Cardiac Biomarkers W. Frank Peacock, M.D., FACEP Professor, Emergency Medicine Cleveland Clinic Biomarker? • What is a biomarker? – An expensive lab test – Commonly Protein with levels that correspond to • Diagnosis • Prognosis – Most common method of measurement • ELISA Lab-test-ology Sensitivity TP/(TP+FN) Specificity TN/(TN+FP) Lab-test-ology • • • • LOB LOD CV 99th %ile CV vs LOD Assay w LOD 5 pg/mL 99th %ile LOD CV and th 99 %ile The box of undetectableness Where is the 99th%ile? 10% CV CV and 30% CV 20% CV 10% CV th 99 %ile Historical timing of cardiac necrosis markers 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 TnI CKMB Myo 0 2 4 6 8 12 18 24 32 48 72 Hours After Onset of MI Mortality at 42 Days (% of Patients) TIMI IIIB: Troponin I Levels Predict Mortality In UA/NSTEMI 7.5 8 6.0 6 3.7 3.4 4 1.7 2 1.0 831 174 0 to <0.4 0.4 to <1.0 148 134 50 67 0 Risk Ratio 1.0 to <2.0 2.0 to <5.0 5.0 to <9.0 >9.0 6.2 7.8 Cardiac Troponin I (ng/ml) 1.0 1.8 3.5 3.9 Antman EA, et al. N Engl J Med. 1996;335:1342-1349 • Emergency docs 2000 – This crap is useless in almost all patients – Only helpful if positive • Rarely positive, <5% of chest pain – The rest of chest pain requires other testing • Cardiologists own troponin – Tactics-TIMI 18 – IF it is detectable, it is an MI, otherwise forget it – If positive, don’t even bother thinking, just call the cath lab C Statistic Area Under the Receiver Operator Characteristic (ROC) Curve C Stat = 1.0 A PERFECT Test C Stat = 0.69 OK test C Stat = 75 AUC = C Statistic C Stat = 50% REALLY BAD TEST 718 consecutive ED suspect AMI MI/USA 238 (33.1%) Reichlin T. N Engl J Med 2009;361:858-67. ACEP Marker Recommendations • Level A recommendations Can you trust them? Don’t use markers to exclude non-AMI ACS (ie, unstable angina) • Level B recommendations Use any of the following to exclude NSTEMI • 8-12 hours after symptom onset – A single (-) CK-MB mass, TnI, or TnT • Serial measures if < 8 hours after symptom onset – Baseline and 90 mins » A (-) myoglobin with a (-) CKMB, or (-) Tn – (-) 2-hour delta » CK-MB and Tn Historical timing of cardiac necrosis markers 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 hsTnI TnI CKMB Myo 0 2 4 6 8 12 18 24 32 48 72 Hours After Onset of MI If It Moves, It Is Bad Marker Comparator ing Tn ing Tn vs. stable Troponin ing CKMB ing CKMB vs. stable CKMB OR for 30 day MACE 95% CI 2.25 1.42-3.55 3.04 1.94-4.75 0.67 0.48-0.95 0.96 0.57-1.60 Logistic regression models showing the odds ratios for predicting ACS MACE: MI, revascularization (PCI or CABG), or positive testing (>70% stenosis at catheterization, [+] MPI or non-invasive stress testing) within 30 days of index visit. McMullin N. AJEM 2009. Cumulative proportion free of events Event Free vs cTnT Values Normal <0.01 g/L Marginal <0.01-0.09 g/L Frank elevation >0.01 g/L P=0.004 Days after admission to the hospital AJC 93:278, 2004 You can’t have it both ways… ® STRIVE Tn, its not just for AMI anymore Tn Elevation w/o Overt Cardiac Ischemia • Trauma • contusion, ablation, pacing, ICD firings, cardioversion, endomyocardial biopsy, cardiac surgery, interventional closure of ASDs • CHF • Aortic valve disease and HOCM with significant • • • • • • • • • LVH HTN Hypotension, often with arrhythmias Postoperative noncardiac surgery patients who seem to do well Renal failure Critically ill patients, esp with diabetes, respiratory failure, gi bleeding, sepsis Drug toxicity, eg adriamycin, 5 FU, herceptin, snake venoms, carbon monoxide poisoning Hypothyroidism Abnormalities in coronary vasomotion, including coronary vasospasm Apical ballooning syndrome • Inflammatory diseases – myocarditis, eg. Parvovirus B19, Kawasaki • • • • • • • • • disease, sarcoid, smallpox vaccination, or myocardial extension of BE Post PCI patients who appear to be uncomplicated Pulmonary embolism, severe pulmonary hypertension Sepsis Burns, esp if