Morning Notes Date: 30.08.2011 Index Close Change (%) Index Close Change (%) S&P CNX NIFTY 4919.60 3.62 S&P CNX DEFTY 3713.60 4.11 CNX NIFTY JUNIOR 9872.05 2.86 S&P CNX 500 3977.35 3.27 BANK NIFTY 9342.45 4.10 CNX MIDCAP 7201.50 2.24 INDIA VIX 26.07 -21.62 NIFTY MIDCAP 50 2123.30 2.73 CNX 100 4844.80 3.49 CNX ENERGY 7569.70 3.14 LAST SESSION FLASH The domestic bourses rebounded sharply and ended on a robust note as the global markets cheered statement made by Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke which held back further stimulus for the time being. Finally, the market closed on a bullish note with the benchmarks posting over 3.50% gains each. In the economic front, India’s GDP growth is expected to remain at 8% and the quarterly GDP data is expected to come at 7.6% slower than last quarter’s performance. The first quarter data is expected to be released on Tuesday. Nifty GAINERS Nifty LOSERS Company Close Change (%) RELIANCE CAP 377.25 H C L TECH TCS RPOWER Company Close Change (%) 9.60 ONGC 274.95 -1.08 MARUTI 1,079.40 -0.37 390.45 7.62 1,019.60 7.50 83.45 7.06 In the sectoral front, the IT, Metal, Realty and Banking space were the major contributors to the significant market rally during the session, advancing by 5.06%, 4.63%, 4.43% and 4.10%, respectively. The Reserve Bank of India has stated that Indian banks will adhere to the globally agreed timeline for implementation of Basel III norms and guidelines in this regard will be issued in the near future. Basel 3 norms are to be implemented from January 1, 2013. Index Aggregates Sensex Nifty P/E 18.14 18.50 Advances & Declines P/B 3.32 3.45 Div Yield 1.53 1.60 Index Advances NIFTY 48 NIFTY JR BANK NIFTY Declines No chng A/D Ratio 2 0 24.00 46 4 0 11.50 12 1 0 12.00 1 Ajcon Global Services Your Friendly Advisor GLOBAL VIEW American & European Indices S&P 500 NASDAQ Asian Indices Close Change (%) 1210.08 2.83 2562.11 Close Change (%) NIKKEI 8978.49 1.45 3.32 HANG SENG 20228.71 1.83 STRAITS TIMES 2791.89 0.00 87.60 0.38 1786.80 -0.09 DOW JONES 11539.25 2.26 FTSE 5129.92 -0.02 DAX 5670.07 2.39 OIL 2.16 GOLD CAC 40 3154.20 Important Happenings Japan Jobless Rate Increases to 4.7% Japan’s jobless rate rose for a second straight month as a stronger yen and the global economic slowdown weigh on the outlook for the country’s anticipated rebound from the March 11 earthquake. The unemployment rate rose to 4.7 percent in July, the statistics bureau said today in Tokyo. The median estimate of 28 economists surveyed by Bloomberg was for 4.6 percent. Payrolls fell by 40,000 from a month earlier, the report showed. Deploying tools from the central bank’s monetary stimulus to a government-formed emergency loan program, authorities are seeking to counter the effect of an advancing currency that’s threatening to damp growth. Two quake-relief packages worth 6 trillion yen ($78 billion) won’t be enough to keep Japan’s economy from contracting this year, economist David Rea said. Polish Economic Growth Probably Slowed in Second Quarter on Export Demand Poland’s economic expansion probably slowed in the second quarter, mirroring weaker European growth, as waning foreign demand hurt exports. Gross domestic product grew 4.2 percent from a year earlier, compared with a 4.4 percent rise in the previous quarter, according to the median estimate of 27 economists surveyed by Bloomberg. The data will be published tomorrow at 10 a.m. in Warsaw. Growth in the euro area, which buys 55 percent of Polish exports, slowed to 0.2 percent from the previous quarter in the April-June period, the worst performance since the bloc’s 2009 recession. Exportled growth in Hungary, Romania and the Czech Republic has decelerated as Europe’s debt crisis and a weaker U.S. economy put the brakes on global expansion. Yen, Dollar, Franc Hold Losses as Equity Gains Cut Demand for Refuge The