International Journal of Emerging Technology and Advanced Engineering Website: www.ijetae.com (ISSN 2250-2459, Volume 2, Issue 11, November 2012) Seismic Hazard And Its Mitigation, A Review Dr. Th. Kiranbala Devi Faculty, Manipur Institute of Technology,Manipur University Abstract - Rapid growth of development accompanied with unabated construction of buildings and infrastructures. With the numerous raise of buildings and infrastructures earthquake hazards become one of the most devastating natural hazards as in earthquake majority of the casualty and damages are caused due to the collapse of buildings and structures. The earthquake hazards cannot be changed or prevented but its destructions can be mitigated with the concerted efforts of planners, administrators, engineers, architects, builders, promoters etc. After the Yokohama strategy for safer world in 1994, there is paradigm shift from post disaster reconstruction and relief to pre disaster pro-active approach to reduce the impact of natural hazards. It should be a continuous process of all the interlinked activities - pre-earthquake (preparation & planning), during earthquake (emergency response) and post earthquake (recovery and rebuilding) measures. A systematic approach of pre-earthquake measures beginning with the awareness campaign about the earthquake and preparedness for hazards , effective emergency evacuation, relief and rehabilitation plans, invocation of legal measures and directives to adopt for earthquake resistant design as mandatory for new structures. Vulnerability assessment of existing structures and providing retrofitting to these structures starting with the most vulnerable of the most important ones is considered as very important action to be taken up to reduce the impact of disasters caused due to the collapse of structures in an earthquake are the main features of adopting earthquake disaster mitigation. After earthquake, the damaged structures are needed to be reconstructed and strengthened and make it fit & save to dwell. Other than these counselling is also considered as important for removal of fear psychosis. Since the Yokohama strategy and plan of action for a safer world, 1994 was adopted, there have been about 7,100 disasters resulting from natural hazards around the world. They have killed more than 300,000 people and caused more than US$800 billion in loss. Some estimates suggest that well over 200 million people have been affected every year by natural disasters since 1991. Earthquakes are one of the worst among the natural disasters. About 1 lakh earthquakes of magnitude more than 3 hit the earth every year. According to conservative estimate more 15 million human lives have been lost and damage worth 100 billon dollars have been inflicted due to this in the recorded history although earthquake disaster accounted for only 15 percent of the recorded events during the past 10 years, they resulted in the one third of the 300,000 fatalities of the natural disasters. A sequence of highly destructive and deadly earthquakes between 1999 and 2004 raised public outcry about the needlessly high number of fatalities and lack of public safety afforded to public facilities specially schools. The occurrence of earthquakes can be explained with the concept of “plate tectonics” based on the three broad categories of earthquakes (1) Those occurring at the subduction/collision Zone (Inter-plates) (2) Those at midoceanic ridges and (3) Those at intra plates (Acharrya, 1999). Earthquakes cannot be predicted, but seismologists are, however, in a position to indicate the possibility of recurrence of earthquakes in potentially large areas based on palaeoseismicity, micro seismic activities and precursors. Keywords - Retrofitting, Seismic Hazard, Catastrophe, Vulnerability, Disaster. Table I Some of the catastrophic earthquake of the world Place 1) Kangra 2) Bihar Nepal Border 3) Tangsham, China 4) Mexico I. INTRODUCTION Natural disasters like earthquake, landslide flood, draught, cyclone, forest fire, volcanic eruption and major accidents are quite common in different part of the world. These lead to the loss of life, property damage and socioeconomic destruction. Such impact of destruction in terms of human and economic loses has risen in the recent years and society in general has become more vulnerable to natural disaster due to the rapid growth of population and development accompanied with unabated construction of buildings and infrastructures. 5) Killari (Latur) 6) Bhuj, Gujarat 7) Sumatra, Indonesia 8) Japan 517 Year April 4, 1905 Jan 1, 1934 Magnitude 8.6 8.4 Casually >20,000 >10,653 July 26, 1976 7.8 >3 lakhs September19, 1985 September30, 1993 January26, 2001 8.1 >10,000 6.4 >10,000 6.9 >19,500 December26, 2001 March 11, 2011 9.3 >15,500 (In India) >11,000 8.9 International Journal of Emerging Technology and Advanced Engineering Website: www.ijetae.com (ISSN 2250-2459, Volume 2, Issue 11, November 2012) The precise prediction of earthquakes in terms of space and time is not possible Moreover prediction may not be helpful in avoiding or reducing damages caused by earthquakes because building and structures cannot be evacuated. It can, at the most be helpful in saving human lives. The disastrous effects of these however can be minimised considerably through scientific understanding of their nature, causes, frequency magnitude and area of influence. Therefore, earthquakes disaster mitigation and preparedness strategies are the need of the hour to fight and reduce its miseries to mankind. II. A. Preparedness: (Pre-earthquake measures) It is always more cost effective to adopt appropriate mitigation measures in advance than to spend a large sum of money on relief, recovery and rehabilitation. Disaster preparedness includes all of the activities that are carried out prior to the advance notice of a catastrophe in order to facilitate the use of available resources, relief and