People are now always looking for lower risk when investing anywhere. In share market it is obvious that people will do so. Making a portfolio is the best way to do so. There is a quote that “Don’t put all the eggs in same basket”. By portfolio we are investing in different shares to minimize the risk of investing in one share. Background of the report As a major student of Finance it is mandatory to be familiar with stock market and about portfolio management. By doing so we will be able to find the lucrative share and can make optimal portfolio in future. As a part of the major course “Portfolio management” of BBA program, we were assigned to do our report in “Analysis Different Securities & Manage Optimal Portfolio” Significance of the Report Education will be the most effective when theory and practice blends. Theoretical knowledge gets its perfection with practical application. We all know that there is no alternative of practical knowledge which is more beneficial than theoretical aspects. The prime reason of this study is to become familiar with the practical share market and to attain practical knowledge about the overall share market condition, which is so much essential for each and every student to meet the extreme growing challenges in job market. Scope of the report This study covers five years (2007 to 2011) financial data, financial performance evaluation of selected shares. What we are doing is financial performance indicator analysis, recommendations and justifications on the basis of both qualitative and quantitative analysis. Which we can use in future. The scope of this report is limited to the overall description of the stock market, making a portfolio. Analysis its services; its present position, its financial performance analysis the practical progress of its operation. 1 Objectives of the Report GENERAL OBJECTIVE The prime objective of the report is to analyze “Analysis Different Securities & Manage Optimal Portfolio”. SPECIFIC OBJECTIVE The following aspects can be listed as the specific objectives for this practical orientation in stock market: To identify and assess the present lucrative share in share market. To calculate the possible return for selected share. To understand the implications the financial indicators to identity the better share. To compare the financial situation and performance of different share with respect to other share and with respect to industry performance. To identify the findings and raise possible recommendations for improving the portfolio performance. To understand the fundamental and technical analysis to forecast about share. 2 Methodology Research Design For analyzing the share both fundamental and technical analyzing has been done. This report is a descriptive type of research, which briefly reveals the overall activities of selected shares. It has also been administered by collecting secondary data. Annual reports and the Dhaka stock exchange website were the major secondary data sources in this regard. Different types of financial performance ratio are treated as scale of measuring performance. After portfolio revision stage the decision of rearrange of share will be taken. For analyzing the share secondary data have been used. Sources of data: Mainly Secondary data A. Annual Report of selected company. B. Website of Dhaka stock exchange C. Different text book and journals. D. Various reports and articles related to study. E. Some of my course elements as related to this report. 3 Limitation Observing and analyzing the broad performance of a many company for making a portfolio is not an easy task to do. Moreover due to obvious reasons of scrutiny and confidentiality, the company does not reveal its many information which we believe are necessary to conduct this report. However the some of the limitations we have face while preparing this Report are listed as follows: Inadequate Data: Lack of available information about the selected share is the real pain when are preparing this report. Lack of Record: Large-scale research was not possible due to constrain and restrictions posed by the organization. Unavailability of sufficient written documents as required making a comprehensive study. In many cases up-to-date information was not available. Lack of experiences: Lack of experiences has acted as constraints in the way of meticulous exploration on the topic. Being a new about stock market we may have choose wrong share. 