yen, dollar and Swiss franc held onto yesterday’s declines against the majority of their most- traded peers as Asian stocks extended a global rally in equities, reducing demand for refuge currencies. The U.S. currency traded 0.2 percent from an eight-week low against the euro before the Federal Reserve today releases the minutes of its Aug. 9 meeting, at which policy makers pledged for the first time to keep interest rates at a record low through mid-2013. Demand for the 17nation euro was limited after European Central Bank President Jean-Claude Trichet said that the bank is reviewing its assessment of inflation risks following a slowdown in growth. 2 Ajcon Global Services Your Friendly Advisor NEWS UPDATES MACRO The Reserve Bank of India released on its website, the Draft Guidelines for “Licensing of New Banks in the Private Sector”. The Reserve Bank has sought views/comments on the draft guidelines from banks, non-banking financial institutions, industrial houses, other institutions and the public at large. Suggestions and comments on the draft guidelines may be sent by October 31. Final guidelines will be issued and the process of inviting applications for setting up of new banks in the private sector will be initiated. After receiving feedback, comments and suggestions on the draft guidelines, and after certain vital amendments to Banking Regulation Act, 1949 are in place. COMPANY Axis Bank, India’s third largest private Bank, announced its tie up with Malayan Banking Berhad (Maybank), Malaysia, for remitting money from Malaysia to beneficiary accounts in India. Axis Bank has entered into an agreement with Maybank for offering remittance facility to India, under Maybank Money Express (MME) service. The service offers straight through remittance facility for sending money to the intended beneficiaries, holding an account with Axis Bank or any of the 78000 NEFT enabled branches of over 100 other banks in India. Spanco has been appointed as a Business Correspondent (BC) by State Bank of India (SBI) to open 200 + Kiosk banking outlets in the villages of Maharashtra as part of the first phase and will add more centers after December 2011. The citizen fingerprints will be recorded for banking transactions which will include cash deposit/ withdrawal, money transfers, loans etc. The account holder can also receive NSC and KVP certificates, invest in mutual funds and activate different accounts. Fortis Healthcare (India) Ltd. announced the launch of four hospitals as part of its plan to strengthen its presence across the country. This announcement fulfills the ‘10 in 10’ commitment made by the Company on its 10th Anniversary in end-June, to announce 10 new hospitals in 10 weeks. Fortis has now announced 10 launches in less than 10 weeks, taking its bed capacity to 10,270 beds. Besides setting up new hospitals in Cochin, Bilaspur and Bangalore, Fortis Healthcare will manage the Cardiac Care unit at HLG hospital in Asansol, West Bengal. Arshiya International, Indian Integrated supply chain and logistics infrastructure solutions company and Tata BlueScope Steel (A 50:50 joint venture between the Indian steel giant Tata Steel and the globally renowned Building Solutions provider BlueScope Steel), have come together to build warehouses at India`s first Free Trade and Warehousing Zone (FTWZ) developed and operated by Arshiya International in Panvel, near Mumbai. For the massive warehousing project covering a total plan area of 5.45 lakh square feet, Tata BlueScope Building Solutions has designed, manufactured, supplied and erected five BUTLERTM Buildings. RPP Infra Projects Ltd., one of India's leading and fast growing Non Metro/Rural based company engaged in the business of infrastructure development such as highways, roadways, bridges, civil construction works, irrigation, water supply projects and power plants has won a