16TH M&A VALUATION TECHNIQUES FOR CFOs OCTOBER 8 AND 9, 2013 — TORONTO “VALUING ACQUISITION TARGETS ON A STAND-ALONE BASIS” Richard M. Wise, FCPA, FCA, FCBV, FASA, FRICS, MCBA, CVA Partner, Valuation & Litigation Support Group MNP LLP Montréal, Québec • Fair market value • Going-concern • Liquidation Business Valuation Valuation of Business Interests & Intangibles Litigation Support • M&A • Taxation • Reorganizations • Estate planning • Securities regs • Transfer pricing • Economic damages • Shareholder dissent & • • • • • • oppression IP Infringement Divorce Insurance claims Personal injury Wrongful dismissal Expert witness • Fair Value • Value to Owner GAAP • Fair value measurement • IFRS Richard1 M. Wise, FCPA, FCA, FCBV, FASA, FRICS, MCBA, CVA -1- 1 CLIENTS HAVE INCLUDED Abitibi-Consolidated Inc. Chiron Aeroplan Cossette Communication Group Air Canada CP Air Alliance Film Corporation CSX Amrop International Domtar Bank of Montreal Dufry International Bank of Nova Scotia Emersons BASF Fraser Companies Bell Canada Gainers Inc. Benjamin Moore Paints General Instrument Blasland, Bouck & Lee George Weston Limited Boralex Inc. Gildan Activewear BP America Global Communications Canadian Pacific Ltd. Guarantee Company of North America Richard M. Wise, FCPA, FCA, FCBV, FASA, FRICS, MCBA, CVA -2- CLIENTS HAVE INCLUDED (CONT’D) Honeywell Quebecor Hunter Douglas Radio Shack Ivaco Inc. Reitmans Keeprite Inc. Southam Publishing Kruger Inc. Telefilm Canada Lactantia Lamborghini Télémedia Inc. Lloyds of London Toronto-Dominion Bank Ultramar Value Creation Inc. Viking River Cruises Ltd. West Edmonton Mall Loblaw Companies Maple Leaf Gardens Limited Merck Michelin Tire Montreal Trust Westfair Foods National Sea Products Inc. Xerox Financial Corp. Richard M. Wise, FCPA, FCA, FCBV, FASA, FRICS, MCBA, CVA -3- 2 AUTHORITATIVE BOOKS AND CHAPTERS Co-Authored Guide to Canadian Business Valuations (Carswell) Richard M. Wise, FCPA, FCA, FCBV, FASA, FRICS, MCBA, CVA -4- COMPOSITION OF A BUSINESS ENTERPRISE Working Capital Other Tangible Assets Intellectual Property Other Intangible Assets Richard M. Wise, FCPA, FCA, FCBV, FASA, FRICS, MCBA, CVA -5- 3 THE BUSINESS ENTERPRISE EQUATION VALUE OF NET MONETARY ASSETS VALUE OF BUSINESS ENTERPRISE VALUE OF EQUITY + = VALUE OF TANGIBLE ASSETS + VALUE OF INTANGIBLE ASSETS Value of Underlying Assets + = VALUE OF LONG-TERM DEBT Value of Invested Capital Richard M. Wise, FCPA, FCA, FCBV, FASA, FRICS, MCBA, CVA -6- VALUATION APPROACHES Income-Based Market-Based Asset-Based Richard M. Wise, FCPA, FCA, FCBV, FASA, FRICS, MCBA, CVA -7- 4 INCOME APPROACH — METHODS Earnings Method (Capitalization of Earnings) Cash Flow Method (Capitalization of Cash Flow) Discounted Future Earnings Method Discounted Cash Flow Method Gross Revenues Method Richard M. Wise, FCPA, FCA, FCBV, FASA, FRICS, MCBA, CVA -8- VALUATION/PRICING CONSIDERATIONS INCOME-BASED APPROACH Valuation “formula” components Numerator (earnings, cash flow, EBITDA) Denominator (cap rate, discount rate, i.e., rate of return) Richard M. Wise, FCPA, FCA, FCBV, FASA, FRICS, MCBA, CVA -9- 5 INCOME APPROACH Earnings Method: Representative Earnings or Cash Flow Rate of Return OR DCF Method: Projected Stream of Future Benefits x Discount Rate Richard M. Wise, FCPA, FCA, FCBV, FASA, FRICS, MCBA, CVA - 10 - INCOME APPROACH — DCF ANALYSIS SELLER’S PROJECTIONS Assumptions go to heart of projections Often optimistic; can be unrealistic Assumptions must be scrutinized; sometimes challenged Purchaser should perform sensitivity analyses Richard M. Wise, FCPA, FCA, FCBV, FASA, FRICS, MCBA, CVA - 11 - 6 INCOME APPROACH — DCF ANALYSIS SELLER’S PROJECTIONS (CONT’D) Are assumptions realistic and consistent with: General economic environment and entity’s economic circumstances? Existing market information? Entity’s plans, including management’s expectations of outcome of specific objectives and strategies? Richard M. Wise, FCPA, FCA, FCBV, FASA, FRICS, MCBA, CVA - 12 - CAPITALIZATION RATE OR DISCOUNT RATE INCLUDES FOLLOWING COMPONENTS a. Risk-free rate b. Equity risk premium c. Illiquidity d. Size premium e. Company-specific risk premium Richard M. Wise, FCPA, FCA, FCBV, FASA, FRICS, MCBA, CVA - 13 - 7 DEVELOPING RATE OF RETURN (DISCOUNT RATE OR CAPITALIZATION RATE) “BUILD-UP METHOD” — EXAMPLE (Rates for illustrative purposes only) (After-Tax) 17.9% FACTOR Industry- or BusinessSpecific Risk BUILD-UP Impact of “Size” 3.7 CompanySpecific Risk Factors Illiquidity Factor Equity Risk Premium 7.1 0.4 Market Rate of Return Risk-Free Rate 3.6 3.1 RATE OF RETURN — WEIGHTED AVERAGE COST OF CAPITAL Determine appropriate capital structure Consider comparable companies for benchmark Consider whether control or minority interest being value Calculate cost-of-equity component (to arrive at equity rate of return) Build-Up Method, or Capital Asset Pricing Model Calculate cost-of-debt component (to arrive at interest rate) Richard M. Wise, FCPA, FCA, FCBV, FASA, FRICS, MCBA, CVA - 15 - 8 VALUATION APPROACHES Market-Based Guideline Public Company Method Guideline Transactions Method Past transactions in the subject shares Richard M. Wise, FCPA, FCA, FCBV, FASA, FRICS, MCBA, CVA - 16 - Market Approach Guideline Public Company Method Guideline Transactions Method Prior Transactions in Shares of Subject Company Richard M. Wise, FCPA, FCA, FCBV, FASA, FRICS, MCBA, CVA - 17 - 9 GUIDELINE PUBLIC COMPANY METHOD Method within Market Approach whereby market multiples (Valuation Ratios) derived from market prices of stocks of companies engaged in same or similar lines of business, and actively traded on a free and open market. International Glossary of Business Valuation Terms, 2001. Richard M. Wise, FCPA, FCA, FCBV, FASA, FRICS, MCBA, CVA - 18 - MARKET APPROACH VALUATION RATIOS Comparisons normally made through use of Valuation Ratios “Valuation Ratio”: “fraction in which a value or price serves as numerator and financial, operating, or physical data serves as denominator” (International Glossary of Business Valuation Terms) Richard M. Wise, FCPA, FCA, FCBV, FASA, FRICS, MCBA, CVA - 19 - 10 MARKET APPROACH (CONT’D) In using Valuation Ratios, care is exercised in: Selection of underlying data Choice of time periods and/or averaging methods in using such data Timing of price data (in relation to valuation date) How Valuation Ratios selected How Valuation Ratios applied to underlying data Richard M. Wise, FCPA, FCA, FCBV, FASA, FRICS, MCBA, CVA - 20 - USE OF VALUATION RATIOS Importance of Valuation Ratios can vary by industry Book value multiples considered for companies when assets are significant determinants of value Revenue multiples often used for service businesses Multiples relied on for pricing purposes in particular industry typically clustered within fairly narrow range Wide dispersion of multiples often indicates Valuation Ratio might not be meaningful for industry Richard M. Wise, FCPA, FCA, FCBV, FASA, FRICS, MCBA, CVA - 21 - 11 IN WHICH MARKET WILL TRANSACTION OCCUR? Principal Market Most Advantageous Market Greatest Volume and Level of Activity Price Maximization Including Highest & Best Use Pool of Market Participants Other Market Participants Ordinary Purchasers Special Purchasers 1, 2 or more Richard M. Wise, FCPA, FCA, FCBV, FASA, FRICS, MCBA, CVA - 22 - EXAMPLES OF MARKETS Example 1: Parking lot operation on ABC land vs Apartment building/condo development on ABC land Example 2: Summer camp on XYZ land vs Condos or resort hotel on XYZ land Richard M. Wise, FCPA, FCA, FCBV, FASA, FRICS, MCBA, CVA - 23 - 12 MARKETS, PRICES AND INFORMATION AVAILABLE Public Companies Private Companies Organized market Not organized* Regulated market Not regulated Liquid market Illiquid* Trading prices/ patterns (active vs thin) No frequent share transactions * May be affected by Shareholders’ Buy/Sell Agreements. Richard M. Wise, FCPA, FCA, FCBV, FASA, FRICS, MCBA, CVA - 24 - MARKETS, PRICES AND INFORMATION AVAILABLE (CONT’D) Public Companies No reference price No quoted market/ liquid price Limited information/ disclosure Private Companies Takeover bids influenced by stock market price Company's stock price may influence offer/bid Required information disclosure with regulators Richard M. Wise, FCPA, FCA, FCBV, FASA, FRICS, MCBA, CVA - 25 - 13 MARKETS, PRICES AND INFORMATION AVAILABLE (CONT’D) Public Companies Takeover information not publicly available No published reports No competing bids Private Companies Disclosure of information on takeover Investment analysts’ reports Competing bids may surface due to publicity Richard M. Wise, FCPA, FCA, FCBV, FASA, FRICS, MCBA, CVA - 26 - MARKETS, PRICES AND INFORMATION AVAILABLE (CONT’D) Public Companies Private Companies Shareholders generally Shareholders not active; active; have much information re plans and policy Investors consider potential strategic benefits In takeover, purchaser has much information regarding target have little information re business plans, strategy Stock market investors do not formulate policy In takeover bid, purchaser relies on filings, analyses, etc. (after, will do pre-closing due-diligence) Richard M. Wise, FCPA, FCA, FCBV, FASA, FRICS, MCBA, CVA - 27 - 14 MARKET APPROACH IF RELYING ON (“GUIDELINE”) TRANSACTIONAL DATA, YOU MUST KNOW ABOUT Seller’s motives Buyer’s motives Special/strategic buyers vs financial/ordinary buyers Redundant assets, if any, included in price Tax structuring Other “consideration” included in/excluded from transaction “price”: Consulting agreement with seller Non-compete covenant with vendor Earn-out provision Richard M. Wise, FCPA, FCA, FCBV, FASA, FRICS, MCBA, CVA - 28 - VALUATION APPROACHES Asset-Based Going-concern Liquidation Forced Orderly Richard M. Wise, FCPA, FCA, FCBV, FASA, FRICS, MCBA, CVA - 29 - 15 ASSET APPROACH Adjusted Balance Sheet Method (Adjusted Shareholders’ Equity Method) Minority shareholder issues e.g., Can shareholder access company’s assets (prior to liquidation or distribution by controlling shareholder(s))? Richard M. Wise, FCPA, FCA, FCBV, FASA, FRICS, MCBA, CVA - 30 - “FAIR MARKET VALUE” RELATIVE LEVELS OF VALUE Strategic Control Value Enterprise Level Strategic-Control Premium Financial Control Value Financial-Control Premium Minority Discount Shareholder Level Marketable Minority Value Discount for Lack of Marketability Non–Marketable Minority Value Richard M. Wise, FCPA, FCA, FCBV, FASA, FRICS, MCBA, CVA - 31 - 16 TEN MOST VALUABLE GLOBAL BRANDS — 2012 ($ U.S. BILLIONS — SOURCES: INTERBRAND, S&P CAPITAL IQ) Rank Brand 10 Toyota Estimated Value Book Value of Intangible Assets (Balance Sheet) Market Capitalization (January 10/13) Book Value of Shareholders’ Equity (Balance Sheet) 30.3 - 153.0 144.6 9 32.9 3.3 189.4 104.7 8 39.4 15.8 108.2 49.3 7 McDonald’s 40.1 2.7 91.8 13.9 6 GE 43.7 57.5 222.0 128.0 TEN MOST VALUABLE GLOBAL BRANDS — 2012 ($ U.S. Billions — SOURCES: INTERBRAND, S&P CAPITAL IQ) Rank Brand 5 Microsoft 4 Market Capitalization (January 10/13) Book Value of Shareholders’ Equity (Balance Sheet) Estimated Value Book Value of Intangible Assets (Balance Sheet) 57.9 17.9 222.7 68.8 69.7 18.2 242.5 68.0 3 IBM 75.5 31.8 217.3 21.7 2 Apple 76.6 5.4 485.6 118.2 1 Coca-Cola 77.8 27.8 166.1 33.6 17 VALUATION METHODOLOGY FOR INTELLECTUAL PROPERTY Income Approach: Present value of future benefits Market Approach: “Guideline” transactions Avoided Cost Approach: Relief-fromroyalty method Richard M. Wise, FCPA, FCA, FCBV, FASA, FRICS, MCBA, CVA - 34 - QUESTIONS? Richard M. Wise FCPA, FCA, FCBV, FASA, FRICS, MCBA, CVA Partner, Valuation & Litigation Support Group 1155. René-Lévesque Boulevard West 19th Floor Montréal, Québec H3B 2J8 Telephone: 514.861.9724 Fax: 514.861.9446 Toll-Free: 1.888.861.9724 E-mail: richard.wise@mnp.ca mnp.ca ACCOUNTING › CONSULTING › TAX Richard M. Wise, FCPA, FCA, FCBV, FASA, FRICS, MCBA, CVA 18