Supermarkets and Agri-Food Supply Chains: Transformations in the Production and Consumption of Foods Eds: Burch and Lawrence Chapter for Part 3 Supermarkets and Agri-Food Supply Chains in Europe: Partnership and Protest Bill Vorley International Institute for Environment and Development, London Target: 6000 words Actual: 8482 words (30 April 2006) ABSTRACT Europe has been at the forefront of the supermarket revolution, and that revolution took a big leap in the past decade with the rapid transformation of the sector in central and eastern Europe. This chapter describes the nature and institutional ingredients of that revolution, which includes the internationalisation of retailing and procurement, the growth of own brands and private standards, and supply chain management systems, spurred on by competition from the hard discounters European governments have been politically unable to modernise competition policy to accommodate the clear shift in the European competitive environment, from producer market power to retailer buyer power. Producers are waking up to implications for the welfare of primary producers, especially in the wake of reforms to the Common Agricultural Policy. Dealing with the new market realities has been in the form of both producer organisation and professionalisation, and protest, against a backdrop of a fraying social contract between citizens and supermarkets. Introduction This chapter describes the development of supermarkets in Europe, the way in they have reshaped the governance of agrifood, and the consequences for other actors in agrifood chains. The focus is on changing power relationships within European agrifood supply chains, in terms of the developments of supply chain partnerships, regulatory responses. and the rise of protest among producers and civil society. Europe provides a fascinating field of study on the impact of supermarkets and the associated re-governance of agrifood markets. Firstly, the area is the home of giants of global retailing – in 2005, 18 of the global top 30 grocery retailers were European. European retailers are also the most internationalised – the top eight European retailers all have significant proportions of their floor space and sales outside of their home markets. Second, it is the site of a tussle for market power between supermarkets and the food industry, which is the leading European industrial sector and accounts for 13 per cent of the total production value. Third, the fall of the Iron Curtain in 1989 and the eastern enlargement of the EU has been accompanied by a rapid eastwards expansion of European retailers. In the space of a decade, there has a restructuring of the sector in Central and Eastern Europe (CEE) of the kind which took 30 years in western Europe. Fourth, Europe has led the world in the development of quality ‘own brand’ (private label) products, and the application of private standards, both of which play an important role in the ‘re-governance’ of agrifood 2 Fifth, Europe is the home of the ‘hard discount’ revolution, which has transformed food retailing in much of continental Europe and is conditioning the development of the supermarket and hypermarket sectors. Sixth, European producers are waking up to the retail-driven ‘regovernance’ of agrifood, but, having traditionally looked to Brussels and national governments to defend their interests, are uncertain how to act. Reform of the Common Agricultural Policy (CAP) has pulled the state back from management of agricultural markets, and agricultural budgets are restricted to fund enlargement. Many of the countries in CEE have large and influential farmer populations; in the enlarged EU-25, there are now 17 million farms, up from 7 million in the EU-15, and the proportion of farmers in the workforce has grown from 4 per cent to nearly 8 per cent. Lastly, civil society has developed a love-hate relationship with supermarket sector, exploiting supermarkets’ market power to drive agendas of greener transport, better animal welfare, public health, or higher labour standards in an era of state deregulation. This is a heady mixture, with unpredictable outcomes. There are certainly lessons from Europe for countries where these changes are just beginning to take hold, for purposes of anticipatory policy. In order to understand the position of primary producers, suppliers and manufacturers in markets dominated by the components of the European supermarket model. Grocery retail in Europe The giants of European food retail markets are the UK, France and Germany, based on their high populations and mature markets (Table 1). These three countries, which are also the home markets for Europe’s top 10 retail groups, will dominate the analysis in this chapter. Deflation is a characteristic of Europe’s larger food markets. Price competition is especially tough in Germany and the Netherlands, but Spain and Italy have also become more price competitive in the wake of the expansion of the hard discounters. Germany has the lowest grocery price index in western Europe – on average 15 per cent lower than the European average – followed by the Netherlands and Spain (AC Nielsen, 2005a). 3 In line with trends across the OECD, the share of spending on essentials (food, clothing, energy) has declined in Europe, as incomes rise and consumers seek to free up disposal income. In the UK, spending on food as percentage has halved in 40 years, and one food pound in three is now spent away from home. Declining relative expenditure on food, and even food price deflation, is a major factor in the level of competition in food retail. Table 1. The European Retail Market: Modern Grocery Distribution1, 2005 (EUR bn) 1 Rank Country EUR bn 2005 1 United Kingdom 233 2 France 211 3 Germany 208 4 Italy 104 5 Spain 83 6 Russia 79 7 Poland 42 8 Switzerland 36 9 Netherlands 33 10 Sweden 25 11 Belgium 24 12 Finland 24 13 Denmark 22 14 Norway 21 15 Austria 21 16 Romania 16 Modern Grocery Distribution is defined by PlanetRetail as a specific retail universe, comprising gross sales (i.e. including VAT or sales tax) generated from (1) modern retail formats predominantly selling food, such as hypermarkets, superstores, supermarkets, discount stores, convenience stores, drugstores and independent outlets associated with a retail organisation or grocery retail company; (2) mixed merchandise retail formats operated by grocery retail groups predominantly selling non-food; and (3) non-food retail banners operated by grocery retail groups; modern wholesale formats, such as warehouse clubs, cash & carry outlets and delivered wholesale (including distributors in the foodservice sector). Specialist food outlets, such as butchers, bakers, etc. and open markets are excluded from the category. 