mass housing contract in “Republic of Gabon” (RG) awarded by the Ministry of Housing. The contract is awarded to RPP Infra on ‘Design, Build Finance and Transfer ' (DBFT) model. The objective of the contract would be to construct and deliver 10,000 houses over 36 months over various phases. The total contract is valued at Euro 250 million which is Rs. 15bn. Venus Remedies has received European Market Authorization (MA) for its anti cancer product, Docetaxel. The company`s wholly-owned subsidiary, Venus Pharma GmbH, Germany has received this MA for Portugal. The company is all set to launch this anti-cancer drug in this market by end of 2011 and it has also filed a patent fort his product. Despite facing hurdles like delays in green nods, Coal India is striving to achieve a 5% growth in production this fiscal against 431.32 million tonne (MT) output achieved in 2010-11, the government today said. "CIL production has been hit due to adverse circumstances in the last two-three years due to delays in environment and forest clearances, land acquisition and problems like extremism and law and order. Efforts are being made to raise production by 5% this fiscal," Coal Minister Sriprakash Jaiswal told the Rajya Sabha. 3 Ajcon Global Services Your Friendly Advisor TECHNICAL ANALYSIS MOST ACTIVE STOCKS PIVOTAL GUIDANCE Lower 2 Lower 1 Axis Higher 1 Company Higher 2 BANK NIFTY 9239.13 9313.45 9387.77 9452.80 9464.42 RELIANCE 744.56 750.55 756.54 761.78 762.71 RCOM 75.26 75.86 76.47 77.00 77.09 RELCAPITAL 377.26 380.30 383.33 385.99 386.46 REL 437.58 441.10 444.62 447.70 448.25 LT 1594.68 1607.51 1620.34 1631.56 1633.57 STER 125.01 126.01 127.02 127.90 128.06 ICICIBANK 849.92 856.76 863.60 869.58 870.65 SBIN 1924.41 1939.89 1955.37 1968.91 1971.33 TATASTEEL 442.38 445.94 449.50 452.61 453.17 RPOWER 82.34 83.01 83.67 84.25 84.35 TATAPOWER 1035.27 1043.60 1051.93 1059.22 1060.52 INFOSYSTCH 2261.00 2279.18 2297.37 2313.29 2316.13 BHEL 1751.22 1765.30 1779.39 1791.72 1793.92 ONGC 273.98 276.19 278.39 280.32 280.67 ACC 996.94 1004.96 1012.98 1019.99 1021.25 PUNJLLOYD 55.87 56.32 56.76 57.16 57.23 HDFCBANK 451.11 454.73 458.36 461.54 462.11 MARUTI 1077.76 1086.43 1095.10 1102.69 1104.04 AXISBANK 1032.79 1041.10 1049.40 1056.67 1057.97 DLF 182.29 183.76 185.22 186.51 186.74 BULLISH for Today Name TATAMOTORS JSWSTEEL BULLISH for BTST/T+2 CMP Targets Stop Loss Name CMP Targets Stop Loss 729.60 652.20 737-740 658-660 719 645 SBIN PATNI 1940.15 282.60 1955-1965 288-290 1925 278 4 Ajcon Global Services Your Friendly Advisor GOOD FOR DELIVERY Fortis Healthcare Axis Bank Fortis Healthcare (India) Ltd. announced the launch of four hospitals as part of its plan to strengthen its presence across the country. This announcement fulfills the ‘10 in 10’ commitment made by the Company on its 10th Anniversary in end-June, to announce 10 new hospitals in 10 weeks. Fortis has now announced 10 launches in less than 10 weeks, taking its bed capacity to 10,270 beds. Besides setting up new hospitals in Cochin, Bilaspur and Bangalore, Fortis Healthcare will manage the Cardiac Care unit at HLG hospital in Asansol, West Bengal. Axis Bank, India’s third largest private Bank, announced its tie up with Malayan Banking Berhad (Maybank), Malaysia, for remitting money from Malaysia to beneficiary accounts in India. Axis Bank has entered into an agreement with Maybank for offering remittance facility to India, under Maybank Money Express (MME) service. Fortis marks its entry into Kerala with a 45 bed boutique hospital in Cochin, which will offer quality healthcare for women under the ‘Fortis La Femme’ brand. As part of the hub and spoke model, a multi-specialty hospital in Bilaspur, acting as a spoke to the Mohali hub, will cater to the Kullu-Manali-Mandi belt by FY 2012. Expanding its reach in West Bengal, Fortis will operate and manage a 50-bed Cardiac Care