Chapter 11 Inferences About Population Variances Learning Objectives 1. Understand the importance of variance in a decision-making situation. 2 Understand the role of statistical inference in developing conclusions about the variance of a single population. 3. Know that the sampling distribution of (n - 1) s2/ 2 has a chi-square distribution and be able to use this result to develop a confidence interval estimate of 2. 4. Be able to compute p-values using the chi-square distribution. 5. Know how to test hypotheses involving 2. 6. Understand the role of statistical inference in developing conclusions about two population variances. 7. Know that the sampling distribution of s12 / s22 has an F distribution and be able to use this result to test hypotheses involving two population variances. 8. Be able to compute p-values using the F distribution. 11 - 1 Chapter 11 Solutions: 1. a. 11.070 b. 27.488 c. 9.591 d. 23.209 e. 9.390 2. s2 = 25 2 2 a. With 19 degrees of freedom .05 = 30.144 and .95 = 10.117 19(25) 19(25) 2 30.144 10.117 15.76 2 46.95 2 2 b. With 19 degrees of freedom .025 = 32.852 and .975 = 8.907 19(25) 19(25) 2 32.852 8.907 14.46 2 53.33 c. 3.8 7.3 3. 2 (n 1) s 2 02 (16 1)(9.5) 2 27.08 50 Degrees of Freedom = (16 - 1) = 15 Using 2 table, p-value is between .025 and .05 Exact p-value using 2 =27.08 is .0281 p-value .05, reject H0 Critical value approach 2 .05 = 24.996 Reject H0 if 2 24.996 27.08 > 24.996, reject H0 11 - 2 Inferences About Population Variances 4. a. n = 18 s2 = .36 2 .05 = 27.587 2 .95 = 8.672 (17 degrees of freedom) 17(.36) 17(.36) 2 27.587 8.672 .22 2 .71 b. .47 .84 5. a. s2 ( xi x )2 31.07 n 1 s 31.07 5.57 b. 2 .025 = 16.013 2 .975 = 1.690 (8 1)(31.07) (8 1)(31.07) 2 16.013 1.690 13.6 2 128.7 c. 3.7 11.3 6. a. x xi 4.41 .2205 n 12 s2 ( xi x )2 47.9500 n 1 s 47.9500 6.92 b. 2 .025 = 32.852 2 .975 = 8.907 (20 1)(47.95) (20 1)(47.95) 2 32.852 8.907 27.73 2 102.28 5.27 10.11 The 95% confidence interval for the population standard deviation ranges from a quarterly standard deviation of 5.27% to 10.11%. 11 - 3 Chapter 11 7. a. s2 ( xi x )2 57.7230 n 1 s 57.7230 7.60 b. 2 With 11 df, .025 = 21.920 2 .975 = 3.816 (12 1)(57.7230) (12 1)(57.7230) 2 21.920 3.816 28.9668 2 166.3923 c. 5.38 12.90 8. ( xi x )2 .0929 .00845 n 1 12 1 a. s2 b. s .00845 .092 c. 11 degrees of freedom 2 .025 = 21.920 2 .975 = 3.816 (12 1).00845 (12 1).00845 2 21.920 3.816 .0042 2 .0244 .065 .156 9. H0: 2 .0004 Ha: 2 .0004 2 (n 1) s 2 2 0 (30 1)(.0005) 36.25 .0004 Degrees of freedom = n - 1 = 29 Using 2 table, p-value is greater than .10 Exact p-value using 2 = 36.25 is .1664 p-value > .05, do not reject H0. The product specification does not appear to be violated. 10. 2 18.2)2 = 331.24 H0: 2 331.24 11 - 4 Inferences About Population Variances Ha: 2 331.24 2 (n 1) s 2 02 (36 1)(22.2) 2 52.075 (18.2)2 Degrees of freedom = n - 1 = 35 Using 2 table, p-value is between .025 and .05 Exact p-value corresponding to 2 = 52.075 is .0317 p-value .05, reject H0. The standard deviation for Vanguard PRIMECAP fund is greater than the average standard deviation for large cap mutual funds. H0: 2 = .009216 11. Ha: 2 .009216 2 (n 1) s 2 2 (20 1)(.114) 2 26.79 .009216 Degrees of freedom = n - 1 = 19 Using 2 table, area in upper tail is greater than .10 Two-tail p-value is greater than .20 Exact p-value corresponding to 2 = 26.79 is .2193 p-value > .05, do not reject H0. Cannot conclude the variance in interest rates has changed. 12. a. s2 ( xi x )2 .8106 n 1 b. H0: 2 .94 Ha: 2 .94 2 (n 1) s 2 2 0 (12 1)(.8106) 9.49 .94 Degrees of freedom = n - 1 = 11 Using 2 table, area in tail is greater than .10 Two-tail p-value is greater than .20 Exact p-value corresponding to 2 = 9.49 is .8465 p-value > .05, cannot reject H0. 