rehabilitation in the best possible fashion. B. Awareness Campaign: It is needed to be launched effectively to educate the people about the disastrous effects of earthquakes and to prepare them to face these in a better way. Prevention and mitigation begins with the information. Moreover, public education and community participation is the key to success of the implementation of reduction and mitigation programmes. However, awareness of the potential benefits of disaster reduction is found limited to specialised circle and has not yet been successfully communicated to all sectors of society, in particular policymakers and general public. This is due to the lack of attention for the issue in sufficient commitment and resources for promotional activities at all levels. These shortcomings have to be addressed by involvement of people representation from all shorts of individuals, groups, society, professional, administrator, NGOs, etc. C. Development Policy: Disaster prevention and preparedness should be considered as integral aspect in the formation of Development policy and planning at all level (national, regional bilateral, multilateral and international level) preparedness for seismic hazard involves sound emergency evacuation, relief and rehabilitation plans, which can be effectively used during a damaging earthquake mitigation and preparedness measures go hand in hand for vulnerability reduction and rapid professional response to disasters. The Bhuj earthquake in January 2001 faced several inadequacies in the system. The search and rescue team had not been trained professionally, specialized dog squad to look for line bodies under debris were not available; and there was no centralised resource inventory for emergency response. Specialist search and rescue team from other countries did reach Bhuj. However, precious time was lost and failed to act as quickly as desired. D. Techno Legal Measures: Techno legal measures have to be adopted to prevent earthquake disaster. These include a firmed land used policy, Enforcing of strict building bye laws following seismic construction codes, covering the aspect of ensuring technical implementation of the safety aspects in all new constructions and upgrading the strength of existing structurally vulnerable constructions. EARTHQUAKES H AZARDS AND M ITIGATION Majority of the casualty and damages during earthquakes are caused due to collapse of building and structures. This risk of seismic hazards become one of the most devastating natural hazard as the present trend of rapid growth of development accompanied with unabated construction of buildings and infrastructures. Rapid urbanisation shapes disaster risks through a complex association of concentrated population, social exclusion and poverty compounded by physical vulnerability. This can be seen in the consequences of unsuited land use, inadequate protection of urban infrastructures, ineffective building code enforcement, poor construction practice and limited opportunities to transfer or spread risk. The underlying problems of growing vulnerability to natural and technological hazards are largely an outcome of short-sighted development activities considering these factors, structural mitigation measures are the key to make a significant impact towards earthquakes safety in the word. The principal purpose of hazard mitigation is the protection of life, even when the risk to a single individual at any time is comparatively small. Concerned with the impact of natural disasters in the background of united Nation’s resolution and following the Yokohama Strategy for a Safer World, May,1994, there is paradigm shift from post disaster reconstruction and relief to post disaster pro-active approach to reduce the impact of natural hazards. Following the strategy, disaster prevention, mitigation and preparedness are emphasised as better option than disaster response in achieving the goals and objectives of vulnerability reduction. Disaster response alone is not sufficient as it yields only temporary results at a very high cost. However all the measures of pre-earthquake (preparedness/preparation & planning), during earthquakes (emergency and response) and post earthquake (recovery and rebuilding) should be a continuous and interlinked co-ordinated activities to achieve the maximum satisfactory result. 518 International Journal of Emerging Technology and Advanced Engineering Website: www.ijetae.com (ISSN 2250-2459, Volume 2, Issue 11, November 2012) The strict building bye laws may not only help to address any conflict of interest happened between the owners who pay for the structures, who tend to attend higher risk on the occurrence of earthquake rather than make large investment into extra safety measures for a large earthquake events that rarely happens. E. Retrofitting of Life Lline Building: Retrofitting of the existing vulnerable buildings should be taken on the priority basis like hospitals, schools, railways, administrative building, cinema halls, multi-storeyed apartments where people congregate at the most. III. The study will certainly useful to chalk out the most demanded actions to be taken up at the time of earthquake disaster, and guided in shaping the planning and approach to take up earthquake disaster mitigation effort effectively. CASE STUDY 1: GUJARAT EARTHQUAKE 2001. A powerful Earthquake of magnitude 6.9 on Richter Scale rocked the Western Indian state of Gujarat on 26 th January 2001.It caused extensive damage to life and properties. This earthquake was so devastating in its scale and suffering that likes of it had not been experienced in past 50 years. Leaving thousands seriously injured, bruised and handicapped, psychologically and economically. The epicentre of the earthquake was located at 23.6 north Latitude and 69.8 east Longitude, about 20 Km North East of Bhuj Town of Kutch district in Western Gujarat. At the depth of only 23 Km below surface