Ab For marketing purposes only UBS KeyInvest UBS Bloomberg CMCI UBS Bloomberg CMCI A new perspective on commodity investments Table of Contents 01. Commodities as a standalone asset class 02. UBS Bloomberg CMCI – the first commodity index for the entire futures curve 03. Overview: UBS ETCs on UBS Bloomberg CMCI 04. Risks and opportunities of UBS ETCs 05. Glossary and further information 06 09 13 20 21 Introduction This brochure is designed to draw your attention to an opportunity for investing in commodities. Say the word ‘commodities’ and most people will think of crude oil. And that prices are always going up – annoying, if you happen to be at a filling station. But the world of commodities is far more varied than that and includes the entire energy market, precious metals, agriculture and even livestock. This variety provides a good opportunity to diversify an already well-assorted portfolio. Adding a mix of commodities can have a positive effect on the overall portfolio by reducing price fluctuation (volatility) while at the same time enhancing performance. Our aim here is to present this in the clearest possible terms. At the end of the brochure you will also find a short glossary of commodity investment terms that should answer some of your questions. On keyinvest-ch-en.ubs.com/cmci you can obtain current prices and monthly performance updates about products on UBS Bloomberg CMCI indices. UBS Bloomberg CMCI at a glance – Comprehensive tracking of commodity markets by investing across the entire futures curve and by tracking 27 commodities. – Minimal tracking errors for underlying commodity prices. – Minimising negative roll returns creates an opportunity for higher overall returns than with traditional indices. – Diversifying across the entire futures curve leads to lower volatility compared with traditional indices. – Higher risk/return ratio (Sharpe ratio): relative to traditional indices, opportunities for returns are higher and the risk (volatility) is lower. – Rolling on a daily trading basis allows ‘constant’ maturities. 01 Commodities as a standalone asset class Commodities are a standalone asset class and can enhance the value of your securities portfolio. The reason for this is that commodities generally exhibit moderate correlation with other asset classes such as equities, bonds and currencies, making them ideal for diversifying a broad-based portfolio with a positive effect on the performance of your overall portfolio. Commodities profile The UBS Bloomberg CMCI (Constant Maturity Commodity Index) covers the energy, precious metals, industrial metals, agriculture and livestock sectors. Although each of these has its own characteristic profile, commodities are generally seen as being a good hedge against inflation – a major reason for investing in this asset class. This is because, as real assets, commodities tend to increase in value when consumer prices rise. Most commodities are therefore sensitive to changes in the business cycle. If the global economy is booming, demand for commodities such as crude oil, natural gas and industrial metals is particularly high. And in a positive economic envi­ 04 ronment the overall prosperity of the world population also rises, leading to a rise in demand so that needs can be better served. For example, the desire for a healthy, balanced diet increases along with the desire for a highquality supply of agricultural products and meat. Precious metals occupy an exceptional position in the commodities world. Gold in particular is seen as a crisis currency that is accepted around the world. Although this shiny yellow metal does not bear interest, it is valued at times of inflation and other crises. Particularly when there are fundamental doubts over the future value of global currencies such as the US dollar or the euro, gold is seen as a ‘safe haven’ in times of uncertainty. Long-term outlook Investing in commodities can be viewed as strategic investment. A long-term argument in favour of commodities is the fact that resources are naturally limited and thus finite. Agricultural commodities play a special role here. Although soil conditions do restrict crop yields, they can also be influenced to a large extent by other factors such as weather conditions, developments in agriculture (e.g. improvements in seeds or intensive farming methods) and political subsidies. In a market economy these restrictions in supply – and the connected expectations of a steady decline – lead to rising prices even if demand remains flat. In fact, the growth in the global population suggests that demand for commodities will rise over the long term to secure provision. One example of the impact this can have is China’s growing economy, which has developed a huge appetite for commodities to fuel its growth. Of course this is countered by the development of new technologies which are used in the commodities sector to increase efficiency and productivity. For producers this leads to falling costs, and a tendency for prices to fall for end consumers. But the fact remains that commodities are limited, the global population is growing and the demand for commodities is increasing. How do I go about investing in commodities? One very straightforward and effective way of investing in commodities is by using a commodities index such as the UBS Bloomberg CMCI, for example in the form of UBS ETCs (Exchange Traded Commodities). UBS ETCs are exchange traded securities or open-ended bearer bonds which can be added to a portfolio in a simple and costefficient manner. This provides an enormous advantage over purchasing the physical commodity: investors are not burdened with the time, effort and cost involved in storing the commodity and other logistical factors. UBS Exchange Traded Commodities are transparent investment vehicles that allow you to invest in a cost-efficient manner in a particular index. All UBS ETCs on a UBS Bloomberg CMCI index are tradable via the Scoach Switzerland derivatives exchange. UBS acts as market maker and attempts to ensure liquid trading under normal market conditions during trading hours. At certain times there may be slight differences in performance between UBS ETCs and the underlying index (tracking error) as a result of the fee charged, which is needed to defray the costs of tracking the UBS Bloomberg CMCI. This fee covers in full the costs of the transactions UBS needs to complete in the background to track the index (for example rolling transactions). UBS ETCs are bearer bonds issued by UBS, so the issuer risk should be taken into consideration. Three UBS ETCs for three currencies You can invest in the UBS Bloomberg CMCI Index Universe in US dollars, Swiss francs or euros. This is because UBS offers three UBS ETCs (Exchange Traded Commodities) for most indices from the UBS Bloomberg CMCI family. For exotic commodities such as soybean meal and soybean oil, only one UBS ETC is offered (in USD). All three UBS ETCs track the performance of the relevant index 1:1 without fixed maturities subject to the respective management fee. The three UBS ETCs differ primarily in terms of the trading currency (US dollars, Swiss francs and euros). Since US dollars are the usual primary currency for commodities, the Swiss franc and euro value of the relevant UBS ETCs are hedged against the US dollar (currency hedge) on a daily closing rate basis. This practice means that a currency exchange risk to the US dollar can accumulate ‘intraday’ – between two hedge transactions – for any amounts not yet hedged. 