11 - 5 Chapter 11 13. a. F.05 = 3.33 b. F.025 = 2.76 c. F.01 = 4.50 d. 14. a. F.10 1.94 F s12 5.8 2.4 s22 2.4 Degrees of freedom 15 and 20 Using F table, p-value is between .025 and .05 Exact p-value corresponding to F = 2.4 is .0345 p-value .05, reject H0. Conclude 12 22 b. F.05 = 2.20 Reject H0 if F 2.20 2.4 2.20, reject H0. Conclude 12 22 15. a. Larger sample variance is s12 F s12 8.2 2.05 4 s22 Degrees of freedom 20 and 25 Using F table, area in tail is between .025 and .05 Two-tail p-value is between .05 and .10 Exact p-value corresponding to F = 2.05 is .0904 p-value > .05, do not reject H0. b. Since we have a two-tailed test F / 2 F.025 2.30 Reject H0 if F 2.30 2.05 < 2.30, do not reject H0 16. H 0 : 12 22 H a : 12 22 11 - 6 Inferences About Population Variances s12 942 2.63 s22 582 Degrees of freedom 25 and 29 F Using F table, p-value is less than .01 Exact p-value corresponding to F = 2.63 is .0067 p-value .01, reject H0. Conclude adults have a greater variance in online times. 17. a. Population 1 is 4 year old automobiles H 0 : 12 22 H a : 12 22 b. F s12 1702 2.89 s22 1002 Degrees of freedom 25 and 24 Using F table, p-value is less than .01 Exact p-value corresponding to F = 2.89 is .0057 p-value .01, reject H0. Conclude that 4 year old automobiles have a larger variance in annual repair costs compared to 2 year old automobiles. This is expected due to the fact that older automobiles are more likely to have some more expensive repairs which lead to greater variance in the annual repair costs. 18. H 0 : 12 22 H a : 12 22 F s12 4.27 2 3.54 s22 2.27 2 Degrees of freedom 9 and 6 Using F table, area in tail is between .05 and .10 Two-tail p-value is between .10 and .20 Exact p-value corresponding to F = 3.54 is .1378 p-value > .05, do not reject H0. Cannot conclude any difference between variances of the two industries. 19. H 0 : 12 22 H a : 12 22 11 - 7 Chapter 11 s12 .0489 s22 .0059 F s12 .0489 8.28 s22 .0059 Degrees of freedom 24 and 21 Using F table, area in tail is less than .01 Two-tail p-value is less than .02 Exact p-value 0 p-value .05, reject H0. The process variances are significantly different. Machine 1 offers the best opportunity for process quality improvements. Note that the sample means are similar with the mean bag weights of approximately 3.3 grams. However, the process variances are significantly different. 20. H 0 : 12 22 H a : 12 22 F s12 11.1 5.29 2.1 s22 Degrees of freedom 25 and 24 Using F table, area in tail is less than .01 Two-tail p-value is less than .02 Exact p-value 0 p-value .05, reject H0. The population variances are not equal for seniors and managers. 21. Consider the Small cap fund as population 1 and the large cap fund as population 2. H 0 : 12 22 H a : 12 22 F s12 (13.03) 2 2.15 s22 (8.89) 2 Degrees of freedom 25 and 25 Upper-tail p-value is the area to the right of the test statistic. 11 - 8 Inferences About Population Variances From the F table, the p-value is between .025 and .05 Exact p-value corresponding to F = 2.15 is .0306 p-value ≤ .05, reject H0. The population variance and standard deviation for the small cap growth fund are larger. Financial analysts would say the small cap growth fund is riskier. 22. a. Population 1 - Wet pavement. H 0 : 12 22 H a : 12 22 F s12 322 4.00 s22 162 Degrees of freedom 15 and 15 Using F table, p-value is less than .01 Exact p-value corresponding to F = 4.00 is .0054 p-value .05, reject H0. Conclude that there is greater variability in stopping distances on wet pavement. b. Drive carefully on wet pavement because of the uncertainty in stopping distances. 