GREEN DOT TECHNOLOGIES Our Team Thea Zimnicki, co-Chief Executive and Financial Officer Hoda Rifai, co-Chief Executive and Financial Officer Roman Stolper, Chief Technical Officer Victor Mateas, Chief Regulatory Officer Elijah Li, Chief Marketing Officer Sam Sia, Faculty Advisor I. Executive Summary Vaccination spoilage at the provider site is a major problem throughout the world. In the developing world, this is due to unreliable power grids, untrained and overworked personnel, and lack of resources for vaccine purchase. With the limited resources of NGOs in the developing world, vaccine spoilage reduces the ability to vaccinate against easily preventable and sometimes deadly diseases. In many cases, this leads to the administration of spoiled vaccines, which gives the illusion of protection or, worse yet, can be toxic to the patient. We have designed a refrigerator accessory that will prevent this by minimizing power consumption and cold loss during regular refrigerator use as well as informing against the administration of spoiled vaccines and maintaining a simple inventory system. This will be a cost effective solution because even a reasonable reduction of 10-30% in energy consumption would allow the user to make up the cost of the product in energy savings within 1-3 years. The potential for our product to save both energy and lives is great motivator for our team. Green Dot Technologies is made up of five biomedical engineering students from Columbia University. We have acquired the tools to build a company from the ground up and have a wide variety of programming, modeling, biomedical, and legal backgrounds from which to contribute. Our sensitivity to the needs of the developing world make us particularly capable of tackling these difficult problems. We intend to market this product to Non-Governmental Organizations, Governments, and other relief agencies in the developing world. We would like to partner with these groups to give them a reliable method by which to maintain and dispense vaccinations. In the developed world, we hope to market versions of our product to healthcare facilities including pharmacies and hospitals and in the future to refrigeration companies who will market it to individuals for home use. While we expect to break even in our second year of sales in the developing world, our sales in the developed world have enormous potential for profit with our first year of sales projected at above $2.5 million. The potential is even greater with proper regulation of energy consumption and a refrigeration market currently valued at $6.3 billion. With regulation focused on reducing energy consumption, we will be at the forefront of the reduction and thus have a competitive advantage. Furthermore, our product pays for itself in savings and environmental benefit. The few energy efficient refrigerators that would compete against us are potential partners rather than competitors. This puts our product in a particularly favorable position to profit from the movement toward reducing our reliance on energy while also providing reliable vaccinations in the developing world and alleviating a portion of the global health crisis. II. Company Overview Our product will have the dual purpose of reducing the energy dependence of the developing world and increasing the viability of the available vaccines. To do this, we propose an energy saving accessory for refrigerators used to store temperature sensitive pharmaceuticals, namely vaccines. This product will fit into a refrigerator and incorporate a dispensing mechanism through which there will be minimal exposure to atmospheric conditions. This dispensing device will be such that the inner contents of the fridge can be easily accessed without opening the insulated front of the product, thus reducing the cool air escape. The escape of cool air is the principle cause of 10-30% of the energy wasted during refrigeration. By reducing the cool air loss we will simultaneously reduce the energy necessary to power refrigerators on a normal basis and increase the time span the refrigerator will be able to maintain cold enough temperatures during power failure. Furthermore, we will reduce the human error in the storage and administration of vaccines by incorporating a user friendly interface for the dispensing, inventorying, and monitoring of vaccines. In addition to compensating for users who forget to close the door quickly after vaccine retrieval, our product will allow them to keep track of all the vaccines available to their patients without leaving the refrigerator open to atmospheric conditions. This inventory system also facilitates the awareness of the user with respect to the amount of vaccine necessary to order at any given point since the inventory will be readily accessible. Moreover, our monitoring system will give them a simple output by which to judge the condition of the vaccines which will be based on the temperature within the refrigeration unit. Since the administration of spoiled pharmaceuticals is a significant problem, our device will be equipped with a method by which the user will be alerted once the substance has become unsafe. In the future, we hope to incorporate a locking or discarding mechanism if the temperature has been determined to be at unsafe levels for the vaccine. In order to develop this product, we will be testing the theory in SolidWorks, an engineering software that will allow us to estimate the best materials and geometries for our device while considering cost. This will be especially effective in reducing our research and development costs. Still, once the prototype has been built from this initial estimate, we will test it as compared to a control refrigerator. This will give us our initial data regarding the period by which we can extend the cold temperature and the energy efficiency of the system. We expect