Capabilities • 1. Discuss the difficulty encountered in finding profitable projects in competitive markets and the importance of the search. • 2. Determine whether or not a new project should be accepted or rejected using the payback period, the net present value, the profitability index, and the internal rate of return. • 3. Explain how the capital-budgeting decision process changes when a dollar limit is placed on the dollar size of the capital budget. • 4. Discuss the problems encountered in project ranking. • 5. Explain the importance of ethical considerations in capitalbudgeting decisions. • 6. Discuss the trends in the use of different capital-budgeting criteria. ● Finding Profitable Projects ● Capital-Budgeting Decision Criteria ● ● ● Capital Rationing Problems in Project Ranking—Capital Rationing, Mutually Exclusive Projects, and Problems with the IRR Ethics in Capital Budgeting A Glance at Actual Capital-Budgeting Practices • Objective 1 FINDING PROFITABLE PROJECTS • to evaluate profitable projects or investments in fixed assets, a process referred to as capital budgeting, • • Axiom 5: The Curse of Competitive Markets— Why It’s Hard to Find Exceptionally Profitable Projects. • The payback period is the number of years needed to recover the initial cash outlay. Objective 2 CAPITAL-BUDGETING DECISION CRITERIA • • • • • • • • A Initial cash outlay -$10,000 Annual net cash inflows Year 1 $ 6,000 2 4,000 3 3,000 4 2,000 5 1,000 B -$10,000 $ 5,000 5,000 0 0 0 Net Present Value • The net present value (NPV) of an investment proposal is equal to the present value of its annual net cash flows after taxes less the investment’s initial outlay. n NPV = t 1 ACFt t (1 k) - IO NPV • ACFt = the annual after-tax cash flow in time period t . • k = the appropriate discount rate; that is, the required rate of return or cost of capital • IO = the initial cash outlay • n = the project’s expected life Principal • NPV ≥ 0.0 : accept • NPV < 0.0 : reject NPV Illustration of Investment in New Machinery AFTER-TAX CASH FLOW Inflow year 1 15,000 2 14,000 3 -$40,000 13,000 Initial outlay 4 12,000 5 11,000 Calculation for NPV Illustration of Investment in New Machinery PRESENT VALUE AFTER-TAX FACTOR AT PRESENT CASH FLOW 12 PERCENT VALUE 2 14,000 .797 11,158 3 13,000 .712 9,256 4 12,000 .636 7,632 5 11,000 .567 6,237 Initial outlay -40,000 Net present value $ 7,678 Inflow year 1 15,000 Present value of cash flows .893 $13,395 $ 47,678 Profitability Index (BenefitCost Ratio) • The profitability index (PI), or benefitcost ratio, is the ratio of the present value of the future net cash flows to the initial outlay. n PI = ACFt t t 1 (1 k ) IO • ACFt = the annual after-tax cash flow in time period t (this can take on either positive or negative values ) • k = the appropriate discount rate; that is, the required rate of return or cost of capital • IO = the initial cash outlay • n = the project’s expected life Principale • • PI ≥ 1.0 : accept PI < 1.0 : reject PRESENT VALUE AFTER-TAX FACTOR AT PRESENT CASH FLOW 10 PERCENT VALUE Inflow year 1 15,000 0.909 13,635 2 8,000 0.826 6,608 3 10,000 0.751 7,510 4 12,000 0.683 8,196 5 14,000 0.621 8,694 6 16,000 0.564 9,024 Initial outlay -$50,000 1.000 -$50,000 n t 1 ACFt t (1 k ) IO $13,635 $6,608 $7,510 $8,196 8,694 $9,024 $50,000 $53,667 $50,000 = 1.0733 Internal