Chapter 5 Multiple Deposit Creation and the Money Supply Process 1 Players in the Money Supply Process Central Bank (Federal Reserve System) Banks (depository institutions; financial intermediaries) Depositors (individuals and institutions) Borrowers from banks (individuals and institutions) 2 Central Bank’s Balance Sheet Central Bank Assets Liabilities Government securities Currency in circulation Discount loans Reserves Monetary Liabilities Currency in circulation—notes in the hands of the public Reserves—commercial bank deposits at the CB and vault cash (cash in ATM machines and branches of commercial banks). CB requires banks to hold a minimum level of reserves at the CB as a fraction of total deposits. But banks may hold excess reserves 3 Central Bank’s Balance Sheet Assets Government securities—CB holds Treasury bonds as a policy instrument to increase or decrease the money supply Discount loans—lend reserves to commercial banks and earn the discount rate 4 Monetary Base (Highpowered money) High-powered money MB = C + R C = currency in circulation R = total reserves in the banking system The CB controls the monetary base by “open market operations”. 5 Open Market Purchase Banking System Assets Liabilities Securities -TL100 Reserves +TL100 Central Bank Assets Securities Liabilities +TL100 Reserves +TL100 CB buys 100 TL bond from a commercial bank. In return writes a check. The commercial bank could either deposit the check in CB or cash the check. Net result is that reserves have increased by 100 TL No change in currency. (Cash in banks’ vaults or ATM machines is not included in C) Monetary base increases by 100 TL 6 Open Market Purchase: Summary The effect of an open market purchase always increases the monetary base by the amount of the purchase. When monetary base increases by 1 TL, money supply increases by more than 1 TL (increases by the money multiplier). 7 Open Market Sale Banking System Assets Liabilities Securities +TL100 Reserves -TL100 Central Bank Assets Securities Liabilities -TL100 Reserves -TL100 CB sells 100 TL bond to a commercial bank. Deducted from bank’s account at CB in return. Reserves decrease by the amount of the sale. Monetary base decreases by the amount of the sale. In any open market sale, Monetary Base decreases. 8 Open Market Sale Summary In any open market sale, Monetary Base decreases by the amount of the sale. When monetary base decreases by 1 TL, money supply decreases by more than 1 TL. This amount is called the money multiplier. 9 Shifts from Deposits into Currency Nonbank Public Assets Banking System Liabilities Checkable deposits -TL100 Currency +TL100 Assets Reserves -TL100 Checkable deposits -TL100 Net effect Central Bank Assets Liabilities Liabilities Currency in circulation +TL100 Reserves -TL100 on monetary liabilities is zero Reserves are changed by random fluctuations Monetary base is a more stable variable 10 CB Making a Discount Loan to a Bank Banking System Assets Reserves Central Bank Liabilities +TL100 Discount loans +TL 100 (borrowing from CB) Assets Discount loan Liabilities +TL100 Reserves +TL100 (borrowing from CB) Monetary liabilities of the CB have increased by 100 TL Monetary Base also increases by 100 TL. 11 Banks Create Deposit in a Fractional Reserve System When the CB injects 1 TL reserve into the banking system, deposits increase by more than 1 TL. This is because required reserve ratio (RRR) is less than 100% of deposits. A smaller RRR leads to greater expansion of monetary base for 1 TL injection. First let us assume banks do not hold excess reserves. 12 Deposit Creation: Single Bank First National Bank Assets First National Bank Liabilities Assets Liabilities Securities -TL100 Securities Reserves +TL100 Reserves +TL100 Loans +TL100 First National Bank Assets Securities -TL100 Loans +TL100 Liabilities -TL100 Checkable deposits +TL100 Excess reserves increase Bank loans out the excess reserves Creates a checking account Borrower makes purchases The money supply has increased 13 Deposit Creation: Single Bank When CB makes an open market purchase from First National Bank (FNB), FNB’s reserves increase, securities decrease by 100 TL. 100 TL is excess reserve for FNB and it lends this money to a firm. Opens a checking account for the borrower, loans and checkable deposits increase by 100 TL. When the borrower spends the credit, reserves and checkable deposits disappear on FNB’s Taccount. 14 Deposit Creation: The Banking System Bank A Assets Reserves Bank A Liabilities +TL10 Checkable 0 deposits Assets +TL100 Reserves +TL10 Checkable deposits Loans Reserves +TL100 +TL90 Bank B Assets Liabilities Bank B Liabilities +TL90 Checkable deposits Assets +TL90 Reserves Loans Liabilities +TL9 Checkable deposits +TL90 +TL81 15 Deposit Creation: The Banking System When the borrower spends the credit, assuming that nobody wants to keep extra cash, 100 TL spent is deposited in a checking account at Bank A. Then Bank A’s reserves and checkable deposits increase by 100 TL. Bank A must hold 10% required reserves, but can lend the rest: 90 TL. When borrower spends this loan, reserves are deposited to another bank: Bank B. 16 Deposit Creation: The Banking System Bank B’s checkable deposits and reserves increase by 90 TL. Bank B must hold 9 TL as required reserves but can lend 81 TL to another firm. This firm can spend the credit and proceeds are deposited to another bank: Bank C. Bank C’s checkable deposits increase by 81 TL. Bank C also keeps 10% reserves and lends the rest (72.9 TL). 17 Deposit Creation: The Banking System If there are many banks, checkable deposits and of course money supply increases by: 100+90+81+72.9+…. = 100 (1+0.9+(0.9)2+(0.9)3+….) =100.(1/10) =1000 TL As required reserve ratio (r) increases, 1/r decreases and money creation is slower. 18 19 The Formula for Multiple Deposit Creation Assuming banks do not hold excess reserves Required Reserves (RR) = Total Reserves (R) RR = Required Reserve Ratio (r ) times the total amount of checkable deposits (D) Substituting r D=R Dividing both sides by r 1 R r Taking the change in both sides yields 1 D = R r D= 20 Critique of the Simple Model If borrowers & depositors hold their money in cash instead of depositing, this stops the money creation process. What fraction of bank loans is held in cash? We assumed zero. Banks may not use all of their excess reserves to make loans or buy securities. They may choose to hold excess reserves for precaution purposes. This also slows down money creation. Result is that it is not easy to control money supply (MB). It is easier to control the monetary base. 21