What makes for good risk management? April 2015 www.bakertilly.co.uk ….fingers crossed…. Why establish an enterprise risk management framework? What makes for effective risk management? – the differentiator. How you can establish an effective enterprise risk management framework? Sets out a view on 28 global risks in the report’s traditional categories economic, environmental, societal, geopolitical and technological. Also considers the drivers of those risks in the form of 13 trends. “There is a significant failure of some kind that was within our control or we could have prevented, but didn’t. As a result of the failure there could be any or all of the following harm, injury or death to an individual, a significant financial loss or waste of resources. Then there will be the investigation, blame, reputation damage and embarrassment, rectification time and costs….some of this could result in irrecoverable damage at a corporate and personal level. All this, as a minimum, distracts us…and at worse de-rails us from our main mission….” A client non executive director (January 2014 – Board Discussion regards Risk Management & Assurance) We manage risk all the time! • Patchy risk management processes leading to an “Incomplete picture” • Lack of accountability amongst individuals responsible for managing risks • Risk management inertia • Lack of engagement with the organisation’s risk management • Of course one of the main symptoms is untoward and/or unwanted “stuff” happening Let’s be honest…. Value adding What are the risks? • A risk that is managed through existing control framework and corporate processes. • Corrected through the rectification of an existing control. • Monitoring focuses on assurances in place. Managed through the assurance framework. Business as Usual Risks Exceptional Risks • Have a finite life. • Require the establishment of a new or enhanced risk mitigation/control. • Upon mitigation becomes business as usual. • Managed at appropriate level through either strategic or operational risk registers. Example - Group Risk Capture Hierarchy Group Business Objectives The Baker Tilly 4Risk Risk Management & Assurance System: This system can be used to enable efficient and effective risk and controls capture, assessment, reporting and monitoring at individual establishment level through to Group and Board level. Strategic Risks: These risks will have a fundamental effect on the achievement of the Group business objectives. They will be material in nature. They will be both determined by the Board as well as very high areas of risk that might emerge from operations across the Group. High Group Risks: Areas of high risk exposure will be escalated into the Group risk register to enable specific monitoring. It may be the case that there are common areas of high risk being escalated across the Group. In this case it may be appropriate for a Group level action to be agreed, rather than action by each Establishment. Operational level Risks: A risk and controls profile will be established for each establishment in the Group. Action required to address risks or issues will be determined by the establishment and progress monitored at Group level. Areas of high risk will be escalated within the Group. Individual Establishment Risk Assessments: On a cyclical basis, each establishment undertakes a self-evaluation of risk exposure and risk mitigation / controls effectiveness against a set of standard criteria, both financial and nonfinancial. This will assist with ensuring a consistent approach across the group. 10 Does this sound familiar? The Board to focus on strategy Rigorously & energetically plan for the future Recognise that you are part of a wider system Build trust and confidence Don’t be driven by events Reflect on fitness for purpose A need for thinking time Seek out best practice – be innovative Definition of a strategic risk “Those risks that if realised could fundamentally affect the way in which the organisation exists or provides services in the next one to three years. These risks should they occur will have a detrimental effect on the achievement of one, some or all of the organisation’s strategic objectives. The risk realisation will lead to material failure, loss or lost opportunity.” What does the future hold? 1. What would be the worst thing that could happen at the organisation? (right now / tomorrow)? 2. What is your greatest fear for the organisation? (in the next 12 – 36 months)? 3. What is the greatest challenge the organisation faces (in the next 12 – 36 months)? 4. What is the greatest opportunity the organisation has (in the next 12 – 36 months)? 13 Example Risk Scoring Impact 5 1 1 4 Risk Classification Description Primary Primary risks should require immediate attention. The risk should be regularly monitored for change and also to ensure prescribed actions are being completed 4 Contingency 5 3 Monitor and obtain assurance over existing controls and look to introduce cost effective mitigation. 2 House Keeping Action should be taken to introduce or improve controls to reduce the likelihood of the risk. Assurance should be obtained over any mitigations in place. Low Activity should concentrate on obtaining assurance on those controls and mitigations in place that are reducing the risk. 2 Likelihood Key Inherent Risk Residual Risk Application of Controls & Mitigations Highlights Good Practice Risk Register Template Risk, Cause, Effect, Controls, Assurance and Actions………….? Risk Owner / Lead Review and updates Risk, Cause, Effect Controls + Assurance Full Action Plan Example Correlation map Strategic objectives vs. 2014/15 strategic risks Strategic risks with assurance strength A) Quality, safety, outcome & experience 5 3 4 12 B) Cultural change 5 4 4 13 C) Engagement with the estates strategy 5 2 3 10 D) Transformation of Services 4 3 5 12 E) Sustainable local economy with partners 3 2 3 8 F) Leadership and workforce capacity and capability 2 5 5 12 G) Define and capitalise on our USPs 2 5 2 9 H) Balance financial sustainability with quality & affordability 5 4 4 13 The correlation map demonstrates the linkage and strength of the relationship between each risk and each strategic objective. This is demonstrated on a 1-5 scale, with 1 indicating a weaker relationship with the strategic objective in question and 5 indicating a stronger relationship. 