4 Introduction to Stock exchange in Bangladesh The necessity of establishing a stock exchange in the then East Pakistan was first decided by the government when, early in 1952, it was learnt that the Calcutta Stock Exchange had prohibited the transactions in pakistani shares and securities.. A decisive step was taken the second meeting of the organizing committee held on the 13th march, 1953. In the cabinet room, eden building, under the chairmanship of Mr. A. Khaleeli, secretary government of East Bengal, commerce, labor and industries department at which various aspects of the issue were discussed in detail. Then the central government’s proposal regarding the Karachi Stock Exchange opening a branch at Dhaka did not find favor with the meeting who felt that East Pakistan should have an independent stock exchange. It was suggested that Dhaka Narayanganj Chamber of Commerce & Industry should approach its members for purchase of membership cards at RS.2000 each for the proposed stock exchange. The location of the exchange it was thought should be either Dhaka, Narayanganj or Chittagong. An organizing committee was appointed consisting of leading commercial and industrial personalities of the province with Mr. Mehdi Ispahani as the convener in order to organize the exchange. It was also decided that membership fee was to be RS.2000 and subscription rate at 15 per month. The exchange was to consist of not more than 150 members. A meeting of the promoters was held at the chamber on 03.09.1953 when it was decided to appoint Orr Dignam & Co., solicitors to draw up the memorandum and articles of association of the stock exchange based on the rules of stock exchange existing in other countries and taking into account local conditions. The 8 promoters incorporated the formation as the East Pakistan Stock Exchange Association Ltd. on 28.04.1954. As public company, on 23.06.1962 the name was revised to East Pakistan Stock Exchange Ltd. Again on 14.05.1964 the name of East Pakistan Stock Exchange Limited was changed to "Dhaka Stock Exchange Ltd." At the time of incorporation the authorized capital of the exchange was RS. 300000 divided into 150 shares. Of RS. 2000 each and by an extra ordinary general meeting adopted at the extra ordinary general meeting held on 22.02.1964 the authorised capital of the exchange was increased to TK. 500000 divided into 250 shares of TK. 2000 each. The paid up capital of the exchange now stoods at TK.460000 dividend into 230 shares of TK. 2000 each. However 35 shares out of 230 shares were issued at TK. 80,00,000 only per share of TK. 2000 with a premium of TK. 79,98,000. Although incorporated in 1954, the formal trading was started in 1956 at Narayanganj after obtaining the certificates of commencement of business. But in 1958 it was shifted to Dhaka and started functioning at the Narayangonj Chamber Building in Motijheel C/A. On 1.10.1957 the stock exchange purchase a land measuring 8.75 kattah at 9F Motijheel C/A from the government and shifted the stock exchange to its own location in 1959. 5 Function of DSE The major functions are: Listing of Companies (As per Listing Regulations). Providing the screen based automated trading of listed Securities. Settlement of trading (As per Settlement of Transaction Regulations). Gifting of share / granting approval to the transaction/transfer of share outside the trading system of the exchange (As per Listing Regulations 42). Market Administration & Control. Market Surveillance. Publication of Monthly Review. Monitoring the activities of listed companies (As per Listing Regulations). Investors grievance Cell (Disposal of complaint bye laws 1997). Investors Protection Fund (As per investor protection fund Regulations 1999). Announcement of Price sensitive or other information about listed companies through online. 6 What is portfolio? The term portfolio refers to any collection of financial assets such as stocks, bonds, and cash. Portfolios may be held by individual investors and/or managed by financial professionals, hedge funds, banks and other financial institutions. It is a generally accepted principle that a portfolio is designed according to the investor's risk tolerance, time frame and investment objectives. The monetary value of each asset may influence the risk/reward ratio of the portfolio and is referred to as the asset allocation of the portfolio. When determining a proper asset allocation one aims at maximizing the expected return and minimizing the risk. This is an example of a multi-objective optimization problem: more "efficient solutions" are available and the preferred solution must be selected by considering a tradeoff between risk and return. In particular, a portfolio A is dominated by another portfolio A' if A' has a greater expected gain and a lesser risk than A. If no portfolio dominates A, A is a Pareto-optimal portfolio. The set of Pareto-optimal returns and risks is called the Pareto Efficient Frontier for the Markowitz Portfolio selection problem. 