Prof. Dr. Harald Hungenberg Dr. Andreas König Lehrstuhl für Unternehmensführung Fachbereich Wirtschaftswissenschaften Lange Gasse 20 90403 Nürnberg Tel: 0911 / 5302 288 Fax: 0911 / 5302 474 Harald.Hungenberg@wiso.uni-erlangen.de Siemens Corporate, 20071 After a long conference day with business analysts from around the globe, Peter Löscher, CEO of Siemens AG, is sitting in his office in Munich, Wittelsbacher Platz. For a while, he contemplates the beautiful Picasso blue-period painting right next to the door. Then, he flips again through the conference folders on his desk. Löscher, who became CEO just half a year ago, is happy and concerned at the same time. ‘The conference went well,’ he thinks. ‘It was only my second larger analyst meeting and I was able to show the analysts that our company is on track.’ Yet, at the same time, Löscher knows that there is more work to do. ‘The analysts are still not satisfied. They mentioned a couple of issues referring to our portfolio,’ he continues to recall; ‘we need to go over our corporate strategy again and see what we can do.’ Siemens – 160 years of high-end technology Siemens was founded by Werner von Siemens and Johann Georg Halske in Berlin on October 12, 1847 as “Telegraphen-Bauanstalt von Siemens & Halske.“ As one company official points out: ”It all began with a cigar box and some copper wire to construct a device that pointed to letters instead of Morse code. This device helped in transmitting messages reliably over long distances and laid the foundation of the Telegraphen-Bauanstalt von Siemens & Halske.”2 Within just a few decades, Siemens developed from this small but innovative backyard start-up to one of the largest high-tech companies worldwide. From the very first days, Siemens differentiated itself through high-end technology. In addition, from the beginning, the company operated on an international basis. During the mid 1920’s, Siemens belonged to the world’s big five electrical engineering companies. After World War Two, the three larger branches that had remained from Siemens were able to regain their global position and, in 1966, Siemens & Halske AG, Siemens-Schuckertwerke AG, and Siemens-ReinigerWerke AG merged to become the Siemens AG. During the late 1960’s, Siemens AG was structured into six units, some of which were managed independently. In 1967, Bosch-Siemens Hausgeräte GmbH, a manufacturer of white goods such as washing machines, was founded. In 1969, Siemens and AEG merged 1 The decision situation in this case study is fictitious. The case is intended to be used as the basis for class discussion rather than to illustrate effective or ineffective handling of a management situation. 2 Gould, L. S. (2008). Field Guide: Siemens. Automotive Design & Production, Vol. 120: 48-51. their power generation divisions, which, eleven years later, were taken over entirely by Siemens. During the late 1960’s and the 1970’s, Siemens was the largest employer in Germany with over 200,000 employees in 1960 and roughly 300,000 in 1972. Between 1951 and 1970, revenues increased from DM 1 billion to 11 billion. Throughout the late 1980s, Siemens restructured its organization into 15 market-focused, flexibly operating divisions. The management’s goal at that time was to give more selfresponsibility to the several decentralized units, which seemed to be necessary in an increasingly global economy. During the 1990s, through various large changes in the businesses portfolio, Siemens changed from being focused on customers mainly in the public sector in highly regulated markets to a competitive shareholder-oriented global business operating in all kinds of markets. For instance, in 1990, Siemens Nixdorf Informationssysteme AG was founded, Europe’s largest computer manufacturer. In 1999, this business was merged into Fujitsu Siemens Computers AG. As another example, in 1998, Siemens took over the fossil power generation business of Westinghouse in the U.S. and, three years later, Siemens was for first time listed at the New York stock exchange. Siemens today – positioned as a global player One core element of Siemens’ strategy in the years of CEO Klaus Kleinfeld (2005-2007) was a consistent portfolio development. For instance, in 2006, large parts of the telecommunication business were joint with Nokia to become Nokia Siemens Networks. Simultaneously, Siemens invested in several substantial acquisitions in the fields of energy, industry, and health. In 2006 alone, Siemens acquired businesses worth more than EUR 6 billion. During the fiscal year (FY) of 2007, Siemens got confronted with a substantial corruption scandal. The scandal resulted in one of the biggest bribery investigations in German corporate history. Siemens was being investigated on allegations that it bribed customers to win contracts. The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission were also probing the matter. As a result, the company could face fines running into billions or may face exclusion from its bidding for public contracts. As a consequence of the corruption scandal, several board members of Siemens had to leave the company. Most importantly, in 