Ticker: SYK Sector: Healthcare Industry: Medical Instruments & Supplies Stryker Corp. (SYK) Company Profile Recommendation: Hold Pricing Closing Price 52-wk High 52-wk Low $51.92 (2-1-10) $57.39 (1-19-10) $30.82 (3-20-09) Market Data Market Cap Total assets Trading vol. $20.65 B $7.60 B 1.9M (3mon avg) Valuation EPS (ttm) P/E (ttm) PEG Div Yield $2.77 18.83 1.33 1.15 Profitability & Effectiveness (ttm) ROA 12.46% ROE 18.45% Profit Margin 16.47% Oper Margin 24.71% Gross Margin 67.52% Stryker Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a medical technology company worldwide. It operates in two segments, Orthopaedic Implants and MedSurg Equipment. The Orthopedic Implants segment provides orthopaedic reconstructive, trauma, craniomaxillofacial, and spinal implant systems; bone cement; and the bone growth factor OP-1. The MedSurg Equipment segment offers surgical equipment; surgical navigation systems; endoscopic, communications, and digital imaging systems; and patient handling and emergency medical equipment. Stryker Corporation sells its products through local dealers and direct sales force to doctors, hospitals, and other healthcare facilities. The company was founded in 1941 and is headquartered in Kalamazoo, Michigan. Stryker’s global market consists of North and South America, Europe, Middle East, Africa, Asia, and the Pacific. About two-thirds of Stryker’s sales come from our domestic market and one-third from international markets. This ratio is continually evening out as the demand abroad increases. Percentage Sales 36% Domestic International ANALYST NAME 64% Justin Nagel jbnnp3@mail.missouri.edu Product Lines Orthopaedic1 Orthopaedic Implants are designed and manufactured by Stryker Orthopaedics, Stryker Osteosynthesis, Stryker Spine and Stryker Biotech and consist of such products as implants used in joint replacement, trauma, craniomaxillofacial, and spinal surgeries; bone cement; and the bone growth factor OP-1, along with screws, plates, nails, and rods . The Company supports surgeons with technology, procedural development and specialized instrumentation as they develop MIS techniques. The Company's surgical navigation systems are used in MIS procedures to improve the accuracy of measurements and to position the implant. Orthopaedic Implants A large part of Stryker’s product mix deals with orthopaedic implants that include: hip, knee, joint, shoulder, and elbow implants. For these surgeries the implants are made up of artificial joints that consist of cobalt chromium, titanium alloys, ceramics or ultrahigh molecular weight polyethylene and are implanted in patients whose natural joints have been damaged by arthritis, osteoporosis, other diseases or injury. The Company’s reconstructive implants are suited to minimally invasive surgery (MIS) procedures that are intended to reduce soft-tissue damage and pain while hastening return to function. ex. A product that is awaiting release is the X3 Polyethylene and is supposed to be the next generation implant because of its highly cross linked polyethylene. This implant should offer a higher level of strength and wear reduction in both hip and knee replacements. As well as increase the implants longevity. ex. Within the category of the knee implants a new product using the X3 material along with the new Triathlon PKR (unicompartmental knee system). Has been designed to resurface specific areas, and leave healthy areas intact. This should help increase mobility and stability of the knee. In 2008 this new system was released in Europe and Canada, and soon will be available in the Japanese market. Bone Cement Of the products that are available in Stryker’s portfolio, their bone cement product Simplex Bone Cement is the most widely used cement in the world. This cement has been available to the market for over 50 years. In addition, they have developed other cements such as non-antibiotic and antibiotic cement, and SpeedSet Cement in order to cater to the needs of physicians. Trauma Systems This segment of orthopaedic’s includes