TBSA > 30% Infiltrative diseases including amyloidosis, hemachromatosis, sarcoidosis and scleroderma Acute neurological disease – CVA, subarchnoid bleeds Rhabdomyolysis with cardiac injury Transplant vasculopathy Vital Exhaustion Cardiologists are in a tizzy All these “false positives” What now? Emergency docs think this is great There is no such thing as a false positive when your talking about being DEAD Do we really gotta be doing serial troponin’s anymore??? Reichlin T. N Engl J Med 2009;361:858-67. • The decade of 2000-10 2012 – Will be remembered as when the cardiologists owned troponin • Used to be an MI marker – Those days are gone • Emergency Medicine – Taking troponin back from the cardiologists! – IT IS NOT AN AMI MARKER ANYMORE • Now it’s a 14 day death marker – I don’t care about 30 days or 180 days from now – I REALLY don’t care about a year from now Myocardial Infarction It’s a changing world • An MI used to be – >40 and sweating with chest pain – Positive markers in 8-12 hours • Now – It aint >40 – It aint sweating – It aint even chest pain It would be really great if they had it written on their forehead!! If you think this is the way they look… In 2011, you will miss 423,600 Acute Myocardial Infarction’s 1/3 have no chest pain Canto JG et al. JAMA. 2000;283:3223-3229 % With Chest Pain During AMI Stratified by Age SOB W&D N/V Syncope Confused ® STRIVE This one is having an AMI When your laying naked around the ER, they all look the same…… ® STRIVE 28 Closing Time You don’t have to go home, but you can’t stay here…. – Semisonic ® STRIVE The ER docs challenge Admit them all: and let the insurance company sort them out… Discharge them all and let God sort them out… ® STRIVE Emergency Medicine Roulette What % are discharged from the ED?? ® STRIVE • 14 Asia-Pacific region EDs • >18yo with >5 mins CP • Risk stratification (blinded to care team) – TIMI<1, ECG non-dx, – Negative 0 & 2hr POC Tn, CKMB, myo • Endpoint: 30 day MACE Than M. Lancet, 2011. DOI:10.1016/S0140-6736(11)60310-3 TIMI Risk Score Risk factors: Age 65 years – 3 risk factors for CAD – Prior coronary stenosis 50% – – – – ST-segment deviation on ECG 2 anginal events in last 24 hours 45 40 35 (Days 1-14), % – Rate of Composite Endpoint 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 40.9 26.2 19.9 13.2 8.3 4.7 0/1 2 3 4 5 6/7 Use of ASA in last 7 days Elevated serum cardiac markers CK-MB or troponin Number of Risk Factors1 Each risk factor is assigned 1 point, and the total represents a given patient’s TIMI Risk Score1 Event rates (all-cause mortality, MI, or urgent revascularization) increase with each 1-point increase in score (P<0.001 by chi square test for trend)1 ® STRIVE 33 1. Antman EM et al. JAMA. 2000;284:835-842. • N=3582 – 30 day MACE in 421 (11·8%) – Most often NSTEMI • ADP identified 9·8% (352/3582) as low risk – 3 (0·9%) had 30 day MACE Than M. Lancet, 2011. DOI:10.1016/S0140-6736(11)60310-3 • Potential costs savings in low risk negative ADP patients • Hospital LOS – Median – Mean 26·0 h (IQR 9·9–37·0) 43·2 h (95% CI 36·2–51·2) Than M. Lancet, 2011. DOI:10.1016/S0140-6736(11)60310-3 He is a 67 year old, hypertensive, obese man. He took an aspirin this morning, he still smokes and has high cholesterol. Many of his family have CAD. He has been a diabetic for 15 years, and 4 years ago he had an MI. George is sitting in his bar at his restaurant across the street Age > 65, 3 risk factors, H/O MI, took asa: TIMI Risk score = 4 from the ofEmergency Department 19.9% chance death, MI, or UTVR in the next 14 days STRIVE ® He is a 67 year old, hypertensive, obese man. He took an aspirin this morning, he still smokes and has high cholesterol. Many of his family have CAD. He has been a diabetic for 15 years, and 4 years ago he had an MI. TIMI Risk score = 4 19.9% chance of death, MI, or UTVR in the next 14 days STRIVE George is laying in the ED, diaphoretic, with