23. a. s2 = (30) 2 = 900 b. 2 2 .05 = 30.144 and .95 = 10.117 (19 degrees of freedom) (19)(900) (19)(900) 2 30.144 10.117 567 2 1690 c. 23.8 41.1 24. With 12 degrees of freedom, 2 .025 = 23.337 2 .975 = 4.404 (12)(14.95)2 (12)(14.95)2 2 23.337 4.404 114.9 2 609 10.72 24.68 11 - 9 Chapter 11 25. a. b. x xi 260.16 n s2 ( xi x )2 4996.8 n 1 s 4996.79 70.69 c. 2 .025 = 32.852 2 .975 = 8.907 (19 degrees of freedom) (20 1)(4996.8) (20 1)(4996.8) 2 32.852 8.907 2890 2 10,659 53.76 103.24 26. a. H0: 2 .0001 Ha: 2 .0001 2 (n 1) s 2 2 (15 1)(.014) 2 27.44 .0001 Degrees of freedom = n - 1 = 14 Using 2 table, p- value is between .01 and .025 Exact p-value corresponding to 2 = 27.44 is .0169 p-value .10, reject H0. Variance exceeds maximum variance requirement. b. 2 .05 = 23.685 2 .95 = 6.571 (14 degrees of freedom) (14)(.014)2 (14)(.014)2 2 23.685 6.571 .00012 2 .00042 27. H0: 2 .02 Ha: 2 .02 2 (n 1) s 2 2 0 (41 1)(.16) 2 51.20 .02 Degrees of freedom = n - 1 = 40 11 - 10 Inferences About Population Variances Using 2 table, p- value is greater than .10 Exact p-value corresponding to 2 = 51.20 is .1104 p-value > .05, do not reject H0. The population variance does not appear to be exceeding the standard. 28. H0: 2 Ha: 2 2 (n 1) s 2 2 0 (22 1)(1.5) 31.50 1 Degrees of freedom = n - 1 = 21 Using 2 table, p-value is between .05 and .10 Exact p-value corresponding to 2 = 31.50 is .0657 p-value .10, reject H0. Conclude that 2 > 1. 29. s2 ( xi x )2 101.56 12.69 n 1 9 1 H0: 2 = 10 Ha: 2 10 2 (n 1) s 2 2 (9 1)(12.69) 10.16 10 Degrees of freedom = n - 1 = 8 Using 2 table, area in tail is greater than .10 Two-tail p- value is greater than .20 Exact p-value corresponding to 2 = 10.16 is .5080 p-value > .10, do not reject H0 30. a. Try n = 15 2 .025 = 26.119 2 .975 = 5.629 (14 degrees of freedom) 11 - 11 Chapter 11 (14)(64) (14)(64) 2 26.119 5.629 34.3 2 159.2 5.86 12.62 A sample size of 15 was used. b. n = 25; expect the width of the interval to be smaller. 2 .05 = 39.364 2 .975 = 12.401 (24 degrees of freedom) (24)(8)2 (24)(8)2 2 39.364 12.401 39.02 2 126.86 6.25 11.13 31. H 0 : 12 22 H a : 12 22 Population 1 is NASDAQ F s12 15.82 4.00 s22 7.92 Degrees of freedom 9 and 9 Using F table, area in tail is between .025 and .05 Two-tail p-value is between .05 and .10 Exact p-value corresponding to F = 4.00 is .0510 p-value > .05, do not reject H0. Cannot conclude population variances differ. But with such a low pvalue, a larger sample is recommended. 32. H 0 : 12 22 H a : 12 22 Use critical value approach since F tables do not have 351 and 72 degrees of freedom. F.025 = 1.47 Reject H0 if F 1.47 11 - 12 Inferences About Population Variances F s12 .9402 1.39 s22 .797 2 F < 1.47, do not reject H0. We are not able to conclude students who complete the course and students who drop out have different variances of grade point averages. 33. H 0 : 12 22 H a : 12 22 Population 1 has the larger sample variance. F s12 5.4 2.35 s22 2.3 Degrees of freedom 15 and 15 Using F table, area in tail is between .05 and .10 Two-tail p-value is between .10 and .20 Exact p-value corresponding to F = 2.35 is .1087 p-value > .10, do not reject H0. Cannot conclude that there is a difference between the population variances. 34. H 0 : 12 22 H a : 12 22 F s12 25 2.08 s22 12 Degrees of freedom 30 and 24 Using F table, area in tail is between .025 and .05 Two-tail p-value is between .05 and .10 Exact p-value corresponding to F = 2.08 is .0695 p-value .10, reject H0. Conclude that the population variances are not equal. 11 - 13