05 What is the roll effect and where does it come from? The UBS Bloomberg CMCI Index Family relies, like other commodity indices, on futures contracts (forward transactions) to track commodity prices. Trading via the futures market postpones the date of exercise of the contract (to a point in the future). This normally gives the commodity trader enough time to avoid physical delivery (and receipt). To do this he just needs to ‘rebalance’ his position before the futures contract expires. Rebalancing may involve, for example, reselling purchased contracts. This allows the trader to participate in the performance of the underlying commodity up to maturity without actually physically handling it. Impact of roll effect on the commodity index The structure of the futures curve determines whether roll effects are positive or negative, and thus whether a ‘roll gain’ or ‘roll loss’ occurs. The roll effect ultimately affects the participation rate of the commodity index, since the number of contracts that can be purchased using gains from each sale can differ for each roll procedure. The index tracks the participation rate, which increases with roll gains and falls with roll losses, meaning that the accuracy with which it mirrors the performance of underlying commodity prices rises or falls following each roll procedure. For long-term commodity investment using futures contracts, therefore, existing contracts must be swapped for new ones before maturity to avoid physical delivery. This swapping, commonly referred to as ‘rolling’ in the industry, makes it possible to invest in commodities without fixed maturities. Regardless of current performance in the commodity market, futures trading still affects the value of an investment, since contracts with differing maturities do not generally cost the same. The difference between the selling price of the expiring futures contract and the purchase price of a future contract with a longer maturity affects the performance of a commodity index. This effect is also referred to as ‘roll effect’, ‘roll returns’ or ‘roll yield’. Roll gains: backwardation adds momentum ‘Backwardation’ is the term used to describe a downward sloping futures curve. In this case, futures prices for later delivery months are lower than spot prices. It is therefore less expensive to switch (roll) to the next shortest-dated contract, so that the number of futures contracts held increases after the roll procedure. This positive roll effect (roll gain) leads to an increase in the participation rate of the relevant commodity index. Example of contango Upward sloping futures curve: negative roll returns Example of backwardation Downward sloping futures curve: roll gains d: rio Buy: USD 100 n ldi Ho e gp s th on 9M Sell: USD 40 3 Months Price per futures contract Price per futures contract Negative roll returns: contango ‘Contango’ is the term for an upward sloping futures curve. In this constellation, futures prices for later delivery months are higher than spot prices. It is therefore more expensive to switch (roll) to the next shortest-dated contract, so that the number of futures contracts decreases after rolling. This negative roll effect (roll loss) leads to a decline in the participation rate for the relevant commodity index. Ho ldin gp erio d: 9 Roll loss: USD 60 6 Months 1 Year 2 Years 3 Years Maturity (Time to expiration) 06 Sell: USD 80 3 Months 6 Months Mo nth s Buy: USD 50 1 Year Roll gain: USD 30 2 Years 3 Years Maturity (Time to expiration) Causes of upward or downward sloping futures curves There can be a variety of reasons for differences in the shapes of the futures curve. Interest, warehousing and insurance costs (known as ‘cost of carry’) that would be incurred if the derivative were physically acquired may mean for example that rates quoted for futures contracts with longer maturities tend to be higher than those of shorter maturity contracts (upward-sloping futures curve). On the other hand, under certain circumstances, a commodity’s immediate availability (for example, due to short-term supply bottlenecks) may be valued more highly than later delivery (known as ‘convenience yield’), which leads to a downward-sloping futures curve. Prevailing market opinion can also, of course, exert great influence. According to one not uncontroversial theory, for example, a contango situation (backwardation situation) may arise when a majority of investors expect commodity prices to rise (fall) in future and adopt a corresponding position on the futures market in anticipation. Another potential cause is where there are fundamental differences in supply and demand streams for the various contract maturities. These can be due partly to differences in the needs of the real economy which can also be subject to seasonal fluctuations. For example, spikes in energy demand during heating periods may lead to generally higher prices of crude oil during the winter months in the northern hemisphere. Commodities can also be subject to seasonal supply-side fluctuations, as the seasonal harvest cycle of agricultural products shows. According to estimates by the International Energy Agency (IEA), global demand for natural gas will increase by an average of 2.4% per year between now and 2018. (Source: www.iea.org, 31.07.2014) This all means that the performance of traditional commodity indices can sometimes be unsatisfactory. Since commodities are often in a contango situation, traditional commodity indices may, over the long term, build up negative tracking errors in comparison with the tracked index. 07 Impact of passive commodity exposures on futures markets Despite shortcomings, the arrival of commodity indices sparked a minor revolution in commodity markets. The development of financial products such as UBS ETCs considerably simplified access to commodity markets. They allowed an increasing number of private investors to gain exposure to the commodity markets. Alongside ‘active’ investors who use the futures market to hedge prices of real assets, an increasing number of 'passive' investors emerged who use the commodity futures market solely as an investment vehicle. This trend is demonstrated by the volumes invested using commodity indices. According to figures from the US CFTC (Commodity Futures Trading Commission) these rose by more than ten times between the end of 2002 and the end of 2013, from around 15 billion US dollars to around 186 billion. Volume increase in index-based commodity investments 250 200 In commodity indices invested assets (in billion USD) As of 31.12.2013 Source: U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission, Index Investment Data (www.cftc.gov) 150 100 50 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 0 Ready for transport: copper, here in the form of industry-standard copper plates, is valued both in the electrical engineering and the construction sector for its excellent electrical and thermal conductivity. 