Mega-Projects Cross Case Analysis Group B Jonas, Nina, Abdul, Paul in Cooperation with George Overview 1. Research Question 2. Methodology 3. Results 4. Answers to Research Questions 1. Research Question Starting Point 1. RQ: Why do Megaprojects perform like they do? 2. RQ: What can we do to make them perform better? 2. Methodology Approach for Working Plan • Eisenhard’s Multi Case Study Process: 8 Steps 1. 2. 3. Getting started Selecting Cases Crafting Instruments and Protocols 4. Entering the field 6. Analysing data Shaping Hypothesis already completed Analysing data • • Within-case analysis Cross-case pattern search using divergent techniques 7. 5. Enfolding Literature 8. Reaching Closure to be done in future Shaping Hypothesis • • • Group Work Iterative tabulation for each construct Replication logic across cases Search evidence for “why” behind relationships 2. Methodology Working Plan and outcomes Shaping Hypothesis Analysing data WORKING STEPS OUTCOMES 1. Initial thoughts on dimensions of performance • Definition of performance as factors influencing: a) goals, b) outcomes and c) outputs (time, cost, quality) 2. Get familiar with cases (1-2 per person) • ~ 25% of cases covered 3. Identify common themes/patterns • Check themes/patterns across the first sample 4. Test, expand, reduce number of themes/patterns by analysing more cases • • Saturation Hypothesis Conclude answers to RQ 1 Derive recommendations answer RQ 2 inductive deductive/ inductive 2. Methodology Working Plan and outcomes 3. Results Performance indicators 1. Initial thoughts on dimensions of performance Basic Model which Rodney refers to: Technical perspective on project delivery: (Time, Cost, Quality) Is the project/product used in the way it was developed for Is the origin purpose reached by/through the project? 3. Results First Cases analysed 2. Get familiar with cases (1-2 per person) Cases covered: Case Project Category Team Member Anholt Offshore Wind Farm Energy Nina Kraftwerk Luenen Energy Paul Kraftwerk Moorburg Energy Paul Norra Lanken Transportation Jonas Oasis Class Miscellaneous Abdul 3. Results First collection of themes from cases 3. Identify common themes Themes from first case sample: Theme/Pattern/Hypotheses (Influencing Factor) Congruency between political goals (e.g. change in environm. law) and project goals Congruency between needs (e.g. needs of community) and project goals Increasing prices of equipment/technology impact cost Tendering process/conditions impact cost Uncertainty related to technology/application has impact on cost Environmentalist groups delay projects and have impact on cost Additional requirements of authorities increase costs Fixed price prevent cost increase If the owner of the project is public it has a negative impact on performance Good stakeholder management has a postive impact on performance Good time management has a postive impact on performance Bankrupcy of supplier caused delay in time scale Successful managememt of claims has positive impact on time Checking supplier deliverables on suppliers production location Different levels of quality check (e.g. contractor, classification society, customer) Good procurement contract designs have positive influence on performance High experience of project manager(s) has a positive influence performance Theme/Pattern/Hypotheses Category Strategic Mgmt. Strategic Mgmt. Economic Environm. Project Processes Tech. Environment Ext. Stakeholders Ext. Stakeholders ? Project Processes Int. Stakeholders Ext. Stakeholders Project Processes Int. Stakeholders Project Processes Project Processes Project Processes Project Processes Int. Stakeholders Impacted Perform-anceDirection of Indicator(s) Statement Goals positive Goals positive Cost negative Cost negative Cost negative Cost negative Cost negative Cost positive Outcome negative Outcome positive Time positive Time negative Time positive Quality positive Quality positive positive positive 3. Results Identify more themes across cases 3. Identify common themes Themes from first case sample: Additional themes: Theme/Pattern/Hypotheses (Influencing Factor) Congruency between political goals (e.g. change in environmental law) and project goals Congruency between needs (e.g. needs of community) and project goals Increasing prices of equipment/technology impact cost Tendering process/conditions impact cost Uncertainty related to technology/application has impact on cost Environmentalist groups delay projects and have impact on cost Additional requirements of authorities increase costs Fixed price prevent cost increase If the owner of the project is public it has a negative impact on performance Good stakeholder management has a postive impact on performance Good time management has a postive impact on performance Bankrupcy of supplier caused delay in time scale Successful managememt of claims has positive impact on time Checking supplier deliverables on suppliers production location Different levels of quality check (e.g. contractor, classification society, customer) Good procurement contract designs have positive influence on performance High experience of project manager(s) has a positive influence performance Analysing further cases: total 11 Checking each theme through each of the cases: Additional requirements of authorities has negative impact on time schedule Change in main stakeholder (e.g. financier) has negative impact on time High support of project by national/local government has positive impact on performance Ext. Stakeholders ? Int. Stakeholders Ext. Stakeholders Time Time negative negative positive Bad or no risk management increases cost If the owner of the project is equal to the contractor it has a negative impact on performance Project Processes Int. Stakeholders Cost negative negative 3. Results Hypothesis support by cases 4. