November 17, 2009 Hoa Phat Group Joint Stock Company (HOSE: HPG) Sector: Steel industry Establishment: 26/10/2001 Website: www.hoaphat.com.vn Listed date: November 15, 2007 Business highlights Stock statistics as at November 17, 2009 Establishment: HPG was initially established in 1992 and restructured st into a holding company on Sep 1 2007. HPG currently consists of 11 subsidiaries and 5 associates. Market cap (VNDb) Key business activities: Manufacturing and trading steel, steel pipe (76% revenue); Manufacturing furniture, refrigeration engineering, equipment and accessories, (15% revenue); urban plus industrial zone development and construction (3% revenue); Shareholding structure: As at 16 November 2009, ownership structure of HPG is as the following: Current price (VND) 67,000 52 weeks high 81,500 196.36 52 weeks low 24,300 Chartered capital (VNDb) 1,964 TTM P/E (x) 10.60 Adjusted EPS (VND) 6,745 P/B(x) Foreign ownership (%) 31.85 30 day av trading volume (Mil) Outstanding share (mil) Dividend yield (%) % ownership Others 69.19 Foreign Investors 31.81 Total 100.00 Market position: occupies 8.5% market share of steel industry nationwide, main market of HPG currently concentrate in the Northern provinces. For steel pipe, HPG is ranking the top two companies in Vietnam with market share of 40% black steel pipe and 18% zinc-plated steel pipe. Also, HPG is market leader in providing office furniture. 1.12 4,20 2.88 th Structure of Revenue and Net profit at 30 June 2009 Revenue (%) Construction machines Commercial trading of steels Structure 14,040 6.1% Net profit (%) 6.9% 3.8% 4.2% Long steels 45.9% 48.7% Furniture 12.3% 10.7% Refrigeration engineering Steel pipe Industrial Zone development 6.5% 5.2% 20.0% 15.1% 5.4% 9.2% Technical Price Chart Main competitors in supplying steel for construction: Pomina Steel, Thai Nguyen Steel and Vinakyoei Steel. Subsidiaries, Joint Ventures and Associates: Capital (VNDbi) Ownership (%) Hoa Phat Equipment & Accessories Co., Ltd 140 99.64 Hoa Phat Furniture JSC 200 99.50 Hoa Phat Steel Pipe Co., Ltd 200 99.75 Hoa Phat Refrigeration Engineering Co., Ltd 150 99.67 Hoa Phat Urban Development & Construction 150 99.33 50 99.00 1,000 85.00 Name Hoa Phat Trading Co., Ltd Hoa Phat Steel Jsc Hoa Phat Energy Jsc Hoa Phat – Laos Company 150 49.00 48 100.00 Current investment: At the end of 2009, contribution of Hoa Phat Iron and Steel Complex would improve steel quantity from 250,000 tons/year to 600,000 tons/year. HPG is actively coordinating with Vinaconex in the implementation of detail planning for the urban area T ay Mo to deploy in 2010 with total area of 292,15 ha along Lang – Hoa Lac highway and right beside My Dinh National Conference Hall. The project is now managed by the four main investors: Vinaconex (acted as the representative), Viettel, ACB and HPG. So far, Hoa Phat Energy JSC has commenced construction phase 2 for Hoa Phat Coke and Thermo-electricity Plant with designed total capacity 700,000 tons/year, power generation station of 15MW. Total investment for both phase 1 and 2 is approximately VND2,000 bil, in which initial investment for phase 2 is expected VND800 bil. After completion, the Plant is expected to reach VND3,500 bil revenue, creating jobs for th approximately 500 local labors. In 7 October 2009, the factory has just produced the first batch of coke coal. Recently, Hoa Phat Cement has given all the production equipment of cement grinding and packing progress a trial run. It is expected that the trial run will be operated within 2-3 weeks, and the first Hoa Phat Cement’s batch will be launched to the market in mid-November 2009. Other events: HPG has adjusted financial target for the year 2009. Accordingly, total revenue has been revised up to VND 7,000bil and VND 920bil for earning after tax. th On 28 October 2009, HPG’s management has decided to pay dividend with rate 2:1, in which 10% by cash and 40% by issuing new share. 10% cash dividend would be paid in Q4 2009. The remaining 40% share dividend would be implemented in the first 6 month 2010. Issue convertible bond with value from VND1,000 billion to VND1,600 billion to supplement working capital for HPG’s projects. Timing of the issuance will be in 2010. Cash mobilized from the convertible bond issuance will be supplement capital to finance Tay Mo New Urban Project and other projects. Financial figures Financial Comparables as at 17 November 2009 (*) Profit & loss (VNDm) (*) 1H 09 2008 2007 2,115,699 3,617,014 8,364,805 5,642,934 539,069 929,872 1,258,309 966,522 Financial income 22,068 82,403 149,815 Financial expense 75,053 102,986 Net operating profit 412,251 Profit before tax Net sales VIS SMC HMC 1.590 493 424 P/E (x) 7.15 7.41 N/A 25,887 P/B (x) 4.56 1.84 1.48 170,814 45,264 Dividend yield (%) 2.36 4.75 7.92 796,097 992,443 751,421 ROA (%) 18.03 6.92 (0.42) 417,423 804,581 1,018,629 759,426 ROE (%) 59,264 127,307 164,134 122,239 EPS (VND) 358,602 686,654 859,410 643,974 2,115,699 3,617,014 8,364,805 5,642,934 Gross profit Taxation Profit after tax