32 POWER MATRIX POWER MATRIX 33 The Right Mix Global patterns of energy production and consumption are becoming increasingly complex. Michael Suess, CEO of the Siemens Energy Sector, had an animated conversation with Living Energy’s correspondent about the upcoming age of clean electrification, the power matrix, the need for stronger grids, and why Siemens is uniquely positioned to meet that need of future “prosumers.” Text: Haig Simonian, Photos: David Sailer Michael Suess has been Chief Executive of the Siemens Energy Sector since April 2011. 34 POWER MATRIX “Our global coverage and products and expertise are second to none.” POWER MATRIX Almost overnight in early 2011, a small Japanese coastal town leapt from regional obscurity into a global term for the world’s energy challenges. Since the nuclear disaster in Fukushima, Germany and Switzerland have decided to abandon nuclear power, China has put its ambitious program on hold, while other countries are considering their position. But what appears a red light for one form of generating electricity may be an opportunity for others, as nations around the world reconsider their post-Fukushima options. Few people are as well placed to weigh up those alternatives as Michael Suess, the 48-year-old German engineer who recently took over as Chief Executive Officer of Siemens’ Energy Sector, a worldwide business with more than 80,000 employees and more than €27 billion in sales. “The world has reacted in very different ways, based on national interests and national traditions,” he says in an interview at Siemens’ Munich headquarters. “We don’t expect a significant long-term reduction in the role of nuclear power: Most of the 400 new reactors planned around the world will be built. But they still only represent less than 15 percent of required generating power. The key question of how the world’s huge demand for energy will be met remains. The only change has been to shift the focus away from one single generating technology.” Like many in the business, Suess sees the 21st century as “the new electricity age” – the era when electric power emerges as the dominant energy source. “Demand for electricity is still growing, while reserves of fossil fuels are declining. Electricity offers some of the highest efficiency levels in meeting our energy needs; it can do so much more,” he says. Embracing Complexity But this means leaving behind the traditional picture of large power stations feeding electricity into national Living Energy · Issue 6/February 2012 grids, and moving on to a much more complex model. Power sources will range from traditional plants, including nuclear, to newer types of generating capacity based on renewables like wind and solar. In addition, large central power plants will be complemented by an increasing share of distributed power generation connected – for the medium- and low-voltage grid – such as combined heat and power (CHP) and rooftop PV. Consumption patterns will change, too, as utilities shift increasingly to a more decentralized power generation system, where domestic consumers will have much more flexibility in deciding how and when to use electricity. Suess even envisages technological advances prompting the arrival of an altogether new hybrid of “consumers” and “producers.” He calls these the “prosumers,” recipients of electricity who may also periodically feed back into the grid their own power, generated via rooftop solar panels or other small-scale generating sources. Therefore, he argues, the recent focus on nuclear has distracted attention from the “wider story.” “Even today, about 1.5 billion people have no access whatsoever to electricity. That figure is likely to rise to about 2.5 billion, given expected population growth. The issue is not to discuss a single source, but rather the right ‘mix’ of generating capacity for different countries, regions, and continents. Only now, months after Fukushima, are we coming back to that ‘real’ question,” he argues. A former engine developer at top German car groups BMW and Porsche, Suess pulls out the figures that highlight the challenges. “The world today has an installed electricity-generating base of about 5,800 GW. That is expected to virtually double to more than 10,000 in the next 20 years. In China and India alone, they’re talking about installing a further 50, 60, 80 GW per year – that’s equivalent to half the entire installed capacity of countries like the UK or Germany. So you can’t Living Energy · Issue 6/February 2012 just have one source. You need a whole mix; nuclear, gas, coal, oil, renewables.” Siemens, he believes, is uniquely placed to meet such needs. “I think we are the only company worldwide that can cover all these demands.” The portfolio includes the world’s most energy-efficient gas turbines, a rapidly growing presence in wind power, and the traditional “backbone” of fossil fuel power generation, as well as important activities helping the oil and gas sectors – key sources of power for electricity generators. “And most importantly, we have the grid technology available to bring highest efficient power generation to our customers.” Siemens has even coined a term for the changes ahead. “We call it the ‘power matrix,’” says Suess. Among the enablers of the power matrix are strong grids, incorporating elements such as high-voltage DC (HVDC) and flexible AC transmission systems (FACTS), and state-of-the-art instrumentation and control technology, Suess notes. “We’re facing a much more complicated world. There will still be centralized power sources, but also increasingly decentralized and distributed ones, like the solar plants being built in hot, sunny countries such as Spain, or the giant offshore wind parks currently planned or under construction in Germany or the UK. That will all need a matrix, as we’ll need to combine all those different sources in an efficient and affordable way. And renewables, by their very nature, will also require storage. So far, pumped storage is our best option. But in time, battery technology will play an increasing part, whether in electric vehicles or elsewhere. Gasfired backup capacities will prevail.” Geographic Determinants, Cultural Subtleties All these developments indicate widely differing requirements, with distinct regional and even national u 35 Siemens Energy Sector One of the world’s leading suppliers of a wide range of PRODUCTS, SOLUTIONS, AND SERVICES in the field of energy technology. 97,000 employees worldwide. Total sales of €27.6 billion and profits of €4.1 billion in fiscal 2011.