Capital expenditure Decisions Session 1 Meaning • Corporate finance is strategic in nature and can be viewed from three angles – How a firm finances its investments ( capital structure decisions) – How it manages short-term financial requirements (working capital decisions) – The allocation of funds (capital expenditure decisions) Capital expenditure Decisions •Is the process of making investment decisions in capital expenditure. •It is long term planning for making and financing proposed capital outlays. •It is concerned with the allocation of the firm’s scarce financial resources among the available market opportunities •These involve selecting the best from various mutually exclusive projects that require current outlay of funds in the expectation of future stream of benefits extending far into future – Outlay means outflow or investment – Benefits mean inflows or income generating out of the investment Features Require long term commitment of funds Has long term effect on profitability substantial outlays Difficult and expensive to reverse Difficulties of Investment decisions because Decision extends to a series of years beyond the current accounting period Uncertainties of future Higher degree of risk Overall objective is to • maximize the profitability of a firm or the return on investment (Either by increasing revenue or decreasing the costs) Types Examples Mandatory investments Replacement Projects Expansion Projects Diversification Projects Research and Development Projects • Miscellaneous Projects • • • • • Grouping • Accept/ Reject • Mutually Exclusive Project Decisions • Capital Rationing Decisions Steps • Identification of Potential Investment Opportunities • Assembling of Investment Proposals – Replacement, Expansion, New Product, Obligatory and welfare • • • • Decision Making Preparation of Capital Budget and Appropriations Implementation Performance Review Project evaluation Techniques Evaluation Techniques Tradition al Pay back period ARR Modern NPV BCR IRR ACC TRADITIONAL METHODS – Pay Back period • Pay back period means the length of time required to recover the initial cash outlay on the project • The shorter the payback period, the more desirable the project is • Seen under two situations – Projects with EVEN CASH FLOWS – Projects with UNEVEN CASH FLOWS • Accept/reject criteria: accept the project with shorter payback periods • For even cash flows Pay back period = Cash Outlay Annual cash inflows • For uneven cash flows ( if the outlay is 1,00,000) Y Cash inflow of A Cash inflow of B 1 50,000 20,000 2 30,000 20,000 3 20,000 20,000 4 10,000 40,000 5 10,000 50,000 6 - 60,000 Pay back period of A = 50+30+20 = 1 Lakh = 3yrs Pay back period of B = 20+20+20+40 = 1Lakh = 4 yrs Alternatively --• Determine the cumulative cash inflows Year A inflow Cum inflow B inflow Cum inflow 1 50,000 50,000 20,000 20,000 2 30,000 80,000, 20,000 40,000 3 20,000 1,00,000 20,000 60,000 4 10,000 1,10,000 40,000 1,00,000 5 10,000 1,20,000 50,000 1,50,000 6 - 60,000 2,10,000 Locate the year against which 1,00,000 appears That is the pay back period The project with shorter pay back period is selected, here it is A Example 2 A project cost Rs 5,00,000 and yields annually a profit of Rs 80,000 after depreciation @ 12% p.a but before tax and depreciation if 50%. Calculate the pay back period. Profit before tax & Depreciation Less Depreciation Profit before tax Less Tax @ 50% Profit after tax Add Depreciation @ 12%on 5,00,000 = 80,000 = 60,000 = 20,000 = 10,000 = 10,000 = 60,000 70,000 Pay back period = Cost of the project = 5,00,000 = 7.14 years Annual Cash flow 70,000 • Advantages – Simple – Rough and ready method to weed out risky projects the cash inflows of which is more after the pay back period – Emphasis on cash inflows so useful for firms with liquidity crises – Useful while evaluating a single project. • Disadvantages – Fails to consider TMV – Does not consider projects which generate inflows substantially after the pay back period – It treats each asset/project in isolation – Does not measure the true profitability as the period considered is very short, but the life of the asset/project is very long – Does