COMPETITIVE POSITION OF THE BALTIC SEA REGION THE ROLE OF REGIONAL CLUSTERS POTENTIAL FOR REGIONAL COOPERATION AND COMPETITIVENESSSTIMULATING INTRAREGIONAL RELOCATION Tomasz Brodzicki* with cooperation from Anders Elmgren Tomasz Grubiszewski Magdalena Romanowska Report financed within the framework of Polish Lisbon Strategy Forum Gdansk, November 2005 *GIME and University of Gdansk, Department of European Integration Economics; holder of a scholarship of the Polish Science Fund(FNP) COMPETITIVE POSITION OF THE BALTIC SEA REGION INTRODUCTION Located in peripheries of the European Union the Baltic Sea Region (BSR) has a tremendous endogenous potential to become one of the key regions of the enlarged European Union capable of facing up to challenges of the globalizing economy. Furthermore, the BSR could be considered as a leader with reaching the goals of the modified Lisbon Strategy. This great endogenous potential characterized by high degree of internal heterogeneity is however not utilized to acceptable extent. The degree of internal heterogeneity is in fact a major impediment to establishment of cooperative linkages. A common Baltic identity is actually missing despite frequent statements of national and regional leaders and a lot of time will pass till it actually develops. It will develop through actions and not blunt words however. The diversity of the BSR is beneficial despite significant difficulties in cooperation. It is beneficial because it creates significant opportunities for reaping actual benefits related to higher degree of specialization, better allocation of resources (improved division of labor), higher productivity and knowledge generation. Regional cooperation could be beneficial from the perspective of both national and regional authorities as well as of particular sectors or even individual profit-seeking entrepreneurs if it can enhance the competitive position of the region on a global arena. In order to do so national and regional authorities should facilitate establishment of cooperative linkages among business communities or even within the triple helix setting. This should apply in particular to sectors of strategic importance to regional economy. It is worth to note that the Baltic Sea Region taken as a whole could be said to have relevant competencies to successfully compete with other European as well as global regions in a number of industrial and services sectors. Due to their strategic importance to the overall prosperity of the region the economic performance of the sectors should be constantly monitored and appropriate steps but only if economically viable should be made. However, these key prosperity drivers should be identified. The aim of the present repot is to give objective opinion on the key drivers of competitive position of the BSR. In order to so we will analyze the regional economy (regional manufacturing industry) from both a traditional sectoral perspective as well as the relatively novel cluster-perspective. It is worth to note that the recent report by Ketels and Solvell (2005 - State of the Region Report) adopted cluster-approach to analysis of the regional economy as 2 COMPETITIVE POSITION OF THE BALTIC SEA REGION well. It is to us the step in the right direction1. The main conclusion of the Report is that the Region has a strong cluster base with a rich portfolio of regional clusters and overlaps in cluster-export specialization. As to policy recommendations the authors suggested: more cooperation between related clusters, benchmarking of cluster policies as well as creation of consistent data on clusters and clusters across the region. Despite its obvious merits, the analysis by Ketels and Solvell (2005) in the area of clusters is unsatisfactory was unsatisfactory. A lot more could and should be done in order to better inform the policy-making process. Our report despite its obvious drawbacks goes one step further. From this perspective the present study is both complimentary and supplementary to the analysis by Ketels and Solvell (2005). We would like to note, furthermore, that several reports have recently identified major shifts in location of manufacturing industries as well as services within the European Union. These trends seem to extend to or encompass the Baltic Sea Region. Moreover, accession of the Baltic States and Poland to the European Union has created a unique opportunity for reallocation of manufacturing industry as well as services sectors to occur within the region itself. All the economies of the BSR with an exception of two Russian oblasts constitute a part of the internal market were the freedom of movement of goods, services, labor and capital are guaranteed (with an exception of temporary transition periods provided by accession treaties). This could bring important benefits to the region taken as a whole allowing for more efficient and productive specialization to occur thus strengthening or allowing to retain competitive advantage over other European or even global subregions (a policy target stressed in the recent State of the Region Report). Furthermore, apart from reallocation this constitutes an opportunity for establishing globally competitive value added chains within the Baltic Sea Region. The secondary objective of the present study is to investigate the potential for reallocation of industry and services within the Baltic Sea Region. The cluster-perspective seems to be beneficial as well. 1 It is worth to note that to our knowledge apart form the State of the Region Report (2005) there were no cluster studies performed at the BSR level. Finland and Denmark performed a meta-cluster study. Sweden had a national cluster-mapping project. The study in Poland was carried out by GIME applying a modified DTI methodology (TBR). 3 COMPETITIVE POSITION OF THE BALTIC SEA REGION Setting the other stage – our definition of the Baltic Sea Region It seems that the definition of the BSR in many policy documents relating to the BSR including the recent State of the Region Reports is not well funded 2. If Norway or even Island are taken to Baltic economies than the definition for Poland should not be limited only to three northern NUTS-2 regions (zachodniopomorskie, pomorskie, warmińsko-mazurskie) situated directly on its shores3. We could argue that at least 3 more regions that is lubuskie, wielkopolskie, kujawsko-pomorskie should be taken into account as they are situated no more than 200 kilometers from the sea shore itself. Data availability is a major bottleneck in particular if the scope of research adopts subnational regions and goes deep into analyzing individual 3-digit sectors. This is the problem that we had to deal with. In this report we adopted the following approach: we adopt 3 digit NACE as the level of analysis but we compromise on the regional dataset. Future extensions (editions) of the present report, in particular if the national governments implement policy recommendations presented in the final part of report, will be more precise in this element. The BSR in the report is comprised of three Nordic states that is Denmark, Finland and Sweden as well as Poland (all 16 NUTS2 regions). There were no data available for 3 Baltic States (that is Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania) as well as Norway (an EEA economy) and two Russian oblasts. Furthermore, as we were unable to disentangle information on the northeastern regions of Germany we decided to eliminate the country from the study. Inclusion of whole Germany would cause more bias then exclusion of it. We have to acknowledge that this approach biases our results to a certain extent. Data sources and methodological issues We utilize two data sources: EUROSTAT and GUS and three different data bases: COMEXT – database on internal and external trade of the European Union, NEW CRONOS – database 2 This biases the results significantly and could even impact policy recommendations. There is a curious situation created in the report – 3 northern regions are said to be part of the BSR while 5 southern regions to be part of the Central Europe peer region. The authors seem to forget that there are another 8 regions in-between which are for some reason left out from their analysis? Are they Baltic or Central European? It seems that more rational definition of the region should be prepared and adopted in order to create a sound platform for future benchmarking exercises of the BSR to competing regions. 3 4 COMPETITIVE POSITION OF THE BALTIC SEA REGION on industrial activities within the EU and database on Polish industry provided by GUS on enterprises with employment of 10 and above based. The period under analysis is 1995 to 2000 for employment and turnover and 1995 to 2001 for trade flows. The level of analysis is set to 3-digit NACE rev 1. Data on trade flows have been adjusted from 8-digit combined nomenclature to 4-digit CPA and than to 3-digit NACE in order to allow for direct comparability. Several secondary data sources are utilized in the second part of the report. All the analysis is carried out on a two levels: on the level of individual 3-digit NACE sectors as mentioned above and on the level of clusters understood as multisectoral groups of 3-digit NACE groups. Particular clusters – groups of sectors are taken from a study carried out by GIME within the cluster mapping exercise in Poland. This approach creates a possibility to compare the results of the proposed study with earlier detailed studies on Poland (thus make it possible to pin point particular locations within northern NUTS-2 regions of Poland which could become or have already become places of potential reallocation of production from the Nordic States as well as northern Germany4). Structure of the report The report is divided into two distinct sections. In the first one we will try to identify sectors with strategic importance to the economy of the Baltic Sea Region in both absolute as well as relative terms. We will also focus on analyzing potential evidence of reallocation of manufacturing industry on intra-regional and inter-regional level. In the second part we will adopt a cluster-approach to analysis of the economy of the region. We will present information on major Baltic (meta-) clusters. In particular we will try to find out whether clusters in the northern Polish regions could or do constitute an interesting target for intra-regional reallocation of manufacturing industry. The final section concludes and provides general policy recommendations based on the research results of the previous sections. 4 A good example is the case of IKEA which established its furniture production plants within a north-western region of Poland which in the GIME study has been identified as one showing features of a potential cluster in furniture manufacturing. 5 COMPETITIVE POSITION OF THE BALTIC SEA REGION PART I SECTORS OF STRATEGIC SIGNIFICANCE TO THE BALTIC SEA REGION 6 COMPETITIVE POSITION OF THE BALTIC SEA REGION Introduction In this part of the report we will try to identify sectors with strategic importance to the economy and competitive position of the Baltic Sea Region. This could seem at first to be a relatively easy task. We have to note, however, that a wide range of competing indicators could be applied thus generating different results probably conflicting. Majority of economists would probably agree that the most important indicators should be related to production taking place (value added, total turnover) as well as employment both in absolute levels as well as their growth ratios. Off course more elaborated measures could be employed, for instance different measures of total factor productivity (TFP). Trade-rated indicators are interesting as their analysis could lead to identification of sectors with particularly evident revealed comparative advantage. Moreover, the identification could be based on more elaborate methodology combing several different indictors at the same time. Furthermore, the analysis should compare the results against a reference or a benchmark group in order to depict particular specialization of the region under analysis. In the present study, mainly due to data limitations, we have decided to adopt EU15 and Poland (EU16 henceforth) as a benchmark for the region. The subsequent sections will follow the philosophy of analysis as has been outlined above. Top branches in terms of employment levels If we stick to the definition of the Baltic Sea Region presented above the BSR had in 2000 an approx. 11.5 per cent in total manufacturing employment of the EU16 (EU15 and Poland). As could be expected majority of the regional manufacturing employment was generated in Poland (52 per cent), 22 per cent in Sweden, 13 per cent in Finland and 12 per cent in Denmark. The population of Poland in absolute and relative terms has a heavy impact on the regional economy. In 2000 only eight 3-digit NACE manufacturing sectors had employment levels within the BSR exceeding a 100.000 threshold. The first three were: manufacture of furniture (161.000), manufacture of other food products (156.000) and production, processing, preserving of meat, meat products (131.000). These are traditional labor-intensive industries. 7 COMPETITIVE POSITION OF THE BALTIC SEA REGION Table 1 Top 8 employers within the BSR in 2000 – sectors with employment exceeding 100.000 employees NACE Name DNK FIN SWE POL 361 158 Manufacture of furniture 25 898 12 476 27 635 94 674 160 683 31 937 15 418 24 567 83 923 155 845 23 341 11 066 14 880 81 519 130 806 295 Manufacture of other food products Production, processing, preserving of meat, meat products Manufacture of other special purpose machinery 16 306 23 381 27 666 62 097 129 450 182 Manufacture of other wearing apparel and accessories 4 822 6 236 252 Manufacture of plastic products 20 965 15 148 18 481 59 127 113 721 221 Publishing 34 560 17 722 30 315 20 112 102 709 21 852 16 248 32 014 30 178 100 292 151 292 Manufacture of other general purpose machinery Source: Own calculations. BSR 3 469 112 364 126 891 Top branches in the BSR – relative share in the employment of the benchmark group The following table presents ten BSR sectors with highest shares in the total employment of the benchmark group (they are presented in declining order). Traditional industries dominate once again. The only real exception being the manufacture of television and radio transmitters – a high-technology ICT sector with particular significance to the development of the region. Table 2 Top 10 BCR groups in terms of their share in total employment of EU16 (in 2000) NACE Name 211 Manufacture of pulp, paper and paperboard Total share of the BSR 34.2 201 Saw milling and planing of wood, impregnation of wood 28.3 314 Manufacture of accumulators, primary cells and primary batteries 28.2 351 Building and repairing of ships and boats 26.7 352 23.2 155 Manufacture of railway, tramway locomotives, rolling stock Manufacture of veneer sheets; manufacture of plywood, laminboard, particle board, fiber board and other panels and boards Manufacture of television and radio transmitters and apparatus for line telephony and line telegraphy Manufacture of dairy products 265 Manufacture of cement, lime and plaster 19.3 202 322 153 Processing and preserving of fruit and vegetables Source: Own calculations. 22.1 21.0 19.7 19.1 Top branches in terms of turnover levels As could be expected data on turnover bring a rather different picture as the data on employment where the impact of Poland is truly significant. In terms of absolute turnover levels manufacture of television and radio transmitters is a regional leader (43 billion euro). 8 COMPETITIVE POSITION OF THE BALTIC SEA REGION Followed by traditional resourced-based manufacture of pulp, paper and paperboard (28.5 billion euro) and automotive industry – manufacture of motor vehicles (25 billion euro). In contrast to previous tables the present one is dominated by medium-high and high-technology sectors though the traditional sectors are present as well. Table 3 Top 10 groups in terms of turnover within the BSR in 2000 (exceeding 10 billion EURO) NACE 211 Name Manufacture of television and radio transmitters and apparatus for line telephony and line telegraphy Manufacture of pulp, paper and paperboard 341 Manufacture of motor vehicles 151 Production, processing, preserving of meat, meat products 5 123 2 156 3 151 4 173 14 603 158 Manufacture of other food products 3 562 1 896 3 455 4 234 13 146 241 Manufacture of basic chemicals 1 097 3 504 5 184 2 886 12 672 295 Manufacture of other special purpose machinery 2 030 3 863 5 170 1 437 12 500 292 Manufacture of other general purpose machinery 2 859 2 649 5 769 785 12 062 2 724 2 370 4 595 1 158 10 846 3 642 851 5 078 1 226 10 796 322 221 Publishing Manufacture of pharmaceuticals, medicinal chemicals and 244 botanical products Source: Own calculations. DNK FIN SWE POL BSR 879 22 369 19 047 818 43 113 284 15 702 11 203 1 365 28 554 0 352 18 074 6 491 24 918 Top branches in the BSR – relative share in the turnover of the benchmark group The list of top branches as measured by falling shares in total turnover of the benchmark group brings a rather unexpected result as to the overall leader. The BSR generates 95 per cent of total turnover of the EU16 group in manufacture of coke oven products. In fact this is due to a particularly strong position of Poland in this declining sector with no importance at all to the Polish not mentioning the BSR economy. The true regional leader is manufacture of pulp and paper. Table 4 Top 10 groups in terms of their share in total turnover of EU16 NACE 231 211 201 314 351 352 Name Manufacture of coke oven products Manufacture of pulp, paper and paperboard Saw milling and planing of wood, impregnation of wood Manufacture of accumulators, primary cells and primary batteries Building and repairing of ships and boats Manufacture of railway, tramway locomotives, rolling stock Manufacture of veneer sheets; manufacture of plywood, laminboard, particle 202 board, fiber board and other panels and boards Manufacture of television and radio transmitters and apparatus for line telephony 322 and line telegraphy 155 Manufacture of dairy products 265 Manufacture of cement, lime and plaster Source: Own calculations. Total share of BSR 95.0 34.2 28.3 28.2 26.7 23.2 22.1 21.0 19.7 19.3 9 COMPETITIVE POSITION OF THE BALTIC SEA REGION Regional specialization (concentration) patterns vis a vis the benchmark group The shares of the region in total employment and turnover of the benchmark group point to certain areas of particular relevance. It is worth, however, to go even further and to calculate the so called location quotients (LQs). These are calculated as ratios of shares of given sectors in a given region to shares of the same sectors in the benchmark group. LQs can be thus considered as measures of relative concentration within a region or as indicators of relative specialization of a given region. For obvious reasons they are particularly appealing to us as well. It is worthwhile to calculate LQs for each of the analyzed economies separately and the whole BSR region taken a whole5. At first we will focus on employment. The following table presents sectors for each of the states with LQs at 1.25 and above. In other words these are the sectors in the case of which specialization is higher than by 25 per cent above the EU16 average. In the majority of studies this is considered as the lowest threshold level indicative of significant specialization within a particular branch. When we look at location quotients for each of the analyzed four Baltic States a certain – interesting pattern of specialization emerges. In the majority of 3-digit NACE groups on the list we find high LQs at least in the case of two out of four analyzed BSR states. It seems that despite enormous heterogeneity of the Baltic Sea Region in certain sectors the whole region is specialized. Nonetheless it seems that in terms of location quotients for employment (or in other words in specialization pattern) Denmark is most similar to Poland and Finland is most similar to Sweden. In all four countries the mix of sectors is balanced with both traditional as well as non-traditional (high-tech branches) present. The composition off course differs an reflects national characteristics. It is worth to note that in only one branch all four nations have an LQ for employment above EU16 average. This is in the case of manufacture of other special purpose machinery (NACE 295). It is also likely to be the case in manufacture of dairy products (NACE 155), however, we miss here data for Denmark. In 15 out of 103 NACE groups at least three out of four analyzed countries seem to be specialized. What does it mean for cooperation among Baltic enterprises? Some outcomes could be envisaged. First of all, the companies could be 5 We miss data for employment for 26 sectors for Denmark, 15 sectors for Finland, 14 sectors for Sweden and only two for Poland. 10 COMPETITIVE POSITION OF THE BALTIC SEA REGION functioning on regional and local markets and thus do not have to be direct competitors. Secondly, they could be competing on international markets, however, in different segments of the market – in particular if opportunities for intra-industry specialization are significant. Finally they could be competing with each other directly. In all three cases mutual cooperation is possible. However its type and intensity will vary. Furthermore general efficiency stimulating reallocation could also occur within the Baltic Sea Rim which could increase competitive position of a region as a whole. Table 5 Relative specialization in employment in comparison to EU16 NACE 152 221 323 311 291 293 157 351 151 266 203 342 244 361 183 292 287 334 331 158 211 322 202 201 351 364 271 311 295 221 203 333 Name Denmark Processing and preserving of fish and fish products Publishing Manufacture of television and radio receivers, sound or video recording or reproducing apparatus and associated goods Manufacture of electric motors, generators and transformers Manufacture of machinery for the production and use of mechanical power, except aircraft, vehicle and cycle engines Manufacture of agricultural and forestry machinery Manufacture of prepared animal feeds Building and repairing of ships and boats Production, processing, preserving of meat, meat products Manufacture of articles of concrete, plaster, cement Manufacture of builders' carpentry and joinery Manufacture of bodies (coachwork) for motor vehicles; manufacture of trailers and semi-trailers Manufacture of pharmaceuticals, medicinal chemicals and botanical products Manufacture of furniture Dressing and dyeing of fur; manufacture of articles of fur Manufacture of other general purpose machinery Manufacture of other fabricated metal products Manufacture of optical instruments and photographic equipment Manufacture of medical and surgical equipment and orthopedic appliances Manufacture of other food products Finland Manufacture of pulp, paper and paperboard Manufacture of television and radio transmitters and apparatus for line telephony and line telegraphy Manufacture of veneer sheets; manufacture of plywood, laminboard, particle board, fiber board and other panels and boards Saw milling and planing of wood, impregnation of wood Building and repairing of ships and boats Manufacture of sports goods Manufacture of basic iron and steel and of ferro-alloys (ECSC) Manufacture of electric motors, generators and transformers Manufacture of other special purpose machinery Publishing Manufacture of builders' carpentry and joinery Manufacture of automatic control systems LQ for employment 4.088 3.193 2.982 2.935 2.313 2.251 2.181 2.143 1.787 1.648 1.625 1.563 1.532 1.517 1.508 1.500 1.496 1.423 1.295 1.262 10.967 5.885 4.168 4.164 3.292 2.427 2.102 1.929 1.904 1.744 1.726 1.683 11 COMPETITIVE POSITION OF THE BALTIC SEA REGION NACE 342 293 296 266 181 313 274 183 231 352 232 265 351 155 153 201 271 264 202 261 182 247 313 152 159 151 156 172 315 171 275 371 262 361 323 273 333 293 154 177 245 176 314 211 322 201 Name Manufacture of bodies (coachwork) for motor vehicles; manufacture of trailers and semi-trailers Manufacture of agricultural and forestry machinery Manufacture of weapons and ammunition Manufacture of articles of concrete, plaster, cement Manufacture of leather clothes Manufacture of insulated wire and cable Manufacture of basic precious and non-ferrous metals Dressing and dyeing of fur; manufacture of articles of fur Poland Manufacture of coke oven products Manufacture of railway, tramway locomotives, rolling stock Manufacture of refined petroleum products Manufacture of cement, lime and plaster Building and repairing of ships and boats Manufacture of dairy products Processing and preserving of fruit and vegetables Sawmilling and planing of wood, impregnation of wood Manufacture of basic iron and steel and of ferro-alloys (ECSC) Manufacture of bricks, tiles and construction products Manufacture of veneer sheets; manufacture of plywood, laminboard, particle board, fiber board and other panels and boards Manufacture of glass and glass products Manufacture of other wearing apparel and accessories Manufacture of man-made fibers Manufacture of insulated wire and cable Processing and preserving of fish and fish products Manufacture of beverages Production, processing, preserving of meat, meat products Manufacture of grain mill products, starches and starch products Textile weaving Manufacture of lighting equipment and electric lamps Preparation and spinning of textile fibers Casting of metals Recycling of metal waste and scrap Manufacture of non-refractory ceramic goods other than for construction purposes; manufacture of refractory ceramic products Manufacture of furniture Manufacture of television and radio receivers, sound or video recording or reproducing apparatus and associated goods Other first processing of iron and steel and production of non-ECSC ferro-alloys Manufacture of automatic control systems Manufacture of agricultural and forestry machinery Manufacture of vegetable and animal oils and fats Manufacture of knitted and crocheted articles Manufacture of soap, detergents, cleaning, polishing Manufacture of knitted and crocheted fabrics Sweden Manufacture of accumulators, primary cells and primary batteries Manufacture of pulp, paper and paperboard Manufacture of television and radio transmitters and apparatus for line telephony and line telegraphy Sawmilling and planing of wood, impregnation of wood LQ for employment 1.668 1.608 1.487 1.294 1.292 1.279 1.261 1.260 15.864 3.158 3.057 3.030 2.728 2.556 2.505 2.146 2.097 2.076 2.074 1.889 1.835 1.832 1.762 1.707 1.599 1.582 1.579 1.551 1.550 1.489 1.458 1.442 1.432 1.406 1.398 1.367 1.354 1.334 1.332 1.328 1.295 1.264 8.283 5.327 3.463 3.343 12 COMPETITIVE POSITION OF THE BALTIC SEA REGION NACE Name 296 273 341 285 154 221 203 313 352 244 287 Manufacture of weapons and ammunition Other first processing of iron and steel and production of non-ECSC ferro-alloys Manufacture of motor vehicles Treatment and coating of metals; general mechanical engineering Manufacture of vegetable and animal oils and fats Publishing Manufacture of builders' carpentry and joinery Manufacture of insulated wire and cable Manufacture of railway, tramway locomotives, rolling stock Manufacture of pharmaceuticals, medicinal chemicals and botanical products Manufacture of other fabricated metal products Manufacture of television and radio receivers, sound or video recording or 323 reproducing apparatus and associated goods 294 Manufacture of machine-tools 297 Manufacture of domestic appliances n.e.c. 364 Manufacture of sports goods 292 Manufacture of other general purpose machinery 343 Manufacture of parts, accessories for motor vehicles 311 Manufacture of electric motors, generators and transformers Source: Own calculations. LQ for employment 3.237 2.150 1.766 1.690 1.660 1.652 1.632 1.470 1.442 1.434 1.424 1.422 1.406 1.349 1.330 1.296 1.252 1.250 We would like to look at significant concentrations in terms of employment from the regional (BSR) perspective. In order to do so we have calculated an LQ for each of the analyzed sectors within the BSR as a weighted average of LQs for each of the national economies (the weight set as the share of a given state in total employment level of a given sector within the BSR). The top scorers are (LQ>1.25) given in the following table. It comes at no surprise that the highest LQ is in manufacturing of pulp, paper and paperboard (NACE 211). The top scorers represent several significant industries (clusters). These are: wood, furniture and pulp and paper (forest), agro-food (food processing), maritime (shipbuilding, fishing and fish processing), ICT and related electrics, fashion. Table 6 Sectors with highest LQs in employment for the Baltic Sea Region NACE 211 314 322 201 351 202 152 153 221 323 311 182 Name Manufacture of pulp, paper and paperboard Manufacture of accumulators, primary cells and primary batteries Manufacture of television and radio transmitters and apparatus for line telephony and line telegraphy Sawmilling and planing of wood, impregnation of wood Building and repairing of ships and boats Manufacture of veneer sheets; manufacture of plywood, laminboard, particle board, fiber board and other panels and boards Processing and preserving of fish and fish products Processing and preserving of fruit and vegetables Publishing Manufacture of television and radio receivers, sound or video recording or reproducing apparatus and associated goods Manufacture of electric motors, generators and transformers Manufacture of other wearing apparel and accessories LQ 7.227 6.475 3.913 2.879 2.591 2.438 2.349 2.126 1.955 1.781 1.728 1.661 13 COMPETITIVE POSITION OF THE BALTIC SEA REGION NACE 261 313 293 151 172 203 295 315 156 Name LQ Manufacture of glass and glass products 1.602 Manufacture of insulated wire and cable 1.583 Manufacture of agricultural and forestry machinery 1.505 Production, processing, preserving of meat, meat products 1.458 Textile weaving 1.414 Manufacture of builders' carpentry and joinery 1.358 Manufacture of other special purpose machinery 1.345 Manufacture of lighting equipment and electric lamps 1.336 Manufacture of grain mill products, starches and starch products 1.327 Manufacture of machinery for the production and use of mechanical power, except 291 1.327 aircraft, vehicle and cycle engines 333 Manufacture of automatic control systems 1.323 361 Manufacture of furniture 1.298 285 Treatment and coating of metals; general mechanical engineering 1.268 Source: Own calculations based on NEW CRONOS and GUS. LQ for the BSR calculated as a weighted average from LQs in employment for individual states; weights – shares in total employment of the BSR. Adopting a similar approach we focus now on turnover data just in order to check whether similar specialization pattern will emerge. At first we look at national high-points. In Denmark two sectors exceed the EU16 average more than four times (suggesting particularly high specialization). These are fish processing and manufacture of electric motors. In Finland this the case in 3 sectors: manufacture of pulp and paper, manufacture of television and radio transmitters as well as basic processing of wood. In Poland this is only the case in manufacturing of coke oven products (similarly to employment, the result of a decadent character of the sector in the EU). In Sweden it is only the case in basic wood processing. We have to note, however, that the other top scorers are the same as in Finland. It further proves the similarity between these two neighboring economies. Table 7 Sectors with LQ for turnover higher than 25 per cent above the EU-16 average NACE 152 311 334 151 157 351 203 342 361 291 331 244 293 Name Denmark Processing and preserving of fish and fish products Manufacture of electric motors, generators and transformers Manufacture of optical instruments and photographic equipment Production, processing, preserving of meat, meat products Manufacture of prepared animal feeds Building and repairing of ships and boats Manufacture of builders' carpentry and joinery Manufacture of bodies (coachwork) for motor vehicles; manufacture of trailers and semi-trailers Manufacture of furniture Manufacture of machinery for the production and use of mechanical