Rate of Return • The internal rate of return (IRR) the discount rate that equates the present value of the project’s future net cash flows with the project’s initial cash outlay. n IO = t 1 ACFt t (1 IRR) IRR • ACFt = the annual after-tax cash flow in time period t (this can take on either positive or negative values ) • IO = the initial cash outlay • n = the project’s expected life • IRR = the project’s internal rate of return $15,000 $15,000 $15,000 $15,000 $45,555 = (1 IRR )1 (1 IRR ) 2 (1 IRR ) 3 (1 IRR ) 4 $45,555 = 15,000 4 1 t t 1 (1 IRR ) $45,555 = $15,000 (PVIFA i , 4yr ) Dividing both sides by $15,000, this becomes 3.037 = PVIFA i, 4yr IRR for Uneven Cash Flows Present Value Net Cash Flows Present Value Inflow year 1 $1,000 Inflow year 2 2,000 Inflow year 3 3,000 Present value of inflows Initial outlay 2. TRY i = 20 PERCENT: Factor at 15 Percent .870 .756 .658 $ 870 1,512 1,974 $ 4,356 -$ 3,817 • Net Cash Flows Present Value Factor at 20 Percent Present Value • • • • • • Inflow year 1 $1,000 Inflow year 2 2,000 Inflow year 3 3,000 Present value of inflows Initial outlay 3. TRY i = 22 PERCENT: .833 .694 .579 $ 833 1,388 1,737 $ 3,958 -$ 3,817 Present Value Net Cash Flows Inflow year 1 $1,000 Inflow year 2 2,000 Inflow year 3 3,000 Present value of inflows Initial outlay Factor at 22 Percent .820 .672 .551 Present Value $ 820 1,344 1,653 $ 3,817 -$ 3,817 Three IRR Investment A Initial outlay -$10,000 Inflow year 1 Inflow year 2 Inflow year 3 Inflow year 4 3,362 3,362 3,362 3,362 B -$10,000 0 0 0 13,605 C -$10,000 1,000 3,000 6,000 7,000 15% Present Value Net Cash Flows Inflow year 1 $1,000 Inflow year 2 3,000 Inflow year 3 6,000 Inflow year 4 7,000 Present value of inflows Initial outlay Factor at 15 Percent .870 .756 .658 .572 Present Value $ 870 2,268 3,948 4,004 $11,090 -$ 10,000 Present Value • • • • • • • Net Cash Flows Factor at 19 Percent Inflow year 1 $1,000 Inflow year 2 3,000 Inflow year 3 6,000 Inflow year 4 7,000 Present value of inflows Initial outlay .840 .706 .593 .499 Present Value $ 840 2,118 3,558 3,493 $10,009 -$ 10,000 Net present value($) 1,500 1,000 500 0 -500 0 100 200 300 400 -1,000 -1,500 -2,000 Discount rates(%) 500 600 Objective 4 • PROBLEMS IN PROJECT RANKING-CAPITAL RATIONING, MUTUALLY EXCLUSIVE PROJECTS, AND PROBLEMS WITH THE IRR. • 1 Size disparity • 2 Time disparity • 3 Unequal live Capital-Rationing Example of Five Indivisible Projects Project Initial Outlay Profitability Index Net Present Value A $200,000 2.4 $280,000 B 200,000 2.3 260,000 C 800,000 1.7 560,000 D 300,000 1.3 90,000 E 300,000 1.2 60,000 Investment Evaluation Methods Used: A Primary Method Payback period Internal rate of return A Secondary Method 24% This Method 59% 88% Total Using 83% 11% 99% Net present value 63% 22% 85% Profitability index 15% 18% 33% Project Size and Decision-Making Authority Project Size Typical Boundaries Primary Decision Site Very small Small Medium Large Up to $100,000 Plant $100,000 to $1 million Division $1 million to $10 million Corporate investment committee Over $10 million CEO & board KEY TERMS Benefit-Cost Ratio (see Profitability Index) Capital Budgeting Capital Rationing Equivalent Annual Annuity (EAA) Internal Rate of Return (IRR) Mutually Exclusive Projects Net Present Value (NPV) Payback period Profitability Index (PI or Benefit-Cost Ratio)