Supply Chain Management Chapter 15 Learning Objectives • Explain the terms supply chain and logistics • Discuss the importance of supply chain management • Describe what bullwhip effect is • Explain the causes and remedies for the bullwhip effect Starbucks Global Supply Chain • [YouTube] A Behind the Scenes Look at Starbucks Global Supply Chain Supply Chain • Supply Chain: – the sequence of organizations - their facilities, functions, and activities - that are involved in producing and delivering a product or service – Sometimes referred to as value chains • Value is added as goods and services progress through the chain. • Logistics: – the part of a supply chain involved with the forward and reverse flow of goods, services, cash, and information. Flow Management • Three types of flow management – Product and service flow • Involves movement of goods and services from suppliers to customers as well as handling customer service needs and product returns – Information flow • Involves sharing forecasts and sales data, transmitting orders, tracking shipments, and updating order status – Financial flow • Involves credit terms, payments, and consignment and title ownership arrangements Typical Supply Chains Supplier Supplier Storage Manufact uring Storage Distributor Retailer Customer Supplier Supplier Supplier Storage Service Customer Supplier • Every business organization is part of at least one supply chain, and many are part of multiple supply chains Supply Chain Management • Supply Chain Management (SCM) – The strategic coordination of business functions within a business organization and throughout its supply chain for the purpose of integrating supply and demand management – Supply: • From the beginning of the chain to the internal operations of the organization – Demand: • From the organization's output delivery to its immediate customer to the final customer in the chain Why so much interest in SCM? • As manufacturing becomes more efficient (or is outsourced), companies look for ways to reduce costs. • Several significant success stories. Efficient SCM gives Walmart & others an important edge. • Web-based models for supply chains: – Online retailers – B2B business models. Key SCM Issues • The goal of SCM is to match supply to demand as effectively and efficiently as possible • Key issues: – – – – – – Determining appropriate levels of outsourcing Managing procurement Managing suppliers Managing customer relationships Being able to quickly identify problems and respond to them Managing risk Global Supply Chains • Global supply chains – Product design often uses inputs from around the world – Some manufacturing and service activities are outsourced to countries where labor and/or materials costs are lower – Products are sold globally • Complexities – – – – – Language and cultural differences Currency fluctuations Political instability Increasing transportation costs and lead times Increased need for trust amongst supply chain partners Outsourcing • Transfer or contracting (non productive) internal activities (process) to outside vendors – e.g.: IT, accounting, legal, logistics • Utilize the efficiency that comes with specialization • Make-or-Buy analysis Procurement • The purchasing department is responsible for obtaining the materials, parts, and supplies and services needed to produce a product or provide a service. • The goal of procurement – Develop and implement purchasing plans for products and services that support operations strategies Purchasing Interfaces • Purchasing has interfaces with a number of other functional areas, as well as with outside suppliers. – Operations & legal department – Accounting – Design and engineering – Receiving – Suppliers The Purchasing Cycle • The main steps: 1. Purchasing receives the requisition 1) 2) 3) 4) A description of the item or material desired The quantity and quality necessary Desired delivery dates Who is requesting 2. Purchasing selects a supplier 3. Purchasing places the order with a vendor 1) Bid 2) Blanket purchase orders 4. Monitoring orders 1) Communicate 5. Receiving orders E-Business • The use of electronic technology to facilitate business transactions • Applications include – – – – – – Internet buying and selling E-mail Order and shipment tracking Electronic data interchange Product and service promotion Provide information about products and services E-Business Order Fulfillment Problems • Customer expectations – Order quickly Quick delivery • Demand variability creates order fulfillment problems • Sometimes Internet demand exceeds an organization’s ability to fulfill orders • Inventory – Outsourcing order fulfillment • Loss of control – Build large warehouses • Internal holding costs Supplier Management • Vendor analysis – Evaluating the sources of supply in terms of price, quality, reputation, and service • Supplier audit – A means of keeping current on suppliers’ production (or service) capabilities, quality and delivery problems and resolutions, and