Cash Flow Forecast Scenario Computer Supercentre Ltd have asked you to help them draw up a Cash Flow Forecast for their business for the next Sixth Months Their expected sales are estimated to be: £50,000 in January, February, May & June; £100,000 in March and £150,000 in April. The owners plan to invest £20,000 and get a Bank Loan of £120,000 in January. The expected production costs are estimated to be: £10,000 in January, February, May & June; £20,000 in March and £30,000 in April. Wages and Salaries are estimated to be: £20,000 in the first two months and £40,000 thereafter. Gas and Electricity is expected to stay constant at £5,000 throughout the period. Admin costs are expected to stay constant at £2,000 throughout the period. The Marketing costs are expected to be £2,000 in January, February and March; £5,000 in April and May and £10,000 in June. Bank Loan repayments will be £5,000 each month, but will start in February. Bank Loan interest will be £1,000 each month. Equipment is expected to be purchased in February only at a cost of £140,000. Cash Flow Forecast for Computer Supercentre Ltd for Jan – June (£000) Key (to help) MONEY IN Sales A B C D = (A+B+C) Capital from Owners Bank Loan TOTAL MONEY IN JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN 50 50 100 150 50 50 20 0 0 0 0 0 120 190 0 50 0 100 0 150 0 50 0 50 MONEY OUT E Production Costs F Wages/Salaries G Gas and Electricity H Admin costs I Marketing J Bank Loan repayments K Bank Loan interest L Equipment M = TOTAL (E+F+G+H+I+J+K+L) MONEY OUT N = (D-M) O P = (O+N) NET CASH FLOW OPENING BALANCE CLOSING BALANCE 0 Activity: Fill in the white spaces based on the above Cash Flow Forecast PROFIT AND LOSS ACCOUNT FOR COMPUTER SUPERCENTRE LTD FOR YEAR ENDING 31ST JUNE 2013 £ Sales Revenue Less Cost of Sales Opening Stock 20,000 90,000 Closing Stock 20,000 Gross Profit Expenses 200,000 30,000 12,000 26,000 Loan interest 6,000 Depreciation 6,000 £ TOPIC F – FINANCE - REVISION NOTES WHY IS FINANCE NEEDED? • For start-up – to fund start-up costs e.g. the purchase of fixed assets. • Cash Flow – to pay for the running costs of a business, e.g. wages/salaries. • Renewal – most machinery and equipment has a limited life expectancy and will at some stage need replacing • Expansion – finance is needed to fund the expansion of the business, e.g. funds to set up an additional shop. SOURCES OF FINANCE • INTERNAL SOURCES OF FINANCE – o Owner’s funds o Additional partners o Reinvested profits o Share Capital • EXTERNAL SOURCES OF FINANCE o Bank Overdraft o Bank Loans (e.g. mortgage) o Hire Purchase o Trade Credit o Leasing or renting o Government grants COSTS • START-UP COSTS These have to be paid when setting up a new business (or when an existing business decides to expand). Most of these costs will be paid out before the business starts to trade. Examples include: o Buying in machinery/equipment o Shop fixtures and fittings • RUNNING COSTS Once the business has started to trade, many costs will have to be paid out at regular intervals to keep the business running. These can be split into two categories: • FIXED COSTS – Those costs which do not vary if the business produces more goods. Fixed costs still have to be paid even if output is zero. Sometimes referred to as OVERHEADS. Examples include: o Rent o Interest on loans o Salaries o Insurance payments • VARIABLE COSTS – These costs change directly with output. If a business increases its output of a good, its variable costs will rise. Examples include: o Raw materials o Packaging o Wages (can be both a fixed cost and a variable cost) CASH FLOW STATEMENTS AND FORECASTS A Cash Flow Forecast is an estimate of what might happen to cash flow. It is prediction of cash flow in the future. A Cash Flow Statement is a record of the cash inflows and outflows to a business in the past. • THE USE OF CASH FLOW FORECASTS o Businesses use them to plan future strategy o To seek loans from banks • IMPROVING CASH FLOW - A business which doesn’t have enough cash has a LIQUIDITY PROBLEM. There are various ways a business can improve its cash flow situation: o Injection of cash from a source of finance, e.g. bank loan or from a shareholder. o Delay paying bills for as long as possible o Lower costs – e.g. reduce stock levels. Example Cash Flow Forecast (Solution to Revision Activity) Cash Flow Forecast for Computer Supercentre Ltd for Jan – June (£000) JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN MONEY IN Sales 50 50 100 150 50 50 Capital from Owners 20 0 0 0 0 0 Bank Loan TOTAL MONEY IN 120 190 0 50 0 100 0 150 0 50 0 50 Production Costs Wages/Salaries Gas and Electricity Admin costs Marketing Bank Loan repayments Bank Loan interest 10 20 5 2 2 0 1 10 20 5 2 2 5 1 20 40 5 2 2 5 1 30 40 5 2 5 5 1 10 40 5 2 5 5 1 10 40 5 2 10 5 1 Equipment TOTAL MONEY OUT 0 40 140 185 0 75 0 88 0 68 0 73 NET CASH FLOW 150 (135) 25 62 (18) (23) OPENING BALANCE 