08 02 UBS Bloomberg CMCI – the first commodity index for the entire futures curve The UBS Bloomberg CMCI Index Family was developed by UBS in cooperation with Bloomberg to track real performance of commodity prices via futures contracts as closely as possible. As the first commodities index, the UBS Bloomberg CMCI Index Family uses up to five constant maturities while maintaining broad-based diversification across 27 commodities futures contracts. The index thus reflects the complete pricing picture and all market opinions, while at the same time reducing negative roll returns. Daily rolling of futures contracts ensures that the average time-to-maturity of the futures contracts tracked in the UBS Bloomberg CMCI index is kept permanently constant, unlike most traditional indices that only roll once a month. Traditional commodity indices Price 1. buy high 2. hold 4. reinvest 3. sell low Maturity (time to expiration) Traditional commodity indices Traditional commodity indices Price Price 1. buy high UBS Bloomberg CMCI UBS Bloomberg CMCI Continuous rolling process 2. hold 4. reinvest Invested over the entire futures curve 3. sell low Maturity (time to expiration) Price Both graphs use the same example futures curve in which contract prices areCMCI shown at various maturities. While the UBS Bloomberg hypothetical futures curve shows an upward trend at the shorter end (contango situation), a downward trend is Continuous rolling process observed at the long end (backwardation situation). Traditional indices (left) are generally invested exclusively in short-term futures contracts. They therefore only consider a small proportion of the commodity market. In a contango situation, for example at the shortover end of the futures curve, Invested this limited method which excludes futures the entire futures curve contracts with longer maturities will inevitably lead to negative roll returns. Maturity (time to expiration) By contrast, the UBS Bloomberg CMCI index (right) exhibits a substantially broader diversification across the available maturities. This allows the commodity market to be tracked more comprehensively. The effects of any negative roll returns at the short end of the futures curve can be reduced (and sometimes even moved into positive territory) by switching to other maturities. We can generalise from this to say that using all futures maturities reduces the direct impact of the short end of the futures curve. (Source: Bloomberg, UBS AG) Maturity (time to expiration) 10 11 09 UBS Bloomberg CMCI Index Universe The UBS Bloomberg CMCI Index Family covers the most economically significant exchange traded commodities. The UBS Bloomberg CMCI Index Universe permits investments in three dimensions: 1.Broadly diversified commodity investment in the composite market that comprises several commodity sectors (via the UBS Bloomberg CMCI Composite TR Index). 2.Investment in a particular commodity sector (for example, the energy sector via the UBS Bloomberg CMCI Energy TR Index). 3.Targeted investment in a particular individual commodity (for example, coffee via the UBS Bloomberg CMCI Coffee TR Index). 1. Entire Commodity Sector UBS Bloomberg CMCI Composite Index Energy & Metals UBS Bloomberg CMCI Energy & Metals Index 2. Industry Focus Energy Industrial Metals Precious Metals Livestock Agriculture 3. Single Commodity Focus WTI Crude Oil Copper Gold Live Cattle Wheat Brent Crude Oil Zinc Silver Lean Hogs Milling Wheat Heating Oil Aluminium Platinum Gasoil Nickel Soybeans Gasoline Lead Soybean Meal Natural Gas Corn Soybean Oil Sugar Cocoa Coffee Cotton Rough Rice 10 Weighting procedure for UBS Bloomberg CMCI Index Family Stage 1: Sector weighting Determining the sector weighting is the first stage in the weighting process. The UBS Bloomberg CMCI Composite Index covers all five sectors: energy, industrial metals, precious metals, agriculture and livestock. At sector level a higher weighting is assigned to economic significance (two thirds) than liquidity (one third). Sector liquidity: sector liquidity is determined based on two futures market indicators reported on the relevant exchanges: open interest and market turnover for the relevant commodity sector, which are each given a 50% weighting. Open interest represents the nominal market value of the open/outstanding futures contracts in the relevant sector. Market turnover reflects the accumulated nominal volumes of futures contracts traded. Economic significance of the sector: the sector’s economic significance is calculated by adding the relevant commodity sector’s share in the consumer price index (CPI) (two thirds) and in the producer price index (PPI) (one third) and multiplying it by the sector’s share of the gross domestic product (GDP) of the USA, EU and Japan. Stage 1: Sector weighting Sector’s economic significance Sector liquidity USA (CPI (2/3) + PPI (1/3)) x GDP Weight EU (CPI (2/3) + PPI (1/3)) x GDP Weight 2/3 1/3 Japan (CPI (2/3) + PPI (1/3)) x GDP Weight Sector open interest 50% Sector turnover 50% Stage 2: Component weighting Economic significance of components Component liquidity Share of components in the dollar value of global consumption Component’s share in the sector’s open interest 50% 1/3 2/3 Component’s share in the sector’s turnover 50% Stage 2: Component weighting The second stage of the process involves calculating the share of the individual commodities within their allocated sector through a process of component weighting. This determines for example the share of WTI crude futures in the energy sector. Economic significance and market liquidity are also considered at the component level. However, at this point a higher weighting is assigned to the component liquidity for each commodity (two thirds) than to the economic significance of the sector (one third). Economic significance of components: the component’s economic significance is determined by its share in the dollar value of global consumption for each individual commodity within the relevant sector. The greater the relative consumption of a commodity, the greater its share tends to be in the relevant sector. Component liquidity: as at sector level, component liquidity is again determined by two parameters on the futures market: component liquidity is determined by the respective commodity’s share in the sector’s open interest (half) and the sector’s market turnover (half) (see explanation above). The UBS Bloomberg CMCI Composite Index represents the entire commodity market. The weighting of the commodity sectors and commodity components it contains is therefore of especial importance. (With a UBS Bloomberg CMCI Sector Index, by contrast, it is only the weighting of the commodity components that is brought to bear). The multi-staged weighting process places value both on the economic significance of the commodities under consideration and on high market liquidity. This is designed to track the economic significance of the individual components in the index as closely as possible and to ensure that the individual components of the index are actually tradable on a daily basis at the lowest possible transaction costs. 