power, except aircraft, vehicle and cycle engines Manufacture of medical and surgical equipment and orthopedic appliances Manufacture of pharmaceuticals, medicinal chemicals and botanical products Manufacture of agricultural and forestry machinery LQ for turnover 6.931 5.034 3.491 2.931 2.756 2.693 2.590 2.301 2.291 2.191 2.117 2.079 2.051 14 COMPETITIVE POSITION OF THE BALTIC SEA REGION NACE Name 266 221 Manufacture of articles of concrete, plaster, cement Publishing Manufacture of television and radio receivers, sound or video recording or reproducing apparatus and associated goods Manufacture of other general purpose machinery Manufacture of other fabricated metal products Dressing and dyeing of fur; manufacture of articles of fur Printing and service activities related to printing Manufacture of other food products Manufacture of made-up textile articles, except apparel Manufacture of knitted and crocheted articles Manufacture of lighting equipment and electric lamps Manufacture of structural metal products Manufacture of other special purpose machinery Manufacture of plastic products Manufacture of articles of paper and paperboard Manufacture of instruments and appliances for measuring, checking, testing, navigating and other purposes, except industrial process control equipment Finland Manufacture of pulp, paper and paperboard Manufacture of television and radio transmitters and apparatus for line telephony and line telegraphy Sawmilling and planing of wood, impregnation of wood Building and repairing of ships and boats Manufacture of veneer sheets; manufacture of plywood, laminboard, particle board, fiber board and other panels and boards Manufacture of electric motors, generators and transformers Manufacture of basic iron and steel and of ferro-alloys (ECSC) Manufacture of builders' carpentry and joinery Manufacture of steam generators, except central heating hot water boilers Manufacture of other special purpose machinery Manufacture of agricultural and forestry machinery Manufacture of sports goods Manufacture of basic precious and non-ferrous metals Manufacture of automatic control systems Manufacture of machinery for the production and use of mechanical power, except aircraft, vehicle and cycle engines Manufacture of medical and surgical equipment and orthopedic appliances Manufacture of articles of concrete, plaster, cement Manufacture of bodies (coachwork) for motor vehicles; manufacture of trailers and semi-trailers Dressing and dyeing of fur; manufacture of articles of fur Manufacture of insulated wire and cable Publishing Manufacture of other general purpose machinery Poland Manufacture of coke oven products Building and repairing of ships and boats Manufacture of veneer sheets; manufacture of plywood, laminboard, particle board, fiber board and other panels and boards Manufacture of cement, lime and plaster Manufacture of refined petroleum products 323 292 287 183 222 158 174 177 315 281 295 252 212 332 211 322 201 351 202 311 271 203 283 295 293 364 274 333 291 331 266 342 183 313 221 292 231 351 202 265 232 LQ for turnover 1.902 1.874 1.858 1.749 1.618 1.578 1.566 1.545 1.543 1.431 1.374 1.360 1.344 1.317 1.304 1.287 10.770 8.738 6.546 2.923 2.278 1.923 1.856 1.830 1.682 1.652 1.529 1.463 1.448 1.445 1.305 1.133 1.107 1.104 1.079 1.066 1.053 1.047 48.939 3.064 2.976 2.898 2.856 15 COMPETITIVE POSITION OF THE BALTIC SEA REGION NACE 313 271 153 159 264 352 Name Manufacture of insulated wire and cable Manufacture of basic iron and steel and of ferro-alloys (ECSC) Processing and preserving of fruit and vegetables Manufacture of beverages Manufacture of bricks, tiles and construction products Manufacture of railway, tramway locomotives, rolling stock Manufacture of television and radio receivers, sound or video recording or 323 reproducing apparatus and associated goods 371 Recycling of metal waste and scrap 315 Manufacture of lighting equipment and electric lamps 245 Manufacture of soap, detergents, cleaning, polishing 247 Manufacture of man-made fibres 155 Manufacture of dairy products 151 Production, processing, preserving of meat, meat products 273 Other first processing of iron and steel and production of non-ECSC ferro-alloys 242 Manufacture of pesticides and other agro-chemical products 314 Manufacture of accumulators, primary cells and primary batteries Manufacture of non-refractory ceramic goods other than for construction purposes; 262 manufacture of refractory ceramic products 157 Manufacture of prepared animal feeds 261 Manufacture of glass and glass products 361 Manufacture of furniture 152 Processing and preserving of fish and fish products 201 Sawmilling and planing of wood, impregnation of wood Sweden 201 Sawmilling and planing of wood, impregnation of wood 211 Manufacture of pulp, paper and paperboard Manufacture of television and radio transmitters and apparatus for line telephony 322 and line telegraphy 296 Manufacture of weapons and ammunition 314 Manufacture of accumulators, primary cells and primary batteries 203 Manufacture of builders' carpentry and joinery 273 Other first processing of iron and steel and production of non-ECSC ferro-alloys 352 Manufacture of railway, tramway locomotives, rolling stock 313 Manufacture of insulated wire and cable 331 Manufacture of medical and surgical equipment and orthopedic appliances 294 Manufacture of machine-tools 285 Treatment and coating of metals; general mechanical engineering 333 Manufacture of automatic control systems 292 Manufacture of other general purpose machinery 295 Manufacture of other special purpose machinery 341 Manufacture of motor vehicles 221 Publishing Source: Own calculations. LQ for turnover 2.413 2.312 2.214 2.163 2.024 2.018 1.906 1.901 1.869 1.755 1.670 1.642 1.557 1.531 1.520 1.518 1.468 1.456 1.419 1.416 1.364 1.306 5.461 4.723 4.573 2.952 2.161 2.089 1.987 1.941 1.622 1.616 1.574 1.450 1.417 1.401 1.359 1.308 1.255 Similarly to the procedure adopted above for analysis of location quotients for employment in the next step we move from national focus to a broader Baltic perspective. In order to do so we have calculated an LQ for each of the analyzed sectors within the BSR as a weighted average of LQs for each of the national economies (the weight set this time as the share of a given state in total employment level of a given sector within the BSR). In the following table 16 COMPETITIVE POSITION OF THE BALTIC SEA REGION we present only those sectors with a weighted LQ above the 1.25 threshold (there are altogether 26 3-digit NACE sectors fulfilling that criteria). It is quite noticeable that the top sectors clearly reflect major contributors to regional turnover situated mainly in Sweden and Finland. These are: manufacturing of pulp, paper and paperboard (NACE 211), manufacture of television and radio transmitters and basic wood processing (NACE 201). It is worth to note as well fish processing (particularly important for Denmark and to a smaller extent to Poland). Once again we notice sectors representative for key regional clusters: wood, furniture and pulp and paper (forest), agro-food (food processing), maritime (shipbuilding, fishing and fish processing), ICT and related electrics. In comparison to data on employment we notice that fashion (textiles and apparel) is missing but the significance of biotechnology related branches (pharmaceuticals and cosmetics), manufacture of machinery and automatic control systems as well automotive cluster is more visible. Table 8 Sectors with highest LQs in turnover for the Baltic Sea Region NACE 211 322 201 152 311 351 334 202 203 314 313 151 331 323 153 361 291 245 295 293 342 292 315 244 221 333 Name Manufacture of pulp, paper and paperboard Manufacture of television and radio transmitters and apparatus for line telephony and line telegraphy Sawmilling and planing of wood, impregnation of wood Processing and preserving of fish and fish products Manufacture of electric motors, generators and transformers Building and repairing of ships and boats Manufacture of optical instruments and photographic equipment Manufacture of veneer sheets; manufacture of plywood, laminboard, particle board, fiber board and other panels and boards Manufacture of builders' carpentry and joinery Manufacture of accumulators, primary cells and primary batteries Manufacture of insulated wire and cable Production, processing, preserving of meat, meat products Manufacture of medical and surgical equipment and orthopedic appliances Manufacture of television and radio receivers, sound or video recording or reproducing apparatus and associated goods Processing and preserving of fruit and vegetables Manufacture of furniture Manufacture of machinery for the production and use of mechanical power, except aircraft, vehicle and cycle engines Manufacture of soap, detergents, cleaning, polishing Manufacture of other special purpose machinery Manufacture of agricultural and forestry machinery Manufacture of bodies (coachwork) for motor vehicles; manufacture of trailers and semi-trailers Manufacture of other general purpose machinery Manufacture of lighting equipment and electric lamps Manufacture of pharmaceuticals, medicinal chemicals and botanical products Publishing Manufacture of automatic control systems LQ 7.824 6.571 5.420 4.647 2.976 2.607 2.449 2.179 1.999 1.887 1.755 1.745 1.562 1.554 1.473 1.417 1.411 1.364 1.362 1.361 1.360 1.335 1.322 1.319 1.288 1.281 17 COMPETITIVE POSITION OF THE BALTIC SEA REGION Source: Own calculations. Strategic drivers of regional economy The preceding analysis clearly points towards a number of manufacturing industry sectors as well as groups of sectors (clusters) with particular significance for employment and/or turnover in the case of individual national economies as well as at regional niveau. In attempt to correctly designate the key drivers of regional (the BSR) economy we have to take those two strategic factors into account simultaneously (employment and turnover). In the following section we will present results of two similar however methodologically different approaches and than compare the resulting outcomes. The first method … size matters It is worth to note (and this is particularly the case in cluster analysis) that absolute or relative size matters. If we want to designated the key (strategic) drivers we have to take into account an absolute or relative size of the sectors itself. We have decided to use for this shares of the BSR in total employment and turnover of the whole EU16 (considered to constitute an appropriate reference group). To sum up the key sector should have an averaged LQ for turnover and employment at least 25 per cent higher than the reference group and respectable shares in the turnover and employment of the reference group. Out of all analyzed manufacturing industry 3-digit NACE sectors only 24 fulfilled the criteria that have been listed above. They are representing 10 different industrial branches both of traditional and non-traditional type. As could have been expected manufacturing of pulp, paper and paperboard is the most significant (and thus strategic) concentration within the BSR exceeding the EU16 average by 6.5 times and having an approximately 35 per cent share in total employment and turnover of the benchmark group. It is followed by an ICT sector – production of television and radio transmitters and apparatus for line telephony and line telegraphy (4.3 times above the EU15 average), production of accumulators, primary cells and primary batteries as well as basic wood processing (both 3.1 times above the average). It is worth to note furthermore that we have at least three important concentrations in the agrofood business: processing of meat, fish and fruits and vegetables, 6 in the forest products cluster, 3 in production of specialized machinery manufacturing, 4 in electric appliances, 2 other in electronics, 3 in specialized equipment as well as in shipbuilding. To understand the 18 COMPETITIVE POSITION OF THE BALTIC SEA REGION importance of these sectors for the regional economy we have to note that in 2000 within the BSR they generated altogether 1.34 million jobs, had a total turnover of 187.3 billion euro and exported onto the EU16 market 42 billion euro of goods. In addition thirteen other sectors had the averaged LQ exceeding the EU16 average but lower than the threshold level of 1.25 we set beforehand (please refer to Table 10). These sectors generated an additional 0.64 million jobs, had a joint turnover of 77.7 billion euro and exported onto the EU16 market good in the value of 21.3 billion euro. The group includes among others sectors from the following branches: textiles, pharmaceuticals and cosmetics, machinery and automotive industry. The next table (please refer to Table 11) presents all residual sectors that had the averaged LQ below of the EU16 mean but still are worth noticing because of their significance in terms of the BSR share in turnover and employment of the benchmark group of countries (EU15 and Poland). We have to notice that some of them are related or supplementary to the strategic sectors – constituting an integral part of a multisectoral clusters. For instance manufacture of wooden containers, manufacture of other products of wood; manufacture of articles of cork, straw and plaiting materials, manufacture of articles of paper and paperboard as well as printing and service activities related to printing are all integral parts of the forest products clusters (later on – in the second part of the report we will divide it into two subclusters: wood and furniture and 3P clusters respectively). 19 Table 9 The top sectors of the Baltic Sea Region in comparison to the benchmark group* NACE 211 Name LQw_emp LQw_tur LQw_av BSR share in EU16 BSR share in EU16 employment turnover 34.2 37.1 Manufacture of pulp, paper and paperboard 7.23 7.82 7.53 Manufacture of television and radio transmitters and apparatus for line telephony 322 3.91 6.57 5.24 and line telegraphy 314 Manufacture of accumulators, primary cells and primary batteries 6.48 1.89 4.18 201 Sawmilling and planing of wood, impregnation of wood 2.88 5.42 4.15 152 Processing and preserving of fish and fish products 2.35 4.65 3.50 351 Building and repairing of ships and boats 2.59 2.61 2.60 311 Manufacture of electric motors, generators and transformers 1.73 2.98 2.35 Manufacture of veneer sheets; manufacture of plywood, laminboard, particle 202 2.44 2.18 2.31 board, fiber board and other panels and boards 153 Processing and preserving of fruit and vegetables 2.13 1.47 1.80 203 Manufacture of builders' carpentry and joinery 1.36 2.00 1.68 313 Manufacture of insulated wire and cable 1.58 1.75 1.67 Manufacture of television and radio receivers, sound or video recording or 323 1.78 1.55 1.67 reproducing apparatus and associated goods 334 Manufacture of optical instruments and photographic equipment 0.86 2.45 1.66 221 Publishing 1.96 1.29 1.62 151 Production, processing, preserving of meat, meat products 1.46 1.75 1.60 293 Manufacture of agricultural and forestry machinery 1.50 1.36 1.43 Manufacture of machinery for the production and use of mechanical power, except 291 1.33 1.41 1.37 aircraft, vehicle and cycle engines 361 Manufacture of furniture 1.30 1.42 1.36 295 Manufacture of other special purpose machinery 1.35 1.36 1.35 315 Manufacture of lighting equipment and electric lamps 1.34 1.32 1.33 333 Manufacture of industrial process control equipment 1.32 1.28 1.30 261 Manufacture of glass and glass products 1.60 0.96 1.28 331 Manufacture of medical and surgical equipment and orthopedic appliances 0.95 1.56 1.26 285 Treatment and casting of metals; general mechanical engineering 1.27 1.24 1.25 Source: Own calculations. *sectors with an average of weighted LQs for employment and turnover above the 25 per cent of EU16 average 21.0 31.9 28.2 28.3 18.9 26.7 14.9 10.0 32.7 13.8 17.3 14.5 22.1 13.6 19.1 13.6 17.6 9.2 14.8 12.8 17.2 10.0 4.8 14.4 15.2 15.9 6.7 9.1 10.2 9.4 12.7 9.8 14.3 15.0 14.4 14.1 15.2 8.4 8.2 9.2 10.1 9.4 9.1 6.5 10.4 7.7 COMPETITIVE POSITION OF THE BALTIC SEA REGION Table 10 Sectors of the Baltic Sea Region* NACE 245 Name LQw_emp LQw_tur LQw_av Manufacture of soap, detergents, cleaning, polishing 1.13 1.36 1.25 Manufacture of bodies (coachwork) for motor vehicles; manufacture of trailers 342 1.10 1.36 1.23 and semi-trailers 244 Manufacture of pharmaceuticals, medicinal chemicals and botanical products 1.14 1.32 1.23 292 Manufacture of other general purpose machinery 1.09 1.33 1.21 341 Manufacture of motor vehicles 1.23 1.15 1.19 266 Manufacture of articles of concrete, plaster, cement 1.15 1.21 1.18 287 Manufacture of other fabricated metal products 1.15 1.17 1.16 182 Manufacture of other wearing apparel and accessories 1.66 0.64 1.15 294 Manufacture of machine-tools 1.04 1.21 1.13 156 Manufacture of grain mill products, starches and starch products 1.33 0.86 1.09 274 Manufacture of basic precious and non-ferrous metals 1.06 1.05 1.05 177 Manufacture of knitted and crocheted articles 1.16 0.91 1.04 172 Textile weaving 1.41 0.63 1.02 Source: Own calculations. *sectors with an average of weighted LQs for employment and turnover in the range from 1 to 1.25 BSR share in EU16 BSR share in EU16 employment turnover 9.5 4.6 9.4 7.6 11.8 10.4 7.8 12.3 12.2 12.4 11.1 13.2 11.9 9.8 10.4 7.5 9.0 5.6 8.5 8.3 3.6 7.4 6.3 7.6 4.1 2.8 21 COMPETITIVE POSITION OF THE BALTIC SEA REGION Table 7 Residual group of NACE sectors with the average LQ below 1 but a relatively high share in EU16 turnover and employment NACE 204 241 Name Manufacture of wooden containers Manufacture of basic chemicals Manufacture of other products of wood; manufacture of articles of cork, straw 205 and plaiting materials 251 Manufacture of rubber products 366 Miscellaneous manufacturing n.e.c. 252 Manufacture of plastic products 343 Manufacture of parts, accessories for motor vehicles 175 Manufacture of other textiles 212 Manufacture of articles of paper and paperboard 174 Manufacture of made-up textile articles, except apparel 354 Manufacture of motorcycles and bicycles 158 Manufacture of other food products 281 Manufacture of structural metal products 183 Dressing and dyeing of fur; manufacture of articles of fur 181 Manufacture of leather clothes 316 Manufacture of electrical equipment n.e.c. Manufacture of instruments and appliances for measuring, checking, testing, 332 navigating and other purposes, except industrial process control equipment 222 Printing and service activities related to printing 243 Manufacture of paints, varnishes and similar coatings, printing ink and mastics 286 Manufacture of cutlery, tools and general hardware 353 Manufacture of aircraft and spacecraft 321 Manufacture of electronic valves and tubes and other electronic components 312 Manufacture of electricity distribution and control apparatus 363 Manufacture of musical instruments Source: Own calculations. 0.98 0.82 BSR share in EU16 employment 10.9 10.8 BSR share in EU16 turnover 7.4 5.2 0.73 0.82 10.1 5.2 0.93 0.89 0.88 1.04 0.84 0.88 0.88 0.89 0.87 0.82 0.96 0.90 0.85 0.76 0.70 0.85 0.90 0.89 0.92 0.89 0.73 1.04 0.95 1.01 0.57 0.59 0.84 0.79 0.87 0.97 0.87 0.90 0.88 0.81 0.95 0.88 0.99 0.73 0.72 10.1 9.8 9.8 9.7 9.6 9.5 9.3 9.3 9.3 9.1 9.0 8.9 8.8 5.6 5.3 6.2 5.1 6.6 6.6 5.5 4.6 7.0 7.3 6.1 3.7 4.4 0.84 0.90 0.87 8.5 6.3 0.90 0.80 0.79 0.85 0.75 0.52 0.64 1.07 0.82 0.98 0.45 0.49 0.43 0.63 0.98 0.81 0.89 0.65 0.62 0.47 0.64 8.4 8.4 8.3 7.7 6.8 5.9 5.8 7.6 6.3 6.9 2.2 3.3 3.3 2.9 LQw_emp LQw_tur LQw_av 0.97 0.97 0.99 0.66 0.92 22 The second method … trade performance counts as well As we have noted already in our study we could follow as well another approach. As the subtitle above clearly suggest this time we will take into account trade performance in order to identify the key sectors within the Baltic Sea Region. In order to do so we have arbitrarily decided to set the following set of criteria remembering that each individual criterion must be fulfilled simultaneously. These are: a share of the BSR in the total turnover and employment of the reference group in 2000 exceeding 5 per cent, location quotient for employment and turnover of the BSR region calculated as a geometric average of LQs for four economies higher than 1 – thus exceeding an average for the EU16 and last but not least a surplus in trade with the EU16 (calculated as a sum of trade balances of each of the states). What is the logic behind the choice of criteria? Simultaneous fulfillment of all of them means that a given sector could be said to be concentrated within the BSR, is significant in terms of employment and turnover and is able to generate trade surplus (in other words its ratio of exports to imports at the BSR level must be greater than one which is considered to be indicative of comparative advantage in trade (Brodzicki 2003). The criteria are simultaneously satisfied by only 20 sectors (pleas note that in the following table the sectors are presented in accordance with rising NACE codes). The sectors come from varied industrial branches both low as well as high-tech which clearly reflects the heterogeneity (diversity) of the regional economy. It is worth to note, that they present the most significant clusters of the region if we adopt a meat-cluster approach to analyzing structure of economy. The list includes among others: agro-food (meat and fruits and vegetables processing, dairy products), wood processing – paper – furniture (forest cluster as defined in Finland), ICT and maritime (shipbuilding and as well as fish processing). Overall analysis by both methods leads to very similar results. There is a similar – repeating set of manufacturing industry sectors which seems to have strategic importance to the economy of the Baltic Sea Region. Furthermore, the cluster-focused approach could bring more fruits than analysis focused on disaggregated sectors. It will be therefore fully utilized in the second – more focused part of the present report. If we have identified the sectors (as well as potential clusters) of strategic importance it seems important to ask whether they are growing or shrinking in particular in terms of employment. This could indicated their rising or falling importance to the economy of the region. An additional analysis of shifts in employment levels will be carried out in the subsequent section. COMPETITIVE POSITION OF THE BALTIC SEA REGION Table 11 Key drivers – 20 NACE sectors fulfilling all five criteria* Total share of Total share of Geometric Geometric BSR’s trade BSR in BSR in average of LQ average of LQ balance employment turnover employment turnover (mill. of euro) (per cent) (per cent) 15.16 1.14 10.23 1.27 1 719 NACE Name 151 Production, processing, preserving of meat, meat products 152 Processing and preserving of fish and fish products 18.95 1.20 13.78 1.16 1 205 153 Processing and preserving of fruit and vegetables 19.15 1.02 9.17 1.06 130 155 Manufacture of dairy products 19.66 1.47 7.67 1.13 644 201 28.31 2.10 32.69 2.48 2 311 22.14 1.67 13.59 1.48 278 203 Saw milling and planing of wood, impregnation of wood Manufacture of veneer sheets; manufacture of plywood, laminboard, particle board, fiber board and other panels and boards Manufacture of builders' carpentry and joinery 13.64 1.37 14.81 1.74 1 004 211 Manufacture of pulp, paper and paperboard 34.23 1.95 37.11 1.95 9 017 232 Manufacture of refined petroleum products 18.26 3.06 5.36 2.86 310 265 Manufacture of cement, lime and plaster 19.34 1.21 6.98 1.20 6 266 Manufacture of articles of concrete, plaster, cement 12.26 1.11 8.48 1.11 155 271 Manufacture of basic iron and steel and of ferro-alloys (ECSC) 15.52 2.10 7.86 2.07 235 311 Manufacture of electric motors, generators and transformers 14.90 1.52 14.46 1.54 186 313 Manufacture of insulated wire and cable 17.57 1.33 12.77 1.43 46 315 14.35 1.05 9.40 1.16 2 20.96 1.61 31.91 1.62 533 17.24 1.32 10.01 1.02 579 351 Manufacture of lighting equipment and electric lamps Manufacture of television and radio transmitters and apparatus for line telephony and line telegraphy Manufacture of television and radio receivers, sound or video recording or reproducing apparatus and associated goods Building and repairing of ships and boats 26.73 2.08 17.28 2.14 667 352 Manufacture of railway, tramway locomotives, rolling stock 23.23 1.29 10.27 1.01 48 14.26 1.12 9.17 1.14 2 895 202 322 323 361 Manufacture of furniture Source: Own calculations.* the sectors are presented in accordance with rising NACE codes 24 COMPETITIVE POSITION OF THE BALTIC SEA REGION Employment sifts – indication of intra-regional reallocation? From theoretical perspective location of manufacturing industry is determined through interplay of economic factors such as revealed comparative advantage, agglomeration economies and other externalities (for instance knowledge spillovers), absolute and relative endowments in factors of production, scale economies or intensity of backward and forward linkages as well as policy-related factors – policy-instruments affecting location following discretionary policy-objectives of national and/or regional authorities6. The policy can either enhance (encourage) or dampen the effects of economic factors. We have to note, that the mix of determinants of course varies considerably from sector to sector and clearly has a sectoral dimension. Furthermore, as economy is in constant process of dynamic adjustment (hypothesis of permanent transition) the determinants of location are likely to change within medium to long-run thus affecting location decisions of enterprises. We must stress that the process of economic integration (in global and regional terms in particular), both in its negative (liberalization) and positive (policy coordination, harmonization or unification) dimension, can affect location of manufacturing industry. Baldwin and Wyplosz (2004) suggest that at the aggregated level the European economic integration so far had a relatively modest impact on the location of industry with major shifts occurring within nations than among them. At the more disaggregated level certain facts (mainly related to composition of economic activity within each nation) point to some shifts of location. We have to take account of the fact that Europe is a highly centralized continent as far as economic activity is concerned. The Euro core clearly dominates with one-seventh of total area, one-third of population but half of economic activity in general (Baldwin and Wyplosz 2004). From geographical perspective the majority of the BSR is situation in the peripheral regions of Europe with an exception of Denmark, southern Sweden and north-eastern Germany considered to be in the so-called intermediate regions. All the shifts between the core and peripheral regions will thus directly affect the BSR. It is thus important to detect 6 Supranational policy could also effect location. This in particular applies to the European Union an the type of its structural policies. Certain evidence exists suggesting that structural spending does effect location of industries in particular high-skilled 25 COMPETITIVE POSITION OF THE BALTIC SEA REGION long-term trends in location of business activity in the core-periphery setting within the European Union in general. Furthermore, the accession of new countries significantly increased the area of peripheral regions of Europe (this applies in particular to the BSR) – a fact which could further intensify shifts in location of both manufacturing industry and services in the medium to long run. Amiti (1999) provides empirical evidence for increasing specialization in the European Union following deepening of the process – mainly due to gradual elimination of trade barriers and barriers to freedom of movement of factors of production. Amiti expects that further deepening and consecutive enlargements will result in increasing geographical concentration of industries within the core or peripheral regions (depending on the specific character of the sector) resulting in better allocation of resources and greater effectiveness. If this is the case we should expect regional specialization to occur within the peripheral BSR as well – it will be however easy to be recognized only from an ex post point of view and long-term perspective (of at least 10 to 15 years). The long-term perspective could however blur the whole picture as other effects – not related to enlargement or deepening will gradually set in. An interesting study by Brulhart and Traeger (2003) using entropy indices and associated bootstrap tests provides further evidence for concentration of manufacturing industry in the European Union in the period 1975-2000. An interesting point is made, however, that locational bias towards central (or core) regions has become weaker and within-country concentration trends were strengthened. Integration thus leads to gradual polarization within the EU and within individual countries. From competitive point of view it becomes a prime concern to know which manufacturing sectors (as well as services) are likely to and will locate in the region of our interest. Furthermore, it becomes crucial whether economic policy can affect the process or whether it is outside of scope of national (regional) authorities. The shifts of location within the European Union are significant according to an excellent study carried out for the EC by Midelfart-Knarvik et al. (2000), however, they are not present in all manufacturing sectors. The trend towards increasing specialization commenced from the beginning of 1980s and is still significant. The core-periphery setting is still important but the dominance of the core is gradually decreasing – consecutive enlargements are partially responsible as they are increasing area of periheral regions. The most significant change in the location of industries in Europe is the rise of high-technology – high-tech sectors in the BSR (in particular in Finland) as well as in the fast-growing Ireland. Shifts in patterns of location 26 COMPETITIVE POSITION OF THE BALTIC SEA REGION changes have a strong sectoral dimension. It is worth while to present the major points raised by the authors as the implications for the BSR are considerable. First of all there are traditionally concentrated industries that remained concentrated (location shifts are relatively low). The group includes: automotive (both vehicles and motorcycles), aircraft, electrical apparatus n.e.c, as well as resource-based petroleum and coal products. Automotive sector as well as petroleum and coal products became relatively more concentrated while the rest became a bit more dispersed. We have to note, however, that the locus of the automotive industry in the EU is gradually shifting towards the more competitive CEEs (in particular in recent 4-5 years). In the production of aircraft traditionally relatively strong position of Sweden is gradually deteriorating (the sectors seems to move outside of the region, the same occurs in Poland). Secondly, the authors identified a a group of industries that were initially very concentrated, but which became more dispersed over time. This group comprised ICT sectors (office and computing machinery, , radio-TV and communication equipment), machinery and equipment as well as professional instruments, and traditional agro-food beverages and tobacco. The position of Sweden and Finland (in particular) improved in high-technology and medium-high technology sectors. Thirdly, sectors such as textiles, wearing apparel, leather and products, furniture and transport equipment were relatively dispersed and got more concentrated. In general apart from transport equipment the industries in the group tended to locate in peripheral regions (mainly in the southern states). The fourth group consists of traditionally dispersed industries such as: food products, wood products, paper and paper products, printing and publishing, non-metallic minerals n.e.c., metal products, and shipbuilding. The stability of dispertion could be related to indureance of national differences in tastes (food), culture, no tariff barriers (food), as well as national industrial policies (for instance shipbuilding). The accession of the CEECs as well as globalization are likely to affect these sectors relatively quickly. Midelfart-Knarvik et al. (2000) note while interpreting results of their study on location shitfs that the location pattern is mainly 27 