4 17 Portugal 16 18 Czech Republic 15 19 Ireland 12 20 Greece 12 21 Hungary 10 22 Slovakia 6 23 Croatia 5 24 Bulgaria 5 25 Ukraine 4 26 Latvia 3 27 Slovenia 3 28 Lithuania 3 29 Serbia and Montenegro 3 30 Belarus 2 31 Estonia 2 32 Luxembourg 2 33 Cyprus 2 34 Iceland 1 35 Albania 1 36 Bosnia and Herzegovina 1 37 Macedonia 1 38 Malta 1 39 Moldova 0 Total 1,291 Source: Planet Retail. www.planetretail.net There is a close relationship between per capita GDP and the penetration of ‘modern’ retail (Figure 2). What is interesting from a European perspective are the outriders, such as Italy with a penetration about 20 per cent below predicted, and the UK, which is about 15 per cent above predicted by this relationship. Whether this points to durable exceptions to the rule based on cultural or policy differences, or simply to time lags in some countries, is a subject which warrants serious research. 5 Figure 2. Large Supermarket penetration vs. GDP per Capita Source: Booz-Allen Hamilton, 2003 Large Supermarket penetration in Consumer Goods Market 100% Belgium UK 90% USA Sweden Germany 80% Denmark Switzerland Norway Finland 70% Portugal Austria 60% Chile Spain Costa Rica Greece Argentina 50% Italy Brazil Colombia Mexico 40% 30% 5.0 10.0 15.0 20.0 25.0 30.0 35.0 40.0 45.0 GDP/Capita in USD (2001) In CEE, markets are quickly approaching saturation. The EU average is 15 hypermarkets per one million inhabitants. Hungary has 10 million inhabitants, and by the end of 2005 there will be 98 hypermarkets in the country. Hypermarkets in Hungary now account for around a quarter of the market.2 Modern retailing already has an 18 per cent share of the Russian market. The biggest companies in European food retail are listed in Table 2. Europe's undisputed leader continues to be French company Carrefour, with a European market share of 6.4 per cent. Carrefour is also the world’s second biggest retailer. German-based Metro is third ranked in Europe and globally, with half of group sales through its cash & carry operations (which in Europe includes Makro3), though it also owns consumer electronic stores and department stores. In third place is UK-based Tesco, which in the last decade has moved successfully into CEE, E Asia and SE Asia, but still makes the bulk of its sales in the UK. Wal-Mart, which is by far the world’s largest retailer and grocer, is ranked only 13th place on the European stage, and is the only non-European player in the top 30. 2 Interfax Hungary Weekly Business Report, May 18, 2005. 3 In 1998, the European organisation of SHV Makro was merged into Metro Cash & Carry GmbH 6 Hard discounters4 are a growing part of the European food retail landscape, with some notable exceptions such as the UK. Discounters are a huge part of the market in Germany — in 2003, Germany accounted for 43 per cent of Western Europe’s 32,500 discount stores.5 Although discounters established themselves in packaged goods, the hard discounters have now captured almost 50 per cent of the German fresh produce market over the past 20 years. Their success in Germany has been aided by spatial planning legislation. Similarly, discounting is growing fast in France, where there are also heavy restrictions on store size and a growing emphasis on price. Discounters have been very successful in CEE where the discount store format is spreading into medium size towns. The growth in hard discounters between 2005 and 2009 in CEE is predicted to be 72 per cent, compared with 14 per cent in western Europe. Illustrative of a fracturing of the market is the strong growth of up-market ‘craft’ retailers such as Waitrose in UK and Tegut in Germany. The leading retailers vary in their ownership structure. Carrefour and Tesco are publicly held. Metro is publicly held but with large proportion owned by founder Otto Beisheim, the Haniel group and the Schmidt-Ruthebeck family. The two giants of German hard discounting Lidl (the Schwartz group) and Aldi are privately held, with very little information released. There are some highly successful cooperatives, such as fourth ranked Rewe, owned by its 3000 retail members, and Edeka, which have their origins as buying groups owned by independent retailers, but which have moved into store ownership and an increasingly topdown governance. Wortmann (2003, 2004) points to an especially German nature of these affiliations of independent retailers in that they are based on coordinated organisation of small business (Mittelstand), allowing for successful enterprise with a low concentration at shop level in comparison to Britain or France. ITM Intermarché and Leclerc are consortia of independent merchants. Table 2. Top 20 Grocery Retailers in Europe, 2004 Retailer Country of Origin Ownership Retail Net Grocery Domestic Foreign Banner Sales Sales Sales (%) Sales Sales 2004 (%) 4 (%) Food stores working to the discount principle, that is, limited product range, basic store fittings and low prices. Generally around 600m2 floor space. 5 PlanetRetail 7 1 Carrefour France Public 2004 (EUR (EUR mn) mn) 75,707 62,144 75.4 59.1 40.9 60,291e 54,114e 49.1 54.5 45.5 49,681 45,440 71.5 87.5 12.5 company 2 Metro Group Germany Public company 3 Tesco UK Public company 4 Rewe Germany Coop 44,135e 40,800 75.6 71.6 28.4 5 Auchan France Limited 38,418 28,604e 59.9 55.9 44.1 37,380e 34,052e 69.9 71.5 28.5 36,964e 34,263e 82.3 58.2 41.8 32,485e 29,465e 81.8 67.7 32.3 company 6 ITM France network Intermarché 7 Schwarz Germany Aldi Private company Group 8 Voluntary Germany Private company 9 Edeka Germany Coop 31,582e 26,175e 84.4 92.0 8.0 10 Casino France Public 29,458 22,909 75.0 83.0 17.0 28,659e 13,048 85.0 49.2 50.8 28,566e 26,377e 64.0 94.7 5.3 24,958e 22,955e 74.5 0.0 100.0 24,128 23,017e 75.9 100.0 0.0 20,722 18,130 78.0 100.0 0.0 17,713e 15,485e 24.7 98.4 1.6 17,141e 15,068e 59.9 76.0 24.0 company 11 Ahold Neth. Public company 12 Leclerc France Voluntary network 13 Wal-Mart USA Public company 14 Sainsbury UK Public company 15 Morrisons UK Public company 16 El Corte Spain company Inglés 17 Tengelmann Private Germany Limited company 18 Système U France Coop 14,684 13,627e 85.2 100.0 0.0 19 Migros Switz. Coop 13,853e 13,152p 58.9 98.8 1.2 20 Coop Sweden Coop 13,353e 9,475p 81.3 33.3 66.7 Norden Top 30: EUR 744,923 mn Others: EUR 428,928 mn Total Europe EUR: 1,173,851 mn 8 Note: * Marks & Spencer figures include wholly-owned operation in the UK only Retail Banner Sales (including VAT and/or sales tax): the sum of the sales of all stores under a retailer's banner, including sales from the retailer's own stores, the full retail sales of companies consolidated under the equity method, plus the sales of franchised stores and the stores of independents operating under the respective banner. e = estimate The EU-15 food market is already mature, and sales increases for food manufacturing companies depend on gains in market share instead of market growth, or expansion into other retail and service categories. The food retail sector has actually increased its share of the wider retail market in all but four of 19 countries (France, Spain, Sweden and Denmark) by 19 per cent to €870bn between 1999 and 2003; in 2003, European food retailers accounted for 46 per cent of all European retail sales. Tesco’s sales in that period rose by an astonishing 54 per cent. Non-food is the driver of this supermarket