11 Regular reviews ensure that weightings are allocated correctly over the long term: weightings are rebalanced monthly according to the target weights (over the last three business days of the month). The target weights for economic significance are revised annually (in July). Liquidity target weights are revised semi-annually by an Index Committee consisting of numerous commodities experts from UBS and Bloomberg (in January and July). At sector level, each commodity component is included in the calculations for the target weights with weightings ranging from a maximum of 20 per cent to a minimum of 0.6 per cent. Last updated on: 31.07.2014. (Source: CMCI Advisory Committee, UBS AG) UBS Bloomberg CMCI index compared with traditional commodity indices UBS Bloomberg CMCI S&P GSCI Commodity Index Bloomberg Commodity Index Rogers International Commodity Index JPMorgan Commodity Curve Index Inception Date January 2007 May 1991 July 1998 July 1998 November 2007 Rebalancing Monthly Yearly Yearly Monthly Yearly Roll Schedule Daily 5th – 9th business day of each month 5th – 9th business day of each month Last 2 and 1st business days of each month 1st – 10th business day of each month Futures-curve positioning Constant maturity (3 months – 3 years) Front month Front month Front month Out to 3 years. Holds contracts along futures-curve in proportion to open interest Diversification Broad Energy focus Broad Broad Broad Selection criteria –Sector: 2/3 economic weighting & 1/3 liquidity –Components: 1/3 Consumption & 2/3 liquidity Weighting by world production in relation to current prices Weighting by production, liquidity & diversification (Minimum & maximum portion per component and sector) RICI committee decides without given rules Open interest & market size in USD UBS Bloomberg CMCI index rolls daily and provides broad diversification across the entire futures curve. (Source: Index Manuals & Websites, WM CIO Research, as of 31.07.2014) 12 UBS Bloomberg CMCI indices on the entire commodity sector The UBS Bloomberg CMCI Composite Index is the most broadly diversified CMCI index and covers the entire commodities market. It contains commodities in five sectors: energy, industrial metals, precious metals, agriculture and livestock. Broadly diversified commodity benchmark index: UBS Bloomberg CMCI Composite TR Index Commodity sector Energy Agriculture Industrial Metals Precious Metals Livestock Weight 38.2% 28.0% 24.3% 5.4% 4.1% As of 31.07.2014, Source: Bloomberg, UBS AG The UBS Bloomberg CMCI Energy & Metals Index permits broad-based investment in the commodity sector without agriculture and livestock. It covers the energy sector as well as industrial and precious metals. Commodity sector without agriculture and livestock: UBS Bloomberg CMCI Energy & Metals TR Index Commodity sector Energy Industrial Metals Livestock Weight 56.2% 35.8% 8.0% As of 31.07.2014, Source: Bloomberg, UBS AG UBS ETCs on the UBS Bloomberg CMCI Composite and Energy & Metals TR Index USD Underlying Index Commodity Sector CMCI Composite TR Index Commodity Sector CMCI Energy & Metals TR Index SIX Symbol CHF currency hedged EUR currency hedged ISIN Fee p.a. TCMCI CH0031794263 0,38% CCMCI CH0034808169 0,81% ECMCI CH0034808136 0,50% TCMCI CH0197973420 0,38% CCMCI CH0197973412 0,81% ECMCI CH0197973438 0,50% ISIN Fee SIX p.a. Symbol ISIN Fee SIX p.a. Symbol You can find more information on the products presented, including opportunities and risks, in the glossary and the risk warning at the end of this document as well as in the term sheets and factsheets that can be inspected on the internet using the Valor or ISIN number: www.ubs.com/keyinvest 13 UBS Bloomberg CMCI indices with a focus on the energy sector Energy has an essential place in the global economy. Crude oil and fuels produced from it, such as fuel oil and gasoline in particular, keep the economy going. If oil prices rise, the global economy can falter. The industrialised world first experienced this dependence during the oil crises in the 1970s when the Organisation of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) reduced their supply quotas, causing oil prices to rocket. Since then governments in the industrialised world have been attempting to reduce their dependence on energy imports. But even forty years after the first oil crisis fossil fuels continue to be of enormous importance for the global economy. Composition of UBS Bloomberg CMCI Energy TR Index Composition of UBS Bloomberg CMCI Energy TR Index Commodity futures contract Brent Crude Oil WTI Crude Oil (NYMEX) RBOB Gasoline Gasoil Heating Oil Natural Gas WTI Crude Oil (ICE) Weight 25.2% 20.5% 13.3% 12.8% 11.1% 10.5% 6.7% As of 31.07.2014, Source: Bloomberg, UBS AG UBS ETCs on UBS Bloomberg CMCI Energy Indices USD SIX Symbol CHF currency hedged ISIN Fee SIX p.a. Symbol Underlying Index Energy Sector CMCI Energy TR Index TENCI CH0042990041 0.40% WTI Crude Oil CMCI WTI TR Index TCLCI CH0033333326 0.30% Brent Crude Oil CMCI Brent TR Index TCOCI CH0032661685 0.30% Gasoil CMCI Gasoil TR Index TQSCI CH0037787592 0.40% Gasoline CMCI Gasoline TR Index TXBCI CH0036834908 0.40% Heating Oil CMCI Heating Oil TR Index THOCI CH0037787600 0.40% Natural Gas CMCI Natural Gas TR Index TNGCI CH0037787659 0.40% EUR currency hedged ISIN Fee p.a. CENCI CH0042990074 0.84% EENCI CH0042990066 0.52% CCLCI CH0037069876 0.72% ECLCI CH0037069843 0.42% CCOCI CH0035787859 0.72% ECOCI CH0035787909 0.42% CXBCI CH0036834981 0.84% EXBCI CH0036834882 0.52% CNGCI CH0042990090 0.84% ENGCI CH0042990082 0.52% ISIN Fee SIX p.a. Symbol You can find more information on the products presented, including opportunities and risks, in the glossary and the risk warning at the end of this document as well as in the term sheets and factsheets that can be inspected on the internet using the Valor or ISIN number: www.ubs.com/keyinvest 14 UBS Bloomberg CMCI indices with a focus on industrial metals Industrial metals form the backbone of the global economy. No car, no modern building and no electrical device can be manufactured without the use of industrial metals. ‘Industrial metals’ are metals which are so important that an entire industry has grown up around them. This is the case, amongst others, with copper, zinc, aluminium, nickel and lead. Each of these metals has specific properties that are in demand in a variety of applications and situations. 29 million tonnes of aluminium are needed yearly to satisfy global demand. The image shows how aluminium was used as a material for the frontage of an office complex in Warsaw, Poland. Composition of UBS Bloomberg CMCI Industrial Metals TR Index Composition of UBS Bloomberg CMCI Industrial Metals TR Index Commodity futures contract LME Copper LME Aluminium High Grade Copper LME Zinc LME Nickel LME Lead Weight 36.4% 25.1% 14.5% 9.2% 9.0% 5.7% As of 31.07.2014, Source: Bloomberg, UBS AG UBS ETCs on UBS Bloomberg CMCI Industrial Metals Indices USD SIX Symbol CHF currency hedged EUR currency hedged ISIN Fee p.a. CIMCI CH0036249024 0.81% EIMCI CH0036249016 0.49% CLACI CH0037787899 0.81% ELACI CH0039918609 0.49% TLPCI CH0037787584 0.37% CLPCI CH0037787907 0.81% ELPCI CH0039918591 0.49% CMCI Lead TR Index TLLCI CH0037787626 0.37% CLLCI CH0037787949 0.81% ELLCI CH0037787782 0.49% Nickel CMCI Nickel TR Index TLNCI CH0037787667 0.37% CLNCI CH0037787980 0.81% ELNCI CH0037787824 0.49% Zinc CMCI Zinc TR Index TLXCI CH0037787717 0.37% CLXCI CH0037788038 0.81% ELXCI CH0037787873 0.49% ISIN Fee SIX p.a. Symbol Underlying Index Industrial Metals Sector CMCI Industrial Metals TR Index TIMCI CH0035657417 0.37% Aluminium CMCI Aluminium TR Index TLACI CH0037787576 0.37% Copper CMCI Copper TR Index Lead ISIN Fee SIX p.a. Symbol You can find more information on the products presented, including opportunities and risks, in the glossary and the risk warning at the end of this document as well as in the term sheets and factsheets that can be inspected on the internet using the Valor or ISIN number: www.ubs.com/keyinvest 15 UBS Bloomberg CMCI indices with a focus on precious metals Precious metals, above all gold, have fascinated human beings since time immemorial. This is partly because they are highly resistant to corrosion and thus retain their value over time. Gold is also seen as a 'safe haven', particularly at times of crisis. Precious metals include gold and silver as well as platinum and palladium. The latter two metals – even more than silver – have a dual value, as they are also heavily used in the industrial sector. Gold is increasingly in demand. The shiny yellow metal is not only used as an ornament and an investment but is also used in medicine and electrical devices such as computers. The image shows how gold is used in circuitry. Composition of UBS Bloomberg CMCI Precious Metals TR Index Composition of UBS Bloomberg CMCI Precious Metals TR Index Commodity futures contract Gold (COMEX) Silver Weight 80.2% 19.8% As of 31.07.2014, Source: Bloomberg, UBS AG UBS ETCs on UBS Bloomberg CMCI Precious Metals Indices USD SIX Symbol CHF currency hedged EUR currency hedged ISIN Fee p.a. CPMCI CH0042990199 0.92% EPMCI CH0042990116 0.61% CGCCI CH0036249057 0.66% EGCCI CH0036248992 0.38% TSICI CH0036991435 0.37% CSICI CH0036249040 0.80% ESICI CH0036249008 0.49% TPLCI CH0039194219 0.49% CPLCI CH0039205601 0.92% EPLCI CH0039205627 0.61% ISIN Fee SIX p.a. Symbol Underlying Index Precious Metals Sector CMCI Precious Metals TR Index TPMCI CH0042990108 0.49% Gold CMCI Gold TR Index TGCCI CH0036991427 0.26% Silver CMCI Silver TR Index Platinum CMCI Platinum TR Index ISIN Fee SIX p.a. Symbol You can find more information on the products presented, including opportunities and risks, in the glossary and the risk warning at the end of this document as well as in the term sheets and factsheets that can be inspected on the internet using the Valor or ISIN number: www.ubs.com/keyinvest 16 UBS Bloomberg CMCI indices with the focus on agriculture As a result of global population growth and the global increase in prosperity of an increasing number of people, eating habits are changing and global demand for agricultural commodities such as grain is rising. This means that agricultural commodities such as corn, wheat and sugar but also coffee, cocoa and soya products are key in meeting basic needs. Agricultural commodities are also increasingly used to manufacture biofuels. Prices of agricultural commodities, also referred to as 'soft commodities' are subject to seasonal fluctuations as they follow the natural cycle of sowing and harvesting. As a result, prices generally also react sensitively to weather conditions in the corresponding major farming areas. For example, drought in Brazil can lead to a boom in coffee prices. Composition of UBS Bloomberg CMCI Agriculture TR Index Composition of UBS Bloomberg CMCI Agriculture TR Index Commodity futures contract Soybeans Corn Sugar #11 SRW Wheat Sugar #5 Soybean Metals Soybean Oil Cotton Coffee «C» Arabica HRW Wheat Cocoa Weight 22.5% 19.0% 16.6% 8.0% 7.5% 6.4% 5.4% 4.5% 3.6% 3.6% 2.9% As of 31.07.2014, Source: Bloomberg, UBS AG UBS ETCs on UBS Bloomberg CMCI Agriculture Indices USD SIX Symbol CHF currency hedged EUR currency hedged ISIN Fee p.a. CAGCI CH0035787800 0.84% EAGCI CH0035787842 0.55% CFOCI CH0038468846 0.92% EFOCI CH0038468838 0.63% TQCCI CH0035657383 0.56% CQCCI CH0036985031 0.99% EQCCI CH0036985049 0.68% CMCI Coffee TR Index TKCCI CH0035657409 0.54% CKCCI CH0036985015 0.98% EKCCI CH0036985023 0.66% Corn CMCI Corn TR Index TCNCI CH0034478849 0.47% CCNCI CH0036835012 0.91% ECNCI CH0036834890 0.59% Cotton CMCI Cotton TR Index TCTCI CH0035657425 0.46% CCTCI CH0036984992 0.90% ECTCI CH0036985007 0.58% Milling Wheat CMCI Milling Wheat TR Index TCACI CH0131514173 0.59% CCACI CH0131514181 1.01% ECACI CH0131514165 0.57% Soybeans CMCI Soybeans TR Index TSYCI CH0036834866 0.46% CSYCI CH0036835038 0.90% ESYCI CH0036834924 0.58% Soybeans CMCI Soybeans TR Index TSMCI CH0037787675 0.53% Soybean Oil CMCI Soybean Oil TR Index TBOCI CH0037787683 0.53% Sugar CMCI Sugar #11 TR Index CSBCI CH0036835046 1.07% ESBCI CH0036834940 0.74% Wheat CMCI Wheat TR Index TWWCI CH0034478864 0.47% CWWCI CH0036835020 0.91% EWWCI CH0036834965 0.59% Rough Rice CMCI Rough Rice TR Index ISIN Fee SIX p.a. Symbol Underlying Index Agriculture Sector CMCI Agriculture TR Index TAGCI CH0033726370 0.47% Food CMCI Food TR Index TFOCI CH0038468804 0.55% Cocoa CMCI Cocoa TR Index Coffee TSBCI CH0035657391 0.63% TRRCI CH0118479614 0.96% ISIN Fee SIX p.a. Symbol CRRCI CH0118479630 1.18% ERRCI CH0118479622 1.08% You can find more information on the products presented, including opportunities and risks, in the glossary and the risk warning at the end of this document as well as in the term sheets and factsheets that can be inspected on the internet using the Valor or ISIN number: www.ubs.com/keyinvest 17 UBS Bloomberg CMCI indices with a focus on livestock When it comes to large herds of cattle in the USA your first thought might be of images from the early 19th century when cowboys drove cattle from Texas to the northern USA. During the same period, Chicago also made a name for itself as a place where livestock was bought and sold, which ultimately led to the establishment of futures markets with contracts for live cattle and lean hogs. Although these enormous cattle drives no longer take place today, there is still lively trading in futures contracts on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME). Composition of UBS Bloomberg CMCI Livestock TR Index Composition of UBS Bloomberg CMCI Livestock TR Index Commodity futures contract Live Cattle Lean Hogs Weight 56.1% 43.9% As of 31.07.2014, Source: Bloomberg, UBS AG UBS ETCs on UBS Bloomberg CMCI Livestock Indices USD SIX Symbol CHF currency hedged ISIN Fee SIX p.a. Symbol Underlying Index Lean Hogs CMCI Lean Hogs TR Index TLHCI CH0037787634 0.54% Live Cattle CMCI Live Cattle TR Index TLCCI CH0037787642 0.49% EUR currency hedged ISIN Fee p.a. CLHCI CH0042990223 0.98% ELHCI CH0042990215 0.66% CLCCI CH0042990264 0.93% ELCCI CH0042990231 0.61% ISIN Fee SIX p.a. Symbol You can find more information on the products presented, including opportunities and risks, in the glossary and the risk warning at the end of this document as well as in the term sheets and factsheets that can be inspected on the internet using the Valor or ISIN number: www.ubs.com/keyinvest 18 03 Overview: UBS ETCs on UBS Bloomberg CMCI USD Index SIX Symbol CHF currency hedged ISIN Fee SIX p.a. Symbol ISIN EUR currency hedged Fee SIX p.a. Symbol ISIN Fee p.a. Composite Index Commodity Sector CMCI Composite TR Index TCMCI CH0031794263 0.38% CCMCI CH0034808169 0.81% CMCI Composite 3M TR Index TCM3M CH0031794214 0.38% CMCI Composite 6M TR Index TCM6M CH0031794206 0.38% CMCI Composite 1Y TR Index TCM1Y CH0029777445 0.38% ECMCI CH0034808136 0.50% Energy Energy Sector CMCI Energy TR Index TENCI CH0042990041 0.40% CENCI CH0042990074 0.84% EENCI CH0042990066 0.52% WTI Crude Oil CMCI WTI TR Index TCLCI CH0033333326 0.30% CCLCI CH0037069876 0.72% ECLCI CH0037069843 0.42% CCOCI CH0035787859 0.72% ECOCI CH0035787909 0.42% CXBCI CH0036834981 0.84% EXBCI CH0036834882 0.52% CNGCI CH0042990090 0.84% ENGCI CH0042990082 0.52% Brent Crude Oil CMCI WTI 3M TR Index TCL3M CH0033333342 0.30% CMCI WTI 6M TR Index TCL6M CH0033333359 0.30% CMCI WTI 1Y TR Index TCL1Y CH0033333367 0.30% CMCI Brent TR Index TCOCI CH0032661685 0.30% CMCI Brent 3M TR Index TCO3M CH0032661693 0.30% CMCI Brent 6M TR Index TCO6M CH0032661701 0.30% CMCI Brent 1Y TR Index TCO1Y CH0032661719 0.30% Gasoil CMCI Gasoil TR Index Gasoline CMCI Gasoline TR Index TQSCI CH0037787592 0.40% TXBCI CH0036834908 0.40% Heating Oil CMCI Heating Oil TR Index THOCI CH0037787600 0.40% Natural Gas CMCI Natural Gas TR Index TNGCI CH0037787659 0.40% Industrial Metals Industrial Metals Sector CMCI Industrial Metals TR Index TIMCI CH0035657417 0.37% CIMCI CH0036249024 0.81% EIMCI