COMPETITIVE POSITION OF THE BALTIC SEA REGION As has been already noted above some evidence into the potential location effects can be provided through detailed analysis of adjustments in the composition of economic activity over a relatively long period of time (in particular in terms of employment). A major bottleneck, as usual, is the availability and quality of data in particular at sub-national level. Furthermore, we would like to know whether general adjustment trends in location of industry between the core and peripheral regions of the EU15 described above extend into the BSR. It seems plausible that extension of the single market onto new Member States can further intensify the process. If this is actually the case the long-term consequences for the BSR could be really substantial. In particular we would like to know whether reallocation of production takes place in the region. We would like further to identify its character (intraregional vs. interregional) and intensity in particular sectors of strategic importance to the region. In order to do so in this edition of the report we have chosen a rather simple analysis in order to asses whether reallocation of employment takes place within the BSR. On the basis of data on employment levels for each of the four states taken into account we have calculated an absolute change in employment between 1995 and 2000 for each of the 3-digit manufacturing industry sector taken into account. For simplicity we have calculated a joint shift for the three Nordic states and separate one for Poland (please refer to Table 12). Furthermore, we have calculated a joint net change for the whole Baltic Se Region. This has allowed us to divide all the manufacturing sectors into 4 categories depending on the direction of the change. The first group consist of NACE sectors in which employment contracted both in the Nordic states and Poland (with a negative change overall for the whole BSR). The jobs in this group either moved outside of the region (to other globally competitive locations such as China or India) or they simply disappeared due to the obsolescence of the sectors. We have to note that restructuring of industrial employment in Poland could be said to be a deciding factor in the overall picture. The majority of sectors in the group are traditional, labor-intensive or declining industries from a number of industrial branches: textiles and apparel, leather, steel and steel products as well as agro-food. It is important to note the fall in employment levels in manufacturing of pulp and paper as well as in production of veneer sheets, plywood, and fiber boards (traditionally the core of the regional manufacturing). There are, however, some exceptions. The same processes occurred in high-tech aerospace industry (major contraction in Poland) or manufacturing of other general purpose machinery. The second group is particularly interesting. The group includes sectors in which employment decreased in the Nordic states while it increased in Poland (thus potential intraregional 28 COMPETITIVE POSITION OF THE BALTIC SEA REGION reallocation could have occurred). The flow of foreign direct investments from Nordic countries to Poland can further prove the point. The group is rather heterogeneous. The most prominent cases are: publishing, manufacture of soap and detergents, fish and meat processing, shipbuilding, weapons and ammunition as well as manufacture of tanks and boilers. We have to note that some of the sectors belong to the key meta-clusters of the region such as forest cluster, biocluster and maritime cluster. The third group consists of sectors in which we observe a fall in employment in Poland and a significant or limited increase in the three Nordic states with a varied net consequences for the whole region. In Poland the contraction was particularly evident in the case of manufacture of machinery, railway and rolling stock as well as textiles. While at the same time employment increased significantly in the Nordic countries in manufacture of machinery and in electric motors and generators. This group is interesting as well as it presents to a certain extent an intraregional reallocation in the opposite direction as has been the case in the second group. Still we have to note that the outcome could be mainly attributed to large-scale restructuring process in Polish manufacturing industry which was particularly intensive in the second half of the 1990s) The last group is an interesting case as well. It contains a large number of sectors in which employment levels increased in the Nordic economic and Poland giving a net increase for the Baltic Sea Region. The list thus includes sectors which are growing and/or in which the whole region (despite its internal heterogeneity) is attracting production (is internationally competitive). The list includes sectors from both traditional and non-traditional industrial branches. The most important among the traditional sectors are: automotive, electric appliances, wood and furniture as well as paper products, steal and metal products, rubber and plastics. In the non-traditional: electronics and pharmaceuticals are the most prominent cases which are considered as strictly as high-tech industries. Altogether we could notice a shift towards higher value-added, relatively more human-intensive sectors. These should be perceived as a good development with positive effects for the long run competitive potential and long-run growth. This applies in particular to Poland in which the overall production (turnover) rose while employment levels dropped showing a significant improvement in productivity levels. The convergence in productivity levels is likely to be further accelerated by accession to the internal market however it will be difficult to sustain the convergence rates typical for an outset of economic and political transformation. 29 COMPETITIVE POSITION OF THE BALTIC SEA REGION Finally, we should note that a similar analysis should be carried out for each of strategic metaclusters of the region. It seems that in certain meat-cluster various intraregional adjustments are taking place which could be indicative of intra-cluster specialization within the BSR. Table 12Net changes in employment levels within the Baltic Sea Region between 2000 and 1995 NACE Group 1 NORDIC3 POL BSR 271 Manufacture of basic iron and steel and of ferro-alloys (ECSC) -710 -39 129 -39 839 182 Manufacture of other wearing apparel and accessories -2 092 -35 980 -38 072 172 Textile weaving -941 -23 315 -24 256 193 Manufacture of footwear -165 -17 358 -17 523 171 Preparation and spinning of textile fibers -118 -13 940 -14 058 177 Manufacture of knitted and crocheted articles -1 470 -11 110 -12 580 211 Manufacture of pulp, paper and paperboard -4 414 -7 363 -11 777 247 Manufacture of man-made fibers 0 -8 405 -8 405 155 Manufacture of dairy products -1 341 -6 527 -7 868 286 Manufacture of cutlery, tools and general hardware -5 827 -1 754 -7 581 297 Manufacture of domestic appliances n.e.c. -127 -7 432 -7 559 353 Manufacture of aircraft and spacecraft -108 -6 920 -7 028 272 Manufacture of tubes 0 -6 983 -6 983 274 Manufacture of basic precious and non-ferrous metals -88 -5 999 -6 087 292 -368 -5 231 -5 599 -229 -4 861 -5 090 232 Manufacture of other general purpose machinery Manufacture of grain mill products, starches and starch products Manufacture of refined petroleum products 0 -3 957 -3 957 246 Manufacture of other chemical products -1 032 -2 837 -3 869 191 -81 -3 481 -3 562 -9 -2 427 -2 436 -191 -1 986 -2 177 -1 532 -444 -1 976 -392 -1 507 -1 899 -93 -1 493 -1 586 -613 -373 -986 159 Tanning and dressing of leather Manufacture of non-refractory ceramic goods other than for construction purposes; manufacture of refractory ceramic products Manufacture of bricks, tiles and construction products Manufacture of veneer sheets; manufacture of plywood, laminboard, particle board, fiber board and other panels and boards Manufacture of instruments and appliances for measuring, checking, testing, navigating and other purposes, except industrial process control equipment Manufacture of luggage, handbags and the like, saddler Other first processing of iron and steel and production of nonECSC ferro-alloys Manufacture of beverages -121 -233 -354 NACE 221 Group 2 Publishing NORDIC3 -1430 POL 6 867 BSR 5 437 263 0 3 890 3 890 -935 3 487 2 552 296 Manufacture of ceramic tiles and flags Manufacture of tanks, reservoirs and containers of metal; manufacture of central heating radiators and boilers Manufacture of weapons and ammunition -114 2 618 2 504 245 Manufacture of soap, detergents, cleaning, polishing -1396 3 495 2 099 152 Processing and preserving of fish and fish products -1287 3 116 1 829 156 262 264 202 332 192 273 282 30 COMPETITIVE POSITION OF THE BALTIC SEA REGION 242 Manufacture of pesticides and other agro-chemical products 0 1 779 1 779 231 Manufacture of coke oven products 0 783 783 365 Manufacture of games and toys -8 191 183 355 Manufacture of other transport equipment n.e.c. -9 120 111 151 Production, processing, preserving of meat, meat products -1631 1 184 -447 351 Building and repairing of ships and boats -2706 1 248 -1 458 268 Manufacture of other non-metallic mineral products -2854 906 -1 948 NACE Group 3 NORDIC3 POL BSR 295 Manufacture of other special purpose machinery 6335 -31 940 -25 605 293 Manufacture of agricultural and forestry machinery 1299 -19 163 -17 864 241 Manufacture of basic chemicals 433 -17 217 -16 784 352 Manufacture of railway, tramway locomotives, rolling stock Manufacture of machinery for the production and use of mechanical power, except aircraft, vehicle and cycle engines Manufacture of other textiles 816 -12 512 -11 696 75 -10 620 -10 545 619 -5 251 -4 632 294 Manufacture of machine-tools 832 -5 212 -4 380 265 Manufacture of cement, lime and plaster 127 -3 930 -3 803 287 Manufacture of other fabricated metal products 3451 -3 684 -233 333 2327 -3 220 -893 2685 -3 156 -471 7286 -2 398 4 888 45 -2 272 -2 227 366 Manufacture of automatic control systems Manufacture of electronic valves and tubes and other electronic components Manufacture of electric motors, generators and transformers Manufacture of steam generators, except central heating hot water boilers Miscellaneous manufacturing n.e.c. 1173 -1 694 -521 176 Manufacture of knitted and crocheted fabrics 134 -1 118 -984 174 Manufacture of made-up textile articles, except apparel 203 -965 -762 153 Processing and preserving of fruit and vegetables 635 -766 -131 181 Manufacture of leather clothes 53 -640 -587 291 175 321 311 283 363 Manufacture of musical instruments 2 -562 -560 154 Manufacture of vegetable and animal oils and fats 385 -345 40 312 Manufacture of electricity distribution and control apparatus 194 -151 43 335 Manufacture of watches and clocks 13 0 13 NACE Group 4 NORDIC3 POL BSR 364 Manufacture of sports goods 101 42 143 183 Dressing and dyeing of fur; manufacture of articles of fur Manufacture of paints, varnishes and similar coatings, printing ink and mastics Cutting, shaping and finishing of stone 27 568 595 270 352 622 166 594 760 336 424 760 243 267 372 261 Manufacture of glass and glass products 10 878 888 362 Manufacture of jewelry and related articles Manufacture of bodies (coachwork) for motor vehicles; manufacture of trailers and semi-trailers Recycling of metal waste and scrap 73 1 198 1 271 948 514 1 462 630 847 1 477 13 1 540 1 553 1204 694 1 898 342 371 354 334 Manufacture of motorcycles and bicycles Manufacture of optical instruments and photographic equipment 31 COMPETITIVE POSITION OF THE BALTIC SEA REGION 173 Finishing of textiles 136 2 122 2 258 201 Sawmilling and planing of wood, impregnation of wood 2335 414 2 749 204 Manufacture of wooden containers Manufacture of medical and surgical equipment and orthopedic appliances Manufacture of prepared animal feeds 732 2 420 3 152 1069 2 183 3 252 1061 2 536 3 597 2582 1 078 3 660 1561 2 323 3 884 4003 1 212 5 215 3626 1 914 5 540 1075 4 712 5 787 256 5 747 6 003 3309 2 778 6 087 222 Casting of metals Forging, pressing, stamping and roll forming of metal; powder metallurgy Manufacture of pharmaceuticals, medicinal chemicals and botanical products Manufacture of articles of concrete, plaster, cement Manufacture of other products of wood; manufacture of articles of cork, straw and plaiting materials Manufacture of lighting equipment and electric lamps Manufacture of television and radio receivers, sound or video recording or reproducing apparatus and associated goods Printing and service activities related to printing 3910 3 010 6 920 212 Manufacture of articles of paper and paperboard 532 6 756 7 288 158 Manufacture of other food products 1310 6 325 7 635 313 1118 8 680 9 798 8046 1 938 9 984 316 Manufacture of insulated wire and cable Manufacture of accumulators, primary cells and primary batteries Manufacture of electrical equipment n.e.c. 1412 8 585 9 997 251 Manufacture of rubber products 839 10 085 10 924 341 Manufacture of motor vehicles 162 14 292 14 454 203 8240 8 198 16 438 17517 712 18 229 281 Manufacture of builders' carpentry and joinery Manufacture of television and radio transmitters and apparatus for line telephony and line telegraphy Manufacture of structural metal products 6359 11 898 18 257 343 Manufacture of parts, accessories for motor vehicles 8086 17 206 25 292 361 Manufacture of furniture 12887 16 782 29 669 7779 27 523 35 302 28397 6 986 35 383 331 157 275 284 244 266 205 315 323 314 322 252 Manufacture of plastic products Treatment and coating of metals; general mechanical 285 engineering Source: Own calculations. 32 COMPETITIVE POSITION OF THE BALTIC SEA REGION Inflow of Nordic FDI into Poland The previous section has given some evidence that intraregional relocation of production (reallocation of resources) is taking place. In order to be more specific we want to augment the analysis of shifts in the BSR employment levels by information on an inflow of Nordic foreign direct investment. The inflow of FDI could further prove the existence of the process as it shows intraregional capital flows. The list of Nordic investors in Poland is substantial (please refer to Appendix B at the end of the report). According to PAAIZ database at the end of 2004 there were 130 Nordic investors present in Poland (with investment above the 1 mill. USD threshold). Altogether they invested 6.4 billion USD into Polish economy. This gives them 7.6 per cent share in total capital inflow in the form of FDI into Poland within the period 1993 – 2004. Swedish companies invested the most 3.715 billion euro – Sweden is the seventh largest foreign investor in Poland when we exclude multinational companies from the list. Denmark with 2.096 billion holds the ninth place while Finland with 0.578 is only a seventeenth investor in Poland. The proximity of home and host markets could be a deciding factor. If we limit the geographical scope only to three (or six) northern regions (voivodeships) of Poland the amount of FDI inflow from Nordic countries decreases significantly it is still however substantial. It seems that the inflow of FDI from Denmark, Finland and Sweden could increase substantially in the post accession phase. In general in 2004, the year of accession and full opening of the market we observed a rebound of FDI inflow into Poland. In future the investments will have in particular a greenfield character, however, in some sectors brownfield-type investments are still possible. The inflow of Nordic FDI into Poland (in particular into northern Poland) could be further intensified if appropriate policy decisions are taken both at the national and regional authorities level. The role of PAIIZ is substantial and certainly its promotional campaigns in the Nordic countries should be further intensified presenting both advantages of investment in Poland, presenting concrete location choices (within the northern regions in particular) as well as addressing the existing bottlenecks the Nordic investors encounter We have to note that these investments, in particular in the strategically important sectors (meta-clusters) for the BSR, should be beneficial to the whole region. More emphasis should 33 COMPETITIVE POSITION OF THE BALTIC SEA REGION be placed into embedding the investors into regional economy and creating co-operative ties through backward and forward linkages thought the region. It should not be done artificially, however. The policy-makers should always remember a trivial thing: all the actions should have business rational behind them. Profit-seeking entrepreneurs, the backbone of open market-economy, will not engage in endeavors not promising adequate profit within a certain time perspective. The business community should thus have a leading role and the authorities should rather create framework conditions and create certain incentives where market-failure occur. Conclusions The structure of economy of the Baltic Sea Region is diversified. However, certain overlaps is specialization exist among the BSR’s states giving opportunity for intraregional cooperation. he analysis carried in the section clearly indicates that there are a number of manufacturing sectors which could be said strategic importance for the whole region. They are both in traditional – resources based sectors (wood processing) as well as high-tech branches (ICT). Furthermore, there is some evidence for intraregional relocation of production which could be beneficial in mid to long run creating short to medium term adjustments costs. The enlargement of the European Union is likely to speed up the process itself if still existing barriers to freedom of movement of factors of production are finally abolished. We must remember that either we allow the business to relocate within the BSR in accordance with locational advantages (or the EU and its proximate neighbors) or it will move the Far East: China, India, Vietnam, etc. This off course applies only to certain sectors of manufacturing industry. Finally, on the basis of the first part of the report we could conclude that sectoral analysis does not allow for detailed analysis of actual structure of the regional economy as it does not take into account horizontal and vertical linkages between sectors. In order to do so the analysis has to move from sectoral to cluster-dimension. 34 COMPETITIVE POSITION OF THE BALTIC SEA REGION PART II CLUSTERS WITHIN THE BALTIC SEA REGION 35 COMPETITIVE POSITION OF THE BALTIC SEA REGION Introduction One of the main conclusions of the preceding chapter was that utilization of cluster-based approach to analysis of economy of the Baltic Sea Regions could be beneficial in terms of potential insights it can bring. The benefits will become clearly visible. For the time being, however, we have to explain our definition of a cluster. How do we define clusters? By clusters we understand geographic concentration of private and public enterprises and institutions connected by an elaborated network of both vertical and horizontal interactions of formal and informal character based on a common development trajectory (technological, organizational etc.) that at the same time compete and cooperate with each other. The definition takes into account many fundamental features of clusters widely agreed on among professionals which are present both in a path-braking publication by Michael Porter (1991) as well as a large number of definitions present in the literature. These fundamental features include: spatial concentration, simultaneous competition and cooperation among enterprises (frequently referred to as co-opetition), extensive web of linkages.7 There is some amount of evidence that if certain pre-conditions are met innovative and efficiently functioning clusters can constitute a driving force of regional growth through an array of positive external effects related to functioning of a cluster. The definition points to regionally concentrated clusters within the identified meta-clusters. Inadequate data resources do not allow us to pin point directly all clusters at the regional level throughout the BSR. The approach we utilize is similar to Porter’s empirical analysis of clusters and is rather of meta-cluster type. It was possible for us to go to preferred level of analysis disaggregation only in the case of Poland. Even here we find some possibilities for improvement. For the time being we will present results of research carried out for the State 7 It is frequently noted that clusters arise due to various externalities (among them agglomeration economies) that favor spatial proximity. This is present for instance in the definition of The Cluster Mapping Project: A cluster is a geographically proximate group of interconnected companies and associated institutions in a particular field, including product producers, service providers, suppliers, universities, and trade associations. Clusters arise out of the linkages or externalities that span across industries in a particular location. 36 COMPETITIVE POSITION OF THE BALTIC SEA REGION of The Region Report. In many ways the present report should be considered supplementary to it. Clusters in the BSR – a Porterian approach It is important to note that some of the states in the BSR have carried out extensive clustermapping exercises similar to the one carried out by the DTI for the United Kingdom. The list includes: Finland, Sweden, Denmark and recently Poland (GIME 2004, 2005). The studies applied different methodologies at different levels of disaggregation thus their results were not easily comparable. It is worth to note that until recently there were no studies at all, however, that would span the whole region – systematically analyzing all of the BSR states. This significant gap has been filled by Ketels and Solvell (2005) in a recent State of the Region Report. The results of the study (and the whole report as such) are very informative and should allow the policy makers to develop more coherent and more informed policy. Ketels and Solvell (2005) adopt usual Porterian methodology of identification of clusters (at an aggregated – national level) based on export market shares and export specialization – in other words pattern of exports. They look at first at exports of goods bundled together into representative clusters calculating their respective market shares and changes in market share plus additionally an index of revealed comparative index (a similar approach we will utilize later on) RCA. The index has been defined as a relation of world export share in a given good to total world export share (thus RCA exceeding 1 shows specialization in a given group). The analysis led the authors to identify 12 clusters with comparative advantage with mixed results in dynamic setting: some of them loosing ground while some gaining on in global significance. The methodology applied to Poland identified at the national level two particularly important clusters: coal and maritime equipment. Detailed analysis of Polish trade suggests that this simply isn’t good enough. We agree with Ketels and Solvell that the export pattern alone can suggests opportunities for fruitful cooperation on the cross-national level. These in particular applies to clusters where overall the region or majority of states of the region have a good position and show revealed comparative advantage. It seems however that the WTO database the authors utilized is not as detailed as the COMEXT – a principal database for internal and external trade of the European Union. This in turn could significantly bias final results. Furthermore, this approach identifies only sectors (there is more to a cluster than only good export position – we have to concede however that this is one of its more important attributes) 37 COMPETITIVE POSITION OF THE BALTIC SEA REGION The authors seem to omit another possibility. The case in which only one of states shows comparative advantage in trade. If we look at the region from regional and not national perspective – thus taking the region as a whole (in particular after the enlargement of the European Union and thus extension of the single market onto the new acceded states), a strong cluster should be perceived as potential opportunity for cooperation and an asset to the whole region. The development of a cluster and its comparative advantage could be intensified through reallocation of specialized resources to the region of its location which could stimulate overall productivity growth with possible spillover effects. It seems the more internationally competitive clusters a given region has, the better for the region as a whole when intra-regional cooperative linkages are dense and effective. Ketels and Solvell continue there analysis by looking at the sub-national clusters or in other words regional clusters. The analysis is performed through “rather mysterious” translation of Porter’s cluster codes and applying it to regional data set for the BSR. The study identifies the so-called STAR clusters in the Baltic Sea Region at NUTS-2 level. These are considered to be the top 16 regional clusters located in the region generating it total approx. 420 000 jobs (please refer to Table …). In order to obtain the 3 STAR status a given regional clusters should fulfill simultaneously 3 arbitrarily set criteria: should generate no less than 10 000 jobs (absolute criterion) and be responsible for no less than 10 per cent of regional employment (relative criterion) and the specialization quotient SQ should be higher than two (share of regional employment higher at least by a factor of one in comparison to average share of employment within the BSR). The specialization quotient utilized is nothing different from location quotient utilized in majority of cluster mapping exercises all over the world. Table 13 3-STAR clusters in the Baltic Sea Region 38 COMPETITIVE POSITION OF THE BALTIC SEA REGION Source: Ketels and Solvell (2005). Out of 16 top 3 STAR clusters within the BSR only two are located in northern Poland in the warminsko-mazurskie voivodeship. This are: processed food as well as building fixtures, equipment and services. This result is in deep contrast to the results of more detailed clustermapping studies for Poland that GIME carried out in recent years. This proves several general points: results of cluster mapping studies two a large extent depend on methodology applied results depend heavily on the level of disaggregation of data both in terms of sectors (2-digit vs. 3-digit NAVE) and regions (NUTS-1, 2 or 4) results depend heavily on data availability and reliability and finally result depend heavily on a definition of a cluster We agree with Ketels and Solvell that cluster-approach to analyzing the economy of a region is beneficial as it usually brings new and valuable insights. It seems however that the study of Ketels and Solvell on clusters overlooks certain aspects. Thus more parallel and supplementary studies should be carried out in the future. The present study is trying to do the exactly that. The scope of cluster analysis Upon initial analysis based on the results of the previous chapter we have finally decided to present information on the following seven industries (clusters) within the BSR which seem to 39 COMPETITIVE POSITION OF THE BALTIC SEA REGION be particularly strong within the region: automotive, wood and furniture (forest products), 3P (paper, pulp, publishing), ICT, maritime cluster, agro-food and finally biotechnology-related biocluster. In order to retain possibility of comparing clusters with each other we have decided that the each case will be treated identically. In the case of each cluster (meta-cluster) we start by describing its scope – delimiting each cluster from one other by pinpointing exact 3-digit NACE codes and discuss characteristics of its sectors it terms of factor-intensities or technology-advancement. Preferably we would augment analysis by inclusion of services sector – this is however impossible due to lack of adequate data sets. In the first part of the analysis we deal with employment and turnover within the cluster. The analysis is carried out at the level of sates (NUTS 1). If data availability improves, we will carry out the same analysis at NUTS-2 or regional level. In the case of Denmark it would be necessary to go even further down to NUTS3 or NUTS4. For employment we look at: its absolute levels and changes in levels of employment between 1995-2000, significance for each economy, its general structure within the BSR and compare it to the reference group in terms of shares as well in terms location quotients (indicatives of specialization/concentration). We than carry out a similar analysis for turnover drawing initial conclusions. We than move on to analysis of trade relations of the BSR with EU16 (including the BSR) in goods (and services if applicable).We depict export performance of each of the states in 2000, analyze trade balance with the reference group at various level of aggregation (given sector in a given national economy, given sector in the BSR, and than for clusters in a given states and for the BSR taken as a whole). Finally, we look at values of revealed comparative advantage index (RCA) and its unbiased – corrected version (CRCA)8. After completing this initial analysis we move on to analyze location of a given clusters’ sectors in Poland – this possible by drawing directly from the cluster-mapping exercise carried out by GIME in recent years (Szultka et al. 2004, OECD 2005) identifying its concentrations in particular in the northern regions of Poland (for the sake of transparency we have supplemented the concentration maps with borderlines of the three northern voivodeships of Poland).. We find this feature particularly interesting to potential Nordic investors and researchers. We must remember that the underlying objective of the present study apart from identifying strategic sectors for competitiveness of the BSR economy is the analysis of opportunities for cooperation along 8 All the measures utilized are extensively described in Brodzicki (2003). 40 COMPETITIVE POSITION OF THE BALTIC SEA REGION value chains within the BSR with possible reallocation of resource in the form of FDI and/or migration. The map is supplemented in each case by a table giving a total number of enterprises in each of the sectors in each of six northern regions (pomorskie, warminsko-mazurskie, zachodniopomorskie as well as kujawsko-pomorskie, lubuskie and wielkopolskie) with employment of 10 and above. In some cases the sectoral scope is increased by information on additional services and other sectors. In addition we report information on major foreign and in particular foreign investments within the 6 regions. Furthermore, in some cases the analysis is supplemented through analysis of additional data sources for instance on exact composition of clusters or through more detailed data on production (turnover). Finally, we report on certain valuable intraregional co-operation initiatives among national clusters or particularly interesting cluster initiatives. 41 COMPETITIVE POSITION OF THE BALTIC SEA REGION AUTOMOTIVE INDUSTRY (AIC) The automotive industry is considered by the European Union as a sensitive branch of manufacturing industry. That is in particular due to the significance of the sector and related sectors for the European labor market as well the share in total value added. The European Union is the biggest world manufacturer of cars (approx. 