NEWS: 21.12.11 Today’s Top Headlines *** Copper prices expected to rise in next Q1 *** Copper falls on Europe credit rating downgrade worries *** Short supply, export prices push up domestic Ukrainian HMS *** World output growth slides to 1% in November *** Upward trend expected in Jan UK domestic scrap settlements *** Turkish alloy steelmaker increases scrap buying price again *** Indian Scrap Prices picks up due to shortages *** Scrap offers to Turkey rise, Turkish mill sentiment sags *** Timken raises US tube scrap surcharge by $50/s.ton *** China chrome ore market recovers on supplier moves *** Chinese Antimony metal prices fall further on weak demand *** Indian steel plants import iron ore due mining crisis *** Indian ferro-vanadium market still weak *** Ferro-molybdenum ticks up; ferro-vanadium stalled in US market *** Indian silicon market stable *** Chinese ferro-molybdenum prices show signs of stability *** Russian silicon metal market still weak *** Russian ferromolybdenum market to keep stable *** No rebound in Russian ferrovanadium market *** Russian ferromanganese market runs slowly *** Russian silicomanganese market weak *** Russian ferrosilicon market quiet *** Russian ferrotitanium market quiet *** Russian magnesium ingot market quiet *** Chinese Magnesium ingot price holding steady *** Chinese ferrosilicon export price decreases *** Nickel cathodes price slightly decreases *** Zinc ingot market remains weak *** Indian HRC market still slow *** Indian TMT bar price up Chinese Aluminum alloy market comes to a stalemate Sentiment among aluminum alloy producers keeps week these days and the purchasing remains bad. However, producers report that they are not in a hurry to release the stocks and will not sell the materials at lower prices. One producer of A356 aluminum alloy from Henan report that they will not sell the material at less than RMB800t . Zinc ingot market remains weak Zinc prices in China kept falling in the past few days, and SHG zinc ingot price fluctuated at around RMB14,700t USD2,319t in the spot market on Tuesday. Most participants think it’s hard for the price to increase due to the unfavorable macro economic environment. A trader from Shanghai with the sales volume of 20,000tpm reported that they offered SHG zinc ingot at RMB14,700t USD2,319t in the Chinese spot market. Russian ferrosilicon market quiet With the approach of New Year, enquiries decrease and deal is quiet in Russian ferrosilicon market. Present prices of ferrosilicon 65% are at RUB47-48kg d.p. USD1,464-1,495t, unchanged compared with those of last week. Chinese silicon metal smelters hold offers firm Currently, the operating rate of silicon metal smelters in China decreases to a relatively low level; moreover, as the production cost increases following the power price rises and the demand from the domestic and overseas markets remains weak, some silicon metal smelters, which are still in production, intend to stop production in a short time. With the decreasing operating rate, the supply in the spot market is reducing accordingly, and many silicon metal smelters expressed that they do not eager to sell materials in a hurry. Chinese Magnesium ingot price holding steady At the present time, magnesium ingot in the domestic market proceeds to witness the steadiness of price that stands respectively at RMB16,050-16,200t USD2,534-2,557t ex works in Shaanxi and RMB16,550-16,700t USD2,612-2,636t ex works in Shanxi. However, an increasing number of magnesium ingot suppliers would rather quote a higher price for their goods in the light of their freedom from stockpile burden and a paucity of purchase from downstream buyers. Thailand’s October scrap imports exceeds 200,000 tons According to statistics, Thailand imported 211 thousand tons of scrap in October, surged substantially by 2.5 times in comparison of that in the same period of last year. Also, this is the first time to break 200 thousand tons over the past five months. Among them, 151 thousand tons were from the US, surged by 456.2%; 9,000 tons were from Philippines, soared by 29.9%, both compared to that in the same period of last year. Besides, Thailand’s scrap imports in the first ten months of this year totaled 1.591 million tons, increased by 52.6% year on year. Accordingly, it’s estimated that the country’s total scrap imports in 2011 would reach 1.91 million tons. Copper prices expected to rise in next Q1 It’s predicted that the copper demand from China may jump in the Q1, 2012; however, the supply may remain a conundrum in the longer term. It’s known that the workers at Freeport McMoRan's giant Grasberg mine, the world’s second largest