Privatisation, Restructuring and Employee Retrenchment in Brazil: Issues and Policy Responses Armando Castelar Pinheiro Brazilian Development Bank (BNDES) Conference on “Privatisation, Employment and Employees” 10 – 11 October 2002, Ataköy, Istanbul, Turkey A brief overview of privatisation Labour market adjustment in 1990-2002 Labour issues in the privatisation process Main conclusions SD-2 Privatisation evolved in three stages Stage I: Small SOEs in competitive sectors Stage II: Industry Steel Petrochemicals Fertilizers Mining (CVRD - 1997) Stage III: Infrastructure Rail Electricity (partial) Telecom Highways Stage IV: Banking Infrastructure Non-controlling shareholdings SD-3 Total Results (1991-2002) US$ million Sectors Sale Proceeds Debt Transferred Total Steel 5,562 2,625 8,187 Petrochemicals 2,698 1,003 3,701 Mining 5,202 3,559 8,761 Electricity 24,666 7,510 32,176 Sanitation 699 - 699 Oil & Gas 6,845 88 6,933 Telecom 30,491 2,947 33,438 Banking 6,357 - 6357 Transports 2,320 - 2,320 Minority shareholdings 1,149 - 1,149 Others 1,233 344 1,577 87,222 18,076 105,298 Total August 2002 SD-4 Results by sector (1991-2002) Oil & Gas: 7 % Electricity: 31 % Sanitation: 1 % Other: 1 % Banking: 6 % Steel: 8 % Petrochemicals: 4 % Minority shareholdings: 1% Telecom: 31 % Mining: 8 % Transports : 2 % SD-5 Annual distribution of privatisation results (1991-2001) State Govt: US$ 34,7 billion Federal Govt.: US$ 67,5 billion 37,5 US$ billion 27,7 Total: US$ 102,2 billion 10,7 6,5 2,0 3,4 4,2 2,3 1,6 4,4 1,8 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 SD-6 Total Employment in Six Largest Metropolitan Areas (Number of Workers) 4500000 18000000 17000000 4000000 16000000 15000000 3500000 14000000 3000000 13000000 12000000 2500000 11000000 Manufacturing Total 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 1989 1988 1987 1986 1985 1984 1983 10000000 1982 2000000 SD-7 Unemployment and Productivity (Mnfg) in 1981-2002 160 9 150 8 7 140 6 130 5 120 4 110 3 100 2 90 1 80 0 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 Productivity Unemployment SD-8 Number of Employees and Salary Expenditures (1994) Sector Finance CVRD Eletricity Oil Telecom Ports Steel (1991) Rail Other Total Number of employees Salary expenditures Number % % of GDP % 145132 19.3 1.91 50.3 21263 2.8 0.11 2.9 44245 5.9 0.24 6.3 54551 7.3 0.38 10.0 109497 14.6 0.38 10.0 13693 1.8 0.05 1.3 68914 9.2 58215 7.7 0.12 3.2 236503 31.4 752013 100.0 3.80* 100.0 (*) Does not include steel sector. In 1994, employment in Federal SOEs represented less than 2% of the overall non-agricultural employment, SD-9 Ratio of Salary to Investment Expenditures: 1980-94 (%) 1.6 1.4 1.2 1 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 SD-10 Investment by Federal-Owned SOEs: 1980-94 (% of GDP) 6 5 4 3 2 1 19 80 19 82 19 84 19 86 19 88 19 90 19 92 19 94 0 Other Itaipu Rail Steel Ports Telecom Oil Eletricity CVRD Finance SD-11 Short-Term Impact of Privatisation on Employment Overall employment fell by a third, comparing the pre- and post-privatisation periods Three-fourths of this downsizing took place prior to sale, while preparing the companies for sale Downsizing was less pronounced for employees working in production lines Employment and salaries Year of privatisation = 100 Median % Companies Before After Change with growth Number of employees 132.0 88.4 -33.0 % 2.4 % Employees in production activities 125.8 88.7 -29.5 % 10.0 % 76.5 96.5 26.1 % 64.7 % Average salary* * Total salary expenditures/number of employees. SD-13 CSN: Employment and Productivity 25,000 542 22,134 500 18,222 16,125 15,000 15,082 14,773 15,147 295 10,000 296 314 400 13,707 326 403 10,995 11,086 225 5,000 163 160 300 200 100 - 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 Year Employment Productivity (tons/employee/year) Productivity Employment 20,000 600 Embraer: Productivity (US$ 1000/employee/year) 200 180 160 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 191 109 82 41 1994 1995 1996 1997 CVRD: Employment and Productivity 20,000 Employment 16,000 255,7 18,440 17,829 14,000 15,573 12,000 158,2 10,000 114,3 8,000 6,000 250 15,483 17,766 200 178,1 10,865 150 128,8 100 113,1 4,000 50 2,000 - 0 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 Ano Employment Productivity (US$1000/emp,year) Produtivity 18,000 300 Railways: Employment 50,000 44,601 40,000 24,603 30,000 20,000 13,607 10,000 0 Before Adjustment Period After Railways: Productivity 400 350 300 250 200 150 100 50 1995 Centro-Atlântica 1996 MRS-Logística Tereza Cristina 1997 Sul-Atlântica Novoeste Impact on R&D Employment Number of employees engaged in R&D declined, but Better educated people were hired, with an overall improvement in quality. 