7 The Big Picture of Investing To see where the different investment philosophies fit into investing, let us begin by looking at the process of creating an investment portfolio. Note that this is a process that we all follow – amateur as well as professional investors - though it may be simpler for an individual constructing his or her own portfolio than it is for a pension fund manager with a varied and demanding clientele. Step 1: Understanding the Client The process always starts with the investor and understanding his or her needs and preferences. For a portfolio manager, the investor is a client, and the first and often most significant part of the investment process is understanding the clients needs, the clients tax status and most importantly, his or her risk preferences. For an individual investor constructing his or her own portfolio, this may seem simpler, but understanding ones own needs and preferences is just as important a first step as it is for the portfolio manager. Step 2: Portfolio Construction The next part of the process is the actual construction of the portfolio, which we divide into three sub-parts. 1. The first of these is the decision on how to allocate the portfolio across different asset classes defined broadly as equities, fixed income securities and real assets (such as real estate, commodities and other assets). This asset allocation decision can also be framed in terms of investments in domestic assets versus foreign assets, and the factors driving this decision. 2. The second component is the asset selection decision, where individual assets are picked within each asset class to make up the portfolio. In practical terms, this is the step where the stocks that make up the equity component, the bonds that make up the fixed income component and the real assets that make up the real asset component are selected. 3. The final component is execution, where the portfolio is actually put together. Here investors must weigh the costs of trading against their perceived needs to trade quickly. While the importance of execution will vary across investment strategies, there are many investors who fail at this stage in the process. Step 3: Evaluate portfolio performance The final part of the process, and often the most painful one for professional money managers, is performance evaluation. Investing is after all focused on one objective and one objective alone, which is to make the most money you can, given your particular risk preferences. Investors are not forgiving of failure and unwilling to accept even the best of excuses, and loyalty to money managers is not a commonly found trait. By the same token, performance evaluation is just as 8 important to the individual investor who constructs his or her own portfolio, since the feedback from it should largely determine how that investor approaches investing in the future. These parts of the process are summarized in Figure 1.1, and we will return to this figure to emphasize the steps in the process as we consider different investment philosophies. As you will see, while all investment philosophies may have the same end objective of beating the market, each philosophy will emphasize a different component of the overall process and require different skills for success. 9 Phases of portfolio management Security Analysis Examine the risk and return characteristics of individual security. Mainly done by two approaches. Fundamental analysis and technical analysis. Fundamental analysis include fundamental factors like EPS, P/E ratio, NAV, Dividend payout ratio, market share, quality of management. Technical analysis involves price movement trend and the skills of portfolio manager. Portfolio Analysis Identify the range of possible portfolios that can be constituted from a given set of securities and calculating their risk and return for further analysis. Portfolio selection From the set of efficient portfolio, the optimal portfolio has to be selected for investment Portfolio revision As time passes, securities which were ones alternative may cease to be so. May also be necessary by some investor related changes such as availability of additional funds, change in risk attitude, need for cash for further alternative etc. Portfolio evaluation Mainly done by different risk and return formula. Main objectives is to see whether the portfolio is running effectively or not 10 PORTFOLIO WEIGHT Share name Weight In terms of TK Jamuna Bank One Bank EBL NBL Square tex Padma Oil Beximco GP RN Spin Square Pharma Government treasury bill Total 05% 05% 05% 15% 10% 15% 10% 10% 05% 15% 05% 500,000 500,000 500,000 1,500,000 1,000,000 1,500,000 1,000,000 1,000,000 500,000 1,500,000 500,000 100% 10,000,000 5% Share price (LTP) 19.3 20.4 34.1 22.8 100.2 306 60.8 189.9 28.3 188 Number of share 25,906 24,509 14,662 65,789 9,980 4,901 16,447 5,291 17,857 7,978 Holding intention Short term Short term Midterm Long