1/3 of total production) as well as the biggest market for new cars. The sector itself has certain features which further amplifies its sensitivity. It is a mediumhigh technology sector with dominance of blue collar workers which could be in general considered to be both technology and labor intensive (labor costs constituting a significant part of total costs). It is an export-oriented business dominated by a number of multinational corporations following global strategies. It is considered to be one of the sectors in which FDI intensity is particularly high. Furthermore, trade in cars is a star example of the so-called intra-industry trade characteristic for developed economies. In general both the export and production show feature of intra-industry specialization. Over time the sector shifts location in accordance with location advantages – it is particularly prone to location shifts despite significant sunk costs. If a shift occurs shits occurs it leads to relocation of whole industrial conglomerate – together with companies situated beneath in the value added chain. A spontaneous clustering process is thus frequently a case. It makes the sectors particularly interesting. The process occurs in Europe where the economies of the Central Europe (Slovakia, Hungary, Czech Republic and Poland) seem to develop slowly to a position of major European player. Within the report on location of industry in Europe … In general the core of the automotive industry consists of three 3-digit NACE groups. These are: NACE 341 - manufacture of motor vehicles, NACE 342 - manufacture of bodies (coachwork) for motor vehicles; manufacture of trailers and semi-trailers as well as NACE 343 - manufacture of parts, accessories for motor vehicles. The core business is related to a significant number of sectors – though for clarity we have not taken them into account. 42 COMPETITIVE POSITION OF THE BALTIC SEA REGION Within the BSR (excluding Germany) we have several major multinationals in the sector mainly of direct Swedish-origin: Volvo, SAAB and Scania. However all the big players are present in the region or in its vicinity. As has been mentioned before nearly all major global players established their plants in the CEE (including northern and central regions of Poland). We have to stress however, that the major concentration in Poland is situated in the south of the country (Wrocław, Gliwice, Bielsko-Biała). In 2000 total employment in the cluster within the BSR (defined as Poland and 3 Nordic countries) amounted to approx. 175.000 jobs with Sweden and Poland having roughly the same share. The region as a whole had a 8.7 per cent in total employment in automotive industry in EU16 (EU15 plus Poland). It is clear from the following tables that employment in manufacture of bodies (coachwork) for motor vehicles is spread across the region while the core business - manufacture of motor vehicles and manufacture of parts, accessories for motor vehicles is concentrated in Sweden (home of the multinationals) and Poland9. Altogether 90 per cent of employment in the automotive industry in the BSR is generated in manufacture of motor vehicles as well as of parts and accessories for motor vehicles. It is important to note, furthermore, that employment in the automotive cluster has a highest share in total employment for Sweden (it exceeds significantly EU15/16 average) and is also significant for Poland. It is clearly less significant for the other two countries. Table 14 AIC - Employment in 2000 NACE DNK 341 0 342 4 008 343 3 545 Together 7 553 Source: Own calculations. FIN SWE POL BSR10 2 694 4 017 766 7 477 50 397 3 200 23 930 77 527 33 786 4 759 44 204 82 749 86 877 15 984 72 445 175 306 BSR to EU16 (per cent) 1 077 936 1 111 722 7.8 164 603 169 362 9.4 700 153 744 357 9.7 1 942 692 2 025 441 8.7 EU15 EU16 Table 15 AIC - Share in total employment in manufacturing industry in 2000 NACE 341 342 DNK 0.0 0.9 FIN 0.6 1.0 SWE 6.7 0.4 POL 1.9 0.3 BSR 2.6 0.5 EU15 3.9 0.6 EU16 3.8 0.6 9 It is worth to note on the basis of the data available for Poland (XII 2003) that the employment in the cluster is roughly the same – approx. 81.000 jobs but in comparison to 2000 a reallocation of resource occurred with NACE 341 and 342 loosing 8160 and 1135 posts respectively and manufacture of parts, accessories for motor vehicles gaining 7289 jobs. It reflects the shift of interest of major investors to Slovakia and Czech Republic. The CEEs are competing with each other for major foreign greenfield investors. We have to note that the situation is spoiling the market as an investment decision to a large extent is based on the amount of state aid offered by a host economy. 10 BSR – Poland, Denmark, Finland and Sweden 43 COMPETITIVE POSITION OF THE BALTIC SEA REGION 343 0.8 Together 1.7 Source: Own calculations. 0.2 1.8 3.2 10.2 2.5 4.7 2.1 5.2 2.5 7.0 2.5 6.9 Table 16 AIC - Employment structure within the BSR NACE DNK 341 0.0 342 25.1 343 4.9 Together 4.3 Source: Own calculations. FIN 3.1 25.1 1.1 4.3 SWE 58.0 20.0 33.0 44.2 POL 38.9 29.8 61.0 47.2 BSR 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 Location quotients for employment indicate existence of four major concentrations in the BSR. That is manufacture of bodies (coachwork) for motor vehicles in Denmark and Finland (however not in absolute terms that is the scale of employment) and two in Sweden in manufacture of motor vehicles as well as of parts and accessories for motor vehicles. Furthermore, manufacture of parts and accessories for motor vehicles in Poland is just below the average for EU16. Table 17 AIC - Location quotient for employment (in comparison to EU16 ) NACE DNK FIN SWE 341 0.000 0.170 1.766 342 1.563 1.668 0.736 343 0.314 0.072 1.252 Source: Own calculations. POL 0.509 0.470 0.994 It is important to note that employment levels in the automotive industry increased dramatically in the period 1995 to 2000 (by approx. 41.000 jobs). The increase was particularly evident for Poland and Sweden. In terms of sectors the increase was mainly in the manufacture of parts and accessories for motor vehicles as well as the core business manufacture of motor vehicles. Table 18 AIC - Absolute changes in employment levels between 2000 and 1995 NACE DNK 341 0 342 -503 343 173 Together -330 Source: Own calculations. FIN 226 936 -425 737 SWE -64 515 8 338 8 789 POL 14 292 514 17 206 32 012 BSR 14 454 1 462 25 292 41 208 In labor productivity terms the BSR is in general below the EU15 (and EU16) average with Sweden reaching the average and the rest far of. It is important to note that in manufacturing of vehicles labor productivity in Poland is higher that in Finland. Table 19 AIC - Labor productivity in 2000 (turnover per employee) NACE 341 DNK :c FIN 0.131 SWE 0.359 POL 0.192 BSR 0.287 EU15 0.410 EU16 0.403 44 COMPETITIVE POSITION OF THE BALTIC SEA REGION 342 0.174 343 0.107 Together 0.142 Source: Own calculations. 0.129 0.115 0.128 0.156 0.166 0.291 0.036 0.046 0.105 0.118 0.090 0.190 0.149 0.179 0.305 0.146 0.171 0.296 In 2000 automotive industry generated a total of 33.3 billion euro of turnover within the BSR which amounted to 5.5 per cent of total turnover in the EU16. In terms of share in total turnover of manufacturing industry the cluster is particularly important for Sweden (14.4 per cent) and Poland (9.2 per cent). Similarly to employment it is roughly irrelevant for Finland and Denmark. The share of these two economies is important in terms of the BSR only in manufacture of bodies (coachwork) for motor vehicles, of trailers and semi-trailers. Table 20 AIC - Turnover in 2000 (in mil of EUR) NACE DNK 341 0 342 696 343 378 Together 1 074 Source: Own calculations. FIN SWE POL BSR EU15 EU16 352 517 88 958 18 074 500 3 975 22 550 6 491 173 2 047 8 711 24 918 1 886 6 488 33 293 441 778 24 534 125 490 591 801 448 268 24 708 127 536 600 512 BSR to EU16 (per cent) 5.6 7.6 5.1 5.5 EU15 8.9 0.5 2.5 11.9 EU16 8.8 0.5 2.5 11.8 Table 21 AIC - Share in total turnover of the manufacturing industry in 2000 NACE DNK 341 0.0 342 1.1 343 0.6 Together 1.7 Source: Own calculations. FIN 0.4 0.5 0.1 1.0 SWE 11.6 0.3 2.5 14.4 POL 6.8 0.2 2.2 9.2 BSR 6.1 0.5 1.6 8.1 Table 22 AIC - Turnover structure within the BSR NACE DNK 341 0.0 342 36.9 343 5.8 Together 3.2 Source: Own calculations. FIN 1.4 27.4 1.4 2.9 SWE 72.5 26.5 61.3 67.7 POL 26.0 9.2 31.5 26.2 BSR 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 Location quotients for turnover are similar to LQs for employment with evidence of four concentrations in the BSR (in the same four cases). It is important to note, however, that in terms of turnover the concentration in manufacture of bodies (coachwork) for motor vehicles in Denmark is particularly strong. Table 23 AIC - Location quotient for turnover (in comparison to EU16 ) NACE 341 342 343 Source: Own calculations. DNK 0.000 2.301 0.242 FIN 0.041 1.104 0.037 SWE 1.308 0.657 1.011 POL 0.771 0.374 0.855 45 COMPETITIVE POSITION OF THE BALTIC SEA REGION Finally, we will focus on data on trade intensity within the EU16 block. In 2001 total exports to other EU16 countries (including those from the BSR) amounted to 10.3 billion euro with Sweden and Poland two major exporters. The share of the cluster in total exports to EU 16 was particularly high for Sweden ( 26.6 per cent) and Poland (17.9 per cent). It was a minor figure for the other two giving an average for the BSR of 10.3 per cent. The region taken as a whole had a trade deficit of approx. 1.2 billion euro. Sweden and Poland where the only countries with overall trade surplus. It is important to note that all four countries had trade deficit in goods of NACE 343 - manufacture of parts and accessories for motor vehicles. Table 24 AIC - Exports to EU16 in 2001 (in mil EUR) NACE DNK 341 342 343 Together Source: Own calculations. FIN 152 82 339 574 SWE 302 53 134 489 POL 2 696 327 1 826 4 849 BSR 3 066 166 1 211 4 442 6 217 627 3 510 10 354 Table 25 AIC - Trade balance in trade with EU16 in 2001 NACE DNK 341 -1 505 342 -112 343 -126 Together -1 744 Source: Own calculations. FIN -603 14 -252 -840 SWE 1 164 211 -210 1 165 POL 518 16 -330 205 BSR -426 129 -918 -1 214 We have to look at indices of revealed comparative advantage – an important factor for cluster pointing to their advantage in trade. The RCA index is constructed in relation to the EU16block. The situation is rather clear. Sweden and Poland seem to have comparative advantage in all three subsectors of the automotive cluster while the other two countries have comparative disadvantage in trade with EU16. Sweden is particularly strong in NACE 342 and 343. Altogether the BSR has a comparative advantage in those to sectors as well. We have to remember, however, that the RCA is said to be biased to a certain extent. Thus we have calculated and present the CRCA index as well which is said not to be biased by significant trade imbalances. The results differ a bit showing comparative advantage of Poland in all three sectors and Sweden in NACE 341 and 342. Overall the region has an advantage only in manufacture of bodies (coachwork) for motor vehicles as well as of trailers and semi-trailers. Table 26 AIC - RCA in trade within EU16 NACE 341 DNK 0.066 FIN 0.088 SWE 1.477 POL 1.235 BSR 0.618 46 COMPETITIVE POSITION OF THE BALTIC SEA REGION 342 0.980 343 0.432 Source: Own calculations. 0.422 0.114 4.932 2.937 1.838 1.432 1.718 1.024 Table 27 AIC - CRCA in trade within EU16 NACE DNK 341 -0.060 342 -0.004 343 -0.004 Source: Own calculations. FIN -0.020 0.000 -0.008 SWE 0.033 0.009 -0.053 POL 0.046 0.002 0.002 BSR -0.003 0.001 -0.008 As an additional source of information in this particular cluster we would like to show figures on production of motor vehicles (NACE 341) in units on the basis of ACEA – an association of major European motor vehicles producers. The definition of the BSR remains the same (we exclude Germany, Russia and the Baltic states). The BSR produced within the period 20012003 on average 650.000 units which gives a total share of approx, 4 per cent in the whole European Union. Poland and Sweden are two major producers. Table 28 Production of motor vehicles in units European Union Denmark Finland Sweden Poland Total BSR Source: ACEA (2005). Production of motor vehicles (in units) Share within the BSR 2001 2002 2003 2001 2002 2003 17 218 932 16 988 526 16 915 524 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00 42 320 41 461 19 655 6.23 6.72 3.06 289 147 276 193 323 032 42.56 44.78 50.27 51.21 48.49 46.67 347 875 299 085 299 918 679 342 616 739 642 605 100.00 100.00 100.00 Finally, we focus on the significant concentrations of automotive industry in the northern part of Poland. The following map was part of the Polish cluster mapping-project carried out by GIME in the period 2002-2004. We have to add that in addition to 3 NACE groups in the present study the map takes into account also NACE 251 that is manufacture of rubber products that showed to be co-located in the aggregate data for Polish regions. For clarity we have added the borders of the three regions defined to form part of the BSR in the State of the Region Report. We have to remember, however, to our understanding at least another belt of regions should be added if not the whole country itself. The industry is not, for the time being, extremely concentrated. In the northern part of Poland several concentrations could be identified in case of Poznan (wielkopolskie), Bydgoszcz (kujawsko-pomorskie), Słupsk and Tricity (pomorskie). The presence of Nordic investors is particularly evident in pomorskie. As to potential for future reallocation from Nordic countries to Poland we have to states that the potential exist as Poland and the rest of the CEEs show competitive edge in the field based both on relatively low labor costs but endowment in skilled labor (human capital) as well. 47 COMPETITIVE POSITION OF THE BALTIC SEA REGION Presence of foreign investors including major German and Swedish ones clearly proves the point. Table 29 Approximate number of enterprises (> 10 employees) in northern regions of Poland 341 pomorskie 3 warmińsko-mazurskie 2 zachodniopomorskie 0 kujawsko-pomorskie 3 lubuskie 0 wielkopolskie 5 Together 13 Source: Teleadreson (2005),www.teleadreson.com.pl 342 12 1 8 8 3 4 36 343 12 3 7 14 2 26 64 Together 27 6 15 25 5 35 113 The following companies invested in the northern regions of Poland (examples): NACE 341 - Scania Kapena SA ( affiliate of Swedish Scania, Słupsk – pomorskie), MAN STAR TRUCKS & BUSSES Sp. z o.o. (MAN, Tarnowo Podgórne), Solaris Bus & Coach S.A. (Owińska – wielkoposkie), Volkswagen Poznań Sp. z o.o. (Volkswagen – Poznań, wielkopolskie); NACE 342 - Kuda Truck Parts Sp. z o.o. (Police – zachodniopomorskie), NACE 343 - Eaton Truck Components Sp. z o.o. (Tczew – pomorskie), Dellner Couplers Sp. z o.o. (Gdynia – pomorskie, affiliate of Swedish Dellner Couplers AB), Klippan Safety Polska Sp. z.o.o. (affiliate of Swedish Boras Wafveri AB, Stargard Szczeciński, zachodnipomorskie), MAHLE Polska Sp. z o.o. (Krotoszyn – zachodnipomorskie, affiliate of German MAHLE AG), Delphi Mechatronics Systems (Delphi, Gdańsk – pomorskie). 48 COMPETITIVE POSITION OF THE BALTIC SEA REGION Map 1 Significant concentrations of automobile industry at the NUTS-4 level in Poland (including NACE 251 - manufacture of rubber products) liczba skupień 3-4 2 1 brak siła skupień ogółem 1.00 12.98 24.96 Source: GIME. 49 COMPETITIVE POSITION OF THE BALTIC SEA REGION WOOD AND FURNITURE (WFC) The wood and furniture cluster traditionally belongs to a group of most prominent industries in the region. It is a traditional, low-tech industry which is to a large extent resourced-based that is endowment in the raw product – good quality wood in large quantities is a necessary prerequisite to its development11. The cost of transportation are considerable thus location of production is mainly resourced-based as well and cannot be easily relocated. We thus observe strong features of path-dependency and local (regional) traditions. It is important to note that the industry is both capital and labor intensive (with dominance of blue collar workers). On the basis of previous research we consider the following 3 digit NACE groups to form part of the wood and furniture cluster: NACE 201 - sawmilling and planing of wood, impregnation of wood, 202 - manufacture of veneer sheets; manufacture of plywood, laminboard, particle board, fiber board and other panels and boards, 203 - manufacture of builders' carpentry and joinery, NACE 204 -manufacture of wooden containers, NACE 205 - manufacture of other products of wood; manufacture of articles of cork, straw and plaiting materials and finally NACE 361 - manufacture of furniture. Production of furniture could be considered as the most advanced stage of production within the wood cluster. In addition we would like to include NACE 020 - forestry, logging and related service activities, however, due to unavailability of data within the NEW CRONOS data base we had to remove it. Furthermore, in extended version, we would include sectors related to manufacture of pulp, paper and paper products as well as publishing. We have decided, however, to analyze the above as a separate cluster as a 3P cluster. At first we will begin by analysis of natural resource endowment and production on the basis of data provided by The Finnish Forest Research Institute – METLA (2004). The BSR 11 The study by Rosenthal and Strange (2003) clearly indicated that furniture industry taken alone is heavily dependent on endowment in natural resources (raw material – wood). The authors analyzing the concentrations of industries in the USA clearly indicate that dependence on natural resources leads the furniture industry to be regionally concentrated while in the case of software clusters they tend to be locally-concentrated as in this case different causes of agglomeration economies gain on importance. 50 COMPETITIVE POSITION OF THE BALTIC SEA REGION (narrow definition) holds approx. 42 per cent of total forest resources of EU25 in terms of forest area and 34 per cent of total growing stock volume. The share is roughly the same if we take into account only forests available for wood supply. The region has also a significant share in net annual increment. The resources are not evenly distributed among the states of the BSR. Sweden is best endowed and closely followed by Finland. In comparison to these states Polish endowment is significantly smaller (approx. by half) still it is significant on European standards. Denmark has a marginal contribution in terms of natural endowment in resources. Table 30 Forest resources in the BSR Forest land Forest available for wood supply Growing stock Growing stock Area Area Net annual increment volume volume (1000 ha) (1000 ha) (mill. m3 overbark) (mill. m3 overbark) (mill. m3 overbark) 139637 20005 116901 17927 574 27134 2914 21236 2567 85.4 10740 2880 10142 2820 89 21935 1945 20675 1867 72.5 455 56 440 54 3.2 2923 509 2413 409 11.1 1994 366 1686 314 8.5 9047 1930 8300 1771 39.4 2060 321 1932 307 7.1 58571 6845 50651 6259 200.5 76288 10921 66824 10109 316.2 EU25 Sweden Germany Finland Denmark Latvia Lithuania Poland Estonia BSR BSR* share of BSR in 41.9 34.2 EU25 (per cent) Source: METLA (2004) and own calculations. 43.3 34.9 34.9 Table 31 Distribution of forest resources among the economies of the BSR Forest land Growing stock Area volume (1000 ha) (mill. m3 overbark) Sweden 46.3 42.6 Finland 37.5 28.4 Denmark 0.8 0.8 Poland 15.4 28.2 Source: METLA (2004) and own calculations. Forest available for wood supply Growing stock Area Net annual increment volume (1000 ha) (mill. m3 overbark) (mill. m3 overbark) 41.9 41.0 42.6 40.8 29.8 36.2 0.9 0.9 1.6 16.4 28.3 19.7 In terms of volume of production the share of the BSR in EU25 varies a lot (data for 2002) between different basic products: softwood, hardwood and fuelwood. It is smallest for hard industrial roundwood in logs (14.5 per cent) and highest for soft pulpwood (60.9 per cent). If we took into account all the other excluded Baltic States the position of the Region would be dominant bin majority of basic products. On average the share of the BSR is equal to 42.5 per 51 COMPETITIVE POSITION OF THE BALTIC SEA REGION cent for EU25. In global terms the position on average is significantly smaller – with a 4.4 per cent in global production. The Region has a highest share in global terms in soft pulpwood (19.3 per cent of world production) and softwood in logs for industrial purposes (9.9 per cent share). In terms of regional distribution of production Sweden is the overall leader, followed by Finland and Poland. It is interesting to note, though, that Poland is a regional leader in hard industrial roundwood in logs (and overall leader in hardwood). Table 32 Production of roundwood in 2002 (1000 m3 underbark) Industrial roundwood Industrial roundwood Roundwood softwood hardwood Fuelwood total Logs Pulpwood Total Logs Pulpwood Total 660219 268780 996565 277675 209694 575418 1763460 3335443 148595 85390 241013 24985 36373 66145 41419 348577 33500 23300 57200 300 3100 3500 5900 66600 21089 7275 29968 3357 3123 7787 4625 42380 22736 19743 42479 1099 4951 6050 4482 53011 369 153 638 86 151 657 1446 5612 1783 7882 2454 1872 4386 1198 13466 1870 870 2750 1350 710 2070 1295 6115 8480 8800 18723 2140 3800 6272 2142 27137 3400 2080 5860 540 1400 2740 1900 10500 65085 51996 119040 3625 11851 15973 13181 148194 97056 64004 165500 11326 18956 32956 22199 220655 World EU25 Sweden Germany Finland Denmark Latvia Lithuania Poland Estonia BSR BSR* share of BSR in 43.8 60.9 49.4 EU25 (per cent) share of BSR in 9.9 19.3 11.9 world (per cent) Source: METLA (2004) and own calculations. 14.5 32.6 24.1 31.8 42.5 1.3 5.7 2.8 0.7 4.4 Fuelwood Roundwood total 44.8 34.0 5.0 16.3 44.9 35.8 1.0 18.3 Table 33 Distribution of roundwood production among the BSR in 2002 Industrial roundwood softwood Logs Pulpwood Total Sweden 51.5 44.8 48.1 Finland 34.9 38.0 35.7 Denmark 0.6 0.3 0.5 Poland 13.0 16.9 15.7 Source: METLA (2004) and own calculations. Industrial roundwood hardwood Logs Pulpwood Total 8.3 26.2 21.9 30.3 37.9 41.8 2.4 0.0 0.9 32.1 59.0 39.3 It is interesting as well to look at statistics on production of processed goods of the cluster (once again in terms of volume). The share of region in total EU25 production is the highest in sawn goods made of softwood (37.7 per cent) and in plywood and veneer sheets (31.8 per cent). The position in hardwood is related to smaller hardwood endowment. In global terms the region has highest shares in sawn goods made of softwood (11.2 per cent) and in particle board (5.2 per cent). If we take at look at regional distribution of production within the BSR 52 COMPETITIVE POSITION OF THE BALTIC SEA REGION once again it is uneven. Sweden has a dominant position only in sawn goods made of softwood. Finland is a regional leader in plywood and veneer shits while Poland in sawn goods made out of hardwood as well as particle board and fiberboard. Denmark has a marginal share apart from particle board. Table 34 Production of sawn goods and wood-based panels in 2002 391030 133355 94826 16172 17119 13390 244 3947 1300 3180 1825 32986 57177 Plywood and veneer sheets 66857 8248 5535 102 677 1310 16 213 60 333 91 1761 2802 34.8 31.8 12.4 15.0 8.4 2.6 5.2 4.6 Sawn goods (1000 m3) Softwood Hardwood Total WORLD 287036 103994 Europe 114302 19052 EU25 85021 9805 Sweden 16012 160 Germany 15979 1140 Finland 13280 110 Denmark 217 27 Latvia 3100 848 Lithuania 900 400 Poland 2574 606 Estonia 1656 169 BSR 32083 903 BSR* 53718 3460 share of BSR in 37.7 9.2 EU25 (per cent) share of BSR in 11.2 0.9 world (per cent) Source: METLA (2004) and own calculations. Particle board Fiberboard 84794 42414 35572 564 8729 413 334 105 189 3111 187 4422 13632 39117 14805 11893 190 3350 140 63 1450 83 1780 5276 Table 35 Distribution of production of sawn goods and wood-based panels in 2002 among the BSR Sawn goods (1000 m3) Softwood Hardwood Sweden 17.7 49.9 Finland 41.4 12.2 Denmark 0.7 3.0 Poland 8.0 67.1 Source: METLA (2004) and own calculations. Total 49.0 40.6 0.7 9.6 Plywood and veneer sheets 5.8 Particle board Fiberboard 12.8 9.3 7.6 10.7 7.9 0.0 70.4 81.5 74.4 0.9 18.9 The significance of the cluster is self-evident if we look on the data on the level of employment. The wood and furniture cluster generates around 320.000 jobs across the region. If we would include related sectors (in particular related services and forestry in general) the figure would clearly exceed 500.000 to 600.000 making it the top regional employer. Table 36 Employment within the cluster in 2000 NACE 201 DNK 1 867 FIN 11 221 SWE 16 268 POL 24 293 BSR 53 649 EU15 165 238 BSR to EU16 (per cent) 189 531 28.3 EU16 53 COMPETITIVE POSITION OF THE BALTIC SEA REGION 202 1 401 5 671 2 264 11 852 21 188 83 842 95 694 22.1 203 10 860 10 827 18 491 19 989 60 167 421 245 441 234 13.6 204 900 1 019 2 294 3 628 7 841 68 651 72 279 10.8 205 1 573 822 3 182 8 345 13 922 129 363 137 708 10.1 361 25 898 12 476 27 635 94 674 160 683 1 032 303 1 126 977 14.3 Together 42 499 Source: Own calculations. 42 036 70 134 162 781 317 450 1 900 642 2 063 423 15.4 It is worth to note that in all of the states the cluster generates approx. 10 per cent of total employment in manufacturing industry which is above both EU15 and EU16 average. In absolute terms Poland has the highest share in regional employment in all the NACE groups followed by Sweden and Finland. Manufacture of furniture is the biggest regional employer in the cluster as it generates 51 per cent of jobs – it is followed by manufacture of builders' carpentry and joinery (19 per cent) and sawmilling and planing of wood as well as impregnation of wood (17 per cent). Table 37 Share in total employment in manufacturing industry in 2000 NACE DNK 0.4 201 0.3 202 2.4 203 0.2 204 0.4 205 5.8 361 Together 9.5 Source: Own calculations. FIN 2.7 1.4 2.6 0.2 0.2 3.0 10.0 SWE 2.2 0.3 2.4 0.3 0.4 3.7 9.3 POL 1.4 0.7 1.1 0.2 0.5 5.4 9.3 BSR 1.6 0.6 1.8 0.2 0.4 4.8 9.4 EU15 0.6 0.3 1.5 0.2 0.5 3.7 6.9 EU16 0.6 0.3 1.5 0.2 0.5 3.8 7.0 Table 38 Employment structure within the BSR NACE DNK 3.5 201 6.6 202 18.0 203 11.5 204 11.3 205 16.1 361 Together 13.4 Source: Own calculations. FIN 20.9 26.8 18.0 13.0 5.9 7.8 13.2 SWE 30.3 10.7 30.7 29.3 22.9 17.2 22.1 POL 45.3 55.9 33.2 46.3 59.9 58.9 51.3 BSR 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 Location quotients for employment clearly indicate that the wood and furniture cluster is strong within the BSR. There are 12 statistically significant concentrations with 5 of them at least doubling the EU16 average. In Denmark the concentrations of employment are particularly evident in manufacturing of builders' carpentry and joinery as well as manufacturing of furniture. In Finland the concentrations are strongest in saw milling and planing of wood as well as in manufacturing of veneer sheets, plywood, laminboard, particle board, fiber board and other panels and boards and to a lesser extent in manufacturing of builders' carpentry and joinery. Despite having an LQ below 1 Finnish wooden containers 54 COMPETITIVE POSITION OF THE BALTIC SEA REGION sectors is worth to be noticed. In Sweden all the sectors have an LQ higher than 0.9 with NACE 201, 203, 204 the strongest and furniture manufacturing important as well. Poland has in turn major concentrations in NACE 201 and 202 as well as in furniture manufacturing. Table 39 Location quotients for employment (in comparison to EU16 ) NACE 201 202 203 204 205 361 Source: Own calculations. DNK 0.650 0.967 1.625 0.822 0.754 1.517 FIN 4.164 4.168 1.726 0.992 0.420 0.779 SWE 3.343 0.921 1.632 1.236 0.900 0.955 POL 2.146 2.074 0.758 0.840 1.015 1.406 From 1995 till 2000 the total employment in the cluster rose by nearly 56.000 jobs and was particularly strong in Poland and Sweden and to a lesser extent in Finland. The employment in the sector was stable in Denmark which could reflect its stagnant nature. The growth in employment was particularly strong in furniture manufacturing and manufacturing of builders' carpentry and joinery. Table 40 Absolute changes in employment levels between 2000 and 1995 NACE DNK 201 202 203 204 205 361 Together Source: Own calculations. FIN -279 -167 680 -33 -512 49 -262 SWE 2 176 -1 411 2 942 206 95 2 449 6 457 POL 438 46 4 618 559 1 492 10 389 17 542 BSR 414 -444 8 198 2 420 4 712 16 782 32 082 2 749 -1 976 16 438 3 152 5 787 29 669 55 819 In terms of labor productivity the 3 Nordic states overall exceed the EU15/16 average while Poland is much below it. The situation varies significantly between NACE groups. Out of 6 sectors Sweden exceeds EU15 average in 4 cases, Finland in 3 and Denmark in 2. Table 41 Labor productivity in 2000 (turnover per employee) NACE DNK 0.137 201 0.119 202 203 0.113 0.103 204 0.083 205 361 0.117 Average 0.116 Source: Own calculations. FIN 0.286 0.131 0.124 0.115 0.074 0.104 0.161 SWE 0.268 0.207 0.135 0.132 0.076 0.099 0.151 POL 0.026 0.081 0.034 0.025 0.021 0.030 0.033 BSR 0.158 0.110 0.096 0.077 0.044 0.062 0.087 EU15 0.153 0.193 0.091 0.116 0.088 0.102 0.108 EU16 0.136 0.180 0.088 0.112 0.084 0.096 0.102 In 2000 the BSR had an overall share in total turnover of the wood and furniture industry in the EU16 of 13.2 per cent. The share was the highest in sawmilling and planing of wood (32.7 55 COMPETITIVE POSITION OF THE BALTIC SEA REGION per cent) followed by manufacture of builders' carpentry and joinery (14.8 per cent) and manufacture of veneer sheets (13.6). Manufacture of furniture had a respectful 9.2 per cent share. In absolute terms the cluster within the BSR generated 27.7 billion euro of turnover with furniture manufacturing generating approx. 10 billion euro of turnover and sawmilling and planing of wood approx. 8.5 billion euro. In terms of turnover the importance of the cluster for the economy is lower in the BSR than in the case of employment. It generates approx. 7 per cent of regional turnover of manufacturing industry. However, we have to note that this is significantly above the EU15/16 average. It is also worth to note that in the case of Denmark furniture manufacturing alone generates approx. 5 per cent of total turnover. Table 42 Turnover in 2000 (in mil of EUR) NACE DNK 257 201 167 202 1 232 203 92 204 131 205 3 040 361 Together 4 918 Source: Own calculations. FIN 3 208 742 1 347 117 61 1 297 6 771 SWE 4 354 468 2 503 302 243 2 725 10 595 POL BSR 634 960 672 90 173 2 882 5 410 EU15 8 452 2 335 5 754 602 607 9 944 27 694 EU16 25 226 25 860 16 219 17 178 38 184 38 856 7 991 8 082 11 403 11 576 105 497 108 379 204 520 209 930 BSR to EU16 (per cent) 32.7 13.6 14.8 7.4 5.2 9.2 13.2 Table 43 Share in total turnover of the manufacturing industry in 2000 NACE DNK 0.41 201 0.27 202 1.98 203 0.15 204 0.21 205 4.90 361 Together 7.92 Source: Own calculations. FIN 3.34 0.77 1.40 0.12 0.06 1.35 7.05 SWE 2.79 0.30 1.60 0.19 0.16 1.74 6.78 POL 0.67 1.01 0.71 0.09 0.18 3.03 5.68 BSR 2.06 0.57 1.40 0.15 0.15 2.43 6.76 EU15 0.51 0.33 0.77 0.16 0.23 2.12 4.11 EU16 0.51 0.34 0.77 0.16 0.23 2.14 4.14 In terms of turnover the cluster is unevenly distributed but only to a limited extent. Only in two cases (NACE 201 and 204) the turnover in a single country exceeds a 50 per cent threshold. It is worth to note that in term of turnover Poland is a regional leader in manufacture of veneer sheets and boards (this proves the point made beforehand during analysis of more detailed data on volumes of processed goods). Table 44 Turnover structure within the BSR NACE 201 202 203 204 205 361 DNK 3.0 7.1 21.4 15.4 21.5 30.6 FIN 37.9 31.8 23.4 19.4 10.0 13.0 SWE 51.5 20.0 43.5 50.2 40.0 27.4 POL 7.5 41.1 11.7 15.0 28.5 29.0 BSR 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 56 COMPETITIVE POSITION OF THE BALTIC SEA REGION Together 17.8 Source: Own calculations. 24.4 38.3 19.5 100.0 Next we turn to analysis of location quotients for turnover. The results are similar to location quotients for employment analyzed above. The only major difference apart from the strength of particular concentration being the lack of concentration in - manufacture of other products of wood and cork (NACE 205) in Poland. Table 45 Location quotient for turnover (in comparison to EU16 ) NACE 201 202 203 204 205 361 Source: Own calculations. DNK 0.811 0.792 2.590 0.934 0.923 2.291 FIN 6.546 2.278 1.830 0.762 0.276 0.632 SWE 5.461 0.883 2.089 1.213 0.681 0.816 POL 1.306 2.976 0.921 0.594 0.795 1.416 Finally we supplement the investigation into the wood and furniture cluster in the Baltic Sea Region by analysis of trade within the EU16 block. In 2001 total exports to other EU16 states amounted to 9.5 billion euro and was concentrated in furniture as well as NACE 201 and 203. Poland was the biggest regional exporter onto the EU16 market, followed by Finland. The region as a whole had a significant trade surplus with the rest of EU16 (including other BSR states) of approx. 