growth. It is noteworthy that the hard discounter Aldi is ranked sixth place in clothing retail sales in Germany. . Internationalisation The internationalisation of retail in Europe has been, by comparison with other sectors, a recent phenomenon, and only gained momentum in the mid-1990s. There is still quite a strong national characteristic to food retailing in many Western European countries though this hides (a) high levels of international collaboration between firms in pan-European sourcing to increase buying power and (b) the rise of the deep discounters such as Aldi up the ranks of national players. The leading European retailers and cash and carry operators are nevertheless highly internationalised, in part because European grocery markets are saturated and highly price competitive, and retailers have looked to CEE, SE and E Asia for their growth. Carrefour operates in 38 countries and French overseas departments, Metro in 31, and the most rapidly accelerating transnational retailer Tesco in 14. With its capital-efficient cash & carry format, Metro is often the first major international chain to arrive in emerging countries, as seen by its recent moves into Ukraine, Moldova and Serbia & Montenegro. Internationalisation allows retailers to use their distribution systems for pan-European procurement. For example, Tesco exports Polish and Hungarian products under its private label to its stores in other CEE countries. 9 Food retail in most CEE countries is now dominated by the multinational chains. The top 10 retailers in the Czech Republic, for example, are all multinationals. There has been a rapid demise of local store networks, with the exception of Hungary where the domestic cooperatives, trade associations and retail chains (CBA, Co-op Hungary and Reál Hungária) have adapted and fought back. There are also some very successful ‘local multinationals’ such as VP Market in the Baltics and Migros Türk in the Balkans and Middle East, which have been able to hold their own and grow against competition from international retailers. European supermarkets have also intervened in the policy process to influence the international policy environment in favour of supermarket investments. Retailers have been part of a European Services Forum lobby which has had close access to EC negotiators, urging the liberalisation of retail distribution markets in developing countries under the WTO GATS negotiations (ActionAid, 2006). Leaked requests of the EU to the GATS negotiations reveal that the EU requested 60 countries to open up their markets for distribution services according to GATS rules. 6 Market concentration Concentration in European retail is progressing. In 2004, the European top 30 captured a combined market share of 63.5 per cent, and this is expected to increase to 72 per cent by 2009. At a country level, concentration ratios are very much higher, with four-firm concentration ratios (CR4, ie the sum of the market shares of the four largest retailers) often above 60 per cent (Table 3). The UK market has been described by the Competition Commission (2000) as a complex monopoly7, and the dominance of Tesco has reached the point when in 2005 even Wal-Mart called for a probe into its impact on the working of the market.8 Table 3. Grocery retail concentration in Europe Country CR3 CR4 Top firms Austria 57.4 66.2 Rewe, SPAR (Austria), Aldi, Metro 6 See www.wdm.org.uk/action/EUleaksmedia.htm Complex monopoly exists where a group of companies which are not connected and which together account for a given percentage of the supply or acquisition of any particular description of goods or services (25 per cent is the figure in the United Kingdom law) engage in conduct which has or is likely to have the effect of restricting, distorting or preventing competition. 8The Sunday Times, August 28, 2005 7 10 Belgium 61.8 70.4 Carrefour, Colruyt , Delhaize Group, Metro, Aldi Czech rep 24.8 29.7 Ahold, Schwartz, Metro, Rewe, Tesco Denmark 66.4 – 78 74.1 FDB, Dansk Supermarkt, Dagrofa, SuperBest Finland 83.6 87.6 Kesko, SOK France 48.1 60.0 Carrefour, Leclerc, ITM, Casino, Auchan Germany 44.3 56.1 - 66.7 Metro, Rewe, Edeka/AVA, Aldi Hungary 48.2 51 CBA, Tesco, Co-op Hungary, Metro, Reál Hungária Ireland 54.4 70.3 Musgrave, Tesco, Dunnes Stores, Stonehouse, Italy 29.1 36.0 Coop Italia, Auchan, Carrefour, Conad Netherlands 51.5 - 62.6 56.9 - 82.6 Ahold, Casino Norway 62.6 – 83 76.3 - 99.5 Norgesgruppen, Coop Norden, Ahold, Reitan Poland 14.9 17.7 Metro, Jerónimo Martins, Tesco, Carrefour Portugal 48.3 56.8 Modelo Continente, Jerónimo Martins, ITM Romania 17.5 18.7 - 27.0 Metro, Rewe, Carrefour, Delhaize Slovakia 25.3 31.4 Tesco, Metro, Rewe, Schwartz Spain 53.8 62.5 El Corte Inglés, Carrefour, Marcadona, Sweden 80.9 – 95 83.8 Ahold, Axel Johnson, Coop Norden UK 42.3 – 60.4 49.3 – 70.6 Tesco, Asda-Wal-Mart, Sainsbury’s, Morrisons Europe 17.1 20.8 Carrefour, Metro, Tesco, Schwartz Compiled from PlanetRetail, AC Nielsen, USDA-FAS, FCO While there is a general trend to concentration in Europe, Dobson et al. (2001) point out that the emerging structures of food retail are not always the same. These authors use a typology of the dominant firm (when the market share of the top firm is >25 per cent and at least twice as high as the second rated firm), the duopoly, the asymmetric oligopoly, the symmetric oligopoly, and unconcentrated structure (when no firm has a market share >10 per cent). Only Italy was the only country ranked as ‘unconcentrated’, though this situation is changing now that Coop Italia has a 12.5 per cent share. Table 3. Market structure of retail in Western Europe, based on market shares of top 5 retailers, based on 1999 data (Dobson et al., 2001) Country Market structure 11 Austria Asymmetric oligopoly Belgium/Lux Asymmetric oligopoly Denmark Duopoly Finland Duopoly France Asymmetric oligopoly Germany Symmetric oligopoly Ireland Asymmetric oligopoly Italy Unconcentrated The Netherlands Dominant firm Portugal Duopoly Spain Asymmetric oligopoly Sweden Dominant firm UK Asymmetric oligopoly Market concentration in CEE countries is also becoming part of the retail landscape, driven by foreign capital. This follows high concentration through state ownership of channels in the communist era, and low concentration on the transition period when privatisation gave rise to many small companies (Table 4). Table 4. Key characteristics of retail transformation in Hungary (HU), Poland (PL) and Romania (RO) (Csáki et al., 2004). Phases Characteristics Communism HU Concentration in retail sector Dominant source of capital Share of modern retail Share of large multinationals PL RO 90-95 HU PL 95-00 RO HU PL 2003/2004 RO HU PL RO H H H L L L LH LH L H LH L D D D D D D DF DF D F DF D L L L L L L LH LH L H LH L L L L L L L LH LH L H H L H – high L – low D – domestic F – foreign 12 Buying Groups The accumulation of buying power through alliances between retailers, in the form of buying groups, has long been a feature of the European supermarket scene. Networks of independent grocers such as