performance on other criteria • Supplier certification – Involves a detailed examination of a supplier’s policies and capabilities – The process verifies the supplier meets or exceeds the requirements of a buyer Supplier Relationship Management • Type of relationship is often governed by the duration of the trading relationship – Short-term • Oftentimes involves competitive bidding • Minimal interaction – Medium-term • Often involves an ongoing relationship – Long-term • Often involves greater cooperation that evolves into a partnership Choosing Suppliers • Quality and quality assurance – Procedures for quality assurance and quality control • Flexibility – For changes in delivery schedules, quantity, product or service changes • Location – Nearby? • Price – Competitiveness, willingness to negotiate, cooperate to reduce prices • Reputation and Financial Stability – Supplier reputation, its financial stability • Lead times and on-time delivery – Procedures to assure on-time delivery and problem correction • Other accounts – Dependence on other customers and their priority Supplier Partnerships • More organizations are seeking to establish partnerships with others in their supply chain: – • Fewer suppliers, long term relationships, sharing of information (forecasts, sales data, problem alerts), cooperation in planning Benefits: – improved operations: higher quality, increased delivery speed and reliability, lower inventories, lower costs, higher profits. Higher supplier flexibility in accepting changes (delivery schedules, quality, quantity), suppliers can help in identifying problems and offer suggestions Aspect Adversary Partner Number of suppliers Many; play one against the others One or a few Length of relationship May be brief Long-term Low price Major consideration Moderately important Reliability May not be high High Openness Low High Quality May be unreliable; buyer inspects At the source; vendor certified Volume of business May be low due to many suppliers High Flexibility Relatively low Relatively high Location Widely dispersed Nearness is important for short lead time and quick service Order fulfillment • Order fulfillment refers to the processes involved in responding to customer orders. – Engineer-to-Order (ETO) • Products are designed and built according to customer specifications. This approach is frequently used for large-scale construction projects, custom homebuilding, home remodeling, and for products made in job shops. – Make-to-Order (MTO) • A standard product design is used, but production of the final product is linked to the final customer's specifications. This approach is used by aircraft manufacturers such as Boeing. Fulfillment time is generally less than with ETO fulfillment, but still fairly long. – Assemble-to-Order (ATO) • Products are assembled to customer specifications from a stock of standard and modular components. Computer manufacturers such as Dell operate using this approach. Fulfillment times are fairly short, often a week or less. – Make-to-Stock (MTS) • Production is based on a forecast, and products are sold to the customer from finished goods stock. This approach is used in department stores and supermarkets. The order fulfillment time is immediate. Logistics • Refers to the movement of materials, services, cash, and information in a supply chain – Movements within a facility – Incoming shipments – Outgoing shipments Movement Within a Facility Incoming and Outgoing Shipments • Traffic management – Overseeing the shipment of incoming and outgoing goods • Handles schedules and decisions on shipping method and times, taking into account: – – – – Costs of shipping alternatives Government regulations Needs of the organization Shipping delays or disruptions 3-PL • Third-party logistics (3-PL) – The outsourcing of logistics management – Includes • Warehousing and distribution – Potential benefits include taking advantage of: • The specialists’ knowledge • Their well-developed information system • Their ability to obtain more favorable shipping rates Supply Chain Risks 1. Supply chain disruption – Natural disasters – Supplier problems 2. Quality issues – Another form of disruption that may disrupt supplies and lead to product recalls, liability claims, and negative publicity 3. Loss of control of sensitive information – If suppliers divulge sensitive information to competitors, it can weaken a firm’s competitive position Risk Management • Involves identifying risks, assessing their likelihood of occurring and their potential impact and then developing strategies for addressing those risks. – Strategies for addressing risk include: • Risk avoidance • Risk reduction • Risk sharing • Key elements of successful risk management include: – Know your suppliers – Provide supply chain visibility – Develop event-response capability Inventory Management • Inventory issues in SCM – Inventory location • Centralized inventories • Decentralized inventories – Inventory velocity • The speed at which