2007, Klaus Kleinfeld resigned as CEO to be succeeded by Peter Löscher. Peter Löscher, who before was a top manager at Merck & Co., is the first externally hired Siemens CEO ever. Peter Löscher leads a company which, now, at the end of 2007, has more than 400,000 employees and operates in 190 countries. Siemens offers products mainly to business customers in the areas of IT, communications, automation and control, power, transformation, medical, and lighting. Products include a broad range of systems, solutions and services – from light emitting diodes to power stations. More than 90 percent of Siemens’ business involves investment goods and infrastructure systems. In 2006, Siemens generated EUR 66.5 billion of revenues and a net income of EUR 3.3 billion. From the beginning of his tenure as CEO, Peter Löscher emphasized that he wants to continue the strategic path commenced by his predecessor. Löscher said: “Siemens’ innovations have transformed the world. Building on our innovativeness, a long-term oriented portfolio and financing strategy, and the clear goal to become a world leader in corporate governance, Siemens will continue to grow profitably in the future.” Major steps in this direction were the introduction of a compliance program in October 2007 and the redesign of the corporate structure into three main sectors: industry, energy, and 2 healthcare.3 Furthermore, Löscher fostered the implementation of the strategic plan “Fit4 2010”, which had already been initiated by Klaus Kleinfeld.4 “Fit4 2010” aims at sustainably enhancing competitiveness and shareholder value. In particular, “Fit4 2010” is targeted at (1) optimizing capital efficiency with a ROCE5 of 14-16%; (2) attaining a cash-conversion rate of ‘1-growth rate’6; (3) sustaining twice the global GDP growth rate (3.4% in 2007); and (4) achieving new operative margin ranges7. According to Siemens, “the program is based on the values for which Siemens stands: responsibility, excellence, innovation. In addition, [by implementing the program], the company strives to attain the highest possible standards of business ethics to be ranked among the best in terms of transparency and compliance.” “Fit4 2010“ builds around four cornerstones: • People excellence, including aspects such as developing talent globally and attain a high performance culture • Operational excellence, including a focus of innovation, customer satisfaction, and global competitiveness • Corporate responsibility, encompassing the goals of becoming the best-in-class in corporate governance, compliance, climate protection, and corporate citizenship • Portfolio development,8 comprising activities such as the sale of Siemens VDO Automotive AG to Continental AG and the acquisition of Dade Behring, a North American diagnosis company, by Siemens Medical Solutions. When developing its portfolio, Siemens strives to focus on organic growth and the exploitation of past acquisitions. It is also crucial to note that Siemens’ goal is to become number one or two in all of the markets in which the company is active. Operating in a challenging business environment Siemens operates in a challenging business environment. Several developments stand out: Mega trends. Siemens aims at responding to and leveraging four overall trends: climate change, globalization, urbanization, and demographic change. These four trends have severe consequences for all of Siemens’ businesses, such as an increasing scarcity of natural resources, a growing need for environmental care, an increasing mobility, growing demand for safety and security, a growing demand for health care and elder care, and a regional shift of economic gravity. Increasing demand for electricity. One of the most important consequences of the four mega trends is an increasing demand for electricity. Power transmission and distribution are two of Siemens’ key businesses. The company is the second largest player in fossil power generation worldwide and the fifth largest player in wind power generation. Global electricity consumption is expected to double by 2030, growing at an average rate of ap- 3 Exhibit 1: New corporate structure. 4 Exhibit 2: Corporate strategy “Fit4 2010”. 5 ROCE: This metric is calculated by dividing income before interest expense by capital employed. 6 The cash-conversion rate determines how much of the profit is converted into cash that can be used to finance Siemens’ businesses, in other words, the ratio of free cash flow from continuing operations to income from continuing operations. 7 Goal for Industry: 9-13% (current margin: 10.1%), Energy: 11-15% (currently 6.4%), Healthcare: 14-17% (currently 11%). 8 Exhibit 3: Stock price development and strategic actions of Siemens 2004 – 2007. 