ITM and Leclerc use their collective buying power to compete with integrated retailers when negotiating with brand manufacturers, and these groups have themselves joined forces to compete with the discounters and integrated hypermarket companies. The giant buying groups AMS and EMD had total sales in 2004 of EUR 90 billion and EUR 100 billion respectively, in excess of the sales of top integrated European retailer Carrefour. The challenge from the hard discounters has fuelled the demand for increased buying volumes. Greater European alliances will become a more significant part of the buying process, and it is likely that more private labels will also be sourced more widely through buying groups. Larger buying groups and buying alliances in Europe put manufacturers under tough negotiation pressure, faced with the risk of losing all Europe-wide listings Buying groups can have a significant impact on actual industry concentration. Because of the buying groups, Grievink (2003) estimated that in western Europe, only around 110 buying desks account for about 85 per cent of the total retail food (not foodservice) sales of the western European countries. Own Brands Retailers’ own brands (also known as private labels) ‘have been one of the competitive forces which shifted strongly in favour of retailers’ (Wrigley and Lowe, 2002). Europe is the leading region for private labels with a 23 per cent market share9 (by sales), growing at four per cent annually (AC Nielsen, 2005). Switzerland has a remarkable 45 per cent market share of own brand (Table 5), though growth is especially strong in the emerging markets of central and south-eastern Europe. Much of the growth in own brands is driven by the hard discounters, which have business models built around a very high proportion of own brand sales (Table 6). “Europe” in AC Nielsen’s study is Austria, Belgium, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Ireland, Italy, Netherlands, Portugal, Spain, Denmark, Great Britain, Israel, Norway, Sweden, Switzerland 9 13 Table 5. Retailer own brand market share and growth in Europe Global rank Country Share of Annual growth rate own brand of own brand 1 Switzerland 45% 2 Germany 30% 3 Great Britain 28% 4 Spain 26% 5 Belgium 25% 6 France 24% 3% 7 Netherlands 22% 8% 9 Denmark 17% 11 Sweden 14% 12 Austria 14% 14 Italy 11% 15 Portugal 11% 16 Hungary 10% 15% 17 Slovakia 10% 14% 18 Finland 10% 16% 20 Norway 8% 14% 21 Ireland 7% 22 Czech Republic 7% 25 Greece 4% 24% 34 Croatia 2% 77% 3% 16% 10% Source: AC Nielsen 2005 Table 6. Own Brand Share of European Grocers, 2004 Estimated Share of Company Private Labels (%) Aldi 95 Schwarz Group 63 Tesco 45 Casino 40 14 ITM (Intermarché) 35 Carrefour 32 Rewe 25 Source: Planet Retail Ltd - www.planetretail.net A number of factors are working together to underpin the growing popularity and importance of private labels to retailers. Own brands have growing acceptance among consumers, and retailers continually seek market differentiation and strengthened customer loyalty, especially in the face of tough competition from discounters. Own brands allow retailers to chose from several suppliers, and thereby exert more control over the supply chain. There are also higher margins to be made; the UK Competition Commission report (2000) showed retailer’s purchase savings of 29.4 per cent (in part due to a lower supplier margin of 18.8 per cent) which allowed a higher retail margin of 10.1 per cent even with a lower selling price of 19.3 per cent (PlanetRetail, 2006). Private standards Supermarkets endow themselves and their brands with private standards and certification schemes. European retailers have led the charge in creating their own standards and operating food safety systems which go beyond that required by public regulation and are, with own brands, another tool in the control and rationalisation of supply.10 The Euro-Retailer Produce Working Group (Eurep) began developing standards for farm certification in 1996. EurepGAP started off as entirely retail-driven, though it has grown to include other actors from the supply chain, and it is now governed by an elected group of equal numbers of suppliers and retailers drawn from retailers and producers worldwide. EurepGAP is currently the nearest thing to a ‘global pre-farm gate standard’, and is becoming a minimum market entry requirements for fresh produce destined for many European supermarkets (Tallontire and Greenhalgh, 2005). Some retailers add their own more stringent standards, such as Tesco’s ‘Nature’s Choice’, in the pursuit of stronger brand protection. EurepGAP is a mix of process and performance standards. Independent audits and certification by accredited verifiers are used to measure compliance. Retailer-driven private standards are business-to-business rather than consumer-facing, and are unfunded requirements of suppliers and primary producers. 10 See Harrison et al., 1997 and Marsden et al, 2000 for analysis of private standards within context of ‘private interest regulation’ 15 Despite EurepGAP’s slogan “the global partnership for a safe and sustainable food system’ the focus is heavily on safety. It is nevertheless the only pan-industry standard to include environmental issues. The other leading private sector food standards (Global Food Safety Initiative GFSI, SQF 2000, and the new ISO 22000) are focused entirely on safety. What is often not appreciated is the connection between own brand and the growth of private standards such as EurepGAP. First in the UK and then in the EU, there has been a privatisation of responsibility for food safety, with the role of government shifting to oversight. Marsden et al. (2000) refer to this as the “second phase of food regulation” in which regulation is driven primarily by the way food safety issues are perceived by large food retailers, with the State acting mainly as auditor rather than enforcer. Own brands have, in European law11, turned food retailers into ‘food business operators’. The General Food Law Regulation 178/2002 Article 17 assigned food safety responsibility to the private sector, with competent authorities implementing control systems and verifying compliance. Under the regulation, “food and feed business operators at all stages of production, processing and distribution within the businesses under their control shall ensure that foods or feeds satisfy the requirements of food law which are relevant to their activities and shall verify that such requirements are met.” Private standards therefore become a business “firewall” response to legislation – a mechanism to demonstrate proof of due diligence, safeguard reputation and reduce legal liability for own brand retailers. They are also a means to reduce governance costs for lead firms in value chains (through codification of standards), and to allocate risks along the chain and transfer the costs of compliance with public and private standards further upstream. Vertical Coordination and Supply Chain Management The modern supermarket model is an accelerator of structural change