term Midterm Long term Midterm Long term Short term Long term 5% 5% Jamuna Bank 5% 15% One Bank EBL NBL 5% 15% Square tex Padma Oil Beximco 10% GP RN Spin 10% Square Pharma Government treasury bill 10% 15% 11 SHARE ANALYSIS ON TERM BASIS: In our portfolio there should be two types of share. Short term share, midterm shares and long term share. Short term share: The purpose of holding this kind of share will be generating profit by selling share to secondary market. Those shares where dividend payout, EPS is volatile and share price are frequently changed will be placed in here. In portfolio revision stage we will take decision whether we should sell those shares or not. In our portfolio the following shares are taken as short term share 1. Jamuna Bank 2. One Bank 3. Rn spin Midterm share: Share in this category will be treated as player for portfolio. The price of this kind of share is steady and the dividend payout if also steady. If in portfolio revision stage it is seen by holding this share we are going to make more return we will hold those for dividend. Well, whether if the change is required the midterm share can be sold. However in here following share will be treated as midterm share. 1. EBL 2. Square Textile 3. Beximco Long term: Long term share is defensive share and this will be treated as the base of entire portfolio. Share which are highly rated, which are giving steady dividend including both cash and stock for many years are placed in here. 1. 2. 3. 4. Padma oil NBL GP Square Pharma 12 Company Name: JAMUNA BANK LTD. Trading Code: JAMUNABANK Company No: 11134 Business segment: BANK A short introduction: Jamuna Bank Limited (JBL) is a Banking Company registered under the Companies Act, 1994 of Bangladesh with its Head Office currently at Chini Shilpa Bhaban, 3, Dilkusha C/A, Dhaka-1000, Bangladesh. The Bank started its operation from 3rd June 2001. JAMUNA BANK is listed in Stock market in the year 2006. Share percentage in Market: Share percentage Sponsor/director Govt. Institute Foreign Public 58.77% 0% 4.73% 0.19% 36.31% Pie-chart Public 36% Sponsor /directo r 59% Foreign 0% Institute Govt. 5% 0% Market price fluctuating scenario for last one year: 13 Financial performance analysis for last Five years: For the last five years jamuna bank is giving stock dividend 23%, 22% 37.5%, 23.50%, 1B:14 respectively. So definitely it can say that next year it will also announced this type of dividend. The current Price per Earnings ratio is only 6.03. its indicating that shareholders are willing to pay Tk. 6.03 for earnings Tk. 1. Where the year end P/E ratio is 11.46, 14.03 and so on. So we believe this is high time to invest in Jamuna Bank. The EPS of Jamuna Bank is also quite good enough. Current market price is Tk 19.3. and the company is giving Eps of 3.71, 4.78, 5.69 and so on. Net Asset Value (NAV) is also high in here. 20.02, 28.74, 24.55 and so on. So if company goes for liquidation we will not be harmed. (Face value Tk. 10.00) Year Year End P/E (Continuing operation) Basic EPS (Continuing operation) Dividend Payout NAV 52 week’s range 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 57.18 9.02 12.65 14.03 11.46 n/a 38.21 5.69 4.78 3.71 1B:14 23.50% Stock 37.5% Stock 22% Stock 23% Stock n/a 164.53 24.55 28.74 20.02 17.5-38.1 LTP (Last trade price) 19.3 Current P/E 6.03 14 Company Name: ONE BANK LTD. Trading Code: ONEBANKLTD Company No: 11126 Business segment: BANK A short introduction: ONE Bank Limited was incorporated in May, 1999 With the Registrar of Joint Stock Companies under the Companies Act. 1994, as a commercial bank in the private sector. ONE BANK is listed in Stock market in the year 2003. Share percentage in Market: Share percentage Sponsor/director Govt. Institute Foreign Public 40.29% 0% 0% 0% 59.71% Pie-chart Public 60% Sponsor /directo r 40% Foreign 0% Institute Govt. 0% 0% Market price fluctuating scenario for last one year: 15 Financial performance analysis for last Five years: For the last five years ONE Bank is giving stock dividend 30%, 55% 32%, 20%, 25% respectively. So definitely it can say that next year it will also announced this type of dividend. The current Price per Earnings ratio is only 7.233. It is indicating that shareholders are willing to pay Tk. 7.23 for earnings Tk. 1. Where the year end P/E ratio is 15.54, 19.49 and so on. So we believe this is high time to invest in ONE Bank. The EPS of ONE Bank is also quite good enough. Current market price is Tk 20.4 and the company is giving EPS of 3.99, 9.18 and so on. Net Asset Value (NAV) is also good enough in here. 19.35, 23.65, 196.89 and so on. So if company goes for liquidation we will not be severely harmed. Face value Tk. 10.00 Year Year End P/E (Continuing operation) Basic EPS (Continuing operation) Dividend Payout NAV 