‘’ARTEMIS’’ Information meeting February 26, 2009 The vision behind Siemens Embedded Activities Claus Møller Over 160 years Siemens' innovations have changed the world Industry From the first electronic controls – to fully automated factories Energy From the invention of the dynamo – to the world's most efficient gas turbines Healthcare From the first views inside the body – to full-body 3D scans Page 2 February 2009 Claus Møller Protection notice / Copyright notice Siemens IT Solutions and Services Active in three Sectors Cross-Sector Businesses Industry Energy Healthcare Industry Automation Fossil Power Generation Imaging & IT Drive Technologies Renewable Energy Workflow & Solutions Industry Solutions Oil & Gas Diagnostics Building Technologies Energy Service Mobility Power Distribution OSRAM Power Transmission (mill. EUR) Orders Sales Net income Cash flow Employees Page 3 07/08 93,495 77,327 5,886 4,903 427.000 February 2009 Change + 11 % +7% + 46 % + 37 % +7% Claus Møller Siemens IT Solutions and Services Siemens Financial Services Siemens Enterprise Communications Nokia Siemens Networks Fujitsu Siemens Computers BSH Bosch Siemens Hausgeräte GmbH Protection notice / Copyright notice Siemens IT Solutions and Services Innovations are the pre-requisite for the future profits and growth Major investment in R&D €3.4 billion in fiscal 2007 32,500 R&D employees worldwide 17,500 software engineers 150 R&D locations in over 30 countries around the world 7.900 inventions in 2007 50,700 active patents Page 4 February 2009 Claus Møller Protection notice / Copyright notice Siemens IT Solutions and Services The modern world cannot live without ICT Business processes are computerized Emerging technologies rely on SW R&D is based on computerized instruments, simulation and analyze methods Manufacturing is based on IT-driven automation systems Communication networks are increasingly based on pure SW >20% of a car’s value today is based on IT and electronics Media is becoming all digital: music, TV, radio, video, cameras, ... Healthcare is dependent on computerized technology Banks have become complex computer networks Military technology is relying on IT and SW Page 5 February 2009 Claus Møller Protection notice / Copyright notice Siemens IT Solutions and Services Future manufacturing: Intelligent networking of production and logistics Factory of the Future: Integrated systems, automation and end-to-end networking Page 6 February 2009 Digital engineering: Globally distributed development centers Claus Møller Individual logistics: Intelligent labels, satellite positioning Protection notice / Copyright notice Siemens IT Solutions and Services Opportunities in the Danish knowhow and investment environment Intelligent, self-learning video detection systems for motion recognition and object tracking: airports, railroad stations, marine ports, refineries and power stations. Safer railroads with ETCS (European Train Control System) system and the GSM-R (Railway) mobile radio system. Intelligent traffic management: Cutting traffic jams and helping the environment RFID: Greater efficiency in logistics and device controlling, pharmaceuticals and medicine, aviation, automotive and retail. High-power LED solutions for general lighting, automobile, mini projectors and safety and security applications. Page 7 February 2009 Claus Møller Protection notice / Copyright notice Siemens IT Solutions and Services Denmark can’t compete in the commodities, but must rely on innovations Intelligent usage of embedded SW Fast growing demand for Middleware All SW elements, programs and systems need communication Challenging (niche) segments need their specialists – Mobile services – Games, new media and simulation – New energy technologies and complex energy networks – Intelligent traffic systems – Process automation in food & beverage – Acoustics, sensors and optoelectronics – R&D in life science & pharma Page 8 February 2009 Claus Møller Protection notice / Copyright notice Siemens IT Solutions and Services The SW Interface: More SW, Less HW ? -SW Less constraints than HW (program./natural language) -Underestimated Power/Compl. (1000 LoC ~10 TTL Eurocards) SW Problems Maintenance Effort -No finite state machine, high # input/output relations (~232) -“Nonlinear” Assessment Rules (no easy wire disrupt, stray current etc. in coded human logic) -No “Standard” switchings/modules (relays, isolated outputs ..) -Failure Removal Cost: 2% in