unit at multi-specialty HLG hospital in Asansol. The Group also strengthens its presence in the South with a world-class tertiary care hospital in Bengaluru, strategically located near the Marathalli Junction, which will commence operations by 2013. This follows the recent announcement to operate a 100-bed boutique hospital for women in the state. The service offers straight through remittance facility for sending money to the intended beneficiaries, holding an account with Axis Bank or any of the 78000 NEFT enabled branches of over 100 other banks in India. Speaking on the occasion, P. Mukherjee, President & Head – Treasury & International Banking at Axis Bank said, “Axis Bank’s tie-up with Maybank to offer instant remittances will help Indians living in Malaysia remit money to beneficiaries in India in a quick, seamless and economical manner.” Axis Bank offers inward remittance facility to India through tie-up with various banks, exchange houses, money transfer operators as well as through wire transfer and its online money transfer platform, ‘AxisRemit Online’. ‘AxisRemit Online’ was launched earlier to allow remitters the convenience of remitting money to any account in India and tracking the remittance status on-line, without visiting any branch location. Axis Remit Online is offered for remittances from over 8 countries/regions including the Gulf, USA, Europe, UK, Asia, Australia and Canada. Axis Remit Online is customer friendly as it offers the best exchange rates to its customers. Accumulate Speaking on the occasion, Aditya Vij, Chief Executive Officer, Fortis Healthcare (India) Ltd. said, “These new hospitals across the country conform to our plan for strengthening the Fortis network in India. With this announcement, we have met the “10 hospitals in 10 weeks” commitment made on our tenth anniversary. Locations and operational models have been carefully selected to increase access to quality healthcare, while maintaining affordability, for local communities. We continue to strengthen our presence in bigger cities, while penetrating smaller towns, helping to address the enormous need for quality healthcare in India.” Accumulate 5 Ajcon Global Services Your Friendly Advisor Institutional Fund Management FII Investments Monthly Trends Month Aug-2011 Jul-2011 Jun-2011 May-2011 Apr-2011 Mar-2011 Gross till date (2011) Purchase ( Rs Crore ) Sale ( Rs Crore ) Investment ( Rs Crore) 46,696.30 54,077.70 55,405.20 52,010.30 54,174.40 53,019.30 58,015.30 46,047.60 50,833.30 58,624.60 46,961.10 46,121.80 -11,319.00 8,030.10 4,572.20 -6,614.40 7,213.30 6,897.80 367188.40 361668.50 +5520.50 10,000.00 5,000.00 0.00 MF March April May June July FII Aug -5,000.00 -10,000.00 -15,000.00 Mutual Fund Investment Monthly Trends Month Purchase ( Rs Crore ) Sale ( Rs Crore ) Investment ( Rs Crore) Aug-2011 Jul-2011 Jun-2011 May-2011 Apr-2011 Mar-2011 12,088.60 11,610.40 9,953.90 12,049.30 9,172.00 9,334.90 9,830.80 10,930.10 8,756.40 11,584.10 9,757.20 9,392.50 2,258.00 680.10 1,197.80 464.80 -585.50 -57.80 Gross till date (2011) 76359.30 70519.20 +5839.20 6 Ajcon Global Services Your Friendly Advisor Following the MUTUAL FUNDS UTI Opportunities-G Latest NAV : 25.43 (26/08/11) 52-Week High: 29.78 (09/11/10) Top Holdings: As on 31 Jul Name of Holding Top 5 Sectors % Net Assets ITC Petronet LNG Titan Ind Cairn India HDFC 52-Week Low: 24.96 (24/02/11) 3.93 6.05 5.08 4.49 4.15 Top 5 Sectors % Net Assets Financial FMCG Energy Technology Construction 16.98 15.88 14.85 7.05 6.95 Top 3 Holding Company Details ITC Other Funds That Own ITC LTP: 201.95 PB Ratio: 8.99 PE Ratio: 29.52 Year to Date Return(%): 15.73 Petronet LNG Fund name Reliance Long Term Sundaram Select Small Tata Capital Builder DSPBR Micro Cap Reg % Net Asset Date 6.82 6.30 6.04 5.97 Jul 31, 2011 Jul 31, 2011 Jul 31, 2011 Jul 31, 2011 Other Funds That Own Petronet