52 week’s range LTP Current P/E 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 14.69 12.3 12.97 19.49 15.54 38.97 32.49 46.63 9.18 3.99 25% 20% 32% 55% 30% 176.39 178.24 196.89 23.65 19.35 18.5-574 20.4 7.23 16 Company Name: EASTERN BANK. Company No: 11112 Business segment: BANK Trading Code: EBL A short introduction about Eastern Bank Ltd. (EBL) began its journey in 1992. Over the years EBL has established itself as a leading private commercial bank in the country with undisputed leadership in Corporate Banking and a strong Consumer and SME growth engines. EASTERN BANK is listed in Stock market in the year 1993. Share percentage in Market Share percentage Sponsor/director Govt. Institute Foreign Public 6.73% 0% 9.82% 0% 83.45% Pie-chart Sponsor Institute /directo 10% Govt. 0% r 7% Foreign 0% Public 83% Market price fluctuating scenario for last one year 17 Financial performance analysis for last Five years: For the last five years EBL is giving stock dividend 35%, 55%, 17%+10.00, 20%, 34% respectively. So definitely it can say that next year it will also announced this type of dividend. The current Price per Earnings ratio is only 11.6. It is indicating that shareholders are willing to pay Tk. 11.6 for earnings Tk. 1. Where the year end P/E ratio is 15.89, 23.57 and so on. So we believe this is high time to invest in ONE Bank. The EPS of ONE Bank is also quite good enough. Current market price is Tk 34.1 and the company is giving EPS of 5.59, 8.5, 5.85 and so on. Net Asset Value (NAV) is also good enough in here. 31.9, 41.45, 33.77 and so on. So if company goes for liquidation we will not be severely harmed. Face value Tk. 10.00 Year Year End P/E (Continuing operation) Basic EPS (Continuing operation) Dividend Payout NAV 52 week’s range LTP Current P/E 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 26.44 12.29 12.94 23.57 15.89 40.5 57.52 5.85 8.5 5.59 34% 20% 20.00, 17% 55% 35% 358.63 341.45 33.77 41.45 31.9 30.8-72.9 34.1 11.6 18 Company Name: NBL. Trading Code: NBL Company No: 11105 Business segment: BANK A short introduction: National Bank Limited Limited has its prosperous past, glorious present, prospective future and under processing projects and activities. Established as the first private sector bank fully owned by Bangladeshi entrepreneurs, Justice Ahsanuddin Chowdhury inaugurated the bank formally on March 28, 1983 NATIONAL BANK is listed in Stock market in the year 1984. Share percentage in Market: Share percentage Sponsor/director Govt. Institute Foreign Public 30.21% 0% 10.09% 1.01% 58.69% Pie-chart Public 59% Sponsor /directo r 30% Govt. 0% Institute 10% Foreign 1% Market price fluctuating scenario for last one year 19 Financial performance analysis for last Five years: For the last five years National Bank is giving stock dividend 65%, 95%, 55%, 52%, 55% respectively. So definitely it can say that next year it will also announced this type of dividend and we will hold this share for long term. The current Price per Earnings ratio is only 11.63. Its indicating that shareholders are willing to pay Tk. 11.63 for earnings Tk. 1. Where the year end P/E ratio is 15.5, 23.98 and so on. So we believe this is high time to invest in NBL. The EPS of NBL is also quite good enough. Current market price is Tk 22.8. and the company is giving EPS of 7.11, 15.57, 7.27 and so on. Net Asset Value (NAV) is also high in here. 25.06, 43.33, 31.33 and so on. So if company goes for liquidation we will not be harmed. Face value 10.00 Year Year End P/E (Continuing operation) Basic EPS(Continuing operation) Dividend Payout NAV 52 week’s range LTP Current P/E 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 14.58 19.03 13.69 23.98 15.5 102.47 81.03 7.27 15.57 7.11 55% Stock 52% Stock 55% Stock 95% Stock 65% Stock 433.11 324.92 31.33 43.33 25.06 21. 5 - 74 22.8 11.63 20 Company Name: SQUARE TEXTILE. Trading Code: SQUARETEXT Company No: 174406 Business segment: TEXTILE A short introduction: In 1997, entered the textile sector with its manufacturing facilities of cotton yarn. Combining modern technology with skilled manpower under 's unique inspiring, atmosphere, this new venture soon rose to the top of the local textile industry. Today it has one of the most sophisticated vertically integrated set-ups. Square Textile is listed in Stock market in the year 2002 Share percentage in Market: Share percentage Sponsor/director Govt. Institute Foreign Public 61.31% 0% 16.58% 6% 16.11% Pie-chart Public 16% Foreign 6% Institute 17% Sponsor /directo r 61% Govt. 0% Market price fluctuating scenario for last one year 21 Financial performance analysis for last Five years: For the last five years Square textile is giving stock and cash dividend (16.00, 20%), (16.00, 20%) and so on respectively. So definitely it can say that next year