this initial period to be complete within 6 months. We will also run a pilot study in Uganda in order to obtain more information about the real world application and data so that we may refine our design based on the needs of healthcare workers in the field. This is especially important with the lack of statistical data available for the developing world. We expect usable data in the first 6 months of the pilot. In order to get a leg up on the competition and also improve the quality of the environment, we will lobby congress for stricter regulations on energy consumption. Current regulations are lax and Energy Star, which has 20% lower energy requirements than is federally required, holds considerable influence with their certified products. By reducing this further, we will be one of few with this added advantage and hold a considerable position with environmental organizations that will appreciate the push our company has made for stricter regulations. III. The Market Customers Developing World There are millions of non-governmental organizations worldwide, many of which sponsor public health initiatives. In developing countries, a large proportion of hospitals and health clinics are usually run by NGOs. In Uganda alone, where we plan to run our pilot study, NGOs manage 48% of 3000 hospitals and health clinics in the country1, and similar statistics exist in other developing countries2. These NGOs, relief organizations, and governments will make up our primary customer base. Developed World Health Clinics and Pharmacies An additional market for our device is in the United States and other first-world countries. Pharmacies would undoubtedly benefit from an energy-saving refrigeration device, and the inventory tracker would assist the pharmacist in quickly and accurately identifying the supply needs of the pharmacy. Home Users Since our product can be made to fit several different kinds of products and refrigerators, homeusers represent a third market. The home refrigeration market is a $6.3 billion industry in the United States and is growing. Our product will be marketed on the basis of energy efficiency and eventual cost savings to everyday refrigerator users, and can be outfitted for certain commonlyused products. We will reach these customers through strategic partnerships with refrigeration companies who will either include this product in their newest models or will market it as an accessory to their existing refrigerators. We will also expand this market by lobbying policy makers to reduce energy consumption via tax deductions or reduction in energy allowances. 1 2 http://74.125.45.132/search?q=cache:TWjjFxqmWvUJ:www.health.go.ug/docs/abstract2001.pdf http://www.ethioembassy.org.uk/fact%20file/a-z/health.htm Competition and Risks Major risks to our company include cost of raw materials and production. The customer’s basic need is something relatively inexpensive and reliable. We believe a customer would be willing to pay for a highly reliable product that would not result in the cost of spoiled pharmaceuticals and ensure greater effectiveness of expensive public health programs. However, NGOs tend to be stretched thin in terms of budget and resources so every attempt should be made to reduce the cost. No other company fulfills all of these needs in a simple cost-effective manner. Our product, though not free, would pay for itself in energy savings within a year in most instances with an estimated savings of $90 to $270 per year at current energy costs. Still, we do have competition for elements of our product, such as the energy efficiency. However, because our product can be used as an accessory, we can partner with these competitors to create an even more energy efficient system for their existing refrigerators. Our product also has the added advantage of making alternative energies more feasible for use in the developing world. IV. Business Model The developing world market is challenging to break into. In order to overcome this hurdle, we will create strategic partnerships with refrigerator manufacturers that already provide refrigerators to the developing world. Through this partnership we will outsource manufacture of our product. Furthermore, we will tap into their existing clientele in order to form our own customer base. In return, we will offer exclusivity of our initial model to be made specifically to the dimensions of their refrigerators. Also, our initial model will be sold with their refrigerator or as an added accessory for existing clients. We are also willing to offer a share of the profits from the future sales in the developed world market. These profits are expected to be much higher than that of the developing world and as such would be a great motivator. Our product will be sufficiently easy to use that we will not require training centers, which reduces the time and expense required to train personnel. We will, however, set up a pilot study that will effectively serve as a marketing center in the developing world. Though our prototype will cost close to $400 to develop, our accessory would cost $80 alone or $300-400 with a fridge included. In the US, we will find an inexpensive facility to house our research and development until we have exacerbated the utility of this type of research at which point we will outsource research to our associates at Columbia University. Until we have successfully launched our developing world market, the size of the company will be small, with the owners making time investments for a future return on a company we greatly believe in. Instead, the majority of our profits will be reinvested into research and product development. During this time, we will also maintain interns rather than employees. This is due in part to the fact that much of the research will be associated with the pilot study which will be conducted on a short term basis