7 billion euro(with biggest trade surplus for Poland). This is total understandable if we look at the indices of revealed comparative advantage. The region as a whole has a significant advantage (with RCA exceeding 2) in all of analyzed subsectors. Even if the CRCA index shows a less rosy picture (indicating comparative disadvantage is certain subsectors), the overall comparative advantage is self-evident. It is worth to note that Poland is the only country to have all CRACs positive – thus indicating comparative advantage. The comparative advantage is particularly strong in furniture manufacturing (Poland and Denmark) and in NACE 201 for Sweden and Finland. Table 46 Exports to EU16 in 2001 (in 1000000 EUR) NACE DNK 81 201 73 202 417 203 10 204 85 205 1 315 361 Together 1 981 Source: Own calculations. FIN SWE 1 615 70 357 13 47 526 2 628 POL 1 021 427 162 2 4 112 1 728 BSR 169 176 201 126 352 2 168 3 192 2 885 747 1 137 151 488 4 121 9 529 Table 47 Trade balance in trade with EU16 in 2001 NACE DNK FIN SWE POL BSR 57 COMPETITIVE POSITION OF THE BALTIC SEA REGION 201 202 203 204 205 361 Together Source: Own calculations. -349 -84 356 -5 42 997 957 1 537 -70 334 3 17 81 1 901 992 405 147 -1 -3 16 1 556 132 27 167 114 324 1 801 2 565 2 311 278 1 004 112 380 2 895 6 979 Table 48 RCA in trade within EU16 NACE DNK 0.665 201 0.888 202 8.354 203 1.120 204 2.792 205 4.200 361 Source: Own calculations. FIN 8.847 0.571 4.780 0.952 1.039 1.123 SWE 10.570 6.546 4.094 0.282 0.167 0.451 POL 1.286 1.983 3.744 13.254 10.724 6.431 BSR 5.420 2.076 5.219 3.904 3.672 3.015 SWE 0.054 0.022 0.008 0.000 0.000 -0.001 POL 0.006 0.003 0.007 0.005 0.013 0.076 BSR 0.023 0.003 0.010 0.001 0.004 0.029 Table 49 CRCA in trade within EU15 +PL NACE DNK -0.014 201 -0.003 202 0.016 203 0.000 204 0.002 205 0.044 361 Source: Own calculations. FIN 0.044 -0.002 0.010 0.000 0.000 0.001 Within the northern regions of Poland there are relatively numerous enterprises active in the cluster. There are at least 897 companies employing 10 and more employees. The most numerous sector is manufacture of furniture followed. by manufacture of builders' carpentry and joinery. The number of enterprises increases the possibility of cluster formation with steadily increasing specialization pattern developing. We have to note that the industry in Poland, as has been already mentioned, is based on existing local traditions thus an interesting specialized labor market is present. Table 50 Approximate number of enterprises (> 10 employees) in northern regions of Poland 201 202 pomorskie 21 8 warmińsko-mazurskie 30 14 zachodniopomorskie 29 11 kujawsko-pomorskie 22 10 lubuskie 12 4 wielkopolskie 25 5 Together 139 52 Source: Teleadreson (2005),www.teleadreson.com.pl 203 54 47 32 34 14 44 225 204 10 9 6 8 6 12 51 205 9 7 6 9 2 11 44 361 109 82 26 47 20 102 386 Together 211 189 110 130 58 199 897 The wood and furniture sector is significantly dispersed in Poland (please refer to Map 2). Despite the fact, certain major concentration can be detected. It is important to note that 58 COMPETITIVE POSITION OF THE BALTIC SEA REGION majority of the concentrations are located in the northern parts of Poland (including 3 regions considered by the State of the Region Report). It seems that on the one hand entrepreneurs in the BSR are direct competitors. Still the overall advantage of the region creates an opportunity of further increasing it through mutual cooperation. The reallocation of production on a larger scale is possible but highly unlikely. It will take form of FDI inflows into the southern Baltic regions. In fact it already occurs. The wood and furniture sector is attractive to foreign investors at each stage of the value chain: from forestry, through sawmilling to processed goods up to furniture manufacturing. At the moment foreign investors (including Nordic investors) are numerous in the cluster. Both large MNCs as well as smaller entities are present. The majority of investors come from: Germany, Sweden, the Netherlands or Norway (there are also Finnish and Danish investors present). These include among others: NACE 201: K. Schroeder Sp. z o.o. ( Schoreder AG, Germany, Szprotawa, lubuskie), Fikszo Polska Sp. z o. o (Netherlands, Taronowo Podgórne, wielkopolska,), Pollmeier Polska Sp. z o.o. (Pollmeier Massivholz GmbH & Co.KG, Germany, Poznań, wielkopolskie) NACE 202: HARDEX S.A. (foreign capital, Krosno Odrzańskie, lubuskie), Kronopol Sp. z o.o. ( Krono Holding AG, Switzerland, Żary, lubuskie); KRONOSPAN PL Sp. z o.o. (Grupa Kapitałowa Kronospan, Szczecinek, zachodniopomorskie), NACE 203-205: MULTI-LAS Sp. z o.o. J.V. (Dobre Miasto, warmińsko-mazurskie), ScanWin Sp. z o.o. (Wolsztyn, wielkopolskie), WERTH-HOLZ POLSKA Sp. z o.o. (WERTH-HOLZ SA, Germany, Pszczew, lubuskie), Barlinek S.A. (with foreign capital Barlinek, zachodipomorskie, quated on the WSE), Firmus Polska Sp. z o.o. (Firmus AS, Norway, Mścice, zachodniopomorskie), INTERWOOD (Miastko, pomorskie), Rationel Polska Sp. z o.o. (Swarożyn, pomorskie), Milford Sp. z o.o. (Milord AB, Sweden, Poznań, wielkopolskie), Krepel Polska Sp.z o.o (Krepel Cassetts, the Netherlands, Durzyn, wielkopolskie) NACE 361: Mazurskie Meble International Sp. z o.o. (Schieder Group, Germany, Olsztyn, warmińsko-mazurskie), Swedwood Poland S.A (Swedwood Holding BV,Sweden, Szczecin, several plants), Swedwood Poland Sp. z o.o. - Oddział w Lubawie (Swedwood – IKEA Group Sweden, Lubawa, warmińsko-mazurskie), Fabryka Mebli 59 COMPETITIVE POSITION OF THE BALTIC SEA REGION Schumacher Polska Sp. z o.o. (, Schumacher AG, Germany, Lubawa, warmińskomazurskie), LEXXIT MEBEL PRODUCTION & TRADING Sp. z o.o. (LEXXIT MEBEL, Belgium, Grodzisk Wielkopolski, wielkopolskie), Vox Industrie S.A. (Vox, Kobylnica wielkopolskie), Fikszo Polska Sp. z o. o (Netherlands, Taronowo Podgórne, wielkopolskie), Depolex sp z o.o. (Lipno , wielkopolskie), T" Fabryka Mebli Tapicerowanych Sp. z o.o. ( Łowyń, wielkopolskie), Fabryka Mebli Tapicerowanych CHRISTIANAPOL Sp. z o.o. (HIMMOLA, Łowyń, wielkopolskie), STEINPOL OK Meble Sp. z o.o. (Zielona Góra, lubuskie), Scanwood Sp. z o.o. Sweden, Mierzyn near Szczecin, Scanwood Dębno, Scanwood Słońsk, zachodniopomorskie), PPU INTERWOOD Sp. z o.o. (B.B. Holding, the Netherlands, Wałcz, zachodniopomorskie), FRANKE GASTOPOL Sp. z o.o. (Franke Germany, Gdynia, pomorskie), BERGUS Sp. z o.o (Sweden, Starogard Gdański, pomorskie). The foreign investors presence is particularly strong in furniture manufacturing with the majority of the sector already in foreign ownership. We have to note that furniture production in Poland is attractive due to the size of the domestic market, significant endowment in specialized labor force still relatively cheap, abundance of raw materials as well as location. The sector itself is export-oriented. 60 COMPETITIVE POSITION OF THE BALTIC SEA REGION Map 2 Significant concentrations of the wood and furniture cluster at the NUTS-4 level in Poland (including NACE 020) liczba skupień 5-7 3-4 1-2 brak siła skupień ogółem 1.00 32.44 63.88 przemysł meblarski (siła skupienia) 1.00 9.73 18.46 Source: GIME. 61 COMPETITIVE POSITION OF THE BALTIC SEA REGION 3P - PULP, PAPER, PUBLISHING (3P) The 3P cluster is internally diversified. On the one hand we have usually geographically concentrated large companies producing pulp, paper and paperboard. Traditional (basic) industry showing high economies of scale both capital and labor intensive. Manufacture of pulp, paper and paperboard is heavily depended on access to natural resources thus its location is mainly resourced-based. The more we move forward in the value added chain usually the smaller and more numerous are the companies. The location factors (determinants) shift. The BSR region similarly to wood and furniture cluster has a very good competitive position in the business which is to a large extent related to abundance of natural resources. The following 3-digit NACE groups are included in the cluster: NACE 211 – manufacture of pulp, paper and paperboard, NACE 212 – manufacture of articles of paper and paperboard, NACE 221 – publishing and finally NACE 222 – printing and service activities related to printing. The 3P sector in the BSR has a strong position both in the EU25 as well in the world. The BSR generates in terms of volume approx. two thirds of EU25 production of wood pulp (all major categories: mechanical, semi-mechanical and chemical pulp). It has also a 30 per cent stake in total EU25 production of paper and paperboard. In global terms the region is particularly strong in mechanical pulp (20.8 per cent of global production), chemical pulp (11.3 per cent), printing and writing paper (11.9 per cent) as well as semi-mechanical pulp (10.9 per cent share). Table 51 Production of pulp, paper and paperboard in 2002 (volume) Pulp SemiMechanical mechanical pulp pulp World EU25 Sweden Germany Finland Denmark Latvia Lithuania 34735 10724 3021 1252 4087 - 8410 1350 281 500 - Chemical pulp 144337 25502 8410 896 7142 - Newsprint 37377 9153 2423 2026 1008 - Paper and paperboard Printing Other and paper and writing paperboard paper 96609 190717 33553 47330 2807 5494 7043 9457 8084 3697 133 250 1 32 78 Total 324704 90036 10724 18526 12789 383 33 78 62 COMPETITIVE POSITION OF THE BALTIC SEA REGION Poland 102 139 Estonia BSR 7210 920 BSR* 8462 920 share of BSR 67.2 68.1 in EU25 share of BSR 20.8 10.9 in world Source: METLA (2004) and own calculations. 784 65 16336 17297 217 3648 5674 516 11540 18584 1609 75 11050 20692 2342 75 26238 44950 64.1 39.9 34.4 23.3 29.1 11.3 9.8 11.9 5.8 8.1 This excellent competitive position in global terms is basically due to Finland and Sweden. The contribution of Poland is significantly smaller, however, it is noticeable in the production of semi-mechanical pulp and other paper and paperboard. Contribution of Denmark is marginal in production of pulp, paper and paperboard. Table 52 Production of pulp, paper and paperboard in 2002 within the BSR – regional distribution (share in region total production in per cent) Pulp SemiMechanical mechanical pulp pulp Chemical pulp Newsprint 51.5 43.7 4.8 66.4 27.6 5.9 Sweden 41.9 30.5 Finland 56.7 54.3 Denmark Poland 1.4 15.1 Source: METLA (2004) and own calculations. Paper and paperboard Printing Other and paper and writing paperboard paper 24.3 49.7 70.1 33.5 1.2 2.3 4.5 14.6 Total 40.9 48.7 1.5 8.9 In 2002 the cluster generated approx. 306.000 jobs – 13.0 per cent of total employment in the EU16. In terms of the share for particular subsectors the BSR had a highest share in manufacturing of pulp an paper (34.2 per cent of EU16) as well as publishing (14.4 per cent). Within the cluster most jobs were generated in publishing (103.000) followed by manufacture of pulp, paper and paperboard and printing and service activities related to printing (both approx. 80.000). In absolute terms the 3P cluster generated most jobs in Sweden, followed by Finland and Poland. Table 53 Employment within the 3P cluster in 2000 NACE DNK FIN SWE POL BSR EU15 211 1 184 36 623 32 125 10 453 80 385 224 419 BSR to EU16 (per cent) 234 872 34.2 212 7 818 4 476 12 428 17 982 42 704 433 009 450 991 9.5 221 34 560 17 722 30 315 20 112 102 709 694 594 714 706 14.4 222 17 559 13 691 26 073 22 963 80 286 933 117 956 080 8.4 72 512 100 941 71 510 306 084 Together 61 121 Source: Own calculations. EU16 2 285 139 2 356 649 13.0 63 COMPETITIVE POSITION OF THE BALTIC SEA REGION In relative terms, in terms of a share in total manufacturing employment), the 3P was most important for the Nordic countries – Finland in particular (with the share more than doubling an average for the EU15). The sector in relative terms is significantly less important for Poland (with a share half of EU15 average). In terms of employment its distribution is roughly is roughly uniform at an aggregated level with Sweden standing out with a 33 per cent share. At the 3-digit NACE level each of the countries has highest share at one sector. For instance Poland in manufacturing of articles of paper and paperboard and Denmark in publishing. Table 54 3P – Share in total employment in manufacturing industry in 2000 NACE DNK 0.3 211 1.8 212 7.7 221 3.9 222 Together 13.7 Source: Own calculations. FIN 8.7 1.1 4.2 3.3 17.3 SWE 4.2 1.6 4.0 3.4 13.3 POL 0.6 1.0 1.1 1.3 4.1 BSR 2.4 1.3 3.0 2.4 9.1 EU15 0.8 1.6 2.5 3.4 8.2 EU16 0.8 1.5 2.4 3.2 8.0 Table 55 3P – cluster employment structure within the BSR NACE DNK 1.5 211 18.3 212 221 33.6 21.9 222 Together 20.0 Source: Own calculations. FIN 45.6 10.5 17.3 17.1 23.7 SWE 40.0 29.1 29.5 32.5 33.0 POL 13.0 42.1 19.6 28.6 23.4 BSR 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 Location quotients for employment indicate existence of significant concentrations of the industry in the region apart from Poland (in relation to the benchmark group of EU16). Sweden in 4 out of 4 cases and Denmark and Finland in 3 out of 4 sectors. Taking into the strength of the concentration we should in particular name manufacture of pulp, paper and paperboard in Finland and Sweden as well as of publishing in Denmark. Table 56 Location quotients for employment (in comparison to EU16 ) NACE 211 212 221 222 Source: Own calculations. DNK 0.333 1.145 3.193 1.213 FIN 10.967 0.698 1.744 1.007 SWE 5.327 1.073 1.652 1.062 POL 0.745 0.668 0.471 0.402 At aggregated level the total employment within the 3P cluster increased in the period 1995 to 2000 by nearly 8.000 jobs. The change was not uniform, however. It dropped in Denmark, remained roughly the same in Finland and Sweden and increased significantly in Poland. It wasn’t uniform at sectoral level as well. In general the increase in employment levels was 64 COMPETITIVE POSITION OF THE BALTIC SEA REGION considerable in all sectors apart from the most basic sector that is manufacture of pulp, paper and paperboard (a fall of approx. 12.000 jobs). It is worth to note that the sector contracted in employment terms in all of the economies. In terms of labor productivity Finland and Sweden are particularly strong in comparison to EU15/16 average while Denmark and Poland in particular have still much room for improvement. Table 57 3P cluster. Absolute changes in employment levels between 2000 and 1995 NACE DNK -55 211 -1 006 212 -1 141 221 -369 222 Together -2 571 Source: Own calculations. FIN SWE -2 248 1 124 -796 2 843 923 -2 111 414 507 1 436 246 POL -7 363 6 756 6 867 3 010 9 270 BSR -11 777 7 288 5 437 6 920 7 868 Table 58 Labor productivity in 2000 (turnover per employee) NACE 211 DNK 0.240 FIN 0.429 SWE 0.349 POL 0.131 BSR 0.355 EU15 0.337 EU16 0.328 212 0.162 0.148 0.187 0.053 0.122 0.181 0.176 221 0.079 0.134 0.152 0.058 0.106 0.169 0.166 222 0.110 0.113 0.126 0.041 0.096 0.107 0.106 0.280 0.212 0.062 0.171 0.163 0.160 Average 0.102 Source: Own calculations. In 2000 the 3P cluster generated a total turnover of 52.3 billion euro – 13.9 per cent of turnover in the EU16 group. Out of this 28.5 billion (54.6 per cent) was generated in manufacture of pulp, paper and paperboard and 10.8 billion (20.7 per cent) in publishing. The share of the region in comparison to EU16 was particularly high in key NACE 211. Table 59 Turnover in 2000 (in mill. of euro) NACE DNK 284 211 1 265 212 2 724 221 1 936 222 Together 6 209 Source: Own calculations. FIN 15 702 660 2 370 1 543 20 275 SWE 11 203 2 328 4 595 3 285 21 410 POL 1 365 961 1 158 937 4 421 BSR 28 554 5 215 10 846 7 700 52 315 EU15 75 573 78 276 117 601 100 064 371 513 EU16 76 937 79 237 118 758 101 000 375 933 BSR to EU16 (per cent) 37.1 6.6 9.1 7.6 13.9 The 3P cluster generated 21.1 per cent of total turnover of manufacturing industry in Finland and at the same time had an approx. four times less share in Poland. On average the share in the region was at the level of 12.8 per cent. In the case of all 3 Nordic countries the share was much above the EU15/16 average. Finland and Sweden are responsible for approx. 80 per 65 COMPETITIVE POSITION OF THE BALTIC SEA REGION cent of total turnover of the 3p cluster within the BSR. The share of Finland is particularly high in manufacture of pulp, paper and paperboard. Table 60 Share in total turnover of the manufacturing industry in 2000 NACE DNK 0.5 211 2.0 212 4.4 221 3.1 222 Together 10.0 Source: Own calculations. FIN 16.3 0.7 2.5 1.6 21.1 SWE 7.2 1.5 2.9 2.1 13.7 POL 1.4 1.0 1.2 1.0 4.6 BSR 7.0 1.3 2.6 1.9 12.8 EU15 1.5 1.6 2.4 2.0 7.5 EU16 1.5 1.6 2.3 2.0 7.4 Table 61 Turnover structure within the BSR NACE DNK 1.0 211 24.3 212 25.1 221 25.1 222 Together 11.9 Source: Own calculations. FIN 55.0 12.7 21.8 20.0 38.8 SWE 39.2 44.6 42.4 42.7 40.9 POL 4.8 18.4 10.7 12.2 8.4 BSR 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 In terms of location quotients for turnover we see six major concentrations (with an LQ 25 per cent above of the EU16 average) – in production of pulp and paper in Sweden and Finland, in publishing in Sweden, and in three related NACE groups in Denmark. None of the sectors in Poland has an LQ for turnover above the threshold level. (only an LQ for manufacture of pulp, paper and paperboard is close to 1). Table 62 Location quotient for turnover (in comparison to EU16 ) NACE 211 212 221 222 Source: Own calculations. DNK 0.302 1.304 1.874 1.566 FIN 10.770 0.440 1.053 0.806 SWE 4.723 0.953 1.255 1.055 POL 0.945 0.646 0.519 0.494 In terms of exports to EU16 the region in 2001 the region exported altogether 13.5 billion euro of goods mainly pulp, paper and paperboards and products made of them. Finland and Sweden are the two major regional exporters on the EU16 market and Denmark and Poland minor exporters. In terms of trade balance Finland and Sweden recorded significant trade surplus while Poland and had a trade deficit in all 4 subsectors. Table 63 Exports to EU16 in 2001 (in 1000000 EUR) NACE DNK 211 212 221 222 Together Source: Own calculations. 227 246 185 73 731 FIN 5 474 469 98 35 6 076 SWE 5 373 450 72 67 5 963 POL BSR 400 272 55 47 774 11 475 1 436 411 222 13 544 66 COMPETITIVE POSITION OF THE BALTIC SEA REGION Table 64 Trade balance in trade with EU16 in 2001 NACE DNK -589 211 -160 212 15 221 -27 222 Together -761 Source: Own calculations. FIN SWE 5 041 160 -112 -57 5 031 POL 5 134 301 -1 37 5 470 BSR -569 -91 -68 -28 -756 9 017 210 -167 -75 8 985 The Baltic Sea Region taken as a whole has a strong comparative advantage in trade in the manufacture of pulp, paper and paperboard. This is due to position of Sweden and Finland. It has a strong position in related manufacture of articles of paper and paperboard (with Denmark the only country with comparative disadvantage in trade as indicated by CRCA). The BSR shows a comparative disadvantage in publishing and printing. Table 65 RCA in trade within EU16 NACE DNK 0.33 211 1.08 212 1.16 221 1.10 222 Source: Own calculations. FIN 5.25 1.37 0.41 0.35 SWE 9.74 2.49 0.57 1.28 POL 0.53 1.11 0.32 0.65 BSR 3.77 1.44 0.59 0.76 FIN 0.145 0.004 -0.004 -0.002 SWE 0.277 0.013 -0.002 0.001 POL -0.013 0.000 -0.002 0.000 BSR 0.090 0.002 -0.002 -0.001 Table 66 CRCA in trade within EU16 NACE DNK -0.023 211 -0.006 212 0.001 221 -0.001 222 Source: Own calculations. For many reason the 3P cluster has a strategic importance to the region in particular it is the case for Finland and Sweden. Despite the strong position of the these two Nordic states the position of the region could be further improved if strong Nordic corporations utilize the opportunities created by enlargement of the European Union and invest more in Poland and the 3 Baltic States. In order to asses the opportunities we have to take a look at the location of the 3P sector in Poland. As the map of concentrations and the following table clearly indicate the sector is relatively dispersed mainly due to dependence on resources. Production of pulp an paper is most concentrated with several large plants while the rest is more dispersed across the country. It is important to note that within the three northern voivodeships of Poland there exist a number of significant concentrations of the industry. 67 COMPETITIVE POSITION OF THE BALTIC SEA REGION Table 67 3PC - Approximate number of enterprises (> 10 employees) in northern regions of Poland 211 212 221 222 Together pomorskie 1 24 warmińsko-mazurskie 0 13 zachodniopomorskie 1 20 kujawsko-pomorskie 4 34 lubuskie 1 7 wielkopolskie 0 40 Together 7 138 Source: Teleadreson (2005),www.teleadreson.com.pl 54 9 12 15 5 38 133 86 26 30 56 5 73 276 165 48 63 109 18 151 554 As already has been mentioned, manufacture of pulp, paper and paperboard is concentrated in several large plants which have been taken over by large multinationals. These are International Paper SA in Kwidzyn (pomorskie, MNC, quoted on NYSE), Arctic Paper Kosztyń SA (Arctic Paper AB, Sweden, Kostrzyń, wielkopolskie), Axxion Industries (Axxion AG, the Netherlands, Poznań, wielkopolska,) as well as FRANTSCHACH ŚWIECIE S.A. in Świecie (Mondi Packaging, international, Świecie, kujawsko-pomorskie). All the big plants are surrounded by a number of enterprises of related sectors forming “natural” clusters. Foreign investors are present in other sectors of the cluster for instance in packaging or paper products. Among others we have SCA PACKAGING POLAND Sp. z o.o. and SCA POZNAN DISPLAY Sp.z o.o. part of Swedish Svenska Cellulosa Aktienbolaget SCA in Kwidzyn, Piła, Tarnowo Podgórne, Dutch Kappa Packaging Group in Drezdenko, Konin, Gdańsk (Tczew)., German Hanke Paper in Kostrzyn Odrzański - Hanke Tissue. It seems that investors are taking into account existence of special economic zones (SEZ), where special rules for state aid apply (in the form of tax exemptions upon fulfilling certain entry criteria). This could have been a factor of locating investments in Kostrzyn, Kwidzyn or Tczew. 68 COMPETITIVE POSITION OF THE BALTIC SEA REGION liczba skupień 5-7 3-4 1-2 brak siła skupień ogółem 1.00 32.05 63.09 przemysł celulozowo-papierniczyi (siła skupienia) 1.00 10.27 19.54 69 COMPETITIVE POSITION OF THE BALTIC SEA REGION ICT CLUSTER ICT is one of the fastest growing sectors globally. It’s role is substantial in stimulating both overall productivity growth (TFP) as well as productivity levels of individual sectors including the non-IT manufacturing and non-manufacturing sectors (Jorgenson and Nomura 2005). Its role in the BSR is substantial and is increasing steadily. ICT is very different from traditional business in terms of its characteristics. Despite the general perception of its footloose or weightless nature the sector itself tends to be spatially concentrated (thus ICT clusters emerge). The BSR seems to be one the leading ICT clusters (at least in certain niche markets) on a global arena - the fact that will potentially determine the long-term prosperity of the region. As to the scope of the cluster itself different views co-exist. For sure the following 3-digit NACE groups should be taken into account: NACE 300 - manufacture of office machinery and computers, NACE 321- manufacture of electronic valves and tubes and other electronic components, NACE 322 - manufacture of television and radio transmitters and apparatus for line telephony and line telegraphy and 323 manufacture of television and radio receivers, sound or video recording or reproducing apparatus and associated goods. In the present study, on the basis of the Polish cluster-mapping project we take into account NACE 332 manufacture of instruments and appliances for measuring, checking, testing, navigating and other purposes, except industrial process control equipment (we would extend it preferably to include NACE 333 – however it was impossible due to data limitations). In the Polish clustermapping project we extended the definition further to accommodate cluster-related services NACE 721 through to 726 including among others: hardware and software consultancy and supply, data processing and other data base activities12. The scope of the present study did not allow us to take the above fully into account due to severe data limitations. For instance the NEW CRONOS data base does not have data on manufacture of office machinery and computers so we will present only information on Poland. It seems important as a general policy recommendation that the statistical data bases on business activities should be 12 In several ICT clusters cases studies the researcher go even further extending the scope of the cluster by addition of “content” producing sectors such as publishing, printing, television and radios. 70 COMPETITIVE POSITION OF THE BALTIC SEA REGION significantly improved in terms of their scope, depth and reliability in order to improve the quality of policy-making process all over Europe (including in the BSR region). What is so specific about ICT? As has been already mentioned it is a fast-growing sector (a cluster of sectors in fact) characterized by relatively short or very short product life-cycles. It is depended to a large extent on R&D and dynamic innovation – the R&D intensity is high. In other words ICT is a high-tech, high knowledge and technology intensive branch. This in fact makes it one of the most human capital intensive branches with the majority of workers being highly qualified specialists (university graduates) and white collar workers. Furthermore, the branch is characterized by high value-added, high-risk. Its both capital and marketing intensive. The futures cause the industry to cluster which brings important benefits in terms of locally available externalities. In 2000 the ICT cluster generated approximately 160.000 jobs in the region. Due to the lack of data for NACE 300 in the case of the Nordic states this is only a very rough figure. To know roughly the scale of employment in the Nordic countries we found additional data sources provided by statistical offices of the Nordic states (Statistics Denmark et al. 2001 – tables from the report are attached in the appendix). The last available year is 1999 which is relatively good approximation for 2000. We have to note, however, that the definition differs a bit from the one utilized here as the definition includes in the manufacturing section NACE 313 and 333. Still in 1999 the employment in the manufacturing section in Denmark amounted to 21.100 jobs, in Finland to 43.800 jobs and in Sweden to 69.187 jobs. On top of that we have ICT services (wholesale, telecommunications and consultancy services) amounting to 75.150 jobs for Denmark, 61.285 for Finland and 132.168 jobs for Sweden. Applying the same definition of the ICT cluster for Polish data for 1999 we arrive at total ICT cluster manufacturing employment of 65.094 jobs (59.837 jobs in 2000). This gives a total of 199.181 jobs in manufacturing ICT within the BSR in 1999 plus (keeping the proportion of ICT services to ICT manufacturing for Nordic estimates) approx. 400.000 jobs in ICT services in the BSR (estimate of the ICT service for Poland at 130.000jobs). This sums up to 600.000 jobs within the region for an extended definition of an ICT cluster. Still for clarity we will stick to standard approach (keeping above estimates in mind to properly asses the significance of the ICT cluster for the BSR region). 71 COMPETITIVE POSITION OF THE BALTIC SEA REGION Table 68 ICT - Employment within the cluster in 2000 NACE DNK FIN SWE POL BSR EU15 EU16 BSR to EU16 (per cent) : : 300 : : : 3 150 : : 321 3 099 4 563 6 069 5 335 19 066 275 385 280 720 6.8 322 4 747 33 006 35 071 9 869 82 693 384 571 394 440 21.0 323 6 579 1 049 5 319 12 165 25 112 133 502 145 667 17.2 6 046 332 Together 20 471 Source: Own calculations. 3 889 42 507 9 371 55 830 10 410 40 929 29 716 339 350 349 760 159 737 1 132 808 1 173 737 8.5 13.6 The BSR has on average 13.6 per cent share in ICT manufacturing employment in EU16. It has very high shares in manufacturing of television and radio transmitters (21.0 per cent) and manufacturing of television and radio receivers (17.2 per cent). The employment in absolute terms is the highest in Sweden followed by Finland and Poland. In relative terms the employment in manufacturing ICT cluster is more significant for Finland than for Sweden. It is much below the EU16 average for Poland. Table 69 ICT - Share in total employment in manufacturing industry in 2000 NACE DNK : 300 0.7 321 1.1 322 1.5 323 1.4 332 Together 4.6 Source: Own calculations. FIN : 1.1 7.9 0.3 0.9 10.1 SWE : 0.8 4.6 0.7 1.2 7.4 POL 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.7 0.6 2.3 BSR : 0.6 2.4 0.7 0.9 4.7 EU15 : 1.0 1.4 0.5 1.2 4.1 EU16 : 1.0 1.3 0.5 1.2 4.0 Within the region Poland has particularly strong position in terms of level of employment in manufacture of television and radio receivers, followed by manufacture of instruments and appliances for measuring and testing (35.0 per cent) and manufacture of electronic valves and tubes and other electronic components (28.0 per cent). On average a quarter of manufacturing employment in the ICT sector within the BSR is located in Poland. Denmark with an average share of 12.8 per cent is particularly strong in manufacture of television and radio receivers. Table 70 ICT - Employment structure within the BSR NACE DNK : 300 16.3 321 5.7 322 26.2 323 20.3 332 Together 12.8 Source: Own calculations. FIN : 23.9 39.9 4.2 13.1 26.6 SWE : 31.8 42.4 21.2 31.5 35.0 POL : 28.0 11.9 48.4 35.0 25.6 BSR : 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 72 COMPETITIVE POSITION OF THE BALTIC SEA REGION Location quotients for employment (in comparison to EU16 average) clearly prove existence of several strong concentrations of the ICT sector within the BSR. Poland has one in manufacture of television and radio receivers, Finland and Denmark have both two and Sweden has three. The most significant concentrations in the region are, as could be expected, in manufacture of television and radio transmitters and apparatus for line telephony and line telegraphy in Sweden and Finland (Nokia-Ericsson effect) as well as in manufacture of television and radio receivers in Denmark. Table 71 ICT - Location quotients for employment (in comparison to EU16 ) NACE 300 321 322 323 332 Source: Own calculations. DNK : 0.729 0.795 2.982 1.141 FIN : 1.143 5.885 0.506 0.782 SWE : 0.842 3.463 1.422 1.044 POL : 0.318 0.419 1.398 0.498 The sector is growing across the region in terms of employment. Within the period 1995 – 2000 it increased altogether by approx. by 24.000 jobs mainly in Finland and to a lesser extent in Sweden. On the levels of individual subsectors the situation was not so uniform. Table 72 ICT - Absolute changes in employment levels between 2000 and 1995 NACE DNK : 300 67 321 1 677 322 679 323 766 332 Together 3 189 Source: Own calculations. FIN SWE : 459 13 572 -293 1 547 15 285 POL : 2 159 2 268 2 923 -2 705 4 645 BSR 1 914 -3 156 712 2 778 -1 507 741 : -471 18 229 6 087 -1 899 23 860 As to labor productivity the BSR region is not particularly strong in comparison to EU15/16 apart from manufacture of television and radio transmitters and apparatus for line telephony and line telegraphy where Finland in Sweden are particularly strong. It is worrying that Poland and Denmark (to a lesser extent though) are much below the average productivity levels. There for sure is much room for improvement and productivity convergence to occur. Table 73 Labor productivity in 2000 (turnover per employee) NACE DNK : 300 0.097 321 0.185 322 0.124 323 0.135 332 Average 0.137 Source: Own calculations. FIN SWE : 0.114 0.678 0.164 0.140 0.555 : 0.194 0.543 0.248 0.161 0.413 POL 0.137 0.022 0.083 0.106 0.039 0.075 BSR EU15 : 0.111 0.521 0.143 0.110 0.329 EU16 : 0.236 0.349 0.259 0.151 0.252 : 0.232 0.342 0.246 0.148 0.245 73 COMPETITIVE POSITION OF THE BALTIC SEA REGION As two total turnover the ICT cluster generated in 2000 approx. 52.5 billion euro. Out of this more than 80 per cent was generated in manufacture of television and radio transmitters and apparatus for line telephony and line telegraphy alone. Finland and Sweden and a similar turnover of approx. 23.3 billion euro. It was significantly less for Poland and Denmark (approx. 3.0 billion euro). The BSR’s ICT cluster generates on average 18.2 per cent of total ICT turnover in the EU16. The share is a result mainly of the significant share in the manufacture of television and radio transmitters and apparatus for line telephony and line telegraphy (one third of total EU16 turnover). The significance of the ICT cluster for the BSR region becomes even more clear if we look at the relative figures that is the share of the ICT in total manufacturing industry turnover. For the BSR the average stands at 12.8 per cent. It is however, approx. a quarter for Finland and one seventh of total manufacturing industry turnover for Sweden. It is however below EU15 average for both Poland and Denmark. In terms of regional distribution of turnover at an aggregated level the Finland and Sweden have a dominant position (generating approx. 