it will also announced this type of dividend and our intention is to hold this share for long term. The current Price per Earnings ratio is only 12.87. Its indicating that shareholders are willing to pay Tk. 12.87 for earnings Tk. 1. Where the yearend P/E ratio is 16.1, 28.66, 25.61 and so on. So we believe this is high time to invest in Square Textile. The EPS of Square Textile is also quite good enough. Current market price is Tk 100.2 and the company is giving Eps of 8.47, 8.79, 5 and so on. Net Asset Value (NAV) is also high in here. 47.01, 48.54, 47.41 and so on. So if company goes for liquidation we will not be harmed. Face value 10.0 Year Year End P/E (Continuing operation) Basic EPS(Continuing operation) Dividend Payout 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 14.25 23.85 25.61 28.66 16.1 8.94 6.89 5 8.79 8.47 25.00, 20% 18.00, 20% 16.00, 15% 16.00, 20% 16.00, 20% NAV 52 week’s range LTP Current P/E 433.11 52.69 47.41 48.54 47.01 85-157.9 100.2 12.87 22 Company Name: PADMA OIL CO. Trading Code: PADMAOIL Company No: 15302 Business segment: FUEL & POWER A short introduction: Padma Oil Company Limited is not only the biggest but also the oldest with its antecedents stretching well back to the colonial period of British-India. Its ancestral enterprise “ Rangooon Oil Company “ established petroleum business in this part of the world by the middle of nineteenth century. Padma Oil Co. is listed in Stock market in the year 1976 Share percentage in Market: Share percentage Pie-chart Sponsor /directo r 0% Sponsor/director Govt. Institute Foreign Public 0% 50.35% 25.23% 0% 24.42% Foreign 0% Public 25% Govt. 50% Institute 25% Market price fluctuating scenario for last one year 23 Financial performance analysis for last Five years: For the last five years Padma OIl is giving both cash and stock dividend (50.00 + 50%) (50.00+50%) (50.00+200%) respectively. So definitely it can say that next year it will also announced this type of dividend and we are going to hold this share for long term. The current Price per Earnings ratio is only 15.45. It’s indicating that shareholders are willing to pay Tk. 15.45 for earnings Tk. 1. Where the year end P/E ratio was 55.34, 62.5 and so on. So we believe this is high time to invest in Padma Oil. The EPS of Padma Oil is also quite good enough. Current market price is Tk 306 and the company is giving EPS of 19.88, 21.69, 46.07 and so on. Net Asset Value (NAV) is also high in here. 73.36, 80.22, 180.61 and so on. So if company goes for liquidation we will not be harmed. Face value 10.00 Year 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Year End P/E (Continuing operation) 25.56 42.84 56.52 62.5 55.34 Basic EPS(Continuing operation) 35.98 47.79 46.07 21.69 19.88 Dividend Payout NAV 52 week’s range LTP Current P/E 60% 50.00, 100% 50%, 200% 50.00, 50% 50.00, 50% 226.28 259.07 180.61 80.22 73.36 235.1600 306 15.45 24 Company Name: BEXIMCO Trading Code: BEXIMCO Company No: 99613 Business segment: MISCELLANEOUS A short introduction: Today the BEXIMCO Group (“BEXIMCO” or the “Group”) is the largest private sector group in Bangladesh. BEXIMCO was founded in the 1970’s Since the early days, the Group has evolved from being primarily a commodities trading company to a leading, diversified group with a presence in industry sectors that account for nearly 75% of Bangladesh’s GDP. BEXIMCO’s corporate mission is “Taking Bangladesh to the world”. BEXIMCO is listed in Stock market in the year 1989 Share percentage in Market: Share percentage Sponsor/director Govt. Institute Foreign Public 13.25% 0% 0% 10.3% 76.45% Pie-chart Sponsor /directo r 13% Govt. 0% Foreign 10% Institute 0% Public 77% Market price fluctuating scenario for last one year 25 Financial performance analysis for last Five years: For the last five years BEXIMCO is giving stock dividend 50%, 60%, (10.00 +50%) , 15% respectively. So definitely it can say that next year it will also announced this type of dividend. The current Price per Earnings ratio is only 7.59. It’s indicating that shareholders are willing to pay Tk. 7.59 for earnings Tk. 1. Where the year end P/E ratio was 11.07, 14.31 and so on. So we believe this is high time to invest in Beximco. The EPS of Beximco is also quite good enough. Current market price is Tk 60.8 and the company is giving EPS of 42.22, 34.59, 19.08 and so on. Net Asset Value (NAV) is also high in here. 107.83, 101.96, 72.35 and so on. So if company goes for liquidation we will not be harmed. Face value 10.00 Year 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Year End P/E (Continuing operation) Basic EPS (Continuing operation) Dividend Payout NAV 24.44 14.57 14.31 11.07 1.53 19.08 34.59 42.22 15% 10.00 , 50 % 60% 50% 32.9 72.35 101.96 107.83 52 week’s range LTP Current P/E 57.8162.7 60.8 