towards vertical coordination of agri-food chains. European supermarkets have been at the forefront of applying the principles of ‘lean retailing’ and supply chain management (SCM) to the food 11 General Product Safety Directive Article 2 16 sector in the management of risk and defence of quality, consistency and assurance to consumers, especially in support of own brands. Rather than trading through wholesale and arms-length markets, SCM is built around ‘partnerships’ with preferred suppliers in a rationalised supply base, using national and cross-border systems to coordinate procurement. The costs of operating SCM are outweighed by the benefits of reliability and continuity of supply, consistency, quality and scale, shorter lead times and lower prices. Consumer expectations are more clearly fed along the food chain than with arms-length and bulk commodity markets. In line with the business model moving from ‘trading’ to ‘partnership,’ supermarkets rely more on fixed prices with regular reviews, increasing the predictability for both processor and producer (Figure 2). There is also increased use of transparent fixed margin or costbased pricing for products which involve heavy investment to meet retailer specifications. Fixed prices reduce the ability of growers to ‘play’ the spot market but are usually rewarded with greater security (EFFP, 2003). On the other hand, suppliers are highly leveraged, especially when they are ‘tagged’ within exclusive relationships with a single retailer, to the extent that retailers may cap supplier and, by extension, farmgate prices against predetermined retail margins. The bigger retailers get better terms from suppliers which leads to a virtuous circle of growth (Burt and Sparks, 2003),12 though as noted earlier, branded suppliers get higher margins than unbranded ones. Figure 2. Changes in pricing models (Source: EFFP, 2004) 12 Demonstrated by the 2000 UK Competition Commission report, which produced data which showed that retailers with a market share of less than 5% tended to pay around 4% more than the average supplier price, while retailers with more than 15 percent market share paid between 2% and 4% less than the average price 17 Fixed and review Future Current Historic Market Transparent / cost-based Some of the trends towards narrowing and rationalisation of the supply chain, and outsourcing category management to first tier suppliers, are reversible. In some supermarkets there is concern that reliance on too few first tier suppliers gives those preferred suppliers too much countervailing power, and procurement is being taken back in house. The position of suppliers and the tussle for market dominance Much of the discussion around supermarkets and farmers is presented as if farmers trade directly with retailers. While this is true for the largest fresh produce suppliers, the food and drink industry transforms more than 70 per cent of the agricultural raw materials produced in the EU. The alignment of farmers with processors and manufacturers is under-stressed. The power relations between retailers and first tier suppliers are very important in determining the impacts on primary producers. Flat consumer demand and an increasingly competitive retail sector are forcing supplier prices down. Price wars have been a feature of the Netherlands since Ahold’s Albert Heijn chain slashed prices in Oct 2003 in what seemed a pre-emptive strike to assert dominance over the Dutch market (van Heerde et al., 2005). There has also been tough price competition in the UK since the entry of Wal-Mart in 1999. 18 In a situation of oligopoly and stagnant demand, price warfare and the squeeze on suppliers is a much used strategy for oligopoly firms to defend their position in the market. In some grocery categories, such as bread, bananas, milk and eggs, it can be argued that consumers are paying too little for their produce, because supermarkets are passing on ‘economies of scale’ (value captured from highly leveraged suppliers and producers) to consumers in order to raise or defend their market share (Vorley, 2004). The structure of concentrated agrifood markets affects both the size of the retail ‘pie’, as well as the share of the pie between primary producers, manufacturers, and retailers.13 The Dutch price war produced some interesting tussles for dominance between big brand suppliers and retailers. In early 2006, the Dutch brewer Grolsch began boycotting Albert Heijn after a dispute over beer prices. A battle also broke out between Albert Heijn and Coca-Cola in 2002, when the supermarket boycotted Coca-Cola products, and with Unilever in the same year when the retailer de-listed some Unilever brands. In the UK, even the large food manufacturers are struggling in face of market pressures from their supermarket customers. Research by accounting firm Ernst & Young points to a rising tide of profit warnings from food companies in 2005, with food companies citing customer problems, delays and discontinued contract negotiations as a main causes of financial trouble, with strong resistance to the price rises needed to offset higher energy costs. "Supermarket chains are insisting on broader and new product choice, lower prices and rapid response to fast changing promotions putting food producers under pressure like never before.”14 Some processing sectors such as coffee roasting have been relatively insulated from retailer price pressures, thanks to their ‘gatekeeper’ position on key parts of commodity chains. It will be interesting to see how this plays out in years ahead, as the own brand revolution spreads into these sectors. Another feature of supplier-retailer relations which reflects disparities of market power is the so-called ‘back margins’ (marges arrières) or off-invoice discounts. Supermarket chains invoice suppliers for the provision of services, such as shelf placement and in-store marketing, as well as volume rebates, or even make ad hoc demands for cash payments. Since 1988, UK farmers have seen the farmers’ share of retail basket of goods drop by 13 percentage points compared to an overall increase in retail price of food. This equates to a decrease of 28% for the farmgate price paid for the goods (source: The DEFRA report on UK Agriculture 2003). 