shafts, wiring, nailing, plating, external fixation systems and bone substitutes. Stryker has expanded the selection within this category to include long and short nails, smaller diameter pins for foot and ankle surgery, as well as a cannulated screw system to assist surgeons in placing, inserting, and removing locking screws more easily. Spinal Stryker develops, manufactures, and markets spinal implant products that include: plates, rods, screws, connectors, spacers, and cages for use in spinal surgeries. Craniomaxillofacial Stryker provides products that are used in reconstructive/plastic surgeries that are done on the anatomical areas of the face. This product line consists of plates, screws, mesh, and instrumentation for cranial and maxillofacial surgeries. OP-1 Bone Growth The company’s OP-1 bone growth factor consists of a natural protein that the body makes to induce new bone formation when implanted into bone. This product is used currently when autograft is not feasible and other methods have failed. It is intended to benefit patients by treating/diagnosing a condition that faces fewer than 4,000 people per year in the U.S. In addition to the OP-1 Bone Growth factor, Stryker is also improving their OP-1 Putty that is used in conjunction with spinal surgeries. Furthermore, in development in the OP-1 products is using this formula for cartilage regeneration properties as well as helping with degenerative disk disease. MedSurg1 MedSurg Equipment products include surgical equipment; surgical navigation systems; endoscopic, communications and digital imaging systems, and patient handling and emergency medical equipment. These products are designed and manufactured by Stryker Instruments, Stryker Endoscopy and Stryker Medical. The Stryker Instruments and Stryker Endoscopy product portfolios include micro powered tools and instruments used in orthopaedics, functional endoscopic sinus surgery, neurosurgery, spinal surgery and plastic surgery. Surgical Equipment This segment includes drilling, burring, rasping, cutting bone; wiring or pinning bone fractures; and preparing hip and knee surface for placement of artificial implants. Within this category they have recently developed several new pieces of equipment that are helping make physicians jobs easier, as well as improving conditions for their patients. ex. A new bone cements mixing system, offering physician’s one solution for use in mixing any and all of the surgical cements. ex. Another piece of equipment recently released is the PainPump2, this item was designed to electronically control the flow rates of pain medicine, and release the meds directly to the surgical site to help with discomfort. Surgical Navigation Systems The navigation systems that Stryker develops and produces further the technology limits that are available to physicians. These advances in equipment allow electronic images to be viewed more clearly, and helps reduce the need to place additional pins into surgical incisions during the operation. Endoscopic Stryker is helping to streamline the medical field through the communications and endoscopic segment with improvements in video imaging technology, and communication equipment. The communication equipment facilitates local and worldwide sharing of medical information among operating rooms, doctor’s offices, and teaching institutions. Some of the products that are offered by Stryker are: medical video cameras, digital documentation equipment, digital image & viewing software, and powered surgical instruments. The development of fiber optics and high definition has assisted physicians by allowing them to view internal anatomy with a much higher degree of clarity. Patient Handling and Emergency Medical Equipment Stryker has several products that are available in order to transport and take care of patients. Some of these products consist of: stretchers, overbed tables, symmetry recliners, and bed scales. All of the products have functional designs, with comfort and reliable support. Product Portfolio Sales 41% Orthopaedic MedSurg 