CONSUMER GOODS SECTOR To Be The Best, You’ve Got to Beat The Best Consumers seldom, if ever, make a monadic purchase decision. Explicitly or intuitively, nearly every product is compared to something else. With remarkable speed, individuals contrast the new offering to the products they consider the most relevant competition. Even “New to the World” products, not withstanding their pithy title, typically have some informal reference point for the consumer – at least in terms of satisfying a need or solving a problem. To paraphrase Einstein “Everything is relative.” Of course most marketing professionals are acutely aware of this phenomenon. In fact, Michael Porter in his seminal book Competitive Advantage1 defined success as simply “outperforming the competition on dimensions that add value to the consumer.” Porter clearly emphasizes the importance, however difficult, of breaking through the clutter of the marketplace and gaining relative preference versus the competition on some salient dimension. Steve Perry Marketplace Clutter – One Problem, Many Solutions Senior Vice President, Client Service Ipsos Marketing The art, of course, is understanding the competition from the perspective of the consumer. To what is your product being compared – what is their competitive context? steve.perry@ipsos.com The answer can be intricate. The choices facing today’s consumer are numerous and varied. Advertising and promotion fight for share of voice, merchandisers and retailers strive to build a ubiquitous sense of presence, and manufacturers continue to proliferate sku’s targeted at every conceivable niche, creating a complex competitive framework for today’s brands. Competitive context is further confounded by the sometimes “fuzzy” boundaries that actually constitute the relevant set of alternatives available to satisfy a particular need. Traditional category definitions are constantly blurred and expanded by both the consumer and the manufacturer. Within this dynamic environment, each individual may have his/her own unique set of considered products (crossing several categories) they use to satisfy a particular need or solve a problem. Capturing these individual considered sets, however subtle, is critical to understanding the “real” competition and creating competitive advantage. What is the consumer’s current behavior? What products do they presently buy or use to satisfy a need? What are the relative strengths and weaknesses of the competition? The answers clearly serve as underpinnings for predicting the success of new products. October 2010 © 2010, Ipsos For more Ipsos Marketing POVs, visit www.ipsos.com/marketing/knowledge 2 To B e T h e B e s t , Yo u ’ v e G o t t o B e a t T h e B e s t The Framework for Incorporating Competitive Context Competitive Context In The Respondent Exercise Yet strangely, marketing research does not always incorporate competitive context into the respondent exercise or the analysis. Concepts and products are often exposed monadically. Questions are asked in a vacuum without providing appropriate context. Commonly accepted metrics such as Purchase Interest, Likeability, etc. are usually presented as absolutes or (worse) compared to historic databases containing previously tested concepts or products in the category. None of these approaches simulates how consumers actually make their decisions. Competitive context is a fundamental principle of Ipsos Marketing, Consumer Goods. We imbue it in all our research – concept and product optimization, pricing, brand equity, as well as forecasting studies. With the appropriate scope and breadth (depending on study requirement and constraints), we seek to incorporate a measure of competition into every stage of our methodologies – respondent exercise, stimuli exposure and the actual analysis and modeling. The ultimate goal should be to capture what consumers will see as the relevant competition, however difficult. We are quite confident it’s not all previously tested concepts incorporated into traditional normative databases! To address this issue, Ipsos has developed a system and database that benchmarks innovation against the consumer defined competition, not historic norms. As outlined in the Ipsos Point Of View “Are Concept Databases Leading CPG Marketers to Make the Wrong Decision”2 (Lee Markowitz), the Ipsos database compares the test concept against the respondent’s Most Often Purchased Product (MOPP) to realistically reflect the competition in the marketplace as the benchmark for success – to be the best you have to beat the best! Equally important, we have found that the relationship between the test concept and the MOPP transcends country and category constraints to produce a stable database for evaluating innovation across a wide variety of conditions. Essentially; the MOPP comparison captures the effect of category and cultural differences. (See Figure 1.) Figure 1 © 2010, Ipsos Consideration Set Most Ipsos research begins with establishing a realistic competitive landscape for the innovation evaluation. At the very minimum, we ask respondents to review and express their preferences for the leading brands in the category. Typically, established brands can serve as the reference point for most consumers in the purchase decision process. Ideally however, we prefer to have respondents define their own individual competitive set to more accurately simulate their view of the marketplace. As noted earlier, this includes the MOPP but may also (in the case of variety seeking categories) include the respondent’s full considered set. The set can be framed with a traditional category definition (for example candy bars) or it may be more broadly defined around a need (products you buy to satisfy sweet cravings). Again the critical element is to incorporate the competition the innovation will face in the market (and in the consumer mind) and to capture the initial primary advantage of current brands vs. new entrants. 