Implementing BPM 6 (continued)

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1st Meeting of the Working Party on

International Trade in Goods and Trade in

Services Statistics - September 2008

Australia's experience (so far) in implementing BPM 6

Bernard Williams

Director

Balance of Payments and International Trade

Statistics

Overview

 ABS implementing BPM 6 and SNA 93 Rev.

1 for September quarter 2009

 considerable progress has been made

 a number of challenges remain

 This presentation focusses on:

 processes used

 issues faced

Organisational context

 ABS releases Australia's key macroeconomic statistics

 national accounts, balance of payments, international investment position, financial accounts and government finance statistics

 National and international accounts within the Macroeconomics and Integration Group

 but number of different sections

Organisational context

(continued)

 Source data for the accounts provided by:

– areas within the Macroeconomics and

Integration Group

– other areas of the ABS

– a range of non-ABS sources

Organisational context

(continued)

 Source data for the accounts provided by:

– areas within the Macroeconomics and

Integration Group

– other areas of the ABS

– a range of non-ABS sources

 Main sources for Australia's BoP are:

 monthly merchandise trade statistics

 quarterly Survey of International Trade in

Services.

 quarterly International Investment Survey

Principles

 Standards

 minimal departures

 applied consistently

 only implemented after extensive consultation and publicity

Principles

 Standards

 minimal departures

 applied consistently

 only implemented after extensive consultation and publicity

 Timing

 implement changes to GDP at same time

Principles

 Standards

 minimal departures

 applied consistently

 only implemented after extensive consultation and publicity

 Timing

 implement changes to GDP at same time

 Coordination and consultation

 central coordination

 provide clients with early advice

 equal access to all clients

Governance

 Overview by a high level internal ABS committee

Governance (continued)

 Committee to oversee tactical aspects of the implementation:

 plan and coordinate ABS input to standards

 forum for the discussion of key issues

 ensure appropriate consultation on key issues

 facilitate information sharing

 assess implications for ABS data collections

 plan and monitor progress on implementation of new standards in macro-economic statistics and data collections

 capturing outcomes to ensure successful and effective knowledge management

Five phase strategy

 Phase 1 - Input to Development of

International Standards

 2005 to 2007 - input to international standards

Five phase strategy (continued)

 Phase 2 - Scoping

 initial assessment of issues

 standard template developed

– the issue

– lead area

– stakeholders

– relevant BPM 5 standard

– current ABS practice

– proposed BPM 6 standard

– implications for ABS

Five phase strategy (continued)

 Phase 3 Work Program Integration and

Internal Communication

 detailed workplans prepared

 recognise interdependencies between areas, system redevelopment plans and other developments

Five phase strategy (continued)

 Phase 4 External Communication

 information paper released

 key economic agencies contacted

 additional information papers planned for 2009

Five phase strategy (continued)

 Phase 5 Implementation

 by 2008-09 Annuals

 still in progress

 detailed work to modify or develop sources, questionnaires, methods and outputs

 producing necessary back series on the new basis

 updating reference material

Funding

 Non essential development deferred

 Additional development funding through the

ABS internal budget

 Additional funding received from the

Australian government

Implementing BPM 6

 Starting point

 basically fully implemented BPM 5

 foreshadowed some BPM 6 changes

 Significant changes include:

 merchanting

 goods for processing

 greater detail for the international investment position

 changed treatments to investment income

Implementing BPM 6 (continued)

 Trade in goods

 procedures for processing merchandise trade data

 will result in increased focus on certain series

 For trade in services changes categorised under

 frame

 survey design

 questionnaire and explanatory notes

 models

 other system changes

 output presentation

Implementing BPM 6 (continued)

 Historical series revised to make the time series of estimates as continuous as possible

 classification changes

 new series

 a standard approach to measuring shifts in the level of series

Issues faced

 General

 staff

 ongoing statistical production

 alignment with other significant changes

 focus

Issues faced (continued)

 Specific issues faced by the ABS included:

 2009 meant that not all decisions known early

 issues more complex than anticipated

 complex relationship between commodity classifications

 size and complexity of the Survey of

International Investment

Challenges ahead

 Other international standards

 Lead time required for compiling estimates on a new basis

 Goods for processing

Challenges ahead (continued)

 Goods for processing

 negative service fees

 not capturing goods exported from Australia for processing and subsequent importation

 incomplete coverage

 pharmaceutical industry practices vary:

– actually taking ownership

– no change of ownership occurring

– consumed after processing

 Customs based export and import documentation does not provide sufficient information

Conclusion

 Plan on the basis of the entire set of macroeconomic statistics rather than the separate components

 Comprehensive change management processes established

 Stakeholders both within and outside the

ABS consulted

 Establishing a set of principles provided a solid basis for decision making

 Considerable challenge to keep data sources and models up-to-date

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