Guide – Options Appraisals

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PROGRAMMES

Guide

Options Appraisals

Contents

OPTIONS APPRAISAL

......................................................................................................................................... 3

W HAT D OES I T M EAN ........................................................................................................................................... 3

W HAT ’ S I N I T ......................................................................................................................................................... 3

C ASE R OADMAP ..................................................................................................................................................... 4

S TORY R OADMAP

.................................................................................................................................................. 8

CONFIGURATION MANAGEMENT .................................................................................................................... 10

D OCUMENT C ONTROL .............................................................................................................................................. 10

D OCUMENT H ISTORY ............................................................................................................................................... 10

R EFERENCES /D ERIVATION ....................................................................................................................................... 10

Guide - Options Appraisal

Objective Id: F2317970

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Options Appraisal

What Does It Mean

This is the process of comparing the options to determine how well they perform against each other in terms of both achieving the objectives and costs of delivering them. The norm is to take as the status quo either “Do Nothing” or “Do Minimum” to serve as a baseline for the comparisons.

What’s In It

You need to understand following for options appraisal:

Affordability

Assessment

Assumption

Baseline

Benefits/Savings

Benefits Presence

Capital

Costs

CPAM

Disbenefit

Discount

Distribution

Do Minimum

Do Nothing

Economic Appraisal

Equivalent annual cost (EAC)

Extent of benefit/saving

Financial Appraisal

Net present value (cost)

Objectives

Optimism bias

Options

Preferred option

Preferred solution

Relative value

Requirements

Revenue

Risks

Risk Presence

Saving

Scores

Sensitivity

Shortlist

Status quo

Success factors

Value for money

Guide - Options Appraisal

Objective Id: F2317970

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Case Roadmap

The following table shows the relevance of options appraisal in the context of the main eHealth business case stages:

Task Initial Agreement Outline Business Case Full Business Case

Affordability

Indicative cost estimation and

Benefits

Presence

potential funding with constraints and conditions

Approval

Assessment/

Appraisal

Baseline

Engage with stakeholders and agree the building blocks e.g.

Approved Investment Map etc

Identification of shortlist and initial assessment benefits, costs and risks against the options

Initial identification of the status quo option - do nothing or minimum

Negotiate with Stakeholders and update the building blocks details as appropriate

Assessment of status quo to provide baseline values for options comparison based on benefits, costs, risks and assumptions

Engage Stakeholders and finalise the building blocks, measures, approach and conditions for the project/service

Undertake full assessment of the shortlist options - benefits, risks, ability to deliver and value for money

Finalised agreed results of the assessment of the shortlist options - benefits, risks, ability to deliver and value for money including variants of the preferred option that identified the preferred solution

Finalised assessment results for the status quo option

Initial identification of the benefits presence in the options and the extent within the shortlist options

Reduction of estimation and replacement with actual costs. The realisation of benefits during the project to reduce budget requirements and improve affordability

Finalisation of costs based on acceptable assumptions, minimal estimates, known pricing and conditions including redeployment of savings to offset costs

Full assessment of the shortlist options to determine the extent to which benefits/ savings are present in each and the relative value / scores for each

Finalises benefits presence results - scores and monetary values for the preferred solution

Guide - Options Appraisal

Objective Id: F2317970

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Ben

Sa v efits/ in gs

Contractual

CPAM

Costs

Pros of options are considered i.e. what makes each option worthwhile

Detailed assessment of the presence in and monetary value/ non-financial score for each option

Financial benefits used to reduce funding requirements agreed non-monetary scores used to determine best value for money

Identify the market potential and possible procurement options

Prepare cost estimates based on initial investigation of internal and external supplier options

Assess the procurement options developing a model for sourcing the preferred option as an appropriate solution

Finalise the contract based on the optimum CPAM option and agree the implementation / service delivery plan

Determine the costs of the shortlist options reducing the level of estimate and replacing with actual costs

N.B. Consider benefits/ savings, risks and market prices

Total actual costs are documented

Distribution

Initial identification of potential to

Economic

Appraisal

distribute risks

Initial consideration of the service investment length potential value for money of the shortlist options

Updated risk distribution calculations and agreements

Finalised agreement of distribution of risks

Detailed assessment of all the shortlist options taking into account costs, benefits/ savings potential, risks, nonmonetary benefits and value for money over time

Finalised agreement on the preferred solution based on value for money including the optimised CPAM version if appropriate

Financial

Appraisal

Initial cost estimates based on status quo knowledge and identified market costs which could include indicative costs as requested from potential suppliers etc The potential and committed finding that could make the change affordable