14 just-food.com, 10 April 2006 13 19 In France, marges arrières are typically equivalent to 20 per cent of the price of yoghurt and as much as 60 per cent of the price of ham and cooked meats.15 Back margins make it impossible to estimate the profits which supermarkets make on individual products. These deals have been brought into the open by a change in French law (the Dutreil Law) which has confirmed the supremacy of the manufacturers' terms of sale, rather than the supermarkets' terms of purchase. Under this law, any discounts received over 20 per cent must be integrated into the price of the products, thus reducing prices for consumers and shrinking back margins for retailers. The services which ‘back margins’ are paying for are not always clear, and in France this has led to both Lidl and Leclerc being sanctioned for false invoicing during 2005. Lidl was found to have asked the suppliers to fund a new warehouse near Montpellier in exchange for exclusive contracts that were not honoured. Leclerc was ordered to refund €23 million to suppliers in a similar incident.16 In the UK, there has been much controversy in 2006 around requests for up-front cash payments from Asda Wal-Mart. Reports claimed that big suppliers had been asked to pay between £10 million and £60 million to keep their preferred status as part of Asda’s reinvigorated ‘Buy for Less programme’ in which suppliers are asked to ‘share the benefits’ of growth with the supermarket and customers.17 The role that suppliers have as “bankers” of the expansion of big supermarkets has also been scrutinised in the UK. A Financial Times investigation in 2005 claimed that “Increased reliance on trade credit in much of the UK supermarket sector has been associated with an apparent increase in pressure on suppliers in terms of the number of days' credit that retailers take from them.” The authors conclude that “In effect, suppliers have acted as surrogate bankers to [Tesco and Asda] on a remarkable scale, contributing growing amounts of finance in a period when cash flow from depreciation covered only one-third of the combined investment outlay.”18 What is also not fully appreciated is the role of the hard discounters in price negotiations between suppliers and mainstream retailers. The major full service supermarkets are in a 15 Carrefour in legal bind with supply chain. Food&DrinkEurope 4 January 2006. Court retail ruling swells French legislative pressure. Food&DrinkEurope 2 December 2005 17 Asda defends payment demands. Freshinfo News 31 March 2006. 18 Financial Times, 7 December 2005 16 20 position to demand that suppliers match the terms which they offer the deep discounters. This was recently reported in Switzerland, where the Swiss retail groups Migros and Coop were reported to have told companies who supply Aldi or who are considering supplying them in the future, that they will not tolerate manufacturers supplying Aldi on better terms than they are getting.19 There is of course a significant development dimension to the debate around supplier relations with European retailers (Humphrey, 2005). Price pressure and narrowing of supply chains is felt by smallholders and wage labour on farms supplying air-freighted vegetables in Kenya, as much as farmers and labourers within Europe. Many supermarket requirements relating to volume, consistency, quality and safety, as well as services (such as delivery of product on time to supermarket distribution centres, and compensation in the event of any problems) are difficult to meet for many small firms and producers, as they require capital, technology, specialization and organisation. The result is the exclusion of those firms that are generalists, financially weak or immobile. The incompatibility of SCM and the capacity of smaller producers are starkly contrasted when supermarket chains decide to source some local products in response to consumer demands (Vorley et al., forthcoming). Private standards in particular, while providing a level playing field for third countries to access high value markets, may be scale-biased and regressive instruments with relative higher costs and complexity — especially in determining conformity to technical regulations — falling on the smallest operation. There are concerns in Europe that standards are accentuating prevailing inequalities, and excluding small firms and producers from participating in market growth, marginalising small-scale primary producers or entrepreneurs. The critique continues that the costs, risks and benefits of compliance are not equitably shared along the supply chain, between the ‘standards makers’ and ‘standards takers. The experience of business-to-business standards from horticulture is that the costs of private standards are borne by the producer whereas the benefits accrue to the retailer. All farm assurance initiatives have skirted issues of 19 ALDI suppliers in Switzerland under pressure. PlanetRetail News Bulletin 8 February 2006 21 declining price, market structure (Tallontire and Vorley, 2005). The accusations of private standards as barriers to market have even reached the WTO.20 Labour bears much of the brunt of the cost-price squeeze, as documented in a trio of highly critical books and reports released in 2004, by Lawrence, Blythman, and Oxfam. The challenge of regulating buyer power in Europe There have been a range of approaches to regulating buyer power in Europe in pursuit of fairer trading relationships between primary producers, suppliers and European supermarkets. The overall impression is of policy paralysis in the face of clear shift in the European competitive environment in agrifood, from producer market power to retailer buyer power, thus providing little guidance for countries where these changes are just starting. In line with the scope of this chapter, legislation to protect small traders, restrict planning, or preserve diversity of wholesale markets is not covered. Buyer power can affect the proper functioning of markets from a narrow perspective of consumer welfare (because it presents barriers to entry and reduces suppliers’ long-term viability and incentives to invest). Supply chain management and the drastic narrowing of supply networks clearly does present barriers to entry of new firms – supermarket buyers report an extreme reluctance to opening new accounts – and exclusive contracts are common in supermarket-supplier relations. Furthermore, the exercise of raw market power either through ‘front margins’ or ‘back margins’ can lever more favourable terms from suppliers than would be expected under normal competitive situations, and also increases risk of unlawful behavior But European governments have been politically paralysed in the face of the shift from producer market power to retailer buyer power. Imperfect markets provide a big challenge 20 WTO members examined for the first time the role of private sector standards in restricting trade during the 29-30 June 2005 meeting of the Committee on Sanitary and Phytosanitary (SPS) Measures although the issue has been raised in the Technical Barriers to Trade (TBT) Committee. St Vincent and the Grenadines, supported by Jamaica, Peru, Ecuador, and Argentina, complained that SPS and TBT requirements for exporting bananas and other products imposed by EurepGAP are tougher than the governments’ requirements — and so government rules should apply. The discussion was centred on the need to clarify SPS Agreement rules pertaining to government responsibilities for private sector standards. Referring to Article 13 of the SPS Agreement, which says that Member governments "shall take such reasonable measures as may be available to them to ensure that non-governmental entities within their territories... comply with the relevant provisions of this agreement," these countries argue that the EU rules should apply to private sector. Argentina said that this matter needed to be resolved or "twenty years of work" would be wasted. 