Lecturers Dan Daugaard Email: Dan.Daugaard@mafc.mq.edu.au Anne Cooper Email: Anne.Cooper@mafc.mq.edu.au Steve Christie Email: Steve.Christie@mafc.mq.edu.au 1. Scope This unit covers the key building blocks required when studying many of the other Masters units. It focuses on the tools and techniques necessary to understanding investment markets and constructing investment portfolios. The unit contains an analysis of the risk and return characteristics of debt and equity markets, an overview of modern portfolio theory, as well as asset pricing models and performance measurement techniques. Attention is given to both the use of theory to make decisions as well as the limitations of finance theory in many real life situations. 2. Texts and References Text: Bodie, Kane and Marcus, Investments, McGraw Hill, 8th edition, 2009 (BKM) Additional readings are included in the unit notes and will be placed in the download area of the Investments web page. Assume these readings are examinable unless otherwise advised. Useful References: Bernstein and Damodaran, Investment Management, Wiley Bodie, Kane and Marcus, Investments Damodaran, Investment Valuation, Wiley Solutions Manual, McGraw Hill, 8th Edition 2009 Elton, Gruber, Brown & Goetzmann, Modern Portfolio Theory and Investment Analysis, Wiley 3. Assessment Final grades will be based on: Case Study Mid-semester examination (covering Part 1) Final examination 20% 20% 60% All examinations are closed book. A study sheet is permitted. You must pass the combined examinations part of the assessment to achieve a final grade of Pass Conceded (and a Standardised Numerical Score of 45) or better. If you have extenuating circumstances that prevent you from submitting your assignment by the due date please make arrangements with your lecturer prior to the due date. Unless prior arrangements have been made any late submission of assignments will automatically be penalised. Late submission of your assignment without an agreed prior extension from the lecturer will receive a zero mark, in the absence of special circumstances. Investments 7-May-10 | Page 1 4. Mathematical content Finance has a high level of numerate content. Consequently this unit is, in parts, mathematical and arithmetical. Investment decision making and the application of valuation tools extends beyond the simple calculation of mathematical equations, however, it will be necessary to have some background knowledge to understand the models and techniques encountered during the unit. In relation to the algebra, students should be able to solve the following problem: Solve for w: 4.5w 27(1 w) 12 Occasionally the unit dips into the differential calculus. As an indication of the level of calculus required, students should be able to interpret the following equation: D (1 y) dP P dy A further indication of the level of financial arithmetic required is available in the form of topic zero from the Financial Instruments unit notes. 5. Calculators A financial calculator that can handle logs, power functions and time value of money calculations is required. The Hewlett Packard calculator HP17BII is recommended. 6. Computer access Access to a computer with word processing and spreadsheet capability (e.g., Excel) is assumed. Also assumed is access to a Web browser (e.g., Internet Explorer or Firefox) and e-mail software and your own connection to an Internet service provider. 7. Participation requirements You are expected to participate in class discussion, to work systematically through the end of chapter problems set for each topic, and to read the relevant chapters of the text and unit notes before each class. Answers, but not worked solutions, to set problems are provided in the lecture notes. Please refer to the Bodie, Kane and Marcus, Investments Solutions Manual for worked solutions. 8. Investments course forum The Investments course forum is an important resource that you should familiarise yourself with. It can be found by going to the Applied Finance Centre’s homepage (at www.mafc.mq.edu.au), clicking on CourseWeb, then on Investments, and then on Course Forum. 9. Case Study Case study questions and data will be placed in the Investments Course Forum. If you do not hand in a case study you will receive zero for that part of your assessment. Investments 7-May-10 | Page 2 Detailed Outline Part 1 1. Valuation and asset returns (2 sessions) Topics: Asset markets Valuation approaches Risk and return A review of useful statistical concepts Readings: BKM 1 (skim), 2, 4 (skim), and 5 Damodaran, Chapters 1, 2 (attached); Amram and Kulatilaka, Real Options, Chapter 1 (attached) Problems: BKM 2 :1, 9,10 and 19; BKM 5 :5, 7 and 11 2. Portfolio construction (2 sessions) Topics: Risk and risk premium Risk aversion and utility Capital allocation line Risk tolerance and asset allocation Optimal risky portfolio Asset Allocation with Stocks, Bonds and Cash Readings: BKM 6 and 7 Sortino and Van der Mer: Downside risk (attached) Problems: BKM 6: 13-19, CFA 1-3; BKM 7: 17-19, CFA 9 3. Asset pricing models (2 sessions) Topics: A Simple Asset Pricing Model The Capital Asset Pricing Model Multifactor models Arbitrage pricing theory Readings: BKM 8, 9, 10 Grinold and Kahn: Active Portfolio Management, Chapter 2 (Attached) Problems: BKM 8: 6, 7 and 8; BKM 9: 5 and 7-12; BKM 10: 5 and 10 4. Security returns and market efficiency (1 session) Topics: Market efficiency Empirical evidence of asset pricing models Readings: BKM chapters 11 and 13 Problems: BKM 11: 1, 6, 7, 8, 9 & CFA 9 Investments 7-May-10 | Page 3 Part 2 5. Fixed income securities (2 sessions) Topics Bond prices and yields The term structure of interest rates Fixed income portfolio management Readings: BKM 14, 15, 16 Dattatreya and Fabozzi, Active total return management of fixed income portfolios, Chapter 2 (attached) Problems: BKM 14: 1-7 & CFA 2; BKM 15: 1-3, 10, 12 & CFA 2; BKM 16: 12 & CFA 8 6. Security analysis (2 sessions) Topics: Equity valuation models Financial statement analysis Readings: BKM 18, 19 Fukuda, Dividend changes and earnings performance in Japan (attached) Problems: BKM 18: 4, 5, 7, 9, 10, 14; BKM 19: 3, 4, 5, 6 7. Portfolio management (1 session) Topics: Passive management Active management Security selection — the Treynor-Black model Summary Readings: BKM 27 8. Performance evaluation (1 session) Topics: Measurement of return Adjusting for changes in capital Traditional measures of portfolio performance Fama’s analysis Performance attribution Summary Readings: BKM 24 Gallagher, Do active funds deliver (attached) Problems: BKM 24: 4-10 & CFA 7-10 9. International diversification (1 session) Topics: Foreign exchange quotes Parity relationships Risk and return in foreign investments International diversification Readings: BKM 25 Solnik, International Investments, Chapter 2 (attached) Problems: BKM 25: 3-8 & CFA 1-3 & 4 parts (a) & (b) Investments 7-May-10 | Page 4