Adjusted Present Value Modigliani and Miller meet CAPM PWC Course Notes P62 ACCA Paper P4 Also suitable for ICAEW, ICAS, CFA etc mefielding.com 1 APV We are going to undertake a project appraisal calculation Before you listen to this please make sure you are comfortable with CAPM and M&M The APV is an alternative to NPV It can give a different decision from NPV It is not used in real life but is frequently examined IT IS BASED ON MODIGLIANI & MILLER mefielding.com 2 APV Wyke plc is a company that makes ice cream in Scotland Wyke wants to expand into Europe. Europe has no surplus demand for ice cream but their market research shows that South Europe needs freezers. Wyke decides to investigate freezer distribution in S Europe. Aranalde is a Spanish firm that distributes freezers throughout South Europe Wyke has prepared a cash flow for the proposed freezer distribution business but does not know at what rate to discount it mefielding.com 3 APV Wyke Aranalde Equity Beta Geared 1.1 1.2 Gearing Ratio (Book Value, D:E) 1:1 3:7 Gearing Ratio (Market Value,D:E) 1:4 1:1 Cost of Debt % 6 6 Other Information • Corporate debt is risk free, corporate tax is charged at 30% • The project will be financed in the same ratio as existing capital in Wyke • Return on treasury bills is 6% pa, return on the market portfolio 9% pa • The project shows an initial investment will be required of $7.5m • Net cash flows will be $1.1m for 5 years • Issue costs will be 2% for debt and 5% for equity, both of gross sum raised • Debt will be a 5 year loan payable at the end of the project mefielding.com 4 APV To Note This technique is a combination of CAPM and M&M We need a beta which reflects 2 things, the business risk of the new industry and the gearing risk of the project (here existing Wyke business) CAPM says that risk (Beta) is related to market risk. M&M say that 𝐾𝑒 is a direct linear function of gearing If debt is risk free then the debt beta is zero mefielding.com 5 APV Step 1 Calculation of 𝑘𝑒 for Wyke Freezer Distribution in S Europe Therefore we take the beta of the new industry (Aranalde) and we remove the effect of Aranalde’s gearing. This gives us an asset beta which reflects the freezer industry risk ungeared We then include the (Wyke) project gearing, this will give us the 𝛽 that reflects the project gearing and the industry risk Put new 𝛽 in CAPM and we get project 𝑘𝑒 mefielding.com 6 APV Step 1 We use the formula 𝛽𝑎= 𝑉𝑒 𝑉𝑒+𝑉𝑑 (1−𝑇) 𝛽𝑒 + 𝑉𝑑 𝑉𝑒+𝑉𝑑 (1−𝑇) 𝛽𝑑 So we need an asset beta which reflects the business risk of freezer distribution in Europe. If we take Aranalde’s beta it will reflect the business risk but also Aranalde’s gearing, so we degear Aranalde’s equity beta 𝛽 1 𝑎= 1.2 =0.71 1+(1𝑥0.7) We must always use market values, the value of the equity to debt is 1:1. Aranalde’s beta reflects the business risk, the tax rate is 30%. The asset beta tells us 7the ungeared beta of the mefielding.com Freezer distribution industry. Debt is risk free so debt beta is zero Asset Beta Remember your beta reflects 2 things. Market risk (CAPM) & gearing (M&M) M&M said that the relationship between gearing and 𝐾𝑒 is linear, so we can take it out β 𝑎 therefore is a beta that only represents business risk with no gearing mefielding.com 8 APV Step 1 REMEMBER M&M1 Therefore degearing regearing etc will have no effect on WACC according to M&M, so we discount out cash flow at 𝐾𝑒 derived from the ungeared β Β = 0.71 Therefore 𝐾𝑒 = 0.71(6+ (9-6))= 6.39% Using 6% Inflows are 5.6371 x 1.1m= 6.2m Initial investment 7.5m Therefore net (1300k) mefielding.com Capital Structure is independent of gearing 9 APV Step 2- The Tax Shield Step 3 Things That Shouldn’t Exist! Step 2 Tax Shield But M&M said that debt raised was tax deductible, so we take into account the tax relief on debt interest 7.5m x 20% x 30% x 5.6371= 2537 Step 3- Market Inefficiencies Issue costs Equity [(6m/0.950)-6m]= 316 Debt [(1.5m/0.98)-1.5m]= 31 Total issue costs (347) mefielding.com 10 APV Summary Cash flow (1300) Tax Shield 2537 Other Items (347) Result +890 mefielding.com 11 Comparison of NPV and APV NPV APV Steps Take β 𝑒 of Newco, take out Newco gearing Gives β 𝑎 for new industry. Regear β 𝑎 for project finance to get β 𝑒 of project Put β Combine with K 𝑑 to get WACC That is your discount rate Discount cash flow If positive accept 𝑒 in CAPM , get K mefielding.com 𝑒 Steps Take β 𝑒 of Newco, take out Newco gearing Gives β This is your discount rate Discount cash flow Calculate PV of tax savings due to use of debt Calculate benefits/costs of anything else ie issue costs Add up 3 sections, if positive accept 𝑎 for new industry. 12