CH0036249016 0.49% Aluminium CMCI Aluminium TR Index TLACI CH0037787576 0.37% CLACI CH0037787899 0.81% ELACI CH0039918609 0.49% ELPCI CH0039918591 0.49% Copper CMCI Copper TR Index TLPCI CH0037787584 0.37% CLPCI CH0037787907 0.81% Lead CMCI Lead TR Index TLLCI CH0037787626 0.37% CLLCI CH0037787949 0.81% ELLCI CH0037787782 0.49% Nickel CMCI Nickel TR Index TLNCI CH0037787667 0.37% CLNCI CH0037787980 0.81% ELNCI CH0037787824 0.49% Zinc CMCI Zinc TR Index TLXCI CH0037787717 0.37% CLXCI CH0037788038 0.81% ELXCI CH0037787873 0.49% Precious Metals Precious Metals Sector CMCI Precious Metals TR Index TPMCI CH0042990108 0.49% CPMCI CH0042990199 0.92% EPMCI CH0042990116 0.61% Gold CMCI Gold TR Index TGCCI CH0036991427 0.26% CGCCI CH0036249057 0.66% EGCCI CH0036248992 0.38% Silver CMCI Silver TR Index TSICI CH0036991435 0.37% CSICI CH0036249040 0.80% ESICI CH0036249008 0.49% Platinum CMCI Platinum TR Index TPLCI CH0039194219 0.49% CPLCI CH0039205601 0.92% EPLCI CH0039205627 0.61% CMCI Agriculture TR Index TAGCI CH0033726370 0.47% CAGCI CH0035787800 0.84% EAGCI CH0035787842 0.55% CMCI Agriculture 1 Year TR Index TAG1Y CH0110257455 0.60% Agriculture Agriculture Sector Food CMCI Food TR Index TFOCI CH0038468804 0.55% CFOCI CH0038468846 0.92% EFOCI CH0038468838 0.63% Cocoa CMCI Cocoa TR Index TQCCI CH0035657383 0.56% CQCCI CH0036985031 0.99% EQCCI CH0036985049 0.68% Coffee CMCI Coffee TR Index TKCCI CH0035657409 0.54% CKCCI CH0036985015 0.98% EKCCI CH0036985023 0.66% Corn CMCI Corn TR Index TCNCI CH0034478849 0.47% CCNCI CH0036835012 0.91% ECNCI CH0036834890 0.59% Cotton CMCI Cotton TR Index TCTCI CH0035657425 0.46% CCTCI CH0036984992 0.90% ECTCI CH0036985007 0.58% Milling Wheat CMCI Milling Wheat TR Index TCACI CH0131514173 0.59% CCACI CH0131514181 1.01% ECACI CH0131514165 0.57% CSYCI CH0036835038 0.90% ESYCI CH0036834924 0.58% CSBCI CH0036835046 1.07% ESBCI CH0036834940 0.74% Soybeans CMCI Soybeans TR Index TSYCI CH0036834866 0.46% Soybean Meal CMCI Soybean Meal TR Index TSMCI CH0037787675 0.53% TBOCI CH0037787683 0.53% Soybean Oil CMCI Soybean Oil TR Index Sugar CMCI Sugar #11 TR Index Wheat CMCI Wheat TR Index Rough Rice CMCI Rough Rice TR Index TSBCI CH0035657391 0.63% TWWCI CH0034478864 0.47% CWWCI CH0036835020 0.91% EWWCI CH0036834965 0.59% TRRCI CH0118479614 0.96% CRRCI CH0118479630 1.18% ERRCI CH0118479622 1.08% Livestock Lean Hogs CMCI Lean Hogs TR Index TLHCI CH0037787634 0.54% CLHCI CH0042990223 0.98% ELHCI CH0042990215 0.66% Live Cattle CMCI Live Cattle TR Index TLCCI CH0037787642 0.49% CLCCI CH0042990264 0.93% ELCCI CH0042990231 0.61% CMCI Energy & Metals TR Index TEMCI CH0197973420 0.38% CEMCI CH0197973412 0.81% EEMCI CH0197973438 0.50% Energy & Metals Benchmark Indices S&P GSCI with CMCI weighting S&P GSCI weighted CMCI TR Index GCMCI CH0048491788 0.50% BCOM with CMCI weighting TDJCM CH0116406890 0.50% CDJCM CH0116406916 0.72% EDJCM CH0116406908 0.62% BCOM Constant Maturity TR Index 2x Leveraged 2x Long CMCI WTI Crude Oil ER Index 2x Long CMCI Gold ER Index OIL2L CH0035730362 0.98% GLD2L CH0102709042 0.94% 2x Long CMCI Silver ER Index SIL2L CH0102709059 1.05% 2x Short CMCI WTI Crude Oil ER Index OIL2S CH0035730370 0.98% 2x Short CMCI Gold ER Index GLD2S CH0102725956 0.94% 2x Short CMCI Silver ER Index SIL2S CH0102725964 1.05% You can find more information on the products presented, including opportunities and risks, in the glossary and the risk warning at the end of this document as well as in the term sheets and factsheets that can be inspected on the internet using the Valor or ISIN number: keyinvest-ch.ubs.com 19 04 Risks and opportunities of UBS ETCs Investor profile UBS ETCs are suitable for investors with a medium to high risk preference who are looking to invest in commodities with low capital and administrative costs. The method used by the UBS Bloomberg CMCI index attempts to minimise any potential tracking error on the performance of commodities. Investing in UBS ETCs – risks and opportunities Opportunities – UBS ETCs allow cost-efficient, transparent participation in the relevant UBS Bloomberg CMCI index. – Commodities as stand-alone asset class exhibiting low long-term correlation with shares, bonds and currencies can offer diversification benefits in portfolio terms. – You have a wide choice: the UBS Bloomberg CMCI Index Family is broad-based and allows targeted investment in a particular commodity, a particular commodity sector or a market-wide commodity index. – The UBS Bloomberg CMCI index is designed to minimise negative roll returns (resulting from contango constellations in the underlying futures contract) and is therefore distinguished by diversification across a broad basket of maturities and optionally daily traded rolling transactions. – The Total Return Index reinvests the interest component into the index. – You have the opportunity to exceed traditional commodity indices both in terms of performance and volatility. – UBS ETCs offer cost-efficient access to commodity investing that is based on futures contracts, thus avoiding physical delivery (with no costs to the investor for commodity warehousing capacities). – Stick to your preferred currency: UBS ETCs can be traded not only in US dollars but also in Swiss francs and euros. In the case of CHF and EUR tranches, investment volumes are covered by currency hedging at the end of each trading day. – There is no restriction on maturity (open-ended). – UBS generally buys and sells on a daily basis: liquid and continuous secondary market trading generally takes place on the SIX Structured Products Exchange on a daily basis under normal market conditions. 20 Risks – Your investment capital is not protected. The stock market performance of UBS ETCs depends chiefly on the performance of the relevant underlying UBS Bloomberg CMCI index. Falls in the index will mean losses in the relevant UBS ETC. – Investors in UBS ETCs bear the credit risk of the issuer, UBS AG, and thus risk losing their investment capital regardless of the performance of the underlying index if the issuer becomes insolvent (more detailed information on the issuer can be obtained from the securities prospectus, which is available free of charge from the issuer or an office nominated by it). – The performance of the index will continue to depend on the structure and characteristics of the futures curve. It is possible that the UBS Bloomberg CMCI method may not reduce negative roll returns, leading to losses. – Commodities and commodity futures are volatile and may not be suitable for all investors. – Due to the product-specific management fee the performance of UBS ETCs is usually slightly poorer than the relevant underlying index. – The issuer intends to ensure liquidity on a daily trading basis (OTC trading) in normal market phases. However, investors should note that in some circumstances it may not be possible to sell UBS ETCs at all times. – Despite currency hedging at the end of each day of trading, the CHF and EUR tranches may be subject to currency fluctuation risks between the hedging transactions (intraday). – UBS ETCs are subject to market influences during their period of validity (performance of underlying instruments, futures curve etc.), which may affect the value of UBS ETCs. – In accordance with the UBS ETC terms and conditions, the issuer is entitled under certain conditions to terminate a UBS ETC. You will find more information in the securities prospectus. 