The Pharmaceutical Industry Challenges and Opportunities Dr Ajit Shetty Corporate Vice President Enterprise Supply Chain Johnson & Johnson (retired) Chairman Emeritus of the Board of Directors Janssen Pharmaceutica Indian Business Chamber of Luxembourg Luxembourg June 18, 2012 1 CONTENTS • J&J • Janssen • Health Care • The Pharma Market • Challenges • Opportunities • M&A • Indian Pharma • Conclusions 2 Johnson & Johnson: Global Presence Global Leader in Health Care More than 250 Operating Companies In 60 Countries Selling Products in More Than 175 Countries 116,000 Employees Worldwide 3 Johnson & Johnson Family of Companies • Sixth-largest consumer health care company • The world’s largest and most diverse medical devices and diagnostics company • The world’s fifth-largest biologics company • The world’s eighth-largest pharmaceuticals company Jesica Harrington Diagnostic test fueled hope in her fight against cancer 4 4 2011 Sales by Segment $ U.S. Billions Consumer 23% MD&D 40% $14.9B (0.7%*) $25.8B 1.7%* $24.4B 6.2%* Pharmaceuticals 37% *Operational YOY change 2011 Sales: $65.1 Billion 5 Our Consumer Business Segment 2011 sales of $14.9 billion Broad portfolio of iconic CPG and OTC brands Based on sound science and technology Touching a billion lives every day Our Pharmaceuticals Business Segment 2011 sales of $24.4 billion Now unified under the Janssen name A well-positioned pipeline – Growing demand – Emerging markets – Unmet needs around the world Recent product approvals Our Medical Devices & Diagnostics Business Segment 2011 sales of $25.8 billion The world’s largest medical technology business Focused on emerging markets and an aging population Our most recent acquisition A premier manufacturer of orthopedic devices Dr Paul Janssen (1926-2003) • Founder of Janssen Pharmaceutica • One of the most prolific researchers into new therapeutics for use in anesthesia, pain management, psychiatry, gastroenterology, mycology and many other therapeutic areas • Received 22 Honorary Doctorates and 5 Honorary Professorships • Holder of more than 100 patents • Over 850 scientific publications • In the survey Belgian of Belgians (Jan. 2004) Dr. Paul Janssen has reached the third place 9 Janssen Pharmaceutica Campus Olen Geel Beerse II Beerse I Portfolio of Leading Pharmaceutical Brands Pain Management • Fentanyl® / TTS • Rapifen® • Sufenta® Psychiatry • Haldol ® • Risperdal ® Neurology • Topamax® • Reminyl® Fungal Infections • Daktarin® • Nizoral® Shampoo • Sporanox® HIV • Intellence® • .......... • ........... Gastroenterology • Imodium ® • Motilium ® • .......... • .......... Health Care at $5.7 trillion is 7-8% of Global GDP 12 Total Healthcare Expenditure as a percentage of GNP at market prices US 14 12 Germany France Belgium Italy Japan UK 10 8 6 4 2 0 1960 1970 1980 1990 2002 13 Ratio Healthcare Expenditure - Drug Expenditure Health Care as % of GNP USA 14 Healthcare expenditure as % of GNP 12 DEU CHE 10 FRA CAN NEDSUE AUS AUT ISL DEN BELGIUM NOOR FINNLZ SP JAP IRL LUX GBR 8 POR CZE GBC 6 0 5 10 15 Share of drugs in healthcare Correlation coeff.:- 0.44 20 25 30 Gradient: 0.13 Constant: 9.99 14 Global Pharmaceutical Market 15 Growth Projections for the Pharmaceutical Industry 16 The Pharmaceutical Research & Development Process Timeline / NPD Process 10 - 15 YEARS ~$1B to $1.5B Investment IND APPLICATION SUBMITTED Early Exploration Discovery/ Concept Early Development (PC, Ph1, Ph2a) NDA/BLA Late SUBMITTED Development Regulatory (Ph 2b, Ph 3) Review PostLaunch Molecule Preclinical First in Human Ph2 Ph3 Clinical Trials FDA Approved Drugs Pharma R&D spend and new drug approval 18 Global pharmaceutical market generics challenge 19 J&J Counterfeit Products Position • Our Credo responsibility • Patients should receive genuine products • Taking tangible steps • Monitor markets • Work