45 and 44 per cent of turnover respectively). Each one of he other two states generate about 5.5 per cent of total ICT turnover of the region. Table 74 ICT - Turnover in 2000 (in 1000000 EUR) NACE DNK 300 300 321 879 322 816 323 814 332 Together 2 809 Source: Own calculations. FIN 521 22 369 172 544 23 606 SWE POL 1 177 19 047 1 319 1 508 23 050 BSR 430 119 818 1 284 403 3 055 EU15 2 117 43 113 3 591 3 269 52 521 64 886 134 269 34 607 51 272 285 034 BSR to EU16 (per cent) EU16 65 005 135 087 35 892 51 675 288 089 3.3 31.9 10.0 6.3 18.2 Table 75 ICT - Share in total turnover of the manufacturing industry in 2000 NACE DNK 300 0.5 321 1.4 322 1.3 323 1.3 332 Together 4.5 Source: Own calculations. FIN SWE 0.5 23.3 0.2 0.6 24.6 0.8 12.2 0.8 1.0 14.7 POL 0.5 0.1 0.9 1.3 0.4 3.2 BSR EU15 EU16 0.5 10.5 0.9 0.8 12.8 1.3 2.7 0.7 1.0 5.7 1.3 2.7 0.7 1.0 5.7 Table 76 ICT - Turnover structure within the BSR NACE 300 321 322 323 DNK FIN SWE POL BSR 14.2 2.0 22.7 24.6 51.9 4.8 55.6 44.2 36.7 5.6 1.9 35.8 100.0 100.0 100.0 74 COMPETITIVE POSITION OF THE BALTIC SEA REGION 24.9 332 Together 5.3 Source: Own calculations. 16.6 44.9 12.3 5.8 46.1 43.9 100.0 100.0 Location quotients for turnover bring nearly the same massage as LQs for employment. Several significant concentrations of the ICT sector exist within the BSR in relation to EU16 average. The only difference being that the LQs for turnover indicate lack of existence of two concentrations ( respective LQs do not break the 1.00 threshold). These are Finland in manufacture of electronic valves and tubes and other electronic components and Sweden in manufacture of instruments and appliances for measuring, checking and testing. Table 77 ICT - Location quotient for turnover (in comparison to EU16 ) NACE 300 321 322 323 332 Source: Own calculations. DNK : 0.377 0.532 1.858 1.287 FIN : 0.423 8.738 0.253 0.556 SWE : 0.587 4.573 1.191 0.946 POL : 0.098 0.323 1.906 0.416 In contrast to data on employment and turnover we have a full access to data on trade in goods thus we can take NACE 300 - manufacturing of office machinery and computers into account. In 2001 the ICT sector of the BSR exported goods in total value of 8.6 billion euro to other states of the EU16. It is clearly worth to note, taking into account the export-orientation of the sector, that much of the export is directed to countries outside of the European Union (particularly in the case of NACE 322). Finland was the biggest exporter onto the EU16 market in absolute terms followed by Sweden. It is worth to note that Poland exported nearly 1 billion euro worth of goods in the NACE 323 that is manufacture of television and radio receivers (mainly television sets). Table 78 ICT - Exports to EU16 in 2001 (in 1000000 EUR) NACE DNK 537 300 136 321 215 322 556 323 335 332 Together 1 779 Source: Own calculations. FIN SWE 433 197 1 345 752 415 3 142 POL BSR 521 69 1 274 377 143 2 384 44 145 79 938 90 1 296 -192 -537 1 052 107 -63 POL -1 136 -457 -1 083 600 -304 1 536 547 2 913 2 622 984 8 602 Table 79 Trade balance in trade with EU16 in 2001 NACE 300 321 322 323 332 DNK FIN -929 -140 -204 73 27 SWE -1 613 -340 768 -201 -175 BSR -3 870 -1 475 533 579 -515 75 COMPETITIVE POSITION OF THE BALTIC SEA REGION Together Source: Own calculations. -1 174 -1 562 368 -2 380 -4 748 As the ICT trade shows characteristics of intra-industry trade the strong export position wasn’t enough to guarantee an overall trade surplus with the rest of the EU16. In fact the region as a whole had trade deficit of 4.7 billion euro. Sweden the only country with an overall trade surplus and Poland with the highest trade deficit of 2.4 billion euro (this in fact should be surprising as Poland is on the restructuring path thus importing a lot of high-tech intensive goods and services not available at the domestic market). Both indices of revealed comparative advantage clearly indicate that the region taken as a whole has an advantage in trade with the rest of EU16 in two manufacturing of television and radio transmitters as well as receivers (NACE 322 – 323). In the case of transmitters this due to strong position of Sweden and Finland. In the case of receivers the RCA index shows that all the region’s economies have an advantage. The unbiased CRCA index points to comparative advantage of Poland (particularly strong) and Denmark. It is worth to note that Denmark is the only BSR economy to have comparative advantage (as indicated by both indices ) in manufacture of instruments and appliances for measuring, checking, testing etc. Moreover, the region has a strong revealed comparative disadvantage in manufacture of office machinery and computers. Table 80 RCA in trade within EU16 NACE DNK 0.487 300 0.300 321 0.778 322 1.721 323 1.249 332 Source: Own calculations. FIN 0.262 0.291 3.243 1.557 1.034 SWE 0.597 0.192 5.804 1.474 0.675 POL 0.037 0.297 0.264 2.697 0.313 BSR 0.319 0.276 2.408 1.861 0.840 SWE -0.025 -0.042 0.053 0.000 -0.008 POL -0.034 -0.012 -0.032 0.028 -0.008 BSR -0.037 -0.014 0.006 0.006 -0.005 Table 81 CRCA in trade within EU15 +PL NACE DNK -0.036 300 -0.005 321 -0.008 322 0.005 323 0.002 332 Source: Own calculations. FIN -0.052 -0.011 0.021 -0.008 -0.007 In 1999 in the manufacturing section of the ICT cluster there were 874 enterprises active in Denmark, 689 in Finland and 1361 in Sweden (according to appendix A, with NACE 313 and 333 in the sample). In comparison in 2005 we identified 113 enterprises (with 10 and more employees) active in the ICT sector in 6 northern voivodeships of Poland. Plus an additional of 441 enterprises in computer consultancy services. If we would apply the ICT definition of 76 COMPETITIVE POSITION OF THE BALTIC SEA REGION Statistics Denmark and took into account also the so-called micro enterprises the total number of ICT enterprises in the six regions of Poland would increase to 751 (with 345 located within the three regions taken into account by the State of the region report). In the computer consultancy section the number goes up to 4627 enterprises (with 2276 in the 3 northern voivodeships). This is a significant amount as for comparison there were 3.500 enterprises in the sector in the whole of Finland in 1999. Table 82 ICT - Approximate number of enterprises (> 10 employees) in northern regions of Poland 300 321 322 323 332 Together 721 722 723 pomorskie 2 8 13 10 11 warmińsko-mazurskie 2 3 0 1 1 zachodniopomorskie 4 2 1 4 2 kujawsko-pomorskie 0 4 2 1 12 lubuskie 1 1 0 1 3 wielkopolskie 5 5 4 2 8 Together 14 23 20 19 37 Source: Teleadreson (2005),www.teleadreson.com.pl 44 7 13 19 6 24 113 21 4 11 9 3 13 61 55 9 24 28 6 52 174 10 2 1 5 1 7 26 724 725 Together 20 2 6 7 1 19 55 31 8 14 23 11 38 125 137 25 56 72 22 129 441 It is worth to note that ICT enterprises tend to locate in large agglomerations with large university campuses. This is clear if we take a look at the map of ICT concentrations from the Polish cluster-mapping project. Within the BSR or its close proximity we have several large concentrations in the region of Gdansk (Tricity), Poznań, Szczecin and Bydgoszcz. Gdansk and Poznań seem to be particularly interesting with the ICT sector developing particularly fast and already showing certain cluster features (Brodzicki et al. 2002) There is an important presence of foreign investors in the ICT sector in northern voivodeships Poland which proves the attractiveness of local environment with high endowment in specialized human-capital (large amount of university graduates), large domestic market and still relatively low labor costs for professionals. The inflow of FDI is focused on production plants but several R&D centers were also established. Some of the inflow is related to advantages offered by special economic zones – this in especially the case in Pomorska Specjalna Stefa Ekonomiczna where several large multinational ICT corporations are already present. Beneath we will present a list of major foreign ICT investors in the northern part of Poland: TELEFONICA Sp. z o.o. Oddział Gorzów (Spain, Gorzów Wielkopolski, wielkopolskie), Vobis Microcomputer Sp. z o.o. (Dołuje, zachodniopomorskie), ATIS Sp. z o.o. (Germany, Szczytno warmiińsko-mazurskie), Kimball Electronics Poland Sp. z o.o. (Kimball Electronics, Poznań, wielkopolskie), ATOTECH Poland Sp. z o.o. (Atotech Deutschland GmbH, Germany, Poznań, wielkopolskie), Lacroix Electronics Sp. z o.o. 77 COMPETITIVE POSITION OF THE BALTIC SEA REGION (Frence, Kwidzyn, pomorskie), ERICSSON Sp. z o.o (Sweden, Gdańsk, pomorskie), Flextronics International Tczew (Fextronics, MNC, Tczew SEZ, pomorskie), Philips Consumer Electronics Industries Poland Sp. z o.o. (Kwidzyn, pomorskie) – Jabil Circuit Poland Sp. z o.o. (Jabil USA, Kwidzyn, pomorskie), Gemplus Pologne sp. z o.o. (Gemplus, France, Tczew SEZ, pomorskie), Young Digital Poland S.A. (Finnish capital, Gdańsk, pomorskie), SURUGA SEIKI, (Japan, Gdańsk, pomorskie, operative from 2007).. Research centers: Advanced Digital Broadcast Polska Sp z o.o (Advanced Digital Broadcast Holdings SA, Switzerland, Zielona Góra, lubuskie), Intel Technology Poland Sp. z o.o. (Intel, USA, Gdańsk). It is worth to note that reallocation of major multi national company could lead to spontaneous clustering process to begin if it will establish a network of specialized subcontractors. The endowment of human capital is likely to fuel the process. The ICT sector in Poland can attract new major investors in the computer consultancies services in the near future as the special economic zones have been allowed recently to attract investors in the field as well as in financial services (accounting, call-center etc.) and R&D activities. This creates a new opportunity for potential Nordic investors. The sectors are highly likely to move as they are labor-intensive and the labor costs constitute significant part of the business itself. We have to added that several high-technology parks have now been established or going to be established in the near future in the BSR (Gdańsk, Gdynia, Poznań). 78 COMPETITIVE POSITION OF THE BALTIC SEA REGION Map 3 Significant concentrations of the ICT sector at the NUTS-4 level in Poland (including NACE 020) liczba skupień 7-9 4-6 1-3 brak siła skupień ogółem 1.00 22.60 44.21 Source: GIME. 79 COMPETITIVE POSITION OF THE BALTIC SEA REGION MARITIME CLUSTER (MC) Data availability forced us to significantly limit the scope of the maritime cluster only to two 3-digit manufacturing industry NACE sectors: that is building and repairing of ships and boats (NACE 351) and to processing and preserving of fish and fish products (NACE 152). The actual scope of the cluster in reality is much bigger13. This approach is based on the results of the Polish cluster mapping exercise. We have to stress, however, that ideally sectoral scope should be much wider. For instance an excellent study by TEKES on the maritime cluster in Finland (Vittanen et al. 2003) takes into account and thus distinguishes within the maritime cluster the following groups of enterprises: shipbuilding companies, shipyards as well as companies belonging to the network of the shipbuilding industry (contractors, subcontractors, direct and indirect suppliers), manufacturers of leisure boats, shipping companies, ports and port-related companies, companies related to shipping companies and ports as well as companies of related fields. The DTI Report (2001) distinguishes either a shipbuilding, shipbuilding & engineering, marine or maritime technology clusters depending on a given region. The approach utilized by DTI in delimiting of the cluster scope could thus also be characterized as very elastic as it encompasses a large scope of sectors in branches vertically or horizontally related to the core industry. Analysis of the significance of the maritime industry for the EU economy prepared for the EC goes even further distinguishing the following components of the maritime economy: shipping and inland shipping, shipbuilding, offshore supply, maritime works, seaports and related services, fishing, recreation vessels and services, maritime services and maritime equipment. This broad approach led the authors to arrive at the employment levels in EU15 approaching 2.950.000 employees. In our narrow definition, limited to manufacturing industries only, we treat shipbuilding (comprising recreational vessels as well) as the core of the cluster with processing and preserving of fish and fish products as a representative of the outward layer of the cluster 13 It is worth to note that for instance the city of London (UK) created a strategy for development of maritime services comprising cluster brokers, financial institutions etc. 80 COMPETITIVE POSITION OF THE BALTIC SEA REGION related to fishing. In those to sectors of the maritime cluster the BSR had a strong position in the EU15 (EU16) in 2000 in term of total employment. With approx. 82000 jobs it generated a quarter of total employment in the MC with an even stronger position in NACE 351 (effect of Poland). Still the actual employment levels in the broadly defined maritime cluster can be expected significantly higher. For instance, in a more detailed study for Finland (Vittanen et al. 2003), clearly indicates that if we adopt a broad definition of maritime cluster its size in terms of employment and turnover will significantly increase. The report estimates total employment in the Finnish maritime cluster at approx. 42 000 employees with shipbuilding representing around one fourth. Table 83 Employment within the maritime cluster in 2000 152 6 915 600 2 261 11 385 21 161 100 307 BSR to EU16 (per cent) 111 692 18.9 351 7 341 10 589 5 677 36 863 60 470 189 372 226 235 26.7 Together 14 256 Source: Own calculations. 11 189 7 938 48 248 81 631 289 679 337 927 24.2 NACE DNK FIN SWE POL BSR EU15 EU16 A similar situation occurs in Poland and other countries as well 14. Roughly speaking we could thus quadruple the total employment of the maritime cluster for each of the states to arrive at an estimated total figure for the whole BSR of around 320.000 employees with employment in the core industry (shipbuilding) in the range of 60000 employees. Table 84 Share in total employment in manufacturing industry in 2000 NACE DNK 1.5 152 1.6 351 Together 3.2 Source: Own calculations. FIN 0.1 2.5 2.7 SWE 0.3 0.8 1.0 POL 0.6 2.1 2.7 BSR 0.6 1.8 2.4 EU15 0.4 0.7 1.0 EU16 0.4 0.8 1.1 In terms of significance for national economy (manufacturing industry) the share in total employment the maritime cluster is particularly significant for Denmark (in contrast to other BSR states a significant share of the fish processing industry is noteworthy) with Finland and Poland behind. In both countries the position of shipbuilding is rather important. In terms of total employment in the maritime cluster within the BSR Poland dominates with nearly a 60 per cent share with Denmark and Finland far behind. Sweden has the lowest shares in both sectors. A report on the labor market of the Pomorskie region (Brodzicki … ) indicates that employment In shipbuilding and closely related sectors for two major concentrations Gdańsk and Gdynia could be estimated at 55.000 employees. 14 81 COMPETITIVE POSITION OF THE BALTIC SEA REGION Within the period 1995 and 2000 significant changes in a general level of employment occurred within the cluster in the BSR. There was a major decline in Denmark and significant growth of employment in Poland (in particular in fish processing) as well as in Sweden (shipbuilding). Overall in the BSR we observe a rise in employment levels in fish processing and a fall in shipbuilding. Table 85 MC – Employment structure within the BSR NACE DNK 32.7 152 12.1 351 Together 17.5 Source: Own calculations. FIN 2.8 17.5 13.7 SWE 10.7 9.4 9.7 POL 53.8 61.0 59.1 BSR 100.0 100.0 100.0 Table 86 MC – Absolute changes in employment levels between 2000 and 1995 NACE DNK -1 673 152 -3 772 351 Together -5 445 Source: Own calculations. FIN SWE 19 37 56 POL 367 1 029 1 396 BSR 3 116 1 248 4 364 1 829 -1 458 371 The relative insignificance of the cluster for Sweden in terms of employment is proven by location quotients – with no major Swedish concentration in comparison to EU16 average. Denmark and Poland have two concentrations while Finland only one. The concentrations are significant, by that we understand LQs exceeding the EU16 average by at least a factor of two, in fish processing for Denmark and shipbuilding for Finland, Poland and Denmark. The concentration of fish processing is high as well15. Labor productivity calculated as a ratio of total turnover to total employment clearly indicate that the Nordic states are in good position – on or above the EU15 average in both sectors with Poland lagging far behind and decreasing the regional average. Table 87 MC - Location quotients for employment (in comparison to EU16 ) NACE 152 351 Source: Own calculations. DNK 4.09 2.14 FIN 0.38 3.29 SWE 0.79 0.98 POL 1.71 2.73 Table 88 MC – Labor productivity in 2000 (turnover per employee) NACE DNK 0.209 152 0.133 351 Together 0.170 Source: Own calculations. FIN 0.144 0.154 0.154 SWE 0.168 0.140 0.148 POL 0.038 0.046 0.044 BSR 0.111 0.084 0.091 EU15 0.165 0.147 0.153 EU16 0.152 0.131 0.138 15 It could probably be beneficial to excluded the landlocked EU16 states with no shipbuilding industry from the general sample in order to correctly asses the strength of the concentration within the BSR. 82 COMPETITIVE POSITION OF THE BALTIC SEA REGION It is worth noticing that both MC’s sectors generate relatively high turnover. In both cases the share of the BSR in total turnover is relatively high. With Denmark a major contributor in fish processing and Poland and Finland in shipbuilding. Altogether the MC generates around 7.5 billion euro of turnover on annual basis approx. 16 per cent of total turnover of the cluster in the EU16. Similarly to employment levels the share of the BSR in shipbuilding is higher than in food processing. Table 89 Turnover in 2000 (in mil of EUR) NACE DNK 1 444 152 974 351 Together 2 418 Source: Own calculations. FIN 86 1 636 1 722 SWE 380 794 1 174 POL BSR 436 1 699 2 135 EU15 2 346 5 101 7 447 16 586 27 831 44 417 BSR to EU16 (per cent) 17 021 13.8 29 529 17.3 46 550 16.0 EU16 THE MC is the most important for Denmark and Poland (in terms of share in total turnover). Fish processing has a significant share in Denmark while shipbuilding has a share of around 1.7 of total turnover of the manufacturing industry in Denmark, Poland and Finland. In terms of regional distribution of turnover Denmark has a dominant position if fish processing (62 per cent share in the region’s turnover) while Poland and Finland have roughly the same share of turnover is shipbuilding. Table 90 Share in total turnover of the manufacturing industry in 2000 NACE DNK 2.3 152 1.6 351 Together 3.9 Source: Own calculations. FIN 0.1 1.7 1.8 SWE 0.2 0.5 0.8 POL 0.5 1.8 2.2 BSR 0.6 1.2 1.8 EU15 0.3 0.6 0.9 EU16 0.3 0.6 0.9 Table 91 Turnover structure within the BSR NACE DNK 61.6 152 19.1 351 Together 32.5 Source: Own calculations. FIN 3.7 32.1 23.1 SWE 16.2 15.6 15.8 POL 18.6 33.3 28.7 BSR 100.0 100.0 100.0 Table 92 Location quotient for turnover (in comparison to EU16 ) NACE 152 351 Source: Own calculations. DNK 6.931 2.693 FIN 0.268 2.923 SWE 0.723 0.872 POL 1.364 3.064 Location quotients for turnover strengthen the general conclusions made above on the basis of analysis of LQs for employment. Fish processing is particularly important for Denmark, while shipbuilding for Poland and Finland. Once again position of Sweden is different to the rest of the region. 83 COMPETITIVE POSITION OF THE BALTIC SEA REGION As to analysis of export potential it is worth to note that the figures are significantly biased for shipbuilding. As the majority of ships are sold and registered outside of the European Union despite being operated from European ports. Overall the BSR has a trade surplus in both sectors in trade relations with other EU16 states. It is important to note an impressive export potential of Denmark in processed fish and resulting trade surplus for Denmark and to a large extent for the whole BSR. Table 93 Exports to EU16 in 2001 (in 1000000 EUR) NACE DNK 1 290 152 151 351 Together 1 441 Source: Own calculations. FIN SWE 73 55 128 POL 1 237 238 BSR 182 277 459 1 546 718 2 264 Table 94 Trade balance in trade with EU16 in 2001 NACE DNK 1 168 152 137 351 Together 1 305 Source: Own calculations. FIN SWE -43 41 -2 POL -28 228 200 BSR 109 262 371 1 205 667 1 872 The indices of revealed comparative advantage clearly indicate that the region has an overall advantage in shipbuilding. Denmark has an impressive comparative advantage in food processing. The advantage in fish processing is shown by Poland as well. Table 95 RCA in trade within EU16 NACE DNK 12.20 152 2.84 351 Source: Own calculations. FIN 0.46 0.69 SWE 0.01 5.63 POL 1.59 4.84 BSR 3.35 3.10 SWE -0.002 0.012 POL 0.005 0.011 BSR 0.012 0.007 Table 96 CRCA in trade with the rest of EU16 NACE DNK 0.051 152 0.006 351 Source: Own calculations. FIN -0.002 0.001 For obvious reasons the maritime cluster has probably the most Baltic dimension of all the Polish clusters discussed in the present study. As could be expected the sector is mainly located in the northern Poland. Geography is the deciding factor both in terms of ships as well as yachts – apart from the Baltic sea the major lake districts of Poland are located within the 3 regions mentioned above. The shipbuilding in Poland is located in three major centers in Szczecin (next to German border) and in Gdynia and Gdańsk in pomorskie with several large and medium-sized shipyards and numerous smaller companies within the maritime cluster. Fishing and fish processing is more dispersed along the seafront. Yacht building is taking place in several locations both in the lace district (for instance Ostróda) as well next to large 84 COMPETITIVE POSITION OF THE BALTIC SEA REGION shipyards (for instance in Gdańsk and in the vicinity of Gdańsk)16. Maritime cluster services are mainly located in the main industry centers (similarly for instance to Finland – Turku, Rauma and Helsinki around the principal Aker Finnyards aprt of Aker Yards Group).17 As to the number of entities the figures presented in the table beneath are meant to give only an insight into regional distribution. It is evident that in both cases the major concentrations are in two northern regions that is zachodniopomorskie and pomorskie. Table 97 MC - approximate number of enterprises (> 10 employees) in northern regions of Poland 152 pomorskie 24 warminsko-mazurskie 6 zachodniopomorskie 13 kujawsko-pomorskie 1 lubuskie 0 wielkopolskie 7 Total 51 Source: Teleadreson (2005),www.teleadreson.com.pl 351 53 12 21 1 1 2 90 Together 77 18 34 2 1 9 141 There are foreign investors present in the maritime cluster in Poland, however, they are relatively small in shipbuilding and related services. Among these we could name: Ulstein Fama Sp. z o. o. (Ulstein Holding ASA, Norway, Gniew, pomorskie), Damen Shipyards Gdynia S.A. (B.V. Holding Maatschappij Damen, the Netherlands, 50 per cent stake, Gdynia, pomorskie). Major investors entered into ports: Europort Gdańsk (Staight Crosing, Canada, 70 per cent stake), Europort Grain Terminal, (Canada, Europort, Gdańsk, pomorskie), Deepwater Container Terminal Gdańsk SA (UK, consortium of British investors, Gdańsk, pomorskie). Foreign investors are also present in fish processing, for instance: Uniq Lisner Sp. z o.o. (Lisner, germany, Poznań, wielkopolskie), Espersen Polska Sp. z o.o. (Espersen A/S, Denmark, Koszalin, zachodniopomorskie), LUCKY UNION FOODS EURO Sp. z o.o. (Korean LG - Lucky Union Foods Ltd., Goleniów, zachodniopomorskie), Superfish S.A. (ABBA Seafood AB, Kołobrzeg, zachodniopomorskie). As to potential for mutual cooperation. The size and competitive position of sectors in the region indicate that the most fruitful cooperation (FDI) could be established between Poland and Denmark in fish processing despite their clear position as direct competitors (the The case of Gdańsk is particularly interesting as a spontaneous clustering of yacht-building is taking place with creative destruction of the former state owned Conrad Shipyard. The yachting cluster in Gdańsk is brining investors from Germany, Sweden, USA and other states, however, it is still in early stage of development. 16 17 Norwegian Aker Yards ASA is a multinational shipyard group with 13 yards in Norway, Finland (former Masa-Yards), Germany (Aker MTW Werft GmbH in Wiesmar, Aker Warnemünde Operations GmbH in Rostock-Warnemünde), Romania and Brazil with employment of 14.500 people. 85 COMPETITIVE POSITION OF THE BALTIC SEA REGION cooperation scheme could also take into account potential Norwegian partners as well) and between Poland and Finland in shipbuilding (Norwegian or/and German contribution could also be beneficial). As to shipbuilding the nature of business is such, with major multinational shipyards being established, that Polish and Nordic shipyards they are competing with each other in international (global) markets. However, this does not preclude a possibility for drafting and implementing joint actions: from very basic cooperation schemes to more advanced forms. The cluster life-cycle could even lead to a situation that the whole production of a given sector (or its core) could reallocate to only one or two locations within the BSR – with the former competitors specializing more deeply in certain aspects of the value chain (R&D, initial production, final assembly etc.) to a common good. We have to bare mind that shipbuilding – due to significant complexity of the end product is based on complex co-operative chains of domestic as well as foreign companies. Backward and forward linkages play a major role as well as the scale of the production. It is a sensitive business where international competitive pressures created by Asian companies is particularly high. It is both labor and capital intensive sector with medium-low technology background. It requires significant resources of skilled and qualified labor force. The costs of labor in general are of great importance this makes Polish shipyards more competitive in relation to Finish or Danish once. The end-product is usually specialized – this future allows each of the major shipyards find a relatively secure niche market in global terms. It is worth to note that certain co-operative schemes are already in place. Some actions are financed and could be financed (or co financed) in future from the EU and EEA sources. To a certain extent the INTERREG IIIC RFO Project InterMareC Interregional Maritime Cluster could be a model example. The project has an international dimension combining two Baltic partners Technology-Region K.E.R.N. e.V. from Kiel in Germany and Pomeranian Development Agency Co. from Gdansk (Poland) with a French partner - Technopole BrestIroise. The vision behind the project is to develop and improve a sustainable maritime cluster through effective use of potential of coastal zones, foster close co-operation between enterprises & research institutions as well as among traditional and innovative enterprises and an the interregional stage to connection European regional maritime clusters. . 86 COMPETITIVE POSITION OF THE BALTIC SEA REGION Map 4 Significant concentrations of maritime cluster at the NUTS-4 level in Poland (including NACE 050 - fishing) liczba skupień 3 2 1 brak siła skupień ogółem 1.00 48.96 96.91 przetwórstwo rybne (siła skupienia) 1.00 39.51 78.02 87 COMPETITIVE POSITION OF THE BALTIC SEA REGION AGRO-FOOD CLUSTER (AFC) The food processing industry (agro-food cluster)constitutes an important part of each national economy due to its strategic character. Poland and Denmark are traditionally highly competitive in the agro-food sector in comparison to the majority of other EU states. It is rather a difficult tusk to distinctly delimit the agro-food cluster. The agro-food processing (NACE 15 and 16) is dependent on primary sectors such as agriculture (NACE 01) and fishing (NACE 05, when we considered fish-processing an agro-food sector; it could constitute a part of the maritime cluster as well) on the one hand. On the other it is dependent on distribution of final products with heavy marketing involved and a hold network of wholesale and retail traders (NACE 512, 513)18. It is supported by producer of specialized machinery. Despite its traditional low-tech characteristics it becomes to an increasing extent knowledge intensive with progress in biotechnologies (it thus has certain important linkages to the companies and institutions forming the Biocluster – R&D intensive) and automatization of the whole production process. For the time being it is still labor-intensive sectors. To a large extent it is also dependent on natural conditions. Within the BSR southern states such as Denmark and Poland have more favorable conditions than the other two Nordic states. For simplicity in the following analysis we will pool the whole agro-food sector together despite the possibility of dividing into subclusters. Furthermore we will skip manufacture of tobacco products (NACE 160). Thus our study will take into account the following 3-digit NACE groups: NACE 151 - production, processing, preserving of meat, meat products, NACE 152 - processing and preserving of fish and fish products, NACE 153 - processing and preserving of fruit and vegetables, NACE 154 - manufacture of vegetable and animal oils and fats, NACE 155 - manufacture of dairy products, NACE 156 - manufacture of grain mill products, starches and starch products, NACE 157 - manufacture of prepared animal feeds, NACE 158 - manufacture of other food products as well as NACE 159 - manufacture of beverages. 18 For comparison according to Dahl (2002) the Danish Mega Cluster definition of the agro-food cluster includes the primary businesses (farming, fishing or gardening), food processing industry, retail and wholesales businesses and the suppliers. 88 COMPETITIVE POSITION OF THE BALTIC SEA REGION The major problem we face in analysis of the agro-food cluster is lack of data for NACE 154 and NACE 155 in Denmark, NACE 159 in Finland and NACE 157 in Sweden. Still in order to approximate the actual values we have decided to calculate BSR totals as well as shares without the missing values. The effected values will be presented on an orange background. In 2000 total employment in the BSR amounted to 492 500 workers (we estimate it to actually reach 5100 00) with an overall share in the EU16 of 13.0 per cent on average. The share in EU16 average is the highest in dairy products fish processing. In absolute terms Polish foodprocessing industry is the biggest regional employer with approx. 315 000 jobs followed by Denmark 76 000 and Sweden 65 000. In sectoral dimension most workers are employed in meat processing and manufacture of other food products. Table 98 AFC - Employment within the agro-food cluster in 2000 NACE DNK 23 341 151 6 915 152 3 020 153 154 155 727 156 3 550 157 31 937 158 6 535 159 Together 76 025 Source: Own calculations. FIN 11 066 600 2 045 759 5 413 936 952 15 418 37 189 SWE 14 880 2 261 4 366 2 002 9 083 1 368 24 567 6 318 64 845 POL BSR EU15 81 519 11 385 33 717 3 738 50 396 7 632 7 431 83 923 34 651 314 392 130 806 781 079 21 161 100 307 43 148 191 604 6 499 43 238 64 892 279 711 10 663 73 277 11 933 100 043 155 845 1 587 548 47 504 328 227 492 451 3 485 034 BSR to EU16 (per cent) 862 598 15.2 111 692 18.9 225 321 19.1 46 976 13.8 330 107 19.7 80 909 13.2 107 474 11.1 1 671 471 9.3 362 878 13.1 3 799 426 13.0 EU16 Table 99 AFC - Share in total employment in manufacturing industry in 2000 NACE DNK 5.2 151 1.5 152 0.7 153 154 155 0.2 156 0.8 157 7.2 158 1.5 159 Together 17.0 Source: Own calculations. FIN 2.6 0.1 0.5 0.2 1.3 0.2 0.2 3.7 8.9 SWE 2.0 0.3 0.6 0.3 1.2 0.2 :c 3.2 0.8 8.6 POL 4.6 0.6 1.9 0.2 2.9 0.4 0.4 4.8 2.0 17.9 BSR 3.9 0.6 1.3 0.2 1.9 0.3 0.2 3.7 1.2 13.3 EU15 2.8 0.4 0.7 0.2 1.0 0.3 0.4 5.7 1.2 12.6 EU16 2.9 0.4 0.8 0.2 1.1 0.3 0.4 5.7 1.2 12.9 In relative terms the agro-food sectors generates on average 13.3 per cent of total manufacturing employment in the BSR which is above both EU15 and EU16 averages. AT the level of nations agro-food is most significant for Poland followed by Denmark (our estimates suggest that in Denmark the sector generates one fifth of total manufacturing 89 COMPETITIVE POSITION OF THE BALTIC SEA REGION employment). In the case of Sweden and Finland the accumulative share does not break the 10 per cent threshold. Overall 61.5 per cent of employment in the agro-food business within the BSR is generated in Poland, 14.9 per cent in Denmark and 12.7 in Sweden. Poland has the highest(unbiased) regional share in processing and preserving of fruit and vegetables and manufacture of grain mill products, starches and starch products. Denmark has the highest share in fish processing while Sweden in manufacture of vegetable and animal oils and fats. Table 100 Employment structure within the BSR* NACE DNK FIN SWE 17.8 8.5 11.4 151 32.7 2.8 10.7 152 7.0 4.7 10.1 153 15.4 9.9 26.0 154 15.4 7.1 11.8 155 6.8 8.8 12.8 156 25.8 6.9 13.2 157 20.5 9.9 15.8 158 12.7 7.6 12.3 159 14.9 7.3 12.7 Together Source: Own calculations.