Commerce 2FA3 Tutorial 9 March 2001 Question 1: Barney’s Industries Inc. is considering two proposals for the use of factory space freed up by a discontinued product line. Project A would cost $40,000 (class 8, 20%) to start and is expected to generate positive cash flows of $20,000 per year (before tax) for 5 years, with no salvage value. Project B costs $60,000 to start (class 8) but would generate $30,000 per year for 4 years with a salvage value of $7,500. Both projects are likely to be repeated. Which of these projects is better if Barney’s has a cost of capital of 12.5% and a marginal tax rate of 35%? r d Tc Cost PVTS n PVIFA Annual CF After tax PV CF Salvage PV Salvage PVTS lost NPV EAA Project A 12.5% 20.0% 35.0% 40,000.00 8,136.75 5 3.5606 20,000.00 13,000.00 46,287.39 14,424.14 4,051.08 Project B 12.5% 20.0% 35.0% 60,000.00 12,205.13 4 3.0056 30,000.00 19,500.00 58,609.97 7,500.00 4,682.21 1,008.48 14,488.83 4,820.55 Cost of capital CCA Rate Marginal Tax Initial Cost Tax Shield Years For CF and EAA CF times (1-Tc) Don't forget this. A slight edge to B Definitely B Both standard NPV and EAA recommend project B, though the recommendation is much stronger with EAA. Commerce 2FA3 Tutorial 9 March 2001 Question 2: BIG Inc. is considering a capital investment project (all figures after tax) that would cost $100 million. Expected cash flows would be $20 million per year for 10 years. This projection is based on a 40% chance of $25 million, a 20% chance of $20 million and a 40% chance of $15 million. The CF in the first year will be the CF for the entire project. BIG’s cost of capital is 10%. Analyze the project using NPV, IRR, MIRR, PI, and Payback. BIG can increase the initial investment to $110 million to create managerial options. If they get the $25 result they could increase this cash flow to $40 for an additional $70 million. They could also or shut the project down and recover $90 million dollars. Is this additional investment worthwhile? Payback = 100/20 = 5 years. No decision, cutoff not given. NPV = -100 + 20 x PVIFA = $22.89 million. Accept Project (1 + MIRR) 10 = 20 x FVIFA/100 MIRR = 12.3% > 10% Accept 0 = -100 + 20 x PVIFA(IRR, 10) guess 15% NPV = 0.375 NPV > 0, increase discount rate guess 15.1% NPV = -0.006 NPV < 0, decrease discount rate. IRR = 15.0984%. Both options increase the value of the remaining cash flows. NPV high = -110 -45/1.10 + 40 x PVIFA(10%, 9)/1.10 = 58.51 NPV medium = -110 + 20 x PVIFA(10%, 9) = 12.89 NPV low = -110 + 105/1.10 = -4.55 NPV project = 40%x58.51 + 20%x12.89 + 40%x-4.55 = 26.14 The value of the options is greater than the cost of those options since the NPV is greater if we include the options and the additional cost. Commerce 2FA3 Tutorial 9 March 2001 Question 3: A firm has the following projects under consideration. Project A B C D E Cost 1,000,000 2,000,000 1,500,000 3,000,000 500,000 NPV 100,000 175,000 175,000 200,000 35,000 If the firm has a cost of capital of 15% and a hard cap on capital expenditures of $5 million, which projects should they accept if all of the projects could be delayed? What would the appropriate decision be if project D must be done now or never? Project C A B E D numbers in thousands Cost NPV 1,500 175 1,000 100 2,000 175 500 35 3,000 200 PI 1.117 1.100 1.088 1.070 1.067 C. Cost 1,500 2,500 4,500 5,000 8,000 If all of the projects can be repeated we add projects until the cumulative cost reaches $5 million. In this case all projects except project D will be accepted this year. The NPV of this is $485,000. Project D would be done next year for a NPV of 200/1.15 or $174 thousand for a total of $659k. If project D must be done now or never, the company should do project D now and also projects C and E. The NPV this year would be $410k and $275 next year (PV $239k). This would have a PV of $649k vs. $485k if project D were never done. Commerce 2FA3 Tutorial 9 March 2001 Question 4: SloGro Inc. has earnings per share of $2.25. They have profitable growth opportunities with a value of $1.95 per share. If this information is publicly available and the market is semi-strong form efficient, what is the price per share of SloGro if investors require a 9% rate of return? What would the impact be if SloGro had a new project that added $0.75 to the NPVGO if that information was not available to the public? What should happen if they announce the project? P 1 NPVGO E r E P 1 1.95 11.98 2.25 0.09 2.25 P 12 2.25 $26.95 The initial P/E ratio of the firm should be just under 12 giving a price of $26.95. The existence of the new project would not add any value to the company until that information became available to the public. If the market were strong form efficient, the price would increase. If they announce the project, the price of the company should increase to P = (1/0.09 + 2.70/2.25) x 2.25 = $27.70. The $0.75 increase should be no surprise since the equation can be written as P = E/r + NPVGO.