mine have delayed their return to work after the strike for consecutive three months, causing the supply side of global copper market. According to report of Macquarie's commodities research team, the global copper outputs have continuously disappointed the forecasts. However, UBS, banking and financial services group forecasted that the copper supply would raise by 4.7% to 20.6 million tons in 2012, pushed up by mine supply growth, including 9.9% in Chile, 11% in the US, 10% from China and 13.7% from Zambia. Besides, UBS pointed out that the workers would strongly seek for higher wages in 2012, pushed by the high profits of copper producers. Spot iron ore prices at US$139~US$142/ton C&F It’s reported that the spot iron ore prices have continued dropping recently. At present, the prices of spot iron ore fine contain 63.5% Fe are at US$139~US$142/ton C&F, down by US$1/ton for the previous US$140~US$143/ton C&F. Traders indicated that the iron ore prices might continue to drop in the short term b since the steelmakers would reduce the purchase before Chinese New Year vacation. Tokyo Steel hikes scrap purchase prices at five works TEX reported that Japan's largest electric steelmaker Tokyo Steel Mfg Co has increased what the company pays for locally available ferrous scrap by JPY 500 to JPY 1,000 per tonne for all grades at its five works, effective with December 14th 2011 arrivals. A price increase of JPY 500 per tonne applies to seaborne overland arrivals at the Kyushu works. A second price increase of JPY 1,000 per tonne applies to seaborne overland arrivals at the Okayama, Takamatsu and Tahara works. A third price increase of JPY 1,000 per tonne applies to overland arrivals at the Utsunomiya works. As a result, the new delivered prices of No2 HMS are JPY 32,500 per tonne for seaborne arrivals and JPY 31,500 per tonne for overland arrivals at the Okayama works; JPY 34,000 per tonne for seaborne arrivals and JPY 33,000 per tonne for overland arrivals at the Kyushu works; JPY 30,500 per tonne for seaborne overland arrivals at the Takamatsu works; JPY 31,500 per tonne for seaborne overland arrivals at the Tahara works and JPY 32,500 per tonne for overland arrivals at the Utsunomiya works. Steel melting scrap price up in Mumbai Melting scrap 80:20 HMS Location Change Bangalore 0 Chennai 0 Hyderabad 0 Kandla 0 Kanpur 0 Kolkata 0 Ludhiana -182 Mandi -259 Mumbai 400 Rudrapur 0 Change is on 19th December as compared to 16th December 2011 Change is in INR per tonne. Steel plate cuttings price update Product Grade Size Change Plate cuttings Rolling 1" 0 Ship Scrap Melting Mixed 700 Change is on 19th December as compared to 16th December 2011 Change is in INR per tonne Pencil ingot prices in diverse movement Pencil ingot Location Change Ahmedabad -400 Alang -300 Bhiwari 0 Chennai 0 Durgapur 0 Ghaziabad 0 Hyderabad 800 Jaipur 0 Jamshedpur 0 Ludhiana -362 Kanpur 0 Kolkata 91 Mandi -200 Mumbai 600 Muzaffarnagar 182 Nagpur 0 Raigarh -91 Raipur -100 Rourkela 544 Rudrapur 0 Change is on 19th December as compared to 16th December 2011 Change is in INR per tonne HR steel price update HRC Tube 2.5x1250 Location Change Ahmedabad 181 Bangalore 0 Chennai 0 Delhi 0 Indore 0 Kolkata 0 Ludhiana 91 Mumbai 226 Change is on 19th December as compared to 16th December 2011 Change is in INR per tonne CR steel price movement CR DSK 0.63 Location Change Ahmedabad -227 Bangalore 0 Chennai 0 Delhi 0 Kanpur 0 Kolkata 0 Ludhiana 0 Mumbai 0 Pune 0 Rudrapur 0 Change is on 19th December as compared to 16th December 2011 Change is in INR per tonne Chinese ferrosilicon export price decreases Chinese ferrosilicon export price decreases again this week and the limit price from customs also decreased to USD1,440t FOB China. Few deals are seen on export market. Traders hold a negative attitude toward the market and don’t expect any improvement in the coming months. Chinese domestic ferrosilicon price stable Chinese ferrosilicon price shows a little stable these days while the sale is worse than that of last week. Some producers think the market will decrease again in short term due to the slow demand from downstream market. As some producers have pressure on stocks, they may sell the material at a lower price later on. The mainstream price for ferrosilicon 75% is at RMB6,300-6,400t ex works . Chinese World Market Headlines on Foundry Materials Australian zircon sand market slow Copper cathodes suppliers selling actively Zinc concentrate suppliers hold back from selling in China on low zinc prices Chinese aluminum scraps import from America up by 3% in the first ten months of 2011 YOY Zinc ingot market remains weak Producers