TEESSIDE PENSION FUND Administered by Middlesbrough Council AGENDA ITEM 5 INVESTMENT PANEL REPORT 19 SEPTEMBER 2012 DIRECTOR OF RESOURCES - PAUL SLOCOMBE FUND MANAGER’S REPORT 1. PURPOSE OF THE REPORT 1.1 To inform Members how the Investment Advisors’ recommendations are being implemented. 1.2 To provide information with regard to stock selection strategies, including a detailed report on transactions undertaken. 1.3 To present an independently produced valuation of the Fund’s assets. 2. RECOMMENDATION 2.1 That Members note the report. 3. FINANCIAL IMPLICATIONS 3.1 Decisions taken by Members, in light of information contained within this report, will have an impact on the performance of the Fund. 4. IMPLEMENTATION OF INVESTMENT ADVISORS ADVICE 4.1 The Investment Advisors reviewed the current position of the fund and considered that asset allocation relative to the customised benchmark should continue to prefer growth assets over protection assets. The advisors stated that further opportunistic equity purchases in periods of market weakness may be appropriate, in particular favouring stocks with exposure to developing economies. Although it was felt that fixed income offered poor value at current yields ,the advisors were not adverse to further investment in short dated corporate issues, as a cash proxy It was also recommended that the property portfolio could be increased with selective purchases with the emphasis on yield and covenant. 4.2 Fund Manager’s Commentary. After two strong reporting periods, we have had to face an inevitable soft patch. The disappointment has been that we didn’t encounter another period of extreme market weakness that would enable us to acquire assets aggressively at good prices. In other words, conditions were not as awful as we had hoped. Summary of Market Returns by Index in this Period Key Market Index Total Returns UK Equity (FTSE All Share) US Equity (S&P 500) European Equity (Eurostoxx 50) Japanese Equity (Topix 500) Hong Kong Equity (Hang Seng) Australian Equity (ASX 200) UK Gilts (FTSE All Gilt) %Local -2.4 -2.7 -5.2 -10.6 -3.2 -4.4 +3.8 %Sterling -2.4 -0.8 -8.3 -5.6 -1.2 -3.8 +3.8 Source: Bloomberg LLP 5. TRANSACTION REPORT 5.1 It is a requirement that all transactions undertaken are reported to the Investment Panel. Appendix A details transactions from the period 1 st April 2012 to 30th June 2012. 5.2 There was net investment of approximately £13m in the period, this compares to net investment of £9m in the previous reporting period. Cash balances increased from £115m to £123m. 5.3 Our observations on an asset class basis are as follows: (i) UK Bonds In accordance with the advisors’ comments, we continued to avoid exposure to government fixed income. Gradually we are rolling out and extending exposure to short dated corporate bonds. (ii) Overseas Bonds Further investments were made in non core currencies, such as Norweigan Krone, Swiss Franc and Australian Dollar. We also, for the first time, have made a cautious initial investment in Chinese Yuan denominated securities. Members may recall from the previous meeting that it was reported that we are in a programme of reviewing our externally managed investments. One such investment was the UBS Absolute Return Bond Fund, during the 2007/8 financial crisis the manager suffered significant losses from exposure to various securitised debt instruments. Clearly, the manager summarily failed to achieve the stated aim of absolute return, although in fairness the manager suffered no further significant losses in value after 2008. After a due diligence process we concluded that the prospect of recovering these losses was highly unlikely, that the manager was not giving value and it was time to crystallise the loss. After discussing our intention with the manager the decision was taken by UBS to wind up the fund and return the proceeds to us. (iii) UK Equity In line with Advisor recommendations we continued to seek out opportunities to invest in periods of market weakness, favouring stocks with growth potential in developing economies. It is an ongoing frustration that these ‘windows of opportunity’ are so brief and infrequent, in this case a two week period in May. We increased our exposure to financials, favouring insurers, mining and oil services. (iv) Overseas Equity United States Our reticence to increase US Dollar exposure in bonds is counterbalanced by our long term goal of building out the US equity portfolio. Our sector strategy continues to favour increasing weightings in Oils, Utilities and Healthcare. Europe European markets simply watch and wait for exactly how the Euro crisis will be resolved. As we say every quarter, it will be for Germany to decide how much of the burden it is prepared to take to maintain monetary union. If it does agree to backstop the monetisation of other Eurozone nation’s liabilities the market will want to understand what action will be taken to create lasting stability, i.e. how fiscal union will be enforced. Our faith in a lasting solution is weak, having sold out our last exposure to Southern European banks. Japan As indicated in our previous report we opted to take a pause in view of how strong this market had been. This proved to be a prudent move as the market retracted some of the gains. We however offset these reversals once again as our unhedged Yen position moved in our favour. A key indicator we use to gauge the health of the Japanese economy (and to some extent manufacturing export led markets as a whole) is the Machine Orders index. The latest monthly orders data shows a disturbing fall of -15%. Once again Japan may end up applying further, often ineffective, economic stimulus. We are looking to streamline the externally managed elements of the Japanese portfolio and increase the emphasis on in house managed activity. Asia Pacific In a relatively quiet market we have increased exposure to Asian real estate, via Hong Kong and Singaporean markets. 6. FUND VALUATION 6.1 The Fund Valuation details all the investments of the Fund as at 30th June 2012, and is prepared by the Fund's custodian, Northern Trust. This is attached (Appendix B). The total value of all investments, including cash, is £2,517 million. This compares with the last reported valuation, as at 31st March 2012 of £2,588 million. 6.2 An analysis of the summary valuation shows the Fund’s percentage weightings in the various asset classes, compared with the Fund’s customised benchmark and the average of Local Authority funds (per WM 31.3.12). Asset Allocation Summary ASSET CLASS FUND BENCHMARK AVERAGE 14 18 22 UK EQUITY 38 35 27 OVERSEAS EQUITY 39 35 36 6 10 7 3 2 8 100 100 100 PROTECTION ASSETS (BONDS AND CASH) GROWTH ASSETS PROPERTY ALTERNATIVES TOTAL CONTACT OFFICER: Andy Hill Fund Manager Tel (01642) 729023 For data sources and methodology of return calculations please call the contact officer