Profit for shareholders Balance sheet (VNDm) (*) Q3 09 30/09/2009 (*) 2008 2007 Cash & cash equivalent 1,233,854 601,754 510,218 399,323 Short-term investments 128,177 625,135 734,386 266,000 Current receivables 922,297 861,464 720,175 784,381 1,655,582 1,453,085 1,820,240 1,580,078 177,858 158,726 63,990 105,731 43 43 43 239,429 2,851,024 2,594,345 1,265,421 950,049 Inventories Other current assets Long-term receivables Fixed asset Goodwill 30/06/2009 424,109 513,006 - - Investment properties 20,640 16,209 18,331 7,207 Long-term investments 834,004 700,917 380,606 392,259 Other long-term assets 147,683 154,925 125,964 32,338 TOTAL ASSETS 8,395,272 7,679,610 5,639,375 4,756,795 Short-term liabilities 2,639,049 2,371,150 1,256,331 1,268,387 Long-term liabilities 654,789 539,435 37,768 264,977 4,879,794 4,527,420 4,111,067 3,142,551 Owners’ equity Other funds & reserves TOTAL RESOURCES 221,639 241,606 234,209 80,880 8,395,272 7,679,610 5,639,375 4,756,795 1H 2009 2008 2007 (12.37) (26.59) 48.24 327.86 (3.54) (19.03) 33.45 795.29 (*) Ratios Q3 2009 (*) Growth Sales (%) (**) Net profit (%) (**) Owner’s equity (%) 7.34 0.18 30.82 849.96 Total assets (%) 46.47 24.63 18.55 572.23 Gross profit margin (%) 16.92 14.88 15.04 17.13 Net profit margin (%) 10.78 9.80 10.27 11.41 ROE (%) 12.17 11.04 16.53 23.57 ROA (%) 18.12 15.72 23.70 37.08 Basic EPS (VND) 4,142 3,515 4,439 5,279 Current ratio (x) 1.56 1.56 3.06 2.47 Interest bearing debt/E 0.51 0.40 0.14 0.22 Total debt/equity (x) 0.67 0.67 0.31 0.49 (*) Stock (VNDm) : Sourced from unaudited financial statements of HPG : Calculated upon most updated trailing 12 months figure (**) For more details of information regarding this stock, please log on to our Ezsearch website at https://ezsearch.fpts.com.vn Investment Analysis Department, FPT Securities JS C Analyst: Nguyen Truong Son - Sonnt2@fpts.com.vn Market Cap (VNDb) 81.66 26.30 (1.26) 14.820 4.550 N/A Gross profit (%) 19.98 2.87 1.70 Net Profit (%) 13.56 1.45 (0.15) LT debt / equity (x) 1.62 1.08 1.08 Current ratio 2.74 3.19 1.80 Source: financial information updated to the end of Q3 2009 Financial highlights Growth: HPG has announced impressive financial result for the first 10 months 2009 with VND 6,486 bil revenue and VND 1,148 bil earnings after tax. Accordingly, profit after tax has now been exceeded 25% of the 2009 financial target. Specifically, turnover in October 2009 is VND 664 bil and after-tax profit amount of VND100 bil. Total revenue achieved 91% revised higher plan and it is expected that the performance of the company in the rest two months will fulfill the plan as stated. In the last 3 years, HPG always outperform it’s profit with more than 30%. The growth derives from core business that showing strong performance through years. Although steel price is lower by 30% by the same time last year, revenue still increases by 55%, derived from increase in sales. Asset quality: At the end of September 2009, HPG has significant changes in asset structure. The increase from VND5,600bil to nearly VND8,400bil mainly derives from construction in progress (CIP) (VND1,600bil) and the increase of long-term investments. Short-term investment VND128bil is mostly time deposit. Unlike 2008, cash & cash equivalents has increased sharply with balance of VND1,234 bil. This amount was used to contribute to capital employed in subsidiaries and partly used for working capital. CIP comprises of building, machineries and equipments for Hoa Phat Steel Plant in Kinh Mon quarter, Hai Duong province. HPG has taken full advantage of subsidized interest 4% from stimulation package to expand both short-term and long-term loans at the end of September 2009. Accordingly, the increase of these interest bearing loans is used to finance CIP and contribute chartered capital in HPG’s subsidiaries and associates. Despite increase in loans, HPG still maintains such a suitable gearing 39% loans over total resources. Potential cash-flow in Quarter III and IV 2009: In the last 2 months of the year, sales of steel is continuously expected to do well and we expect that cash-flow from main activities would contribute a further 10% over whole year financial target. A part of cash-flow will come from sales of coke coal. Disclaimer The information herein is believed by FPTS to be reliable and has been obtained from public sources believed to be reliable. However, FPTS makes no representation as to the accuracy or completeness of such information. Opinions, estimates and projections in this report constitute the current judgment of the author as of the d ate of this report. Investors must make their own investment decisions using their own independent advisors. FPTS may trade for its own account as a result of the short term trading suggestions of analysts and may also engage in secur ities transactions in a manner inconsistent with this research report and with respect to securities covered by this report, will sell to or buy from custom ers on a principal basis. 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