Traditional NPV& WACC Modigliani and Miller meet CAPM PWC Course Notes P62 ACCA Paper P4 Also suitable for ICAEW, ICAS, CFA etc mefielding.com 1 Traditional NPV We are going to calculate the discount factor to be used in an NPV calculation Before you listen to this please make sure you are comfortable with CAPM and M&M Wyke plc is a company that makes ice cream in Scotland Wyke wants to expand into Europe. Europe has no surplus demand for ice cream but their market research shows that South Europe needs freezers. Wyke decides to investigate freezer distribution in S Europe. Aranalde is a Spanish firm that distributes freezers throughout South Europe Wyke has prepared a cashflow for the proposed freezer distribution business but does not know at what rate to discount it mefielding.com 2 Traditional NPV Wyke Aranalde Equity Beta Geared 1.1 1.2 Gearing Ratio (Book Value, D:E) 1:1 3:7 Gearing Ratio (Market Value,D:E) 1:4 1:1 Cost of Debt % 6 6 Assumptions Corporate debt is risk free, corporate tax is charged at 30% The project will be financed in the same ratio as existing capital in Wyke Return on treasury bills is 6%, return on the market portfolio 9% mefielding.com 3 Traditional NPV To Note This technique is a combination of CAPM and M&M We need a beta which reflects 2 things, the business risk of the new industry and the gearing risk of the project (here existing Wyke business) CAPM says that risk (Beta) is related to market risk. M&M say that 𝐾𝑒 is a direct linear function of gearing If debt is risk free then the debt beta is zero mefielding.com 4 Traditional NPV Calculation of 𝑘𝑒 for Wyke Freezer Distribution in S Europe Therefore we take the beta of the new industry (Aranalde) and we remove the effect of Aranalde’s gearing. This gives us an asset beta which reflects the freezer industry risk ungeared We then include the (Wyke) project gearing, this will give us the 𝛽 that reflects the project gearing and the industry risk Put new 𝛽 in CAPM and we get project 𝑘𝑒 mefielding.com 5 Traditional NPV We use the formula 𝛽𝑎= 𝑉𝑒 𝑉𝑒+𝑉𝑑 (1−𝑇) 𝛽𝑒 + 𝑉𝑑 𝑉𝑒+𝑉𝑑 (1−𝑇) 𝛽𝑑 So we need an asset beta which reflects the business risk of freezer distribution in Europe. If we take Aranalde’s beta it will reflect the business risk but also Aranalde’s gearing, so we degear Aranalde’s equity beta 𝛽 1 𝑎= 1.2 =0.71 1+(1𝑥0.7) We must always use market values, the value of the equity to debt is 1:1. Aranalde’s beta reflects the business risk, the tax rate is 30%. The asset beta tells us 6the ungeared beta of the mefielding.com Freezer distribution industry. Debt is risk free so debt beta is zero Asset Beta Remember your beta reflects 2 things. Market risk (CAPM) & gearing (M&M) M&M said that the relationship between gearing and 𝐾𝑒 is linear, so we can take it out β 𝑎 therefore is a beta that only represents business risk with no gearing mefielding.com 7 Traditional NPV So the asset beta reflects the business risk but Wyke will use debt finance in part to fund the project we need therefore to factor that it Debt is risk free so 2nd 𝑉𝑒 𝛽𝑎= half of the equation is 𝛽 𝑉𝑒+𝑉𝑑 (1−𝑇) 𝑒 omitted The asset beta therefore, as said , gives us the risk for an ungeared business distributing freezers in S Europe. But our business will not be ungeared, therefore we have to put in our project gearing mefielding.com 8 Re-gearing the Asset Beta Putting into the equation Wyke’s own gearing we get 𝛽𝑎= mefielding.com 𝑉𝑒 𝑉𝑒+𝑉𝑑 (1−𝑇) 𝛽𝑒 Debt is risk free so 2nd half of the equation is omitted 0.71= 4/(4+0.7) 𝛽𝑒 , therefore 𝛽𝑒 = 0.83 Having got the equity beta we can derive the 𝑘𝑒 of the project 𝑘𝑒 = 6 + 0.83(9-6)= 8.5% The project though will be funded with debt and equity so we need WACC WACC (8.5x0.8) + (6x 0.2)= 8% 9 The discount rate is therefore 8%