22 to regulators -- the OECD acknowledged in 1999 that “Large multi-product retailers could enjoy substantial buyer power despite having retail market shares and consequent shares of manufacturer sales falling well below levels most countries would regard as necessary to constitute a (single-firm) dominant position on either the selling or buying side.” This is because of the triple effect of (a) direct power in purchasing, (b) own brands, and supermarkets competition with their branded suppliers, and (c) supermarkets’ hold over the marketplace, through control of shelf space (Dobson, ref.). In the UK, Prime Minister Blair has twice described farmers’ relationships with supermarkets as an “armlock”, firstly in March 2001, when he promised action, and almost exactly four years later in March 2005.21 Over the space of those four years, Tesco’s profits doubled from £1 billion to just over £2 billion, and the company extended its lead over its rivals, with a market share increasing to very close to 30 per cent. There was very little regulatory action over those four years, despite much scrutiny from the competition authorities. A report on the sector in 2000 by the UK Competition Commission found no evidence to support the claim that consumers were suffering from retail concentration – on the contrary, it argued that consumers were being extremely well served by supermarkets. However, the inquiry did find evidence of misuse of buyer power, but struggled with recommending an appropriate instrument to deal with abuses. In an indication of their discomfort, the Commission recommended only an industry code of conduct on dealings with suppliers, released in March 2002. The Code has, by admission, failed to deal with these concerns. The ‘Breaking the Armlock’ alliance22 of farming and civil society organisations, along with some parliamentarians, are calling for a strengthening of supermarket supply chain legislation. Meanwhile, the UK Office of Fair Trading has stated bluntly that “Our role is to make markets work well for consumers.”23 Practices that exploit dependency relationships between retailers and suppliers are likely to continue even when codes are given legislative teeth, considering suppliers’ reluctance to bring cases to court (Dobson et al., 2001). Economic dependency laws, such as in Germany and France, have proved generally ineffective in protecting suppliers against 21 'Farmers Still in an Armlock on Prices' Western Morning News, 9 March 2005 www.breakingthearmlock.com 23 Response from Bob MacDowall, Markets and Policy Initiatives Division, OFT to letter, 25 Aug 05 22 23 opportunistic behaviour by powerful retailers (Dobson, 2003). German competition legislation was reformed in July 2005, with large companies prohibited from using their market power to demand “unjustified and repeated” special terms and conditions from their suppliers. But the German government admits that abuse of market power will be hard to control as few suppliers will be ready to take legal measures against their clients. Dobson (2003) observes that in Europe “Authorities appear unwilling to prohibit retailer practices that potentially offer both efficiency benefits and anti-competitive effects even if they serve to reinforce buyer power.” This gives rise to accusations that regulation in Europe is asking the wrong questions, and is incapable of looking beyond narrow consumer interests. The NFU accuses the UK Office of Fair Trading of operating a “one dimensional approach to competition policy” where “if it looks good for consumers because it is reducing prices then it must be fair trade.”24 There are regulations in some European countries against below-cost selling. In Germany the 1999 Restraints on Competition Act forbids retailers from setting prices permanently below purchase prices, allows firms to take action in the courts against the abuse of a dominant position without having to wait for the Cartel Office to take action, and allows suppliers who wish to complain about the abuse of purchasing power by a retail chain to remain anonymous during the Cartel Office investigations. The Groceries Order in Ireland, which included a ban on selling below the net-invoice (notably not including ‘back margins’) was revoked in late 2005. There have been no attempts to regulate own brands, for instance by allowing retailers to be either completely own brand, or be open to all suppliers, rather than the status quo of supermarkets’ own brands competing with their suppliers. Where next for Europe: Partnership and Protest "My conclusion is that the consumer is the best regulator and there is room in a thriving market for anyone who satisfies customers." Lucy Neville-Rolfe, Tesco corporate affairs director. BBC News 15 February 2006 It comes as no surprise that supermarkets’ procurement strategies are both a driver of restructuring and professionalisation of primary production, and a source of growing 24 Action required now on latest retailer demands, says NFU. Press Release. 24 resentment and protest from those producers and suppliers who are being excluded or marginalised along the way. As stated earlier, SCM demands that producers are equipped with technology, capital and organisation. SCM is a big driver of the establishment of Product Marketing Organisations (PMOs), in order to ‘cooperate to compete’ and build the transactional and technological capacities of preferred suppliers. ‘Alliance capitalism’ leads to more formal and secure relationships between primary producers and retailers. PMOs can increase producer bargaining power and improve services which producers get from retailers, including technical assistance, credit and transport. This is especially important in countries where there are low levels of producer organisation and investment in processing, such as the UK and much of CEE. The supply chain has been an especially important source of credit in CEE (Swinnen, 2005). ‘Alliance capitalism’ also increases dependency and leverage, and the mainstream farming organisations in Europe are beginning to refocus their political action to issues of market structure and corporate concentration, after years of promoting the value of chain partnerships with supermarkets. It is one area where members of the International Federation of Agricultural Producers (IFAP) north and south can agree. A sector where protest has become Europe-wide is dairy. As suppliers of an unbranded product which they make on behalf of the supermarkets, dairy farmers’ gross margins have been under severe strain.25 There have been protests against supermarkets across Europe, with tractor convoys and blockades of processing plants and retailer distribution depots. In Germany, agricultural organisations such as the Arbeitsgemeinschaft bäuerliche Landwirtschaft have protested against Lidl and other discounters since the beginning of 2004. The farmer-controlled milk processor Arla did not