this quake generated intense shaking which was felt in 70% region in India and far beyond in neighbouring Pakistan and Nepal too. EARTHQUAKE MEASURES 1. During Earthquake The action plan prepared during pre-earthquake period has to be implemented immediately after the occurrence of an earthquake. The volunteer groups/rescue/search teams have to be activated to carry out the relief work. The effected people need to be evacuated to the safer places. The communication and other essential services like water supply, electricity, transport, etc. ought to be restored on emergency basis. Supply of food items and essentials need to be taken up. Fastest means of communication (preferable helicopter) should be used to reach the remote villages. Overall vigilance need to be maintained after the main shock as it is usually followed by many aftershock. The public has to be informed about the development on an hourly basis. Effects of the Earthquake: The scale of the impact of the earthquake was so devastated that the shock or seismic waves spread out in a 700 Km circumference from the epicentre and within this area the devastation was immense. There was significant damage to infrastructures and human lives in this earthquake. More than 20,000 people including many medically trained personnel died and 1,67,000 people injured. 600,000 people were left homeless. 21 of the total 25 districts of the state were affected. Four Districts lay in ruin. 650 Km of National Highways damaged, 100Km were severed. Many minor and major bridges collapsed. In Bhuj city, more than 3000 lost their lives., the main hospital was crushed and 90% of the buildings were destroyed. Heavy damaged done to Railways, Station Buildings, bridges, residential quarters. 2. Post-Earthquake : Damage structures need to be reconstructed on war footing. The affected people ought to be rehabilitated. A comprehensive list of the safe and unsafe structures has to be made incorporating the details about their designing and method of construction. Loss of life and property need to be documented and published. Counselling need to be done to removes the fear psychosis. An in-depth evaluation of pre-earthquake measures needs to be done. Shortcomings, if any, need to be removed and plan, if required, may be modified. The assessment of the case study of the past earthquakes vividly showed the disastrous effects, causes of the major destructions, casualty, shortcomings in responses, remedial measures, action to be taken up in fighting earthquake disaster. Damaged to Buildings & Structures: Reinforced concrete multi- storey buildings in India , for the first time, have been subjected to a ground motion shaking in Bhuj earthquake(January 26, 2001). It has been observed that the principal reasons of failure may be accounted to soft stories, floating columns, mass irregularities, poor qualities of construction materials and faulty construction practices, inconsistence earth response, soil and foundation effect and pounding of adjacent structures. 519 International Journal of Emerging Technology and Advanced Engineering Website: www.ijetae.com (ISSN 2250-2459, Volume 2, Issue 11, November 2012) In Ahmedabad there are approximately 750 high-rise buildings out of which three G+10 buildings collapsed and 88 buildings of varying height up to G+4 have significantly been found damaged. The foundations in private buildings generally consist of an isolated footing with a depth about 1.5 m for G+4 buildings and 2.7 to 3.5 for G+10 buildings. The plan sizes of footing are usually 1.2m X 2.4m. There were no tie beams interconnecting the footing, and plinth beams connecting the column at the ground storey level. The isolated foundation have been designed assuming bearing capacity of soil as 250N/m2 though the investigation after the collapsed shows lower value at the foundation level (200KN/m2). It has been observed that most of the buildings are designed for gravity loads, with a few considering earthquake forces with ductile detailing practice. The materials used in the constructions were M15 grade concrete for G+4 storeyed buildings and M20 grade concrete for G+10 storeyed buildings with Fe 415 reinforcement. Remote villagers are being assisted to rebuild their traditional method of water collection, surface pools and shallow wells which had fallen in to despair. Increased water availability together with health education, improving food security, health and prosperity of the area. The Gujarat earthquake is very significant from the point of view earthquake disaster mitigation in India. The problems observed in this disaster are no different from other major recent earthquakes in the world. The issues in the recovery and reconstruction phases are: the proper understanding risk among different stake holders, training and confidence building among the professionals and masons with appropriate planning strategies. The quake has provided numerous examples of geo-technical and structural failures. The traditional wisdom of design and construction practices of engineered building prevalent in this country came under criticism for the first time. It has triggered comprehensive understanding on what needs to be done in this regard. CASE STUDY II: SIKKIM EARTHQUAKE, 2011. A powerful earthquake of 6.9 on Richter scale rocked Sikkim on September 18,2011. This earthquake caused huge destruction of property and loss of lives. The epicentre of the earthquake was located at 27.723 degree north Latitude and 88.064 east longitude, about 68 km north west of Gangtok, at the Depth of only 19.7 km below the surface. Though the magnitude of the earthquake was so high, by virtue of remoteness of the epicentre, sparse population and infrastructures, toll of life and destruction were not devastated as could be. The Response: The response within India was immediate. The National and State Governments quickly provided assistance in many