goods move through a supply chain – The bullwhip effect • Inventory oscillations that become increasingly larger looking backward through the supply chain In-Class Competition • http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qxpgM8p aegQ The Bullwhip Effect • First noticed by P&G executives examining the order patterns for Pampers disposable diapers. – Although the customer demand is pretty steady, they noticed that order variation increased dramatically as one moved from retailers to distributors to the factory. Bullwhip Effect - Problems • High demand fluctuations. – Variation in demand along the supply chain requires: • Shipment capacity • Production capacity to cope with peaks. • Inventory capacity – Most of the time this capacity will be idle. – There’s significant cost and investments attached! • Low service level (backorders) • High cost • In the end: high overall cost in the supply chain Bullwhip Effect - Causes • Information (lack of) – Game simulates SC with low levels of trust, where little information is shared among the parties – Only order amounts are perpetuated up the supply chain; information about customer demand is lost upstream. – Without actual customer demand data, all forecasts rely solely on the incoming orders at each stage of the SC. • SC structure – The longer the lead time the stronger the bullwhip effect (the reorder point is calculated by multiplying the forecasted demand by the lead time plus the safety stock) • Local optimization – Local individual cost optimization, and a lack of cooperation – Ordering involves fix cost. There is an incentive for individual players to hold back and only place aggregate/batch orders. This aggravates the problem of demand forecasting as little information about actual demand is conveyed. Mitigating the Bullwhip Effect • Good supply chain management can overcome the bullwhip effect: 1. Information sharing • Replenishment based on need – Vendor-managed inventory – Vendors monitor goods and replenish retail inventories when supplies are low • Lower ordering costs 2. Short lead times 3. Cooperation • Competition is now supply chain against supply chain and Network against network Creating an Effective Supply Chain • It begins with strategic sourcing – Analyzing the procurement process to lower costs by reducing waste and non-value-added activities, increase profits, reduce risks, and improve supplier performance – There must be • • • • • • Trust Effective communication Information velocity Supply chain visibility Event management capability Performance metrics MIS 373: Basic Operations Management 34 Trade-Offs 1. Lot-size-inventory trade-off – Large lot sizes yield benefits in terms of quantity discounts and lower annual setup costs, but it increases the amount of safety stock (and inventory carrying costs) carried by suppliers 2. Inventory-transportation cost trade-off – Suppliers prefer to ship full truckloads instead of partial loads to spread shipping costs over as many units as possible. This leads to greater holding costs for customers – Cross-docking • A technique whereby goods arriving at a warehouse from a supplier are unloaded from the suppliers truck and loaded onto outbound truck, thereby avoiding warehouse storage MIS 373: Basic Operations Management 35 Trade-Offs 3. Lead time-transportation costs trade-off – Suppliers like to ship in full loads, but waiting for sufficient orders and/or production to achieve a full load may increase lead time 4. Product variety-inventory trade-off – Greater product variety usually means smaller lot sizes and higher setup costs, as well as higher transportation and inventory management costs – Delayed differentiation • Production of standard components and subassemblies which are held until late in the process to add differentiating features MIS 373: Basic Operations Management 36 Trade-Offs 5. Cost-customer service trade-off – Producing and shipping in large lots reduces costs, but increases lead time – Disintermediation • Reducing one or more steps in a supply chain by cutting out one or more intermediaries MIS 373: Basic Operations Management 37 Small Business • Small businesses do not always give adequate attention to their supply chains. • Three aspects of supply chain management that are often of concern to small businesses are: 1. Inventory management 2. Reducing risks 3. International trade – Why the three are of concern to small businesses? – How to mitigate the concerns? MIS 373: Basic Operations Management 38 Supply Chain Performance Measures • Financial – – – – Return on assets Cost Cash flow Profits • Suppliers – – – – Quality On-time delivery Cooperation Flexibility • Operations • Inventory – Average value – Turnover – Weeks of supply • Order fulfillment – Order accuracy – Time to fill orders – % of orders delivered on time • Customers – Customer satisfaction – % of customer complaints – Productivity – Quality MIS 373: Basic Operations Management 39 Managing Returns • Products are returned to