*estimated values were taken for missing data POL 62.3 53.8 78.1 48.6 65.7 71.6 54.1 53.9 67.4 61.5 BSR 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 Location quotients for employment clearly indicate that the agro-food is particularly important for Denmark and Poland with an impressive number of large concentrations in comparison to EU16 within the agro—food cluster. For obvious reasons the agro-food sector is significantly less concentrated in the two other Nordic countries. Still the agro-food sector has a strategic importance. The most significant concentrations are present in fish processing and diary products in Denmark as well as diary products and processing and preserving of fruits and vegetables for Poland. Table 101 AFC - Location quotients for employment (in comparison to EU16 ) NACE DNK FIN SWE 151 1.79 0.90 0.67 152 4.09 0.38 0.79 153 0.88 0.64 0.75 154 1.67* 1.14 1.66 155 2.37* 1.15 1.07 156 0.59 0.81 0.66 157 2.18 0.62 0.66* 158 1.26 0.65 0.57 159 1.19 0.69* 0.68 Source: Own calculations.*based on estimated (biased) employment levels POL 1.58 1.71 2.51 1.33 2.56 1.58 1.16 0.84 1.60 The size of the sector within the BSR in terms of employment levels is roughly stable. The most significant shifts being a decrease in Finland and increase in Sweden. The productivity 90 COMPETITIVE POSITION OF THE BALTIC SEA REGION of the agro-food cluster in the BSR in terms of turnover per employee is significantly beneath the EU15 average. This is mainly due to Poland. In Denmark, the labor productivity is also below the average. It is worth to note, that at the level of individual sectors Nordic counties score well. Table 102 AFC - Absolute change in employment levels between 2000 and 1995 NACE DNK 39 151 -1 673 152 -110 153 : 154 : 155 -424 156 1 564 157 169 158 65 159 Together -370 Source: Own calculations. FIN SWE 9 19 112 9 -845 -61 -503 -1 911 : -3 171 POL -1 679 367 633 376 -496 256 : 3 052 -186 2 323 BSR 1 184 3 116 -766 -345 -6 527 -4 861 2 536 6 325 -233 429 -447 1 829 -131 40 -7 868 -5 090 3 597 7 635 -354 -789 Table 103 AFC - Labor productivity in 2000 (turnover per employee) NACE DNK 151 0.219 152 0.209 0.197 153 154 155 156 0.372 0.431 157 0.112 158 0.222 159 Average 0.184 Source: Own calculations. FIN 0.195 0.144 0.232 0.296 0.351 0.351 0.426 0.123 0.201 SWE 0.212 0.168 0.224 0.319 0.303 0.347 0.141 0.274 0.209 POL 0.051 0.038 0.050 0.134 0.062 0.079 0.167 0.050 0.122 0.064 BSR 0.112 0.111 0.087 0.210 0.120 0.169 0.379 0.106 0.181 0.123 EU15 0.177 0.165 0.204 0.506 0.351 0.355 0.441 0.116 0.304 0.192 EU16 0.166 0.152 0.181 0.477 0.307 0.329 0.422 0.113 0.287 0.181 In 2000 the agro-food sector generated a total turnover of 55.2 billion euro which gives it an 8.0 per cent share in total turnover in the EU16 group. The share of the BSR exceeds ten per cent in processing of meat and fish. In absolute terms meat processing and manufacture of other food products generate most turnover within the BSR (14.6 and 13.1 billion euro respectively). Despite the lack of data for Denmark we can state that dairy sector is a major contributor as well. Table 104 AFC - Turnover in 2000 (in mil of EUR) NACE 151 152 153 154 155 156 DNK 5 123 1 444 594 :c :c 270 FIN 2 156 86 475 225 1 899 329 SWE 3 151 380 976 639 2 755 474 POL 4 173 436 1 696 499 3 126 605 BSR 14 603 2 346 3 742 1 363 7 780 1 678 EU15 EU16 138 630 16 586 39 115 21 896 98 285 26 008 142 803 17 021 40 812 22 395 101 411 26 613 BSR to EU16 (per cent) 10.2 13.8 9.2 6.1 7.7 6.3 91 COMPETITIVE POSITION OF THE BALTIC SEA REGION 1 530 157 3 562 158 1 454 159 Together 13 977 Source: Own calculations. 406 1 896 :c 7 472 :c 3 455 1 730 13 560 1 239 4 234 4 227 20 236 3 175 13 146 7 410 55 244 44 093 184 145 99 893 668 650 45 332 188 378 104 120 688 886 7.0 7.0 7.1 8.0 The contribution of the agro-food cluster to total turnover of the manufacturing industry is particularly high in the case of Denmark (22.5 per cent) and Poland (21.3 per cent). It is beneath the EU15/16 average for the other two Nordic states. The BSR taken as a whole has an average share equal to that of EU15. Location quotients for turnover prove the previous conclusions made during the analysis of employment. In comparison to the benchmark group of EU16 Poland and Denmark show significant concentration )specialization) in the agro-food business. Table 105 AFC - Share in total turnover of the manufacturing industry in 2000 NACE DNK 8.3 151 2.3 152 1.0 153 154 155 0.4 156 2.5 157 5.7 158 2.3 159 Together 22.5 Source: Own calculations. FIN 2.2 0.1 0.5 0.2 2.0 0.3 0.4 2.0 7.8 SWE 2.0 0.2 0.6 0.4 1.8 0.3 POL 4.4 0.5 1.8 0.5 3.3 0.6 1.3 4.4 4.4 21.3 2.2 1.1 8.7 BSR 3.6 0.6 0.9 0.3 1.9 0.4 0.8 3.2 1.8 13.5 EU15 2.8 0.3 0.8 0.4 2.0 0.5 0.9 3.7 2.0 13.4 EU16 2.8 0.3 0.8 0.4 2.0 0.5 0.9 3.7 2.1 13.6 Table 106 Turnover structure within the BSR NACE DNK 35.1 151 61.6 152 15.9 153 154 155 16.1 156 48.2 157 27.1 158 19.6 159 Together 25.3 Source: Own calculations. FIN 14.8 3.7 12.7 16.5 24.4 19.6 12.8 14.4 SWE 21.6 16.2 26.1 46.9 35.4 28.3 POL 28.6 18.6 45.3 36.6 40.2 36.1 39.0 32.2 57.0 36.6 26.3 23.3 24.5 13.5 BSR 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 Table 107 Location quotient for turnover (in comparison to EU16 ) NACE 151 152 153 154 155 156 DNK 2.93 6.93 1.19 : : 0.83 FIN 0.80 0.27 0.61 0.53 0.99 0.65 SWE 0.72 0.72 0.78 0.93 0.88 0.58 POL 1.56 1.36 2.21 1.19 1.64 1.21 92 COMPETITIVE POSITION OF THE BALTIC SEA REGION 157 158 159 Source: Own calculations. 2.76 1.54 1.14 0.47 0.53 : : 0.59 0.54 1.46 1.20 2.16 In contrast to data on employment and turnover the data on trade are not affected – are full. This will allow us to verify the conclusions made beforehand. We must remember that the data analyzed are for 2001 when Poland was only an associated country which wasn’t part of the common market of the European Union. Thus the trade relations of Poland in agricultural products before the accession were severely hampered by incomplete liberalization in contrast to the trade in manufactured goods where an FTA was being gradually established from 1992 till 2002. This biases significantly the results for Poland19. In 2001 total exports of the BSR in the agro-food business to EU16 amounted to 7.8 billion euro. Out of this 71.5 was generated by Denmark and 16.8 per cent by Poland. Sweden and Finland together had a 11.7 per cent share. At to sectoral structure of exports at the BSR level four sectors clearly stand out. These are: meat processing (2.5 billion euro), fish processing (1.5 billion euro), other food products (1.1 billion) and dairy products (1 billion euro). The single biggest exporter in the region is The Danish meat processing sector (2.1 billion euro). The strong competitive position of Denmark (as indicated by impressive trade surplus) leads to the situation in which the region as a whole is a net exporter (the total trade surplus reaches 1.9 billion euro). Trade relations of Poland with EU15 were rather balanced in 2001 while the trade deficit was significant in the case of Finland and Sweden in particular. The position of the whole region was particularly strong in fish and meat processing as well as in dairy products. Table 108 Exports to EU16 in 2001 (in 1000000 EUR) NACE 151 152 153 154 155 156 157 DNK SWE 2 107 1 290 109 156 761 147 184 FIN 92 73 38 35 97 16 4 POL 31 1 12 3 84 17 2 BSR 270 182 525 35 82 4 35 2 500 1 546 684 229 1 024 184 225 19 The accession has in fact proven the competitive potential of Poland in agro-food products with a dynamic increase in exports to EU15 states when the CAP regulations were applied to Poland. The developments in trade after the accession clearly indicate that Poland is a major player in the agro-food business, a large CAP beneficiary and has a clear comparative advantage with majority of the EU15 states in majority of agricultural products. Another important asset is the size of the domestic market which even taking into account the lower purchasing power is significant by European standards. The inflow of FDI into Polish agro-food sector and retail and wholesale trade clearly demonstrates attractiveness of the domestic market. 93 COMPETITIVE POSITION OF THE BALTIC SEA REGION 158 159 Together Source: Own calculations. 610 202 5 568 255 28 638 102 23 275 158 18 1 308 1 126 270 7 788 Table 109 Trade balance in trade with EU16 in 2001 NACE DNK 1 730 151 1 168 152 -88 153 -17 154 580 155 -31 156 94 157 92 158 -173 159 Together 3 355 Source: Own calculations. SWE FIN -126 -43 -166 -60 -10 -128 -83 -237 -173 -1 026 POL -55 -28 -68 -30 21 -87 -41 -127 -77 -492 BSR 169 109 452 -310 53 -48 -9 -263 -59 94 1 719 1 205 130 -416 644 -294 -39 -535 -483 1 931 Analysis of RCA and CRCA indices clearly indicates that Denmark and to a lesser extent Poland are powerhouses of the regional agro-food sector. Denmark has a comparative advantage in nearly all sectors – it is particularly strong in fish processing. Poland has a comparative advantage in fish and meat processing as well as dairy products and processing of fruits and vegetables (as indicated by unbiased CRCA). Finland and Sweden have comparative disadvantage in trade with the RU16 group throughout. The BSR is particularly competitive in meat processing, fish processing and dairy products. Table 110 RCA in trade within EU16 NACE DNK 151 4.79 152 12.20 0.57 153 154 1.27 155 2.20 156 1.81 157 2.64 158 1.35 0.77 159 Source: Own calculations. SWE 0.14 0.46 0.13 0.19 0.19 0.13 0.04 0.38 0.07 SWE 0.09 0.01 0.08 0.03 0.31 0.26 0.03 0.29 0.11 POL 0.57 1.59 2.54 0.26 0.22 0.04 0.47 0.33 0.06 BSR 1.30 3.35 0.82 0.43 0.68 0.52 0.74 0.57 0.24 FIN -0.005 -0.002 -0.005 -0.002 0.000 -0.007 -0.003 -0.012 -0.006 POL 0.008 0.005 0.019 -0.009 0.002 -0.001 0.000 -0.006 -0.002 BSR 0.017 0.012 0.001 -0.004 0.006 -0.003 0.000 -0.005 -0.005 Table 111 CRCA in trade within EU15 +PL NACE 151 152 153 154 155 156 157 158 159 DNK 0.076 0.051 -0.003 0.000 0.026 -0.001 0.004 0.006 -0.006 SWE -0.004 -0.002 -0.005 -0.002 -0.001 -0.004 -0.003 -0.008 -0.006 94 COMPETITIVE POSITION OF THE BALTIC SEA REGION Source: Own calculations. As the map of concentrations clearly show the agro-food sector is one of the most geographically dispersed (for instance in comparison to ICT or biotechnology). Sill, major concentrations could be identified. – the biggest one in wielkopolskie and kujawskopomorskie voivodeships. This is also possible to be done in the northern-most regions of Poland. The nature of the sector frequently causes manufacturers of a specialized product to be geographically concentrated. Actually in a steadily growing number of regional cluster initiatives cluster actors usually specialized in a specific product and stem from one or several bordering NUTS 4 regions. From our perspective these could be still considered as representatives of clusters within the large agro-food cluster (meta-cluster) which has an important horizontal dimension (primary sectors, agro-food, specialized services). The table beneath clearly indicates that the agro-food companies are numerous (in comparison to other sectors analyzed in the present study) and are spread around. Cooperative linkages within the agro-food sector in Poland exist but they should be further reinforced in order to utilize economies of scale and scope to a full extent. Table 112 AFC - approximate number of enterprises (> 10 employees) in northern regions of Poland 10 151 152 153 64 30 24 10 55 31 6 9 46 13 13 9 37 23 1 13 44 8 0 2 47 32 7 21 293 137 51 64 Source: Teleadreson (2005),www.teleadreson.com.pl pomorskie warmińsko-mazurskie zachodniopomorskie kujawsko-pomorskie lubuskie wielkopolskie 154 1 0 6 2 2 4 15 155 13 15 11 13 3 13 68 156 7 7 5 7 0 9 35 157 5 10 8 10 6 10 49 158 129 93 85 83 13 58 461 159 9 6 10 12 4 16 57 Together 163 131 119 125 26 106 670 Polish agro-food clusters is an attractive area for foreign investors. The reasons being: large domestic market and free access to the common market, CAP regulations apply, abundance of land, traditional farming (agro-food), relatively cheap labor. The cluster already attracted major MNSc as well biggest wholesale and retail shops. According to PAAiZ the capital invested into the sector is the second highest after financial services. Nordic investors are relatively numerous. It seems that the inflow of FDI from the Nordic countries will continue or even can gain on importance. The major issue is whether Nordic investments in the sector should be supported by public-policy or whether it should be purely market-driven process. The other option seems more rationale. The analysis of the BSR has clearly shown that its potential in food processing is concentrated mainly in Denmark and Poland. For many reason Denmark (please refer to the benchmark case below) could constitute a natural benchmark for organization of agro-food production in 95 COMPETITIVE POSITION OF THE BALTIC SEA REGION Poland (atomized) with adoption of cluster-based philosophy. It could potentially improve low productivity levels and thus speed up the convergence process towards its acceptable levels. Case - Features of the agro-food (meta-) cluster Denmark strategic importance to national economy – it is responsible for one third of the Danish exports, more than 350.000 workers highly internationally competitive thanks to significant competitive advantages due to: structural and business synergies between various branches of the cluster, successful rationalization of internal structure, high international quality demands that gradually formed the cluster and forced constant quality improvements and quality control system a coherent system with strong vertical and horizontal linkages, mutual dependency (synergies), main weakness of the cluster – low level of investments associated with economic downturn of the 1990s history of the food-processing based on developments in the primary sector - agriculture in particular with strategic features: the co-operative movement (in particular in processing of meat and dairy products) and vertical integration for instance coordination of purchases within a single company representing an entire industry fishing – significantly less integrated, still significant for national economy, considerable export potential major challenges – slow adjustments to changing external conditions (ecological concerns) due to traditional, complicated co-operative structure and conservatism Source: Prepared on the basis of paper by Dahl Michael S. (2000). 96 COMPETITIVE POSITION OF THE BALTIC SEA REGION Map 5 Significant concentrations of agro-food cluster at the NUTS-4 level in Poland liczba skupień 9-13 5-8 1-4 brak siła skupień ogółem 1.00 49.77 98.54 Source: GIME. 97 COMPETITIVE POSITION OF THE BALTIC SEA REGION BIOCLUSTER (BC) Biotechnology is one of the fastest growing sectors of the so-called new economy with nearly all foresights anticipating its key role in economic development in the XXI century. Viljama (2004) referring to Cooke points out that the sector (at least its traditional core) becomes gradually dominated by multinational pharmaceutical corporations becoming increasingly specialized and pursuing their global distribution and marketing strategies (pharmaceutical sector has undergone an unprecedented period of acquisitions and mergers) which apart from performing their own in-house R&D outsource the research and development to a large (and steadily increasing) extent to highly concentrated clusters of private and public R&D institutions (bioclusters). In Vilajma’s words: “biotechnology has become both highly regionalized and globalized at the same time”. In other words, companies in the biotechnology sector tend to locate in close proximity of major university centers and R&D institutes as well as big pharmaceutical companies. There are numerous examples of cluster initiatives in biotechnology worldwide both in developed as well as developing economies despite that only relatively few are bound to succeed. The success in the BSR is already a reality with certain bioclusters developing rapidly with the background world-class research institutes and Baltic-based MNCs. It seems if proper policy is followed the whole BCR could become a top-class bioregion In order to reach the goal all existing opportunities should be utilized. As could be imagined due to its multidimensional characteristics it is particularly difficult to delimit the biocluster. As the focus of the present study is mainly on the manufacturing industry we limited the scope of the biocluster analyzed only to two related 3-digit NACE groups: NACE 244 -manufacture of pharmaceuticals, medicinal chemicals and botanical products (biopharmaceuticals) as well as NACE 245 – manufacture of soap and detergents, cleaning and polishing preparations, perfumes and toilet preparations – with the cosmetics industry to our interest (biocosmetics). We would like to stress, however, that the scope of biocluster should potentially be significantly broadened. For instance in the Polish clustermapping project (Szultka et al. 2003, OECD 2005) we took into account additionally NACE 98 COMPETITIVE POSITION OF THE BALTIC SEA REGION 731 - research and experimental development on natural sciences and engineering in order to approximate the employment in mainly public but as well as private biotechnology-related R&D institutes. It would be also beneficial to include NACE 851 and 852 – services sectors related to human health and veterinary activities. Another important group – where the biotechnology has particular significance is the agro-food sector (which has been analyzed in the previous section). In some studies researchers try to include enterprises working in the field of bioinformatics or specialized venture-capital firms20. We consider manufacture of pharmaceuticals to constitute the backbone of the biotechnology sector. Pharmaceuticals is considered to be strictly a high technology sector due to its high intensity of knowledge utilization and intensive R&D effort both in absolute and relative terms. High technology-intensity requires highly specialized labor-force thus locally available human capital pool becomes a necessity. The sector is associated with high-risk especially at early development stages (thus specialized financing is required) at later stages it becomes capital and marketing intensive business as well. The second sector taken into account – cosmetics is less technology intensive (medium-high technology) but still is based on qualified labor force. Cosmetics are particularly marketing-intensive. In terms of employment the biocluster has a share of approx. 2.5 per cent in total manufacturing employment which is similar to EU16 average. It is significantly higher in Denmark and considerably smaller in Finland. Altogether the sector employs around 82.500 workers which constitutes around one tenth of total employment within the sector in EU16. In absolute terms Poland has the highest employment levels within the BSR in both NACE groups considered (51 per cent of total employment within the BSR on average). It has a particularly dominant position in manufacturing of soap and detergents (81 per cent of total employment within the BSR) while its position in pharmaceuticals is nearly equalized by Sweden. 20 The specialized venture capital companies are particularly active in the Anglo-Saxon system (USA, Canada, UK) as well as in Germany (German Venture Capital Association e.V. – BVK: there are several active funds operating in the BSR). They are also becoming increasingly active in the Nordic countries – there are numerous examples among members of Swedish Private Equity & Venture Capital Association (SVCA), in Finland (Finnish Venture Capital Association - FVCA) for instance: Bio Fund Management Oy and Solaris Asset Management Oy, in Denmark (Danish Venture Capital and Private Equity Association (DVCA) for instance Nordic Biotech Advisors or Biolink Capital ApS have relatively large portfolios of biotech ventures. The venture-capital system in Poland in general is underdeveloped in comparison to the size of the market and does not offer biotechnology-focused funds. 99 COMPETITIVE POSITION OF THE BALTIC SEA REGION Table 113 BC - Employment within the cluster in 2000 NACE DNK 11 669 244 2 101 245 Together 13 770 Source: Own calculations. FIN 5 889 553 6 442 SWE 18 509 1 666 20 175 POL BSR 23 386 18 694 42 080 59 453 23 014 82 467 EU15 479 413 222 951 702 364 BSR to EU16 (per cent) 502 799 11.8 241 645 9.5 744 444 11.1 EU16 Table 114 BC – Share in total employment in manufacturing industry in 2000 NACE DNK 2.62 244 0.47 245 Together 3.09 Source: Own calculations. FIN 1.41 0.13 1.54 SWE 2.45 0.22 2.67 POL 1.33 1.06 2.39 BSR 1.76 0.68 2.44 EU15 1.73 0.80 2.54 EU16 1.71 0.82 2.53 Table 115 BC – Employment structure within the BSR NACE DNK 19.6 244 9.1 245 Together 16.7 Source: Own calculations. FIN 9.9 2.4 7.8 SWE 31.1 7.2 24.5 POL 39.3 81.2 51.0 BSR 100.0 100.0 100.0 Location quotients for employment indicate existence of three important concentrations in comparison to EU16. These are: Denmark and Sweden in manufacturing of pharmaceuticals and Poland in manufacturing of soap, detergents and cosmetics. We have to note, however, that in comparison to clusters analyzed so far the LQs for employment in the BC are not particularly high. Within the 1995-2000 period total employment in the sector within the BSR rose by nearly 7.500 jobs. The changes in employment levels were however heterogeneous. Finland experienced a fall in both NACE groups. Employment in Denmark fell as the increase in manufacturing of pharmaceuticals did not outweigh the large fall in manufacturing of soap and detergents. In Sweden an important increase in employment in manufacturing of pharmaceuticals led to an overall increase as the employment in manufacturing of soap and detergents was roughly stable. Poland experienced a rise in employment in both groups – it was particularly strong though in the manufacturing of soap, detergents and cosmetics. Table 116 BC – Location quotients for employment (in comparison to EU16 ) NACE 244 245 Source: Own calculations. DNK 1.53 0.57 FIN 0.82 0.16 SWE 1.43 0.27 POL 0.78 1.30 100 COMPETITIVE POSITION OF THE BALTIC SEA REGION Table 117 BC – Absolute changes in employment levels between 2000 and 1995 NACE DNK 609 244 -1 203 245 Together -594 Source: Own calculations. FIN SWE -225 -106 -331 POL 3 619 -87 3 532 BSR 1 212 3 495 4 707 5 215 2 099 7 314 If we look at the turnover per employee figures Denmark is the only BSR state to exceed EU15 average productivity level (in fact it is limited only to pharmaceuticals). The Baltic Sea Region taken as a whole has labor productivity levels below of EU-15 average. This is mainly due to low productivity levels in Poland (in particular in manufacturing of pharmaceuticals). Hopefully, the accession will speed up Poland’s convergence in productivity. Table 118 BC – Labor productivity in 2000 (turnover per employee) NACE DNK 0.312 244 0.211 245 0.297 Together Source: Own calculations. FIN 0.144 0.170 0.147 SWE 0.274 0.163 0.265 POL 0.052 0.109 0.078 BSR 0.182 0.124 0.165 EU15 0.296 0.269 0.287 EU16 0.285 0.257 0.276 In 2000 the sector in the BSR generated a total turnover of 13.6 billion euro. Out of this 10.8 billion in manufacturing of pharmaceuticals and 2.8 in production of soap and detergents. The share of the sector in total manufacturing turnover of the BSR is higher than for employment still it is below EU15 average. Manufacturing of pharmaceuticals is particularly significant for Denmark (5.9 per cent share) and Sweden (3.25 per cent) while manufacturing of soap and detergents is significant for Poland (2.15 per cent). In Finland both NACE groups taken together generate less than 1 per cent of total manufacturing turnover. Table 119 BC - Turnover in 2000 (in mil of EUR) NACE DNK 3 642 244 443 245 Together 4 084 Source: Own calculations. FIN SWE 851 94 945 POL 5 078 272 5 350 BSR 1 226 2 043 3 269 10 796 2 852 13 648 EU15 141 871 59 984 201 855 BSR to EU16 (per cent) 143 097 7.5 62 028 4.6 205 124 6.7 EU16 In terms of turnover structure within the BSR Sweden is a clear leader in pharmaceuticals, followed by Denmark. Poland and Finland have significantly lower shares. In NACE 245 Poland is a regional leader (approx. 72 per cent) with Denmark second (15.5 per cent). Table 120 BC - Share in total turnover of the manufacturing industry in 2000 NACE DNK 5.87 244 0.71 245 Together 6.58 Source: Own calculations. FIN 0.89 0.10 0.98 SWE 3.25 0.17 3.42 POL 1.29 2.15 3.43 BSR 2.64 0.70 3.33 EU15 2.85 1.21 4.06 EU16 2.82 1.22 4.05 101 COMPETITIVE POSITION OF THE BALTIC SEA REGION Table 121 BC - Turnover structure within the BSR NACE DNK 33.7 244 15.5 245 Together 29.9 Source: Own calculations. FIN 7.9 3.3 6.9 SWE 47.0 9.5 39.2 POL 11.4 71.6 24.0 BSR 100.0 100.0 100.0 In terms of location quotients for turnover we notice two particularly significant concentrations in comparison to EU16. These are in manufacturing of pharmaceuticals in Denmark (110 per cent above the average) and in manufacturing of soap and detergents in Poland(75 per cent above the average). Manufacture of pharmaceuticals in Sweden could also be considered as a relatively important concentration. It is worth to note that the LQs for turnover point to the same concentrations as LQs for employment. Table 122 BC - Location quotient for turnover (in comparison to EU16 ) NACE 244 245 Source: Own calculations. DNK 2.079 0.583 FIN 0.314 0.080 SWE 1.151 0.142 POL 0.456 1.755 As to trade relations with other EU16 states the BSR exported in 2000 approx. 2.7 billion euro of goods with major contribution from Denmark and Sweden. Overall export onto EU16 market of two other states was rather minimal. In terms of trade balance Poland had a particularly bad position – with a trade deficit reaching 1.7 billion euro and existing in both analyzed sectors (this significantly affected position of the whole region – we have to remember however that Poland imported products from Nordic partners as well). Finland had a similar situation. Denmark and Sweden had trade surpluses in pharmaceuticals that outweighed trade deficits in detergents and cosmetics. Table 123 BC - Exports to EU16 in 2001 (in 1000000 EUR) NACE DNK 921 244 232 245 Together 1 153 Source: Own calculations. SWE FIN 1 118 141 1 260 POL 117 27 144 BSR 27 116 143 2 184 516 2 700 Table 124 BC - Trade balance in trade with EU16 in 2001 NACE DNK 244 245 Together Source: Own calculations. SWE 296 -89 206 FIN 401 -217 184 POL -266 -141 -407 BSR -1 427 -347 -1 773 -996 -794 -1 790 The position of the region in terms of revealed comparative advantage in relation to EU16 countries is not particularly strong – in fact the region taken as a whole had comparative disadvantage in both sectors in 2000. The only exception being Denmark and Sweden with 102 COMPETITIVE POSITION OF THE BALTIC SEA REGION respectable comparative advantage in trade in pharmaceuticals as depicted by both RCA and CRCA indices. Table 125 BC - RCA in trade within EU16 NACE DNK 1.65 244 0.92 245 Source: Own calculations. SWE 1.34 0.37 FIN 0.27 0.13 POL 0.05 0.43 BSR 0.90 0.47 FIN -0.022 -0.011 POL -0.043 -0.009 BSR -0.009 -0.008 Table 126 BC - CRCA in trade within EU15 +PL NACE DNK 0.015 244 -0.003 245 Source: Own calculations. SWE 0.010 -0.007 The biotechnology market in Poland is relatively small and could be considered underdeveloped (this is mainly due to generally lower per capita incomes in relation to the rest of the region). We have to note, however, that the market is likely to develop in the near future. As was the case with ICT the biotechnology sector in Poland is situated in close proximity to major agglomerations. In the northern part of Poland – the region of Gdansk is the only major concentration. The biggest one in Poland is clearly situated around two biggest cities in Poland – Warsaw and Łódź. The enterprises functioning in the BC in the northern Poland are not particularly numerous. There are some major foreign investors present such as: Glaxo SmithKline Pharmaceuticals S.A. or German Beiersdorf AG in Poznań. The major Noric investor is located outside the region in Warsaw - Novo Nordisk Pharma Sp. z o. o. (Novo Nordisk Region Europe A/S). In terms of R&D and scientific potential the position of both regions is relatively good. Spontaneous clustering process on a larger scale is, however, unlikely. Table 127 BC - approximate number of enterprises and institutions (> 10 employees) in northern regions of Poland 244 pomorskie 7 warmińsko-mazurskie 0 zachodniopomorskie 0 kujawsko-pomorskie 5 lubuskie 1 wielkopolskie 8 Together 21 Source: Teleadreson (2005),www.teleadreson.com.pl 245 12 1 2 4 2 11 32 Together 19 1 2 9 3 19 53 731 11 7 6 4 1 12 41 Overall Denmark and Finland are the two key players in the BSR biocluster apart from Germany (the locus of German biocluster is located outside of the region). Finland is trying to catch up but it will have to cover much ground in forthcoming years. Position of Poland is weak in general with cosmetics the most competitive part of the cluster. 103 COMPETITIVE POSITION OF THE BALTIC SEA REGION We have to note, that within the BSR there already exist interesting initiatives it the biotechnology or more broadly life-science domain. Some of the initiatives have truly Baltic dimension The most prominent example – ScanBalt initiative linking the BSR region states as well as Norway and Iceland. ScanBalt is a network of biotechnology networks forming a meta-region named ScanBalt Bioregion. In fact it is a membership-based non-profit association set up to promote the development of region as a globally competitive bioregion. It aims to reach the goal by establishing a corporate identity of the region and developing its visibility (brand name), attracting key human, industrial and financial resources into the region as well as coordinating joint efforts and slowly building up networks of regional linkages. Interesting enough the ScanBalt was launched by three regional biocluster initiatives: Medicon Valley Academy, German – BioCon Valley and Finnish BioTurku (Finland). Out of these Medicon Valley Academy a part of MediconValley cluster is particularly interesting. It can be considered as probably the best example of successful cluster initiative lunched within the BSR with a truly international dimension. It is a joint initiative within of the Oresund region between Danish and Swedish partners. The region being location of one of several major regional biotechnology clusters within the Baltic Sea Region. The other prominent examples include Stockholm and Uppsala in Sweden as well as Helsinki and Turku in Finland. We have to note that Germany attaches particular significance to biotechnology and it could be considered the biggest biotechnology market in Europe as such. Altogether the BSR can be judged to poses a strong position in the biotechnology sector and could become a major global player in the field (particularly in several niche markets such as diabetes prevention). 104 COMPETITIVE POSITION OF THE BALTIC SEA REGION Map 6 Significant concentrations of the biocluster at the NUTS-4 level in Poland (including NACE 514, 731) liczba skupień 3 2 1 brak siła skupień ogółem 1.00 8.15 15.31 105 COMPETITIVE POSITION OF THE BALTIC SEA REGION CONCLUSIONS 1. Cluster-approach to economic analysis of the region generates an interesting picture of the regional economy and seems to be beneficial to understanding of its key drivers. It is especially valuable in detecting structural competitive advantages as well as disadvantages. Analysis of regional clusters should be adopted as a parallel method of economic analysis to traditional sectoral approach. 