forms, cash, medicines, foods, shelters, transports, relief workers etc. More than 185 NGOs with their trained personnel and volunteers sprang in to action. Search and Rescue teams soon arrived from Switzerland, Russia, United Kingdom, and Turkey to find and rescue the survivors buried under debris. Relief teams and essential goods supply soon come from 38 countries as well as United Nations agencies, may international NGOs, such as Red Cross. The Australian Government committed 2.5 million Australian Dollars to relief organization working in Gujarat to provide trauma counselors for the distressed, to set up aid distribution points for emergency foods, medicines, water, blankets, turpuline etc. to help thousands of children return to school, to build a 350 bed emergency hospital in Bhuj, to conduct widespread vaccination for disease like measles and to prevent diseases through emergency sanitation measures. Causes: The earthquake was caused due to the shallow strip-slip, faulting from an intraplate source within the over-riding Eurasian plate. Effects of the Earthquake: The impact of the earthquake was so great that the shock or seismic waves spread out in the entire Northeastern India, Bihar, West Bengal, Uttar Pradesh, Jharkhand and extend the effects even to the neighbouring countries like Nepal, Bhutan, Bangladesh and China. Rehabilitation: Three years after the devastation much has been rebuilt but there was still much for the effected persons to rebuild. Where previously houses may have been hurriedly built to meet shelter needs without recognizing local needs, now people being more involved with design and building of their new houses which are better able to withstand earthquakes. The windows are strengthened with steel frames. 87 people died in the earthquake, 70 in India, Seven in China, six in Nepal and one person in Bhutan. Many people were left homeless. 682 out of 779 school buildings were damaged. 6497 houses were damaged in the north Sikkim, the quake’s epicentre. 520 International Journal of Emerging Technology and Advanced Engineering Website: www.ijetae.com (ISSN 2250-2459, Volume 2, Issue 11, November 2012) Extensive damage was caused to National Highway -31(Siliguri to Gangtok) and NH-31A (Gangtok to Chungthang). More than 30 landslides were caused. NH-31A became fully operational only after more than a month. The barracks, buildings of Indo Tibetan Border Police(ITBP) stationed in Sikkim, who pioneered in the rescue operation were also badly damaged. The power supply was disrupted for little more than three days and water supply for about 13 days. The initial estimate of infrastructural damage in the state was approximately Rs.10,000 crore($22.3 billion). Most of the structure constructed under various projects undertaken in the villages were able to withstand the tremors, except those that were in the northern District, near the epicentre. However, there is a need to get vulnerability assessment of these buildings and get them rectified, even if it means reconstructing some of the buildings, specially schools, remembering the disastrous destruction in the northern part of the State. Government had started building of 6,000 durable houses , the primary need for rehabilitations . Funds has been made available to construct these houses. However, even after a year of the disastrous earthquake which struck the State, not a single house had been completed. The persistence of apathy of the Authority towards mitigation even after such a disastrous destruction would definitely put the state in tenterhook in the event of repeat of such natural disaster. Putting in mind the destruction aggravated , loss of lives suffered because of inaccessible conditions due to geographical, geophysical , poor connectivity etc. and being fallen in hazardous region, one of the most earthquake risk zone, a revamping approach to tackle natural hazards is highly demanded. The Response: The government machinery failed to take immediate responses on that fateful night of 18th September,2011.This earthquake completely exposed the ill-preparedness and unresponsive attitude of the Government forces to come to the rescue of valuable lives. The army units and ITBP battalions located in Sikkim were the first to response for search and rescue, first aid and for providing immediate relief. By this time crucial golden hour had long been elapsed. Had the Government/Authority responded immediately after the main tremors by requesting help from local uniform forces stationed in the state many precious lives could have been saved. NDMA (National Disaster Management Authority rushed 10 teams of NDRF to Sikkim by special planes for search and rescue operation. They reached Bagdogra between 0200 hr and 0300 hr on September 19, 2011. They could not proceed further from Siliguri to Gangtok as lone Highway , NH-31 was blocked by more than 30 landslides enroute and there is no airport in Sikkim. The NDRF could reach Gangtok late in the evening, more than 24 hrs after the earthquake had struck the state. The local volunteers consisting of young men and women helped in the search and rescue operations, guided the first responders from outside the state. They also managed the makeshift relief camps for those whose houses had either been destroyed, developed cracks or had been declared unsafe to live in. IV. CONCLUSION Earthquake hazard is one of the most deadly phenomenons which claimed the large number of lives without any warning. We can not prevent earthquake from occurring. Therefore, we have to learn to live with the earthquake hazard and try to minimise its adverse impact on human civilization. It has been observed that we think to this hazard only in the wake of the particular event and with the lapse of time, political, official and public interest diminishes. As a result a large amount of money is spent on relief and rehabilitation. 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