companies or third-party handlers for a variety of reasons, and in a variety of conditions. Among them are the following: – – – – – – – Defective products Recalled products Obsolete products Unsold products returned from retailers Parts replaced in the field Items for recycling Waste • In the US, the annual value of returns is estimated to be in the neighborhood of $100 billion MIS 373: Basic Operations Management 40 Managing Returns • Reverse logistics is the process of physically transporting returned items. – This involves either retrieving items from the field or moving items from the point of return to a facility where they will be inspected and sorted and then transporting to their final destination. • Two key elements of managing returns – Gatekeeping oversees the acceptance of returned goods with the intent of reducing the cost of returns by screening returns at the point of entry into the system and refusing to accept goods that should not be returned or goods that are returned to the wrong destination. – Avoidance refers to finding ways to minimize the number of items that are returned. MIS 373: Basic Operations Management 41 Trends in SCM • Trends affecting supply chain design and management: – Measuring supply chain performance • Incorporating economic metrics into decisions (e.g., inventory velocity, inventory turnover) – “Greening” the supply chain • Redesigning products and services to reduce pollution from transportation, choosing “green” suppliers, managing returns, end-oflife programs (e.g., appliances) – Re-evaluating outsourcing • Reconsidering outsourcing due to long lead time, increased transportation costs, language, culture, job loss, control loss, lower productivity, loss of ability to perform work internally, loss of business knowledge, management efforts. MIS 373: Basic Operations Management 42 Trends in SCM • Trends affecting supply chain design and management: – Integrating IT • Real time data to enhance strategic planning, control costs, measure quality and productivity, respond quickly to problems, improve SC operations – Managing risks • Identifying risks, assessing likelihood of occurrence, potential impacts, prioritizing, developing management strategies (avoidance, reduction, transference). – Adopting lean principles • Eliminating non value-added processes, using “pull” systems to improve product flow, using fewer suppliers, continuous improvement. MIS 373: Basic Operations Management 43 Transportation Problem • Finding the lowestcost plan for distributing stocks from multiple origins (supply points) to multiple destinations. 8S-44 Model: Information Requirements • Information requirements 1. A list of the origins and their supply quantity (capacity) per period. 2. A list of the destinations their demand per period. 3. The unit cost of shipping items from each origin to each destination 8S-45 Model: Assumptions • Transportation model assumptions 1. The items to be shipped are homogeneous 2. Shipping cost per unit is the same regardless of the number of units shipped 3. There is only one route or mode of transportation being used between each origin and destination 8S-46 Cost to ship one unit from factory 1 to warehouse A Warehouse A F 1 a c t 2 o r 3 y Demand 80 B C D Supply 4 7 7 1 100 12 3 8 8 200 8 10 16 5 150 90 120 Warehouse B can use 90 units per period 160 450 Factory 1 can supply 100 units per period Total capacity per period Total Demand per period 8S-47 The Minimum Cell Cost (greedy) Heuristic 1. Search for the minimum unit cost 2. Place min{demand, supply} 3. Erase row/column corresponding to min{demand, supply} 4. Subtract min{demand, supply} from paired48 row/column 5. Stop when all columns and rows are saturated repeat Min{160, 100} Warehouse A F 1 a c t 2 o r 3 y Demand B 4 C 7 D 7 Supply 1 100 0 100 80 12 3 8 8 200 8 10 16 5 150 160 60 450 90 120 100-100 160-100 8S-49 Min{90, 200} Warehouse A F 1 a c t 2 o r 3 y Demand B C 4 7 D 7 Supply 1 100 0 8 200 110 100 12 3 8 90 8 80 10 90 0 16 120 5 160 60 200-90 150 450 90-90 8S-50 Warehouse A F 1 a c t 2 o r 3 y Demand B 4 C D 7 7 Supply 1 100 0 8 200 110 100 12 3 8 90 8 10 16 5 60 80 90 0 120 160 60 150-60 150 90 0 450 Min{60, 150} 60-60 8S-51 Tie breaking rule: choose randomly Warehouse A B F 1 a c t 2 o r y 3 Demand 4 C D 7 7 Supply 1 100 0 8 8 200 110 0 16 5 60 150 90 160 60 0 450 100 12 3 110 90 8 80 10 90 0 Min{110, 120} 120 10 110-110 120-110 8S-52 Warehouse A F 1 a c t 2 o r y 3 B 4 C 7 7 Min{80, 90} Supply 1 100 0 8 8 200 110 0 16 5 60 150 90 10 160 60 0 450 100 12 3 90 8 110 10 80 Demand D 80 0 90 0 120 10 90-80 80-80 8S-53 Warehouse A F 1 a c t 2 o r y 3 B 4 C 7 7 Supply 1 100 0 8 8 200 110 0 16 5 60 150 90 0 10 160 60 0 450 100 12 3 90 8 110 10 10 80 Demand D 80 0 90 0 120 10 10-10 0 10-10 Min{10, 10} 8S-54 Warehouse A F 1 a c t 2 o r 3 y B 4 C 7 D 7 Supply 1 100 8 8 200 16 5 150 100 12 3 90 8 10 80 Demand 80 110 90 10 60 120 160 450 Total cost: TC = 100*1 + 90*3 + 110*8 + 80*8 + 10*16 + 60*5 = 2,350 8S-55 Recap