LNG LTP: 171.30 PB Ratio: 4.31 PE Ratio: 16.55 Year to Date Return(%): 37.09 Titan Ind % Net Asset Date Sundaram Energy Opportunities Sundaram PSU Opportunities Fund name 8.72 Jul 30, 2011 8.36 Jul 31, 2011 UTI Wealth Builder Series II Retail 6.10 Jul 31, 2011 Other Funds That Own Titan Ind LTP: 205.75 PB Ratio: 14.75 PE Ratio:36.34 Year to Date Return(%) 14.26 Fund name % Net Asset Date UTI India Lifestyle UTI Opportunities UTI Wealth Builder Series II Retail IDFC Classic Equity Plan A 7.71 5.08 4.59 Jul 31, 2011 Jul 31, 2011 Jul 31, 2011 4.11 Jul 31, 2011 7 Ajcon Global Services Your Friendly Advisor DERIVATIVES NOTES Markets began the week on a positive note as the main indices witnessed a sharp rally that saw the Nifty gaining over 170 points. The Nifty Sept Fut closed 190.85pts or 4.02% higher at 4939.6. The Nifty Sept Fut premium expanded to 19.95pts as against a marginal discount of 0.2pts in the previous session. Institutional Investment Trends (in Crores) AUG 29, 2011 BUY SELL OIEoD 3170.79 2091.66 12268.70 INDEX OPTIONS 8061.82 8330.29 45275.15 STOCK FUTURES 1626.73 STOCK OPTIONS 205.93 INDEX FUTURES The biggest gainers in the F&O segment were MLL, IFCI, Rel Capital, Patel Eng and SRE Infra. The biggest losers were ONGC, Jain Irrigation, Glaxo and Tata Chemicals. 1265.51 26371.93 The most active stock fut contracts were of SBI, LT, ICICI 225.59 405.08 Bank, Infy and Axis Bank. Put Call Ratio Symbol Expiry Date Put Call Ratio RPOWER 25-Oct-11 186000 10000 18.60 CENTURYTEX 29-Sep-11 8000 1000 8.00 CAIRN 25-Oct-11 7000 2000 3.50 NIFTY 27-Jun-13 70150 22150 3.17 NIFTY 31-Dec-15 1550 500 3.10 SIEMENS 29-Sep-11 5250 1750 3.00 NIFTY 28-Jun-12 2089650 901700 2.32 KOTAKBANK 29-Sep-11 8000 3500 2.29 DRREDDY 29-Sep-11 2250 1000 2.25 DABUR 29-Sep-11 8000 4000 2.00 NIFTY 30-Jun-16 650 350 1.86 NIFTY 27-Dec-12 1337600 732250 1.83 RCOM 25-Oct-11 188000 112000 1.68 SUNPHARMA 29-Sep-11 7500 4500 1.67 BANKNIFTY 29-Sep-11 163125 100775 1.62 NIFTY 24-Nov-11 218550 136050 1.61 8 Ajcon Global Services Your Friendly Advisor DIVIDEND & OTHER INFORMATION Symbol Company Name Ex-Date Purpose SURYAPHARM Surya Pharmaceutical Ltd 27-Sep-11 Annual General Meeting And Dividend Re.0.15 Per Share MCDHOLDING McDowell Holdings Limited 26-Sep-11 Annual General Meeting TATAPOWER Tata Power Company Limited 26-Sep-11 Face Value Split From Rs.10/- To Re.1/- ALPSINDUS Alps Industries Limited 26-Sep-11 Annual General Meeting BSELINFRA BSEL Infrastructure Realty Limited 26-Sep-11 Annual General Meeting WEIZFOREX Weizmann Forex Limited 26-Sep-11 Dividend-Rs.2/- Per Share WEIZMANIND Weizmann Limited 26-Sep-11 Dividend-Re.0.50 Per Share SPMLINFRA SPML Infra Limited 26-Sep-11 Annual General Meeting And Dividend Re.0.50 Per Share KARMAENG Karma Energy Limited 26-Sep-11 Dividend-Re.0.50 Per Share JINDALSAW Jindal Saw Limited 26-Sep-11 Annual General Meeting And Dividend Re.1/- Per Share PRAKASH Prakash Industries Limited 23-Sep-11 Dividend Re 1 Per Share PDPL Parenteral Drugs (India) Limited 23-Sep-11 Annual General Meeting FACT Fertilizers and Chemicals Travancore Limited 23-Sep-11 Annual General Meeting SURYAPHARM Surya Pharmaceutical Ltd 27-Sep-11 Annual General Meeting And Dividend Re.0.15 Per Share DISCLAIMER This material is for your private information, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. Transactions involving stocks and derivatives give rise to substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. The material is based upon information that we consider reliable, but we do not represent that it is accurate or complete, and it should not be relied upon as such. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. 101, Samarth Industrial Estate, P.N. Kotnis Road, Mahim (W), Mumbai - 400 016. INDIA. Tel: 91-22-40280400 (50 Lines), Fax: 91-22-2446 0339. Email: info@ajcon.net 9 Ajcon Global Services Your Friendly Advisor