Trade Agreements Under Negotiation I. Draft Agreements with African Blocs and Countries West African Economic and Monetary Union (UEMOA): Draft Agreement for the Establishment of a Free Trade Zone The UEMOA is composed of eight West African member countries (Benin, Burkina Faso, Cote D’Ivoire, Guinea-Bissau, Mali, Niger, Senegal and Togo) with a total population of approximately 70 million. The UEMOA forms one of the focal points shaping Egypt’s increased export orientation towards the African continent through the West African gateway, thereby complementing the export promotion strategy in place with COMESA in East Africa and CEMAC in Central Africa, in addition to major countries with considerable weight inside the continent, such as Nigeria and South Africa. In the event of its entry into force, the Agreement will be economically valuable for the following reasons: 1- The UEMOA provides for a concerted regulatory system and integration of trade, economic and monetary policies developed among its members, in addition to its Euro-bound convertible currency. 2- Senegal (an UEMOA member and one of the main four gateways to the African continent) has a storage area for Egyptian products that allows rapid entry of commodities into this market. This also allows for direct sales and helps resolve transport and shipping problems. 3- This market has a massive population estimated at 70 million. It is a pricebased rather than quality-based market, which allows a wider window of opportunity for the entry of many Egyptian products, such as rice, onions, garlic, medicinal and aromatic plants, processed agricultural commodities, medicines, cement, ceramics and textiles. This is especially true given that UEMOA member countries depend on exports of raw materials and imports of manufactured products. 4- There are vast prospects for Egyptian investment in areas of mining, excavation, contracting, agricultural and irrigation projects and the textile industry. Through the African Growth and Opportunity Act (AGOA) preferential treatment benefits are granted by developed countries to some UEMOA members. These benefits include access to markets, such as the U.S., and allows garments assembled in some least-developed UEMOA countries to be made from textiles of other countries. CEMAC Countries: Regional Free Trade Area Negotiations The CEMAC group (Cameroon, Central African Republic, Chad, Congo-Brazzaville, Gabon and Equatorial Guinea) in Central Africa was targeted to be accessed through the Egyptian export promotion strategy during the forthcoming period to cover all of Africa. Economic benefits expected to be drawn from this Agreement include: 1- A positive surplus in the Egyptian balance of trade is already in place with the total value of exports amounting to $5.3 million in 2003, while total imports from these countries were estimated at only $820,000. This will give Egypt a preferential position in the event of a free trade area combining the two sides, as represented in the increased volume of Egyptian exports deemed inconsistent with a market potential of a population 30 million. Major exports include: plants, fresh vegetables, soap, plastic, fertilizers, tires, ceramics, tomatoes, oranges, and potatoes. Imports from these countries similarly do not involve risk for the Egyptian local market. 2- Cameroon represents one of the four main gateways for Egyptian exports into Africa, which is in line with the target to establish a permanent warehouse for Egyptian products to act as a launching pad for proceeding into the other markets of the CEMAC member countries. 3- The economic status of CEMAC is very similar to that of the UEMOA in terms of trading patterns with Egypt, in the sense that member countries feature as price-based markets. Moreover, CEMAC formed a customs union adopting a uniform currency, the convertible African Franc. Nigeria: Bilateral Free Trade Area Negotiations Egypt has initiated bilateral free trade negotiations with Nigeria, with the goal of obtaining an economic preference due to the following reasons: 1- Nigeria is the economic powerhouse within the Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS) group and in the West African Region in general, through which Egypt seeks regional integration into Southern Africa. 2- It is a huge market, representing a population of 120 million, and the third largest economy in the African Continent. 3- Investment opportunities are increasing for Egyptian firms to access the Nigerian market, especially in the fields of contracting and communication, given its ongoing reconstruction efforts. 4- All these factors offer an ideal market for Egyptian industrial and agricultural products, especially given that the import structure in Nigeria corresponds perfectly to Egyptian export capabilities. Tanzania: Bilateral Free Trade Area Negotiations Egypt recently submitted a draft free trade agreement with Tanzania, in the wake of the latter's withdrawal from COMESA. The Agreement is perceived to be of substantial economic value to Egypt for the following reasons: 1- Tanzania has a population of 36 million, thus forming a vast, vibrant market for many Egyptian products, especially since Tanzania is largely oriented towards highly distinctive commodities, such as machines, textiles, building materials, medicines, fertilizers, chemicals, petroleum products and foodstuffs, all of which Egypt maintains a relative advantage in, in terms of their production and export. Main imports of Tanzania include coffee, kajo, sisal, tea and tobacco. 2- Investment opportunities are available in Tanzania, as a result of its strategic location and population and incentives laid out in the 1997 Tanzania Investment Act. 3- Tanzania is a member country in a number of economic gatherings. It is believed this will help to open a window of opportunity for Egypt to access broader markets, for example, through Tanzania’s membership in the East Africa Community (EAC) and Southern African Development Community (SADC). Tanzania is also party to 11 bilateral agreements. Finally, it benefits from the EU and ACP association programs and enjoys a preferential dutyfree status for its exports into EU market. II. Draft Agreements with Latin American Countries South American Common Market (Mercosur): Draft Preferential Trade Agreement Mercosur submitted two draft agreements, a framework agreement and a preferential agreement, with Egypt as a step towards the establishment of a free trade area between the two parties in response to the Egyptian draft. The framework agreement was studied, reviewed and signed in Argentina on 7-7-2004 on the sidelines of the Mercosur Summit meetings and en route to the initial negotiations on the preferential agreement. The creation of a preferential agreement with the Mercosur is deemed the best option from a practical point of view to access the markets of its member countries as an alternative to a trade agreement. Therefore, the focus of this Agreement shall be on the list of highly distinctive Egyptian commodities, whether agricultural or industrial, with greater potential for access to Mercusor markets for products such as wooden furniture, marble and ceramics, cement, medicines, medicinal and aromatic plants, chemical and organic materials, cotton, rice, dried vegetables, tomatoes, potatoes, and garlic. Furthermore, accessing the Latin American market constitutes one of the main purposes of the Egyptian export promotion strategy in its third stage. III. Draft Agreements with Asian and Eastern European Countries Romania: Draft Free Trade Agreement Two rounds of negotiations were held between Egypt and Romania to establish a free trade agreement. The first was held in Cairo during February 2004, the second in Bucharest during the period of 8-12 March, 2004. Turkey: Draft Free Trade Agreement Four rounds of negotiations between Egypt and Turkey to establish a free trade area were held, with the fourth round taking place in Ankara in May 2003. The following are among the positive aspects of this Agreement: 1- The liberalization of industrial exports of products originating in Egypt will positively impact the speedy entry of Egyptian commodities into Turkish markets. 2- Turkey has substantial production of livestock, which increases the likelihood of Egypt importing cheaper livestock products from Turkey relative to other countries. Turkey’s large population of 70 million constitutes one of the advantages of this Agreement. IV. Draft Agreement with the European Free Trade Area European Free Trade Areas (EFTA): Draft Free Trade Agreement Eight rounds of negotiations were held between Egypt and EFTA, which comprises Iceland, Liechtenstein, Norway and Switzerland, the latest of which took place in Cairo in November, 2004. As a result of these negotiations, industrial exports of products originating in Egypt shall be immediately allowed duty-free once the Agreement enters into force. This provides for Egypt a favorable market for its products to conform to standards set by these countries. The duration leading up to the final liberalization of Egyptian imports is 12 years, taking into account variance in the production structure and industrial capability between Egypt and major countries.