not take cost of capital into consideration Improved pay back period methods • Post Pay-back profitability method • Pay-back Reciprocal method • Post-Pay back period method • Discounted Pay-Back method • Post Pay-back profitability method Step 1 Calculate Post Pay back profitability = Annual cash inflow ( Estimated life – Pay back period) Step 2 Calculate Post Pay back Profitability Index = (PPP / initial investment)*100 • Pay-back reciprocal method = Annual Cash inflow / total investment This is used to estimate the internal rate of return generated by a project • Post pay back period The project with greatest post pay-back period is accepted because it continues to generate revenue to the firm Illustration Calculate the discounted pay-back period method from the following information Cost of the project Life of the project Annual Cash Inflow Cut off rate 10 % = Rs 6,00,000 = 5 years = 2,00,000 Discounted Payback method Year Cash flow Discounting factor Present value Cumulative discounted Net cash flow 1 2,00,000 0.909 1,81,800 1,81,800 2 2,00,000 0.826 1,65,200 3,47,000 3 2,00,000 0.751 1,50,200 4,97,200 4 2,00,000 0.683 1,36,600 6,33,800 5 2,00,000 0.621 1,24,200 7,58,000 The outlay of Rs 6,00,000 will be recovered between the 3rd and the 4th years Precisely = 3 years + 1,02,800 1,36,600 = 3 ¾ years Average/Accounting Rate of Return • • • It is the average profit after tax divided by the average book value of the investment over the life of the project ARR = Average annual Profit after Tax Net Average Investment In order to calculate profit after tax From profit, deduct 1. 2. 3. 4. Depreciation Interest Tax Add depreciation ( As depreciation is a non-cash item ) Accept/reject Criteria: Accept Project with higher ARR Illustration: A project requires an investment of Rs 5,00,000 and has a scrap value of Rs 20,000 after five years. It is expected to yield profits after depreciation and taxes during the five years amounting to Rs. 40,000, Rs. 60,000, Rs.70,000, Rs.50,000 and Rs. 20,000. Calculate the average rate of return on the investment. • Total Profit = 40000+60000+70000+50000+20000 = 2,40,000 • Average profit = 2,40,000 = Rs. 48,000 5 • Net investment = Rs 5,00,000 – 20,000 = Rs. 4,80,000 • ARR = 48,000 * 100 4,80,000 = 10% X Ltd is considering the purchase of machine. Two machines are available E and F. The cost of machine is Rs.6,00,000. Each machine has an expected life of 5 years. Net profits before tax and after depreciation during the expected life of the machines are given below Year Machine E Machine F 1 15,000 5,000 2 20,000 15,000 3 25,000 20,000 4 15,000 30,000 5 10,000 20,000 Total 85,000 90,000 Assume the tax rate to be 50% Statement of Profitability Machine E Year Machine F PBT TAX PAT PBT TAX PAT 1 15,000 7500 7500 5,000 2500 2500 2 20,000 10000 10000 15,000 5000 5000 3 25,000 12500 12500 20,000 10000 10000 4 15,000 15000 15000 30,000 15000 15000 5 10,000 5000 5000 20,000 10000 10000 42,500 90,000 85,000 Av. PAT Av. Invt ARR 42500/5 = 8500 60,000/2 = 30,000 (8500/30000)*100 = 28.33% 45000 45000/5 = 9000 60,000/2 = 30,000 (9000/30000)*100 = 30% Machine F is more profitable than Machine E as the ARR is greater Advantages • Simple • Based on accounting information available • considers the entire life of the project • Takes the average of the best estimate of profits • Disadvantages • Based on accounting profit and not cash flows • Does not take TMV • Does not provide any guidance on what target rate of return should be Modern methods - Net Present Value • Refers to the sum of the present values of all the cash flow positive as well as negative • That are expected to occur over the life of the project • Since it discounts the cash flows, it is considered better than the traditional methods • The firms discount the cash flows at the cost of capital estimated previously for the components of capital involved in the project Steps • Compute the cut-off rate, which is the cost of capital/minimum required rate of return for the providers of funds • Compute the present value of the total investment outlay • Compute the present value of the inflows at the cut-off rate ( cash inflows after depreciation