3 To B e T h e B e s t , Yo u ’ v e G o t t o B e a t T h e B e s t Clutter Exposure with Competitive Concepts Consumers are bombarded by media and brand messaging, with one estimate placing the number of ad messages to which consumers are exposed daily in the range of 5,000.3 Whether via clutter reel, portfolio of leading market brands, or careful prompting, new ideas are not exposed in a vacuum but rather in a manner similar to what consumers experience in the marketplace. Retail Environment Competition at the shelf is also a driver of product selection. When appropriate, Ipsos simulates the clutter of the retail environment and the symbolic fight to gain buyers attention. Forcing the respondent to make a selection from the numerous alternatives can provide a key indicator of future behavior. Relative Preference The test concept is often directly compared to the existing competition of considered brands and market leaders. Respondents are asked to express their relative preferences, just as they implicitly do in the marketplace. It is important to emphasize that these comparisons are to the brands or products the individual respondent considers relevant – not to some designated standard. It is the individualized comparison that provides the sensitivity to measure small but meaningful differences. Does the innovation gain preference versus the consumer’s alternative choices? Index Relevance 4.9 5.2 94 3.3 3.0 91 Differentiation 5.5 5.0 112 Market Permeability Ipsos also incorporates the competitive structure of the market into the analysis and share estimation provided within our volumetric tools. The permeability and fragmentation of a market or category are critical determinants to the success of any product. For example, in a variety seeking fragmented category such as candy, a brand can enjoy financial success by becoming a reliable third or fourth choice for a buyer. However in a more tightly defined, loyal category such as detergent, it may be necessary to be number one among your target to ensure the viability of the brand. Share of Choice The relative preference of test and competitive brands gathered in the interview are typically converted into shares of choice. Internal research suggests that for most CPG categories only 20% or less of any one respondent’s purchases is legitimately available for switching. Choice estimates indicate relative strength of brands and provide sensitive measures of degree of competition via sources of volume and cannibalization. (See Figure 2.) Share of Choice When pricing analysis is warranted, Ipsos recommends choice analysis where we incorporate competitive brands and prices to simulate trade-offs and interactions, rather than simply rely on a monadic evaluation of price. Brand C B Brand Not only does grounding the respondent exercise in competitive context provide a face validity that monadic product evaluations often lack, but it also provides a framework for powerful analyses. Brand C Brand A Brand D Analysis Within Competitive Context Test Concept The adherence to competitive evaluation continues through the analysis of the data and presentation of results. Indexed vs. Competition © 2010, Ipsos MOPP (Mean Score) Expensiveness Choice Sets The primary Ipsos evaluation models are built and calibrated against the competitive brands, rather than against some previously established set of database norms. We firmly believe this reflects the actual consumer decision process – test concepts and products must outperform relevant competition in order to win customer’s business. Monadic ratings may provide useful diagnostics but they can only infer competitive advantage. Test Concept (Mean Score) Source of Volume Brand A Brand B Brand C Brand D Figure 2 4 To B e T h e B e s t , Yo u ’ v e G o t t o B e a t T h e B e s t Market Drivers Taste (39%) Everyday Use (16%) Health (15%) Variety (9%) Functional (8%) Energy (6%) Crispy (5%) 100 80 60 40 20 0 –20 – 40 –60 –80 –100 Points of real differentiation versus the market ––– Your Innovation ––– Competitor 1 ––– Competitor 2 Figure 3 Competitive Driver Map About Ipsos Marketing Ratings of specific attributes and perceptions (both functional and emotional) for the test and competitive brands are always analyzed and presented in actionable competitive maps to identify perceived differentiation. The most important and salient dimension can then be leveraged to create competitive advantage and preferences. In our forecasting models, the relative advantage/disadvantage on key drivers is actually directly incorporated into the volume prediction. (See Figure 3.) Ipsos Marketing – The Innovation and Brand Research Specialists – is the Ipsos brand for Marketing Research. Compete is a Verb As markets become more fragmented and competition and choice become even more intricate and subtle, the ability to understand and measure the competitive landscape at the individual consumer level will become even more important in developing and sustaining viable brands. Whether launching a close-in-line extension or a new-tothe-world product, this continued focus on understanding and capitalizing on the nuances of competitive opportunities will allow marketers to enjoy a higher degree of success in the more sharply contested mass and emerging niche markets of today’s economy. Ultimately, consumers will always welcome a new or improved product that out performs the competition on dimensions that matter to them. Ipsos Marketing helps clients to develop and launch new products and services and reposition existing brands, understand the success factors behind their brands and maximize the impact of their marketing decisions. Supported by specialized teams, Ipsos Marketing offers an in-depth understanding of the drivers of consumer choice and of the marketing challenges faced by our clients. Our leading-edge solutions integrate qualitative and quantitative research, using engaging digital tools as well as advanced modelling and forecasting techniques. Ipsos Marketing is a specialization of Ipsos, a global surveybased market research company that offers expertise in Advertising and Marketing research, Customer and Employee Relationship research, Media, Content and Technology research, and Social and Corporate Reputation research. Ipsos is present in 64 countries, with a leading position in both mature and emerging markets. In 2009, it achieved global revenues of 943.7 million euros, Marketing research contributing to 47% of Ipsos’ total global revenues. Visit www.ipsos.com/marketing to learn more. Author Steve Perry, Senior Vice President, 203.840.3431 steve.perry@ipsos.com References Michael Porter, Competitive Advantage, Free Press 1985 Lee Markowitz, Are Concept Databases Leading CPG Marketers to Make the Wrong Decision, July 2010 3 Louise Story, Anywhere 1 2 © 2010, Ipsos 1 0 - 1 0 - 1 9