EAP Task Force Trends in Environmental Finance in EECCA Carla Bertuzzi, Xavier Leflaive Paris, 22 February 2007 Outline of the presentation Rationale for the project A reminder on method Key messages – Environmental protection expenditure (EPE) – International environmental assistance (IEA) EAP Task Force 2 Rationale for the project To provide analysis and policy conclusions on environmental finance in EECCA countries to Ministers at the Belgrade Conference – a comprehensive picture of all sources of environmental finance in EECCA – a basis for the ministerial discussion – a synthesis of EAP Task Force work Two companion publications for Belgrade – Category 1 paper on Mobilising environmental finance in SEE and EECCA (with PPC and the World Bank) – Category 1 paper on Progress assessment in the implementation of the EECCA Strategy EAP Task Force 3 A reminder on method Environmental expenditure Environmental Protection Expenditure Abater principle vs financing principle Sectors – Protection of ambient air and climate – Public sector – Business sector – Wastewater management – Specialised Producers of Environmental Services – Household sector – Waste management – Protection and remediation of soil, groundwater and surface water Type of expenditure – Noise and vibration abatement – Investment Expenditure – Protection of biodiversity and landscape – Current Expenditure – Receipts from by-products – Protection against radiation – Subsidies/Transfers – Research and development – Revenues – Other environmental protection activities EAP Task Force 4 A reminder on method Project organisation Build on existing work – EAP Task Force work on environmental finance – DAC database on ODA Collect up-to-date and reliable data – In EECCA, via national administrations, on environmental expenditure and finance Analyse information – Compatibility of data – Crosscheck with international sources – Key messages Discuss key messages – Annual meeting of the network of environmental finance experts (February 2007) – Annual meeting of the EAP Task Force (March 2007) EAP Task Force 5 A reminder on method The data collected 10 countries out of 12 – no reporting for Turkmenistan and Uzbekistan Scope – domains covered: air, wastewater, soil and groundwater, biodiversity, still little information on waste – some countries included expenditure for the management of natural resources and their mobilisation Level of detail – insufficient coverage of the public sector – low reporting on transfers Data quality – – – – EAP Task Force enhancement of the register specification on sectors coverage distinction between financing and spending estimation of investments for integrated technologies and cleaner products 6 Structure of the report Economic trends in EECCA Environmental expenditure in EECCA – Trends – Share by domain, sector, type – Sources of environmental expenditure International environmental assistance and financing – Bilateral, multilateral – Share by country, domain EAP Task Force 7 Key messages A sharp dichotomy In economic terms – GDP, GDP per capita • from USD 763.3 billion (Russia) to USD 2.3 billion (Tajikistan) – Growth performance, • 26 per cent in Azerbaijan in 2006 • -0.6 per cent in the Kyrgyz Republic in 2006 – Drivers for growth • energy- and resource-rich economies EAP Task Force 8 Key messages - EPE Three groups of countries In Russia, Ukraine and Kazakhstan – between 1.6 and 1.2% of income allocated to environment protection; similar to CEE countries – environmental expenditure per capita remains low at less than 40 USD per year (some 50 USD in the Slovak Republic and 100 USD in Poland) In Moldova, Azerbaijan, Georgia, the Kyrgyz Republic and Armenia – environment protection expenditure are less than 30 million USD per year – between 1.0 and 0.2% of GDP – environmental protection expenditure per capita remains extremely low in both absolute and relative terms (less than 10 USD per capita per year); Belarus – relatively high levels of environmental expenditure (499 million USD, 2.4% of GDP, 44 USD per capita) – investments represent a significantly high share of environmental protection expenditure EAP Task Force 9 Key messages - EPE Three groups of countries Environmental protection expenditure, 2000-05, million 2003 USD 6 000 120 60 Russian Federation 5 800 Environmental protection expenditure per capita, 2000-05 5 200 5 000 1 000 Ukraine 800 600 Belarus 400 Kazakhstan 40 Russia Kazakhstan 30 20 Ukraine 10 Moldova Azerbaijan Kyrgyz R. Armenia 200 Kyrgyz Republic Moldova 0 Azerbaijan Armenia 2000 2001 2002 EAP Task Force 2003 2004 2005 Poland Belarus 50 0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 constant 2003 USD per capita 5 400 constant 2003 USD per capita million 2003 USD 5 600 100 Portug. 