Realignment Supervision Trends
ACJR Conference October 2013
Kevin O’Connell
Chief Probation Officers of California
California Counties supervise ~410,000
people after realignment
-3%
350,000
County
300,000
State
250,000
-50%
+0%
200,000
150,000
100,000
50,000
0
Felony
Probation
Misd Probation
Sep-11
PRCS
Mar-13
Mandatory
Supervision
Parole
Trends in county level sentencing
have stayed fairly flat
Local Prison- Jail Only
Local Prison- Splits
Probation
Mar-13
Feb-13
Jan-13
Dec-12
Nov-12
Oct-12
Sep-12
Aug-12
Jul-12
Jun-12
May-12
Apr-12
Mar-12
Feb-12
Jan-12
Dec-11
Nov-11
8000
7000
6000
5000
4000
3000
2000
1000
0
Oct-11
# of people sentenced
County Sentencing During Realignment
Local prison terms average 2500 a month,
with split sentencing increasing slightly
2500
Local Prison Sentences by Type
2000
1500
1000
500
0
Local Prison- Jail Only
Local Prison- Splits
Diversity in sentencing practices has
resulted in varying levels of split sentences
26% State
rate
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
58 counties split sentence %, through March 2013
100%
40,000 offenders being supervised under
realignment between PRCS and Mandatory
Supervision by probation
Supervised Realigned Population as of March 2013
Active PRCS Population
Active Mandatory Supervision Population
Mar-13
Feb-13
Jan-13
Dec-12
Nov-12
Oct-12
Sep-12
Aug-12
Jul-12
Jun-12
May-12
Apr-12
Mar-12
Feb-12
Jan-12
Dec-11
Nov-11
Oct-11
45000
40000
35000
30000
25000
20000
15000
10000
5000
0
Per
100,000
people,
where are
realigned
people
going?
Darker colors
have more
realigned people
on PRCS or MS
than others
Early data collection points to more
areas for study and research
 Effectiveness of service and treatment referrals based
on risk responsivity
 Use and efficacy of graduated sanctions such as flash
incarceration
 Types of recidivism and time to new criminal event
 A natural experiment between those given straight
time and split sentences
 Implementation Implementation Implementation
Where to go for data
 www.cpoc.org