Materials Management and Inventory Systems Richard J.Tersine Old Dominion University •'C & North-Holland PUBLISHING COMPANY NEW YORK • AMSTERDAM Contents Preface Chapter 1 INTRODUCTION Inventory Types of Inventory Organizational Categories and Inventory Problems Functions of Inventory Inventory Problem Classifications Properties of Inventory Inventory Costs Conflicting Goals Financial Considerations Business Cycle Influence Conclusion Questions Chapter 2 FORECASTING Time Series Analysis 1 4 5 6 8 10 13 15 17 20 22 24 25 27 29 Last Period Demand, 31. Arithmetic Average, 32. Moving Average, 32. Regression Analysis, 35. Exponentially Weighted Moving Average (EWMA), 39. EWMA with Trend Correction, 44. EWMA with Seasonal Correction, 46. EWMA with Trend and Seasonal Corrections, 48. EWMA Overview, 52. Soliciting Opinions Economic Indicators Econometric Models The Forecasting Function Conclusion Questions Problems Nomenclature 54 55 60 61 63 65 66 69 Chapter 3 PURCHASE ORDER QUANTITIES Fixed Order Size System (Q-System) 71 72 Economic Order Quantity (EOQ)—Single Items, 72. Economic Order Quantity (EOQ)—Multiple Items, 77. Quantity Discounts, 78. Backordering, 81. Known Price Increases, 85. Fixed Order Interval System (T-System) 88 Economic Order Interval (EOI)—Single Items, 90. Economic Order Interval (EOI)—Multiple Items, 93. Quantity Discounts on Individual Items, 95. Quantity Discounts on Joint Orders, 99. Sensitivity 101 EOQ Sensitivity, 102. EOI Sensitivity, 106. Sensitivity Overview, 109. Variable Demand Order Size Systems 110 Lot-for-Lot Ordering, 111. Wagner-Whitin Algorithm, 111. Silver-Meal Heuristic Algorithms, 112. Part-Period Algorithm, 117. Conclusion Questions Purchase Order Quantity Problems Nomenclature Appendix A Determination of Single Variable Maximum and Minimum Points Appendix B EOQ Quantity Discount Approximation Appendix C Derivation of EOQ with Backordering Chapter 4 PRODUCTION ORDER QUANTITIES Independent versus Dependent Demand Continuous and Independent Demand Items 122 123 124 129 130 131 132 135 136 138 Economic Production Quantity (EPQ)—Single Items, 139. Economic Production Quantity (EPQ)—Multiple Items, 143. Make or Buy Decisions, 146. Critical Ratio Scheduling, 148. Aggregate Production Planning, 152. Discrete and Dependent Demand Items 156 Material Requirements Planning (MRP) Systems, 157. Time Cycle Charts, 169. In-Process Inventory 172 An Isolated Incident Conclusion Questions Production Order Quantity Problems Nomenclature Chapter 5 INVENTORY SYSTEM CHANGES AND LIMITATIONS Inventory System Redesign Inventory System Constraints 174 175 176 176 182 185 186 189 Working Capital Restrictions, 191. Storage Space Restrictions, 194. Working Capital and Storage Space Restrictions, 197. Overview of Constraints, 200. Questions Problems Nomenclature Appendix A Optimizing Constrained Functions Chapter 6 RISK AND UNCERTAINTY: FIXED ORDER SIZE SYSTEMS Safety Stock Statistical Considerations 201 202 202 203 209 210 214 Normal Distribution, 217. Poisson Distribution, 218. Negative Exponential Distribution, 218. Known Stockout Costs 219 Constant Demand and Constant Lead Time, 219. Variable Demand and Constant Lead Time, 220. Constant Demand and Variable Lead Time, 236. Variable Demand and Variable Lead Time, 238. Unknown Stockout Costs 240 Service Level: Service per Order Cycle, 242. Service Level: Service per Year, 247. Service Level: Fraction of Units Demanded, 248. Service Level: Fraction of Operating Days, 251. Imputed Service Level Stockout Costs, 252. Conclusion Questions Risk and Uncertainty Problems Nomenclature Appendix A Chl-Square Goodness-of-FIt Test 254 255 256 261 262 vii Appendix B Appendix C Appendix D Order Quantity and Reorder Point Dependency Probability Distribution Convolutions Joint Probability Distributions Chapter 7 RISK AND UNCERTAINTY: FIXED ORDER INTERVAL SYSTEMS Known Stockout Costs 266 272 274 283 287 Backordering Case: Stockout Cost per Unit, 288. Backordering Case: Stockout Cost per Outage, 292. Lost Sales Case: Stockout Cost per Unit, 294. Lost Sales Case: Stockout Cost per Outage, 295. Variable Demand and Variable Lead Time, 297. Unknown Stockout Costs 300 Service Level: Service per Order Interval, 301. Service Level: Service per Year, 302. Service Level: Fraction of Units Demanded, 303. Service Level: Fraction of Operating Days, 305. Imputed Service Level Stockout Costs, 306. Conclusion Questions Risk and Uncertainty Problems Nomenclature 307 309 309 312 Chapter 8 313 SINGLE ORDER QUANTITIES Known Demand, Known Lead Time Known Demand, Variable Lead Time Variable Demand, Known Lead Time 315 315 317 Marginal Analysis, 320. Cost Analysis, 322. Variable Demand, Variable Lead Time Conclusion Questions Problems Nomenclature Chapter 9 INVENTORY VALUATION Flow of Costs FIFO, 338. LIFO, 340. Average Cost, 342. Specific Cost, 345. viii 327 327 327 328 333 335 337 Inventory Records 347 Periodic Count Method, 349. Cycle Count Method, 350. Inventory Security Questions Problems Chapter 10 352 353 353 SIMULATION Simulation Categories Monte Carlo Simulation Perpetual Inventory Simulation Problem Periodic Inventory Simulation Problem Simulation of Joint Probability Distributions Length of Simulation Run Conclusion Questions Simulation Problems Nomenclature Chapter 11 INVENTORY CONTROL SYSTEMS Types of Control Systems 357 358 359 363 368 370 373 374 376 376 380 381 383 Perpetual Inventory System, 384. Two-Bin Inventory System, 386. Periodic Inventory System, 386. Optional Replenishment Inventory System, 388. Material Requirements Planning Inventory System, 390. Overview of Inventory Systems, 390. Selective Inventory Control Inventory System Development Surplus Materials Inventory System Improvement Aggregate Inventory Measurement Conclusion Questions Inventory Control System Problems Nomenclature 393 397 401 402 405 406 408 409 409 Bibliography 410 Index 417 ix