Unit 4- Financial Sector Sam Simon At the base of the pyramid on the $1 bill you will find “****” in Roman Numerals On the $100 bill, the clock tower of Independence Hall in Philadelphia is shown with the time set at 4:10. According to the US Bureau of Engraving and Printing, “there are no records explaining why that particular time was chosen” The elm tree on back of the $20 bill near the White House represents a real tree in this same location. However, the tree is no longer on the White House grounds because it succumbed to rain-softened ground in 2006 Most people save $2 bills, thinking they are rare and therefore valuable; they're actually worth... $2 97% of all paper money contains traces of cocaine Barter • Inefficient • Prevents economic growth • Double coincidence of wants Types of Money Commodity money- money itself serves a purpose (i.e. tulip bulbs, salt, tobacco) Commodity-Backed money- money’s value is backed by a commodity (gold, silver) *Fiat money- value based solely on acceptance of value and government backing Functions of Money • Medium of Exchange • Unit of Account (Standard of Value) • Store of Value Time Value of Money Money and Interest Rates • PV=FV/(1+r)n • FV = PV X (1+r)n 13% interest rate I give you $100 today I give you $100 on March 10, 2016 *No calculators on the AP exam, so… Money Supply Measures based on Liquidity • Monetary Base = • M0 = • M1= • M2= The Banking System – Three important features of the fractional reserve banking system: • Bank profitability • Banks discretion over the money supply • Exposure to bank runs The Banking System • Principles of Bank Management: Profits versus Safety – Greater risk – greater potential profit. – How much risk to take?? – How’s that worked out? FIGURE 28-1 Bank Failures in the United States, 1915-2000 2,200 FDIC established 1,800 1,600 1,400 1,200 1,000 800 Number of Bank Failures Number of Bank Failures 2,000 200 160 120 80 40 0 1935 1945 1955 1965 1975 1985 '95 '00 600 400 Great Depression begins 200 0 1915 1920 1925 1930 1935 1940 1945 1950 1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 Year '95 '00 Copyright © 2003 South-Western/Thomson Learning. All rights reserved. The Banking System • Bank Regulation – Deposit Insurance • The Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation insures people’s deposits at banks. – Bank Supervision • Ensures banks take only sensible, defensible risks • Controls the money supply – Reserve Requirements • Helps control the money supply Multiplier Effect • Simple Deposit Multiplier = 1 /Reserve Requirement • RR = 10% • Multiplier = Money Supply Expansion • Expansion = Multiplier X Excess Reserves • For each calculate expansion for a $1000 deposit. How Bankers Keep Books Banks keep balance sheets Assets = liabilities + net worth (Equity) Assets include: Reserves Loans Liabilities include: Deposits owed to customers. Money Market Money Market • Q of money is fixed at any given point in time • MS = M1 Money Market • i = nominal interest rate • Money Market graphs short term interest rates Money Market • Nominal Interest rate is the Federal Funds Rate • FFR = rate banks charge each other for overnight loans Money Market • MD= Q of money demanded at various interest rates • Q of money demanded = amount of wealth held as money over other assets Money Market • What is the opportunity cost of holding money? Money Market • Money v. Bonds Money Market • Change in “i“ causes movement along the curve Money Market • Increase in RGDP and Price Level will shift MD to the right Fed Tools • Open Market Operations- buy/sell bonds • Discount Rate- rate Fed charges banks • Reserve Requirement/Required Reserve Ratio What should the Fed do? • During a recessionary period? List 3 • During an inflationary period? List 3 What should the Fed do? • During a recessionary period? – Expansionary Monetary Policy • During an expansionary period? – Contractionary Monetary Policy Agenda • FRQ Review – Bond Basics – Bond prices • Balance Sheets – Intro and Practice • HW- Real v. Nominal Article • Test- Friday???? Or Monday Just what is a bond? • • • • • • • • Issued by a government or business to raise $ Bond purchaser is the lender Purchaser receives regular interest payments Interest rate is called coupon rate Purchaser is paid the principle at maturity Longer the term, higher the interest Bonds can be traded before maturity Privately issued bonds have higher coupon rates- more risk • US government bonds have “zero” risk Agenda • Balance Sheet FRQs • Money Demand Dissected • Equation of Exchange Intro • Sides Game Stock v. Bonds • Stock = owner • Bond = lender – Riskier company = higher coupon rate Trading Existing Bonds • If interest rates go up? • If interest rates go down? How Bankers Keep Books Banks keep balance sheets Assets = liabilities + net worth (Equity) Assets include: Reserves Loans Liabilities include: Deposits owed to customers. Balance Sheets- Important Points 1. Deposits and withdraws do not INITIALLY change M1 2. Required Reserves only apply to demand (checkable) deposits Demand for Money • Transaction Demand- function? • Asset Demand- function? Demand for Money • Financial Assets- stocks, bonds, loans, deposits • Asset Demand- inverse relationship to interest rates Monetarism • Money Supply is chief determinant of economic growth • MV = PQ MV = PQ • Equation of exchange • • • • M= money supply V= velocity of money P= price level Q= quantity of goods and services produced MV = PQ • Equation of exchange • V = constant • Increase in M should outpace increase in Q • Otherwise- “Too much money chasing too few goods” MV = PQ • Otherwise- “Too much money chasing too few goods” Sides Game Investment Demand Investment Demand • Investment leads to capital formation • This changes future capital stock • This influences growth rate Investment Demand • Some Determinants – Expectations – Capacity Utilization – Cost of Capital Goods – Tax Credits