16 Example Risk radar Proximity of strategic risk impact with assurance strengths H) Balance financial sustainability with quality E) Sustainable local economy with partners F) Leadership and workforce capacity and capability 24 – 36 months 12 – 24 months Now – 12 months A) Quality &, safety, outcome & experience Now D) Transformation of Services B) Cultural change C) Estates strategy Key: G) Define and capitalise on our USPs High assurance strength Medium assurance strength Low assurance strength 17 The three ‘lines of assurance’ Risk Controls & Assurance Dashboard (RCAD) Case study - National Treatment Agency Objectives of the RCAD: • Using a systematic approach provide for an overall understanding of the NTA risk exposure and level of assurance over the effectiveness of the control environment in the NTA key activities / functions; • to provide a basis for early warnings, particularly during the transition period; and • to identify actions for improvement (above and beyond those already identified / being pursued) and / or confirm progress of actions. This provides the NTA with a snap-shot of its risk, controls and assurance profile at intervals through out the year across a number of defined activities and processes falling under 4 dimensions: key services, performance, compliance and governance (covering 29 pre-determined activities). The RCAD is updated quarterly, usually at a mid-way point in the period, therefore providing for both a retrospective and forwards look to form a view as to the expected risk profile and effectiveness of controls across the NTA. 19 Risk Controls & Assurance Dashboard (RCAD) Case study - National Treatment Agency Board Executive Key Services Performance Compliance Governance Management Responsible for NTA activities, functions and processes. Risk Controls & Assurance Dashboard (RCAD) Case study - National Treatment Agency RCAD Extract: Area of activity / Responsibility 2. Compliance Framework 2.1 Information Governance / data confidentiality and access (Disclosure in the public domain) IT Manager Risk Profile Controls Evaluation Contingency Very Effective / • Assurance #1 (3rd Line) - Positive Substantial Evidence • Assurance #2 (3rd line) - Positive Impact = 5 Likelihood = 3 Risk, Controls & Assurance: Governance Commentary • Assurance #3 (2nd Line) - Positive Previously Impact = 5 Likelihood = 2 • Assurance #4 (1st Line) - Positive Overview Commentary: Reviews by IA / ALB / DH have provided positive outcomes. As the civil service requirements are more stringent this means the NTA is not…..This is currently being progressed. Disclosure required / Actions Required Escalation into Strategic Risk Register Transition: The current disclaimer regards data gathering will no longer be valid on the transfer ….. This may have…… It is expected that by ….. a legal judgment will have been reached on this matter. Monitor, but no escalation to the strategic risk register. Increasing risk profile due to above. 21 Risk Controls & Assurance Dashboard (RCAD) Case study - National Treatment Agency NTA – Risk Profile: Period to 30th September xxxx 1.4 Previous profile 1.6a 5 2.1 3.1 2.1 Current profile 3.2 1.5 Impact 4 3.4 4.5 4.14 4.8 4.1 3 2 1.3 1.3 1.5 3.4 Transition related 1.6b 4.6 4.7 4.12 4.10 4.4 4.11 4.2 4.3 2.5 4.13 2.2 3.3 2.4 2.3 1.2 4.9 1 1 2 3 4 Likelihood 5 Risk Controls & Assurance Dashboard (RCAD) Case study - National Treatment Agency NTA – Internal Control Evaluation: Period to 30th September xxxx 1.6a Control Very Effective 5 3.1 4.6 3.4 2.5 3.3 2.1 4.9 4.84.13 4.14 1.5 4.11 4.2 1.4 4.1 4.12 4.4 1.2 4.5 4.7 2.4 1.6b 4.3 2.3 4 4.10 2.2 3.2 1.3 1.1 3 2 Ineffective 1 1 Limited 2 3 4 Assurance 5 Substantial Risk Controls & Assurance Dashboard (RCAD) Case study - National Treatment Agency Extract - Overall Summary of disclosures / action required: Key Services: Performance: 1. Executive / Strategic risk:…..NTA in this final phase. 1. Transition: The Head of Communications will…. 2. Transition: Transition risk management has now become the main focus of the NTA in this final phase…... 2. Transition: Corporate services resilience… 3. Transition: Ineffective….of drug treatment. 4. Human Resources: There remains….. Compliance Framework: 1. Transition: The current disclaimer….. reached on this matter. Corporate Governance: 1. Transition: Move towards….the transition process with representation from all ….. 24 Risk Register Extract - Example 25 Risk Management Action Plan Extract - Example 26 Risk Controls Assurance Report Extract - Example 27 Key ERM Components Ensuring the profile of risk management in the business A risk management strategy that delivers value Risk management directly informs business planning & activities Use of risk management information systems (MIS) Risk assurance direction is driven by the business risk profile Your thoughts, comments, questions? Matt Humphrey Partner Risk & Governance Consulting matthew.humphrey@bakertilly.co.uk 07764 688248 www.bakertilly.co.uk www.insight4grc.com/demo Baker Tilly Corporate Finance LLP, Baker Tilly Restructuring and Recovery LLP, Baker Tilly Risk Advisory Services LLP, Baker Tilly Tax and Advisory Services LLP, Baker Tilly UK Audit LLP and Baker Tilly Tax and Accounting Limited are not authorised under the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 but we are able in certain circumstances to offer a limited range of investment services because we are members of the Institute of Chartered Accountants in England and Wales. We can provide these investment services if they are an incidental part of the professional services we have been engaged to provide. Baker Tilly Creditor Services LLP is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority for credit-related regulated activities. Baker Tilly & Co Limited is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority to conduct a range of investment business activities.© 2015 Baker Tilly UK Group LLP, all rights reserved This communication is intended to provide general guidance on matters of interest and you should not act or refrain from acting upon any information contained in it without seeking appropriate professional advice