crushing CP, nauseated, BP = 100/70 ® Can we discharge you?? Derivation by blinded sampling (N= 703) • 130 (18.5%) AMI – None w initially undetectable hs-cTnT – Sn 100.0%, NPV 100.0% • 27.7% would have ‘ruled out’ for AMI – 2 (1.0%) died or had AMI w/in 6 months » (1 peri-procedural AMI, 1 non-cardiac death) Validation by standard practice (N= 915) – 1 patient (0.6%) with initially undetectable hscTnT developed subsequent elevation (to 17ng/L) • Sn 99.8% (99.1-100.0) • NPV 99.4% (96.6-100.0). Body, et al. JACC, 2011 European Society of Cardiology • A Tn @ presentation cannot R/O NSTEMI – Repeated Tn 3 hours after admit or more CP. – LOE 1B • Tn is preferred over CKMB • Myoglobin is not specific or sensitive enough – Is not recommended. ESC Guidelines Due to improved analytical sensitivity, low troponin levels can be detected in stable angina and in healthy patients. The mechanisms of this troponin release are not yet explained, but ANY measurable troponin is associated with an unfavourable prognosis. ® STRIVE Low Level Troponins One Cut-off or Two? AMI Sp=85% 16 Myocardial necrosis Frequency 14 12 AMI Sp=99% 10 Wait and see, do more tests 8 6 4 2 0 1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 pg/ml cTNI 19 21 23 25 27 29 More The Now and Then of High Sensitivity Troponins Last decade Next decade • Detectable Tn • Good bye specificity – 99th %ile cutpoint • Great specificity • Better sensitivity – No real clinical disposition impact for the ER • Serial testing of less necessary • 2 cutpoints? • Second marker – copeptin, ST-2, MPO, IMA, etc • Hello sensitivity • Exclude ischemia? • Challenges – The role of cardiology consults – EDUCATION………… So next time you want to get a troponin…. • Risk stratify (after decide it might be ACS) • You want to send that patient home? – Put on your thinking cap! – AMI? Something else? • Can always repeat Results 25 participating hospitals N=1,360 patients Overall Mean DTBT 115.770.1 minutes Median 100; IQR=73,138 Central lab Mean DTBT 119.2 70.5 minutes Median 103; IQR=76,141 Point of Care Mean DTBT 68.2 40.8 minutes Median 62.5, IQR=43,83.5 Peacock WF et al. Acad Emerg Med. 2004;11:569–570. Saves about 1 hour Delay = Death N= 13,934,542 • Adverse events increase with the mean LOS in similar patients in the same ED shift • OR for Death if LOS ≥6 v <1 hr cohorts – Hi Acuity 1.79 Low Acuity 1.71 BMJ 2011; 342:d2983 Overcrowding = Long waits Long waits = Death • N= 62,495 • Risk ratio for DEATH – Per hour of ED stay = 1.1 (p < 0.001) – Per hour of ED wait = 1.2 (p=0.01) MJA 2006; 184: 208–212 Delay = Bad Care • N=42,780 • Long ED stays less often received guideline-recommended NSTEMI therapies Ann Emerg Med. 2007; 50; 489-96 Delay = Bad Care • N=694 patients Delayed/No antibiotics – OR 1.05 for each additional WR patient – OR 1.14 for each additional WR hour Ann Emerg Med. 2007;50:510-516 Delay = Bad Care • N=13,758 • Nontreatment of pain associated with waiting room number OR = 1.03 for each additional waiting patient Ann Emerg Med. 2008;51:1-5.] Delay = Bad Care • N=162 “boarded” patients (waiting for room) • Undesirable event • Missed meds, lab results, arrhythmias, or other adverse events • 27.8% had an undesirable event Ann Emerg Med. 2009;54:381-385.] 14,054,431 patients: waiting = bad outcomes or death What business intentionally kills its customers? If you had a way of getting data quickly, wouldn’t you? The era of POC needing to justify itself is over. We are now in the era where the central lab must prove it is not killing our patients. POC vs Lab Singulex • 295 MIDAS patients 155 (52.5%) NCCP 67 (22.7%) USA 61 (20.7%) NSTEMI 12 (4.1%) STEMI Sensitivity Specificity Negative Point of Care Positive Area Underneath Predictive Predictive ROC curve Value Value (C-Statistic) 86 94 95 82 94 90 86 96 68 94 Alere Central Lab Singulex Sn Sp NPV PPV AUC POC 86 94 95 82 94 Lab 90 86 96 68 94