAN ZAR KAD YEL ZAR KAD YEL 38 GUS 12 NGU KAN POT NGU 42 KAT SOK LAT. (N) GUS 12 40 14 MEAN MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE (Deg. C) 2 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 LONG. (E) FIG. 7: MEAN MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE FOR DEKAD 1, MAY 2012 14 LONG. (E) FIG. 5: 1st DEKAD OF MAY 2012 SOIL MOISTURE INDICES (%) OVER THE COUNTRY. The decadal distribution of soil moisture is shown in fig. 5. It can be seen that the south, some parts of the middle belt and areas in and around Bida and Jos had surplus soil moisture status. This was due to the increased rainfall activity in the areas. The southwest and most parts of the north had deficit soil moisture especially the north eastern and north-western flanks. This was mainly dry due to the shortfall of rainfall. 3.0 MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE TREND 3.1 Maximum Temperature Anomaly The mean maximum temperature anomaly is shown in fig 6. It reveals that the extreme northern parts of the country had warmer than normal temperatures while areas in and around Jos experienced colder than normal temperatures. The white areas comprising most parts of the country were normal. 4.0 WEATHER/AGRICULTURAL OUTLOOK FOR DEKAD 2 (11 TO 20), OF MAY 2012 4.1 Weather Outlook The ITD position is expected to move above the country while the extreme North is expected to experience sunny weather condition. The Central part of the country is expected to experience cloudy weather condition coupled with localised rain / thunderstorm activities. The Inland parts of the country is expected to be cloudy with localised rain and thunderstorms activities as well while the coastal part is expected to be cloudy as well with localised rain / thundery activities during the period. The expected mean maximum temperature for the extreme Northern part of the country ranges between 3338 deg C while the mean minimum temperature ranges between 22 - 25 deg C. The expected mean maximum temperature for Central part of the country ranges between 30-34 deg C while the mean minimum temperature ranges between 22 - 24 deg C. NIGERIAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY (NIMET) AGROMETEOROLOGICAL BULLETIN NO. 13, DEKAD 1, MAY (1-10) 2012 Page 2 For Inland and coastal areas of the country, maximum temperature ranges between 29-33 deg C., while mean minimum temperature ranges between 22 -24 deg C during the period. 4.2 Agricultural Activity/Outlook During the period under review, planting of staple food crops such as maize, yams, cassava and leafy vegetables continued in the south. Crops in field are doing well. Harvest of early maize in some coastal cities of the south continued. The harvest of cassava and leafy vegetables was also in progress. The soil moisture condition aided easy root tuber harvest. Farmers in the middle belt and some parts of the north are advised to continue with land preparations and planting of staple food crops as the rainy season progresses northward. TABLE OF AGROMETEOROLOGICAL DATA FOR THE DEKAD STATION RAINFALL RAINDAY PET TMAX TMIN DD 21.4 2 50.1 34.1 22.4 202.4 20.5 ABEOK 65.2 4 47.4 34.4 24.5 214.7 19 NGURU 0 0 63.4 42.0 26.2 261 23.6 ABUJA 40.9 4 46.3 33.0 22.7 198.3 19.1 OGOJA 143.7 4 46.1 32.7 22.8 197.9 19.1 AKURE 60.7 4 45.4 31.9 21.9 188.8 19.1 ONDO 26.3 4 44 32.2 23.0 196.1 18.2 ASABA 30.5 3 46.4 33.4 23.5 204.4 18.9 OSHODI 56.1 3 42.8 33.4 25.2 212.8 17.3 AWKA 63.1 3 45.6 33.0 23.3 201.5 18.7 OSOGBO 30.5 3 45 32.4 22.7 195.3 18.7 BAUCHI 16.2 2 56.2 38.1 24.8 234.5 21.8 OWERRI 66.9 4 44.4 32.3 23.1 197.4 18.3 BENIN 68 2 42.6 32.4 23.9 201.2 17.5 PHC 107.2 2 46.5 33.1 23.2 201.3 19.1 BIDA 88 3 41.4 33.0 24.5 207.4 16.8 POT 0 0 60.4 40.8 26.3 255.7 22.6 CALABAR 71.6 7 44 32.5 23.6 200.3 18.1 SHAKI 31.9 3 45.1 31.9 22.0 189.7 18.9 EKET 42.1 5 36.8 30.8 24.4 196.1 15.3 SOKOTO 2.2 1 56.6 40.7 28.2 264.8 20.9 ENUGU 29.2 3 41.2 32.4 22.5 194.4 18.9 UMUAHIA 124.4 6 43.3 31.9 23.1 194.8 18 GOMBE 21 2 51.3 36.1 24.7 224.3 20.2 UYO 73.4 4 42.9 32.2 23.8 199.9 17.7 GUSAU 37 2 54.4 38.4 26.0 241.8 20.9 WARRI 103.6 8 45.8 33.4 23.9 206.3 18.6 IBADAN 20.1 3 46.5 33.0 22.8 198.9 19.2 YELWA 0 0 52.9 38.1 26.5 242.6 20.3 IJEBU 17 2 46 33.3 23.6 204.4 18.8 YOLA 50.3 4 53.7 37.9 26.2 240.5 20.6 IKEJA 17.6 3 43 32.8 24.4 205.8 17.5 ZARIA 43 4 50.9 34.4 22.2 203.1 20.8 IKOM 44.3 4 46.9 32.1 21.5 188.2 19.7 OBUDU 12.7 2 44.3 32.3 23.1 197 18.3 ILORIN 4.2 2 44.6 32.7 23.4 200.4 18.3 3 48 32.9 21.8 193.5 20 25.7 1 43.9 31.7 22.4 190.4 18.4 IBI ADOEKITI 86.7 ISEYIN 19.9 3 44 31.4 21.8 185.8 18.6 119.8 7 42.9 27.9 17.3 145.9 19.5 USI-EKITI 64 4 KADUNA 20.7 2 49.6 33.9 22.3 201.3 20.4 CALARMAR KANO 14.5 2 60.3 40.1 25.2 246.3 23 JOS KATSINA RAD 7 1 57.7 40.5 27.3 258.7 21.5 68.1 3 43.9 33.2 24.5 208.5 17.9 LOKOJA 72 4 39.9 32.7 25.0 208.5 16.2 MAIDUG 2.3 1 60.8 42.0 28.1 270.6 22.3 29.5 2 46.5 32.3 21.8 190.5 19.4 LAFIA MAKURDI MINNA Dear All, Comments and suggestions on how to improve this publication are welcome. Agrometeorologists, Agriculturists, Extension Workers, Research Officers, Users and the General Public should kindly send feedback to: The Director-General/CEO, Nigerian Meteorological Agency (NIMET), 33 Pope John Paul II Street, Maitama District, PMB 615 Garki, Abuja. E-mail: nimetagrometbulletin@yahoo.com; NIMET WEB SITE: www.nimetng.org NIGERIAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY (NIMET) AGROMETEOROLOGICAL BULLETIN NO. 13, DEKAD 1, MAY (1-10) 2012 Page 3