2. The Baltic Sea Region has a strong cluster base with an interesting portfolio of regional clusters both in traditional and non-traditional manufacturing industries. 3. Cluster-export specialization overlaps between the BSR state are significant (in particular between pair of countries) which suggests that mutually beneficial cooperation is possible and could be beneficial. 4. The composition of regional clusters proves a diversified nature of the region. The BSR has both strong clusters in traditional sectors such as: agro-food, forest products (wood and furniture plus the 3P cluster), maritime and automotive as well as in non-traditional sectors such as biocluster or ICT cluster. 5. In terms of employment levels agro-food and forest products clusters clearly stand out as regional leaders and are likely to retain this position as their employment levels are stable or slightly increasing. An interesting fact is that we observe intra-cluster shifts in employment. 6. In terms of regional turnover three clusters are particularly strong. These are: agro-food, ICT and 3P clusters (3P taken together with the wood and furniture cluster would be a regional leader). Automotive cluster also contributes significantly to total manufacturing turnover of the region. 7. No single cluster is dominant. This feature seems to be beneficial to the prosperity of the region as it makes the region taken as a whole less prone to sector-specific supply and demand shocks. The policy-makers should cater for all the existing cluster both traditional and non-traditional. Still they should monitor the situation constantly. If one of the clusters enters its final stage of development artificial up-bringing could be costly and 106 COMPETITIVE POSITION OF THE BALTIC SEA REGION ineffective from a long-term perspective. New opportunities should be constantly assessed. There should be some room for public intervention in emerging sectors such as the ICT which are said to be responsible for global growth performance in recent years. 8. It seems that existence of strong regional clusters partially explains location decision of foreign investors coming to Poland. It is worth to note that Nordic investors are already present in all analyzed clusters. Their significance varies however between individual clusters. 9. A study similar to Kalinowski (2005) on location advantages of Poland over Germany should be carried out for other states of the Region (Nordic states in particular). It is worth to note that according to Kalinowski inflow of German FDI into Poland is based on the mainly following rationales: market access, potential for lowering total production costs and existing distribution and suppliers networks (cluster-related factor). There are also secondary aspects: characteristics of the local market (absolute and relative size, increasing purchasing power), low labor costs and in particular qualified labor force (human capital endowment), constant price-reduction pressure from final clients, utilization of tax advantages (fiscal dumping), geographic proximity. It seems that analysis of Nordic investors would lead to a very similar set of advantages. Furthermore, it would be beneficial to compare locational advantages of particular southern and eastern Baltic regions vis-à-vis Nordic States and Germany. 107 COMPETITIVE POSITION OF THE BALTIC SEA REGION POLICY RECOMMENDATIONS 1. The BSR states should treat the enlargement of the European Union as a historic opportunity to build a coherent region with strong competitive potential. The rise of the peripheral Baltic Region could clearly decrease the dominance of the core of European Union (frequently referred to as the European banana). For many reasons the Baltic growth pole could become the leading region of the European Union. 2. In order to maximize the benefits associated with enlargement of the European Union the BSR should try to eliminated all existing barriers to freedom of movement within the single European market. Despite its delicate nature the BSR states should press other EU25 MS in particular to adopt as soon as possible the directive on services and to lift (or not to extend) the existing labor market barriers to workers from the recently acceded member states. 3. The industrial policy of the European Union has a horizontal framework though sectoral thinking is once again gaining attention. It seems that more emphasis should be put on regional clusters. Nordic states are front-runners in this respect and thus could provide quality expertise for the rest of the BSR states as well as the rest of the EU. 4. Regional competition stimulates overall competitive position of the region. Still it seems that co-opetive philosophy (strong competition with extensive cooperation) should be fostered with more emphasis put on establishment of regional linkages. 5. Progress should be made in all other aspects of regional integration. It is worth to note, however, that actual actions and not words are important. In order to move the whole process forward small-steps policy should be followed (low-hanging fruits picking policy should be implemented) with more ambitious projects to be carried out within a medium to long-term perspective. This policy could strengthen the Baltic identity which is rather non-existent for the time being. 6. Overlaps in cluster base clearly indicate that cooperation between clusters (including intra-regional reallocation of resources between clusters) should be fostered with intraregional clusters likely to emerge in the future (the Medicon Valley cluster in the Oresund region is a prime example that fruitful cooperation is possible) despite the issue of 108 COMPETITIVE POSITION OF THE BALTIC SEA REGION geographic proximity. Major improvement in existing transportation channels (within the BSR could contribute significantly to development of intra-regional clusters. Development of infrastructure should be a domain of particular activity of national governments (once again the Oresund region is a benchmark example). We need more progress in the domain to be made within the next 5 years in order to support the establishment of the Baltic growth pole. 7. The benefits associated with cluster-based policy in terms of facing up to challenges caused by market imperfections, public policy imperfections as well as systemic imperfections clearly indicate its relevance. 8. National governments should create favorable working conditions for development of domestic as well as intra-regional clusters. Due to its distortive character the amount of state aid to clusters should be minimized (in particular through direct subsidies). 9. We agree with Ketels and Solvel that cluster-policy benchmarking should be carried out within the BSR region and in comparison to major global competitors. We stress, however, that more intra-regional policy-learning should occur with the for-runners passing their practical experience to other states of the region to mutual benefit. On a more practical note A Regional Cluster-Policy Code of Good Practice could be prepared and than distributed among regional authorities and regional business community. 10. In order to improve the policy-making process it would be beneficial for all the BSR to systematically collect data. This would allow to present on annual basis a general and detailed overview of the economy of the Region both at national and regional level. Cluster-based approach could also be utilized. A virtual Baltic Sea Region Statistical Office (BSRSO) could be established in order to coordinate cooperation of national (and sub national) statistical offices (the cooperation among Nordic Statistical offices is a good example to follow). Preferably, it should stretch beyond the EU Member States – Russia. 11. The BSRSO could be supported by a network of Baltic research institutes and thin tanks as well as independent researchers similar to CEPR responsible for systematic analysis of regional economy. 12. If the BSR states agree that cluster-approach is particularly relevant tool for analysis of the regional economy than a BSR cluster-mapping exercise should be systematically carried out (similar to present study and the study by Ketels and Solvell) at least each 109 COMPETITIVE POSITION OF THE BALTIC SEA REGION every five years. More emphasis should be put on the phenomena of intra-regional reallocation and the significance of regional clusters in explaining its occurrence. Future extensions In the future the scope of the study should be significantly increased. The analysis – ideally should take into account all 3-digit NACE industry and services sectors in all the BSR states of the European Union (preferably including Russia) at least at the NUTS-2 level. And if possible cover 2004 in order to detect accession-related adjustments in regional economy. It seems, however, that the proper assessment would require at least 10 years perspective. In order to properly inform the governments and regional authorities of the region the study should be continued on biannual basis. It seems worthy to conduct analysis on specifically defined clusters of key significance to the competitive potential of the region (the list of key clusters should be reconsidered). Furthermore, existing studies should be supplemented by Baltic technology foresights. It seems finally, the definition of the region should once again be reconsidered as the present one can easily be questioned. 110 COMPETITIVE POSITION OF THE BALTIC SEA REGION LITERATURE AND REFERENCES ACEA (2005) Automotive Production (EU15 + EFTA Countries) Motor Vehicle Production in the EU by country: 2000-2003. Amiti Mary (1999) Specialization patterns in Europe, Weltwirtschaftliches Archive Vol. 135 (4), pp. 573 – 593. Baldwin Richard and Wyplosz Charles (2004) The Economics of European Integration, McGraw-Hill, London. Brodzicki Tomasz (2003) Wymiana produktów przemysłu przetwórczego między Polską a państwami członkowskimi Unii Europejskiej, in: Zielińska-Głębocka Anna et al., Potencjał konkurencyjny polskiego przemysłu w warunkach integracji europejskiej, Wydawnictwo Uniwersytetu Gdańskiego, Gdańsk. Brodzicki Tomasz, Dzierżanowski Maciej, Erlandsson Kristofer., Szultka Stanislaw (2004) Założenia strategii rozwoju klastrów w Polsce i propozycje działań operacyjnych, opracowanie na zlecenie Ministerstwa Gospodarki i Pracy, IBnGR, Gdańsk. Brodzicki Tomasz et al. (2004) Polityka wspierania klastrów, Niebieskie Księgi PFSL 2004, Rekomendacje nr 11, IBnGR, Gdańsk. Brodzicki Tomasz et al. (2002) Uwarunkowania rozwoju nowoczesnych technologii w Gdańsku, IBnGR, Gdańsk. Brodzicki Tomasz and Szultka Stanisław (2002) Koncepcja klastrów a konkurencyjność regionów, Organizacja i Kierowanie Nr 4(110), s. 45-60. Brülhart Marius and Traeger Rolf (2003) An Account of Geographic Concentration Patterns in Europe, HWWA Discussion Paper 226. Dahl Michael S. (2000) Synopsis for the Danish Cluster Studies, DRUID Working Paper. Grabowski et al. (2004) Stan i prognoza popytu na pracę w woj. pomorskim w ujęciu krótkoi średniookresowym, IBnGR, Gdańsk. DTI (1999) Biotechnology Clusters, Department of Trade and Industry, London. DTI (2001) Business clusters in the UK - a first assessment, Department of Trade and Industry, London. Jorgenson Dale W. and Nomura Koji (2005) The Industry Origins of Japanese Economic Growth, NBER Working Paper No. 11800. Kalinowski Tomasz (2005) Polska jako miejsce lokowania inwestycji niemieckich. Przewagi lokalizacyjne w stosunku do Niemiec, PAIiIZ, Warszawa. Ketels Christian, Sölvell Örjan (2004) The State of the Region Report 2004. An Assessment of Competitiveness in the Baltic Sea Region, Baltic Development Forum (BDF). Ketels Christian, Sölvell Örjan (2005) The State of the Region Report 2005. Competitiveness and Cooperation in the Baltic Sea Region, Baltic Development Forum (BDF). METLA (2004) Statistical Yearbook of Forestry, METLA. 111 COMPETITIVE POSITION OF THE BALTIC SEA REGION Midelfart-Knarvik Karen Helene et al. (200.) The Location of European Industry, European Economy no. …, EC, Brussels. OECD (2005) Business Clusters. Promoting Enterprise in Central and Eastern Europe, OECD Publishing. Policy Research Corporation N.V., ISL (…) Economic Impact of Maritime Industries in Europe, study commissioned by the EC. Rosenthal Stuart S. and Rosenthal Stuart S. (2003) Evidence on the Nature and Sources of Agglomeration Economies, Prepared for the Handbook of Urban And Regional Economics, Volume 4. Statistics Denmark et al. (2001) The ICT Sector in the Nordic countries 1995-2000, downloaded from the web site www.dst.dk/ict. Szultka Stanislaw et al. (2003) Innowacyjne klastry – wyzwania dla Polski?, IBnGR, Gdańsk. Viljamaa Kimmo (2004) What does it take to build a local biotechnology cluster in a small country? The case of Turku, Finland as an example, paper presented at the DRUID Summer Conference 2004 on “Industrial Dynamics, Innovation and Developmet”, Elsinore, Denmark. Vittanen Mikko et al. (2003) The Finnish Maritime Cluster, TEKES Technology Review 145/2003, Helsinki. Zielińska-Głębocka, A. et al. (2003) Potencjał konkurencyjny polskiego przemysłu w warunkach integracji europejskiej, Wydawnictwo Uniwersytetu Gdańskiego, Gdańsk. STATISTICAL DATA SOURCES ACEA DRUID EUROSTAT – COMEXT, NEW CRONOS GUS METLA PAIiIZ STATISTICS DENMARK TEKES TELEADRESON 112 COMPETITIVE POSITION OF THE BALTIC SEA REGION WEB RESOURCES Danish Venture Capital and Private Equity Association DVCA www.dvca.dk German Venture Capital Association e.V. – BVK www.bvk-ev.de Finnish Venture Capital Association FVCA www.fvca.fi Swedish Private Equity & Venture Capital Association (SVCA) www.svca.se DTI clusters www.dti.gov.uk/clusters/ European Commission DG Enterprise and Industry http://europa.eu.int/comm/ TEKES www.tekes.fi NUTEK www.nutek.se VINNOVA www.vinnova.se PAIiIZ www.paiz.gov.pl ACEA www.acea.be OECD www.oecd.org DRUID www.druid.dk ETLA www.etla.fi Medicon Valley www.mediconvalley.com SCANBALT www.scanbalt.org IBnGR (GIME) www.ibngr.edu.pl Teleadreson www.teleadreson.com.pl TCI – The Competitiveness Institute www.competitivness.org Polish cluster portal www.klastry.pl The Cluster Mapping Project http://data.isc.hbs.edu/isc/ 113 COMPETITIVE POSITION OF THE BALTIC SEA REGION Appendix A. ICT in Nordic Economies Source: Statistics Denmark et al. (2001) The ICT Sector in the Nordic countries 1995-2000, downloaded from the web site www.dst.dk/ict. 114 COMPETITIVE POSITION OF THE BALTIC SEA REGION Source: Statistics Denmark et al. (2001) The ICT Sector in the Nordic countries 1995-2000, downloaded from the web site www.dst.dk/ict. 115 COMPETITIVE POSITION OF THE BALTIC SEA REGION Appendix B. Nordic investors in Poland (on the basis of country of origin, > 1 mill. USD) Company House of Prince Denmark A/S Investment Fund for Central and Eastern Europe Carlsberg Breweries A/S TDC Mobile International A/S Value of investment (mill. euro) 296.9 Cluster AF 163.6 Activity Denmark manufacture of tobacco products capital investment 93.8 AF manufacture of beer 85.7 ICT related telecommunications NETTO A/S 85.3 Icopal A/S 74.0 Foras Holding A/S 72.5 TK Holding 70.8 Rockwool 57.2 Polen Invest A/S 51.5 Danfoss A/S 50.1 NKT Cables A/S 27.9 Elsam A/S 26.6 Group 4 Falck A/S 25.6 Sonion Mictrotronic A/S 24.0 Comment Scandinavian Tobacco S.A. (Myślenice) 148 investment projects in Poland contribution to equity of companies and loans 94,64 per cent stake in Carlsberg Polska S.A. (Warsaw) 19,6 per cent stake in Polkomtel S.A. (Warsaw) other retail sale of food, Netto Sp. z o. o. (Stargard Szczeciński) beverages and tobacco in - supermarket chain specialized stores manufacture of other nonmetallic mineral products 99,9 per cent stake in Icopal S.A. n.e.c. e.g. building (Zduńska Wola) materials development and selling Foras Management Poland Sp. z o. o. of real estate (Warsaw) Thorkild Kristensen Polska Sp. z o. o. general construction of (Warsaw) - shopping center in buildings Szczecin, construction plans (Warsaw and Poznań) Rockwool Polska Sp. z o. o. (Cigacice, production of insulating Lubuskie Voivodship), Rockwool materials Małkinia Sp. z o. o. Poldanor S.A. (Przechlewo, Pomorskie AF pig breeding Voivodship), Prime Food Sp. z o. o. (Przechlewo) manufacture of taps and valves, manufacture of Danfoss Poland Sp. z o. o. (Warsaw), instruments and Zakład Hydrauliki Przemysłowej appliances for measuring, ICT Pilmet (Wrocław), valve production checking, testing, (Grodzisk Mazowiecki near Warsaw), navigating and other Sauer - Danfoss Sp. z o. o. purposes, except industrial process control equipment 75,52 per cent stake in NKT Cables ICT manufacture of insulated S.A. (Czechowice-Dziedzice), NKT related wire and cable Cables Warszowice Sp. z o. o., Polinex Sp. z o. o. (Knurów) production and Wolin North Sp.zo.o. (Szczecin) distribution of electricity Falck Polska Sp. z o.o., Falck Ochrona Sp. z o.o. (Warsaw), Ratownictwo investigation and security Falck Sp. z o.o. (Szczecin), Karderos activities Sp. z o.o. (Kraków), BWR Serwis Sp. z o.o. (Kraków), Sekuritas Sp. z o.o. (Zielona Góra) manufacture of medical BC related and surgical equipment Sonion Polska Sp. z o. o. (Mierzyn) and orthopedic appliances AF related 116 COMPETITIVE POSITION OF THE BALTIC SEA REGION Company Value of investment (mill. euro) GN Great Nordic 22.4 Tryg-Baltica A/S (Nordea Group) 20.8 Nykredit Realkredit A/S Logstor Ror A/S 16.2 12.2 Schulstad Brod A/S 10.5 Danske Bank A.S. 9.6 Unicon AS 8.8 Merrild Cafe 8.2 Chr. C. Grene A/S 7.6 Novo Nordisk Region Europe A/S Investeringsfonden for Ostlandene Broen A/S Scanpol International ApS Pagh Morups Bornekonfektion APS Cluster Activity Comment part of DPTG (Danish Polish Telecommunications Group), investment in fibre optic pipe-line ICT telecommunications worth USD 20 million completed together with Tele Danmark Internationale AS and Telekomunikacja Polska S.A. 98.2 per cent stake in Nordea Polska life insurance, pension Towarzystwo Ubezpieczeń na Życie funding, non-life S.A. (Warsaw), Tryg Polska insurance Towarzystwo Ubezpieczeniowe S.A. (Radom) other monetary Nykredit Bank Hipoteczny S.A. intermediation (Warsaw) manufacture of steel tubes Logstor Ror Polska Sp. z o. o. (Zabrze) manufacture of bread; AF manufacture of fresh Schulstad Sp. z o. o. (Poznań) pastry goods and cakes other credit granting Danske Bank Polska S.A. (Warsaw) manufacture of concrete products for construction Unicon Beton Sp. z o. o. (Warsaw) purposes AF manufacture of coffee Prima S.A. (Poznań) sale of motor vehicle parts 65 per cent stake in Grene Sp. z o. o. AC related and accessories (Bydgoszcz, Leszno, Konin ) 6.1 BC 5.7 AF 5.5 manufacture of pharmaceuticals Novo Nordisk Pharma Sp. z o. o. (Warsaw) production and preserving of meat manufacture of fasteners, screw machine products, chain and springs 36 per cent stake in Prime Food Sp. z o. o. (Przechlewo) Broen DZT S.A. 5.5 hotels with restaurant Hotel New Skanpol Sp. z o. o. (Kołobrzeg) 4.7 manufacture of drubbing textiles PMB Sp. z o. o. (Piła) Chr. Hansen A\S 4.7 other wholesale Chr. Hansen Poland Sp. z o. o. (Cząstków Mazowiecki) A.Espersen A/S 4.3 ARLA FOODS AmbA Elopak Denmark AS 3.7 3.3 Dan Cake A/S 3.2 DreamLand 3.1 A/S Roulunds Fabriker 3.1 processing and preserving of fish and fish products manufacture of dairy AF products packaging for dairy AF related products manufacture of rusks and biscuits; manufacture of AF preserved pastry goods and cakes AF / MC WFC furniture production production of abrasive products Espersen Polska Sp. z o. o. (Koszalin) Arla Foods Sp. z o. o. - factory in Gościno near Kołobrzeg Elopak Sp. z o. o. (Czosnów near Warsaw) Dan Cake Sp. z o. o. (Chrzanów) Hilding Polska Sp. z o. o. (Murowana Goślina) 80 per cent stake in Fabryka Okładzin Ciernych Fomar Roulunds S.A. 117 COMPETITIVE POSITION OF THE BALTIC SEA REGION Company Value of investment (mill. euro) Trepko A/S 3.0 Shiptrans Holding A/S 2.6 TAEPPELAND HOLDING A/S Kongskilde Industries A/S Danish Fast Food 1.7 Danish Partner ApS 1.4 YellowTel A/S 1.2 Velux A/S Dan Engineering AS Carly Gry 0.9 LM Glasfiber 0.9 Activity Comment manufacture of other general purpose machinery n.e.c. Trepko Sp. z o. o. (Gniezno) manufacture of furniture other retail sale in nonspecialized stores manufacture of machinery for agriculture 2.1 1.7 steam supply AF ICT services manufacture of bread; manufacture of fresh pastry goods and cakes manufacture of other wearing apparel and accessories Scanwood Sp.z o.o. (Mierzyn near Szczecin), Scanwood (Dębno), Scanwood (Słońsk) Topwert Świat Dywanów Sp. z o. o. (Janki) Kongskilde polska Sp. z o. o. (Kutno) combined heat plant (Łęgajnie, Warmińsko-Mazurskie Voivodship) Dania Fast Food Sp. z o. o. (Warsaw) Danipol Sp. z o. o. - factory in Polkowice data processing YellowTel Polska Sp. z o. o. (Warsaw) 1.1 manufacture of plastics 1.0 zinc production Velux Polska Sp. z o. o. (Warsaw) Dan Engineering Sp. z o. o. (SEZ Tarnobrzeg) manufacture of other outerwear production and distribution of electricity Finland life insurance, pension funding, 162.1 Stora Enso Oyj 92.1 Huhtamaki Van Leer 50.3 Sanitec Ltd. OY 42.7 Paroc Group 42.7 Metsa Tissue OYJ 30.2 Ruukki OY WFC 2.4 Hedeselskabet Sampo Cluster 11.9 3P manufacture of corrugated paper and paperboard and of containers of paper and paperboard, manufacture of pulp plastic packaging production manufacture of ceramic sanitary equipment 3P manufacture of other nonmetallic mineral products n.e.c. manufacture and household and sanitary goods and of toilet requisites manufacture of builders' carpentry and joinery of metal Carly Gry PL Production (Łódź) LM Glasfiber Sp. z o. o. (Goleniów) Sampo Towarzystwo Ubezpieczeń S.A., Sampo S.A., Sampo Towarzystwo Ubezpieczeń na Życie S.A. (Warsaw), Sampo Powszechne Towarzystwo Emerytalne S.A. Intercell S.A. (Ostrołęka, Warsaw, Lodz, Tychy, Mosina near Poznan), Intercell Recycling sp. z o.o. (Warsaw), Scantrans sp. z o.o.(Lodz) Huhtamaki Polska Sp. z o. o. (Siemianowice Śląskie) Sanitec Koło Sp. z o. o., Laminex (Mińsk Mazowiecki), Scan Aqua Sp.z o.o. (Łódź), Zakład Wyrobów Sanitarnych (Wrocław) Paroc Polska Sp. z o. o. (Trzemeszno) Metsa Tissue S.A. (Konstancin Jeziorna), Zakłady Papiernicze w Krapkowicach S.A. Ruukki Polska Sp. z o. o. (Warsaw), production plant in Katowice and Żyrardów, 23.6 per cent of shares of Metalplast Oborniki (Oborniki) 118 COMPETITIVE POSITION OF THE BALTIC SEA REGION Company Value of investment (mill. euro) KWH Group Ltd. 11.1 Cluster Activity Comment pipes production KWH Pipe (Poland) Ltd. (Warsaw), plant near Bełchatów Nordic Environment Finance Corporation (NEFCO) manufacture of corrugated paper and paperboard and of containers of paper and paperboard; production and preserving of meat manufacture of margarine and similar edible fats 8.4 3P Raisio Group 8.4 AF Suomi Mutual Life Assurance Company 7.0 Consolis Oy Ab 5.8 Oras OY 4.7 HK Ruokatalo Oyj 4.6 Fortum Power and Heat OY 2.8 ENSTO SEKKO OY 2.6 Carrus 2.1 AC Lannen Tehtaat OY 1.4 AF NORDKALK GROUP 1.4 quarrying of limestone Nordkalk Sp. z o. o. (Krakow) Martela OYJ 1.3 trade of clothes Martela Design Center Sp. z o. o. (Warsaw) life insurance AF Intercell S.A. (Ostrołęka), Foster Wheeler Energy Fakop Sp. z o. o. (Warsaw), 25 per cent stake in Prime Food Sp. z o. o. (Przechlewo) Raisio Polska Foods Sp. z o. o. (Karczew near Warsaw) Towarzystwo Ubezpieczeń na Życie FinLife S.A. (Warsaw) manufacture of concrete Consolis Polska Sp. z o. o. products for construction (Gorzkowice near Piotrków purposes Trybunalski) casting of other nonOras Olesno Sp. z o. o. (formerly ferrous metals Standard Armatura) production and preserving 21,12 per cent stake in "Sokołów" S.A. of meat (Sokołów Podlaski) steam and hot water 85 per cent stake in Fortum supply Częstochowa S.A. (Częstochowa) architectural and Ensto Aspol Sp. z o. o. (Gdańsk), engineering activities and branch offices in Krakow, Łódź, related technical Poznań, Warsaw. consultancy 45 per cent stake in Volvo Bus Poland bus assembly Sp. z o.o (Wrocław) processing and preserving of fruit and vegetables Lannen Polska Sp. z o. o. (Tolkmicko) n.e.c. Sweden production and distribution of electricity, steam and hot water supply Vattenfall AB 878.0 IKEA 511.9 WFC related other retail sale in specialized stores Telia AB 290.1 ICT related telecommunications, printing n.e.c. Nordea Bank Sweden AB (Nordea Group) 238.0 banking, life insurance 75 per cent stake in Elektrociepłownie Warszawskie S.A., 75 per cent stake in Górnośląski Zakład Elektroenergetyczny S.A. IKEA International A/S, IKEA Polska S.A., IKEA Hanim Poland S.A., IKEA Retail Sp. z o. o. - supermarket chain, IKEA Trading & Design AG (Janki near Warsaw), 80 per cent stake in Szczeciński Przemysł Drzewny S.A., factory in Chłastów (Lubuskie Voivodeship) Telia S.A., shares in Eniro Polska Sp. z o. o. Nordea Bank Polska S.A. (Gdynia), NORDEA Polska Towarzystwo Ubezpieczeń na Życie S.A., NORDEA FINANCE POLSKA S.A., LG Petro Bank S.A 119 COMPETITIVE POSITION OF THE BALTIC SEA REGION Company Value of investment (mill. euro) Cluster Activity Comment general construction of buildings and civil engineering works Skanska Project Development Europe AB - Atrium Centrum Sp. z o. o., Skanska Oeresund AB - Atrium Plaza Sp. z o. o. (both managed by Skanska Property Poland (Warsaw); Skanska International Building AB - Skanska Polska Sp. z o. o. (Warsaw), 94 per cent of shares of Exbud S.A. (Kielce), Westin Hotel (Warsaw) Skanska Kraft AB 217.7 Swedwood Holding BV 170.6 WFC manufacture of furniture Swedwood Poland S.A. (Szczecin) Arctic Paper AB 119.4 3P manufacture of paper and paperboard, manufacture of paper stationery Arctic Paper S.A. (Kostrzyn) Svenska Handelsbanken AB 69.1 banking Bank Svenska Handelsbanken Polska S.A. (Warsaw) Swepol Link AB 64.0 NCC AB 58.5 Skandinaviska Enskilda Banken (SEB) production and distribution of electricity general construction of buildings 52.4 banking manufacture of paints, varnishes and similar coatings, printing ink and mastics activities of travel agencies and tour operators; tourist assistance activities n.e.c. Alcro - Beckers AB 51.2 Fritidsresor Holding AB 39.2 Optiroc Group AG 34.1 AF manufacture of glues and gelatines Volvo AB 68.2 AC manufacture of motor vehicles Oriflame 29.9 BC manufacture of cosmetics Vin & Spirit AB 28.7 AF manufacture of vodka Scania CV AB 2.6 AC manufacture of motor vehicles Sydkraft AB 27.0 steam and hot water supply Swepol Link (Poland) Sp. z o. o. NCC Polska Sp. zo.o. (Poznań) 47 per cent stake in Bank Ochrony Środowiska S.A. (Warsaw), SEB Towarzystwo Funduszy Inwestycyjnych S.A. Polifarb Becker Dębica S.A., TBD S.A. (Dębica) Scan Holiday Travel Sp. z o o. (Poznań) Optiroc Sp. z o. o. (Warsaw), Optiroc Gniew Sp. z o.o. (Gniew), factory in Góra Kalwaria and Szczecin Volvo Polska Sp. z o. o. (Wrocław), Volvo Polska Sp. z o. o. (Warsaw), Truck and Bus Service Sp. z o. o. (Długołęka) Oriflame Poland Sp. z o. o., Oriflame Products Poland Sp. z o. o. (Warsaw) 85 per cent stake in Lubuska Wytwórnia Wódek Gatunkowych Polmos ( Zielona Góra) Scania Production Słupsk S.A. (Słupsk) 70 per cent stake in Sydkraft Złotów Sp. z o. o. (Złotów), 100 per cent stake in Energetyka Cieplna Sp. z o. o. (Czeladź), 100 per cent stake in Sydkraft Poznań Sp. z o. o., 23,2 per cent stake in Ostrowski Zakład Ciepłowniczy, 51 per cent stake in Słupska Energetyka Cieplna 120 COMPETITIVE POSITION OF THE BALTIC SEA REGION Company Value of investment (mill. euro) Aktiebolaget SKF 25.6 Trelleborg AB 53.7 AGA AB 19.1 DeLaval Holding AB 17.1 Granges A.B. 16.9 Plastal Group AB 14.4 Ahlstromforetagen Svenska Aktiebolg 13.8 ABBA Seafood AB 13.6 Dahl International AB 13.1 Autoliv AB 14.3 Electrolux AB 11.9 Dagens Industri Holding AB 11.1 Lindab AB 10.4 Lantbrukarnas Ekonomi Aktiebolag 9.9 Cluster Activity Comment manufacture of bearings, gears, gearing and driving SKF Poznań S.A. (Poznań) elements manufacture of parts and Trelleborg Automotive Poland Sp. z o. AC accesories for motor o. (Wałbrzych) vehicles and their engines AGA Gaz Sp. z o. o. (Warsaw) technical gas production Polgaz Kościan, Wielkopolskie Voivodship manufacture of machinery DeLaval Sp. z o. o., Delaval AF related for food, beverage and Operations Sp. z o. o. (Wrocław) tobacco processing Sapa Poland Ltd. (Trzcianka Lubuska, casting of light metals Wielkopolskie Voivodship) manufacture of other Plastal Sp. z o. o. (Gliwice) plastic products manufacture of electricity distribution and control stake in "POLAM Szczecinek S.A." apparatus processing and preserving AF / MC Superfish S.A. (Kołobrzeg) of fish and fish products wholesale of hardware, plumbing and heating Tadmar S.A. (Poznań) equipment and supplies manufacture of parts and Autoliv Polska Sp. z o. o. (Oława, AC accesories for motor Jelcz) vehicles and their engines Electrolux Poland Sp.zo.o. (Warsaw), manufacture of electric Electrolux Production Poland Sp. z o. domestic appliances o. - factory in Siewierz Bonnier Business Polska Sp. z o. o. 3P publishing of newspapers (Warsaw) distribution of metal Lindab Sp. z o. o. (Łomianki near products Warsaw) AC AF production and preserving 19,43 per cent stake in "Sokołów S.A." of meat (Sokołów Podlaski) 3P manufacture of corrugated paper and paperboard and of containers of paper and paperboard Inter Paper Holding AG 9.0 Scancem AB 8.5 Munksjo AB 8.5 3P Cloetta Fazer AB 8.5 AF Bulten AG 8.5 Sandvik AB 6.5 cement production packaging manufacture of cocoa; chocolate and sugar confectionery manufacture of fasteners, screw machine products, chain and springs manufacture of tools Intercell S.A. (Ostrołęka) 50 per cent of shares of Bosta Beton (Warsaw), Precon Polska bought "Jastrobet" in Jastrów Munksjo Packaging Sp. z o. o. packaging plant in Pruszków near Warsaw Cloetta Fazer Polska Sp. z o. o. (Gdańsk) Bulten Polska S.A. (Bielsko-Biała) Sandvik Baildonit S.A. 121 COMPETITIVE POSITION OF THE BALTIC SEA REGION Company Value of investment (mill. euro) Posten AB 6.4 Thule Holding AB 6.4 Duni AB 5.4 Swedfund International AB 5.3 Arot AB 4.5 Muscle Machine Sweden 3.8 Stora AB 3.0 Kemira Kemi AB 3.0 BACKER BHV AB 2.8 Catzy 2.6 BC Elanders Infoprint AB 2.6 3P POLARICA AB 2.6 AxMeditec AB 2.4 TEKNOPROD AB 2.1 Necks Invest AB 2.0 LLENTAB AB 2.0 IFS Industrial and Financial Systems AB 1.7 Ericsson 1.7 Alfort Kemtech AB 1.5 AxEast AB 1.1 Elfa AB 0.9 Cluster AC 3P 3P related Activity courier activities other 50 per cent stake in Masterlink Express than national post Sp. z o. o. (Warsaw) activities manufacture of other fabricated metal products Thule Sp. z o. o. - factory in Wieleń in n.e.c. - load carriers for Wielkopolskie Voivodeshjp cars production of napkins, Duni Poland Sp. z o. o. (Poznań) table covers and candles contribution to equity of KZP insulating materials Kostrzyn - paper producer, Nordiska manufacturer Ekofiber Polska manufacture of plastic plates, sheets, tubes and Arot Polska Sp. z o. o. (Leszno) profiles manufacture of builders' Marmite International S.A. (Palędzie) ware of plastic wholesale trade in paper Papyrus Sp. z o. o. (Poznań) products manufacture of other 51 per cent stake in Kemipol Sp. z o. o. inorganic basic chemicals (Police) manufacture of central heating radiators and Backer OBR Sp. z o. o. (Pyrzyce) boilers Przedsiębiorstwo Zagraniczne Catzy cosmetics production Sp. z o. o. (Wesoła near Warsaw) printing processing and preserving of fruit and vegetables n.e.c. retail sale of medical and BC related orthopedic goods ICT manufacture of insulated related wire and cable general mechanical engineering general construction of buildings and civil engineering works AF ICT services ICT production of software, sales and inventory manufacture of television and radio transmitters and apparatus for line telephony and line telegraphy manufacture of brooms and brushes production of pumps ICT related Comment retail sale of electrical household appliances and radio and television goods Elanders Polska Sp. z o. o. (Płońsk) Polfrys Sp. z o. o. (Świdwin, Zachodniopomorskie Voivodeship) AxMediTec Sp. z o. o. (Białystok) Teknosystem Sp. z o. o. (Warsaw) Pol-Necks Sp. z o. o. (Toruń) Llentabhallen Sp. z o. o. (Gdańsk) IFS Poland Sp. z o. o. (Warsaw and Kraków) Ericsson Sp. z o. o. (Warsaw), 19,23 per cent stake in RWT Telefony Polskie S.A. Stargard Borst Sp. z o. o. (Stargard Szczeciński) Szwedzkie Biuro Techniczne Sp. z o. o. (Warsaw) Elfa Polska Sp. z o.o. (Warsaw) Source: PAIIZ. 122