7.59 26 Trading Code: GP Company Name: GRAMEENPHONE LTD. Company No: 27001 Business segment: TELECOMMUNICATION A short introduction: It is a joint venture enterprise between Telenor (55.8%), the largest telecommunications service provider in Norway with mobile phone operations in 12 other countries, and Grameen Telecom Corporation (34.2% ), a non-profit sister concern of the internationally acclaimed micro-credit pioneer Grameen Bank. Grameen Phone is listed in Stock market in the year2009 Share percentage in Market: Share percentage Pie-chart Govt. Foreign Public 0% 0% 5% Institute 5% Sponsor/director Govt. Institute Foreign Public 90% 0% 4.70% 0.26% 5.04% Sponsor /directo r 90% Market price fluctuating scenario for last one year 27 Financial performance analysis for last Five years: For the last three years Grameen Phone is giving cash dividend 205, 120, 60 respectively. So definitely it can say that next year it will also announced this type of dividend. The current Price per Earnings ratio is only 13.25. It’s indicating that shareholders are willing to pay Tk. 13.25 for earnings Tk. 1. Where the year end P/E ratio is 11.69, 31 and so on. So we believe this is high time to invest in Grameen Bank. The EPS of Grameen Bank is also quite good enough. Current market price is Tk 189.9. and the company is giving EPS of 13.99, 7.93, 12.08 and so on. Net Asset Value (NAV) is also high in here. 23.6, 35.57, 37.14 and so on. So if company goes for liquidation we will not be harmed. Face value Tk. 10.00 Year Year End P/E (Continuing operation) Basic EPS(Continuing operation) Dividend Payout 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 n/a n/a 15.52 31 11.69 2.52 2.46 12.08 7.93 13.99 n/a n/a 60 120 205 NAV 52 week’s range LTP Current P/E 21.5 22.7 37.14 35.57 23.6 104.8-228 189.9 13.25 28 Company Name: R. N. SPINNING MILLS LIMITED Trading Code: RNSPIN Company No: 17450 Business segment: TEXTILE A short introduction R.N.Spinning Mills Limited is the highest contributor in the sector of Acrylic & Synthetic yarn production in Bangladesh. Actually thinking of object came in the mind in 2003 to value addition within the country by addition backward linkage of Sweater Industries R. N. SPINNING MILLS LIMITED is listed in Stock market in the year 2010 Share percentage in Market: Share percentage Sponsor/director Govt. Institute Foreign Public 62.21% 0% 0% 0% 37.79% Pie-chart Public 38% Foreign 0% Govt. 0% Institute 0% Sponsor /directo r 62% Market price fluctuating scenario for last one year 29 Financial performance analysis for last Five years: For the last three years RPSPIN is giving stock dividend 35%, 30%, 10%, respectively. So definitely it can say that next year it will also announced this type of dividend. The current Price per Earnings ratio is only 3.61. It’s indicating that shareholders are willing to pay Tk. 3.61 for earnings Tk. 1. Where the year end P/E ratio was 16.27, 30.85 and so on. So we believe this is high time to invest in RNSPIN. The EPS of RNSPIN is also quite good enough. Current market price is Tk 28.3. and the company is giving EPS of 3.58, 5.04 and so on. Net Asset Value (NAV) is also high in here. 18.97, 16.1, 12.17 and so on. So if company goes for liquidation we will not be harmed. Face Value Tk. 10.00 Year Year End P/E (Continuing operation) Basic EPS (Continuing operation) Dividend Payout NAV 52 week’s range LTP Current P/E 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 n/a n/a n/a 30.85 16.27 7.18 19.37 1.78 5.04 6.58 n/a n/a 10% 30% 35% 103.59 113.52 12.17 16.1 18.97 20.1-96 28.3 3.61 30 Company Name: SQUARE PHARMACEUTICALS LTD Trading Code: SQURPHARMA Company No: 18473 Business segment: PHARMACEUTICALS AND CHEMICALS A short introduction: The company was founded in 1958 by Samson H. Chowdhury along with three of his friends as a private firm. It went public in 1991 and is currently listed on the Dhaka Stock Exchange. SQUARE PHARMACEUTICALS LTD is listed in Stock market in the year 1995 Share percentage in Market: Share percentage Sponsor/director Govt. Institute Foreign Public 54.16% 0% 0% 6.7% 39.14% Pie-chart Public 39% Foreign 7% Sponsor /directo r 54% Govt. 0% Institute 0% Market price fluctuating scenario for last one year 31 Financial performance analysis for last Five years: For the last five years SQUARE PHARMACEUTICALS LTD is giving stock and cash dividend (30.00+35%), (35%, 30%), (40.00+25%) respectively. So definitely it can say that next year it will also announced this type of dividend. We are thinking to hold this share for long term. The current Price per Earnings ratio is only 17.64. It’s indicating that shareholders are willing to pay Tk. 17.64 for earnings Tk. 1. Where the year end P/E ratio was 26.6, 28.13 and so on. So we believe this is high time to invest in SQUARE