0 151 16 41 103 85 CLOSING BALANCE 150 16 41 103 85 61 MONEY OUT TRADING, PROFIT AND LOSS ACCOUNTS The purpose of the Trading, Profit and Loss account is to: • Show whether a business has made a PROFIT or LOSS over a financial year. • Show how the profit or loss arose – e.g. categorising costs between “cost of sales” and “expenses”. A Profit and Loss account starts with the TRADING ACCOUNT and then takes into account all the other expenses associated with the business. (Source: Tutor2u.net) Example Trading, Profit and Loss Account (Solution to Revision Activity) A Trading, Profit and Loss Account for Computer Supercentre Ltd for period ended 30.6.13 £ Sales Turnover LESS Cost of Sales Opening Stock Purchases Closing Stock £ 450,000 20,000 90,000 20,000 90,000 Gross Profit Expenses Wages/Salaries Gas and Electricity Admin costs Marketing Bank Loan interest Depreciation 360,000 200,000 30,000 12,000 26,000 6,000 6,000 280,000 Net Profit 80,000 BREAK-EVEN The BREAK-EVEN POINT is the level of sales where the total costs of making the items equals the total revenue received from selling them. Above this point, a profit may be achieved while below it a loss may be made. CALCULATING BREAK-EVEN The below calculations show the break-even point for Computer Supercentre Ltd. • BY TABLE UNITS TOTAL VARIABLE REVENUE(£) COSTS(£) FIXED COSTS(£) TOTAL COSTS(£) PROFIT/LOSS (£) 0 1 0 500 0 100 280,000 280,000 280,000 280,100 (280,000) (279,600) 10 5,000 1,000 280,000 281,000 (276,000) 100 50,000 10,000 280,000 290,000 (240,000) 200 100,000 20,000 280,000 300,000 (200,000) 300 400 500 600 700 150,000 200,000 250,000 300,000 350,000 30,000 40,000 50,000 60,000 70,000 280,000 280,000 280,000 280,000 280,000 310,000 320,000 330,000 340,000 350,000 (160,000) (120,000) (80,000) (40,000) 0 800 400,000 80,000 280,000 360,000 40,000 900 1000 450,000 500,000 90,000 100,000 280,000 280,000 370,000 380,000 80,000 120,00 • BY CHART • BY FORMULA Break-even point = Fixed Costs Price per unit - Variable cost per item = 280,000 = 700 units 500 – 100 WHY IS IT IMPORTANT FOR A BUSINESS TO KNOW THE BREAKEVEN POINT? • To show a business how much has to be sold, over a certain period of time, for its costs to equal its revenue • This point will show a business when it could start to make a profit and it will be an important target for new businesses. • Helps a business to spot problems, such as: o If its fixed costs are too high o If its variable costs are too high o If its revenue is too low • Spotting these problems can help businesses to take action to put them right, e.g. changing prices, cutting costs, or increasing sales. BALANCE SHEETS Balance sheets provide a snap shot of the assets and liabilities of a business at a point of time. The Balance Sheet has three main parts: • ASSETS – everything that a business owns • LIABILITIES – everything that a business owes • CAPITAL – the different forms and sources of money in a business WHAT IS THE PURPOSE OF A BALANCE SHEET? • To show wealth or value of the business at the moment in time. • To show the owners and managers how well the business is doing: o It can help measure the business’s cash position o It can allow comparisons to be made with previous years and similar businesses. • Checking the performance of the business might help with key decision making. • It is a legal requirement for companies. Please note that the Balance Sheet overleaf is in a slightly different format to the one in the Topic F notes. Either method is acceptable. Balance Sheet for Computer Supercentre Ltd as at 31st June 2013 £ FIXED ASSETS Premises Equipment Fixtures and Fittings £ 500,000 136,000 64,000 700,000 CURRENT ASSETS Stocks Cash in Bank Debtors 20,000 62,000 8,000 90,000 LESS CURRENT LIABILITIES Trade Creditors Expenses Owing 10,000 30,000 40,000 NET CURRENT ASSETS LESS LONG TERM LIABILITIES Bank Loan 50,000 95,000 NET ASSETS FINANCED BY: CAPITAL EMPLOYED Share Capital Retained Profits 95,000 655,000 575,000 80,000 655,000 BUSINESS RATIOS WHO WILL NEED TO KNOW HOW A BUSINESS IS DOING? • OWNERS – to see if they are getting a good return on their investment • MANAGERS – they have a responsibility to the owners to make the business perform well • EMPLOYEES – will want to keep their jobs • CREDITORS – any organisation that lends money will want to be sure that the money will be repaid, with interest • CUSTOMERS – want the business to continue to supply them with products • GOVERNMENTS – the higher the profit, the more tax the government receives. THE RATIOS • GROSS PROFIT MARGIN = Gross Profit x 100 Sales Revenue This shows how much gross profit a business earns per £ of sales revenue. • NET PROFIT MARGIN = Net Profit x 100 Sales Revenue This shows how much net profit a business earns per £ of sales revenue. Revision notes adapted from Business Studies B by Denby and Thomas (2001), GCSE Business Studies by Anderton (2001) and tutor2u.net