19 The impact on overall employment varied from one sector to another In mature sectors (steel, petrochemicals, etc.), the rise in productivity tended to prevail. In infrastructure, privatisation led to a major increase in supply, often compensating for the rise in productivity. Moreover, in infrastructure privatisation allowed for regulatory reform that brought new players (and jobs) into the market. Taking all these effects together, privatisation has had a positive impact on employment SD-21 Anecdotal evidence In the year following privatisation employment fell by 10 thousand jobs in the 40 companies considered in the survey (excluding the telecom companies) compared to the year of sale, and by 35 thousand jobs compared to employment in the year before, 145 thousand new jobs were created in the telecom companies alone (including the new telecom companies created after market liberalisation) 13 mil jobs were created in the highway concessionary companies In only one of the 37 highway concessions awarded until 1999, 3,500 jobs were created in outsourced activities (cleaning, signalling etc,) One of the new (B-band) cellular operators has 1,239 suppliers SD-22 Critical management problems in privatised companies Technological backwardness Lack of maintenance of equipment and installations Poor information systems Significant environmental liabilities and debts with tax authorities Lack of strong business culture and excessive focus on production (engineering-oriented) Excessive number of hierarchical management levels Staff lacked motivation Often, time with the company, rather than merit, as the main criterion for promotion Large number of labour judicial disputes SD-23 Outsourcing Direct impact of privatisation was not large, although there were exceptions Core business activities that had been outsourced started to be carried out directly by the companies Outsourcing increased in the cases of security, catering and transportation of employees and, in some companies, maintenance of facilities and computer services. SD-24 Although privatisation affected only a small share of the labour force, it faced strong political opposition, To deal with inside opposition, the government offered: Incentives for early retirement (age-skewed downsizing) Bonus for workers willing to leave the firm Possibility of buying company shares at highly subsidised prices 158,647 employees bought subsidised shares as part of the privatisation of their companies, accounting for US$ 731.4 million in revenues, The share of total capital offered to employees ranged from 3.1% to 20%, The percentage of capital subscribed in individual companies ranged from 0.1% (Álcalis and Geraul) to 20% (Açominas, Cosipa and Caraíba) In some cases public credit was extended to employees to buy shares With privatisation, company bylaws were changed to include a representative of employees in the board of directors. Structure of share sales in the case of CVRD Common Stock Preferred Stock Total 0 26 - 29 4.45 6.3 5.1 26.5 - 31.5 - 17 - 20 76 6.3 51 Strategic Investor 40 - 45 Employees Global Offer Total 26 23 Often, employees ended up accepting privatisation without much opposition Although there was the perception that bloated work forces would need to be downsized, employees favoured privatisation for various reasons: In some companies (e.g., CSN and Embraer), there was the perception that the alternative to privatisation was closing the company down State ownership was perceived to limit management flexibility, access to finance and competitiveness Privatisation offered the possibility to make a financial gain For younger employees, privatisation offered a greater opportunity to advance in the company It was often the case, though, that employees did not hold on to the shares they bought. In most of the cases in which employees kept their shares, they participated in investment clubs with important shareholdings in the company, often participating in the controlling group. Although there is no systematic evaluation of how well SOE employees did with privatisation, anecdotal evidence suggests that For employees who kept their jobs, privatisation seems to have been in general positive For those who left the company, the evidence is mixed, with many former workers engaging in unsuccessful businesses of their own SD-28 Main conclusions The promises of privatisation were, broadly speaking, fulfilled, contributing to limit the growth of the public debt, raising investment and efficiency and, through the attraction of FDI, helping to close the external accounts. The impact on employment has been mixed. The workforce of the SOEs has declined, with the rise in productivity more than compensating that of output. In some sectors, notably in infrastructure, though, the overall increase in sector output has led to higher employment levels. Overall, however, privatisation played a minor role in labour market dynamics, due to the relatively small size of the SOEs’ workforce Main conclusions Employee opposition to privatisation was successfully mitigated by selling SOE shares to employees at subsidised prices. With privatisation human resource policy changed to reduce the number of management levels and make promotion schemes more merit sensitive. Pension schemes were also geared towards defined contribution schemes and sounder management.