Design, 5-100% in Operation (Debugging Costs in US 1990: $100 Mio. Result: 1-3 Errors/100 LoC, DeMarco) -70% Conceptual/Design Bugs vs. 30% Implementation Errors 1 yrs ETCS Failures/Delays Switzerland 2002 5 yrs 15 yrs # Errors in Original Code Total # of Errors System Know How of SW-Team Impact of Errors Total SW-System Dependability Comparison: HW Bath Tub Curve *) Schink, TAE Page 9 February 2009 Claus Møller HOW Many Bugs, Did You Say?? Saturday, February 12, 2000 By Apple News Editor John H. Farr You guessed it: this ZDNet/PC Week article entitled "Can Microsoft Squash 63,000 Bugs in Win2K?" lays it all on the line. The information comes from an internal Microsoft memo and declares the Windows team's intention to fix the code mess before the final release date. Microsoft has responded to the leaking of the above figures with a vigorous defense, declaring that "hundreds of companies have signed off on the incredibly high quality and Protection reliability of Windows 2000." notice / Copyright notice Siemens IT Solutions and Services Technology Hype Page 10 February 2009 Claus Møller Protection notice / Copyright notice Siemens IT Solutions and Services Moore’s law trends will continue at least another 8-10 years Page 11 February 2009 Claus Møller Protection notice / Copyright notice Siemens IT Solutions and Services This industry is still in its infancy Page 12 February 2009 Claus Møller Protection notice / Copyright notice Siemens IT Solutions and Services The user interface explosion! Page 13 February 2009 Claus Møller Protection notice / Copyright notice Siemens IT Solutions and Services Disk Capacity Doubles every 9 to 12 months Page 14 February 2009 Claus Møller Protection notice / Copyright notice Siemens IT Solutions and Services Disk Record Your Entire Life Page 15 February 2009 Claus Møller Protection notice / Copyright notice Siemens IT Solutions and Services OLEDs in Real Products, Now Page 16 February 2009 Claus Møller Protection notice / Copyright notice Siemens IT Solutions and Services Electronic Paper Applications Page 17 February 2009 Claus Møller Protection notice / Copyright notice Siemens IT Solutions and Services Fujitsu and Siemens Advanced Flexible Screen Technology Page 18 February 2009 Claus Møller Protection notice / Copyright notice Siemens IT Solutions and Services The Number of Mobile Devices explode! Page 19 February 2009 Claus Møller Protection notice / Copyright notice Siemens IT Solutions and Services Beyound Web 2.0 Page 20 February 2009 Claus Møller Protection notice / Copyright notice Siemens IT Solutions and Services Wearable Computers Page 21 February 2009 Claus Møller Protection notice / Copyright notice Siemens IT Solutions and Services Wearable Computers Page 22 February 2009 Claus Møller Protection notice / Copyright notice Siemens IT Solutions and Services New Era of Network Computing Page 23 February 2009 Claus Møller Protection notice / Copyright notice Siemens IT Solutions and Services New Communication Methods; Magnetic Page 24 February 2009 Claus Møller Protection notice / Copyright notice Siemens IT Solutions and Services New Communication Methods; Messaging Networks Page 25 February 2009 Claus Møller Protection notice / Copyright notice Siemens IT Solutions and Services Wall Displays Page 26 February 2009 Claus Møller Protection notice / Copyright notice Siemens IT Solutions and Services 3-D Virtual Retinal Displays Page 27 February 2009 Claus Møller Protection notice / Copyright notice Siemens IT Solutions and Services Evolution of Speech Recognition Page 28 February 2009 Claus Møller Protection notice / Copyright notice Siemens IT Solutions and Services Evolution of Speech Output Page 29 February 2009 Claus Møller Protection notice / Copyright notice Siemens IT Solutions and Services Evolution of Robots Page 30 February 2009 Claus Møller Protection notice / Copyright notice Siemens IT Solutions and Services …..And after that…? Page 31 February 2009 Claus Møller Protection notice / Copyright notice Siemens IT Solutions and Services PC’s in 25 years time Page 32 February 2009 Claus Møller Protection notice / Copyright notice Siemens IT Solutions and Services A final thought Page 33 February 2009 Claus Møller Protection notice / Copyright notice Siemens IT Solutions and Services How many days would their R&D investment last? Page 34 February 2009 Claus Møller Protection notice / Copyright notice Siemens IT Solutions and Services Questions?