in the developing world and requires minimal technical skills that could be easily found in the less expensive labor of interns. The funds allocated for research and development will be directed toward using superior materials and designs for use in our product as well as refining our design based on user feedback. This will also include developing technologies for the developed world markets. Market expansion is of utmost concern to us because our future products are likely to yield a much greater return than our developing world model. Our preliminary future market is healthcare providers in the developed world. While this may require expanding our partnerships, we are flexible to the idea of staying with our initial partner if they can support such a large expansion with the equal hopes of large returns. Since the problems of vaccine spoilage we have outlined for the developing world have been noted throughout the world, it would be useful to provide these solutions to wealthier markets. At that time, our focus will shift to developing a more technological interface that will allow the user to monitor the temperature and inventory remotely. This would allow pharmacies to monitor their pharmacies more closely for sales and spoilage or hospital administrators to ensure adequate supply of necessary pharmaceuticals. These high tech versions would cost much more to develop and manufacture, but would also bring with it corresponding high profits. Our last and largest expansion will be to all refrigerator users as models marketed as green technology. This redesign is expected to go through multiple iterations and will have many different models to ensure optimal conditions for the user. These home users would be targeted through the companies they purchase their refrigerators from rather than through the user themselves. While we will continue to manufacture the accessory separately, we expect that the majority of sales will be done through bulk orders from refrigerator manufacturers. This wide market will have a lower per purchase profit, but the larger market would make up for it. We expect that by our launch of this product in 2013 that the demand for energy efficient technology will be so great that we will have both pricing power and a large market share. At that point, we will operate as a made-to-order company, but with a bulk requirement for special designs or dimensions. By doing this, we will function as a contractor for the refrigerator companies, NGOs, pharmacy chains, etc., effectively reducing the overhead of running our company by lowering the marketing costs. Though advertising and marketing costs tend to be exorbitant for most companies, our business model would allow us to maintain minimal costs. We will thus market by networks and word of mouth in order to conduct company presentations for potential bulk buyers. In the future, we may direct advertise as a way of encouraging these partners to purchase our products. With regard to the NGOs, we hope to further expand our social value by partnering with NGOs to start programs were minimally trained healthcare workers could dispense vaccines and other pharmaceuticals based on an image or color scheme as has been proposed by some NGOs in India. This will expand the reach of our product as well as its usefulness to the user. V. Design and Development Short-Term Timeline BUSINESS TECHNICAL December 2008 Complete design idea and prototype plans Purchase parts Continue to gather demographic information from NGO surveys and interviews January 2009 Submit GSVC Executive Summary Purchase prototype parts (Jan21) Proof of principle tests SolidWorks modeling of thermal efficiency Continue to gather demographic information from NGO surveys and interviews February 2009 GSVC Regional Semifinals Proof of principle tests, SolidWorks modeling Begin first prototype build Continue to gather demographic information from NGO surveys and interviews March 2009 GSVC Regional Semifinals Complete Prototype I Evaluative prototype experiments Continue to gather demographic information from NGO surveys and interviews April 2009 Submit business plan for GSVC finals Refine product design (April 7) Begin functional prototype build Network with NGOs to investigate Continue to gather demographic future expansion of pilot study information from NGO surveys and interviews May 2009 Continue to expand NGO network Complete functional prototype Prototype presentation Complete business plan (Dec 10) Find MBA student partner Green Dot Technologies is currently involved in the research and development of our product prototype. In the next few months, we will purchase parts for our initial prototype and use SolidWorks to model the thermal efficiency of our device. Proof of principle tests will be performed before the building of Prototype I in early 2009. Prototype testing will include door sizes, drawer spacing, and vial packing to evaluate the ideal configuration to allow for maximal cold air circulation and energy efficiency. Several materials will also be tested to determine the best for insulation. Additionally, the individual components such as the temperature monitor and vial weighting mechanism will be tested and their design revised. Ultimately, the prototype will compared to a control refrigerator without our add-on in order to test for energy efficiency and cold maintenance when disconnected from a power source. We will continue to test and redesign components of our first prototype in order to build a second prototype. This technical timeline will allow for the completion of a functional prototype in May, 2009. Much of the short-term business timeline is dictated by the Global Social Ventures Competition (GSVC) timeline. By the end of 2008 we will have found an MBA student to partner with our design team to enter the GSVC. In addition to the GSVC deadlines, Green Dot