3 proximately 2.7% per year to reach 21,699,000 million kilowatt hours in 2015 and 30,116,000 million kilowatt hours in 2030. China and the U.S. lead the growth in annual net electricity consumption with increases of 4,300,000 and 1,963,000 million kilowatt hours, respectively, over the projection period. Siemens has a significant presence in power generation as well as power transmission and distribution. Growing demand for electricity worldwide would provide revenue generating opportunities to the company. Intense competition. Siemens faces intense competition all across its market segments. Specifically, the company is challenged by downward price pressure and is exposed to severe market downturns. Some markets in which it operates are undergoing consolidation, which may result in stronger competitors and a change in relative market position.9 In recent years, the company is also facing competition from companies from developing countries such as India and China. Regulations. The Waste Electrical and Electronic Equipment (WEEE) Directive of the European Union (EU) makes producers of electrical and electronic goods financially responsible for specified collection, recycling, treatment, and disposal of past and future covered products. Although some countries are yet to implement this directive, companies operating in the market became responsible for implementing WEEE in 2005. The Waste Electrical and Electronic Equipment Regulations 2006, which implement most aspects of the WEEE Directive, came into force in 2007 in the UK. Several product lines of Siemens are subject to the WEEE regulation. Siemens could incur sizeable costs and liabilities under the new legislation. In good shape, yet a few scuffs Siemens has to tackle the challenges in its environment by using its strengths and being aware of its weaknesses. Geographical and business diversity.10 Siemens operates in about 190 countries spread over the Americas, Europe, Africa, Middle East, CIS, and Asia Pacific. During FY2007, the company generated 83% of its revenue in markets outside Germany. Diversified businesses both in terms of business segments and geographic presence provide a competitive advantage to the company as diversification insulates Siemens from cyclical downturns in any particular business segment and country. Strong R&D capabilities. Siemens has built up strong research and development (R&D) capabilities in recent years. In FY2007, Siemens increased its R&D investment to EUR 3.4 billion, compared to EUR 3.1 billion in 2006. The company operates 150 R&D locations in over 30 countries. It also owns 50,700 active patents. The average number of employees engaged in R&D in 2007 was approximately 31,000, up from 26,000 in 2006. The company’s division Automation and Drives (A&D) focuses its R&D activities on manufacturing automation; the Osram division focuses its R&D activities on fostering sustainable products, 9 The principal competitors of its automation and drives business include ABB, Schneider Electric, Rockwell and Emerson. In automation and drives business, the company also competes with specialized companies such as Eaton, Honeywell and Fanuc. The industrial solutions and services segment of Siemens competes with ABB, General Electric, Honeywell, Invensys and Alstom. Siemens Building Technologies is challenged by Tyco, UTC, Honeywell, Danfoss, Johnson Controls and Schneider Electric. The power generation segment of Siemens competes against several global players. In fossil power generation, the company's main competitors include General Electric, Alstom Power, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, as well as Hitachi and Toshiba. In industrial applications, Siemens faces competition from General Electric, Solar, MAN Turbo and Dresser Rand. In instrumentation and controls, the company competes with Vestas and General Electric. 10 Exhibit 4: Worldwide business of Siemens 2007. 4 increased brightness, and lower production costs of LEDs. Power Generation’s (PG) R&D activities emphasize on rotating machinery such as gas and steam turbines, generators, compressors, wind turbines, instrumentation, and control systems for renewable, nuclear, and fossil power generation. Medical Solutions invests in R&D to improve technology and clinical applications of medical imaging systems, such as magnetic resonance imaging, computer tomography, x-ray angiography, ultrasound, and information technology. Siemens’ focus on R&D allows the company to develop new products and to improve existing products; thus, ultimately, R&D enables Siemens to maintain and expand its strong market positions. Steady financial performance.11 Over the years, Siemens has delivered consistent financial results. The revenues of the company increased at a Compounded Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 14% from EUR 55.781 billion in FY2005 to EUR 72.448 billion in FY2007. The company’s net profits followed a similar trend. The net profit increased at a CAGR of 25%, from EUR 2.576 billion in FY2005 to EUR 4.038 billion in FY2007. The company’s net profit increased by 20.7% in FY2007 compared to FY2006. Additionally, the business divisions and geographic divisions also showed a significant financial growth. Steady financial performance enables the company to manage its operations well and also increases the financial flexibility of Siemens. Downgrade in ratings. Despite its performance, in 2007, Siemens’ credit ratings were downgraded by various global rating agencies. A key factor affecting Siemens’ credit