(CSTAR) Warren Snyder, WFO Albany

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Warren R. Snyder

Science & Operations Officer

WFO, Albany, New York

 Collaborative Science, Technology, and Applied

Research (CSTAR) program

 Established by the Office of Meteorology* to bring

NWS-supported collaborative activities with the academic community into a structured program.

 Now OCWWS*

 Program currently under Office of Science & Technology

 Create a cost-effective transition from basic and applied research to operations and services

 Grants provided via a competitive grant process to select universities nationally since 2001.

 About $375K every three years

Quantitative Precipitation Forecasting (QPF), Hydrology ,Tropical/Marine, Modeling and Analysis , Forecast/Warning Processes,

Radar

Albany/SUNY: Cooperative Research with the NWS on Cool- and Warm-Season Precipitation Forecasting over the Northeastern U.S.

Desert Research Institute: Improving WSR-88D QPEs in the Inter-mountain West

Florida Institute of Technology: A Real-Time Coupled Wave/Atmospheric Regional Forecast and Analysis System: CWARFS

Florida State : Operational system for probabilistic QPF, Ensemble precipitation forecasts, cloud-to-ground lightning climatologies, hydrological modeling for flash flood events

Hawaii : Evaluation of Flash Flood Prediction Models for Small Watersheds in Tropical Islands

NC State : Improving Understanding and Prediction of Warm Season Precipitation Systems in the Southeastern and Mid-Atlantic Regions ,

Topographically-forced weather systems in Carolinas and Virginia

Oklahoma : A partnership to develop, conduct, and evaluate real-time high-resolution ensemble and deterministic forecasts for convectivescale hazardous weather , Improving Tornado Detection with WSR-88D Using Spectral Analysis

Rhode Island : Transitioning coupled hurricane-ocean model to operations

Saint Louis: Improved QPF in the Central Region, Improving Prediction of Significant Weather Events in CR

Texas A&M: Lightning in the Nowcasting and Warning Process: Cooperative Research Applied to NWS Needs and Priorities

Utah : Improved Monitoring, Analysis, and Prediction of High Impact Weather, Numerical Weather Prediction, Local Weather, Mesoscale

Observations in Intermountain West

Washington : Improvement of Mesoscale Analysis and Prediction , High-resolution numerical weather prediction, grid post-processing, ensemble methodologies, Improving Marine Weather Prediction with Satellite-Derived Products

 Three Tiers of Projects

 Major Foci

 Collaborative – Often trial for projects to upgrade

 Associate

– Supporting Projects

 Two planning meetings per year (May & November)

 Major component of NROW

 Involve many Northeast NWS Offices & CWSUs

 10-15 NOAA Units

 Leverage the CSTAR grant to other related local

NWS office research

 Northeast 500hPa Cut Off Low Climatology

 Precipitation Distributions w/r to Cold Season

Cutoff Cyclones

 Mesoscale Banded Precipitation

 Precipitation Distributions w/r to Warm Season

Cutoff Cyclones

 Large Scale Regime Transitions (NAO)

 Precipitation Distributions w/r to Land falling &

Transitioning Tropical System

 Mesoscale Aspects of Heavy Snow/Icing Events

(Moderate Banding)

 Mesoscale Structure of Precipitation Regions in

Northeast Winter Storms

 Cool Season Moderate Precipitation Events in the

Northeast US

 Predecessor Rain Events in Advance of Tropical

Cyclones

 Warm Season Lake/Sea Breeze Induced Severe

Weather

 Large Scale Flow Anomalies w/r to Cool Season

Precipitation Events

 High Wind/Winter Severe Convective Events

 Fog Forecasting - Improving the forecast of Fog at Elmira New York

 Workstation ETA / WRF Projects /Great Lakes Ensemble

 Transition of ensembles of mesoscale models to operational forecasting

 An Investigation by Multiple Doppler Radars of Sea Breeze Circulations in and Around the New York Bight.

 Northeast Convective Flash Flood Events

 Northern New England Inverted Coastal Trough - (NORLUND Trough)

 Landfalling Tropical Systems Additional Foci "Outlier Systems“

 Integration of Research Into Operations

 Upslope Localized Snow Events (Western Maine, Hudson Valley)

 Compare and Contrast Three Ice Storms over New York

 Develop WES Simulation of 17 February 2003 Snow Event

 Hydrometeorological Ingredients Which Enhance Widespread Harmful

Algae Blooms in the Gulf of Maine and Massachusetts Bay Watersheds

 Correlations between Observed Snowfall and NAM Model Parameters

 Developing Probabilistic Forecasts using Ensembles

 Five projects not listed that were not completed due to transfers, promotions and death of project leads.

 Major Foci Projects

 Ice Storms and Freezing Precipitation

 Mesoscale Substructure in Winter Storms

 Deep Convection, Severe Weather, and

Appalachian Lee Troughs

 Mesoscale Precipitation Substructures

Associated with Convective Systems and

Landfalling Tropical Systems that cause Flash

Floods

 Collaborating / Associate

 ALY Decision Support Services Project (DSS)

 Integrating Social Science Into Operation

 Applications of Mesoscale Modeling

 Improvement of Ceiling & Visibility Forecasts for TAFs

 Understand the Modulation of the Climate of the

Northeast United States by Hudson’s Bay (Canada).

 Understanding Inland Extent of Lake Effect Snow

Bands

 Expanding Operational Use of Known Methods for

Forecasting River Ice Formation, Snow Melt and Ice

Break up.

 Integration of Research Into Operations

 Hudson-Mohawk Convergence Events

 Conference presentations

 Journal and other professional publications

 Articulate Teletraining

 Interactive VISIT Session

 Use in AFDs

 Webpage http://cstar.cestm.albany.edu/

 Several CSTAR Grad Students hired by NWS

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