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 Test, expand, reduce number of themes/patterns by analysing more cases Congruency between political goals (e.g. change in environmental law) and project goals Congruency between needs (e.g. needs of community) and project goals Increasing prices of equipment/technology impact cost Tendering process/conditions impact cost Uncertainty related to technology/application has impact on cost Environmentalist groups delay projects and have impact on cost Additional requirements of authorities increase costs Fixed price prevent cost increase If the owner of the project is public it has a negative impact on performance Good stakeholder management has a positive impact on performance Good time management has a positive impact on performance Bankruptcy of supplier caused delay in time scale Successful management of claims has positive impact on time Checking supplier deliverables on suppliers production location has positive impact on time, cost and quality Different levels of quality check (e.g. contractor, classification society, customer) Good procurement contract designs have positive influence on performance High experience of project manager(s) has a positive influence performance Additional requirements of authorities has negative impact on time schedule Change in main stakeholder (e.g. financier) has negative impact on time High support of project by national/local government has positive impact on performance Bad or no risk management increases cost If the owner of the project is equal to the contractor it has a negative impact on performance Green: > 40%; Yellow: 20% <x> 40% yes No (support to (no support to yes % no % hypothesis/ hypothesis/th of total no. of of total no. of theme) eme) cases analysed cases analysed 8 0 73% 0% 6 0 55% 0% 6 1 55% 9% 1 1 9% 9% 4 0 36% 0% 5 1 45% 9% 5 0 45% 0% 2 0 18% 0% 1 3 9% 27% 4 1 36% 9% 2 0 18% 0% 1 2 9% 18% 2 0 18% 0% 1 2 2 3 2 1 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 9% 18% 18% 27% 18% 9% 18% 9% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1 0 9% 0% Attention: rethink the No’s 4. Answers to Research Questions Conclude answers for RQ 1: 1. RQ: Why do Megaprojects perform like they do? Conclude answers to RQ. 1 From negative direction of statements Themes/patterns/hypothesis Congruency between political goals (e.g. change in environmental law) and project goals Direction of statement positive Congruency between needs (e.g. needs of community) and project goals positive Increasing prices of equipment/technology impact cost negative Uncertainty related to technology/application has impact on cost negative Environmentalist groups delay projects and have impact on cost negative Additional requirements of authorities increase costs negative Good stakeholder management has a positive impact on performance positive High experience of project manager(s) has a positive influence performance positive 4. Answers to Research Questions Conclude answers for RQ 1: 1. RQ: Why do Megaprojects perform like they do? Conclude answers to RQ. 1 Increasing prices of equipment/technology impact cost Uncertainty related to technology/application has impact on cost Environmentalist groups delay projects and have impact on cost Additional requirements of authorities increase costs From negative direction of statements Prices increase during project duration Use of complex and innovative technology Strong negative influence by environmentalists group Regulations change during project duration 4. Answers to Research Questions Conclude answers for RQ 1: 1. RQ: What can we do to make them perform better? Conclude answers to RQ. 2 From positive direction of statements Themes/patterns/hypothesis Congruency between political goals (e.g. change in environmental law) and project goals Direction of statement positive Congruency between needs (e.g. needs of community) and project goals positive Increasing prices of equipment/technology impact cost negative Uncertainty related to technology/application has impact on cost negative Environmentalist groups delay projects and have impact on cost negative Additional requirements of authorities increase costs negative Good stakeholder management has a positive impact on performance positive High experience of project manager(s) has a positive influence performance positive 4. Answers to Research Questions Conclude answers for RQ 2: Derive recommendations answer RQ 2 Good stakeholder management has a positive impact on performance High experience of project manager(s) has a positive influence performance Congruency between political goals (e.g. change in environm. law) and project goals Congruency between needs (e.g. needs of community) and project goals From positve direction of statements 4. Discussion Next steps: Steps to improve results: • Analyse rest of cases • Rethink “no’s”