* ➔ Helps customers GENERATE AND TRANSMIT electrical power with maximum efficiency. ➔ Provides EQUIPMENT to produce, convert, and transport oil and gas, primary fuels for electricity generation. ➔ Sole global MANUFACTURER with know-how and products spanning entire power matrix. Divisions ➔ Fossil Power Generation ➔ Wind Power ➔ Solar & Hydro ➔ Oil & Gas ➔ Energy Service ➔ Power Transmission *Effective October 1, 2011, the Power Distribution Division with a workforce of more than 15,000 was reassigned to the new Siemens Sector Infrastructure & Cities. 36 POWER MATRIX Visualizing Complexity: the Power Matrix As renewable power revolutionizes the energy system, the former energy chain from large power plants to consumers is transformed into a power matrix with a daily growing number of small generating units and myriad nodes. With its global presence and innovative product, solution, and service portfolio, Siemens is the only player active in all aspects and areas of this power matrix, and is ideally positioned to support its customers in building the right mix of generating capacity. Wind park, Te Uku (New Zealand) Irsching combined cycle power plant (Germany) Valve hall, Yunnan-Guangdong HVDC line (China) Central Power Plants ➔ LARGE POWER PLANTS PROVIDE BACKUP for intermittent wind and solar Distributed Power Generation Grids ➔ Renewable power requires STRONGER TRANSMISSION infrastructure ➔ Innovative technologies at manifold feed-in points ➔ Improved CONTROL SOFTWARE for market integration ➔ Adapted to LOCAL CONDITIONS ➔ GREATER EFFICIENCY of conventional fossil power plants to meet supply gaps System of Systems One answer is not enough: Each country has its own power matrix ➔ The shape of the power matrix differs from country to country Graphic: Rainer Schubert, Photos: Siemens ➔ Specific market factors vary; e.g., available resources (like coal, wind, gas), state of economic development ➔ Tailored responses needed for diverse challenges Storage Prosumers ➔ Key enabler for integration of renewables ➔ Avoid shutdowns and enhance grid stability Living Energy · Issue 6/February 2012 ➔ Households both produce and consume power as small-scale market players ➔ Rooftop PVs and electric cars set for global breakthrough Living Energy · Issue 6/February 2012 38 POWER MATRIX POWER MATRIX Michael Suess The head of Siemens’ Energy Sector is an engineer by training, a car enthusiast, and a historian in his spare time. Background A 48-year-old German citizen, MICHAEL SUESS studied mechanical engineering at Munich Technical University before taking a doctorate at Kassel Technical University’s Institute of Industrial Engineering and Ergonomics. Professional Experience Suess has since 1986 worked in production and planning roles at leading industrial groups in Germany and Italy, including BMW, Porsche, and jet engine maker MTU, advancing to board membership based on his entrepreneurial skills. • Joined Siemens in October 2006 as a member of group executive management of Siemens Power Generation. • In January 2008 appointed Chief Executive of the Fossil Power Generation Division in the Energy Sector. • In April 2011 appointed to Siemens Group Managing Board and Chief Executive of the Energy Sector. “It is in the DNA of Siemens to be part of other countries and cultures.” characteristics. Suess highlights the huge differences in Europe alone. There are the vast, centralized generating units of Russia and much of eastern Europe, where power and heat are often provided in combination. “Then take Africa or parts of South America, where access to electricity is a challenge in itself. You need a different approach in each case. In some regions, like Austria, Venezuela, or Brazil, the topography favors hydropower. Elsewhere, like Spain, solar power may have an advantage. And in much of the Middle East, plentiful local gas supplies provide the source – also, there’s a trend now towards using other sources for generating power.” While some countries may be focused on reducing emissions, other may prioritize lowering prices, improving access to electricity, or boosting reliability of supply. Even individual countries can experience priority swings. Just take Germany. For years, reducing emissions was the watchword. Then came Fukushima. “The pendulum has swung back somewhat since, but not completely,” says Suess. While expressing understanding for Germany’s “Energiewende” – the historic move away from nuclear power that is being watched closely around the world – he says that Germany’s politicians must ensure all necessary legislation is in place to facilitate a cost-optimal integration and mix of alternative sources. “And we need grid enforcement for integrating wind and PV.” Awareness of countries’ differing needs – let alone sensitivity to their national subtleties – is where Siemens can stand out, he believes. “We have global coverage and products and expertise that are second to none.” A passionate historian in his spare time, Suess starts with the group’s background to underline the depth of its relationships in many markets. “Never forget, Siemens is more than 160 years old and engaged in many countries for more than a century. Living Energy · Issue 6/February 2012 Michael Suess met with Living Energy’s correspondent at the Siemens headquarters in Munich, Germany. Within just a few short years of our foundation, we had created first subsidiaries in the UK and in Italy.” Even in markets where Siemens has arrived more recently, it has developed a profound local presence. In China, the group has nearly 35,000 employees now. In the USA, that number exceeds 60,000. “What we’re really talking about here is a ‘multilocal’ operating company. It is in the DNA of this group to be part of other countries and cultures. We take on board the needs of each society and provide the answers.” Suess, who admits to retaining a passion for fast cars and powerful engines – his career included a stint at leading Living Energy · Issue 6/February 2012 German jet engine maker MTU – is just as enthusiastic about Siemens’ range of technology. “I just get to play with bigger engines now,” he jokes. “It’s against an engineer’s spirit to say everything is covered, but we really do cover a wide range in terms of products and solutions. Of course, we have competitors fighting it out with us in this area or that – and such competition is very healthy for all of us. But there really isn’t anyone else that can offer products across the entire value chain or range of customer needs the way we can.” p Haig Simonian is Switzerland correspondent of the Financial Times. 39