80 60 Slovak Rep. 40 20 0 2003 10 2004 Key messages - EPE Uneven benefits from GDP growth Environmental protection expenditure as a share of GDP 3.0 3 2.5 2.5 Belarus 2 Ukraine 1.5 Kazakhstan Russia 1.0 Moldova % GDP % GDP 2.0 1 Kyrgyz Rep. 0.5 Azerbaijan Poland 1.5 0.5 Slovak Rep. Portug. Armenia 0.0 2000 2001 EAP Task Force 2002 2003 2004 2005 0 2003 2004 11 Key messages - EPE Concentration on few domains Wastewater – The lion’s share (between 43 and 67% of the total amount) – Especially for countries where EPE is low Air attracts a significant share of the total in industrialised economies – 37% in Kazakhstan; 22% in the Russian Federation and Ukraine), in Armenia (32%) and Belarus (20%) Waste attracts relatively little attention – except in Kazakhstan (18%), Ukraine (15%) and the Kyrgyz Republic (12%) EAP Task Force 12 Key messages - EPE Contrasted performances for investments Environmental protection investments as share of GFCF and GDP per capita, average 2000-2005 10 000 Russian Federation 9 000 GDP per capita, PPPs 8 000 7 000 Kazakhstan 6 000 Ukraine 5 000 4 000 Belarus Azerbaijan Armenia Kyrgyz Rep. 3 000 2 000 Moldova 1 000 0 0.0 EAP Task Force 1.0 2.0 3.0 environmental investments % GFCF 4.0 5.0 13 Key messages - EPE Contrasted priorities for investments The public and the private sector do not put their money in the same domain – the public sector allocates most of its investments to wastewater – the private sector invests mainly on air Types of investment, by domain, by country Armenia Azerbaijan Kazakhstan Kyrgyz Republic Ukraine Priority 1 air wastewater air wastewater wastewater Type of investment end of pipe end of pipe end of pipe end of pipe some process integrated Priority 2 air Type of investment some process integrated EAP Task Force 14 Key messages - EPE Towards a measurement of transfers Azerbaijan – Belarus – – – – there are (marginal) transfers from the private to the public sector only in the wastewater and waste domains (some 6% of the total expenditure of the private sector in each domain) Moldova – – EAP Task Force all expenditure from the private sector for air is financed by the firms’ own resources transfers from the public sector for wastewater, soil and groundwater, and biodiversity for waste, net transfers go from the private sector to the public sector Kyrgyz Republic – 40% of the total amount spent by the private sector have been transferred the public sector is a net financier in the wastewater sector only Kazakhstan – only marginal transfers between sectors the bulk of public expenditure is in biodiversity, where there are no transfer to other sectors transfers from the private sector are significant for wastewater only 15 Key messages – IEA A structural change Environmental assistance to the EECCA countries, 2001-05, million USD 600 500 million USD 400 300 200 100 0 2001 2002 2003 bilateral donors EAP Task Force 2004 IFIs 2005 16 Key messages – IEA The attraction of large, oil-rich countries Donors’ and IFIs’ environmental assistance to EECCA countries, total 20012005 Bilateral donors Uzbekistan 7% Ukraine 5% Turkmenista n 0.1% Tajikistan 3% Russian Fed. 21% EECCA region 12% IFIs Azerbaijan 6% Armenia 7% Belarus 0.3% Tajikistan 3% Georgia 5% Moldova 2% Kyrgyz Rep. 5% EAP Task Force Kazakhstan 27% Russia 63% Uzbekistan 7% Ukraine EECCA Reg. 6% 1% Armenia 3% Azerbaijan 4% Belarus 0.5% Georgia 2% Kazakhstan 10% Moldova 1% Kyrgyzstan 0.4% 17 Key messages – IEA A limited direct impact Neither ODA nor IFI finance can be a substitute for domestic environmental finance in EECCA – Bilateral and multilateral environmental assistance remains marginal as a share of GDP (below 0.6% in most cases) – Bilateral environmental assistance represents less than 5 USD per capita and per year – Multilateral environmental assistance is below 3 USD per capita and per year Demonstration and catalytic effects – technology transfer – development of new skills and know-how EAP Task Force 18 Key messages – IEA Different priorities, by domain Donors’ and multilateral environmental assistance by domain, total 2001-05 Bilateral donors Other Renewable environment Energy al aid 5% Land Solid Waste 4% 2% Management 3% IFIs Environment al Policy 28% Biodiversity 2% Environment Other environmenta al policy Biodiversity 2% l aid 2% 4% Pollution Renewable Land control 3% Energy 2% 24% Water Resources Management 12% Water Supply and Sanitation 41% EAP Task Force Pollution control 3% Solid Waste Management 0.2% Water Resources Management 31% Water Supply and Sanitation 32% 19 Key messages An on-going challenge To scale up and disseminate the positive experiences from donor and IFI projects – On the donors’ side • improved coordination among donors and IFIs to avoid overlaps and competition – On EECCA countries’ side • explicitly identify environmental protection as a priority in national economic strategies and bilateral cooperation programme • design sustainable and realistic finance strategies to achieve environmental goals • strengthen capacity to plan, at both central and decentralised levels • improve capacity to prepare and implement projects • demonstrate capacity to achieve environmental objectives EAP Task Force 20