The total cost of each option is identified and funding comparisons made based on terms and conditions for commitment and redeployment

The finalised costs, funding agreements and savings offsets to ensure the payments schedule is met timely throughout the service investment life

N.B. Includes mitigation costs as agreed with the stakeholders

Objectives

Assessment of every option’s ability Examines the extent to which each Finalised agreement of the objectives

Guide - Options Appraisal

Objective Id: F2317970

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Options

to satisfy the change objectives – strategic and business

Optimism Bias

Identification of all estimates with potential for optimisation providing appropriate uplifts, based on high optimism bias factors, to redress misunderstanding due to underestimating shortlist option can achieve the objectives determining the value for money of the option based on the preferred solution represents the best value for money based on affordablility

Improved knowledge reducing assumptions and estimates and hence the optimism bias factor adjustments that are required separately for every shortlist option

Finalised costs including minimal potential for optimism bias and most appropriate knowledge based allowance for overly optimistic calculations

Identify a wide range of options that meet the benefits objectives/criteria

Uses assessment of benefits, risks and costs to determine the preferred option based on value for money

Reassessment of options based on updates since the previous BC

Requirements

Uses the significance of requirements to determine which options should be in the shortlist and an initial assessment of how and to what extent the requirements might be met

Examines the extent to which each option can or cannot meet the individual requirements assigning scores and monetary values as appropriate. Sets the baseline based on the status quo’s costs and ability to deliver

Finalised requirements agreement based on what the extent to which the preferred option can deliver within the affordability timetable and payment schedule constraints

Risks

Indicative cost estimates of allowances for financial risks including contingencies and mitigation

Risks Presence

Initial risk presence assessment of the shortlist options determining and an estimate of costs and score values

Revised costs of and allowances for financial risks including contingencies and mitigation

Finalised costs and allowances:

for mitigating risks (contingencies, distribution etc)

of accepted risks

Assess the shortlist options and determine the extent to which risks are present in each interpreted as monetary values and scores for financial and non-financial risks respectively

Finalised values and scores of the risks presence in the preferred solution

Guide - Options Appraisal

Objective Id: F2317970

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Scores

Early estimates based on nonmonetary benefits and risks for all shortlist options

Sensitivity

Initial consideration of variants of assumptions impact on shortlist options

Calculate the non-monetary scores, benefits and risks, for each shortlist option as follows:

Before Optimism Bias

Before sensitivity Analysis

Net Present Value - post optimism bias and sensitivity analysis

N.B. For all shortlist options

For assumptions significant to the options appraisal apply modelling to investigate the impact on the options both separately and combined i.e. vary the value/degree/level of the assumption(s) identify the level of stability of preferred option(s) and base recommendations on most appropriate conditions

Finalised non-monetary score values updated since the outline business case

Results of reassessment based on changes since previous business case

Success Factors

Value

Agree and define the critical success factors

Assess and refine the success factors

- update critical list

Finalise the success factors and include in plans

Early estimates based on benefits, savings, risks and costs for all shortlist options

Calculate the financial cost values for each shortlist option as follows:

Before Optimism Bias

Before sensitivity Analysis

Net Present Value - post optimism bias and sensitivity analysis

N.B. For all shortlist options

Finalised financial cost values updated since the outline business case

Guide - Options Appraisal

Objective Id: F2317970

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N.B.

There could be more than one iteration of the OBC and/or FBC. The more accomplished during the OBC stage the less remaining for the FBC. It is possible that with the exception of the finalisation of the procurement adjusted option no options appraisal work be required in the FBC.

Story Roadmap

Task

Affordability

Strategic Economic Commercial Financial Managerial

– – – √ –

Approval

Assessment/ Appraisal

Baseline

Benefits Presence

Benefits/ Savings

Contractual (CPAM)

Costs

Distributional

Economic Appraisal

Financial Appraisal

Guide - Options Appraisal

Objective Id: F2317970

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Objectives

Optimism Bias

Options

Requirements

Risks

Risks Presence

Scores

Sensitivity

Success Factors

Value

Guide - Options Appraisal

Objective Id: F2317970

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Configuration Management

Document Control

Title:

Document Reference:

Version:

Guide - Options Appraisals

F2317970

0.1

Reason for last change: Draft

Date: 21 st March 2011

Security Class:

Title / Author:

Title / Owner:

0

Interim eHealth Commissioning Manager - Ian

Hamilton eHealth Head of Programmes - Lesly Donovan

Document History

Version

No.

Date

References/Derivation

Reference

Details of Changes included in Update

Objective

ID

Title

Highlight /

Tracking

Guide - Options Appraisals 10

Objective id: F2317970

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