rating is its capital structure, the ability to generate cash flow, geographic and product diversification, as well as competitive market position. For instance, in November 2007, Moody’s Investors Service downgraded Siemens’ long-term corporate credit rating from Aa3 to A1. The rating action followed the company’s announcements regarding a share-buyback program and capital structure ratio of 0.8 – 1.0 to be achieved by 2010. Additionally, there has been no improvement in long-term corporate credit rating by Standard & Poor’s (S&P). Standard & Poor’s rates Siemens’ long-term corporate credit AA– and kept a ‘negative’ outlook. Hence, Siemens’ ability to obtain funding from external sources may be restricted by further downgrades in the company’s credit ratings. Dependence on third party providers. Siemens depends upon third party service providers for the majority of its operational activities. It uses third party services for manufacturing, assembling, and testing its products. These third parties have supply and production tie-ups with multiple companies. During a period of excess demand, third party service providers may not have sufficient capacity to meet all of Siemens’ needs. This could adversely affect the company’s operations. Heavy dependence on third party reduces the company’s control over manufacturing yields, quality, product delivery schedules, and costs. Dependence on a third party can also lead to shortages and delays of input goods, which could substantially harm the company’s business. 11 Exhibit 5: Five years summary of key financial indicators. 5 Exhibit 1: New corporate structure Source: http://w1.siemens.com/press/pool/de/events/pressegespraech/press-briefing-silde.pdf Exhibit 2: Corporate strategy “Fit4 2010” * One goal of the Fit42010-program was the IPO of Siemens VDO. However, after evaluating all options and the interests of all parties, the Supervisory Board and the Management Board have decided to sell Siemens VDO to Continental. Source: http://w1.siemens.com/annual/07/pool/download/pdf/e07_00_gb2007.pdf 6 Exhibit 3: Stock price development and strategic actions of Siemens 2004 – 2007 + Important Acquisitions • - Important Sales • ~ Joint Venture EUR 108.75 ~ June 2006 JV with Nokia - - Mobile Device (BenQ) June 2005 Dematic June 2006 + VDO December 2007 (EUR 11.4 bn) UGS Corp. January 2007 (EUR 2.7 bn) + + Flender Holding VA Tech. July 2005 GmbH March 2005 (EUR 1.0 bn) (EUR 1.2 bn) + + + DPC April 2006 (EUR 1.54 bn) Bayer Diagnostics June 2006 (EUR 4.2 bn) Dade Behring July 2007 (EUR 5.2 bn) Exhibit 4: Worldwide business of Siemens 2007 Source: http://www.e-berger.de/CorporateStrategy_Koerte_2007-10-24.pdf 7 Exhibit 5: Five years summary of key financial indicators Please note: Free cash flow in exhibit 5 comprises the outcomes of operative and non-operative groups Source: http://w1.siemens.com/annual/08/pool/downloads/pdf/en/pdf_e08_05_fiveyearsummary.pdf 8 Exhibit 6: Overview weighted average cost of capital (WACC) and free cashflow development of Siemens divisions WACC Free Cashflow Free Cashflow Free Cashflow 2007 2007 2008* 2009* Automation and Drives (A&D) 7.50% 1,857 2,154 2,499 Industrial Solutions and Services (I&S) 8.00% 397 458 529 Siemens Building Technologies (SBT) 8.00% 340 417 510 Osram 7.50% 392 407 422 Transportation Systems (TS) 8.00% 335 485 703 Power Generation (PG) 8.00% 2,019 2,480 3,045 Power Transmission and Distribution (PTD) 8.00% 515 703 959 Medical Solutions (Med) 8.00% 1,380 1,617 1,894 Siemens IT Solutions and Services (SIS) 8.50% 18 23 29 7,253 8,744 10,590 Operations Groups (in millions of euros) Total Operations Groups * expected based on extrapolated EBITDA growth 2006-2007 9 Exhibit 7: Siemens divisions in figures Operations Groups (in millions of euros) Capital employed Revenues Relative market share*** EBIT** 2007 2006 2007 2006 2007 2006 Automation and Drives (A&D) 7,026 3,837 15,389 13,041 2,091 1,571 Industrial Solutions and Services (I&S) 1,198 1,279 8,894 8,819 406 270 47% Siemens Building Technologies (SBT) 1,807 1,764 5,062 4,796 356 224 45% Osram 1,994 1,976 4,690 4,563 481 448 67% Transportation Systems (TS) 296* 649 4,452 4,493 198 78 32% Power Generation (PG) 1,371 1,945 12,194 10,086 1,150 731 60% Power Transmission and Distribution (PTD) 1,865 1,701 7,689 6,509 620 303 49% Medical Solutions (Med) 8,234 4,975 9,851 8,227 1,229 957 63% 253 18 5,360 5,693 243 -733 42% 24,044 18,144 73,581 66,227 6,774 3,849 Siemens IT Solutions and Services (SIS) Total Operations Groups12 * 2007 adjusted by means of average capital employed 2007/2006 ** adjusted *** estimated relative market share based on FY2005 12 Without reconciliation to financial statements, other operations, and strategic equity investments. Therefore, the amounts for revenues differ slightly from those listed in exhibit 5. 10 Exhibit 8: BCG’s traffic light portfolio Strategic assessment Market growth (20062007) Green Green Yellow Yellow Red Red Relative market share (2007) Red Yellow Spread (2007) Green Green Yellow Red ∆ EVA (2005-2007) Financial performance Source: http://www.wiwi.uni-regensburg.de/dowling/files/sm/WS05-06/SM16-1-06.pdf 11