59% SWOT Analysis Strengths Broad product portfolio insulating concentration risks Robust financial performance building shareholders confidence Weaknesses Geographic concentration enhancing business risks Products recall on manufacturing ground impacting reputation Low presence in emerging Asian markets may restrict the growth Opportunities New product launches to expand revenue base Favorable trend in U.S. demography boosting demand for medical devices Threats Industry consolidation intensifying competition Quality reprimand by FDA could adversely affect the company’s business Federal Medical Device Taxes Strengths As seen above Stryker caters to several firms needs in the healthcare industry by providing equipment and other supplies to surgeons. That assists them in performing day to day operations, as well as providing these individuals with the latest in technologically advanced equipment that is catered to their demands. In catering to the customers’ demands Stryker can keep their R&D costs down, because they maintain close relationships and listen to what the new needs and demands are and redefine the current products to fit. Furthermore, Stryker has over 30 years of clinical history with their hip systems, and 20+ years with their cement systems. Weaknesses A major weakness that Stryker faces and needs to deal with is that as the world flattens, they need to make sure that their presence touches everyone around the globe. They are currently making good progress in establishing their presence in markets such as the Europe market but need to spread in to other emerging markets before it is too late. Another area that Stryker needs to be constantly aware of is in its inventory reserves. They maintain a large amount of inventories but obsolescence is always a factor to a technology device firm. Opportunities The majority of the products that Stryker provides are considered products consisting of short lives, approximately 70%. This is because even though an implant will last for a considerably long time, it is only used once by the hospitals. In addition, the large turn over those hospitals have for implants, and the population of baby boomers having more and more problems with arthritis, osteoporosis, and injury. Stryker has also acquired other companies, such as Sightline Technologies Ltd., in order to gain market share in areas that it currently operates. This also helps in further developing the MedSurg area of their portfolio. Threats A major factor that could threaten the potential earnings of Stryker and other companies in the medical equipment and supplies area of healthcare is the proposed Medical Device Tax. The tax will be issued based on the share of total industry sales from the prior year, unless your company generates revenue of less than $5 million. This tax as it is currently is going to begin in 2011 and the government wants to receive close to $2 billion per year over the next 10 years. According to one analysts prediction this tax will hurt the industry’s earnings about 3%-4%. What this means for Stryker, is that they currently gain 17% after all expenses and taxes are paid from their sales revenue. If this tax passes Stryker will be setting up to only earn 13-14% from their total sales revenue. Competitive Forces Historical Stock Prices Over the last year Stryker Corp. has underperformed compared to our benchmark the S&P 500. However given the circumstances of the recent recession they have made tremendous progress in recovering what they had lost, and has remained close to the benchmark. Over the last five years Stryker has outperformed the benchmark slightly. 