escaped these protests, when in September 2005 supplies of Arla milk and dairy products to supermarkets were disrupted by British farmers protesting against low farmgate prices, which had slumped below the cost of production. None of these protests has resulted in a sustained improvement in price, and media interest has been muted. Major processors blame the supermarkets, especially the 25 Financial Times ref 25 discounters for depressing the market through price wars. The retailers blame farmers for depressing market prices through overproduction. A recent study shows that leading dairy producers are having to raise additional debt and equity to "stay at the table" in their negotiations with the supermarkets. In Germany, discounters have a 42 per cent share of drinking milk and fresh milk products (Aldi alone has 18 per cent), and their share of total sales for fresh dairy goods is increasing by 5-6 per cent per year. So when these organisations suggest a price to processors, it is usually accepted.26 For example, although Asda’s rationalisation of its milk supply in May 2005 down to a single supplier27 did not automatically mean that the retailer could exert specific price pressure, it certainly “sharpened their pencil” and created “conditions in which competition creates its own pressure.”28 Symptomatic of a radicalisation of the traditionally conservative UK farming unions,29 the president of the National Farmers Union of Scotland John Kinnaird, responded angrily to reports of Asda demands for one-off payments from suppliers in order to fund consumer price cuts: "Frankly, this latest move makes a mockery of Asda's pledge to invest in its business through its own margins. It is doing exactly the opposite and asking its suppliers to pick up its bills for attempts to win market share which appear to be acts of desperation. Whilst I'm sure Asda will state that these payments are 'voluntary', it must answer to the reports that it plans to label suppliers as 'superior, complacent or underperforming' depending on whether they pay these lump sums.”30 In response to criticisms, the Asda chief Andy Bond has called for “flair and not fear” from suppliers.31 26 Better Farming Letter from Europe, March 2005 In May 2005, Asda Wal-Mart announced that it was further narrowing its UK milk supply base, and would buy solely from Arla Foods. The Scottish dairy company Robert Wiseman saw around £40 m wiped off its value after it lost the key £70m Asda supply contract. Dairy producers supplying into Arla are collaborating horizontally through the Arla Milk Partnership and have invested in the supply chain by buying shares in Arla UK. This ‘partnership’ and the fact than Arla is ostensibly a farmer-controlled business has not insulated Arla from protests from producers around farm gate prices for milk. 28 Nick Holt-Martyn, director of ADAS Dairy Group, interviewed in Farmers Weekly 29 Spurred in the UK by the establishment in 2005 of the breakaway “Better NFU” which accused the incumbent NFU leadership of being “cowed into submission and have done nothing for the past two years" to deal with the major retailers who abuse their monopoly position. www.betternfu.org.uk 30 Fury at Asda Cash Demands. Press Release National Farmers Union of Scotland. 31 March 2006 31 Freshinfo poll 28 October 2005 27 26 Other than protests, another angle has been to expand Fairtrade labelling from developing countries to European producers. An attempt by the Soil Association to do this in the UK failed because of serious unease in the Fairtrade movement about brand equity being diluted and consumers becoming confused (Tallontire and Vorley, 2005) It would be accurate to say that farmers in Europe have yet to find their voice in the new politics of agrifood, in the face of their declining political influence, media disinterest in their struggle, widespread citizen assent with the supermarket model, and the dominant policy priorities of low inflation and job creation. A wider set of concerns is entering the policy narrative. In CEE, this centres on threats to small scale retail and national food sovereignty. Hypermarkets in Poland became a hot issue when the then conservative finance minister Teresa Lubinska said in late 2005 that hypermarkets were not welcome, with Tesco singled out as “an example of the kind of non-productive investment that was not needed in Poland.” 32 In Hungary, agriculture minister Jozsef Graf has been prepared to breach EU competition rules by asking manufacturers and retailers to sign a voluntary code of conduct in support of a minimum of 70 per cent Hungarian content.33 In the UK, despite the fact that price competition has delivered considerable consumer savings,34 a point seems to have been reached in 2004-5 at which the market leader Tesco came up against serious questions of legitimacy, with potential knock-on impact on shareholder value. The snubbing by the largest retailers of voluntary approaches to wider stakeholder accountability, such as the ‘Race to the Top’ initiative (Fox and Vorley, 2004) and the NFU’s proposed voluntary Buyer’s Charter35,36 has cleared the way for more open Tesco ‘not welcome’ in Poland. Financial Times, 5-6 November 2005 Hungary snubs foreign produce. CEE-foodindustry.com, 8 February 2006. 34 Fierce price wars between the UK’s leading supermarkets has squeezed grocery prices, saving consumers £3 billion in shopping bills between the late 1990s and end of 2006. in Grocery competition saves shoppers billions, Food&DrinkEurope 30 November 2005. 35 The NFU Buyers' Charter had a broader scope than the current Code of Conduct, being (a) owned and administered by representatives of all major parties in the food supply chain, (b) applicable to all key aspects of trading relations, including the day-to-day relationships between suppliers and their customers, and (c) independently audited with an independent panel to consider complaints and disputes which cannot be resolved at company level. The idea of a buyers’ charter was welcomed by the Office of Fair Trading in their report on the Code of Practice (OFT, 2005) 36 NFU Anger at Charter Rejection. Farmers Guardian, 12 August 2005. 32 33 27 hostility on a number of fronts, with Tesco and the ‘Tescopoly’ campaign37 as a lightning rod for campaigns on local food; defence of town centres and small retailers; transport, congestion and ‘food miles’; health; labour rights; and international development, together with the issue of welfare of primary producers. European supermarkets have become adept at taking on the ‘sustainability’ agenda, with the promotion of Fairtrade and organic products, and contribution to the Ethical Trading Initiative. Indeed, ‘sustainability’ has become another unfunded cost of doing business with supermarkets. But little seems to have changed in procurement practice, and supermarkets’ Corporate Responsibility policies make little mention of supplier welfare despite huge imbalances of market power between producers and retailers. 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