with regulators to strengthen laws http://www.jnj.com/connect/about-jnj/views-positions/product-safety/ The global pharmaceutical market growth remains under pressure The near term future belongs to the payers Changing sources of growth PHARMA INDUSTRY Intensifying competition • Increasing generic penetration in large therapy areas • Declining R&D productivity • Mature vs. emerging markets • Primary Care vs. Specialist driven Shifting stakeholder power • • • • Increasing payer power over treatment decisions HTA controlling access Increasing patient power Changes in distribution patterns Positive Trends • Global expansion/emerging markets • Demographics/aging population • Unmet needs • Advancing science and technology 22 Drug Usage by Age Band 60% of drugs are used by people over 60 And this group is growing 23 Unprecedented Potential Waiting for a more effective option for hepatitis C… Waiting for a solution for prostate cancer… ZYTIGA® Abiraterone Acetate First-in-class, novel orally administered for treatment of prostate cancer Telaprevir (VX-950) Potential first-in-class protease inhibitor Waiting for a better anticoagulant… Waiting for a more convenient way to treat HIV… Rivaroxaban First-in-class, once-daily oral anticoagulant TMC-278 Oral once-daily single agent/ fixed dose combination 24 Innovative delivery technology with therapeutic added value OROS ® : Osmotic - Controlled Release Oral - Delivery System Laser- drilled delivery orifice Rate- controlling semi- permeable membrane Drug compartment 1 Outer coat Drug compartment 2 • Oral controlled release Water Push compartment Water • Once-monthly injection Cross Sector Synergies Convergent Technologies CYPHER EVRA Our Vision: Comprehensive Healthcare • Prevention • Diagnosis • Treatment 27 Survival of the fittest: Takeovers, Mergers and JVs Smithkline RIT - Beecham Rhône-Poulenc - Rorer Pharmacia - Upjohn Marion Merrell Dow - Hoechst Roussel Rhône-Poulenc Rorer - Fisons Kabivitrum - Pharmacia Nicholas - Roche Vickx Blendax - Procter & Gamble Ciba - Sandoz Sankyo - Luitpold Pharma Bristol-Myers - Squibb Roche - Boehringer Mannheim Sanofi - Synthelabo Synthélabo - Delagrange & Delalande Sanofi - Winthrop Kabi Pharmacia - Farmitalia Brocades - Yamanouchi Warner - Wellcome (OTC products) Cyanamid - AHP Roche - Syntex Roussel - Hoechst Glaxo - Wellcome Boots - Knoll Astra - Zeneca Hoechst-Marrion-Roussel - RhonePoulenc-Rorer (= Aventis) Warner-Lambert - Pfizer Monsanto - PharmaciaUpjohn GlaxoWellcome – Smithkline Novartis acquires 20% in Roche Intense M&A activity in biotech Alza – J&J Dupont- BMS 28 Survival of the fittest: Takeovers, Mergers and JVs Chugai Pharm- Hoffmann-La Roche Hoffmann-La Roche – Novartis (Novartis owns 33% of Roche) Pharmacia- Pfizer Schering – Bayer becomes Bayer Schering Wyeth - Pfizer Searle – Pfizer Roche Consumer Health – Bayer Aventis – Sanofi.Synthelabo: become Sanofi-Aventis APS/ Berk becomes TEVA Celltech – UCB Genentech – Hoffmann-La Roche (Roche becomes majority owner Genentech) Aventis Pasteur MSD becomes Sanofi Aventis MSD Boots – Alliance Unichem becomes Alliance Boots Altana – Nycomed IVAX – Teva Lifescan – becomes J&J subsidiary 29 The Indian Pharmaceutical Industry An Awakening Giant? Positive Improvement Areas • Excellent, highly skilled people • Lack of patent protection • Language is no barrier • Cost effective • I/P Protection ? • Counterfeit • Low prices India’s Potential Role as a Pharma Player From To • A low priced generic market • A market that rewards innovation • An exporter of generic products • A major factor in an integrated R&D / production global effort (partnership) • Large presence of counterfeit products • A safe and effective supply chain The future we can influence 32 Conclusion Global Competition in the Pharmaceutical Industry = Competition through Innovation 33