1 Year 5 Year Competition Some of the competition that Stryker Corp. faces in the medical instruments and supplies industry is: DePuy (subsidiary of Johnson & Johnson), Zimmer Holdings Inc., and Smith & Nephew plc. These three companies all have similar/proportional numbers as can be seen in the chart below. For DePuy I was not able to find all of the data needed for this chart but in reviewing the Johnson & Johnson annual report I did find that DePuy contributed $5 Billion in sales. This accounted for an 8.8% increase over the previous year, however, they contributed it primarily to new product launches in the orthopaedic joint reconstructive products. DIRECT COMPETITOR COMPARISON SNN SYK Industry ZMH Market Cap: 8.77B 20.32B 11.68B 130.18M Employees: 9,757 N/A 8,000 288 Qtrly Rev Growth (yoy): -1.60% 6.80% 7.50% 17.60% Revenue (ttm): 3.67B 6.72B 4.10B 75.04M 74.09% 67.52% 75.81% 51.29% 1.09B 2.05B 1.47B 2.92M 22.42% 24.71% 27.71% 0.84% Gross Margin (ttm): EBITDA (ttm): Oper Margins (ttm): Net Income (ttm): 461.00M 1.11B 717.40M N/A EPS (ttm): 2.60 2.773 3.324 N/A P/E (ttm): 19.09 18.42 16.73 23.63 PEG (5 yr expected): 1.57 1.32 1.46 1.42 P/S (ttm): 2.45 3.11 2.93 2.04 SYK = Stryker Corp. ZMH = Zimmer Holdings Inc. Industry = Medical Appliances & Equipment 2 Year Analysts’ Opinion The opinions of the analyst’s are very similar for Stryker, and Zimmer Holdings recommending to either Buy or Hold. However, the analyst’s are recommending to mainly Hold shares of Smith and Newphew. It may be that they are a foreign company or that they have been growing in recent years and are not going to be able to sustain that growth. Either way it seems that Stryker and Zimmer Holdings seem to be fairly similar in their results. SYK SNN ZMH Stong Buy 6 0 6 Buy 5 1 3 Hold 15 3 16 Underperform 2 0 1 Sell 0 1 0 Valuation In valuing Stryker I used Warren Buffett’s Owner’s Earnings Model. Discount Rate: Beta: .89 Risk free Rate (10 Year T-Bill): 3.2% Market Return: 11% K = Rf + β(Rm-Rf) K= 3.2 + .89(11-3.2) K=10.14% Two-Stage Discounted Free Cash Flow Valuation Model assuming discount rate (k) of 10.00% Free Cash Flow ("owner earnings") in 2009: Net Income Average Increase in Working Capital (subtract) Depreciation (add) Amortization (add) Average Capital Expenditures (subtract) Free Cash Flow (Owner Earnings) $ 1,147.80 $ (622.00) $ 387.60 $ 155.20 $ 1,068.60 FIRST STAGE 2010 Prior Year Free Cash Flow First Stage Growth Rate (add) Free Cash Flow Discounted Value per annum Sum of present value of owner earnings $ 1,068.6 9.0% $ 1,164.8 $1,164.8 $10,401.5 Year: 2014 2011 2012 2013 2015 $1,164.8 9.0% $1,269.6 6.0% $1,345.8 6.0% $1,426.5 8.0% $1,540.6 7.0% $1,269.6 $1,154.2 $1,345.8 $1,112.2 $1,426.5 $1,071.8 $1,540.6 $1,052.3 $1,648.5 $1,023.6 SECOND STAGE Residual Value $ 2,160.8 4.00% $ 2,247.3 6.00% $ 37,454.55 Free Cash Flow in year 10 Second Stage Growth Rate (g) (add) Free Cash Flow in year 11 Capitalization rate (k-g) Value at end of year 10 Present Value of Residual Intrinsic Value of Company $14,440.35 $24,841.86 Shares outstanding assuming dilution Intrinsic Value per share 5% 6% First Stage Growth Rate 7% 8% 9% 10% 11% 12% 13% 413.6 $60.06 Terminal Growth Rate 3% 4% 5% 46.08 50.33 56.28 49.56 54.23 60.77 53.32 57.37 61.74 66.44 71.5 76.95 82.81 58.45 63 67.91 73.2 78.91 85.05 91.66 65.64 70.89 76.56 82.68 89.28 96.39 104.06 Recommendation After reviewing this company and the Healthcare industry overall I would agree with the analyst’s recommendations. For our portfolio our best position for this stock would be to hold the shares that we have because there is a lot of potential in the medical instruments and supplies area. Stryker is in a good financial position even if the proposed tax increase should pass. They are currently making 17% of their total sales revenue as profit. In the event that the tax is implemented, I am sure it will be shared between Stryker, the hospitals, and the ending customer. Whatever should happen with the Obama administration and public healthcare, there will remain a high demand for the products that Stryker produces. Furthermore, in valuing Stryker Corp. following the same model that Warren Buffett uses the intrinsic value using conservative numbers gives a number similar to what the stock is currently trading for. Income Statement All numbers in thousands View: Annual Data | Quarterly Data PERIOD ENDING 31-Dec-08 31-Dec-07 31-Dec-06 Total Revenue 6,718,200 6,000,500 5,405,600 Cost of