PHARMACEUTICALS LTD. The EPS of SQUARE PHARMACEUTICALS LTD is also quite good enough. Current market price is Tk 188. and the company is giving EPS of 16.605, 165.48, 170.51 and so on. Net Asset Value (NAV) is also high in here. 81.375, 857.52, 905.05 and so on. So if company goes for liquidation we will not be harmed. Face value Tk. 10.00 Year 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Year End P/E (Continuing operation) 11.2 35.9 23.44 28.13 26.6 Basic EPS(Continuing operation) 218.61 n/a 170.51 165.48 16.605 Dividend Payout NAV 52 week’s range LTP Current P/E 50.00, 50 % 40.00, 35% 40.00, 25% 35%, 30 % 30.00, 35% 1280.08 n/a 905.05 857.52 81.375 175.52759 188 17.64 32 MAJOR FINDINGS 1. Share price of almost all share are decreasing as trade price graph shows. But our market has recently faced a huge crash and we think it is recovering. 2. After analyzing the selected share we have found that padma oil, NBL, GP, square pharma can hold for long term. 3. The possible return will be high if we treat Jamuna bank, one Bank, Rn spin will be treat as short term. 4. Present P/E (based on current operation) is lower that the company have ever imagined in past few years. Although the high P/E refers that the people are willing to pay more money for that share in other words the share are high priced, we are projecting that our selected share will also face high P/E in near future. 5. We have also focused on NAV (Net Asset Value), our every selected share has enough NAV, almost same or greater than its Last trade price, so if by any chance company goes for liquidation we will not be dishonored, although we think that situation will hard to come. 6. Our selected share has high and steady dividend giving records for both share and stock price. Although our market has experienced great crash but company’s dividend given scenario has remain steady, so it indicates that the company will give pair dividend as earlier. 7. Every share has satisfied Earnings per share. It means that the company is running well so it is earning well. If this scenario continues we are expecting the company will declared high dividend. 8. Share from Bank sector, Pharmaceuticals sector, Textile sector, Telecommunication sector, Fuel and power sector are selected that will make this portfolio more diversified and it will reduce the risk which is actually the main purpose to make this portfolio. 33 RECOMMENDATION 1. The selected share mainly which are taken for the short term will be highly monitored, so that the highest possible return can achieved. 2. A high profile portfolio manager will be recruited to manage this portfolio. 3. Market will be monitored sincerely so that the present lucrative share can buy as early as possible (“lucrative” will be treated as undervalued). 4. If any share in our portfolio are seems to be overvalued than that share will be sold by immediate revision action. 5. After one year the return of portfolio must be measured to evaluate the portfolio. 6. For revising stage we have analyzed also some other share which are also can be chosen, a sharp eye will be given on those shares. 7. All shares must buy and sell with minimum amount of transaction cost, so that this cost cannot reduce the return amount. 8. If any severe problem creates with company, those shares of them which are taken for long term holding may be sold. 9. Midterm share must be treat with much more skill so that the better use of them are ensured. 34 CONCLUSION The portfolio is mainly done to reduce the risk. Our present market has faced a huge crash recently. So investing in this share market may seem insane. But by doing fundamental and technical analysis we have shown in our report that our selected shares are attractive to invest. All financial indicators are giving green sign to invest in those shares. So by hoping the best we are introducing this portfolio which will be highly monitored and highly analyzed. If the market is steady and the industry where we are investing is good we will be able to generate higher return. Although if its not we are expecting much lower risk than others. 35 BIBLIOGRAPHY 1. http://pages.stern.nyu.edu/~adamodar/New_Home_Page/background/portmgmt.htm 2. www.dsebd,org 3. Annual report of JAMUNA BANK LTD. (2007-2011) 4. Annual report of ONE BANK LTD (2007-2011) 5. Annual report of EASTERN BANK (2007-2011) 6. Annual report of NBL (2007-2011) 7. Annual report of SQUARE TEXTILE (2007-2011) 8. Annual report of PADMA OIL CO (2007-2011) 9. Annual report of BEXIMCO (2007-2010) 10. Annual report of GRAMEENPHONE LTD (2007-2011) 11. Annual report of R. N. SPINNING MILLS LIMITED (2007-2011) 12. Annual report of SQUARE PHARMACEUTICALS LTD (2007-2011) 13. Investment by s.kevin 14. Investment (8th Edition) by Zvi bodie, Alex kane, Alan J. Marcus 36