Analysis of Financial Statements Chapter 4 Financial Ratios DuPont Analysis Limitations and Cautions All Rights Reserved Chapter 2 1 Financial Analysis Overview A. Managers and Investors are continuously analyzing company performance: 1. 2. Managers: compensation is driven by performance in areas of profitability and asset management. Investors: wealth is affected by company performance. B. Managers are primarily interested in 4 areas: 1. 2. 3. 4. Liquidity Management Asset Management Debt Management Profitability Management All Rights Reserved Chapter 2 Page 2 More on Financial Analysis A. Comparing [current to past] performance 1. Where have we improved? 2. Where do we need to improve? 3. How do we compare to the best run companies in our industry? [benchmarking] B. Key Problem Areas 1. Cost Management - key to profitability 2. Asset Management – “right-sizing” All Rights Reserved Chapter 2 Page 3 More on Financial Analysis C. Why is Benchmarking Important? 1. Key to planning and strategy formulation. 2. Setting performance standards and goals for improvement. 3. Lets the personnel people know where they have to go to recruit top performers. All Rights Reserved Chapter 2 Page 4 Liquidity Management A. Liquidity ratios measure the company's ability to pay their bills: Accounts Payable, Notes Payable, Accrued Expense 1. Current Ratio: $ in current assets per dollar of current liabilities. 2. Quick Ratio: $ in quick assets per dollar of current liabilities. (Inventory - low liquidity) B. Desirable trends: depends on working capital strategy and market volatility. All Rights Reserved Chapter 2 Page 5 Asset Management A. Asset utilization ratios measure the efficiency of asset management. 1. Inventory Turnover: increasing is good 2. Days Sales Outstanding: decreasing is good 3. Fixed Assets Turnover: increasing is good 4. Total Assets Turnover: increasing is good All Rights Reserved Chapter 2 Page 6 Debt Management A. The extent to which assets and operating expenses are financed by borrowing money. 1. 2. Debt Ratio: stable over time, decreasing is good Times Interest Earned: increasing is good 3. Fixed Charge Coverage: increasing good B. Many financial theorists favor borrowing 1. Method for increasing return on equity 2. Less expensive than equity All Rights Reserved Chapter 2 Page 7 Profitability Management A. Profits result when a firm’s expenses are less than its revenues. B. Profitability is a proxy measure for the firm’s ability to control costs. 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. Gross Profit Margin (GPM) – direct costs Operating Profit Margin (OPM) – all operating costs Net Profit Margin (NPM) – how much to bottom line Return on Total Assets (ROA) – overall return Return on Common Equity (ROE) – stockholders All Rights Reserved Chapter 2 Page 8 Market Value Ratios A. Investors are continually appraising corporate performance. The Price / Earnings ratio is a very good proxy for how favorably or unfavorably investors judge performance. 1. High growth, high profitability - HIGH P/E 2. low growth, poor profitability - LOW P/E B. Other Measures or Ratios 1. Book Value per Share 2. Market to Book Ratio All Rights Reserved Chapter 2 Page 9 Trend Analysis A. Trend analysis answers two very important questions: 1. How has the company done over the last x years in a particular area. 2. How does the company’s trend compare to the industry average? Industry benchmark? All Rights Reserved Chapter 2 Page 10 Trend Analysis Example Abbot Laboratories Fiscal Years 1971 - 1990 COGS, SGA, NI as percent of Sales 0.6 Percent 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0 Dec71 Dec73 Dec75 Dec77 Dec79 Dec81 Dec83 Dec85 Dec87 Dec89 Dec72 Dec74 Dec76 Dec78 Dec80 Dec82 Dec84 Dec86 Dec88 Dec90 Fiscal Year Ending COGS Cost Rate SGA Expense Rate All Rights Reserved Chapter 2 Net Profit Margin Page 11 Trend Analysis ABBOTT LABORATORIES Cash Conv. Cycle vs. Defensive Interval 250 0.18 0.16 0.14 0.12 150 0.1 Percent Number of Days 200 0.08 100 0.06 50 0.04 Dec71 Dec73 Dec75 Dec77 Dec79 Dec81 Dec83 Dec85 Dec87 Dec89 Dec72 Dec74 Dec76 Dec78 Dec80 Dec82 Dec84 Dec86 Dec88 Dec90 Fiscal Year End Cash Conversion Cycle All Rights Reserved Defensive Interval Chapter 2 Net Profit Margin Page 12 DuPont System of Financial Analysis A. DuPont System: a set of interrelated financial ratios used to measure operating performance. 1. ROE = ROA x (Total Assets/ Common Equity) a. ROA = NPM * TATO b. EQTY MULT = TOTAL ASSETS / COM EQTY c. TATO = Net Sales / Total Assets 4. ROE = NPM * TATO * EQTY. MULT. All Rights Reserved Chapter 2 Page 13 DuPont System Net Inc = N.P.M. = Net Sales COGS SGA INTEXP TAXES ROA = Net Sales T.A.T.O. = Total Assets ROE = Times Total Debt = Current Liab + L-T Debt = A/P N/P Accrual Bonds 1-DR = Total Assets = Current Assets + Fixed Assets All Rights Reserved Chapter 2 Page 14 Limitations of Ratio 1 Analysis A. Industry averages affected by the presence of heterogeneity between firms in a given SIC. 1. Multiple lines of business in different market sectors, domestic & international. B. Inflation Effects; 1. Mostly on balance sheet and income statement amounts. 2. Ratios are largely unaffected by inflation. All Rights Reserved Chapter 2 Page 15 Limitations of Ratio 2 Analysis C. Accounting numbers always subject to window dressing. 1. Although all US firms subject to GAAP, practices vary from firm to firm. D. Ratio magnitudes not absolute; a good ratio in one environment can be bad in another. E. Firms can have a mix of good and bad ratios making an overall rating difficult. All Rights Reserved Chapter 2 Page 16 Homework Assignment A. Self-Test: ST-2 B. Questions: 4-2, 4-6, 4-10, 4-11 (parts a, b, f, h, m, q) C. Problems: 4-1, 4-6, 4-18, 4-21 All Rights Reserved Chapter 2 Page 17