pessimistic about die-casting zinc alloy market Chinese lead concentrate market slows down on the drop of lead price Secondary lead market slow Erbium oxide market weak Cerium oxide demand soft Aluminum alloy market comes to a stalemate Nickel cathodes price slightly decreases High-grade lateritic nickel ore market still inactive Low-grade lateritic nickel ore market increases slightly Chinese gallium price moves down further Chinese export volume of indium reduces in October 2011 Chinese ferrosilicon export price decreases Watching attitude comes back with aluminum ingot price dropping Little movement on Vietnamese silicomanganese market Producers decrease manganese briquette price slightly Chinese domestic ferrosilicon price stable Manganese flake price continues to dip further South Korean ferromanganese export market sluggish Oversupply puts pressure on Chinese imported manganese ore prices Chinese titanium tetrachloride supply short with higher price Chinese titanium pipe market calm Chinese consumers reluctant to buy zirconium silicate Chinese ferroboron market not active Pakistani chrome ore market goes up slightly Titanium plate export market unlikely to recover Antimony ingot price declines Ethylene glycol antimony price decreasing Chinese molybdenum market moves sluggishly Chinese silicomanganese 60/14 price stable European ferrovanadium dealers see resistance to quotations above USD24/kg Chinese vanadium nitride prices soften Watching attitude popular among the magnesium alloy market Chinese high purity vanadium pentoxide powder market comparatively stable Magnesium powder market quiet PrNd mischmetal users hold back from purchasing High carbon ferrochrome producers holding offers Chrome ore traders expecting higher prices Chinese tantalite import prices tend to decrease further Cobalt chloride market sees dropping price Senze Coal & Aluminum’s first stage alumina project comes on stream Average grade niobium oxide market still stable in China cobalt monoxide price decreasing due to weak demand Magnesium ingot price holding steady Most private-owned cadmium smelters in China halt production due to feeble demand Lubei Chemicals suspends alumina production for equipments maintenance Chinese silicon metal smelters hold offers firm India intend to join polysilicon trade spat between U.S. and China European silicon metal market quiet with the approaching of holiday Chinese chemical silicon metal market still in thin trading Chinese ammonium molybdate market remains inactive APT price stable but demand keeps low South Korean silicon metal market calms down again Tungsten scraps price moves down with weak demand Tungsten concentrate market stalemate European ferromolybdenum market in low activity US ferromolybdenum rates keep unchanged despite non-existent activity US ferrotitanium figures drop slightly due to increased supply US traders: Ferrovanadium inquiries lessen, spot rates decrease further despite firm contracts Foundation stone laying ceremony for aluminium alloy auto hub project held in Yuncheng Russian magnesium ingot market quiet Russian ferrotitanium market quiet Russian Rezhnikel to be closed Russian ferrosilicon market quiet Russian silicomanganese market weak Russian ferromanganese market runs slowly No rebound in Russian ferrovanadium market Russian ferromolybdenum market to keep stable European ferrotungsten market holding Russian silicon metal market still weak ArcelorMittal Dofasco hikes steel sheet prices It’s reported that ArcelorMittal Dofasco announced to hike the spot prices of steel sheet in response to growing demand and extended delivery. After the price hike, the ex-factory prices of hot rolled coil are at CAD755/short ton; that of cold rolled coil is at CAD865/short ton and that of hot dipped galvanized steel is at CAD870/ton. Tokyo Steel hikes domestic prices of long steel products for January contracts It’s reported that Japanese Tokyo Steel announced on Monday that it would raise the domestic prices of selected steel products by ¥1,000~¥3,000/ton for next January. Tokyo Steel declared that it decided to raise the prices since it has seen the emerging demand for steel long products. It’s known that the firm will increase the domestic prices of rebar by ¥3,000/ton and to hike the prices of H beams, I beams, channels and sheet piles by ¥2,000/ton. Besides, it increased the prices of hot cut sheet and chequer plate used in building applications by ¥1,000/ton. Kiyoshi Imamura, the marketing director of Tokyo Steel said that the demand for construction steel was strong and recovering, especially in the Tohoku area after the devastating earthquake on March 11st.