Ch3. Analysis of Financial Statement 1. Why we need ratios? • • • Specialized information Comparison Issue Predicting future performance 1) 5 types of financial ratios (handout) Liquidity ratios Asset management ratios Debt management ratios Profitability ratios Market value ratios Goals • To calculate financial ratios • To understand how to use them I. Ratio analysis [1] Liquidity ratios: Liquidity: 1) Convertibility into cash on short notice with minimum possible loss. 2) Ability to meet all required obligations. Current assests (1) Current ratio = Current liabilities Current assests - Inventory (2) Quick ratio (Acid test) = Current liabilities [2] Asset management ratios: measure how effectively a firm is managing its assets. Right amount of assets vs. sales? Sales (1) Inventory turnover ratio = [Note: Cost of goods sold is better than Sales.] (Average) Inventory The number of times per year that the firm fills up and then completely empties its warehouse or store inventory. Accounts receivable (2) Days sales outstanding (DSO) = Average collection period (ACP) Annual sales 365 The average number of days the firm must wait after making a sale before receiving cash. Sales (3) Fixed assets turnover ratio = Net fixed assets Sales (4) Total assets turnover ratio = Total assets [3] Debt management ratio • Debt ratio = total liabilities/total assets • Debt to equity ratio = Total liabilities/(Total asset – total liabilities). But it ignore the market value. • Market debt ratio = Total liabilities / (Total liabilities + market value of equity). • Time-interest-earned (TIE) = Earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT)/Interest charges. But it ignores lease payment related to bankruptcy. Lease payment was deducted when EBIT is calculated. • Many companies have debts and lease. Failure to pay interests and to meet lease payments forces them into bankruptcy. EBIT is affected by non-cash item such as depreciation. Thus the next ratio is introduced. • EBITDA coverage ratio = (EBITDA+ Lease payment) / (Interest + Principal payments + Lease payment). It is useful for short term lenders to evaluate financial status of firms with large amount of depreciation and amortization. • Equity Multiplier=Total asset/ common equity 4) Profitability ratios • Net profit margin = Net income / Sales • Operating margin = Operating Income (EBIT)/Sales • Gross profit margin • = (Sale – COGS)/Sales • Basic Earning Power (BEP) = EBIT / Total Assets •Return on common equity = ROE •=Net income /common equity •Return on total assets = ROA •=Net income /total assets 5) Market value ratio • Price/ Earnings ratio = price / earnings per share. • Price / Cash flow ratio = price / cash flow per share. Cash flow = NI + depreciation. • Price/EBITDA • Book value per share = common equity / shares outstanding. • Market / book ratio = market price per share / book value per share. • 2. Trend analysis, Common size analysis, and Percentage change analysis: • An analysis of a firm’s financial ratios over time – plotting ratios over time periods • It is used to estimate the likelihood of improvement or deterioration in its financial condition. • 3. Du Pont Analysis: • Decomposing the ROA and ROE • • • • ROA = Net income / Total assets = Net Income/Sales * Sales/Total assets = Profit margin * Total asset turnover • If a company has only equity without any liability, ROA =ROE • ROE = Net Income /Common Equity = Net Income/Total Assets*Total asset/Common Equity = Net Income/Sales * Sales/Total Assets * Total assets/Common equity =Profit margin * Total asset turnover*Equity multiplier Here Equity multiplier will increase with debts • 4. Benchmarking: • The process of comparing a particular company with a group of benchmark companies • The bench mark companies can be leading companies, peer groups or competitors in the industry • Comparative ratios are available from a number of sources, including value lines 5. Limits of ratio analysis • Ratio analysis is more useful for small, narrowly focused firms than for large, multidivisional ones • For high level performance, it is better to focus on the industry leaders’ ratios • Seasonal factors: impacts on the inventory turnover ratio. Using monthly averages for inventory can minimize this problem • Window dressing: making financial statements look better than they really are • Different accounting practices: FIFO &LIFO or Depreciation methods • It is difficult to generalize whether a particular ratio is good or bad. 6. Problems with ROE • Some problems raises if ROE is used as only sole measure of performance • (1) ROE doesn’t consider risks • (2) ROE doesn’t consider amounts of invested capital 7. Working capital management 1. Working capital = current asset – current liabilities 2. Conservative working capital policy: larger working capital, low profitability and high liquidity. 3. Aggressive working capital policy: smaller working capital, high profit and low liquidity. 4. Operating cycle = number of days in inventory + number of days receivable •Number of days in inventory = 365 or 360/inventory turn over •(inventory turn over = net (credit) sale / average inventory) •Number of days receivable = 365 or 360/receivable turn over •(receivable turn over = net (credit) sale / average account receivable) • 5. Cash conversion cycle: a length of time between cash payments (raw materials) and cash collection (sales of products). • = number of days in inventory + number of days receivable – days in payable deferral. • (days in payable deferral is a length of time between purchase and cash payment) • Figure 16-3