Revenue 2,131,400 1,865,200 1,848,700 Gross Profit 4,586,800 4,135,300 3,556,900 367,800 375,300 324,600 2,625,100 2,391,500 2,061,700 Non Recurring 34,900 19,800 52,700 Others 40,000 41,400 43,600 3,067,800 2,828,000 2,482,600 1,519,000 1,307,300 1,074,300 61,200 62,800 29,500 1,580,200 1,370,100 1,103,800 - - - 1,580,200 1,370,100 1,103,800 432,400 383,400 326,100 - - - 1,147,800 986,700 777,700 Operating Expenses Research Development Selling General and Administrative Total Operating Expenses Operating Income or Loss Income from Continuing Operations Total Other Income/Expenses Net Earnings Before Interest And Taxes Interest Expense Income Before Tax Income Tax Expense Minority Interest Net Income From Continuing Ops Non-recurring Events Discontinued Operations - 30,700 - Extraordinary Items - - - Effect Of Accounting Changes - - - Other Items - - - 1,147,800 1,017,400 777,700 - - - Net Income Preferred Stock And Other Adjustments Net Income Applicable To Common Shares $1,147,800 $1,017,400 $777,700 Balance Sheet All numbers in thousands View: Annual Data | Quarterly Data PERIOD ENDING 31-Dec-08 31-Dec-07 31-Dec-06 701,100 290,500 416,600 Short Term Investments 1,494,500 2,120,300 998,200 Net Receivables 1,651,400 1,565,100 1,324,200 Inventory 952,700 796,200 677,600 Other Current Assets 179,600 132,800 117,700 4,979,300 4,904,900 3,534,300 Long Term Investments 275,200 - - Property Plant and Equipment 963,800 991,600 951,700 Goodwill 567,500 527,400 531,300 Intangible Assets 368,000 398,100 693,400 - - - Other Assets 237,300 360,200 44,500 Deferred Long Term Asset Charges 212,200 171,800 118,600 7,603,300 7,354,000 5,873,800 1,441,600 1,316,200 1,336,700 20,500 16,800 14,800 - - - 1,462,100 1,333,000 1,351,500 - - - 734,500 642,500 331,300 Deferred Long Term Liability Charges - - - Minority Interest - - - Negative Goodwill - - - Assets Current Assets Cash And Cash Equivalents Total Current Assets Accumulated Amortization Total Assets Liabilities Current Liabilities Accounts Payable Short/Current Long Term Debt Other Current Liabilities Total Current Liabilities Long Term Debt *Other Liabilities* Total Liabilities 2,196,600 1,975,500 1,682,800 Stockholders' Equity Misc Stocks Options Warrants - - - Redeemable Preferred Stock - - - Preferred Stock - - - Common Stock 39,600 41,100 40,800 4,389,500 4,364,700 3,490,500 Treasury Stock - - - Capital Surplus 812,800 711,900 569,100 Other Stockholder Equity 164,800 260,800 90,600 Total Stockholder Equity 5,406,700 5,378,500 4,191,000 Net Tangible Assets $4,471,200 $4,453,000 $2,966,300 Retained Earnings *Other Liabilities Long-Term Debt Operating Leases Unconditional Purchase Obligations Contribution to defined benefits plans Other 20.5 166.9 567.9 21.5 21.9 Cash Flow All numbers in thousands View: Annual Data | Quarterly Data PERIOD ENDING Net Income 31-Dec-08 31-Dec-07 31-Dec-06 1,147,800 1,017,400 777,700 366,600 331,800 Operating Activities, Cash Flows Provided By or Used In Depreciation 387,600 Adjustments To Net Income 104,300 (71,400) 103,400 Changes In Accounts Receivables (131,200) (133,500) (111,800) Changes In Liabilities 29,400 115,000 63,100 Changes In Inventories (180,200) (89,900) (86,800) Changes In Other Operating Activities (181,800) (175,900) (210,100) Total Cash Flow From Operating Activities 1,175,900 1,028,300 867,300 Investing Activities, Cash Flows Provided By or Used In Capital Expenditures (155,200) Investments 470,900 Other Cashflows from Investing Activities Total Cash Flows From Investing Activities (5,600) 310,100 (187,700) (217,500) (1,079,500) (428,100) 89,000 (96,700) (1,178,200) (742,300) Financing Activities, Cash Flows Provided By or Used In Dividends Paid (135,600) (89,700) (44,600) Sale Purchase of Stock (949,900) 69,500 48,600 Net Borrowings 6,700 800 Other Cash Flows from Financing Activities 32,700 33,000 20,000 (1,046,100) 13,600 (203,200) (29,300) 10,200 Total Cash Flows From Financing Activities Effect Of Exchange Rate Changes Change In Cash and Cash Equivalents $410,600 ($126,100) (227,200) 3,600 ($74,600)