Principles of Economics by Fred M Gottheil PowerPoint Slides prepared by Ken Long ©1999 South-Western College Publishing 1 Chapter 22 Equilibrium National Income 3/19/2016 ©1999 South-Western College Publishing 2 What is the purpose of this chapter? To build an economic model to represent an economy tending toward or being in equilibrium ©1999 South-Western College Publishing 3 What is Aggregate Expenditure? The total spending by consumers, investors, government, and foreigners ©1999 South-Western College Publishing 4 What assumption do we make in this chapter? There is no government spending or foreign trade disposable income is the same as total income ©1999 South-Western College Publishing 5 2 Ways of Looking at Equilibrium Income/expenditure approach Savings/Investment approach 6 What is the Aggregate Expenditure Curve? A curve that shows the quantity of aggregate expenditures at different levels of national income or GDP ©1999 South-Western College Publishing 7 Aggregate Expenditure Income - Expenditure Model 45o National Income 88 Aggregate Expenditure Income - Expenditure Model Aggregate expenditure function Equilibrium 45o Ye National Income 99 In equilibrium, C+I = Ye, planned spending equals output produced 10 Aggregate Expenditure Income - Expenditure Model Aggregate expenditure function 45o Ye Y1 National Income 111 What happens at output above equilibrium, like Y1? Aggregate expenditure is less than output, leading to an unplanned inventory accumulation Firms will likely cut production, leading to lower GDP and national income 12 Aggregate Expenditure Income - Expenditure Model Aggregate expenditure function Y2 National Income Ye 1313 What happens at output below equilibrium, like Y2? Aggregate expenditure is greater than output, leading to an unplanned inventory depletion Firms will likely increase production, leading to higher GDP and national income 14 Aggregate Expenditure Income - Expenditure Model Aggregate expenditure function Equilibrium 45o National Income 1515 The Bureau of Economic Analysis has data on current income http://www.bea.doc.gov/bea/dn1.htm ©1999 South-Western College Publishing 16 What happens when Consumption or Investment change? The equilibrium level of national income changes ©1999 South-Western College Publishing 17 Aggregate Expenditure Shift in Aggregate Expenditure C2+I2 C1+I1 original equilibrium new equilibrium 45o National Income 18 18 What is the Income Multiplier? The multiple by which income changes as a result of a change in aggregate expenditure ©1999 South-Western College Publishing 19 Change in Y Multiplier = change in AE ©1999 South-Western College Publishing 2 20 0 If investors increase spending by $100 billion, will GDP increase by $100 billion? NO, it will increase by more than $100 billion because of the multiplier 21 $100 $90 MPC = 9/10 $81 MPS = 1/10 $74 ... $1,000 2 2 22 How do we measure the multiplier? 1/MPS or 1/ (1-MPC) 23 If MPC equals 9/10, what is MPS? 1/10 24 One divided by one tenth equals 10 Simple Multiplier . 1 = 1 . 1 X 10 10 = 1 10 25 25 Aggregate Expenditure MPC = .9 MPS = .1 C+I 90 100 National Income 26 26 If the multiplier is 10, how much does GDP increase when investment increases by $1billion? 10 x $1bil = $10 billion 27 If the multiplier is 10, how much does GDP decrease when investment decreases by $1billion? 10 x -$1bil = -$10 billion 28 More multiplier problems Assume MPC=.75, initial change in Investment = 5 billion, then change in GDP equals? 29 MPS = 1/3, initial change in consumption = -8 billion, then change in GDP = 30 MPC = .8 Say investment increases by 6 billion, what is the maximum change in GDP??? 31 Note that the actual value of the multiplier is smaller than our formula suggests—Why? • The effect of taxes has been ignored • The effect of imports has been ignored • The effect of inflation has been ignored 32 What is the Paradox of Thrift? The more people try to save (in the aggregate) , the more income falls, leaving them with no more and perhaps with even less saving ©1999 South-Western College Publishing 33 • What is Aggregate Expenditure? • At what point is the Equilibrium? • Why is intended I = intended S an equilibrium? • What is Actual Investment? • What happens when actual Investment > intended Investment? • What happens when actual Investment < intended Investment? 34 •What happens when Consumption or Investment change? •What is the Income Multiplier? •If the price level increases what happens to AE? • If the price level decreases what happens to AE? •What is the Paradox of Thrift? 35 END ©1999 South-Western College Publishing 36