05 Glossary and further information Glossary Backwardation is the technical term for a downward sloping Futures Curve (q.v.) and generally leads to positive roll returns in traditional indices. CMCI (Constant Maturity Commodity Index) is the name given to the commodity index family developed by UBS and Bloomberg which aims to reduce negative roll returns by tracking the commodity futures market. Contango is the technical term for an upward sloping Futures Curve (q.v.) and generally leads to negative roll returns in traditional indices. UBS ETCs (Exchange Traded Commodities) are investment vehicles that allow simple and cost-effective participation in the performance of a particular commodity index. The credit risk of the issuer (UBS AG) should be taken into consideration. Excess Return (ER): an excess return commodity index calculates spot price performance along with roll returns from a futures investment (see also Spot Return). Futures Contracts (or forward contracts) are financial instruments in which the parties agree to complete a transaction (delivery or acceptance of the underlying instrument) at a fixed date in the future at the currently traded futures price. Commodities are mainly traded via futures contracts since this allows costs of physical delivery to be avoided. The Futures Curve arises from the fact that at any point in time there are multiple futures contracts for the same commodity which only differ in terms of maturity. Plotting commodity prices for futures contracts against maturities creates a futures curve which can slope upward (contango) or downward (backwardation). The Market Value of an asset (for example, a commodity): the market value of an asset corresponds to the market price that an asset could achieve. Correlation, in finance mathematics, is a term used to indicate how closely two datasets (e.g. performance data) track each other in terms of their changes. A diversification benefit can be achieved in a portfolio if instruments which exhibit low mutual correlation are combined. Market Volume refers to the equivalent of all goods traded on a market (e.g. the commodities market). It is calculated by multiplying the volume traded by the market price and then totalling this for a specific period (e.g. one month). Open Interest is the total number of outstanding positions in a forward or options contract. p.a. stands for ‘per annum’ and refers to the (annualised) percentage value over one year. Performance refers to changes in value of shares etc. and is generally given in percentage terms. Real Economy: economists generally make a distinction between the real economy and the financial sector. The real economy is part of the whole economy and produces real goods, trades in them or provides services. The financial sector by contrast provides financial capital for the real economy. Rolling refers to the simultaneous buying and selling of futures contracts for the same commodity at different maturities to rebalance the position in the futures contract. Since the purchase and spot prices for the contracts concerned are not usually identical, this leads to so-called roll returns (see Roll Returns). Roll Returns represent performance from rolling futures contracts. Roll returns can be positive (in backwardation situations) or negative (in contango situations). Real Assets: real assets generally refer to assets such as real estate, shares or commodities that have a utility value independent of fluctuations in monetary value (e.g. inflation). 21 Further information Sharpe Ratio is a risk-adjusted indicator of returns. A general rule of thumb is that higher Sharpe ratios mean improved profits and/or returns in comparison to the risk undergone, which in the form of Volatility (q.v.) is integrated into the Sharpe ratio formula. Spot Return: a spot return or spot price performance index tracks the performance of commodity prices regardless of the futures curve. Contango and backwardation therefore play no role. Total Return (TR): a total return commodity index calculates spot price performance along with roll returns and potential interest income from a futures investment. Interest income is possible with exposure in futures contracts since the margin means that only a small part of the total of the contract value must be paid. The remainder can be parked in short-term interest-bearing facilities (see also Excess Return and Spot Return). Tracking Error is a measure of the precision with which an asset tracks the performance of a target. In a commodity index ‘roll returns’ may give rise to deviations between index performance and spot price performance (see Spot Return). Volatility represents the degree of fluctuation in performance and is therefore a risk indicator. In mathematical terms it is the standard deviation. A general rule of thumb is that lower volatility reduces risk and increases the security of the relevant instrument. Currency-hedged: In the UBS Bloomberg CMCI Index Family, currency hedging is always implemented at the end of a trading day, which means that intraday (between two currency hedges) currency losses may occur for any non-hedged amounts. 22 UBS ETCs (Exchange Traded Commodities) are bearer bonds held by UBS AG, which means that investors are subject to the credit risk of the issuer, UBS AG. Issuer: Rating: UBS AG, London Branch A2 / A / A Last updated on: 31.07.2014 Up to date information on current rates as well as opportunities and risks of the products listed in this document can be found on our webpage keyinvest-ch.ubs.com clicking on the desired product via the respective Valor or ISIN using the quick search facility. Here you can also inspect the available documents and the legally binding securities prospectus along with the term sheet and associated factsheet. You can of course also request information on rates for the UBS Bloomberg CMCI index and the associated UBS ETCs in the Bloomberg rate information system. Corresponding summaries are available to you using commands including ‘CMCN’ and ‘CMCX’. This material has been prepared by UBS AG or an affiliate thereof (“UBS”). In certain countries UBS AG is referred to as UBS SA. This material is for distribution only under such circumstances as may be permitted by applicable law. It has not been prepared with regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs of any specific recipient. It is published solely for informational purposes and is not to be construed as a solicitation or an offer to buy or sell any securities or related financial instruments. The recipient should not construe the contents of this material as legal, tax, accounting, regulatory, or other specialist or technical advice or services or investment advice or a personal recommendation. No representation or warranty, either express or implied, is provided in relation to the accuracy, completeness or reliability of the information contained herein except with respect to information concerning UBS AG its subsidiaries and affiliates, nor is it intended to be a complete statement or summary of the securities markets or developments referred to in this material. It should not be regarded by recipients as a substitute for the exercise of their own judgment. Any opinions expressed in this material are subject to change without notice and may differ or be contrary to opinions expressed by other business areas or groups of UBS as a result of using different assumptions and criteria. UBS is under no obligation to update or keep current the information contained herein. UBS, its directors, officers, employees or clients may have or