Technologies will continually network with NGOs in order to establish a future customer base, investigate possibilities for our pilot study, and gather demographic information. Further interviews will be conducted with Shira Rhode (Pfizer, FlipFlop Foundation) and Jeffrey D. Levell (Pilgrim, Uganda). This information will help in the technical development of our prototype, in order to refine our product for the needs of the NGO-run health centers and their clients. Long-Term Timeline BUSINESS Partner with NGO for pilot study Find refrigeration company partner Continue pilot study Expand NGO network Seek policy reform Begin sales to developing world Expand NGO network Seek policy reform Begin sales to developed world healthcare market Seek policy reform Begin sales to home users Continue to expand customer base TECHNICAL 2009 Begin pilot study in developing world: Uganda Develop locking mechanism Continuous quality assurance and development 2010 Continue pilot study Make refinements for saleable model 2011 Develop product for healthcare market 2012 Develop product for home users 2013 Develop custom order manufacture 2014 Continue to refine design and components Long-term technical development will be focused on redesigning our product to meet the needs of our expanded markets. Other features, such as a safety lock mechanism to prevent the use of spoiled pharmaceuticals will also be incorporated in future models. Eventually, we also hope to establish a custom order manufacture process. Quality assurance is of paramount importance and will be an ongoing element of technical development. Once Green Dot Technologies has completed a functional prototype, we will be ready to partner with a refrigeration company to manufacture our product. An initial pilot study will be performed from mid-2009 through mid-2010 at which point we expect to make our product available for sale in all of the developing world. Over the six years following the completion of our functional prototype, we will continue our company’s expansion phases into developed world health care markets and the home user market. We will continually develop our NGO network and customer base. Green Dot Technologies will additionally seek energy policy reform to promote more stringent governmental standards to lower energy expenditure. This will result in improved energy efficiency, decreased environmental damage, and promote the use of our energy-saving product. VI. Financial Projections Prototype Costs ITEM Haier 1.7 cu. ft. ThermoElectric Cooler VENDOR Walmart Color LEDs Wires Temperature Sensor Aluminum Sheet 2024 T3, 24”x36” Rubber Gaskets 1/16”x24”x24” Foam Border ½”x36”x24” Plastic Polycarbonate Sheet, 12”x24” Springs Drawer Rollers Batteries Contingencies UG Lab UG Lab UG Lab Onlinemetals.com PRICE (USD) QUANTITY TOTAL 62.62 1 62.62 Borrow Borrow Borrow 29.51 12 <20 feet 1 1 29.51 www.mcmaster.com 53.00 1 53.00 www.mcmaster.com Onlinemetals.com 18.00 47.80 1 1 18.00 47.80 5.25 8.59 5.00 4 4 4 - 21.00 34.36 20.00 213.71 Smart-parts Inc. Rockler Globalsources - - TOTAL 286.29 Projected assets and liabilities of Green Dot Technologies for the six years after completion of the functional prototype are shown below. Initial sources of funding will come from grants to cover start-up costs, and potentially from the Global Social Ventures Competition. We expect to break even by 2011 after selling approximately 2000 units. The projected balance sheet is based on the following numbers of units sold in each market. Production Costs and Sales Customer Developing world NGOs Developed world health centers Home users Material Sale Price Costs (USD) (USD) 60 80 Units Sold Per Year 2011 2012 2013 750 4000 15,000 2014 20,000 200 600 0 200 2,000 5,000 100 300 0 0 1,000 10,000 2011 2012 Projected Balance Sheet 2008 ASSETS Grants Sales NGOs Pharmacies Home Users Total Assets LIABILITIES Research and Development Raw Materials Marketing Partner’s Profit Share Total Liabilities NET PROFIT 2009 2010 2013 2014 500 0 0 0 0 0 25,000 0 0 0 0 25,000 50,000 0 0 0 0 50,000 500,000 60,000 60,000 0 0 560,000 0 440,000 320,000 120,000 0 440,000 0 2,700,000 1,200,000 1,200,000 300,000 2,700,000 0 7,600,000 1,600,000 3,000,000 3,000,000 7,600,000 0 22,000 43,000 70,000 70,000 70,000 30,000 0 0 0 45,000 280,000 1,310,000 2,300,000 0 0 3,000 0 7,000 0 10,000 10,500 30,000 112,000 50,000 973,000 50,000 3,710,000 0 25,000 50,000 135,500 492,000 2,403,000 6,090,000 500 0 0 424,500 -52,000 297,000 1,510,000 Assets in 2009 will come primarily from the $25,000 GSVC grant, if we win the competition. Research and development costs will include costs incurred from the launch of our pilot study, which includes the construction and shipping of 10 refrigerators, as well as some compensation for our interns. Once our pilot study is completed in 2010, we will be able to apply for substantial grant funding from environmental agencies for late 2010, and particularly in 2011 since the results from the pilot study will provide further support for the use and development of our product. We plan to make our first sales in 2011, most likely to NGOs operating in areas near the pilot study locations. We expect to keep 30% of sales profits, with the other 70% going to our refrigeration partner. Research and development costs will continue to rise in 2010 through 2013 as we continue our pilot study and then develop the two subsequent product models for the developed world. These costs will flatten out in 2014, after the release of these new models, and will be used to improve components of existing models. Break Even Analysis Developing world product, first two years of sales. Break even at 1,000 units. Home user product, first year of sales. Break even at 100 units.3 3 http://connection.cwru.edu/mbac424/breakeven/BreakEven.html Developed world healthcare product, first year of sales. Break even at 50 units.