and taxes) • Calculate the NPV which is PV of outflows – PV of inflows • accept /reject criteria: That project/asset which generates maximum positive NPV Illustration If suppose a project has a life of 5 years and it requires an initial outlay of Rs 35000. Calculate its Net Present Value. Also find whether the project is worth investing. Year Cash inflows Discount factor @10% Discounted cash flows 1 10000 0.909 9900 2 12000 0.826 9912 3 12000 0.751 9012 4 14000 0.683 9562 5 15000 0.621 9315 The sum of present values = 9900+9912+9012+9562+9315 = Rs 47701. Since it is more than the initial outlay of Rs 35,000, it is worth investing in the project. Advantages • It recognizes the time value of money and is suitable to be applied in a situation with uniform cash outflows and uneven cash inflows or cash flows at different periods of time. • Takes into account the earnings over the entire life of asset/project • Takes into consideration the objective of maximum profitability Disadvantages • More difficult to understand and operate • May not give good results while comparing projects with unequal lives as the project having net present value but realized Internal rate of return (IRR) • It is that rate of interest at which the net present value of a project is equal to zero • Or it is the rate which equates the present value of cash inflows with that of the outflows • In NPV, the cost of capital becomes the discount rate, in IRR, the discount rates which makes the NPV 0 has to be worked out • This is done usually with trial and error method Steps to determine IRR • Find the average annual net cash flow from the given cash flows • Divide the initial outlay by the average annual net cash flow, the answer is the PVIFA factor • Look out for the interest rate against which the factor appears for the given life of the project • Multiply each of the cash flows by the PV values under the interest factor found earlier, through the life of the project • That factor for which the difference between the initial outlay and the sum of the discounted cash flows is zero is the IRR. • Accept/Reject criteria: Accept the project with IRR< k( WACC) A company has the following pattern of cash flows Year Cash flows ( in lakhs) 0 (10) 1 5 2 5 3 3.08 4 1.20 Calculate the IRR PVIFA = Initial outlay average annual cash flow 10 3.57 {(5+5+3.08+1.20)/4} 2.801 • From the PVIFA table, the interest factor corresponding to four years is nearly 15% • Taking the base interest as 15%, we start trial and error method • At 15%, (-10 +(5*0.870)+(5*0.756)+(3.08*0.658)+(1.2*0.572) = 0.84 • At 16%, (-10+(5*0.862)+(5*0.743)+(3.08*0.641)+(1.2*0.552) = 0.66 • At18%, (-10+(5*0.848)+(5*0.719)+(3.08*0.609)+(1.2*0.516) = 0.33 • At 20% (-10 +(5*0.833)+(5*0.694)+(3.08*0.579)+(1.2*0.482) = 0 • So IRR is 20% Benefit – Cost Ratio • • • • • • It is also referred to as Profitability Index BCR = PV /I PV stands for Present value of Future cash flows I stands for Initial investment NCBR = BCR -1 Accept/Reject criteria : BCR>1 or NCBR>0, Accept BCR<1 or NCBR<0, Reject Evaluation • The method is useful to rank • It provides no means for a set of projects in the order aggregating several smaller of decreasingly efficient use projects into a package than of capital can be compared with a large project • When the investment outlay is spread over more than one period, this criterion cannot be applied. Zeta Ltd is considering the following projects PROJECTS INITIAL OUTLAY CASH INFLOWS PROJEC TS Cf NPV A 20 7.5 A 7.5 (7.5*3.433)-20 =5.75 B 4.5 1.5 B 1.5 (1..5*3.433)-4.5=0.65 C 7 2.5 C 2.5 (2.5*3.433) -7 = 1.58 D 8 3.5 D 3.5 (3.5*3.433)-8=4.02 PROJECT S BCR A 25.75/20 1.27 B 5.15/4.5 1.14 C 8.58/7 1.23 D 12.02/8 1.50 Annual Capital Charge • Used for evaluating mutually exclusive projects or alternatives which provide similar service • Steps •First determine the PV of the initial investment and operating costs using the cost of capital (k) as the discount rate •Then, determine PVIFA using (k,n) in the table •Divide the PV of the cash flows by the PVIFA, the answer is annual capital charge •Accept/Reject criteria: Accept the project/asset with lesser Annual Capital Charge Illustration