have had interest or long or short positions in the securities or other financial instruments referred to herein and may at any time make purchases and/or sales in them as principal or agent. UBS may act or have acted as market-maker in the securities or other financial instruments discussed in this material. Furthermore, UBS may have or have had a relationship with or may provide or have provided investment banking, capital markets and/or other financial services to the relevant companies. Neither UBS nor any of its affiliates, nor any of UBS’s affiliates, directors, employees or agents accepts any liability for any loss or damage arising out of the use of all or any part of this material. Additional information may be made available upon request. UBS specifically prohibits the redistribution or reproduction of this material in whole or in part without the written permission of UBS and UBS accepts no liability whatsoever for the actions of third parties in this respect. UBS Bloomberg Constant Maturity Commodity Index The Index Sponsors make no representation or warranty, express or implied, regarding the appropriateness of investing in products referenced to the UBS Bloomberg Constant Maturity Commodity Index Family (the “CMCI”), commodity products in general or of the ability of the CMCI to track commodity market performance. In determining the constituents of the CMCI and any amendment thereto, the Index Sponsors have no obligation to consider the needs of any counterparties that have products referenced to the CMCI. The Index Sponsors have all proprietary rights with respect to the CMCI. Any third party product based on or in relation to the CMCI (“Product”) may only be issued upon the prior written approval of UBS AG (“UBS”) and Bloomberg Finance L.P. (“Bloomberg Finance”) and upon the execution of a license agreement between UBS, Bloomberg Finance and the party intending to launch a Product. Neither UBS nor Bloomberg Finance, its affiliates and its and their respective partners, employees, subcontractors, agents, suppliers or vendors, make any representation or warranty, express or implied, to the holders of the Products or any member of the public regarding the advisability of investing in the Product or commodities generally or in futures particularly, or as to results to be obtained from the use of the CMCI or from the Product. Past performance of the CMCI is not necessarily indicative of future results. THE INDEX SPONSORS AND THEIR AFFILIATES DO NOT GUARANTEE THE QUALITY, ACCURACY AND/OR THE COMPLETENESS OF THE CMCI OR ANY DATA INCLUDED THEREIN AND SHALL NOT HAVE ANY LIABILITY FOR ANY ERRORS OR OMISSION OR INTERRUPTIONS IN THE CALCULATION AND/OR DISSEMINATION OF THE CMCI. THE INDEX SPONSORS AND THEIR AFFILIATES MAKE NO WARRANTY, EXPRESS OR IMPLIED, AS TO RESULTS TO BE OBTAINED BY OR FROM THE USE OF THE CMCI OR ANY DATA INCLUDED THEREIN OR FOR ANY OTHER USE (WHETHER DIRECTLY OR VIA ANY PRODUCT REFERENCED THERETO). NEITHER UBS NOR BLOOMBERG FINANCE, ITS AFFILIATES AND ITS AND THEIR RESPECTIVE PARTNERS, EMPLOYEES, SUBCONTRACTORS, AGENTS, SUPPLIERS AND VENDORS, MAKE ANY EXPRESS OR IMPLIED WARRANTIES, AND TO THE EXTENT PERMITTED BY LAW HEREBY EXPRESSLY DISCLAIM ALL WARRANTIES OF MERCHANTABILITY OR FITNESS FOR A PARTICULAR PURPOSE OR USE WITH RESPECT TO THE CMCI OR ANY DATA INCLUDED THEREIN. WITHOUT LIMITING ANY OF THE FOREGOING, TO THE EXTENT PERMITTED BY LAW UBS AND BLOOMBERG FINANCE, ITS AFFILIATES AND ITS AND THEIR RESPECTIVE PARTNERS, EMPLOYEES, SUBCONTRACTORS, AGENTS, SUPPLIERS OR VENDORS, DISCLAIM ANY LIABILITY FOR ANY PUNITIVE, INDIRECT, SPECIAL, OR CONSEQUENTIAL DAMAGES (INCLUDING LOST PROFITS), EVEN IF NOTIFIED OF THE POSSIBILITY OF SUCH. TO THE EXTENT PERMITTED BY LAW, BLOOMBERG FINANCE, ITS AFFILIATES AND ITS AND THEIR RESPECTIVE PARTNERS, EMPLOYEES, SUBCONTRACTORS, AGENTS, SUPPLIERS AND VENDORS SHALL HAVE NO LIABILITY OR RESPONSIBILITY, CONTINGENT OR OTHERWISE, FOR ANY INJURY OR DAMAGES, WHETHER CAUSED BY THE NEGLIGENCE OF BLOOMBERG FINANCE, ITS AFFILIATES OR ITS OR THEIR RESPECTIVE PARTNERS, EMPLOYEES, SUBCONTRACTORS, AGENTS, SUPPLIERS OR VENDORS OR OTHERWISE, ARISING IN CONNECTION WITH ANY PRODUCT. The New York Mercantile Exchange, Inc. (including the COMEX division), Chicago Board of Trade, ICE Futures, European Energy Exchange, London Metal Exchange, Kansas City Board of Trade, New York Board of Trade, Winnipeg Commodities Exchange, Euronext. Liffe, the Chicago Mercantile Exchange and a number of future exchanges (collectively the “Exchanges”) provide data on commodity futures contracts which, in part, are used to compile and calculate the CMCI. However, the Exchanges provide such data “as is” and without representation or warranty on their part. Further, the Exchanges: (i) do not in any way participate in the offering, sale, administration of, or payments for, the CMCI or any products related thereto, (ii) do not in any way ensure the accuracy of any of the statements made in any product materials or this document, (iii) are not liable for any error or omission in any settlement or other price, index, or valuation used in connection with the CMCI, have not participated in the determination of the timing of, prices at, or quantities of the products to be issued and have no obligation or liability in connection with the administration, marketing, or trading of the CMCI or any products thereon, (iv) are not in any way an issuer, manager, operator, guarantor or offeror of CMCI or any products related thereto, and are not a partner, affiliate or joint venturer of any of the foregoing, (v) have not approved, sponsored or endorsed the CMCI or its terms and are not responsible for any calculations involving the CMCI, (vi) make no representation or warranty, express or implied, to the owners of the CMCI or any member of the public regarding the advisability of investing in securities generally or in the CMCI particularly, and (vii) have no involvement with and accept no responsibility for the CMCI, its suitability as an investment or its future performance. None of the information contained herein constitutes a solicitation, offer, opinion, or recommendation by the Index Sponsors or any of their affiliates to buy or sell any security, or to provide legal, tax, accounting, or investment advice or services regarding the profitability or suitability of any security or investment. Under no circumstances, including but not limited to negligence, shall the Index Sponsors, their parents, and their respective affiliates, suppliers, vendors, agents, subcontractors, directors, officers, employees, representatives, partners, subsidiaries, successors, and assigns be liable for direct, indirect, incidental, consequential, special, punitive, or exemplary damages even if the Index Sponsors and their affiliates have been advised specifically of the possibility of such damages, arising from the CMCI or Product, such as, but not limited to, loss of revenue or anticipated profits or lost business. This Material has not been reviewed by Bloomberg Finance. © UBS 2014. The key symbol and UBS are among the registered and unregistered trademarks of UBS. Bloomberg is a trademark of Bloomberg L.P. and its affiliates (collectively “Bloomberg”). UBS Bloomberg Constant Maturity Commodity Index, UBS Bloomberg CMCI and CMCI are service marks of UBS and/or Bloomberg. All rights reserved. 23 Publisher UBS AG Public Distribution Switzerland Europastrasse 1 CH-8152 Opfikon Tel. +41 44-239 76 76 www.ubs.com/keyinvest Ab